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Fractal

BTC UPDATE!!!BTC Update: Rejection from Daily Bearish FVG The current market has encountered a rejection from the daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a potential reversal in the upward momentum. Key Insights: - The rejection from the daily Bearish FVG suggests a shift in market sentiment. - We anticipate a downward movement in BTC, targeting the $80,200 - $79,100 range. Market Analysis: The daily chart indicates a failed attempt to break above the FVG, leading to a potential bearish reversal. With this rejection, we expect sellers to regain control, driving the price towards the aforementioned support zone. Trading Considerations: - Short-term traders may consider positioning themselves for a potential downward move. - Long-term investors should monitor the price action closely, adjusting their strategies as needed. Stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
1
Bitcoin Full InterconnectednessIn fractal analysis the randomness of price levels can be justified with the chart's historic HL coordinates. We'll use the old structure below as a base for further cycle breakdown. There are another two fib lines derived from angled trends, the fibs of which rhyme with chaos behind price action and cycle formation: Steep fibs determine timing of high volatility change: Note that they rhymed with other fib local wave measurement: 2013 ATH ⇨ Covid19 low related to pre-covid local high determines exact levels of support and resistance during the correction of pandemic fueled bullrun What also deserves attention here is that direction of fibs which acted as support around 2019 and covid19 drop produces curve which mimics the support levels of 2023 growth. So crossing below the support curve would be seen as first sign of bear market. Till that it has a time for growth justified by chart-based parabolic curve. 2 fibs derived from chart shows a decade of price & time interconnectedness which adds validity of the colored base structure. This is important for scaling the fractal and estimating the boundaries of growth distinctive to the historic cycles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
6
FPI: Irony Behind The DeclineFibonacci interconnection between Higher Low, Higher High and series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The side of breakout from this narrowing formation will determine the direction of trend. The fibonacci lines derived from the structure covers the limits of breakout wave. If the price resumes its downtrend, I can only assume the market is still digesting the impact of deteriorating fundamentals. When I first learned about the situation, I could hardly believe it. Essentially, the anti-immigration and protectionist policies Nebraska’s farm owners voter for, have triggered a labor exodus, as migrant workers in masses preemptively abandoned farms to avoid impending ICE crackdowns. This sudden labor shortage lowered rental income potential and more importantly affected land valuations — both of which are fundamental drivers of financial performance. At the same time, the fact that the farms depend on fertilizers 90% of which come from Canada - adds another layer of uncertainty amid ongoing trade tensions. This raises the risk of input cost spikes that could further erode profit margins. As operating costs rise and productivity declines, farmland becomes an increasingly unattractive asset class, prompting investors to reassess the value of agricultural holdings. The result is a broad collapse in prices — ironically driven by the very political and economic decisions that were believed to protect these rural businesses. If this isn’t something out of parallel universe, I don’t know what is.
NYSE:FPI
by fract
The Daily Edge - 11th Mar 2025 Price breaks consolidation lows, but shorts remain on hold. Market Context: - Monday closed below the last three days of consolidation, signaling potential downside. - No short entries taken yet as price hasn’t reached our POI at 2935-2940. - Price retraced to 50 percent levels on both 4H and Daily, sitting in discount, not an ideal short zone. - Major news events this week: - CPI on Wednesday - PPI on Thursday - Expect deceptive price action leading into the releases. Current Plan: - Tracking a Market Maker Sell Model on 15M. - Watching for a 3.5 - 4 range expansion from initial consolidation, aligning with our short POI at 2935-2940 (see attached TradingView chart). - If price breaches 2930, we look for weakness at 2935-2940 for shorts. - Short target is the previous daily low at 2830. What’s Next: - No trades until price reaches our POI. Avoiding trades in the middle of the range. - Staying cautious of pre-news manipulation. CPI and PPI could trigger fake moves before a real breakout. - Waiting for a clean setup. If structure shifts, we adapt. Key Reflection: How does waiting for price to trade into a high-probability zone improve execution and reduce unnecessary risk? Trade with clarity and control. Hand-drawn charts keep you calm and focused. Join the PipsnPaper community today.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PipsnPaper
4
MSTR | Back to 120s / Double Digits | FractalPrice action blew off to a high around $540 and since then closed back under the historical close. The goal here is to see price action consolidate under resistance in the preparation for a major sell-off To invalidate all of this I would like to see more of an accumulation pattern back above major resistance, but if we see an increase in aggressive selling then price will be hunting for at least $120. Price action also looked a bit familiar to the 2021 sell-off with the same blow-off-top and a ABC pattern breakdown After the C sell-off price retraced back to B and then finally flushed out back to major support Current price action has pretty much done the first phase and we should expect some consolidation before the next big move.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Nathanl19
Will this bottoming pattern return you 300%?Dearest reader, superrare has been showing tremendous strength during the recent downtrend by which RARE captured my eye. A whopping 4000% increase in volume in just one day might be a sign for things to come. Looking at the above chart a couple of things stand out. Looking at the current bars pattern is looks eerily similar to the one from August 2024 (blue arrows). I expect resistanceline A to be hit in the near future, from current price this would be 100% gain. If broken the sky is the limit but be aware of resistanceline B. If that is broken... expect massive gains! Target: 0.35$ Stoploss: 0.046$ Rustle
Long
by Rustlingjimmies
2
BTCUSDT - Last station: Chance to re-enterAfter the recent successful analysis, which you can see the link to on the right side of this page, I am here with another new analysis. Let me be honest. Bitcoin needs to break $99,500 to continue its upward movement. Otherwise, we expect Bitcoin to soon reach its last station, the $60,000-$65,000 range. This range is, in my personal opinion, the best range for buying Bitcoin heavily and taking profits in the third and fourth quarters. On the four-hour time frame, we have two good liquidity levels that are likely to clear very soon. Overall, my view on Bitcoin is bearish in the short term and this view will not change until I see a break of $99,500. In the next few days, we have important economic data such as the NFP. This data is likely to lead to a lot of volatility in the stock and crypto markets. So please be careful. I hope you have benefited from this analysis. Please support my newly established page. Good luck, dear friends.
Short
by alixjey
1
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it. (hopefully this link shows the chart) pbs.twimg.com My response is below. --- This is a really good question! Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it. That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25. But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21. Here’s the correct way to draw the trends. If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up. This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.

I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI. Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot! It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend. I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting. I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jonnieking