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Fractal

DYM New Update (3D)It seems a fractal pattern is repeating. The red boxes represent the drop waves, while the green boxes indicate the sideways waves. It appears that the second drop wave, with over a 92% decline, has ended, and the price has entered a trading range phase. The price corrections can be considered as opportunities for buy/long positions, and the top of the red box can be regarded as the peak of this wave. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
ZkSync Main Trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. 🟢Reversal zone. At the moment, there is a fractal repetition with the previous reversal zone. The logic and key local levels on which the direction of the secondary trend will depend are shown with arrows. 🔴Also showed the range and future levels of an unlikely extremely negative scenario. That is, a breakthrough of the long stop collection zone of a large squeeze (this happens very rarely, since it is irrational, but since in the news background earlier during the listing - funds of 458 million investments, then why not) and the formation of a capitulation channel under the channel with a full range (hold the chart and pull it down), or only from its median (dotted, more likely if we go this way). Also, regardless of the implementation of scenario 1 or 2, the maximums of this cycle are shown (hold the chart and pull it up). Or rather, the zone. The percentage itself will be different, the "levels" of the zone, most likely, will not.
by SpartaBTC
2
Will Nasdaq Test Liquidity at 17,800 Before an Upside Move?NASDAQ is experiencing bearish slow down at the support level for the past 3 weeks. A re-test of the recent low looks imminent. and if price could be rejected after clearing H4 liquidity at 17,800, then we could see a sharp upside move. Key risks: Fed commentary, major tech earnings, and geopolitical headlines. N.B! - NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #nq! #nasdaq
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by BullBearMkt
4
Ethereum’s Last Chance: Let Jesus Take The WheelEthereum’s price action over the course of this crypto bull run, and especially since the beginning of this year, 2025, has been nothing short of horrendous. It’s failed to hold almost every single important level that it needed to, to be able to keep pushing higher. This has caused almost all crypto investors and altcoin traders to pull their investments out, and drive the price even lower. At its current point, altcoin traders have lost all but 100% of the confidence they once had in it, and to retail investors, this is basically toxic waste once they see the losses that have been taken, it’s driving them away en masse. With that being said, this is ETH’s final stand, it’s time to either show out, or go home with nothing to show for itself. It’s at a very critical support level right now, and if it breaks down below this, the trade will be cancelled. It’s just finished completing the ‘Jesus Take The Wheel’ pattern on the weekly & MONTHLY. This is an extremely high probability pattern, and could cause a blow-off top for Ethereum. We also see that we got a Wykoff Pattern here, with the last one that we got around the $2k level being a fake out. The only other times it has printed aside from the last fake out, it has been the start of a bull run. ETH now has 6 weeks in total, or about 4 more weeks from now to start recovering old levels, and taking off to the moon. I drew a bar pattern on the chart that I took from its original bullish pattern from the start of the 2013 bull run. I believe we’ll have a shortened cycle, and due to not having much time left to complete the bull run during this 4-year cycle, that’s all we will get. Thankfully, the price has been beaten down so much, that getting in now, will offer 1000% gains, in just about 6 months. This will be one of the most incredible feats in all of crypto. Fear is at an all time high, and ETH has been teasing everyone with a bull run for months and even years now. We haven’t seen an all time high since 2021. Most investors will suffer from boredom exhaustion as well, and with the stock market also sinking, we could see a huge push once we recover some levels, for the masses to finally come into the market via Ethereum ETF’s, so they don’t have to actually risk any money moving crypto around. The boomers and traditional investors with stock accounts will be free to throw cash at these ETF’s and that’s what will give us our final pumps past all time highs, once the crypto traders all get back into the market, and get us to new ATH’s in the first place, and help us recover key levels. One thing is clear: ETH needs to stop trying so hard to control its environment, it’s time to just let Jesus Take The Wheel 🚀
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoBoyToy
27
Global M2 MONEY SUPPLY VS GLOBAL LIQUIDITYWhich is the best to track ₿itcoin price action? Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two. For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks: The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan. Let’s start by defining each. Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities. Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows. Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations. We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval. When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
GLD/SPX as a risk-off signal for BTC/SPXFor all the "Bitcoin will follow gold" crowd... This chart tells a very different story. Every time we’ve seen GLD/SPX rally sharply, BTC/SPX has underperformed for months afterward. 📉 See the shaded red zones – they highlight periods when: GLD/SPX (gold line) made strong relative moves, BTC/SPX (aqua line) lagged or outright dropped. We're in another one of those zones right now. Unless you’ve got a strong reason why "this time is different," the base case is clear: BTC/SPX likely underperforms for another 3–6 months. If you're positioning long BTC expecting it to mimic gold's run, be aware — that hasn't played out well historically. 🧭 Trade Idea: Patience: Don't rush the BTC long. Let the GLD/SPX spike play out. Timeframe: Revisit BTC/SPX for potential re-entry mid-to-late 2025.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by hansolar21
SPX: Market Reflexivity & Fractal PatternsIn this idea I would like to walk you through some principles which I use to find and relate historical complexities within rhyming cycles. Market Reflexivity Market reflexivity is a concept introduced by George Soros that defies the traditional TA notion of efficient markets by revealing that price movements do not merely reflect fundamentals — they actively shape them. As prices rise, optimism fuels further buying, creating a self-reinforcing loop inflating bubbles. Conversely, declining prices trigger fear, accelerating downturns. Reflexivity explains why trends persist and why reversals can be abrupt, as self-sustaining cycles eventually reach a exhaustion point. To put it simply, there is a feedback loop between market participants’ perceptions and actual market conditions, suggesting that financial markets are not always in equilibrium because collective investor behavior actively drives price movements, which in turn influences future investor behavior. Feedback Loops Each massive rally eventually creates conditions that lead to overvaluation, resulting in sharp corrections. Self-Fulfilling Expectations Market participants, reacting to past price behavior, reinforce trends until a breaking point. Structural Adaptation Every major correction resets valuations, allowing for the next cycle to begin with renewed confidence and capital inflows. Practical Application of Reflexivity Compared to many tickers, SPX has exhibited relatively stable growth throughout history. Over the past 70 years, the most significant panic-driven decline occurred after its 2007 peak, with a 57% drop that defined a major cycle. Growth resumed in 2009, making this swing a key reference point for establishing historical relationships. I see the Dotcom and Housing crisis-induced declines as part of a broader complexity, shaped by prior long-term growth. The two cycles appear as they do because they stem from an extended structural uptrend, not just the 250% surge from 1994 to the bubble top, which lacked a significant preceding decline. Cause-and-effect logic suggests that these crashes were a reaction to a much larger uptrend that began in 1974. A 2447% rally provides a more compelling reason for mass panic and selling, as corrections of such magnitude are rare. Intuitively, the 2447% long-term upswing should have been preceded by a decline similar to the Dotcom and Housing crashes. This holds true, as the market experienced a nearly 50% drop after peaking in 1973 and 37% in 1968, following the same cyclical pattern of deep corrections leading to extended expansions. These corrections were relatively smaller than the Dotcom and Housing crashes because they are followed by a comparatively smaller 1452% rally from the end of WWII. Multi-Fractals Multifractals in market analysis describe the non-linear, self-similar nature of price movements, where volatility and risk vary across different scales. Unlike simple fractals with a constant fractal dimension, multifractals exhibit multiple fractal dimensions, creating varying levels of roughness. Benoit Mandelbrot introduced multifractal Time Series to refine the classic random walk theory, recognizing that price movements occur in bursts of volatility followed by calm periods. Instead of a single Hurst exponent, markets display a spectrum of exponents, reflecting diverse scaling behaviors and explaining why price action appears random at times but reveals structured patterns over different time horizons. This justifies viewing price action within its structural cause-and-effect framework, where micro and macro cycles are interdependent, while oscillating at different frequencies. Therefore, we will apply the building blocks independently from boundaries of Full Fractal Cycle. Since volatility varies, this reserves us the right to extract patterns with identical slope and roughness, and by method of exclusion relate to recent cycles starting from covid.
TVC:SPX
by fract
9
Arbitrum ARB price analysis💰 One can lose count of how many times the “next bottom” from #ARB has been given as "a gift". ⁉️ The only thing that can be assumed is that the behavior of the #Arbitrum price will repeat itself in a fractal fashion and grow to at least $0.57-0.67 by summer. 🪐 And then, if all the stars align with the parade of planets, and the OKX:ARBUSDT price will be able to gain a foothold above the aforementioned zone, it may continue to grow to $1-1.2. It seems that once upon a time, this was the price at which #ARB was given away for free, and they forgot to think through one nuance: who will be pumping it if they are generously given to everyone) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
Can $DOGE Still Leapfrog $BTC...?The original thesis has not yet been invalidated, only pushed farther into the future. The historical pattern is still there, and the reversal is part of it. Does that mean DOGE will definitely flip BTC to the extreme upside? Not necessarily. But the two hypothetical trend lines will not validate/invalidate until DOGE begins to flip BTC more aggressively. Then we'll know for sure by how much it flips BTC. DYOR, STFU, Praise the Lord, and Pass the Ammunition.
Long
by mineyourbiz