Bitcoin: Curve AdjustmentsBottoms can be expressed as a curve which matches logarithmic growth patterns. In the long-term perspective it serves as signal of trend's transition phase in broader scale. Coordinate of top adjusted accordingly.
Extending them is crucial because together they gives boundaries of range compression. Some sort of wave limits which help to clarify price-based levels.
Fractal
Market Re-Cap and Outlook for NEXT WEEKHere I am giving you a little insight as to what trades I am currently in, taken & looking to take for the week just gone and the week coming.
1 Winning trade on EU
1 Current open position on EU
EURGPB - Breakdown
AUDUSD - Breakdown
NZDUSD - Breakdown
Gold - Breakdown
If there are any pairs you would like me to share my feedback on give me a message and I will be happy to try and do so.
Thanks
Happy Hunting
#GBPUSD: Bulls are in control, DXY Dropping Sharply!Hello Team,
We have identified a promising opportunity with a favourable price movement. The Pound Sterling to US Dollar (GBPUSD) pair has exhibited strong bullish volume, indicating potential further appreciation.
The current geopolitical tensions, particularly the involvement of the United States in the Iran-Israel conflict, are expected to negatively impact the US Dollar. This decline could potentially lead to an appreciation of the GBPUSD pair and other USD-denominated currencies.
It is advisable to closely monitor the price behaviour of the GBPUSD pair and consider potential investment opportunities based on its current trend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
gold strong upwardGold will continue its strong upward trend, the corrections seem to have come to an end, the gold price is certain to reach above $3500, if the current price and the price of 3235 break down, you should not panic, the direction of the gold price movement is still towards the ceiling ( ATH ) CMCMARKETS:GOLD
ENAUSDT Long / Buy SetupOn lower tf ena showing bullish momentum, while previous setups went bad due to war, but ena still holding the previous marked area, this is a short term setup not long term, still expecting another low for whole market. Will share swing setups if found strong momentum. Must use SL as btc as it's peak.
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
EURUSD - Potential buying opportunityLooking at EURUSD
We are still very bullish with no sign of it slowing.
I am aware of a potential weekly liquidity point to the left, however, until EURUSD shows its hand it's important that we still remain bullish.
We have set up a lovely liquidity point before a lovely demand area.
So I will be setting a pending order at the demand area after the New York close and the Asian session begins.
Market crash looming - Fractal Echo of 2007 - 2025 S&P 500 In what other case could the "market" be here if it wasn't centrally rigged?
Geopolitics aside. The 2025 vs. 2007 numerological equivalence ("9" year) shows the power of 9 taking over: the end of a rigged bull market.
Chart overlays the S&P 500 price action from 2023–2025 (white line) with that of the 2006–2008 pre-GFC period (red line), highlighting an uncanny fractal similarity in structure, tempo, and momentum. The visual suggests that 2025 (numerologically marked as a “9” year, like 2007) may be echoing the same setup seen before the 2008 financial crisis: just massively worse.
XAUUSD Outlook: Watching FVG Reaction for Bearish EntryThe previous day’s up-close candle didn’t reflect strong bullish conviction. Although price opened higher than the previous candle’s close, it closed only slightly above — completing the three-candle formation required to establish a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
As expected, buy-side liquidity above the previous day’s high has been raided. Price is now pushing towards the consequent encroachment of the FVG. How the market reacts at this level will be key in determining the next directional move.
While I maintain a bearish bias, I expect the market to trade higher into a bearish order block, providing a potential opportunity to enter short. If price does not react from the current FVG, it could continue higher to sweep liquidity resting above the swing high at 2357.82, which sits just below another unfilled FVG.
Entry Strategy
I will look to enter short only after a clear displacement, signalling a change in state of delivery, either:
Off the reaction from the current FVG, or
From a deeper liquidity zone
If no such confirmation presents itself, I will remain on the sidelines and wait for a more favourable setup.
Thanks for your support!
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Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
MSTR 10x From HereThis fractal compares the current price action of MSTR to its price action in 2021, during the previous Bitcoin bull market. This time, it is moving slower, so the time interval was adjusted to 1 week instead of 1 day. The next base consolidation target is around December 2024, with a top expected around April-June 2025.
CL1! Structural NarrativeResearch Idea
If look we beyond surface appearances, we would ask what kind of iterative, generative, or probabilistic mechanisms could have created those movements. Complexity can arise from simplicity, and that what looks messy may follow deep mathematical logic.
We can see the curve that connects series rejections that exposes where selling pressure extends compression until broken.
Another pattern would be current price expressed as a fibonacci ratio of a broader cycle as it splits them into phases.
USDCAD - Long triggered We have entered into the discount area of the most recent swing point on USDCAD. With doing this we have taken out all the areas of liquidity within the trading range so it was time to look for potential long moves.
Now at current price we have had a great example of AMD where by we
Accumulate
Manipulate
and then the hope is that we begin to distribute higher.
There was also a nice fair value gap that was left behind on the 5min
So all that was left to do was execute.
Let us see how it plays out.
Win or lose great entry super happy with the trade. Lets see how it goes
XAUUSDExpecting price to open and decline a bit to then buy possibly for the rest of the week. Looking for Bulls to take over for as long as price respects the lows below after Monday headings candle formation the direction might be validated. If not right after Mondays open and low. If not then we might expect the opposite direction.
How Markets Behave During War: Lessons from the Gulf War (90–91)🧠 Overview
As global tensions escalate and risk sentiment deteriorates, it’s worth revisiting how major asset classes behaved during past war scenarios. The Gulf War (July 1990 – March 1991) offers a clean case study with distinct phases of market psychology.
📊 What This Chart Shows
A synchronized visual comparison of:
Gold – Classic safe haven behavior
S&P 500 – Risk asset sentiment
DXY – USD demand during crisis
🧭 Phases Identified
Phase 1 – Shock
📈 Gold spikes | 📉 Stocks crash | 📉 USD weakens
→ Panic phase as markets price in uncertainty
Phase 2 – Consolidation
Market stalls, both risk and safe haven flows stabilize.
Phase 3 – Gradual Risk-On
Equities begin recovering as risk appetite cautiously returns.
Phase 4 – Shake-Off & Parabolic Rally
Gold rolls over, stocks go parabolic, and DXY forms a double bottom.
🔍 Key Insights
🟡 Gold surged +17% in 43 days, then faded
🔴 SPX dropped -17%, then reversed with a +26% rally
🟣 DXY fell -9%, but rebounded sharply later
⏱️ Timing matters: Safe havens perform early — but are not eternal shelters.
💡 Why It Matters Today
If current geopolitical risks evolve into a Gulf War-type scenario, we might observe:
🟡 A first wave into Gold or USD
🔁 A rotation back into risk assets as clarity improves
📈 Opportunities for reversals in oversold names
This chart is not a forecast — it’s a framework. Patterns may not repeat, but they often rhyme.
✍️ Ongoing Series
This is part of a multi-part series exploring how markets react to war and crisis. Future posts will include:
Iraq War
Russia-Ukraine 2022
9/11 aftermath
COVID-19 as a “war-like” shock
📌 Follow for the next studies.
🧷 Chart: Gold, SPX & DXY during the Gulf War
🔖 Annotated and structured by @fredcast80