The gold market increased slightly compared to the first day of While the current rally became pushed with the aid of using bodily factors, strategists say cash flows will gas the following rally. They notice that this modification is beginning to appear, predicting that gold fees may want to attain 2,650 USD/ounce with the aid of using the fourth region of 2024.
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The XAU fee fell to its lowest in extra than every week nowadays as investors watch for extra US financial records and feedback from US Federal Reserve (FED) officers this week for similarly action. extra readability at the timeline for hobby fee cuts.
Markets see a extra than 90% danger the Fed will reduce hobby fees in September, down from a preceding forecast of 98%.
Senior marketplace analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich stated that the simultaneous decline withinside the gold and US inventory markets lately isn't always a very good omen for this valuable metal.
Forextrading
XAUUSD : Gold returns to create upward momentumWorld gold prices tend to recover after falling in the previous session, losing the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce right after Joe Biden announced he would not run for the next US presidential election.
Previously, analysts predicted that after a sharp decline from a peak of 2,482 USD/ounce, gold could witness another sharp decline at any time, when the overbought volume is dominating, especially in if it falls below the psychological mark of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Gold can only stabilize or reverse the situation, when upcoming economic data will benefit this precious metal. In particular, the US June CPI - announced this weekend is expected to continue to decrease, which supports gold prices.
Pay attention to the core personal consumption expenditure indexThe latest Kitco News survey shows that Wall Street analysts expressed cautious views on gold prices this week.
Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, believes that gold prices will move sideways in the short term. However, information related to the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starting a cycle of interest rate cuts can cause gold to increase.
Currently, investors are paying attention to the upcoming core personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). This is the index used as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.
According to CME's FedWatch tool, more than 90% of the market thinks the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to happen later this summer.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said that gold prices will continue to decline. According to this expert, through the weekly price chart, gold is still in a downtrend in the medium term. Last week, gold prices fell, ending a streak of 3 consecutive weeks of increases, which is completely consistent with the usual technical pattern.
XAUUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GOLD ? The price is moving in an ascending channel, which has now reached the bottom of the channel and the support zone. It is expected that the price will resume its upward movement from this zone.
Also, geopolitical events can cause gold to open with a positive chat
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World gold recovered slightly and is fluctuating around 2406World gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week.
While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations.
Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
Short term trading strategy for todayXAUUSD charge dropped sharply on the quit of remaining week, however that is the adjustment length of the H1 and H4 frames, long-time period gold remains in an uptrend.
Price regions to be aware of subsequent week are
the resistance place 2408 - 2410 and the help place 2356 - 2360.
XAUUSD : Gold is recovering after a sharp declineWorld gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week.
While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations.
Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
GBPNZD: Bullish Trend Continuation 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD leaves clear bullish clues after quite an extended
correctional movement within a symmetrical triangle formation.
A breakout of its resistance line indicates a highly probable bullish
trend continuation.
The price may reach 2.152 level soon
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Gold prices decreased for two consecutive sessionsGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields.
Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers.
The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly.
Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
XAUUSD : Will falling gold create strong momentum in the future?XAU/USD has fallen for two consecutive sessions since hitting a new peak at $2,483, suggesting traders are taking profits after gaining more than 8.0% in the past three weeks.
In the medium term, the general trend is still up, but the RSI indicator on the daily chart is turning down, showing that investors are somewhat cautious as the gold price gets closer to the 2,500 USD mark. In the short term, XAU/USD may continue to fall deeply if it does not quickly regain the $2,450 mark.
If selling pressure remains overwhelming, gold prices may move towards the July 5 high at $2,392 after breaking through the $2,400 mark and then the $2,350 mark. On the contrary, if XAU/USD successfully surpasses 2,490 USD, conquering the 2,500 USD mark is completely feasible.
Gold is falling after creating a record for itselfGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields.
Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers.
The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly.
Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
In the context of extremely increased expectations of interest rate cuts in September, gold prices reached a new all-time high of 2,483 USD, but demand could not maintain the upward momentum as a part of investors moved forward. take profit. This, along with former US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing at least 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, has boosted the flow of money back to the USD.
The DXY index, which tracks the greenback's performance against six other major currencies, rose 0.43% to 104.18. Besides, US government bond yields also increased on many terms. Typically, the 10-year term reached 4.187%, an increase of more than 2.5 bps.
Gold retreated from the peakGold prices have dropped more than 1.5% from the peak of 2,483 USD/ounce. US unemployment claims exceeded forecasts, showing the economy is slowing and strengthening the case for interest rate cuts. DXY index increased 0.43% to 104.18; 10-year US government bond yield increased 2.5 bps to 4,187%.
In the context of extremely increased expectations of interest rate cuts in September, gold prices reached a new all-time high of 2,483 USD, but demand could not maintain the upward momentum as a part of investors moved forward. take profit. This, along with former US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing at least 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, has boosted the flow of money back to the USD.
CADJPY 15-Minute ChartThe red highlighted area at the top indicates a resistance zone where the price has repeatedly failed to break higher.
This suggests strong selling pressure at this level.
The recent price action shows a potential bearish trend.
Given the repeated failure to break above the resistance zone and the projected downward movement, market sentiment appears bearish for CADJPY in the short term.
Consider entering a short position around the current price level or upon confirmation of a downward move from the resistance zone.
Targets would be the support levels at 114.708 and 114.098.
Ensure proper risk management by sizing the position appropriately and setting stop losses.
Gold is looking for new peaks for itselfIn his latest speech, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell once again expressed a dovish stance, but it could go in either direction. As has been pointed out many times, gold appears to be very sensitive, with just the slightest impact being able to push gold prices to new record highs in any given week.
Robert Minter, Chief Strategy Officer of abrdn, said that inflation is only half the reason for this price increase, the other half is the weakness of the economy.
"There is a basis to cut interest rates in September. If you look at the current high level of consumer debt, even a little pressure on the labor market can cause serious problems for the economy. I don't think we're going to see a recession, but it all depends on the Fed. They're a little late, but it's not too late to do something."
Despite supposedly positive economic data, economic optimism seems increasingly foolish. We supposedly avoided a Volcker recession, but have we really? Or is the media downplaying how bad the real situation is? Could a devastating recession begin after the Fed starts lowering interest rates?
That's often what happens, as Ryan McMaken warns us - the reason "soft landings" are so elusive is simply because they're impossible,
"But there are two problems with the "soft landing" story: The first is that the Fed has never done this in the past 45 years. Normally, the Fed denies a recession until it happens. Then, the Fed reduces Interest rates on unemployment have begun to rise."
The market has high expectations that the Fed will reduce interest rates. The CME FedWatch tool shows an over 90% probability of this happening. According to expert Carsten Fritsch, the market is predicting that the Fed will reduce interest rates in September and may reduce it again before the end of the year.
Based on these, Fritsch thinks gold has all the elements to test and could surpass record highs this week. And all of this is still in the short term.
As we approach the end of the year, gold will exit its weakest quarter and enter the election cycle, a period that is expected to be turbulent even by the standards of the past twenty years.
The dynamics driving gold prices are changing, and investors should stay one step ahead.
In the latest report, Incrementum AG's Ronald Stoeferle notes that gold investors should pay attention to the changes driving the gold market. (This is not to say that the old factors are disappearing. Inflation and currency depreciation will still ensure gold's appeal, and any discussion of safe investments must include Yellow.)
XAUUSD : Gold is at its historic peakWorld gold prices continue to climb and are at a historic peak due to the further weakening of the USD.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is betting on a 100% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 18.
Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that recently released data "increases confidence" that inflation is falling sustainably toward the Fed's target level.
Many Fed policymakers also said they are increasingly optimistic that price inflation is on track and falling toward the 2% target mark.