"GBPUSD Ready for the Kill After Premium Zone Reaction!"⚡ GBPUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📈 What's Happening:
GBPUSD just tapped deep into the Premium Zone while simultaneously reacting off a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Signs of bearish rejection are stacking up — Smart Money might be preparing for the kill shot! 🎯
🚨 Key Levels Highlighted:
Strong High = Major invalidation (~1.34317).
Premium Zone = Where sellers ideally step in.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Where price imbalance triggered a reaction.
Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~1.32036).
🧠 Key Observations:
Price filled the FVG and immediately showed a reaction = sign of Smart Money stepping in.
Strong High untouched = still valid for bearish play.
Weak Low + Sell Side Liquidity = magnets below.
🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN:
Plan A — Short Setup (Primary Bias):
✅ Look for bearish confirmation via M15 or M5 structure shift.
✅ Ideal entry around Premium/FVG zone.
✅ TP1 = Minor structure lows around 1.33000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~1.32036).
✅ SL = Above Strong High (~1.34317).
Plan B — Invalidated if:
✅ Strong High is broken impulsively = setup failed. No chasing!
📊 Risk Management Tip:
"Fair Value Gap reactions inside Premium = sniper-level setups. Focus on confirmations, not assumptions."
🧘♂️ Summary:
✅ Premium Tap ✅ FVG Fill ✅ Bearish Reaction ✅ Weak Low Target
Patience = Power.
This could be the sniper setup you've been waiting for! 🔥
➡️ Save this playbook.
➡️ Comment "SNIPE THE GAP" if you're setting the trap! 🎯
Forextrading
USDJPY: Smart Money Reloads at Demand ZoneThis pair is showing some next-level institutional behavior right now, and the play is looking ripe for a long position — here's why:
📉 Previous Sell-Off = Liquidity Engineering
USDJPY had a strong downward leg creating a perfect internal liquidity pool, then took out that internal high (marked by triple liquidity tags 💵💵💵) just above a descending channel. That was your classic fakeout / inducement trap.
🎯 Price Tapped Into a Fresh Bullish Order Block
Price dipped deep into a refined OB (purple zone) aligned with the lower channel and then wicked hard out of it. That move created a bullish rejection wick, confirming buyer interest from smart money.
You can see price forming a micro HL structure at the edge of the demand zone — premium setup for continuation.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB sits right around the mid-channel EQ
✅ Demand zone is built on top of a strong low (142.680 area)
✅ Strong risk-to-reward setup aiming for weak high and buy-side liquidity
✅ Rejection aligns with a bullish change of character (ChoCh) from lower timeframes
💥 Targets:
🔹 TP1 - Weak High at 144.400
🔹 TP2 - Buy Side Liquidity sweep at 145.514
🔹 Extended Target - Ride it to channel top / HTF imbalance fill above 146.000
📈 Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: Anywhere in the OB range from 143.554 to 143.189
Stop Loss: Below 143.000 or the strong low
Risk-Reward: Easily 1:5+ if targeting full range move
🚨 Why It Matters:
This chart screams smart money accumulation at the bottom of a channel. Retail traders might still be shorting the retracement — but smart money is loading longs while price consolidates at demand.
If price clears the weak high, it could ignite a bullish rally into the upper supply zones where liquidity lies.
💬 Comment "UJ MOVE" if you're entering this sniper long!
🔁 Repost this if you’re tracking it with your team!
Gold (XAUUSD) Primed to ExplodeGold is looking ultra-reactive right now and ready to pop. This is textbook SMC with a clean roadmap.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Price action shows a series of equal highs + trendline liquidity sweeps, followed by a deep sell-off into a premium demand zone. What makes this setup powerful is how it:
Swept internal liquidity below structure
Tapped a strong low while entering a discount OB zone
Respected FVG (Fair Value Gap) sitting right in the golden zone (61.8–70.5%)
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ Triple inducement zones (yellow circles = retail trap triggers)
✅ Perfect bounce off the strong low (3,298.783)
✅ Price projected to react off FVG and then target the weak high + buy-side liquidity
✅ Target aligned with a -27% Fibonacci extension, i.e., 3,369.600
📈 Price Roadmap:
Current PA pushing up to break the Weak High
Slight retrace or reaction from the Fair Value Gap
Continuation bullish leg towards Buy-Side Liquidity: 3,345.470
Final extended TP at 3,369.600
🎯 Trade Plan (Long Idea):
Entry: Upon retrace into FVG (ideally between 3,314.560 – 3,312.046)
Stop Loss: Below the strong low (~3,298.783)
TP1: Weak High → 3,330s
TP2: Buy-side liquidity sweep → 3,345.470
TP3: Fib extension at → 3,369.600
RRR: Solid 1:4+ potential
🧠 Institutional Insight:
Smart Money is using retail trendline breakouts and fake resistance levels to stack orders before the real move. This play is all about accumulation + imbalance correction + liquidity run.
💬 If you’re watching Gold, drop a 🔐 or “XAU MOVE” in the comments!
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD completed a consolidation within a horizontal range.
A violation of its support and a daily candle close below that
is a strong bearish signal.
I believe that the price may drop lower next week
and reach at least 1.3655 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD: 1D Death Cross signals more selling.USDCAD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.307, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 41.498) as it is having one of the strongest red 1D candles of 2025, which is dominated by a Channel Down pattern. The market formed today a 1D Death Cross and since the new bearish wave started on a 1D MA200 rejection, we expect the selling to continue despite the oversold technical condition. Short and aim for a new -3.80% decline TP = 1.35000.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Market next target 1. Mislabeling of Support Area
The red box is labeled as a support area, but price is approaching from below, not above—so technically, this should be called a resistance area.
Until price closes above it with volume, it cannot be assumed to act as support.
---
2. Volume Misinterpretation
The volume does not strongly support a breakout. The latest green bars are not significantly larger than prior volume, implying limited bullish conviction.
Lack of volume surge through resistance is often a false breakout indicator.
---
3. Single Scenario Bias
The analysis shows only an upside (bullish) projection, ignoring bearish possibilities.
If price gets rejected from resistance, there’s a strong chance of a pullback to $33.00 or lower, especially with weak momentum.
---
4. No Confirmation Indicators
The chart lacks confirming technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or trendlines to validate the bullish scenario.
Price could be forming a lower high, indicating a possible continuation of the downtrend.
Market next target
1. Misinterpretation of Support Area
Claimed support area has already been broken previously (left of the red box), so it's no longer strong support—it might be better viewed as resistance now.
The bounce from this zone could be a liquidity trap or a fakeout, rather than genuine buying interest.
---
2. Overreliance on a Single Target Zone
The chart implies a clear target zone below, but no Fibonacci, moving average, or volume profile is shown to validate this zone.
A better analysis might include additional tools (like RSI, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci levels) to confirm this as a realistic target.
---
3. Volume Analysis Oversight
There is a volume spike on the most recent bullish candles, which could indicate strong buying interest, contradicting the downtrend expectation.
This might suggest a potential breakout above resistance instead of a fall.
---
4. No Risk Management Consideration
The chart lacks stop-loss levels or invalidation points, which is crucial for trading strategies.
Without a clear invalidation, the trade idea becomes more speculative.
---
5. Alternative Scenario Missing
A bullish breakout scenario (above resistance zone) isn’t given enough weight.
Given the recent strength, there is a strong case for continuation upward if the price closes above the red box with volume.
USDJPY Trade Setup – H1 Chart📉The pair continues to respect its descending channel, recently rejecting the upper trendline and testing the Adaptive Moving Average (AMA).
📊 Additionally, the Chaikin Oscillator has dipped below zero, signaling weakening buying pressure.
#TradeIdea
🔽 Sell USDJPY on confirmed consolidation below 143.200
🎯 TP1: 142.400
🎯 TP2: 142.000
GBPUSD: The Next Historic Resistances 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD keeps rising.
Here are the next historic resistance that the price
may head towards.
Resistance 1: 1.359 - 1.365 area
Resistance 2: 1.375 - 1.383 area
Resistance 3: 1.390 - 1.400 area
Resistance 4: 1.419 - 1.425 area
Resistance 1 is most likely going to be the next goal for the bulls for now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market target 1. Support Area Assumption
Disruption: The highlighted support area is relatively narrow and based on a few candles. On a 1-hour chart, this might not provide a strong enough foundation for a meaningful bounce. The price has tested this level multiple times, suggesting weakening support rather than strength.
2. Target Projection
Disruption: The target area is drawn without showing how it was calculated—no Fibonacci level, previous resistance, or volume zone is referenced. Without clear technical justification, the target level appears speculative.
3. Pattern Expectation (Bounce Prediction)
Disruption: The blue arrow suggests a bullish reversal, but volume is declining, and there’s no strong bullish candle yet to confirm the move. In fact, multiple lower highs suggest bearish pressure.
4. Ignoring Bearish Continuation
Disruption: The red arrow suggesting a drop isn't emphasized as strongly as the bullish path. However, repeated testing of the support with no significant bounce increases the risk of a breakdown. Also, if macroeconomic conditions or broader crypto sentiment is bearish, this chart setup could break down easily.
5. Lack of Context
Disruption: The chart analysis is isolated to a short timeframe (1 hour). Without higher timeframe confluence (e.g., 4H, Daily), any short-term pattern can easily be a false signal.
Market next move Current Analysis Summary:
Bullish Outlook: The chart suggests a bullish trend after price moves above a marked support area.
Price Scenarios:
Red arrow: Pullback to support.
Blue arrow: Bounce back upward.
Yellow arrow: Continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Disruption of the Analysis:
1. False Breakout Risk:
The move above the support zone might be a false breakout. Volume does not appear significantly increased during the breakout, which is typically needed to confirm real breakout momentum.
2. Volume Confirmation Lacking:
Although some volume is present, the breakout does not show a clear volume spike to validate strong buying interest, which challenges the bullish bias.
3. Resistance Overhead Ignored:
No mention of overhead resistance. The price may face selling pressure near 1.35000, a likely psychological and technical resistance area.
4. Over-reliance on Simple Support Zone:
The support zone is too narrowly defined. If the price dips below it slightly, it could still be a healthy retest, not a reversal, which the red arrow path implies prematurely.
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
Price has entered a support area and is expected to bounce.
Two possible bullish paths (blue & yellow arrows) suggest a continuation toward the marked target zone.
---
Disruption Thesis: Bearish Reversal Setup
1. Overextended Rally Into Resistance
The move up into the “support area” is sharp and fast, suggesting it's a liquidity grab.
This zone might actually be a supply zone, where smart money is offloading.
Disruption Call: Price could stall or reverse sharply from this area due to lack of follow-through volume.
---
2. Volume Profile Weakness
Volume peaked earlier in the rally and is now diminishing, which often signals buyer exhaustion.
Disruption Call: Fading bullish momentum implies a fakeout, not a breakout.
---
3. False Breakout / Bull Trap
The green arrow assumes a bounce, but price may just be hovering to bait longs before dropping.
Previous swing highs near 1.1320 may act as a strong rejection point.
Disruption Call: A sudden drop below 1.1300, with a new bearish wave back to 1.1250 or lower.
Market next move Original Analysis Recap:
Support Zone marked just below the current price.
Bearish Move Expected (red arrow) from current resistance.
Bullish Bounce Expected after initial drop (blue and yellow arrows).
Target is placed lower than current price, implying expected downward movement.
---
Disruption / Contrarian Thesis:
1. Fakeout to the Downside (Bear Trap)
The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance and a drop, but:
After the large red candle previously, the market may have absorbed all selling pressure.
Current consolidation shows higher lows—suggesting hidden buying.
Disruption Call: A quick dip below support (triggering stops), followed by a strong bullish reversal breaking through the resistance zone.
---
2. Volume Insight Ignored
Note that recent volume spiked on green candles during recovery.
Current retracement has lower volume, suggesting it may be a pause in uptrend (not a reversal).
Disruption Call: This is accumulation, not distribution. A breakout above 33.20 could happen, aiming for 33.40 or higher.
---
3. Structural Misinterpretation
The “support” identified may not be valid—it’s part of the consolidation range.
True demand zone could be deeper, around 32.90–33.00.
Market rising up Original Analysis Overview:
Support Zone: Clearly marked.
"Flying" Point: Suggests a bullish breakout.
Target: Indicates price will rise significantly.
Arrows: Imply breakout is likely to follow bullish momentum.
---
Disruption / Contrarian Viewpoint:
1. False Breakout Risk
The tight consolidation just above the support line might indicate a bull trap—a false breakout intended to lure in long positions before a sharp reversal. The “flying” point might instead be a liquidity hunt.
Disruption Call: Expect price to briefly break above resistance and then drop below support, invalidating the bullish thesis.
2. Volume Divergence
Volume is not significantly increasing at the breakout point. True breakouts typically come with a volume surge.
Disruption Call: Weak volume suggests lack of conviction. Price may revert back into the range or breakdown.
3. Macro Sentiment Shift
If macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed policy, USD strength) flips bearish for gold, technical setups may get invalidated.
Market next move
1. Support Zone Validation
Observation: Price is reacting from a labeled “Support area.”
Disruption: The support zone is based on very recent price action with limited prior structure. No confirmed double bottom, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection candle is present to confirm it as strong support yet.
---
2. Volume Context Ignored
Observation: Volume has declined during recent candles.
Disruption: A genuine reversal from support typically comes with a volume spike. The current volume profile shows weakening participation, which questions the strength of the bounce.
---
3. Premature Long Target Projection
Observation: A bullish arrow targets the 1.134–1.135 zone.
Disruption: This target is overly optimistic given the lack of a trend change signal. Price is still in a clear lower-high and lower-low structure, suggesting bearish momentum remains intact unless a breakout above 1.1300 occurs.
---
4. Bearish Scenario Underdeveloped
Observation: Only a single red arrow shows bearish rejection.
Disruption: There is no defined breakdown zone or bearish continuation pattern shown (e.g., flag or wedge). If support breaks, price could rapidly move to 1.1200, but this scenario is underrepresented.
---
5. No Confirmation Candlestick for Bullish Entry
Observation: A bullish move is anticipated from current levels.
Disruption: The current candle structure does not confirm bullish control—no hammer, engulfing, or clear reversal pattern. Entering long here could be premature without that confirmation.
---
6. Lack of EMA or RSI Confluence
Observation: Analysis is purely price-action based.
Disruption: No exponential moving averages (EMAs) or RSI are shown to validate trend change. These tools could help confirm divergence or trend reversal.
Market falls downward
1. Resistance Zone May Be Weak
Observation: A red rectangle marks a resistance area.
Disruption: This "resistance" level is based on a short-term bounce and may not have strong historical confluence. It lacks multiple rejections to establish it as a true resistance zone.
---
2. Overemphasis on Bearish Bias
Observation: Two bearish paths (blue and yellow) dominate the projection, indicating an expected drop.
Disruption: This may be prematurely bearish. There's no confirmation of rejection yet—no strong bearish candlestick pattern (like a shooting star, engulfing, or evening star) is visible in that zone.
---
3. Lack of Bullish Consideration
Observation: A small green arrow is shown but not given much weight.
Disruption: The recent candles show higher lows, indicating potential bullish pressure. If price breaks above the marked zone, it may trigger a short squeeze rally.
---
4. Volume Misalignment
Observation: Volume spikes during the bounce, especially on the green candles.
Disruption: Rising volume on a recovery typically supports continuation upward. This analysis ignores the bullish volume context and instead forecasts reversal.
---
5. No Higher Timeframe Confluence
Observation: 1-hour chart used in isolation.
Disruption: A strong bearish or bullish direction on the 4H or Daily chart would validate or invalidate this local setup. Without it, the trade thesis lacks broader context.
Flying upward 1. Assumption of Support
Observation: The "Support" zone is marked around the 3,285–3,290 level.
Disruption: This area has only a few touches and lacks clear validation. Support should be confirmed with multiple bounces and strong volume reactions. Here, volume is present but inconclusive.
2. Overly Optimistic Target
Observation: The target area is set around 3,350, which assumes a clean breakout.
Disruption: This ignores potential resistance levels between 3,310–3,330 that could act as hurdles. The price might stall or reverse before reaching that far.
3. Breakout Path Assumptions
Observation: The blue arrows suggest a bullish breakout, possibly after a retest.
Disruption: There's a strong red rejection candle marked by a red arrow—suggesting bearish momentum. Without strong bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or volume spike), this breakout path is speculative.
4. Lack of Broader Context
Observation: The chart is isolated to a 1-hour timeframe.
Disruption: No higher timeframe trend is considered. If the 4H or Daily chart shows a downtrend, this small support could be insignificant and might break.
5. Volume Analysis Gaps
Observation: Volume bars are visible but not integrated into the analysis.
Disruption: No divergence or volume support is identified. Rising prices without rising volume can indicate a weak move, increasing failure chances.
GBPUSD: MACD Cross confirms more upsideGBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 36.278) as it's been inside a Channel Up since the start of the year (January 13th 2025 low). At the moment the 1D MA50 is holding and provides the short term support. The 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, validating the new bullish wave. We are bullish, aiming for another +3.63% HH rise (TP = 1.3600).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT is expected to have a chance to test the 112,678 level. If the price fails to break through this level, a correction is expected and the price is likely to fall.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Market fall down 1. Weak Bearish Confirmation
Issue: The red arrow implies a confirmed downtrend, but the price action doesn’t show a strong breakdown—just a slight dip through a thin support zone.
Disruption: Without strong bearish candles or volume spikes, the breakdown could be a false move or liquidity grab before a reversal.
---
2. Overconfidence in Double Bottom Reversal
Issue: The blue “W” pattern and green arrow suggest a possible double bottom, but no clear second bottom has formed yet.
Disruption: Assuming a reversal prematurely is risky. The price may continue dropping, invalidating the bullish reversal scenario.
---
3. Target Placement Is Vague
Issue: The "Target" is placed arbitrarily along a horizontal line without referencing key resistance levels or technical confluences.
Disruption: Without support from Fibonacci, previous highs, or indicators, the target lacks reliability and could mislead trade planning.
---
4. Lack of Volume Context
Issue: The volume histogram shows a spike during a previous down move, but no current volume analysis is integrated into the decision.
Disruption: Price action alone, especially on lower timeframes, is insufficient without volume confirmation to validate breakouts or breakdowns.
---
5. No Risk Management Displayed
Issue: The analysis includes bullish and bearish paths but omits stop-loss levels or invalidation zones.
Disruption: Without clear invalidation, the trade becomes ambiguous and exposes the trader to unnecessary risk if price deviates unexpectedly.
Market next move
1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance
Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).
Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.
---
2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators
Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.
Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.
---
3. Premature Target Setting
Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.
Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.
---
4. Ignoring Downside Risk
Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.
Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.
---
5. Misleading Arrows
Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.
Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.