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Gold continues to increase, which entry to enter the order?World gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 34.9 USD to 2,115.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,124.4 USD/ounce, up 28.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. World yellow metal prices reached a 3-month high at the beginning of the week, boosted by increased expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will loosen monetary policy. Last week, gold prices rose about $50 as reports showed tepid construction and manufacturing spending in the US as well as downward price pressure. The next important economic information awaited by the market is the February jobs report to be released on Friday. This data is expected to impact expectations of interest rate cuts in the US. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, markets are pricing in a 67% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in June.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy the beginning of the week,waiting for NonfarmWorld gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.1 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,080.2 USD/ounce. Last week, the gold market entered a new trading week relatively quiet without catalysts. Prices were nearly flat until Thursday when a report showed consumer prices were lower than forecast. After a slow start Friday morning, the precious metal began to attract some follow-on buying momentum following the results of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey and weaker-than-expected manufacturing data. April gold futures prices continuously increased and closed the week at 2,095.2 USD/ounce, up 2% compared to the previous week. This was the best weekly gain since November. Although gold had a spectacular breakthrough last week, experts are still cautious about this precious metal in the short term. Some opinions say that the gold market may be under profit-taking pressure this week and the price is likely to be pushed back to the range that gold has maintained in recent times. Besides, although recently released data shows that inflationary pressures are decreasing, according to experts, that is still not enough for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to change its view on interest rates. . The data released this week is considered very important as it can change the newly rekindled market optimism. This week, the market will wait for the February non-farm payroll report. This employment data is considered very important by investors and can take away everything that gold had last week. . Forexlive.com expert Adam Button said that he only believes last week's price increase in gold is sustainable if the upcoming report shows that the job market is actually going down.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to adjust slightly, today's trading trendWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold down 0.7 USD to 2,029.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,039 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold continues to test resistance below 2,050 USD/ounce and is having difficulty attracting new upward price momentum even when published data is not as expected. In particular, the expectations index decreased to 79.8 from 81.5. “An expectation index below 80 typically signals an impending recession,” the report said. Currently, the market is waiting for the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) report to be announced tomorrow (February 29). This inflation report is expected to give the market more clues about the timing of the first interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Some experts predict core PCE (which strips out volatile food and energy costs) will rise more sharply than expected. If so, this will certainly be a "hot" topic that will be discussed at the next monetary policy meeting in March. Last week, many Fed officials made it clear that the Fed does not intend to cut interest rates too soon and this view may be reinforced if the February 29 PCE report has hotter results than expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy for the new week testing the bottom and reboundWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.3 USD to 2,036.6 USD/ounce. Last week, the world gold market was less volatile with prices fluctuating in a narrow range between 2,020 USD and 2,030 USD/ounce. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show that Wall Street experts are optimistic about gold in the short term. Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff also believes that gold prices this week are still stuck in the recent range. According to him, gold will move sideways and in the near term, there will be no fundamental catalyst to inspire speculators to be more active. As the Fed's main inflation measure, the PCE index released on Thursday will be the most important information expected by the market this week. Along with that, markets will also monitor home sales, consumer confidence reports, US fourth quarter GDP reports, and pending home sales.ư
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Causes of Gold's rise and its down cycleWorld gold prices increased in the context of a British cargo ship being attacked in Yemeni waters. Since then, financial investors are concerned about escalating geopolitical tensions, which has prompted them to put capital into gold to preserve capital. On the other hand, the market expects gold trading to be vibrant when the top consumer country, China, resumes commercial activities after the Lunar New Year holiday. Meanwhile, the USD is affected by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high for longer. Therefore, gold's upside potential could be created from a decline in USD prices, if Fed officials are soft in cutting interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trend today, main selling trendWorld gold prices stabilized, with spot gold down 1 USD to 2,023 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,035 USD/ounce, down 0.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Despite being pressured by the minutes of the first policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), gold continues to consolidate above 2,000 USD/ounce. In the newly released minutes, the Fed signaled that its monetary policy had peaked, but was not in a hurry to reduce interest rates. Fed officials noted that inflationary pressures eased and economic activity remained strong. According to the minutes, the committee wants more evidence to show that inflation continues to fall to the target level of 2% before making a decision to loosen monetary policy. Kitco.com senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff said the minutes did not provide any additional information on monetary policy following hotter-than-expected inflation data released last week. He said that, although a bit hawkish, the minutes contained no surprises. Recent hotter inflation reports have made the market more certain that the Fed will delay lowering interest rates until the second half of the year. Independent metals analyst Tai Wong in New York predicts that gold will likely continue to move sideways in the short term and the information the market is waiting for will be the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report released. announcement next week, followed by payrolls and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress in early March. Although the gold market is struggling as expectations for interest rate cuts continue to be pushed back, according to WisdomTree market strategist Nitesh Shah, the longer the central bank delays, the risk of mistakes happening. The bigger the policy, the more this will ultimately benefit precious metals. This expert predicts that gold prices will reach 2,210 USD/ounce in the fourth quarter of this year, a new all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold price continues to decline sharply, long-term sellingWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 2.1 USD to 2,017.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.4 USD/ounce, up 5.3 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold continues to recover from last week's sell-off after testing support at $2,000 an ounce. Although gold is starting the trading week with modest gains, some analysts say it will remain stuck in a range with support at $2,000 an ounce and resistance around $2,050. ounce. Last week, both consumer and producer prices rose more than expected, putting pressure on gold. The published report shows that the threat of inflation is still persistent. Although gold is stuck, some analysts still emphasize the importance of this precious metal. According to market analyst James Hyerczyk of Fxempire.com, precious metals are still an important safe haven asset when developments in the Middle East are increasing geopolitical instability. He attributed gold's recent recovery to a weakening dollar and fears of rising tensions in the Middle East, which have helped boost gold's status as a haven asset. Safety is preferred. Some other opinions believe that the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will loosen policy this year is also a supporting factor for gold and this precious metal to break out when the first round of policy easing takes place. .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to rise again, entry buy todayWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.5 USD to 2,036.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,055.5 USD/ounce, up 6.5 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold rose to a two-week high on Tuesday as it was supported by dollar weakness and lower Treasury yields while focus turned to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. US State (Fed) to better understand how this agency will cut interest rates this year. According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, much of gold's volatility is due to falling yields and the dollar being in the red. However, Pavilonis said that expectations about interest rate decisions also caused gold to increase. The Fed's policy decision will be made on Wednesday. Markets are expecting the US Central Bank to leave interest rates unchanged at the end of the meeting. Pavilonis, the Fed said that, with the desire to have a stable market, the Fed may not conduct many interest rate cuts and Mr. Powell will also maintain a neutral attitude. Data last week showed U.S. prices grew moderately in December, keeping annual inflation below 3% for the third straight month and potentially allowing the Fed to start cutting interest rates. According to senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista at ActivTrades, the Fed's monetary policy stance is currently the most important driver of gold prices. He said that even the safe-haven appeal of precious metals cannot counter changing market expectations around central bank monetary policy. According to this expert, the market's expectation that the Fed will actively cut interest rates could push gold to $2,200/ounce with an average annual price of up to $2,100/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, Buy trend returnsGold prices steadied early in the US session on more safe-haven demand after a weekend terrorist attack in Jordan left three US soldiers dead. The recent attack on US forces in Jordan threatens to spread conflict in the Middle East, when US leaders are under pressure from Congress to take action in response. The world is anxiously waiting for the US military's response. President Biden said the US will respond. Developments in the Middle East cause gold prices to continue to rise. However, analysts say that the continuous adjustment of market expectations about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could hinder the rise in gold prices. The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the greenback's fluctuations with 6 major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), at 103.48 points. In China, a Hong Kong court issued an order to liquidate Evergrande Group after the company failed to reach an agreement with creditors. The liquidation will be closely watched by the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continuously adjusts downward, latest trading strategyWorld gold prices this morning inched up slightly with spot gold increasing by 7.9 USD to 2,019.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,021 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold inched up slightly in Thursday trading thanks to falling Treasury yields after US GDP data showed the US economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter thanks to strong consumer spending, with Growth for the whole year reached 2.5%, and inflation is "cooling down". According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, although the economy is much hotter than expected, the report also shows us that inflation is falling, so we should not prepare for a rise in interest rates. spike. This is helping gold, the expert added. According to CME FedWatch Tool, after the report, the market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting on January 30 and 31 and forecasts an 89% chance of cutting interest rates. capacity in May. In addition, gold also received some support when a recent report showed that US initial jobless claims increased by 25,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 214,000 in the week ended January 20. . Economists had forecast 200,000 claims in the latest week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to decline, today's strategy is mainly to sellWorld gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 8.3 USD to 2,028.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,030.6 USD/ounce, up 8.4 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold prices were adjusted up slightly as investors waited for a series of US economic data this week to get more signals about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, the gold market is in a neutral environment as prices continue to remain above $2,000/ounce and are unable to break out of the current range. This week, the market is awaiting the preliminary US Purchasing Managers' Index report due out on Wednesday, fourth-quarter GDP data expected on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Thursday. Friday for more signals on the interest rate direction of the US Central Bank. Fed officials said last week that the US Central Bank needs more data before making any comments regarding any interest rate cuts and that the timing of loosening monetary policy may be later. much higher than market expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024. Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future. On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year. The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold suddenly reversed growth again, an opportunity to sell GOLDWorld gold prices reversed and increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.1 USD to 2,022.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,025.1 USD/ounce, up 18.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Developments in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand for gold on Thursday (US time), helping gold escape its previous five-week low under pressure from changes in interest expectations. productivity after economic report was stronger than expected. According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, amid much uncertainty, gold prices will be kept above $2,000/ounce. On January 17, the US Government returned the Houthis in Yemen to the list of terrorist groups as they continued to conduct attacks on commercial and military vessels. In addition to the instability factor, speculation surrounding the timing of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is also affecting the direction of gold. Currently, investors are still waiting for further information to learn more about the Fed's future interest rate direction. Currently, most opinions believe that interest rates will be cut if published data shows that inflation "cools down" significantly. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Thursday that he supports cutting interest rates sooner if there is "compelling" evidence that inflation is falling more sharply than expected. In a recent statement, he said that inflation could be "volatile" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Sell ​​strategy, after retesting resistance will increase againGold prices rose at the start of the week, the metal's appeal fueled by safe-haven demand due to tensions in the Middle East, while markets bet the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon. than expected. The war between Israel and Hamas has passed the 100-day mark as Israel continues its fierce offensive, while the Houthi militia's threat to respond to US airstrikes in Yemen raises risks. Gold tends to perform well during times of economic uncertainty, with its reliability able to help offset the risks of more volatile assets in conditions such as geopolitical instability. “Spot gold is also rising as the market clings to hopes that the Fed will cut key interest rates as early as March,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group. Gold's chances of reaching a new record high will remain open as long as the Fed can act in line with market expectations
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold will have a decline and then increase againWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 6.6 USD to 2,055.3 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,059 USD/ounce, up 7.4 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world's yellow metal posted modest gains in the first trading session of the week as it continued to be boosted by safe-haven demand due to concerns about tensions in the Middle East and renewed expectations for the Federal Reserve to The US (Fed) will cut interest rates sooner than expected. The report released late last week showed that US producer prices fell unexpectedly in December. The data has traders betting that the Fed will cut 166 basis points this year instead previously priced 150 basis points. Although gold prices are rising, some analysts say the precious metal needs a new catalyst or at least clearer clues about the Fed's monetary policy direction to break out of its current range. in. According to Trade Nation senior market analyst David Morrison, although gold continues to hold its position, more effort is needed to attract new investors to the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Stand still and wait for news, CPI news trading strategy todayWorld gold prices were relatively stable with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,023.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.3 USD/ounce, down 3.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold decreased slightly in the mid-week trading session as investors were waiting for US inflation data to gain more clarity on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate roadmap this year. RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said lower-than-expected inflation data would give the Fed more reason to cut interest rates this year, which would push gold prices higher. US consumer price index data will be released on Thursday. According to a Reuters poll, economists predicted annual inflation would come in at 3.2% in December, but said core inflation could fall to 3.8%, the lowest since December. mid-2021. A report from the New York Fed revealed that consumers expect inflation to decline, while Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that the US Central Bank's monetary policy appeared to be "adequate". limit".
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Unpredictable fluctuations, predicted to continue to increaseWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold increasing 1.3 USD to 2,028.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,036 USD/ounce, up 2.5 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world gold market stabilized as investors remained cautious ahead of US inflation data to be released later this week. The data is expected to provide more detailed information about the future policy direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). If the inflation numbers surprise, the Fed may not be able to cut interest rates yet, which would put pressure on precious metals markets, said Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff. Currently, analysts predict price inflation will slow in December. The New York Fed survey earlier this week also showed that consumers expect inflation to decline, along with income and spending increases. Household spending will gradually increase in the coming years. Looking at the direction of gold in the medium term, MKS PAMP metals strategist Nicky Shiels forecasts gold prices will fluctuate in the range of 1,900 to 2,200 USD/ounce in 2024 and prices will reach a record high in the first half. this year, boosted by expectations of interest rate cuts. Experts also do not rule out the possibility that gold will conquer the 2,300 USD/ounce mark when mentioning other factors such as geopolitical instability and the trend of de-dollarization in the world. On the other side, Shiels said that gold is also likely to fall back to $1,600 an ounce if persistent inflation forces the Fed to maintain its restrictive monetary policy. She said that the possibility of this scenario happening is 20%.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World market turns down, trading strategyWorld gold prices are still attractive when the world's second largest economy is still facing difficulties in economic recovery. Data on China's manufacturing PMI index in December decreased from 49.4 points in November to 49 points in December, lower than the forecast level of 49.5 points. This is the third consecutive month that China's manufacturing PMI index has declined. Along with that, on January 5, China's giant asset management group Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, with assets of more than 140 billion USD, filed for bankruptcy because it could not pay its debts. This unit said there is about 66 billion USD in its balance sheet that cannot be paid. Zhongzhi is likened to an underground bank in China, mobilizing capital from households to lend or invest in real estate, stocks, bonds and commodities. It is expected that the amount recovered from the liquidation of this group's assets will be low. Thus, the Chinese economy is still having difficulty solving the problem of inactivity in the real estate and valuable paper investment sectors. Previously, in 2021, investors witnessed Evergrande's debt default. . It is forecasted that Country Garden will have a stronger influence than Evergrande because the number of projects is many times larger. Many people compare Zhongzhi to a "debt bomb" in the financial market. Increased risks in the financial market will cause investors to turn to gold speculation to ensure capital flows. However, the market also witnessed quite positive information from the US economy. Specifically, the new December employment data announced by the US is quite positive with 216,000 new jobs created in the non-agricultural sector, higher than the 173,000 jobs achieved last month and the 170,000 jobs previously forecast. Average hourly income (year/year) increased from 4% in November to 4.1% in December and higher than the 3.9% forecast. The unemployment rate in the US in December remained at 3.7%. ISM's manufacturing PMI index also increased from 46.7 points in November to 47.4 points in December 2023. Although this index is below the 50 expansion level, the increasing trend of this index shows that the US economy is recovering. Positive signals from the US economy and the rising USD put pressure on the gold market, causing world gold prices to decline at the beginning of this morning's session. Experts and investors said , gold prices will trade around the range from 2,000 - 2,050 USD/ounce before the market receives new economic information.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, continues to increase againWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,058.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,067.6 USD/ounce, down 4.2 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world gold market enters 2024 with a relatively difficult year under pressure from the strong recovery of the USD. However, the decline in this precious metal was limited thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon loosen monetary policy and concerns that the situation would escalate in the Red Sea. The US Dollar Index rose 0.8% and was on track for its best daily gain since July, making bullion priced in the currency more expensive for overseas buyers. In 2023, gold prices rose 13%, marking the first annual increase since 2020, and are forecast to reach a record high in 2024, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of Hold gold bars without interest. Experts say that the market started the new year with the belief that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner, which is why gold is supported. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are currently pricing in an 86% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to fall as expected, waiting for a recovery pointWorld gold prices reversed slightly this morning, with spot gold down 12.7 USD to 2,065 USD/ounce. Gold futures were listed at 2,075.8 USD/ounce, down 12.2 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold prices decreased slightly after hitting a 3-week high when pressured by the recovery of the USD and rising bond yields. The US Dollar Index rose 0.2% after falling to a five-month low. Benchmark 10-year bond yields rebounded and exited their lowest level since July, denting the appeal of bullion. This expert predicts gold prices will be higher in the next 12 months thanks to weaker economic data and cooling inflation in the US forcing the Fed to cut interest rates. Currently, according to the CME FedWatch tool, investors are betting on an 88% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates as early as March.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Does gold have a chance to decrease slightly before the strong?World gold prices this morning continued to increase slightly with spot gold increasing by 10 USD to 2,077.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures were listed at 2,088 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world gold market was quiet this morning due to the lack of data in the last week of 2023. Experts say that this precious metal is preparing for a prosperous new year with expectations from the Federal Reserve. The US (Fed) will cut interest rates in the first quarter of 2024, which are increasingly increasing. Gold was also slightly boosted by the weakening of the USD and bond yields. The US Dollar Index hit a five-month low and saw its first annual decline since 2020, making bullion more attractive to foreign buyers. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit their lowest level since July 24.+ Data released last week showing “cooling” inflation has boosted financial market expectations of a rate cut from the Fed next March, and according to the FedWatch tool, traders are now pricing around a 90% chance of this happening. Talking about gold's fluctuations in 2024, senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn of RJO Futures said that, entering the new year, the market is mainly focused on the story of falling interest rates and gold will be nothing but. price increase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
1
XAUUSD- XAUUSD trading strategy, Gold trendWorld gold prices turned down this morning with spot gold down 10 USD to 2,030.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,043.3 USD/ounce, down 8.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world gold market was quiet in the early morning trading session this morning as traders waited for a series of economic data at the end of the week to get new clues about the US Central Bank's monetary policy roadmap. RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis forecasts that gold prices will stabilize above $2,000 an ounce and mainly trade at higher levels considering geopolitical risks in the market, including US elections next year, which could prompt money managers to add gold to their portfolios. Last week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) said its strongest monetary tightening cycle in the past four decades was over and interest rate cuts would take place in 2024. However, the Chairman Atlanta Fed branch Raphael Bostic gave the opposite view that the US economy is still strong and there is no rush to make a decision to cut interest rates. This official said that policymakers still need "several months" to have enough data and is confident that inflation will continue to go down and the first interest rate cuts are expected to begin in the third quarter. . Meanwhile, according to the FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in about a 79% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD - Trading strategy today December 15, 2023Also last night - early this morning, the US economy announced more positive economic and employment data. Specifically, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits last week was at 202,000 applications, lower than the forecast 220,000 applications and lower than the previous week's level of 221,000 applications. Along with that, annual retail sales in November increased sharply by 4.09% over the same period, much higher than October's level of 2.24%. Monthly sales in November in the US also increased by 0.3%, higher than the negative increase of 0.2% in October and the negative 0.1% previously forecast. Despite positive economic and employment data, the USD continued to decline for the second consecutive session. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies - dropped sharply by 0.88% to 101,960 points at 6:34 a.m. this morning (Hanoi time). The plummeting USD has helped investors continue to buy gold. They believe that central banks, including the Fed and ECB, will not further increase operating interest rates for two strong currencies, USD and EUR, and may soon reduce interest rates in the next two quarters. This has made investors expect that the gold market will continue to grow well. Experts say that despite the low USD, the cost of speculation and gold transactions has dropped sharply. However, investors should also consider, because a positive economy and the possibility of reduced interest rates will promote better economic growth, gold will reduce its role as a cash flow shelter. Currently, the large SPDR fund, after a net buying session on December 13, returned to take a slight profit on the December 14 session. Large cash flows taking profits from precious metals will push gold prices down deeply. Therefore, investors should take profits when gold has given profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster