Market Recap And Next Weeks Plan📉 Market Recap & Next Week’s Plan
Last week, we saw GBP/USD make a bullish push early in the week, forming a high on Wednesday before reversing and breaking structure on the 4H time frame.
Key levels of 1.29512 and 1.29105 were taken out, signaling a potential shift towards a bearish move.
Next Week’s Expectations
I’m anticipating a retracement before continuation, and I’ll be watching for selling opportunities at key levels.
📍 Potential Sell Zones:
🔹 1.29622 (High-interest POI, higher probability of forming)
🔹 1.29794
🔹 1.29893
📍 Potential Buy Zone (If Market Drops Further):
🔹 1.28848
Overall Bias:
📉 Bearish – I’ll be focused on selling opportunities unless the market structure shifts significantly.
Patience is key. Let’s see how the market develops this week.
💬 What’s your bias for next week? Let me know in the comments. 👇
#ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingPlan
Forextrading
USDJPY: Critical moment for the 2 month Channel Down.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.506, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 25.882) as it is on the tightest range possible between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. This consolidation is taking place at the top of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it holds, the trade is short, aiming for a -3.20% bearish wave (TP = 145.500). If the price crosses above the 4H MA200 though, go long, aiming for the R1 level (TP = 154.835).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURUSD | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUTHey there, Traders,
I’ve put together an analysis for EUR/USD. Right now, I’m watching it like a hunter, waiting for a breakout. As soon as it happens, I’ll drop updates right here under this analysis.
Big thanks to everyone who supports me with likes—you guys are awesome!
God bless you all
XAUUSD buy Gold price is looking to extend its previous retreat from all-time highs of $3,058 in Asian trading on Friday. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the third consecutive weekly gain.
Alternatively, Gold price could retest the record high of $3,056 if buyers regain poise. Further up, the triangle target measured at $3,080 will be put to the test.
XAUUSD buy 3030
Tp1 3035
TP2 3040
Tp3 3050
USD/CAD: Sideways Movement Signals Possible DownsideAfter a bearish move, the USD/CAD pair staged a pullback, forming a long-tailed candle on the daily timeframe that points to a potential retest of the zone above the 1.4200 level. Currently, the market is trading sideways, positioned just above the previous day's low.
If the price breaks and closes below this low, it may attempt to retest the support zone beneath. However, with price action still contained within the weekly range, continued oscillation between the upper and lower boundaries remains possible. A move to the downside is anticipated if the pair holds below the upward trendline, with the next target being the support zone around 1.42615
BTCUSDlasr analysis was 100% worked i hope you all had a good time, as we look at weekly chart and see potentionl continue sell on btcusd, till ob+fvg, let see a strong pull back to take short postion. i hope weekly chart as i draw my like easy to understand. let me know in the comment what you think ..?
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session.
However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions.
⭐️Technical analysis
The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win.
Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
Fri 21st Mar 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Xauusd Trap to Sellers but Strong upward bullish Trend soonThe chart displays Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing a bullish trend with a defined upward channel. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Bullish Momentum: The price is following an upward trend within an ascending channel, indicating that the bullish momentum is strong. The target is set at 3060, suggesting that the price is expected to reach this level if the upward movement continues.
2. Order Block: The order block is identified at the top of the channel, which represents an area of significant buying interest. If the price pulls back to this order block, it could serve as a key support level and a potential area to enter long positions.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap): An FVG zone is marked around 3043. This zone indicates an imbalance in market orders and may act as a support level for a price pullback before continuing the bullish trend. The FVG gap needs to be filled, and a price move back into this region may offer opportunities for buying.
4. Price Action: The price is currently testing an important support zone within the channel and the FVG. If the price holds above this zone, the bullish trend is likely to resume toward the target of 3060.5. Target 3060: The 3060 level is the primary target for the current bullish trend. If the price successfully breaks above the current resistance levels, the market could continue upward toward this price point.
Conclusion:
The chart shows a bullish outlook for Gold, with a potential target of 3060. Watch for a possible pullback to the FVG gap around 3043, which could provide an opportunity to enter long positions. If the price holds above this level, the bullish momentum will likely continue, reaching the 3060 target.
EURGBP: Rectangle Top rejection. Sell opportunity.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.272, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 25.202), going from an almost overbought RSI to neutral as it got rejected on the R1 Zone. That is the top of the 6 month Rectangle pattern, where the last rejection pulled the price all the way down to the S1 Zone. This time the presence of both the LH and HL trendlines makes us consider a slightly tighter trading range. The trade is short, TP = 0.82600.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
DXY: Starting a new Channel Up rally into Summer.The U.S. Dollar Index is near the oversold zone on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 37.232, MACD = -1.040, ADX = 33.922) having reached the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up. The 1D RSI was oversold last week but is seen rebounding. This is exactly the kind of formation we had on the previous bottom of the Channel Up as well as the December 28th 2023 low.. The selling sequences that led to those lose have been almost the same as today's (-6.32% and -5.74%). The last Channel Up bullish wave reached exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we can go long here with an acceptable risk, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 113.000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After a strong bullish rally, EURUSD has now reached the resistance zone.
As expected, the price has started to pull back from this resistance level.
We anticipate the correction to continue toward the specified level before the price resumes its upward movement.
The pair remains in an overall uptrend, and these pullbacks could present buying opportunities within the trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
AUDUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD?
The AUDUSD pair is moving within an ascending channel and has recently broken its downtrend line to the upside. This breakout could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
We expect the price to make a pullback and correction toward the broken trendline before continuing its upward move towards the channel’s upper boundary.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD: Big Bearish Divergence on 4H.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.538, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 29.911) but just crossed under the 4H MA50 for the first time since the March 3rd 2025 breakout when the parabolic rally started. The strongest sell signal is nonetheless given by the 4H RSI which, while the price is on a Channel Up, it has been on a Channel Down, i.e. a Bearish Divergence. The previous time an uptrend broke below its 4H MA50 on the same RSI Bearish Divergence was on the September 30th 2024 High. The result was a strong bearish breakdown to the S1 level. Consequently, we can turn bearish here and aim a little higher than S1 (TP = 1.0400).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NZD/JPY: Potential Reversal After Resistance TestThe NZD/JPY pair has been in a bullish trend for the past two weeks but has now encountered resistance, leading to sideways movement around this level. On the daily timeframe, a rejection candle has formed, though the price has yet to retest the February high, where liquidity remains.
There is a possibility that the price may attempt to capture this liquidity before turning lower, potentially forming a bearish divergence. If a rejection occurs at the 87.500 resistance level, the market could initiate a corrective move downward. The next key target is the support zone around 85.800
Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025
Hedging strategies are key tools for traders seeking to potentially manage risks while staying active in dynamic markets. By strategically placing positions, traders aim to reduce exposure to adverse price movements without stepping away from potential opportunities. This article explores the fundamentals of hedging, its role in trading, and four hedging strategies examples across forex and CFDs.
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management strategy that involves taking positions designed to offset potential losses in an existing investment. This concept of hedging in finance is widely used to reduce market volatility’s impact while maintaining the potential opportunity for returns. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, traders manage it via hedging strategies, meaning they have protection against unexpected market movements.
So, what are hedges? Essentially, they are investments used as protective measures to balance exposure. For example, a trader holding a CFD (Contract for Difference) on a rising stock might open a position on a correlated asset that moves in the opposite direction. If the stock’s price falls, returns from the offsetting position can potentially reduce the overall impact of the loss.
Hedging is common in forex trading, where traders may take positions in currency pairs with historical correlations. For instance, a trader exposed to EUR/USD might hedge using USD/CAD, as these pairs often move inversely. Similarly, traders dealing with indices might diversify into different sectors or regions to spread risk.
Importantly, hedging involves costs, such as spreads or holding fees, which can reduce potential returns. It’s not a guaranteed method of avoiding losses but rather a calculated approach to navigating uncertainty.
Why Traders Use Hedging Strategies
Different types of hedging strategies may help traders manage volatility, protect portfolio value, or balance short- and long-term goals.
1. Managing Market Volatility
Markets are unpredictable, and sudden price swings can impact even well-thought-out positions. Hedging this risk may help reduce the impact of unexpected volatility, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as geopolitical events, economic announcements, or earnings reports. For instance, a forex trader might hedge against fluctuations in a currency pair by taking positions in negatively correlated pairs, aiming to soften the blow of adverse price movements.
2. Balancing Long- and Short-Term Goals
Hedging allows traders to pursue longer-term strategies without being overly exposed to short-term risks. For example, a trader with a bullish outlook on an asset may use a hedge to protect against temporary downturns. This balance enables traders to maintain their primary position while weathering market turbulence.
3. Protecting Portfolio Value
Hedging strategies may help investors safeguard their overall portfolio value during market corrections or bearish trends. By diversifying positions or using opposing trades, they can potentially reduce significant drawdowns. For instance, shorting an index CFD while holding long positions in individual stocks can help offset sector-wide losses.
4. Improving Decision-Making Flexibility
Hedging provides traders with the flexibility to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve. By mitigating downside risks, they can focus on refining their long-term approach without being forced into reactive decisions during volatile periods. This level of control can be vital for maintaining consistency in trading performance.
Common Hedging Strategies in Trading
While hedging doesn’t eliminate risks entirely, it can provide a layer of protection against adverse market movements. Some of the most commonly used strategies for hedging include:
1. Hedging with Correlated Instruments
One of the most straightforward hedging techniques involves trading assets that have a known historical correlation. Correlated instruments typically move in alignment, either positively or negatively, which traders can leverage to offset risk.
For example, a trader holding a long CFD position on the S&P 500 index might hedge by shorting the Nasdaq-100 index. These two indices are often positively correlated, meaning that if the S&P 500 declines, the Nasdaq-100 might follow suit. By holding an opposing position in a similar asset, losses in one position can potentially be offset by gains in the other.
This approach works across various asset classes, including forex. A well-planned forex hedging strategy can soften the blow of market volatility, particularly during economic events. Consider EUR/USD and USD/CAD: these pairs typically show a negative correlation due to the shared role of the US dollar. A trader might hedge a EUR/USD long position with a USD/CAD long position, reducing exposure to unexpected dollar strength or weakness.
However, correlation-based hedging requires regular monitoring. Correlations can change depending on market conditions, and a breakdown in historical patterns could result in both positions moving against the trader. Tools like correlation matrices can help traders analyse relationships between assets before using this strategy.
2. Hedging in the Same Instrument
Hedging within the same instrument involves taking opposing positions on a single asset to potentially manage risks without exiting the original trade. This hedging strategy is often used when traders suspect short-term price movements might work against their primary position but still believe in its long-term potential.
For example, imagine a trader holding a long CFD position in a major stock like Apple. The trader anticipates the stock price will rise over the long term but is concerned about an upcoming earnings report or market-wide sell-off that could lead to short-term losses. To hedge, the trader opens a short position in the same stock, locking in the current value of their trade. If the stock’s price falls, the short position may offset the losses in the long position, reducing overall exposure to the downside.
This is often done with a position size equivalent to or less than the original position, depending on risk tolerance and market outlook. A trader with high conviction in a short-term movement may use an equivalent position size, while a lower conviction could mean using just a partial hedge.
3. Sector or Market Hedging for Indices
When trading index CFDs, hedging can involve diversifying exposure across sectors or markets. This strategy helps reduce the impact of sector-specific risks while maintaining exposure to broader market trends.
For example, if a trader has a portfolio with exposure to technology stocks and expects short-term declines in the sector, they can open a short position in a technology-focused index like Nasdaq-100 to offset potential losses.
Another common approach is geographic diversification. Traders with exposure to European indices, such as the FTSE 100, might hedge with positions in US indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Regional differences in economic conditions can make this a practical strategy, as markets often react differently to global events.
When implementing sector or market hedging, traders should consider the weighting of individual stocks within an index and how they contribute to overall performance. This strategy is used by traders who have a clear understanding of the underlying drivers of the indices involved.
4. Stock Pair Trading
Pair trading is a more advanced hedging technique that involves identifying two related assets and taking opposing positions. This approach is often used in equities or indices where stocks within the same sector tend to move in correlation with each other.
For instance, a trader might identify two technology companies with similar fundamentals, one appearing undervalued and the other overvalued. The trader could go long on the undervalued stock while shorting the overvalued one. If the sector experiences a downturn, the losses in the long position may potentially be offset by gains in the short position.
Pair trading requires significant analysis, including fundamental and technical evaluations of the assets involved. While this strategy offers a built-in hedge, it can be risky if the chosen pair doesn’t perform as expected or if external factors disrupt the relationship between the assets.
Key Considerations When Hedging
What does it mean to hedge a stock or other asset? To fully understand the concept, it’s essential to recognise several factors:
- Costs: Hedging isn’t free. Spreads, commissions, and overnight holding fees can accumulate, reducing overall potential returns. Traders should calculate these costs to ensure the hedge is worth implementing.
- Market Conditions: Hedging strategies are not static. They require adaptation to changing market conditions, including shifts in volatility, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors.
- Correlation Risks: Correlations between assets are not always consistent. Unexpected changes in relationships driven by fundamental events can reduce the effectiveness of a hedge.
- Timing: The timing of both the initial position and the hedge is critical. Poor timing can lead to increased losses or missed potential opportunities.
The Bottom Line
Hedging strategies are popular among traders looking to manage risks while staying active in the markets. By balancing positions and leveraging tools like correlated instruments or partial hedges, traders aim to navigate volatility with greater confidence. However, hedging doesn’t exclude risks and requires analysis, planning, and regular evaluation.
If you're ready to explore hedging strategies in forex, stock, commodity, and index CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms, competitive spreads, and more than 700 instruments to use in hedging.
FAQ
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management approach where traders take offsetting positions to potentially reduce losses from adverse market movements. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, hedge trading aims to manage it, providing a form of mitigation while maintaining market exposure. For example, a trader with a long position on an asset might open a short position on a related asset to offset potential losses during market volatility.
What Are the Three Hedging Strategies?
The three common hedging strategies include: hedging with correlated instruments, where traders take opposing positions in assets with historical relationships; hedging in the same instrument, where a trader suspects a movement against the direction of their original position and opens a trade in the opposite direction; and sector or market hedging, where a trader uses indices or regional diversification to reduce exposure to specific market risks.
What Is Hedging in Stocks?
Hedging in stocks involves taking additional positions to offset risks associated with holding other stocks. This can include shorting related stocks, trading negatively correlated indices, or using market diversification to reduce exposure to sector-specific downturns.
How to Hedge Stocks?
To hedge stocks, traders typically use strategies like short-selling correlated equities, diversifying into other asset classes, or opening opposing positions in related indices. The aim is to limit downside while maintaining some exposure to potential market opportunities.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Wed 19th Mar 2025 GBP/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/JPY Market Analysis: Potential Reversal at Key Resistance LeThe EUR/JPY pair, on the 4-hour chart, exhibits a strong bullish impulse that recently peaked around 163.64 , aligning with a key Fibonacci extension level (1.618). This area marks a critical resistance zone, where price action has shown signs of rejection.
The Harmonic pattern, such as the b]Crab , suggest potential exhaustion of the uptrend. The latest leg upward reached a 2.618 extension , reinforcing the possibility of a corrective move. Support levels to monitor include ** 162.23 ** (BC) and ** 160.59 ** (T1), which could serve as downside targets if bearish momentum gains traction.
For traders, a decisive break above **163.64** could invalidate the short-term bearish bias, paving the way for further upside. Conversely, sustained rejection from this level may trigger a deeper retracement towards key Fibonacci and harmonic support zones.
Conclusion : The pair is at a critical inflection point, where price action and confirmation of rejection signals will determine the next directional move. Traders should watch for price action at resistance and key support levels to assess trade opportunities.
AUD/CHF: Consolidation Within a Defined RangeThe AUD/CHF pair continues to oscillate within a range between 0.56550 and 0.55000, recently reaching the upper boundary. Following a rebound from the support level, the price has developed an ABC move, which often precedes a pullback.
Currently, the market has approached the upper boundary of the channel and trendline, a level where price has previously faced rejection twice. Given the ongoing consolidation, there is a possibility of another rejection at resistance, potentially leading to a downward move while the sideways trend persists. The next key target is the support zone around 0.55835
Market Analysis: EUR/USD (1H Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently consolidating following a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. The price action indicates a corrective phase after a strong bullish impulsive move.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: **1.09322** (target zone)
- Support: **1.08622** (H1 demand zone)
- Current Price: **1.08854**
- Market Structure & Outlook :
- The price recently formed a **BoS**, signalling a possible bullish continuation.
- There is an **order block** within the highlighted demand zone, which could act as a strong support level.
- The grey risk-reward box suggests a long position setup, with a stop-loss below **1.08622** and a target near **1.09322**.
- Trading Consideration:
- If the price retests the **H1 demand zone** and shows bullish confirmation, a long position could be favourable.
- A break below **1.08622** could invalidate the bullish bias, shifting momentum to the downside.
Overall, the market is currently at a decision point, with bullish continuation likely if key support holds.
OIL BUY TARGET SUCCESSFUL READ IN CAPTIONSThe chart shows WTI Crude Oil (CFDs) on a 1-hour timeframe, displaying an upward trend in a well-defined channel. Here are key observations:
1. Resistance: The price is currently testing the upper resistance zone around 67.80, with a series of pullbacks indicating a potential reversal. This resistance level has been tested multiple times, and a rejection here could lead to a further downward movement.
2. Support Level: The support level is clearly marked at 66.50, and the price has bounced multiple times from this zone. It acts as a key level to monitor for price reversals.
3. Order Block: An order block is formed around 67.20, suggesting that there is significant buying activity at this level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate further weakness.
4. Target: The target is set at 67.64, just below the current price action. If the price breaks below the order block at 67.20, we could expect a pullback toward this target.
5. Potential Downward Move: The price has formed a lower high around 67.50, which suggests the possibility of a bearish reversal. If the price fails to break the resistance at 67.80 and fails to hold above 67.20, it may move toward the target at 67.64.