XAU continues to increase in the coming timeGold Just Overtakes EUR to Become World's Second-Largest Reserve Asset
Fed Prepares to Cut Rates. Meanwhile, gold has risen to become the world's second-largest reserve asset, surpassing EUR, thanks to strong demand from central banks.
Investors Surprised by Dovish Speech at Jackson Hole. Stocks reacted positively to Powell's speech, hitting near record highs. However, traders were still surprised by Powell's speech, which went beyond what they expected. The Fed is likely to cut rates by 25 bps in September, and could even cut by 50 bps, depending on how the August jobs report goes.
More importantly, the transition from fiscal stimulus to monetary stimulus has sent bond yields plunging, down 80 bps since Hartnett started recommending bond buying in May.
Forextrading
EURUSD: Huge Demand Zone Ahead!🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD is currently retracing to a recently broken major daily demand zone.
I believe that the pair will have a nice potential to start growing from that
and reach 1.124 level - the next significant resistance.
Let the market complete the correction and look for buying then.
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GBPUSD / TRADING ABOVE TURNING LEVEL - 4HGBPUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level at 1.292 .
Turning Level: The price is currently trading above this level around 1.292. As long as it remains stable and stays above this level, a rising toward the resistance level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks under this level and a 4-hour candle closes below it, an downward move toward the support level (1) can be expected.
support Level (1) : around 1.283 , The price is currently above turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle below the turning level at 1.292. If the price reaches 1.283 , and stabilizes below it, it will likely attempt to reach support level (2)
support Level (2): When the price breaks through support Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 1.275 . To confirm an downward , the price needs to reach this level before moving on to support Level (3) at 1.266 .
Resistance Level (1): As long as the price remains above the turning level of 1.292 , it suggests a rising towards 1.303 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance Level (2).
Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through resistance level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 1.310 . To confirm an uptrend , the price needs to reach this level before climb on to resistance Level (3) at 1.316 .
Channel Trend: the prices trading inside the channel .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.303 , 1.310 , 1.316 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.283 ,1.275 , 1.266 .
USDJPY ( INSIDE ACCUMULATION ZONE ) - 4H USDJPY - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under upward pressure , until trading above turning level at 145.490 .
Upward Condition : The price is currently experiencing bullish momentum. As long as it remains above the 145.490 turning level , it is likely to move upward toward the resistance levels of 147.677 and then 150.861.
Downward Condition : To reach the 144.073 support level (1) , the price needs to first break the turning level by closing a 4-hour candle below 145.490. If it stabilizes below support level (1) , a further decline toward the support level (2) at 142.268 can be anticipated .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 147.677 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 150.861 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 144.073 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 142.268 .
TURNING LEVEL : 145.490 .
USDCAD / BREAKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4H USDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 1.360 .
Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 1.360 , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 1.354. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 1.350 .
Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 1.360, leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 1.369 . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 1.376 .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 1.369 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 1.376 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 1.354 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 1.350 .
TURNING LEVEL : 1.360 .
AUDUSD: Pullback From Resistance 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD may keep retracing from a key daily structure resistance.
The price formed a cup & handle formation on that on an hourly time frame
after the market opening.
Its neckline was broken during the Asian session.
The pair may reach 0.6263 support soon.
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GOLD / INSIDE SENSITIVE AREA - 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under upward pressure , until trading above turning level at 2,507$
Upward Condition : The price is currently showing bullish momentum. As long as it stays above the turning level of 2,507$ , it is likely to move upward toward the resistance levels (1) at 2,532$ and then resistance level (2) at 2,555$.
Downward Condition : To reach the 2,475$ support level (1) , the price needs to first break the turning level by closing a 4-hour candle below 2,507$ . If it stabilizes below support level (1) , a further decline toward the support level (2) at 2,459$ can be anticipated .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 2,532$ .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 2,555$ .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 2,475$ .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 2,459$ .
TURNING LEVEL : 2,507$ .
XAU will continue to increase in the coming timesaid the gold market is focused on the Fed's interest rate cut. Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased by more than 20%, as investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
"Gold prices are still rising despite high interest rates. Data shows that gold prices have been stable for a long time even before the Fed did not cut interest rates
When interest rates decrease, gold tends to increase. Investors see this as a tool to hedge against inflation.
The strong gold market is also thanks to central banks actively buying to reduce dependence on the USD. This positively supports gold prices to reach new peaks.
New week starting gold down and next gold 2490 strong bullish XAUUSD support 2490 and target 2550
Strong bullish opportunity very to much higher
several making new recovery highs late in the week As reported in three special stock market update reports this past weeks the strong 2 week rally following the
GBPUSD first selling target and next all bullish target let's seGBPUSD s rally accelerated higher last week and the break of resistance confirms larger up trend resumption Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 100% projection of On the downside below minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations before staging another really
Weekly analysis btcusd fall soon opportunity to movement sellBtcusd very easy falling
There are other more fundamental similarities Both gold and Bitcoin can be used as a transactional currency as well as a store of value Neither are controlled by governments and central banks This being the case both gold and Bitcoin come with significantly less counterparty risk than many other asset classes Both assets also have a naturally limited supply
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we gave the resistance levels above and said if they held, we would see an opportunity to attack the support levels of 2470-75. It’s that support level we wanted to the long trades up into the 2520 and above that 2530 levels for the week. We gave KOG’s bias of the week and bullish above with target levels 2510 (complete), 2525 (complete) and 2540 which hasn’t been achieved as yet.
We completed numerous gold targets, the red box strategy gave us some extremely decent entries and exits for the scalps and once again, we managed to trade this following it’s path.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
We’ve had a nice close which hasn’t quite confirmed a further move upside as yet, so we’ll play the bank holiday with caution. We would like to see how price reacts at the 2520-22 region, and if rejected, there is potential there for this to correct back down into the 2500-5 price region. It’s this support level that is important, if held, we see an opportunity to then long back up towards the 2530-35 region as the first target.
It's those higher levels, 2530-35 and above that 2540 that we want to keep an eye on. If we see any sign of a structure change there, we'll want to short this again.
For this week we want to play a little defence on the markets, as it’s a bank holiday week and the last week of the trading month. The weekly and monthly close are really important to determine future price on this precious metal, so please, if you’ve followed us, you should have had a decent month, take a little step back this week and monitor price. We’ll be looking at key and extreme levels expecting the repercussions of Jackson Hole on Tuesday onwards.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 2490 with targets above 2420 and above that 2430-35
Bearish on break of 2490 with targets below 2465
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAGUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 29.65 .
Downward Condition : With the price holding steady at the current turning level at 29.65 , it is likely to decline towards the support level of 28.85. If it stabilizes below this level, it could then reach the next target level of 28.11 .
Upward Condition : for an upward , a potential is expected if the price breaks the turning level at 29.65 , leading to a rise toward the resistance level (1) at 30.48 . For a sustained increase, the price must breaking the resistance level (1) to reach the next resistance at 31.28 .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 30.48 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 31.28 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 28.85 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 28.11 .
TURNING LEVEL : 29.65 .
TSLA / DECLINE BEFORE RISING - 4HTSLA / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under upward pressure , until trading above turning level at 195.12
Upward Condition : The price is currently showing bullish momentum. As long as it stays above the turning level of 195.12 , it is likely to move upward toward the resistance levels at 227.92 and then 253.52 .
Downward Condition : To reach the 168.36 support level (1) , the price needs to first break the turning level by closing a 4-hour candle below 195.12 . If it stabilizes below support level (1) , a further decline toward the support level (2) at 141.32can be anticipated .
TARGET UPWARD ZONE :
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : 227.92 .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : 253.52 .
TARGET DOWNWARD ZONE :
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : 168.36 .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : 141.32 .
TURNING LEVEL : 195.12 .
Btcusd fall big fall soon let's see soon I have to down btcusd Btcusd of Bitcoin will come to down let's see Tha Bitcoin where is going on indicate positive trends. A smaller period of consolidation forms the handle after the price first declines and then gradually recovers to form a cup shape. The price usually experiences a significant upward movement after breaking out above the resistance level at the top of the handle
NZD/USD Approaches Resistance: Are Shorts the Next Move?The NZD/USD pair has reached a key supply area around 0.6168, which coincides with a significant resistance zone on the daily timeframe. This area has attracted attention due to the confluence of several technical and fundamental factors.
According to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders are increasingly taking long positions in the pair, while fund managers are moving in the opposite direction, positioning themselves short. Additionally, commercial traders, who typically represent larger institutional players, are beginning to reduce their long positions, suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
This shift aligns with broader market indicators, including seasonality patterns and oscillator readings, which both support the case for a potential short setup. The seasonality analysis indicates a period of historical weakness for the NZD/USD pair, while oscillators suggest that the recent upward momentum may be losing steam.
Given these factors, the supply area around 0.6168 presents a compelling opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on a potential downward move. The combination of technical resistance, COT positioning, and seasonal trends all point towards a possible short setup in the near term. As always, traders should monitor these levels closely and consider risk management strategies to navigate the evolving market conditions.
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AUDUSD ( TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )AUDUSD
HELLO TRADERS
If the price trades below the turning level, it indicates downward pressure towards the first support zone. However, if the turning level is broken and the price stabilizes above the channel, the upward movement will likely become active, targeting the first resistance level.
Tendency , the price is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level around 0.667 .
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.101 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 0.675 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 0.679 and 0.685 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 0.659 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 0.651 and 0.643
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 0.667 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.675 ,0.679 , 0.685 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.659 , 0.651 , 0.643 .
EURUSD / BREKOUT ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4H
EURUSD
Tendency , the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level at 1.101 .
Turning Level: The price is currently trading above this level around 1.101. As long as it remains stable and stays above this level, a rising toward the resistance level (1) is likely . However, if the price breaks under this level and a 4-hour candle closes below it, an downward move toward the support level (1) can be expected.
support Level (1) : around 1.095 , The price is currently above turning level . To reach this level, the price needs to break and close a four-hour candle below the turning level at 1.101. If the price reaches 1.095 , and stabilizes below it, it will likely attempt to reach support level (2)
support Level (2): When the price breaks through support Level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this suggests it could reach around 1.088 . To confirm an downward , the price needs to reach this level before moving on to support Level (3) at 1.078 .
Resistance Level (1): As long as the price remains above the turning level of 1.101 , it suggests a rising towards 1.108 . If the price reaches this level and stabilizing above it, it will likely attempt to reach resistance Level (2).
Resistance Level (2): When the price breaks through resistance level (1) and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this suggests it could reach around 1.113 . To confirm an uptrend , the price needs to reach this level before climb on to resistance Level (3) at 1.116 .
Channel Trend: breakout ascending channel .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.108 , 1.113 , 1.116 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.095 ,1.084 , 1.78 .
EUR/USD Soars to 2024 Highs as Fed Rate Cut Speculation GrowsThe EUR/USD pair extended its rally for the fourth consecutive day, reaching new 2024 highs around 1.1170. This surge has been fueled by continued weakness in the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure as market sentiment shifts.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the USD’s strength against a basket of major currencies, fell below the critical 101.00 level for the first time since December 2023. This decline was exacerbated by the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, which hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair bypassed its first supply area without a significant rebound and is now approaching the second supply zone, a key area where a potential sell reversal is being closely monitored. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting divergence: retail traders remain bullish on the pair, while commercial traders and large funds appear to be positioning themselves for a move in the opposite direction.
The likelihood of a rate cut has been a focal point for traders. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool currently shows nearly a 60% chance of a 25 basis point reduction at the Fed's September 18 meeting, a slight decrease from around 70% the previous day. Despite the FOMC Minutes supporting the possibility of lower rates as early as next month, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman urged caution, suggesting that rate reductions should be gradual if inflation aligns with the Fed’s 2% target. Her comments indicate a desire to avoid an overly restrictive monetary policy that could stifle economic growth.
Should the Fed opt for more substantial rate cuts, the policy gap between the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) could narrow in the medium to long term. This convergence may further support the EUR/USD pair, particularly as market participants expect the ECB to implement two additional rate cuts this year. Such a scenario could provide additional upward momentum for the EUR/USD, pushing it even higher in the coming months.
XAU price forecast to continue risingkeep an eye on the Fed's next moves
The initial jobless claims report and S&P Global PMI data will provide further signals on the health of the US economy.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 17 are expected to rise to 230K, up slightly from 227K last week. Services activity is expected to contract slightly, while the manufacturing PMI is expected to be flat.
The first resistance level for XAU/USD to conquer is the $2,550 area, followed by the $2,600 mark.
However, if gold fails to hold above $2,500, key support levels will be at $2,483 (July 17 high), followed by $2,450 (May 20 high). In a stronger bearish scenario, deeper support could be the 50-day simple moving average at $2,395.
XAU continues to rise and hit a recordGold resumed its losses today and hovered near an all-time high after minutes from the US Federal Reserve's latest meeting showed officials were strongly inclined to cut interest rates at their September policy meeting. "Gold has the potential to move higher but not accelerate sharply without any unexpected events to spur it," Tai Wong added. "Gold prices closed higher after minutes from the Fed meeting showed 'majority' of the committee is ready to cut interest rates in September"