US 100 NASDAQ Technical AnalysisUS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis
When the US100 8-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue below the trend line. As long as the index price cannot pass the 19,096 level, it is evaluated that the price movements below the 18,621 level may break the 17,251 level and retreat to the 15,434 level.
Forextrading
GOLDFrom our previous analysis on Friday, we saw that the price had adjusted down to test the support zone at $2,485 as expected, but the price failed to break through $2,485, resulting in a rebound. And this time, if the price fails to break through $2,510, we expect that there is a chance that the price will continue to fall.
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Weekly Trade Planning SessionIn today's session, I will be analyzing the USD/JPY, GBP/USD, CAD/JPY, and EUR/USD pairs.
The framework I follow includes:
Portfolio selection
Currency ranking
Multi-timeframe analysis.
Below is the portfolio selection for this week:
AUD/CAD: Bearish (-5%)
AUD/JPY: Bearish (-59%)
AUD/USD: Bullish (17%)
CAD/JPY: Bearish (-54%)
EUR/CAD: Bullish (16%)
EUR/JPY: Bearish (-38%)
EUR/USD: Bullish (38%)
GBP/JPY: Bearish (-17%)
GBP/USD: Bullish (59%)
USD/CAD: Bearish (-22%)
USD/CHF: Bearish (-63%)
USD/JPY: Bearish (-76%)
Happy Trading!
EURUSD BEST ANALYSIS EUR/USD recovered last week but failed retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first Price actions from are still seen as a consolidation pattern In case of deeper retreat downside should be contained by retracement of to bring rebound Break of will resume larger rise towards high However, sustained break will indicate reversal and turn bias to the downside
EUR/USD Reversal After Strong US Data: Bearish Momentum Ahead?After yesterday's pullback, the EUR/USD pair has formed a rejection candle on the daily chart after touching the 1.1112 mark. The pair's gains against the USD were quickly reversed, as surprisingly strong US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for August offered significant support to the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, has recovered most of its intraday losses after finding buying interest near the day's low around the 101.00 level.
From a technical perspective, we have already closed 50% of our position after the price bounced back from a key supply area. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a high level of retail traders accumulating long positions in EUR/USD, marking the highest accumulation since the last significant price peak in December. This accumulation hints at potential exhaustion of the bullish sentiment among retail traders, which may lead to further bearish pressure.
The ISM Services PMI report revealed that activity in the US services sector expanded slightly more than anticipated, with a reading of 51.5, compared to July's 51.4. Economists had projected a modest slowdown to 51.1, but the unexpected uptick in service activity adds another layer of support for the USD. This strong economic performance suggests that the US economy remains resilient, increasing the chances of sustained strength in the USD.
Given this scenario, we anticipate a continuation of bearish pressure on the EUR/USD and other currency pairs against the USD. With retail traders heavily positioned long and the fundamentals favoring the USD, the market may continue to see the US Dollar strengthen in the coming days, offering potential opportunities for those seeking to short the EUR/USD or other USD pairs.
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AUDJPY: Classic Breakout Trading 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY broke and closed below a key daily/intraday structure support.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny range
on a 4H time frame.
Its support was broken today.
I shorted the pair on its retest, expecting a further decline.
Next support - 95.2
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Bulls are dominating the trading marketA record displaying a weakening U.S. exertions marketplace on Friday may want to assist the Fed decide whether or not to reduce hobby charges through 25 or 50 foundation factors at its subsequent meeting. Lower hobby charges could weaken the greenback however notably growth the enchantment of non-yielding property along with gold.
Gold fees have risen extra than 20% this year, hitting a height of $2,531.seventy five an oz in August. Along with expectancies of a Fed charge reduce, gold has been supported through robust retail call for and safe-haven call for because of conflicts withinside the Middle East and Ukraine.
XAU stays green in the trading mapA report showing a weakening U.S. labor market on Friday could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Gold prices have risen more than 20% this year, hitting a peak of $2,531.75 an ounce in August. Along with expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold has been supported by strong retail demand and safe-haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine.
NIKKEI225 Index Chart ReviewNIKKEI225 Index Chart Review
When the JPN225 weekly chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line. As long as the index price cannot exceed the level of 39,489, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 36,827, it can break the level of 34,538 and retreat to the level of 27,512.
NZD/CHF Long and EUR/NZD ShortNZD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Long Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Sugar Chart Review
When the daily chart of Sugar is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the downward sloping wedge. As long as the level of Sugar price 1.841 is not broken down, it is evaluated that in price movements above the level of 1.927, it can exceed the level of 2.024 and target the level of 2.287.
NZDUSDNZDUSD is in correction range at 0.61989 level. If price fails to break through, price will rebound to test resistance at 0.62553-0.62836. If price fails to break through 0.62836 level, it is expected that price will go down. Consider selling red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Investors are cautious as summer draws to a close.Gold’s struggles come as the US dollar, which fell to a one-year low last month and entered oversold territory, is seeing a modest shift in momentum.
While September has been a tough month for gold in recent years, analysts do not see the bullion’s bullish trend ending. Looking beyond the near-term weakness, they see central bank buying continuing to provide solid support for gold. At the same time, new investor interest will begin to pick up as the Fed begins its long-awaited monetary easing cycle this month.
XAU surges after US economic dataGold prices rose 0.8% on Thursday after a report showed U.S. payrolls fell to their lowest level since early 2021 last month. The sharp drop in new jobs suggests a weakening U.S. labor market, which could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates soon to stimulate the economy.
Friday's report showing a weakening U.S. labor market could help the Fed determine whether to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower interest rates would weaken the dollar but significantly increase the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%.
The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices.
Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
Fed enters interest rate cutting cycleGold is taken into consideration a beneficiary whilst the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) enters a cycle of hobby charge cuts, which might also additionally begin from September 17-18. Lower hobby prices will motive the USD to depreciate in opposition to a basket of different predominant currencies. Gold will then boom in price.
Many forecasts say that gold will reach $2,600/ounce, or even $2,seven hundred with the aid of using the give up of this 12 months or early 2025.
In a latest forecast, Goldman Sachs stated that spot gold fees will reach $2,seven hundred/ounce (VND82.2 million/tael) with the aid of using early 2025. The modern unstable surroundings is stated to be a element to be able to push gold up, despite the fact that this commodity has set new information dozens of instances due to the fact that the start of 2024.
GBP/USD Trade Setup 1 Hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour timeframe, GBP/USD has formed a descending channel, followed by a strong breakout to the upside and a retest.
This pattern has formed at a daily support level. To enter a buy position, we need to observe bullish candlestick patterns for confirmation.
USDZAR Technical AnalysisWhen the USDZAR daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with the formation of an inverted cup formation. As long as USDZAR cannot pass above 18.598235, it is evaluated that in price movements below the level of 17.458306, it can break down to the level of 16.709696 and retreat to the level of 15.620809.
EURUSD Technical AnalysisWhen the EURUSD 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the trend line with a possible cup-and-cup formation. While it is evaluated that EURUSD may retreat to the level of 1.08920 in price movements below the level of 1.10152, it is evaluated that it may target the level of 1.13750 by exceeding the level of 1.12015 in price movements above the level of 1.11120, as long as the level of 1.10152 is not broken down.
Gold Analysis September 5☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged up in Asian trade on Thursday. A US jobs report showed on Wednesday that employment fell to a three-and-a-half-year low in July, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further in September, which in turn acted as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. Moreover, concerns about the health of the US economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further supporting the safe-haven precious metal.
However, gold prices lacked strong buying interest as traders appeared reluctant to place strong bullish bets, preferring to wait for key details on the US monthly employment report - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report - due on Friday. Meanwhile, the US economic agenda on Thursday - including the ADP report on private sector employment, the weekly jobless claims and the ISM services PMI - will be looked at for short-term opportunities. However, expectations of the imminent start of the Fed's policy easing cycle could continue to support Gold.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is moving back in the sideways range of 2490-2505. After an old liquidity sweep to 2472. The Asian session's upside momentum is not strong enough to break the technical level of 2508. When the European session pushes up to 2508 without breaking through, we can set up a SELL signal at this area. The sell trend may extend further than there is still a way to move up to ATH. Today, when the US session enters, pay attention to the resistance zone of 2512-2514 for a SELL strategy. And the push to the low zone this week and next week could create momentum for the FOMC to push gold to a new ATH.
Resistance: 2505 - 2509 - 2515 - 2524 - 2535
Support: 2491 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2513 - 2515 stoploss 2518
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
BUY price zone 2480 - 2478 stoploss 2475Gold Analysis September 5
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Given the break of the support level, this currency pair is currently completing a pullback to the broken level. It is expected that after completing the pullback, the price will resume its downward movement toward the specified target level.
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