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How Markets Behave During War: Lessons from the Gulf War (90–91)🧠 Overview As global tensions escalate and risk sentiment deteriorates, it’s worth revisiting how major asset classes behaved during past war scenarios. The Gulf War (July 1990 – March 1991) offers a clean case study with distinct phases of market psychology. 📊 What This Chart Shows A synchronized visual comparison of: Gold – Classic safe haven behavior S&P 500 – Risk asset sentiment DXY – USD demand during crisis 🧭 Phases Identified Phase 1 – Shock 📈 Gold spikes | 📉 Stocks crash | 📉 USD weakens → Panic phase as markets price in uncertainty Phase 2 – Consolidation Market stalls, both risk and safe haven flows stabilize. Phase 3 – Gradual Risk-On Equities begin recovering as risk appetite cautiously returns. Phase 4 – Shake-Off & Parabolic Rally Gold rolls over, stocks go parabolic, and DXY forms a double bottom. 🔍 Key Insights 🟡 Gold surged +17% in 43 days, then faded 🔴 SPX dropped -17%, then reversed with a +26% rally 🟣 DXY fell -9%, but rebounded sharply later ⏱️ Timing matters: Safe havens perform early — but are not eternal shelters. 💡 Why It Matters Today If current geopolitical risks evolve into a Gulf War-type scenario, we might observe: 🟡 A first wave into Gold or USD 🔁 A rotation back into risk assets as clarity improves 📈 Opportunities for reversals in oversold names This chart is not a forecast — it’s a framework. Patterns may not repeat, but they often rhyme. ✍️ Ongoing Series This is part of a multi-part series exploring how markets react to war and crisis. Future posts will include: Iraq War Russia-Ukraine 2022 9/11 aftermath COVID-19 as a “war-like” shock 📌 Follow for the next studies. 🧷 Chart: Gold, SPX & DXY during the Gulf War 🔖 Annotated and structured by @fredcast80
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fredcast80
Geopolitical Tension May affect Gold's Outlook!Gold is traditionally considered a safe haven, with prices often rising during geopolitical tensions as investors seek safe security. Will this scenario play out with the U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict? Gold is currently trading at a high of 3,368.75 and remains in a range. However, in times like this, technical analysis might take a back seat, as geopolitical developments could overshadow any technical setup. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BullBearMkt
ETHUSDT – Trade Recap & Daily Bias for June 21Trade Recap (June 20): I. First thing I did was mark out a DOL on the daily — price was hovering near a swing low, and I started noticing trend-side liquidity building up on the lower timeframes. So my directional bias for today was short. II. I marked the daily open. III. With a short bias in mind, I waited for a Turtle Soup setup right above the daily open. IV. The equal highs above were clean and obvious — textbook liquidity. V. Once that liquidity was swept, I dropped to the M15 to watch how price reacted — waited for a clean displacement away from that zone before getting involved. Daily Bias (June 21): Still leaning short. We’re pretty close to a weekly FVG, which might act as a magnet. If price forms liquidity during the day and takes it out in-session, I’ll look to short again. Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup
Short
by harmonik0
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that. i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll. if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it. in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign. next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions. then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided. and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word. when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone. yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop. once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing. thats it, peace out
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Education
by harmonik0
1
Ethereum’s Last Chance: Let Jesus Take The WheelEthereum’s price action over the course of this crypto bull run, and especially since the beginning of this year, 2025, has been nothing short of horrendous. It’s failed to hold almost every single important level that it needed to, to be able to keep pushing higher. This has caused almost all crypto investors and altcoin traders to pull their investments out, and drive the price even lower. At its current point, altcoin traders have lost all but 100% of the confidence they once had in it, and to retail investors, this is basically toxic waste once they see the losses that have been taken, it’s driving them away en masse. With that being said, this is ETH’s final stand, it’s time to either show out, or go home with nothing to show for itself. It’s at a very critical support level right now, and if it breaks down below this, the trade will be cancelled. It’s just finished completing the ‘Jesus Take The Wheel’ pattern on the weekly & MONTHLY. This is an extremely high probability pattern, and could cause a blow-off top for Ethereum. We also see that we got a Wykoff Pattern here, with the last one that we got around the $2k level being a fake out. The only other times it has printed aside from the last fake out, it has been the start of a bull run. ETH now has 6 weeks in total, or about 4 more weeks from now to start recovering old levels, and taking off to the moon. I drew a bar pattern on the chart that I took from its original bullish pattern from the start of the 2013 bull run. I believe we’ll have a shortened cycle, and due to not having much time left to complete the bull run during this 4-year cycle, that’s all we will get. Thankfully, the price has been beaten down so much, that getting in now, will offer 1000% gains, in just about 6 months. This will be one of the most incredible feats in all of crypto. Fear is at an all time high, and ETH has been teasing everyone with a bull run for months and even years now. We haven’t seen an all time high since 2021. Most investors will suffer from boredom exhaustion as well, and with the stock market also sinking, we could see a huge push once we recover some levels, for the masses to finally come into the market via Ethereum ETF’s, so they don’t have to actually risk any money moving crypto around. The boomers and traditional investors with stock accounts will be free to throw cash at these ETF’s and that’s what will give us our final pumps past all time highs, once the crypto traders all get back into the market, and get us to new ATH’s in the first place, and help us recover key levels. One thing is clear: ETH needs to stop trying so hard to control its environment, it’s time to just let Jesus Take The Wheel 🚀
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoBoyToy
29
EURUSD - 2nd potential entryEvening all Here is a still screenshot of what I am looking for the market open on EURUSD come Sunday night after the spreads have died down on the pair. My pending order will go directly on the FVG with my stops below the manipulation of the range. If I get tagged in great. If I don't also great if we continue to move high I mill just manage the one position. If I am tagged in I will give you and update with a new idea and then depending on how that idea plays out win or lose I will come back and re-visit it and break it down some more. However I have high hopes for this trade to make it up to 1.16300 Have a great weekend and I will speak to you all soon
by BenFxLDN
3
EURUSD - BreakdownApologies video is a bit rushed. Wanted to get it done before the weekend arrived. There's so much more to this video and entry reason that I have left out unintentionally like the fact we swept the Asia lows before creating a BoS. There are also a few other things like I have left out but without looking at the chart right now I cannot remember off the top of my head. I will post the idea of this trade below so you can see that I was taking it before it played out. Hope you all have a great weekend and a better trading week than you had this week. Enjoy P.S if you have any questions please do message
by BenFxLDN
ZIG ZAG MOTION 15MINS, FRAMECHARTSThe GOLD pair has been on a move for 3 days now, with a ranging pattern within a channel around the price timeline between 3300+ and 3400 reacting to a firm line of resistance on an overall uptrend, as usual, I expect the price to break either of these levels before we look for trading opportunities. NOTE: Please note that this is not financial advice, but rather an educated and speculative view of the expected outcome. Therefore, trade responsibly.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by BlaedTrading
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby. My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors. Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500. Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high. Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by RickoMillenialMarkits
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold. We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF. We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower. This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe. ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
EURAUD Potential Longs - Technical Outlook 17.06.2025Overall Trend & Context: FX:EURAUD has been in an overall uptrend since mid May when price reacted off a daily demand level. Technical Findings: Price is currently trading just above the discount (equilibrium). Would prefer to see it drop into the discount area - There are areas of demand on the 1h chart which we could possibly consider however the 4h demand shown on the chart above qualifies as a STRONG zone to trade from. Notes: If we see a 15m shift in structure it may be worth getting involved.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed? June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S. China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth. Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive. Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU. Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken. Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning. Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong. European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment. On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset. Technology: The Engine of New Markets The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging. 5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026. Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream. Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment. Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting. Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions. Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025 The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management. For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner. Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HCN-News12