USDCHF - Chart Analysis *) Red Line : Monthly Key Level
Yellow Line : Weekly Key Level
Green Line : Daily Key Level
There are two potential plan
1) Price will touch Weekly Key Level before go to orange box (0.97000) area as short target
2) Price will make price action structure to short at this current level - Monthly and Daily key Level
Both plans are for short sell
Analysed by
Rayhan Ramlan Esfa
IG : @rayhanre
Forextradingeducation
AUDCAD Cautiously Bullish wait and see AUDCAD for the better part entered into a downward stretch last week largely from disappointment from RBA rate cut signals. However this pair traded with heavy volume into support zone last week and it is our view that consolidation for buy orders should resume. However, this needs to be confirmed above current support zone shown and target will be as per blue arrow line for buy and hold.
On the downside, daily close of current support zone is needed to eradicate bullish view for further downside extension into price lows.
See video for analyses
EURNZD Potential Short Re-Entry Price rejected the downtrend line on April 24th to continue its bearish movement. If you haven't caught this setup, no need to worry as there is always the opportunity to re-enter & catch those pips!
RSI is currently indicating oversold on the 4HR timeframe which should cause a pullback to a recent swap level (support turn to resistance) around 1.6780 by next week & bounce back down towards the major resistance zone around 1.6300 by the end of the week.
Potential Trade :
Sell Limit @ 1.6780
SL : 1.6815
TP 1 : 1.6730
TP 2 : 1.6670
Secrets to Become a Successful TraderSecret #1: Stick to ONE strategy. Find a strategy that makes sense to you and stick to it and it alone like a faithful wife and master it. This is probably the single greatest secret in all of trading. Master ONE strategy. There are no “systems” only strategies that work if you master them. If you jump around from one to another you will never master anything and be forever locked in the sucker’s dream of “the system” or the “Holy Grail” of trading. The truth is, all strategies work for the ones using them if they will learn to master them.
Secret #2: YOU are the main secret in trading. You are the greatest secret in trading. You have been gifted with the fastest computer known to man at your birth and you have the ability to learn, adapt and modify everything you see and come into contact with. The way you “see” things is very different than the way other’s “see” things. If you can master “you” and your emotions about trading (talked about in another of the “secrets), you WILL become successful. And that leads us to secret #3.
Secret #3: Simpler is better. Simpler is always better. The more complex a strategy is, the harder to learn it will be and the easier it will be to make mistakes that will shake your confidence, slow you down and cost you, possibly, years in mastering trading. Anyone who says differently probably has a “system” to sell you.
Secret #4: Accept the “numbers game” view of it. Mastering trading is not hard. It’s just an issue of accepting the “numbers game” of it all. All things have a “probability” ratio or a “numbers game” that creates the success of the effort. Whether it’s sports, industry, sales or trading, there is a “numbers game” behind it all. The more you can find an “edge” something you can exploit, the faster you will become will become consistent at your effort and that consistency leads to success.
Secret #5: Master yourself, master your trading. Your own emotions are the only real “enemy” in all of trading. Brokers who manipulate price feeds cannot defeat you. Market makers who charge large spreads cannot defeat you. The news cannot defeat you. Changing markets cannot defeat you.
Greed is extremely deceptive. It’s not wanting to have large accounts, it’s not wanting to be wealthy. In trading, greed is none of the normal things you are taught it is. In trading, it’s wanting to get that next point when the strategy says your done. It’s wanting 30 points when the strategy’s rules say 15 is enough. It’s wanting to swing for the fences on every single trade. Greed is not being willing to take it slow and allow it to grow. It’s not allowing compounding to work and wanting to have it “now.”
Fear will kill your trading and add years to your effort of being successful. The rules of any strategy are designed to take the emotions out of your trading. Allowing yourself to “second guess” the rules is fear. Not taking a trade instantly on the signal is fear. Exiting a trade before the rules call for is fear. Anything that keeps you from following your rules is fear and it short circuits all of your efforts and all of your training and adds years to your trading and robs you of success. You must eliminate it from your trading.
Revenge will destroy you as well. You are not the target of any great conspiracy and the market couldn’t care less about your trade or your position. The brokers may want you to be a victim, but trading out of a desire for revenge will skew your thought and twist what you “see” on the charts. It will defeat you as will greed and fear.
Arrogance will destroy you just as fast as either of these others. Trading from the perspective of any emotion will kill your trading. Arrogance will do it just as fast as greed, fear or revenge. You are NOT mistake proof. Even IF you believe you have mastered a strategy, any strategy you will still make mistakes. Arrogance will lead you to even bigger mistakes, then to revenge to try to make up for it, then to greed to try to get “just a little more” so you can earn back what you lost.
Complacency threatens to bite you after a few good trades. Suddenly you feel bulletproof, and the next thing you know you’ve made lazy mistakes, abandoned the rules that got you in those good trades, and you’re handing back the money you earned. Each trade has nothing to do with the one before and needs just as much attention, caution and care.
Secret #6: There are no makeup trades. Trade each trade and each session as if it were the only one. Yesterday is gone and does not deserve to be remembered in trading. The only thing that exists in successful, consistent trading is the trade you are about to place. Make it the best on possible and forget the past so your emotions don’t have a place to take hold on you.
Secret #7: Persistence and attitude will overcome everything. If you believe you can do this, you can. If you do not believe that, quit now. Nothing can stop or defeat you but you. That is true of everything in life, not just trading. It does however apply specifically to trading. Never ever listen to anyone who says you can’t trade.
Secret #8: If it’s not boring, you are NOT trading correctly. People love excitement and things that are interesting. SOLID trading is exceptionally boring. One of the hardest battles you will fight is to just trade and not try to “fix it” or “improve it.” or worse, get impatient and “wing it”.
Secret #9: Some days you just have bad days! Every single athlete of any sport in any age has faced the “gremlins” of a bad day when for no apparent reason, someone whose skill and physical prowess are not even close simply trashes them. There are no reasons, to rationales, no analysis that can stop it. It will happen, but you can limit it! Trading is no different.
This is the reason for rules. They are to supersede your mind, instincts, emotions and all of your efforts to overcome it, which runs counter to everything we have ever been taught in life. STOP! Walk away when you start violating ANY rules, ESPECIALLY the 6 winning trades and STOP or the THREE LOSS and STOP rules!
If you’re ever, ever, tempted to not set stop losses as you’re sure the market’s going your way, STOP TRADING AND WALK AWAY. If you have positions that are open without stops, close them immediately, even at a loss, and shutdown your computer. If you keep trading you will undo days, weeks of hard work in one session.
LEARN to limit your arrogance and pride of how good you have become, or how good your strategy is. LEARN to limit your losses! Follow the RULES!
EURUSD Prepare for big longHey Traders,
We've approached the key support and resistance level and started to slow down on that level on daily chart.
Market also made a doji candle which shows the sign of reversal from this level
If we look at 4h, we'll get decent image of how momentum from sellers is dying and how buyers are coming in hot.
Waiting to see final retest from sellers and then buyers to come in hot.
Target is at 1.14485 level.
Will EURUSD Make a new Lower low?Hey traders,
As we all know that we are consolidating on eurusd pair for a very long time. You can see it in below image (shaded area)
But we can clearly see that in that consolidation area the sellers weren't strong as they are right now. Last push from sellers are so strong that it is full of bearish candles.
What I am expecting that either this strong push (current push down) is going to break the strong support level if not then we need some struggle from the buyers on 4h chart in total 3 retracements as shown in pic below then after the retracements / pullbacks sellers will continue to go down.
Scenario no. 1
Scenario no. 2
GBPUSD ELLIOT WAVE ANALASYS Wave one was formed, then wave 2 retraced between 50-75% which gives a buy opportunity. The bottom red line is the stop loss which I placed right at 78% retracement and my take profit at the top red line at 161% of wave 1.i did my analasys on weekly, but would recommend going to lower timeframes to get perfect entry point.
USDJPY [Weekly] Bearish med/long termCurrent risk off envirnoment spured sell off on that pair.
Last week close below 112 added to bearish view ( notice: TL break, retest, rejection )
Attempt to rally above 112,50/80 might be the selling opportunity.
110,00/20 as first possible target, around 108 next and 105/104.
Weekly close above rising TL will put the idea on hold and weekly close above 116 cancel bearish view.
GBPJPY Medium term short
GBPJPY appears to have traced out the final 5th impulse wave identifying wave (i) of (3) as shown. This implies that current move should see further downside till about 145 zone which is strong support. A rally from there would not be surprising as the bigger structure being studied suggests a further appearance of strong impulsive wave (3) of III. High Volume supporting any bullish engulfing pattern, doji or piercing pattern around support zone identified, will be viewed as the beginning of wave (3) of III.
NZDUSD (Long)NZDUSD currency pair appears to be keeping to the plan. With 0.69708 resistance taken out sights are now placed to the upside for possible swing trade to 0.71923 first. Further close above there will open up further upside potential to 0.74478 cluster resistance zone.
On the downside, a daily close below 0.69531 should invalidate any bullish view on this pair for now. Further daily close below 0.68034 support zone will open up further downside potential to 0.66871 first. Further daily close below 0.66871 will bring downside bias towards 0.65741. And even further daily close below 0.65741 will bring more downside bias towards 0.64252.
www.trading-equity.com
EURUSD NeutralEURUSD pair has reached consolidation zone. Further downside momentum is viewed as taking a pause at key support zone 1.17606. Further daily close below this level will bring key cluster support zone @ 1.5540/1.5512 into focus. Further breach below the latter zone will open up 1.13246 support as next potential target.
www.trading-equity.com
USDJPY LongUSDJPY pair has breached two consecutive important resistance levels namely R1 @ 107.933 cluster zone as shown and R2 @ 110.376 respectively. Current price action is viewed as a "wait and see" effect as price consolidates at minor resistance of 111.439. Consequently, next target is opened up and eyed @ 113.380/113.781 cluster resistance.
www.trading-equity.com
GBPUSD ShortGBPUSD is currently trading below key support area of 1.37162 and our bias for this pair is now bearish. Concern for growth in the UK and slower than expected interest rate increase could drive the price of this pair lower. Next target is @ 1.30528 cluster support zone as shown.
www.trading-equity.com
CADCHF potential for buy entry to trend completion.CADCHF experienced some shaky sell-off last week following some fundamental numbers in retail sales. We view that sell-off as trend correction and is potentially over as the continuation of the uptrend which began on the 6th of March 2018 could possibly be underway to completion. A daily close above 0.76594 should further solidify this case.
BTCUSD ShortWith BTCUSD -8.09% forming an evening star pattern at critical resistance level , we favour deeper correction of current upward momentum towards 50% retracement of 11239.0 to 7878.50 @ 9558.70. Overall view is still mildly bullish provided price is contained above 38.2% retracement of 11239.0 to 7878.50 @ 9162.2. Price close below 9162.2 will invalidate any bullish bias