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XAUUSD : Gold is recovering after a sharp declineWorld gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week. While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations. Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold prices decreased for two consecutive sessionsGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields. Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers. The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly. Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
XAUUSD : Will falling gold create strong momentum in the future?XAU/USD has fallen for two consecutive sessions since hitting a new peak at $2,483, suggesting traders are taking profits after gaining more than 8.0% in the past three weeks. In the medium term, the general trend is still up, but the RSI indicator on the daily chart is turning down, showing that investors are somewhat cautious as the gold price gets closer to the 2,500 USD mark. In the short term, XAU/USD may continue to fall deeply if it does not quickly regain the $2,450 mark. If selling pressure remains overwhelming, gold prices may move towards the July 5 high at $2,392 after breaking through the $2,400 mark and then the $2,350 mark. On the contrary, if XAU/USD successfully surpasses 2,490 USD, conquering the 2,500 USD mark is completely feasible.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold is falling after creating a record for itselfGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields. Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers. The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly. Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024. In the context of extremely increased expectations of interest rate cuts in September, gold prices reached a new all-time high of 2,483 USD, but demand could not maintain the upward momentum as a part of investors moved forward. take profit. This, along with former US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing at least 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, has boosted the flow of money back to the USD. The DXY index, which tracks the greenback's performance against six other major currencies, rose 0.43% to 104.18. Besides, US government bond yields also increased on many terms. Typically, the 10-year term reached 4.187%, an increase of more than 2.5 bps.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold retreated from the peakGold prices have dropped more than 1.5% from the peak of 2,483 USD/ounce. US unemployment claims exceeded forecasts, showing the economy is slowing and strengthening the case for interest rate cuts. DXY index increased 0.43% to 104.18; 10-year US government bond yield increased 2.5 bps to 4,187%. In the context of extremely increased expectations of interest rate cuts in September, gold prices reached a new all-time high of 2,483 USD, but demand could not maintain the upward momentum as a part of investors moved forward. take profit. This, along with former US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing at least 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, has boosted the flow of money back to the USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
CADJPY 15-Minute ChartThe red highlighted area at the top indicates a resistance zone where the price has repeatedly failed to break higher. This suggests strong selling pressure at this level. The recent price action shows a potential bearish trend. Given the repeated failure to break above the resistance zone and the projected downward movement, market sentiment appears bearish for CADJPY in the short term. Consider entering a short position around the current price level or upon confirmation of a downward move from the resistance zone. Targets would be the support levels at 114.708 and 114.098. Ensure proper risk management by sizing the position appropriately and setting stop losses.
Short
by TopGBanks
Gold is looking for new peaks for itselfIn his latest speech, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell once again expressed a dovish stance, but it could go in either direction. As has been pointed out many times, gold appears to be very sensitive, with just the slightest impact being able to push gold prices to new record highs in any given week. Robert Minter, Chief Strategy Officer of abrdn, said that inflation is only half the reason for this price increase, the other half is the weakness of the economy. "There is a basis to cut interest rates in September. If you look at the current high level of consumer debt, even a little pressure on the labor market can cause serious problems for the economy. I don't think we're going to see a recession, but it all depends on the Fed. They're a little late, but it's not too late to do something." Despite supposedly positive economic data, economic optimism seems increasingly foolish. We supposedly avoided a Volcker recession, but have we really? Or is the media downplaying how bad the real situation is? Could a devastating recession begin after the Fed starts lowering interest rates? That's often what happens, as Ryan McMaken warns us - the reason "soft landings" are so elusive is simply because they're impossible, "But there are two problems with the "soft landing" story: The first is that the Fed has never done this in the past 45 years. Normally, the Fed denies a recession until it happens. Then, the Fed reduces Interest rates on unemployment have begun to rise." The market has high expectations that the Fed will reduce interest rates. The CME FedWatch tool shows an over 90% probability of this happening. According to expert Carsten Fritsch, the market is predicting that the Fed will reduce interest rates in September and may reduce it again before the end of the year. Based on these, Fritsch thinks gold has all the elements to test and could surpass record highs this week. And all of this is still in the short term. As we approach the end of the year, gold will exit its weakest quarter and enter the election cycle, a period that is expected to be turbulent even by the standards of the past twenty years. The dynamics driving gold prices are changing, and investors should stay one step ahead. In the latest report, Incrementum AG's Ronald Stoeferle notes that gold investors should pay attention to the changes driving the gold market. (This is not to say that the old factors are disappearing. Inflation and currency depreciation will still ensure gold's appeal, and any discussion of safe investments must include Yellow.)
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is at its historic peakWorld gold prices continue to climb and are at a historic peak due to the further weakening of the USD. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is betting on a 100% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 18. Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that recently released data "increases confidence" that inflation is falling sustainably toward the Fed's target level. Many Fed policymakers also said they are increasingly optimistic that price inflation is on track and falling toward the 2% target mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GBP/CHF Long and USD/CAD ShortGBP/CHF Long Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of interest. • If 3 touch 5 min continuation or 2 touch 5 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If 3 touch 15 min continuation or 2 touch 15 min continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
AUD/USD on a 15-minute timeframeThe blue highlighted area around the 0.67253-0.67288 level represents a strong support zone. The price has tested this area multiple times and shown a tendency to bounce back from it. The current price is around 0.67288-0.67276, which is near the support zone. The resistance level is marked around 0.67547, indicating a potential target for the bullish move. The projection indicates a potential bullish move from the support zone up to the resistance level around 0.67547. This suggests an expectation of a price increase after possibly forming a base around the support. Consider entering a long position around the current price level (0.67288) or slightly lower, closer to the support zone (0.67253). Ensure proper risk management by setting stop losses and monitoring key levels for any invalidation of the bullish scenario.
Long
by TopGBanks
1
XAU is in a period of sky-high pricesDirector of Investment Strategy at abrdn, said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress last week appeared to be the turning point that the market has been waiting for for a long time. During a two-day hearing on Capitol Hill, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress that risks to the economy now hang in the balance. "Rising inflation is not the only risk we face," Mr. Powell emphasized in prepared remarks. Immediately after these comments, gold prices held the $2,400 support level and even surpassed the peak of the two-month accumulation period. The August gold futures contract set a new record at a price of 2,470.20 USD/oz. This breakthrough took place in the context that the market was almost completely confident that the Fed would reduce interest rates in September.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrategySherpa
The Fed shifted its focus away from inflationThere are many other credit products on the market that now have higher interest rates than before. All of this shows that the strength of the economy is declining. Even a little stress in the labor market can cause serious problems. The Fed still has a chance to avoid a recession, which is why gold has so much potential. There are a lot of risks and the Fed is running a little late, but they're not irreparable," he said. "This is why a rate cut in September is almost certain. Because the Fed is lagging behind, they will have to take stronger and quicker measures to keep up with the situation Looking at the last three interest rate cycles, gold rose 57% in 2000, but silver rose 65%. Similarly, in 2006, gold increased by 235% while silver increased by 318%. And most recently, at the end of 2018, gold increased by 69% while silver increased by 101%. Silver is more volatile than gold
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
GOLD : Gold is increasing fearfullyIn an interview with Kitco News, Robert Minter, Chief Investment Strategist at abrdn, said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress last week appears to be the turning point the market has been waiting for. long time ago. During a two-day hearing on Capitol Hill, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress that risks to the economy now hang in the balance. "Rising inflation is not the only risk we face," Mr. Powell emphasized in prepared remarks. Immediately after these comments, gold prices held the $2,400 support level and even surpassed the peak of the two-month accumulation period. The August gold futures contract set a new record at a price of 2,470.20 USD/oz. This breakthrough took place in the context that the market was almost completely confident that the Fed would reduce interest rates in September. Mr. Robert Minter, Director of Investment Strategy at abrdn, said he was not surprised by Powell and the Fed shifting their focus away from inflation. He noted that rising consumer debt in a high interest rate environment could pose significant risks to the economy.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold