Current Gold trading trend,sell first and wait for the buy priceLast week, the world gold price in the first session of the week traded at 2,335 USD/ounce. In the following sessions, gold prices could not maintain the mark above 2,340 USD and began to decline, reaching the lowest level of the week below 2,283 USD.
World gold price increased again above 2,325 USD/ounce after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced information on the roadmap to adjust interest rates. However, gold prices could not maintain their upward momentum and weakened at the end of the week.
Gold price on Kitco closed the trading week at 2,301 USD/ounce. June gold futures price closed at 2,309.70 USD/ounce, down about 1% compared to last Friday.
Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey shows that experts are less positive about gold's prospects in the short term. Most retail traders believe that gold prices will decrease or move sideways. According to a Wall Street survey, 40% believe that gold prices will continue to move sideways, 33% predict a decrease.
This week, the market is interested in notable economic information such as the US 10-year bond auction, preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan,...
Forexxauusd
Gold is likely to increase again, today's trading trendWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.5 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,302.7 USD/ounce.
Experts assess that the gold market has just had an interesting week when it received a lot of information that affects the direction of this precious metal. Gold started a series of declines and reached the lowest mark below 2,283 USD/ounce at noon on May 1 (US time) from 2,335 USD/ounce at the beginning of the week. However, this precious metal regained momentum when the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced to keep interest rates unchanged and increased again above 2,325 USD/ounce. However, this precious metal was unable to maintain its recovery momentum and returned to test the level of 2,290 USD/ounce.
Although gold recorded its second consecutive week of decline after a 5-week recovery streak, experts still maintain optimism for this precious metal. Many opinions say that the US Central Bank has taken a not dovish stance on future monetary policy, but is certainly not "hawkish". At the press conference after the policy meeting in the middle of this week, Fed Chairman Powell made it clear that the Fed has no intention of raising interest rates.
“I think it is unlikely that interest rates will increase. I would say that is unlikely to happen,” Mr. Powell said.
Experts also say that the factors that pushed gold prices to record highs despite the Fed's stance still remain, including demand from central banks.
Gold has dropped dramatically,what is the opportunity to buy nowGold prices fell sharply in today's trading session, slipping from the $2,300/ounce level on concerns about higher, longer-term US interest rates ahead of this week's US Federal Reserve (FED) meeting. .
Weakening safe haven demand is also exerting pressure, especially as recent reports suggest ceasefire talks have resumed between Israel and Hamas. This makes gold even more vulnerable to interest rate risks.
But despite recent declines, gold prices still traded up more than 4% in April, extending the impressive gains seen in March.
The focus is now on the Fed meeting this weekend, where the central bank is expected to keep interest rates steady. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to take a more hawkish stance on interest rates, especially after a series of hot inflation indicators.
Signs of persistent inflation suggest traders have largely underestimated expectations for a near-term rate cut by the Fed. The central bank is currently only expected to cut interest rates in September or the fourth quarter, if at all this year.
Higher interest rates for longer periods bode poorly for gold because they increase the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal. The strength of the dollar, thanks to the outlook for stable exchange rates, is also putting pressure on broader metals markets.
Other precious metals also decreased in price today, accordingly, platinum futures prices decreased 0.1% to 959.05 USD/ounce, while silver futures prices decreased 1.8% to 27,168 USD. /ounce.
What affects the direction of gold?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,388.8 USD/ounce.
The world gold market last week fluctuated according to a familiar pattern. Gold prices continuously touched new highs thanks to being boosted by shelter demand due to fears of escalating tensions, but then retreated and entered a consolidation phase.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that both Wall Street experts and retail investors continue to believe in the precious metal's strength, with 71% of Wall Street experts and 64% of general investors. Retail participants participating in the survey forecast that gold prices will increase this week.
According to SIA Wealth Management market strategist Colin Cieszynski, risks remain significant and could trigger market rallies. Sharing the same opinion, senior commodities broker Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures also said that geopolitical conflicts will continue to push gold prices up even if there is no immediate escalation.
Market analyst Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins said that developments in the Middle East are still the main factor affecting the direction of gold this week when there is not much economic data published. Expert Millman believes that, before the June monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the market will put aside anything related to interest rate expectations until the situation is resolved. in the Middle East is really calming down.
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce.
The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time.
After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction.
Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce.
Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
Gold continues to increase, waiting to buy at the present timeWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,337.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,358.4 USD/ounce, up 13 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices continued to conquer new records at the beginning of the week, boosted by central bank purchasing activities in Asia. Previously, spot gold price hit a new record of 2,372.5 USD/ounce.
A recently published report shows that the Central Bank of China added 160,000 ounces of gold to its reserves in March. Türkiye, India, Kazakhstan and some Eastern European countries also bought gold during the year. now.
Although the market is expecting the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to loosen monetary policy in June, according to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, if the upcoming data continues shows that the US economy is still strong, which may cause the Fed to not rush to cut interest rates. In that context, gold will not be able to maintain its increase. Central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions are other supportive factors for the precious metal.
According to CME Group data, traders are pricing in a 52% chance that the Fed will reduce the federal funds rate by a quarter point in June. However, the latest report shows that the US job market remains strong strongly has raised doubts about the Fed's ability to pivot policy.
Trading strategy before Nonfarm news on April 5World gold prices fluctuated slightly with spot gold down 9 USD to 2,290.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,310.5 USD/ounce, down 10 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices stabilized on April 4 (US time) after previously conquering an all-time high of over 2,300 USD/ounce thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will conduct further easing. loose monetary policy this year.
According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, market expectations increased after the Fed Chairman's recent speech. Accordingly, Mr. Jerome Powell agreed that lower policy rates would be appropriate “at some point this year.” He and other Fed officials also emphasized that more economic data is needed before making a decision to loosen monetary policy, a move that financial markets expect will take place in September. 6.
According to market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money, strong demand from Asian markets, especially from China and solid demand from central banks, geopolitical risks and expectations surrounding interest rate cuts by central banks are factors that have fueled the rise of gold in recent times.
Strong central bank buying and solid safe-haven capital flows amid growing geopolitical tensions have boosted demand for gold, up more than 25% since October.
Gold bounced higher after the PMI reportIn the April 3 session, gold was supported when the ISM services PMI report dropped to 51.4 compared to the initially estimated level of 52.8. The precious metal fell to $2,267 early in the European session but then rebounded sharply and ended the day at $2,293 after the PMI data was released.
Today, the market will receive unemployment benefit applications along with further speeches from Fed officials. Currently, gold is rising to $2,300.
Continue to conquer new recordsWorld gold prices continued to increase sharply with spot gold increasing by 29.9 USD to 2,281 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,302.10 an ounce, up $29.50 from the bright spot.
World yellow metal prices continued to conquer new records on April 2 (US time) thanks to being supplied by safe-haven demand amid increasing tensions in the Middle East. The gold market has sparked the strength of the USD and expectations of cutting US interest rates and continuously conquering new records.
TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali said that gold received support from safe-haven demand due to concerns related to the Israeli attack on the Iranian Embassy in Damascus, Syria earlier this week.
On that side, experts also believe that strong demand from retail investors and central banks around the world is also a factor that helps prolong the growth of this precious metal. The combination of factors has helped the price of gold increase nearly 10% from the beginning of the year until now.
The dollar jumped after data released earlier this week showed US manufacturing posted growth for the first time in 1.5 years in March. After the report, traders reduced their bets. bet on the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will loosen monetary policy in June to 58% from about 60% previously. This would normally put pressure on non-coupon bullion prices. However, the price of this precious metal is still "galloping" and breaking many new highs in just 2 days.
XAUUSD : Gold's boom continues after today's dataGold is under pressure as the USD bounces up, waiting for the US core PCE report
Gold sweeps two-way as the market awaits the core PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, tomorrow.
During the March 27 session, gold climbed above $2,193 before falling to $2,183 when the USD rebounded and then recovered and ended the day at $2,192 when US government bond yields simultaneously decreased. The market is currently awaiting the core PCE report - the Fed's favorite inflation measure - expected to be released later in the week.
Today, the market will receive a series of important economic data, including the GDP report, US home sales and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. Currently, gold is trading around the $2,190 area.
Gold continues to move unexpectedly, entry sell todayWorld gold prices inched up slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,176.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,177.6 USD/ounce, up 4.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market fluctuated slightly as investors were still waiting for US inflation data later this week to know more about when the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin to loosen monetary policy. bad this year.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn predicts gold will rise in the near term on interest rate expectations, unless the Fed changes its stance or makes some announcement that it will eliminate interest rate cuts. capacity.
Gold could fall again if personal consumption spending data is stronger than expected, Haberkorn said. However, this precious metal will quickly regain its upward momentum.
Last week, gold hit a record high of $2,222.39 an ounce after Fed policymakers said they still expected to cut interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in 2024 despite persistent inflation. still far from the target level of 2%. Currently, traders are currently forecasting a 71% chance that the first rate cut will take place in June.
Gold is under downward pressure because the USD is at a higlevelGold prices at the beginning of the trading session on March 26 (US time) increased again after a deep decline last week, due to the slight weakening of the USD. However, according to analysts, in reality, the strength of the USD is at a high level, causing gold to be under a lot of downward pressure, posing many risks.
Specifically, senior market analyst Lukman Otunuga of FXTM said that after rising to an all-time high last week, gold prices are under a lot of pressure and will likely decrease in the near future. due to the increasing strength of the USD.
CEO Marc Chandler of Bannockburn Global Forex also said that the USD is increasing in strength, along with the increase in bond yields, which means gold prices will decrease.
Similarly, VR Metals/Resource Letter expert Mark Leibovit predicts that USD strength will push gold lower in the next few days.
Meanwhile, market strategist Colin Cieszynski at SIA Wealth Management gave a neutral view on gold prices. According to this expert, gold has had great fluctuations recently and it is likely that this precious metal will consolidate in the coming days.
Selling strategy today, downtrendWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 7.5 USD to 2,170.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,173 USD/ounce, up 13.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Prices for the yellow metal rose slightly in early trading as investors awaited key economic data and comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials this week for further confirmation. loosening monetary policy of the US Central Bank.
The market is currently waiting for weekly initial jobless claims data to be released on March 28 and core personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) data expected to be released. the day after that. However, because the market will be closed this Friday as the US closes for the Good Friday holiday, PCE data will not have an impact on gold until early next week.
Research expert Kunal Shah of Nirmal Bang Commodities predicts that US inflation indicators will have a significant impact on the gold market. According to him, any PCE figure lower than expected will weaken the USD and push up gold prices and vice versa.
Gold plummeted after a record riseWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.1 USD to 2,181 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,183.9 USD/ounce, down 5.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although almost unchanged compared to yesterday morning, the price of the yellow metal has dropped sharply during the day. On March 21 (US time), gold continuously conquered record highs thanks to the dovish speech of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at the latest policy meeting. The precious metal hit an all-time high of $2,222.39 per ounce as the Fed signaled it would continue to cut interest rates three times in 2024 despite rising inflation.
Despite rising inflation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell still said that the US Central Bank has the ability to reduce interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point by the end of 2024. However, the Fed's decision will depend on data. The economy is here. The Fed's stance pushed the dollar to its lowest level in a week, while also causing US 10-year Treasury yields to fall. Meanwhile, gold prices continuously increased.
Witnessing strong buying force after the meeting, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao optimistically predicted that spot gold could retest the resistance level at 2,222 USD/ounce. If this threshold is broken, this precious metal can conquer levels in the range of 2,228 - 2,234 USD/ounce.
Continue sideways waiting for the day to breakWorld gold prices fluctuated little as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's (FED) policy meeting on March 20 (US time). The meeting is expected to provide more clues about the timing of interest rate cuts this year.
Currently, the market is almost certain that the FED will keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting. What investors are waiting for are updated economic forecasts and interest rates from policymakers.
Chief market analyst Tim Waterer of KCM Trade commented that if the FED focuses on the recently announced US consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) and the strength of the market, labor, hopes of loosening monetary policy will be extinguished. In that case, gold could lose that support and fall even deeper.
Currently, according to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing in about a 51% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in June, down from 56% on March 18.
In addition to the FED, policy meetings of central banks in Japan, England, Australia, Norway, Switzerland, Mexico, Brazil and Indonesia also attracted investors' attention.
Reduced slightly then increased againWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,161 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,164.9 USD/ounce, up 1.3 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices recovered slightly after falling to a one-week low on Monday as investors await a series of policy decisions from major global central banks, including the Federal Reserve. US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Currently, the market is almost certain the Fed will keep interest rates at 5.25% - 5.5% at its policy meeting on Wednesday. Investors believe that the US Central Bank may reiterate its view of keeping interest rates higher for a longer period of time in the context that inflation is still "persistent".
Traders are currently pricing in around a 56% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in June. Higher rates reduce the appeal of holding non-couponing gold.
Data released last week showed US consumer prices rose sharply in February and producer prices rose more than expected amid rising prices of goods such as gasoline and food. Gold lost 1% after the report.
To get back to Gold, we need a decline, entry sell todayGold futures price for delivery in April 2024 on the Comex New York floor decreased by 6 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 0.28%, to 2,161.5 USD/ounce.
Information from central banks will take center stage this week, with interest rate decisions due from the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia on Monday, the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank on Thursday.
Markets will also pay attention to housing starts and building permits in the United States on Tuesday, as well as weekly jobless claims, the Philly Fed manufacturing survey, Flash PMI and existing home sales on Thursday.
Given the pace of the breakout and the slowdown at $2200, it looks like gold needs a pullback, and with the Fed on Wednesday, it's reasonable to see some profit-taking beforehand. There are probably a lot of investors who have put in money late and want to take some profits now that the breakout has started to falter, especially with a major mover on the horizon.
Gold continues to go down, entry sell todayWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 12.1 USD to 2,161.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,166.5 USD/ounce, down 14.3 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices reversed and decreased slightly in the trading session on March 14 (US time) when the market received more inflation data that was not as expected. The latest report showed that inflation in the US increased slightly higher than expected, helping the US Dollar Index recover and US Treasury bond yields increase.
Accordingly, the producer price index (PPI) increased by 0.6% in February, double the forecast increase of 0.3% over the previous month and the increase of 0.3% in the January report. Previous Meanwhile, in the middle of this week, another report showed that the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 3.2% over the same period last year, higher than experts' forecast of an increase of 3.1%. The core CPI in February increased by 3.8% compared to the expected increase of 3.7%. CPI and PPI data both increased stronger than forecast, fading the prospect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates.
Technically, April gold futures speculators have a solid overall near-term technical advantage. A four-week steep uptrend is underway on the daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,203 an ounce. Bears' next near-term price objective is to push futures prices below solid technical support at $2,100 an ounce.
Gold plummeted without stopping, selling trendWorld gold prices turned to inch up slightly with spot gold increasing by 15 USD to 2,173.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,179.5 USD/ounce, up 13.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices rebounded on Wednesday, supported by a weakening USD as investors remained hopeful the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates in June despite inflation. Inflation in the US increased. Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions cause safe-haven demand for gold bars to remain.
After the recent recovery, experts are optimistic about the yellow metal.
On Tuesday, bullion retreated from a record high notched last week, posting its worst one-day decline since February 13 after a new report showed US consumer prices increased sharply in February, showing that inflation is still persistent.
Higher inflation data makes it difficult for the Fed to ease monetary policy and this will put pressure on non-interest-bearing assets such as gold.
Despite hotter-than-expected inflation data, traders continue to bet the Fed will cut interest rates in June. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a roughly 65% chance The Fed will loosen monetary policy.
Gold fell again, selling trend todayAfter peaking at 1,282 USD/ounce, the world's gold price today, March 13, was sold very strongly when inflation in the US increased slightly and the USD increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies.
Gold prices reversed sharply today after the US announced data related to inflation that was slightly higher than forecast.
Specifically, the consumer price index (CPI) in February in the US increased by 3.2%, 0.1 percentage point higher than the market expectation of an increase of 3.1%.
CPI increased slightly, making investors worry that inflation in the US may heat up. This may cause the FED to maintain high interest rates for a long time. Accordingly, they increase their holdings of USD to help this currency increase in value. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
On the other hand, US bond interest rates jumped from 4%/year to 4.14%/year, motivating many people to put capital into bonds. Meaning very little money flows into precious metals. Gold prices today are under more pressure to go down.
Non-Farm trading strategy, decrease then increase againWorld gold prices continued to increase with spot gold increasing by 14 USD to 2,159.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,167.3 USD/ounce, up 9.1 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World prices of the yellow metal extended their rally to an all-time high on Thursday as comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a congressional hearing further reinforced expectations. Expectations of loosening monetary policy this year.
At the hearing, Mr. Powell said it is possible that interest rates could be cut this year if the economy is not as expected and there is more evidence that inflation is falling sustainably. The Fed Chairman also emphasized that it will not be long before we see inflation moving towards the target level of 2%.
According to CME's Fedwatch tool, traders are pricing in a 72% chance of a rate cut in June, compared with about 63% on February 29.
Gold continuously reached the highest peak in historyWorld gold prices continued to increase with spot gold increasing by 18.2 USD to 2,145.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,153.7 USD/ounce, up 12.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices continued their upward momentum to record levels on March 6 (US time) as the market increasingly bet that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will loosen monetary policy after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the hearing.
Currently, investors are waiting for the employment report from the US Department of Labor. According to data released by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, private payrolls increased by 140,000 last month after increasing by 111,000 in January. The report shows that the market US employment is still growing steadily.
In addition to interest rate expectations, experts say that precious metals are also supported by the demand of central banks. According to senior analyst Krishan Gopaul of the World Gold Council, last year's gold buying momentum is continuing to extend into this year. This expert predicts that 2024 could be another boom year for the yellow metal after witnessing a sharp increase in additional gold demand in January from countries that regularly buy gold such as China and Turkey. Ky, India…
Strategy to sell today, predict a decrease then increase againWorld gold prices continued to increase with spot gold increasing by 12.1 USD to 2,127.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,136.4 USD/ounce, up 10.1 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices continue to surge as the market becomes increasingly certain that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will loosen monetary policy in June after a series of weak economic reports.
TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek said that the main factor pushing gold higher this week is the expectation of the first interest rate cut. The market is increasingly confident that the Fed will soon make a easing decision. This expert predicts that, with such confidence, the world gold price could be pushed to 2,300 USD/ounce in the second quarter of this year.
Besides, safe haven demand due to concerns related to the conflict in the Middle East also strongly supported the yellow metal. Gold, often used as a safe store of value during times of political and financial instability, has increased by more than $300 since the start of the Israel-Hamas conflict.
This expert added that it would not be surprising if gold prices increased when the Fed discussed loosening monetary policy. However, this precious metal will surge even further when the first interest rate cuts are carried out.
Currently, the market is eagerly waiting to see what Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will say at his testimony before Congress this week to know more about the US interest rate roadmap. In addition, the February employment report scheduled to be released on Friday is also information that attracts investors' attention because this data can change market sentiment and push gold to a closer range. This.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now see a 70% chance that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in June.