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GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance). However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable. Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur. 2. Support Zone Over-Reliance The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because: The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes. A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing. If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move. 3. Resistance Breakout Bias The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation. However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning: A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally. 4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation. No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging. Alternative View Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider: Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal. Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal. Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone: The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop. The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum. 2. Bearish Projection Bias: The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly. The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames. 3. Support Level Stability: While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down. It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance. 4. Short Time Frame Limitations: The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise. A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends. 5. Missing Confirmation Factors: No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis. Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal. Alternative View: Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered. A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
Gold weekly expected move read the caption The metal resumes higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 2766.3 and wave ii ended at 2744.78. Wave iii higher ended at 2798.55 and wave iv pullback ended at 2788.43. Expect wave v higher to end soon which completes wave (i) in higher degree. Then the metal should pullback in wave (ii) in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 1.28.2025 low before it resumes higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 2730.23 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
Gold will buy that's confirm read the caption The dismal mood somehow eased ahead of Wall Street’s opening, with the three major indexes now trading in positive territory. Gains however, are modest as investors gear up for the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement. The Fed is undergoing a two-day meeting, which will conclude on Wednesday. Officials will announce their decision afterwards, with officials widely anticipated to keep interest rates on hold.  Whereas the accompanying statement and Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech are dovish or hawkish and will decide the market’s direction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
Confirm analysis of gold read the caption Inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the CPI rose 2.9% on a yearly basis in December from 2.7% in November, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported, matching expectations. When compared to the previous month, the CPI was up 0.4%, after adding 0.3% in the previous month. The annual core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.2%, below the expected 3.3%. The news sent stocks skyrocketing and bond yields lower as investors lifted bets on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
XAUUSD IS READY TO FLYING MUST READ THE CAPTION This chart displays an hourly analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) with a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown: 1. Trend and Price Channel: A rising parallel channel is drawn, suggesting a short-term uptrend. The price has respected the channel boundaries, bouncing off the lower and upper limits. 2. Key Levels: Support: Around 2,635 (stop-loss level). Resistance: Around 2,680-2,685 (target area). 3. Trade Idea: The chart indicates a buy setup: Entry: Around the current price (2,653). Stop Loss: Below the channel at 2,635, providing a buffer against downside risk. Target: 2,680-2,685, just above the channel's upper resistance. 4. Projection: The white arrows suggest a predicted price movement: A potential retracement before moving higher to the target zone (2,680-2,685). 5. Risk-Reward: The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio if the price continues to follow the channel's trajectory. Analysis: The chart anticipates a continuation of the uptrend as long as the price remains within the channel. If the price breaks below 2,635, it may invalidate the bullish outlook.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Ethan1
Gold confirm analysis read the caption Spot Gold remains lifeless below the $2,650 level on a quiet Thursday as investors gear up for an extended weekend. The batch of United States (US) macroeconomic data released on Wednesday anticipated the ongoing quietness, as all American markets are closed amid the Thanksgiving Holiday. On a positive note, the bright metal finds support in mounting expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver another 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut when it meets in mid-December. At the time, according to the CME FedWatch Toll, the odds are roughly 70%
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
Gold will knock 2700 confirm read the caption There hasn’t been any catalyst this week for the rally in gold although we had a key technical breakout which might have increased the bullish momentum. The lack of bearish catalysts though is helping to keep the bid going as the market has finished to reprice the aggressive rate cuts expectations that weighed on gold in the past weeks as it contributed to lift real yields. In fact, in the bigger picture, gold remains in a bullish trend as real yields will likely continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing cycle. The pullbacks will likely be triggered by a repricing in rate cuts but unless the Fed’s reaction function changes, the uptrend should remain intact
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mrsam36
This XAUUSD rally still seems to have a lot of momentum.According to the World Gold Council (WGC), the weakening USD was the main factor driving the XAUUSD higher, as the Fed's big rate cut caused the USD to decline significantly. Rising geopolitical risks with the worsening situation in the Middle East also boosted safe-haven buying. The biggest drag on XAUUSD last month was the "momentum factor". A higher XAUUSD in the previous month tends to put downward pressure on the price in the following month and vice versa. Other gold pairs also recorded strong gains.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
Usdchf dropping area confirm sell read the caption week ago today, the USDCHF made a break to the upside and out of the "Red Box" that had confined the pair going back to August 20. The US jobs report was the catalyst for the move higher, but by Monday, the price fell back to the high of that "red box" and even moved within the topside edges of it. Sellers should have entered on that breach, but the momentum was very modest, and sellers turned back to buyers into Tuesday and reached session - and week - highs on late Wednesday and into Thursday's trade. Those highs reached a swing area between 0.86078 and 0.8619. The high price reached 0.86067.
by Mrsam36