Analyzing the Relationship Between Ethereum and the S&P 500The Fractal Theory and Crypto
The financial markets, often chaotic and unpredictable, can sometimes reveal patterns that repeat themselves over time. This concept, known as fractal theory, suggests that similar patterns can occur across different time frames and asset classes. In recent times, some analysts have drawn parallels between the price movements of Ethereum (ETH) and the S&P 500 index.
The S&P 500 Fractal and ETH
Ethereum's price action may be following a similar pattern to that of the S&P 500 index in 2020.
If this fractal theory holds true, it could have significant implications for the future price of Ethereum. The S&P 500 index experienced a sharp decline in March 2020, followed by a V-shaped recovery. If Ethereum were to follow a similar trajectory, it could potentially surge to new all-time highs.
Key Factors Influencing ETH's Price
While the fractal theory offers an interesting perspective, it's important to consider other factors that could influence Ethereum's price:
1. Network Upgrades: Ethereum's ongoing development, particularly the highly anticipated Shanghai upgrade, could significantly impact its price. This upgrade is expected to unlock staked ETH, potentially increasing market liquidity and driving demand.
2. Global Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical events, can influence the overall market sentiment and impact the price of cryptocurrencies.
3. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can boost investor confidence and fuel price appreciation. Conversely, stringent regulations could dampen market enthusiasm.
4. Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption by institutional investors can provide significant support to Ethereum's price. As more traditional financial institutions recognize the potential of blockchain technology, they may allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies.
Potential ETH Price Prediction
Based on the fractal theory and other factors, it has been predicted that Ethereum could reach a price of shortly. However, it's crucial to remember that price predictions are inherently uncertain and should be taken with a grain of salt.
Conclusion
While the fractal theory provides an intriguing framework for analyzing Ethereum's price movement, it's essential to consider a range of factors that could influence its future trajectory. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, staying informed and making informed investment decisions remains crucial.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It's important to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fractal
GBPJPY 4hr LongGBPJPY
✅4hr Long✅
💰ENTRY: 197.187
💰STOP LOSS: 196.395
✅TP TARGETS✅
⏰TP1: 197.980
⏰TP2: 198.750
⏰TP3: 199.544
✅ 1. Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10/20/50/200 EMAs.
✅ 2. Price has made a nice pullback into the 10/20 EMAs making a valid correction.
✅ 3. Price has made a 123 Advanced Engulfing candle above the 50ema.
This is a great example of the 123 engulfing strategy.
EURUSD 4hLike I said, I want to see a clear order flow shift where supply fails and demand holds when we react to the weekly/daily demand zone. We can see that this demand zone is an A+ demand zone with a sweep of liquidity and an impulsive move. We swept the Internal Range Liquidity (IRL), and this could be enough for the price to change order flow. We can see that the First Level of Respect (FLOR) has just failed, and we are now trying to test the Daily Last Point of Demand (LPOD).
As I mentioned, we are bullish on the weekly and daily timeframes, so what I want to see is a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 4-hour chart, which we have now gotten. I would not take the trade just yet; I am looking for more confirmations on the lower timeframes, like the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, before executing on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart
Bitcoin Short-Term Fractal vs. Sep 30, 2023I believe Bitcoin has found its base bottom at $50K. However, it will take a lot of time to develop an uptrend after the 6-month long consolidation. The next price action can be compared with the bottom forming around September 30, 2023. Tomorrow, a FED rate cut could be a catalyst for Bitcoin to surge.
DC. Parabola?If you look closely, you can see a parabola forming here, originating from $0.000215 level. Probable level of the parabola top may be equal to the height of the channel - that is, the level to which the price will reach upon breaking through descending channel. Again, the price has touched the level of June prices. This means that we have a sideways trend for 140 days and those who accumulate in it are buying the bottom.
DC. Growth potential x10 in 8 days.If we extrapolate the historical chart to the present time, we can assume that asset is capable of experiencing a similar upward movement. Given the bull market factor and ratio of assets in liquidity pools on decentralized exchanges, x10 may only be the beginning of global growth.
AUDCHF 4hr ShortAUDCHF
✅4hr Short✅
💰ENTRY: 0.56977
💰STOP LOSS: 0.57156
✅TP TARGETS✅
⏰TP1: 0.56801
⏰TP2: 0.56614
⏰TP3: 0.56441
✅ 1. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bearish and trending below the 10/50/200 EMAs.
✅ 2. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid pullback into the 10 EMA with at least 2 bullish candles.
✅ 3. Price has made a 123 Advanced Engulfing candle below the 50ema.
This is a great example of the 123 Advanced Engulfing strategy.
Could this be the EURUSD bullish move to rebalance price? As we've seen TVC:DXY rallying upwards after serious economic struggle I'm seeing price needs to rebalance.
The TVC:US10Y is also showing me signs of price rebalancing reinforcing this idea.
Price could potentially continue higher than the 1.09500 Mark depending on how the election goes and other economic factors but just to be safe I'm looking to hit that price and close most of my bullish positions if not all.
I'm hoping to see the inverse happen on OANDA:EURUSD as the past 4 days we've been sitting around the 1.07700 price range. This has come after a steep drop just after liquidating previous highs so a reversal is looking promising to me.
Something to bear in mind is OTE of the range from the 16th of April to the 25th of September of this year; Price has entered this area and is currently bouncing in and out of said area.
Though this is very promising DXY could still rally higher coming towards the election day and send EURUSD bearish.
Happy trading :)
NAS100 4hr LongNAS100
✅4hr Long✅
💰ENTRY: 20414.0
💰STOP LOSS: 20339.4
✅TP TARGETS✅
⏰TP1: 20488.4
⏰TP2: 20562.9
⏰TP3: 20635.5
✅ 1. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10/50/200 EMAs.
✅ 2. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid pullback into the 10 EMA with at least 2 bearish candles.
✅ 3. Price has made a 123 Advanced Engulfing candle above the 50ema.
This is a great example of the 123 Advanced Engulfing strategy.