When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
Fractal
$SOL Breakout could be soon, 3 Opportunities SOL Has been consolidating since Mid-December, and now it could be gearing up for a bullish continuation to the upside.
I have provided three potential paths for the chart, red being most degenerate, and green being the best long opportunity in my eyes. If SOL was to retest the range lows, it would be a beautiful setup for a long, but I don't think it is likely to happen, nor do I expect the red path to happen. Yellow, a breakout and retest of the current channel, would set us up well in the macro timeframe, with a potential scalp short when we near the POC at $240.3 USD
Key Points:
- 50D SMA- SOL is pushing to reclaim the 50D SMA, ~$228, if it gets to $228 I think one could go long with a stop loss at $223
- 100D SMA- $233, given the momentum on the short term, I think if SOL reclaims the 50D, it is likely to take the 100 as well as potentially push to range highs near $263 with a potential short scalp at the POC @$237.2
NFA DYOR Let me know your thoughts
GOLD: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/5Gold's natural growth patterns have apparent alignment Fibonacci progression.
Exponential Scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to 0.20 power exponent:
The lines follow historical movements with exponential accuracy, aiding the identification of swing points of major momentum shifts.
Major swings metrics:
SILVER: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/4Expansion based on 1.618 from lowest - Rate of Progression 1 in Exponential Grid indicator:
This suggests the market structure for Silver has strong Fibonacci-based tendencies aligning with natural growth patterns.
Exponential scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to the 0.25 power exponent.
This adjustment results in finer granularity while maintaining the underlying fractal structure. It smooths out the expansions to capture intermediate cycles more effectively.
A clean structure inside a 1 Hour Structure As we know, BTCUSD has been bullish for a while now. And market recently bounced-off from a 3H TF structural zone signifying a strong bullish trend. But what most people don't see is that price created a 1hr structure and price is currently trading within that same structure so I want price to retrace to the structure inside 1hr structure (x) before I will go bullish again.
NVIDIA: Fib Fractal MappingConsidering all those observed fractal patterns from:
A fractal to narrow in would be:
Let's unfold:
This means we have identified scalable structural basis.
Fibonacci Mapping
Validation of Metrics via Resonation:
Validation of Fibonacci channel tilt:
Fractals of Previous Cycle:
Scalable Fractals:
Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios.
REGULARITIES
Continuous Fractal
Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force.
A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level.
A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties.
This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt.
Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fractal Hierarchy
WITH GBPUSD FURTHER BREAKDOWN, LIKELY TARGETING BELOW 1.25000After micro double top, Cable further closed below 1.26178 indicating more weakness of the pair. The pair is now targeting to go lower...
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable
ETHUSD: Progressive FractalREGULARITIES
Emerging Fractals
Progressive Fractal Type
Increased fractal's playback frequency
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fib Channels Y-axis - Price scale incline
Fib Channels X-axis - Time scale incline
Fractal Interference Pattern
Producing Structure-based Probabilistic Fibonacci Targets
Validation of Fractal Metrics via Resonation
BTC Correction Levels in Short TimeBTC most awaited 100k was just $500 away but had been slowly coming down today.
Following Higher Lows are as of now the holding levels to keep the trend bullish for BTC on M15 and H1 .
To break structures and form bear trends, both levels need to be broken and closed below first.
M15 level is 97.5k
H1 level is 95.6k
Disclaimer - Use risk management while trading and prepare your own analysis as well before placing trades.
#SCF : MEDIUM LONG TERM ENTRYi have an important support area between 0.040 and 0.019.
as long as we stay within that price range over the next weeks, the current bearish movement will remain healthy.
i see a possible change in structure from bearish to bullish between december and january.
🎯 first target: 80%
🎯 second target: 132%
🎯 third target: between 240% and 280%
this does not include the compounded interest from taking partial profits and reentries within the upward trend.