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Fractal

History is repeating itself for BNB...Hello Traders 🐺, Over the past few days, I’ve noticed that BNB is outperforming the overall market . After BTC.D consolidation , BNB started pumping , so I decided to publish an idea about it. When I opened the chart, I saw something magical unfolding—a true piece of art, honestly! So, as you can see in the chart, history is trying to repeat itself again . Let me explain it to you: After the formation of a double top , the price enters a consolidation phase , or even better to say, we see a correction . This phase usually coincides with the BTC season, where we observe the formation of a rising wedge. Then, the final phase begins when BTC.D starts dumping and the altcoin season kicks off . Right now, we are very close to breaking out of the rising wedge! 🚀 ( Remember, this is not financial advice, and always do your own research )
Long
by Kiu_Coin
AMD: Long-Term Structure For ResearchSince my line of work focuses on understanding and connecting scalable complexities, I require an interactive representation of the long-term market structure of an idea I published a while ago. These ideas will serve as a foundation for developing a probabilistic framework that accurately captures the underlying patterns and relationships governing price movements over time. And the only way to do that is through looking back how price reacts to those levels on the in the future. I'll use this research to enhance an indicator that would automatically output these levels based on historic price action before publishing it in pinescript. Source: Why I keep posting these unconventional analyses? I have a responsibility to those who follow my work, and I take that seriously. My goal is not just to share insights but to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to understand price dynamics at a deeper level — so you are never dependent on traditional technical analysts who share signals without worrying about potential negative impact. Many traders fall into the trap of relying on signals or surface-level analysis, only to find themselves caught in losing in the long-term. The harsh reality is that 90% of market participants fail — not due to bad luck, but because they adopt the same conventional strategies as the herd. You can't beat the market if you use same methods as majority operates on. Institutions using advanced trading algorithms are fully aware of the majority’s thinking patterns. They exploit predictable retail behavior, reacting to conventional technical analysis signals before the crowd does. This gives them a strategic edge, allowing them to absorb liquidity, trigger stop hunts, and manipulate price movements in ways most traders fail to anticipate. Blindly following common strategies ensures playing into their hands, reinforcing the cycle of retail losses.
NASDAQ:AMD
by fract
9
USD/JPY4H mitigation? ✅ Already handled. Now it’s about playing the 30M right. Got my CHoCH confirmation—structure is syncing up. Now I’m waiting for price to give me that nasty correction drop, take out engineered liquidity, and mitigate the order block. If it skips that and only clears minor liquidity, I’ll be looking for interest around 151.800 on the 30M order block. Most traders react to the move. I position myself where the market has to go. Let’s see if it plays by the rules. #USDJPY #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
XAU/USD: Riding the Momentum 4H is doing exactly what it should—straight bullish, no hesitation. Momentum is clear, and I’m not here to fight it. Dropped to the 30M to catch the continuation. IDM has already been taken out, so now it’s a waiting game. Just need price to dip into the 30M order block for that clean mitigation before I step in. Nothing forced, just precision. Most traders chase gold. I position myself before the move. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint. #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction Bless Trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Juicemannn
EUR/GBP: The Setup is Unfolding 30M already did its job—mitigated the order block just like I expected. Now? It’s all about catching the continuation move. I’m locked in on the 5M, waiting for a CHoCH to confirm bullish structure. But that’s not enough—I need liquidity to build up, get swept, and give me that clean mitigation before I step in. Precision over impulse. Most traders force trades. I let the market show its hand first. Let’s see if price wants to run these highs next. #EURGBP #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Golden Cross Alert! Altcoin Season is Imminent!Hello Traders 🐺 A Golden Cross has just formed, signaling a massive bullish momentum ahead ! Historically, this pattern has led to explosive moves in the market, and this time might be no different! With BTC dominance reaching key levels and money starting to flow into alts, the long-awaited Altcoin Season could be just around the corner! ⏳💎 Are you ready for the ride? 🚀📈 Make Sure to read my Ideas about ETH and BTC.D !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Kiu_Coin
EUR/USD: Precision Over Emotion30M just gave the CHoCH—exactly what I was waiting for. Buyers are showing their hand, and now it’s all about execution. 5M is the playground. Liquidity has been swept, and now I’m watching for price to mitigate the order block before making its next move. No guessing. No hesitation. Just Smart Money at work. Most traders react—I anticipate. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint. #EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD CPI OUTLOOKPrice has pulled back into a decent selling area base on my last analysis. The thing to keep in mind now is CPI. Yesterday during Powell's testimony he said "If the economy remains strong and inflation does not continue to move sustainably toward two percent, we can maintain policy restraint for longer" Basically all eyes are on CPI at the moment. We had NFP last week which showed us strong jobs number because of the massive revision that was made. If CPI comes in light this might make shorting EURUSD difficult to do and might change the fundamental direction or the pair. However if CPI stays as is or comes in higher then we should expect the FED to keep interest rates where they are which would be bullish for the dollar. Recommend not getting into position until after CPI release. I closed my Friday position in profit Tuesday morning in anticipation of this pullback. Depending on how the figures come out I will find a re-entry targeting January low or change position and flow with the market.
by Keyserfx
SPX: Market Reflexivity & Fractal PatternsIn this idea I would like to walk you through some principles which I use to find and relate historical complexities within rhyming cycles. Market Reflexivity Market reflexivity is a concept introduced by George Soros that defies the traditional TA notion of efficient markets by revealing that price movements do not merely reflect fundamentals — they actively shape them. As prices rise, optimism fuels further buying, creating a self-reinforcing loop inflating bubbles. Conversely, declining prices trigger fear, accelerating downturns. Reflexivity explains why trends persist and why reversals can be abrupt, as self-sustaining cycles eventually reach a exhaustion point. To put it simply, there is a feedback loop between market participants’ perceptions and actual market conditions, suggesting that financial markets are not always in equilibrium because collective investor behavior actively drives price movements, which in turn influences future investor behavior. Feedback Loops Each massive rally eventually creates conditions that lead to overvaluation, resulting in sharp corrections. Self-Fulfilling Expectations Market participants, reacting to past price behavior, reinforce trends until a breaking point. Structural Adaptation Every major correction resets valuations, allowing for the next cycle to begin with renewed confidence and capital inflows. Practical Application of Reflexivity Compared to many tickers, SPX has exhibited relatively stable growth throughout history. Over the past 70 years, the most significant panic-driven decline occurred after its 2007 peak, with a 57% drop that defined a major cycle. Growth resumed in 2009, making this swing a key reference point for establishing historical relationships. I see the Dotcom and Housing crisis-induced declines as part of a broader complexity, shaped by prior long-term growth. The two cycles appear as they do because they stem from an extended structural uptrend, not just the 250% surge from 1994 to the bubble top, which lacked a significant preceding decline. Cause-and-effect logic suggests that these crashes were a reaction to a much larger uptrend that began in 1974. A 2447% rally provides a more compelling reason for mass panic and selling, as corrections of such magnitude are rare. Intuitively, the 2447% long-term upswing should have been preceded by a decline similar to the Dotcom and Housing crashes. This holds true, as the market experienced a nearly 50% drop after peaking in 1973 and 37% in 1968, following the same cyclical pattern of deep corrections leading to extended expansions. These corrections were relatively smaller than the Dotcom and Housing crashes because they are followed by a comparatively smaller 1452% rally from the end of WWII. Multi-Fractals Multifractals in market analysis describe the non-linear, self-similar nature of price movements, where volatility and risk vary across different scales. Unlike simple fractals with a constant fractal dimension, multifractals exhibit multiple fractal dimensions, creating varying levels of roughness. Benoit Mandelbrot introduced multifractal Time Series to refine the classic random walk theory, recognizing that price movements occur in bursts of volatility followed by calm periods. Instead of a single Hurst exponent, markets display a spectrum of exponents, reflecting diverse scaling behaviors and explaining why price action appears random at times but reveals structured patterns over different time horizons. This justifies viewing price action within its structural cause-and-effect framework, where micro and macro cycles are interdependent, while oscillating at different frequencies. Therefore, we will apply the building blocks independently from boundaries of Full Fractal Cycle. Since volatility varies, this reserves us the right to extract patterns with identical slope and roughness, and by method of exclusion relate to recent cycles starting from covid.
TVC:SPX
by fract
5
XRP SeekingPips is strictly Technical - XRPUSDT BUYING LONG ONLY⚠️ SeekingPips has ZERO interest in FINANCIAL NEWS. ℹ️ After years of real market trading 🟢SeekingPips🟢 has defined his TRADING EDGE which DOES NOT require any fundermental study or research.✅️ 🌍 For some FUNDERMENTAL ANALYSIS is a key to their TRADING and INVESTING. 🌟The SECRET is to find WHAT WORKS FOR YOU! Absolutely nothing else matters. ⭐️TIME & PRICE⭐️ is 🟢SEEKINGPIPS🟢 SECRET SAUCE
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by seekingpips
A U.S. backed crypto that has fallen behind the marketHello, traders! 🐺 First of all, I want to thank you for your incredible support ! My last idea about ETH went absolutely viral on TradingView , and as of now, it’s among the most popular ideas about ETH ! So, thanks a lot! 🙌 Now, let's dive into a hidden gem that could potentially perform like Solana and XRP , both of which have done exceptionally well in the past few months! 🚀 As you can see in the chart above, LINK is currently above the symmetrical triangle and just below a key resistance level around its ATH price at the $36 area . In my humble opinion, this is a great buying opportunity for LINK because: 1️⃣ The chart structure is a mix of what we've already seen in ETH and what previously formed in XRP. I’ll discuss this in detail in my next idea about XRP, so make sure to follow me to stay updated ! 2️⃣ BTC.D is at its peak , so if you ask me— what could be better than buying at a discount ? Especially when it’s a solid and fundamentally strong project like LINK ! Just imagine—if ETH breaks to its ATH and follows my idea all the way to $17K, what could the price of LINK be? 🚀 In the smaller time frame : you can go into the long position when price break above the wedge resistance line and put your stop loss below the previous low ( this is not a financial advice )
Long
by Kiu_Coin
EUR/GBP 30M Order Block Mitigation -Waiting for sweep then EntryDescription: EUR/GBP is following my 30M bullish bias after mitigating a key order block. Initially, I dropped to the 5M timeframe for entry and spotted a clean CHoCH confirmation, but price moved too fast before I could execute. Instead of chasing, I followed price action and noticed it mitigated a few inducements (IDM) on the way up. Now, I’m patiently waiting for a fresh liquidity sweep to confirm re-entry for the next 30M continuation to the highs. Key Observations: ✅ 30M Mitigated Order Block – Confirms bullish bias. ✅ 5M CHoCH Formed – Entry was possible but moved too fast. ✅ Inducements Mitigated – Following price to see a fresh sweep for better entry. 📌 Next Step: Watching for a clean liquidity grab before confirming my entry. Let me know what you think—are you seeing the same liquidity moves? Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season" OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens BTC is charting BTC by market cap It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high. The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year. Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology. Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon. - CURB (@CryptoCurb)
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by CryptoCurb
2
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Dynamic Limit Order Long EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: A long entry can be considered at the strong minimum, but I'll not go too far with the SL or TP. It can be used as a hedge if you're holding a position that performs well as the US Dollar does (like Magnificent 7 or other shorts in x/USD currency). Beside that, I'll consider this position the riskier of all. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Long
by ricardo_ndns
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Balanced Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model *The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry* The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part: If we're not sure if the conservative entry can be mitigated, we can use the balance one. It uses the same VWAP level at the following fractal, just one maximum below. 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Short
by ricardo_ndns
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Conservative Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model 1. Liquidity a. Liquidity Related to Structure The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure. b. Liquidity Related to Directionality The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows. c. Decision Regarding Liquidity Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend. 2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure) a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation (-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10% These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market. 3. Entries a. Conservative Entry The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by: - Long-term volume - A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range - A long-term order block (M1) i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry - Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00% - Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82% - Entry Probability: -50.00% - Stop Loss Probability: -100.00% - Take Profit Probability: -50.00% The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP. The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level. The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached. 4. Other Comments - The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly. - A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. Do you like my analysis? Follow me on social media: @thewayofrichie Let's trade, Richie
Short
by ricardo_ndns
XRPUSD Still Bullish? SeekingPips XRP Ripple Long Term BUY ONLYIs XRP still a BUY? 🟢SeekingPips🟢 says keep it SIMPLE. ✅️If one was accumulating XRP Ripple for the LONG TERM and liked it at $3 why do you not like it NOW?✅️ ℹ️ Like I said before EVERYONE WAITS for the PULLBACK but when it turns up TRADERS/INVESTORS get SCARED to enter at these LOWER PRICES and some EVEN go SHORT and TRADE AGAINST their OWN BIAS. 💡It is a strange phenomenon but its VERY TRUE. Do what the 1% do and you will be OK.
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by seekingpips
BEARISH SWING SETUP ON EU The last setup I posted was bullish and did give a good reaction that I took as confirmation however the trade did not play out. This then caused a bearish choch on the daily and price has since pulled back and is now showing bearish structure. Both swing and internal structure on the 4H timeframe and above are bearish so that is the direction I'm following right now. Fractal structure on the 4H is currently bearish and I will continue trading in that direction targeting January's low.
Short
by Keyserfx
Total Crypto Market Capitalization prediction for 2025 v.2.0☀️ A ray of hope from us and what is drawn on the chart of total capitalization in the crypto market. But first, re-read the post from 31/12/24 👇 Pay special attention to paragraph 5️⃣ 📊 And now let's move on to the same chart - 1.5 months later, in a zoomed-in version. The minimum was recorded at $2.81 trillion with an estimate/forecast of $2.85t So, based on the fractal we proposed and built earlier, it turns out: 1️⃣ A “trial” wave of growth is coming soon 2️⃣ Then a short consolidation 3️⃣ In mid-March - the beginning of the alt-season. (Earlier we wrote that it would be a “miracle” if, despite the pessimistic forecasts that the Fed rate will not be reduced in the near future, it will be reduced on March 19) P.S: ❓ so, do you believe in what the charts are showing?) Do you believe in growth? ⁉️ If so, which “cluster” of altos will set the growth trend, in your opinion?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by P_S_trade
5