KOG - Simple Trading Strategy Simple Trading Strategy - Generate your own take profit targets.
Today we're going to share with you a simple yet effective trading strategy that can be used on any instrument. Like any other trading strategy its not 100%, but, you can see from that illustration how effective it can be in keeping you in the right direction on a pair. You can add Moving averages to this as well as which ever indicators you prefer to use and fine tune the strategy to make it work for you. We must stress, with this strategy you have to have a confident ability in charting and have an understanding of support and resistance levels as well as key zones and regions of liquidity.
The bonus with the strategy is it can be applied to all time frames, it can be used to swing trade on longer time frames and to scalp on short time frames. So when we publish our daily morning reviews with our levels and say "LEVEL TO LEVEL" trading, this strategy gives you an idea of what we're suggesting. Also, when we share our 15M levels and zones you can apply this strategy to trade your way up or down to the target.
So lets begin:
1) Start with the 4H chart
2) Look for price action where the price was previously in the same range
3) Use the highs and the lows of swings to plot your support and resistance lines
4) Switch to the 1hr chart
5) You are looking for candle body closes above or below the support or resistance lines. The bigger the candle body close the more accurate the target above is.
We can use this strategy to take numerous trades in up and down until the target level is reached.
This strategy also helps you with your entries and exits. Once you plot the lines and see the price is in between two lines of support and resistance, you will know not to enter a trade. Wait for the pull back on the smaller timeframe or for your chosen indicator to give you the signal!!
NOTE:
• Lines can never be accurate but try to get them as precise as possible
• You must update your lines daily as support and resistance levels change
• You must have a risk strategy in place. On most occasions there will be a pullback or retracement on price which can put you in drawdown.
• Money and risk management are priority when using this strategy.
• Nothing is 100% but once you add the Excalibur target to the chart you have clearer idea of direction.
ALWAYS REMEMBER:
MAs and indicators are lagging, when using this strategy try to keep it simple and clean. Basic support and resistance levels along with a decent candle body close.
Try it, backtest it, apply it. Let us know your findings.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Forextutorials
What is the best indicator to use in Forex Market?There is no single "best" indicator for analyzing the forex market, as different indicators serve different purposes, and the effectiveness of an indicator can depend on various factors, including market conditions and individual trading styles. Traders often use a combination of indicators to make informed decisions.
Here are some widely used indicators:
1. Moving Averages:
Purpose: Smooth out price data to identify trends over a specified period.
Types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Use: Identify trend direction, potential reversals, and crossovers.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Purpose: Measure the speed and change of price movements.
Use: Identify overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 indicate overbought, while values below 30 indicate oversold.
3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
Purpose: Identify the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend.
Components: MACD line, Signal line, Histogram.
Use: Signal crossovers, divergence/convergence with price.
4. Bollinger Bands:
Purpose: Identify volatility and overbought/oversold conditions.
Components: Middle Band (SMA), Upper Band, Lower Band.
Use: Identify potential reversals when prices touch the bands.
5. Stochastic Oscillator:
Purpose: Measure the location of a current price in relation to its range over a period.
Use: Identify overbought or oversold conditions. Similar to RSI.
6. Fibonacci Retracement:
Purpose: Identify potential reversal levels after an impulse move.
Use: Determine potential support and resistance levels.
7. Ichimoku Cloud:
Purpose: Provide information about support, resistance, trend direction, and momentum.
Components: Conversion Line, Base Line, Cloud, Lagging Span.
Use: Identify trend direction and potential reversal points.
8. Average True Range (ATR):
Purpose: Measure market volatility.
Use: Set stop-loss levels, identify potential breakouts.
9. Parabolic SAR:
Purpose: Follow the direction of a trend and provide potential reversal points.
Use: Determine trend direction and potential entry/exit points.
10. Volume Indicator:
Purpose: Show the number of shares or contracts traded.
Use: Confirm the strength of a trend, identify potential reversals.
Important Considerations:
Combining Indicators: Many traders find success by using a combination of indicators to confirm signals and reduce false signals.
Adaptability: Market conditions change, and indicators that work well in one scenario may be less effective in another.
Risk Management: No indicator guarantees success. Proper risk management is crucial in trading.
Ultimately, the "best" indicator depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and personal preferences. It's advisable to experiment with different indicators and develop a strategy that suits your trading style.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:GBPUSD FX:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
CORRELATION IN TRADINGHave you ever noticed a time when a certain product went up and another similar product went down at around the same time? Or when that product went down and another product also went down at the same time? If the answer is yes, then what you noticed was 'product correlation' in action.
What exactly is product correlation? In the financial markets, correlation is a statistical measure of how two products move in relation to each other. Product correlation tells us whether two products tend to move in the same or opposite direction or whether they move completely independently of each other without any discernible pairing pattern over a specific period of time.
Let us look at an example from a Forex (currency pair) trade (visual chart examples further below): If EURUSD goes up and USDJPY goes down, this is called a NEGATIVE correlation and if GBPUSD goes down and AUDUSD also goes down, this is called a POSITIVE correlation. When trading forex in particular, it is vital to remember that since currencies are traded in pairs, no one currency pair is ever totally isolated. Therefore, if you plan on trading more than one currency pair at a time, it is very important to understand how different currency pairs move in relation to each other. Correlation also applies to other types of products such as gold, silver, stocks and indices.
Let us take a more detailed look at how correlation is worked out. Correlation is computed into a number known as the "correlation coefficient". This number ranges between -1 and +1:
•Perfect negative correlation (an exact correlation coefficient of -1) means that the two respective products will move in the opposite direction 100% of the time.
•Perfect positive correlation (an exact correlation coefficient of +1) implies that the two respective products will move in the same direction 100% of the time.
•If the correlation is 0, the movements between the two respective products are said to have no correlation and their movements are completely independent from each other. In other words, there is no way to predict how one product will move in relation to the other.
POSITIVE CORRELATION
NEGATIVE CORRELATION
PLEASE NOTE!!! Although correlation exists in the financial markets, it is NOT set in stone as a guarantee. Firstly, the correlation coefficient between products in the financial markets is rarely, if ever, at +1 and -1. Secondly and more importantly, every individual product has its own UNIQUE supply and demand measures and also has buyers and sellers that have their own UNIQUE motivations and goals in relation to that specific product. When a product goes up or down, this does NOT necessarily mean that it will always follow in line or go the opposite way to another product.
Trade safely and responsibly!
BluetonaFX
The Base & Quote Currency - What Are They?In forex the base currency is the first currency mentioned in the symbol (the first 3 letters). The quote currency is the second currency mentioned in the symbol (last 3 letters). The base currency is being given a 'quote' in the quote currency quite simply, saying that if you hold one base currency you will receive x amount of quote currency.
If you take a buy trade (long) then you are effectively purchasing the base currency, expecting it to rise in value against the quote currency. Likewise if you take a sell trade (short) you are effectively selling the base currency into the quote currency, anticipating that the base currency will fall in value against the quote currency.
With CFD's you don't need to own either of the currencies to trade them, as the contract makes you liable for the value of change of the forex rate based upon the contract size (lot size). The broker will calculate this value, convert the amount to your forex trading account's base currency, and issue you with the profit or loss.
For example, lets say your account is in GBP and you buy one contract (1.00 lots) of EURUSD. The EUR appreciates against the USD by 10 pips, and your profit is 100 USD. The broker then converts this to GBP using the USD/GBP rate (currently 0.7040), making your profit 70.4 GBP! The broker issues this profit into your trading account.
How to identify a trending market?To identify a trending market it is important to understand the market structure. When a market creates a series of higher high and higher low, that means the market is in an uptrend and buying is the most profitable trading opportunity
in this market. When a market is creating series of lower high and lower low then the market is in a downtrend and selling is the most profitable trades in those market