BTC - Hourly Bullish With Order Flow Structure Shifting...Hey traders,
As one can see, the OFA script has fired a circle pattern.
This makes us build the thesis to look for long positions in lower timeframes.
Even of the 1h timeframe, as shown in the chart, the structure has shifted to bullish.
We can personally conclude that until proven otherwise, the hourly should continue higher.
The aggregation of flows via the OFA script helps us visualize the dynamic waves forming to get more precise triggers in these lower timeframes.
Remember the two key main features of the OFA script:
Magnitude: A major clue that will help determine the health of a trend is the type of progress by the dominant side in control of the trend. We need to ask the following question: Are the new legs in the active buy-sell side campaign as identified by the script increasing or decreasing in magnitude?
Velocity: When it comes to the distance the price moves, the magnitude is only ½ the equation. The other ½ has to do with the velocity of the move or the speed. Was the new leg created after a fast and impulsive move? Or did price make a new low or high with the movement being sluggish, compressive and taking too long to form? A good rule of thumb is to count the number of candles it took to achieve a new leg.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Fractal
3-Sep-24Yesterday's forecast has been accurate so far, but I now expect the market to seek liquidity below 56K.
The point of control (solid red line) in the volume histogram of the blue shaded period aligns with the expected bounce, which was informed by the yellow fractal placed in line with the yellow fib channel.
dashed lines = stop losses
dotted lines = entries/exits
blue line = fib retracement (placed at dashed line)
yellow lines = fib channel
see linked idea for more.
The KING OF BULLS waits to be called to start the BULL RALLYDespite being volatile, BULL SIGNALS don't appear just for show but with the same false breakout rocket signal candlestick.
False breakout rocket signal means BITCOIN is making a pretense downtrend of 5 candlesticks then the BULL GAMES begin.
This is now accompanied by an algorithm BULL TRIANGLE
The added curve means we may face a dip or remain within the price range as it has been confirmed by the false breakout downtrend or could the KING OF BULLS change the SHOW?
My KRISS-CROSS MA's with VOLUME has unveiled a little more wait before the PRIMETIME launch.
DOGE FRACTAL : Don't Lose Hope! BEST YET TO COME DOGE has been trading undeniably bearish over the past few weeks, as we see significant signs of bearish price action:
- 📉 lower highs
- 📉 lower lows
However, if we take a look at a fractal that played out between Dec 2023 - Feb 2024, there is definitely a chance for a PARBOLIC PUMP. Watch this short video to find out how (there are TWO SIGNS we need to see on the chart BEFORE we can seriously consider this).
Make sure you catch my update on Bitcoin, because ultimately BTC determines the direction of the market. Therefore it's vital to watch the trendsetter!
________________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Bitcoin Bullish Fractal May 2016The most bullish scenario for Bitcoin can be compared to the price action in May 2016. After completing its 5-month correction, the price returned to retest the ATH a few times, forming a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern), and then shot up in the following days. Let’s see how strong it will be.
Bitcoin Bullish Scenario Nov 2016Since Bitcoin has been showing strength in the last few weeks, let's look at a possible scenario similar to the price action in November 2016. This suggests that Bitcoin's volatility will slow down and the price will gradually rise in the next few weeks. However, if Bitcoin falls back below the 200-day SMA, this idea will be invalidated.
Range Sqeeze 1-Sep-24The start of the month has landed on a Sunday, which when combined with the low liquidity of a Sunday suggests potential volatility.
We have also been ranging near a big even ($60K), so we can expect many stop losses to be placed there, making it a target for liquidity hunting. The same can be said for the triple bottom at around $58K
The full oscillation shown here isn't necessarily likely, but it should be anticipated since it would provide an excellent opportunity without additional risk when compared to only trading the high and low.
Possible forecast for BTC (Long-Term Movement)Just simply using fractals of BTC's own movements to map out what looks like a good chance of happening over the next 6 years. Crash in 2030 allowing for a new cycle of investors to jump in? Teasing between 87K and 13K allowing for high volatility and short/long sweeps. Provides room and time for the web3 and alt-coin market to gain momentum, usage, and volume. We will see!
*NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE | FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY
The market is impossible to predict. Anything can happen in the next 5 - 6 years. This is the most level-headed and realistic forecast IMO.
What do y'all think? :)
Comment your thoughts!
GOLD TO REVERT TO ITS MEAN AFTER STRUGGLING TO MAKE NEW HIGHS!XAUUSD is struggling to make new swing high, but making new lows. A possible pullback above 2510 with rejection likely to cause price dip below 2480.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
NZDJPY: The Case for Shorts – Key Fundamentals and TimingThe New Zealand Dollar to Japanese Yen (NZDJPY) pair is currently showing bearish potential due to several key fundamental factors. Japan's upcoming fiscal year 2024/2025 wage negotiation results, expected on March 15, could strengthen the yen if wage increases meet or exceed expectations.
Additionally, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision on March 19 may signal a shift away from negative interest rates, potentially boosting the yen.
Meanwhile, New Zealand's economy faces headwinds from a cooling housing market and slowing global demand for its exports. The yield premium of New Zealand bonds over Japanese bonds has been shrinking, reducing the attractiveness of holding NZD.
My overall bias for NZDJPY is bearish based on these factors.
I'll be using probability-based analysis to determine optimal entry points.
Currently, I'm waiting for the probability of a bearish move to exceed 50% before considering an entry.
12M:
1D:
Hourly timeframes:
Please feel free to share your ideas and comment below!
ETH 2400 - 2000So ETH broke down. Send it lower.
Found some interesting areas of interest using the OHL (open, high, low) this year and previous years.
There is a strong interest zone between 2400 and 2000. Found lots of confluence.
Yearly open marked by red line with the yearly highs and lows marked in black.
1. Yearly open at 2282
2. Yearly low at 2095
3. 2023 yearly high at 2447
4. April 2023 high point (orange arrow) similar point to the yearly low at 2095
5. Price coming below the 200d MA and 52W ma
6. Aug - Oct timeframe seasonality
7. Similar chart setup as last year
I'm not an ETH bull anymore but I think this chart here shows a good longer term setup. The 4th year in the cycle is typically the strongest and I expect this time to NOT be different.
Can also see how the 2022 yearly high and open at 3800 act as strong resistance thus far in 2024.
They're really gonna let us run it back again muahaha.
ConstitutionDAO PEOPLE price at critical pointEverything is so “great” in the cryptocurrency market now that the OKX:PEOPLEUSDT pair ranks 15th in terms of trading volume among all cryptos)
🔼 But in the current situation, it is worth keeping an eye on the #PEOPLE price, if it manages to gain a foothold above $0.07, then a powerful blue wave of growth may be waiting for it.
🔽 On the other hand, the current pattern is very similar to the situation in 2022, and accordingly, the possibility of a strong red drop remains.
Therefore, it is better to watch but not buy yet. And make trading decisions after one of the possible scenarios is confirmed.
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Drop and Bounce 30-Aug-24Hey! Thanks for reading.
Now that price is back in the middle of recent activity, I expect it to test the local supply and demand zones.
Green box = demand zone
Red box = supply zone
The blue fib is drawn where the blue price measure is placed, this gives us a 1.272 extension at the top of the demand zone and a 1.618 at the bottom.
The yellow fib channel is placed at the local high and low, following the upper trend line.