Fractal
BTCUSD - M15 Short-Term Downside - Timing Today's USD NewsAnalysis of overall situation:
We had a strong push up (to the left)
We're now in a retracement phase.
Usually there are 3 pushes down before the retracement is done. We're on that 3rd push phase.
I'm looking to Buy overall, so this is a short-term scalp in line with the retracement. (The Buy scenario is the orange SnDR zone lower)
H4 candles still showing weakness, indicating the retracement isn't done yet. Also, the spike from the previous M15 low happened at the new day, which hints it's not the real low.
Waiting for the market to first take liquidity off the high of today, ideally enter into the gap (blue zone) then create strong Bearish candles.
Entry will be on any M5/M15 retracement - after a break of structure. Also eventually breaking the current upward trendline.
Targeting the M15 low
Timing for this entry is after the USD News at NY Session.
If market hits the invalidation level marked, then this idea is discarded.
ETH is trying to get back into the falling wedge !Hello Traders 🐺,
First of all, I want to thank you all for your incredible support recently! My last idea about ETH is going absolutely viral , and now I’ve decided to share a quick update on the short-term price movement.
As you can see in the picture above, ETH is currently below an orange resistance line and above a key support level , which, in my personal humble opinion, could be very bullish for the following reasons:
1️⃣ A falling wedge is usually considered a bullish pattern , but what makes it extremely bullish ? When the price breaks below the falling wedge’s support line and comes back into it with a huge wick to the downside.
💡 But why is that bullish?
Because it can be considered a bear trap , shaking out weak hands, and showing us that the bulls are here and ready to take control. This could result in a strong move to the upside.
📈 As you might know, the price target for a falling wedge is typically the top of the wedge , which in this case is around $4,000 .
2️⃣ The second reason is very simple , and we already discussed it in my previous idea about BTC.D (you can find the link below this idea). So, make sure to read it carefully because the overall condition of altcoins depends on it.
📌 Also, I plan to publish a new update about BTC.D in the near future , so make sure to follow me for upcoming updates!
( this is not a financial advice ! )
Altseason Ahead? Bullish Divergence Signals a ShiftThere are conflicting views on whether we are entering an altseason. However, when comparing altcoins to Bitcoin, we can see a bullish divergence forming, signaling an increased probability of an upcoming altseason.
Do you think this is the beginning, or is Bitcoin dominance still too strong?
$BTC Fib Probabilistic MapAdjusted version of previous charts for experimental purposes
Time and Price related fibonacci channels are sourced from the cycle of Covid Low and 2022 Low.
Previously I used the steepest (time related) fib channels all the way back from 2014.
I chose the source from covid cycle over the prehistoric one to witness how price behaves to more recently formed angles.
NVIDIA: Fib Fractal MappingConsidering all those observed fractal patterns from:
A fractal to narrow in would be:
Let's unfold:
This means we have identified scalable structural basis.
Fibonacci Mapping
Validation of Metrics via Resonation:
Validation of Fibonacci channel tilt:
Fractals of Previous Cycle:
Scalable Fractals:
Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios.
REGULARITIES
Continuous Fractal
Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force.
A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level.
A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties.
This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt.
Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fractal Hierarchy
TSLA: Fractal-Based Timing [FA]Coverage of the chart as a reflexion of reality without TA bias because the chart is already a self-referential source.
Visualizing the relativistic structure of price movements using Fibonacci Channels, mapping historical significance onto a probabilistic framework. The intersections of these channels define areas of probability density, highlighting potential attractors and repellers for price. This structured projection offers a fractal-based roadmap of price behavior, where past cyclical relationships guide future targets.
Frames of Reference:
HH 2021 × LL 2023 → LL 2024
Regressive HH 2021 → LL 2024
Regressive LL 2023 → HH 2024
Interconnected historic prices project probabilistic levels at intersections (Interference Pattern in QM). Use them to evaluate your own targets.
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone,
This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here:
My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief.
As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
PLTR: Superposition of 2 FractalsMerging 2 regularities into Unified Fractal Fibonacci Framework:
Fractal Cycle Correlation
Broad
Fibonacci Channels, where two coordinates define direction and a third maps a cycle, reveal the relationship between historical price points. The intersections of these lines mark zones of probability density, where price is drawn toward (or repelled) from key psychological levels.
EUR/USD Trade Idea: Potential Short Setup
📊 Pair: EUR/USD
💡 Trade Bias: Bearish
• Sell Entry: Around 1.04611
• Take Profit (TP): 1.02118
• Key Level (IDM): 1.04344
🎯 Plan:
Currently, the 30M CHoCH has confirmed bearish intent. Waiting for price to mitigate the 30M order block, then dropping to the 5M timeframe for a CHoCH flip and refined entry.
• Confirmation: Liquidity sweep and strong bearish momentum on the 5M after mitigation.
🚨 Note: Patience is key. Entries are approximate and depend on mitigation and structure flip.
Bless Trading!
USDJPY Short IdeaBased on the recent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) stance regarding interest rates, along with the current trends in U.S. Treasury yields, we might see a strengthening of the Japanese Yen in the coming month.
The BoJ's potential policy changes signal a more hawkish approach, which could increase demand for the Yen. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields appear to be stabilizing, reducing the divergence between the two economies' monetary policies.
Considering these factors, a short position on USD/JPY could be a viable opportunity. I'll be closely monitoring key levels and economic data releases to confirm this scenario.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Masoud Eskandari
Trader since 2011
BTC Fractal PredictionFacts:
The orange oval shows the part of the chart I used to create the forecast.
Yelllow green zones are demand FVGs and purple zones are supply. The green zone signifies the demand order block, and the zones are based on 9h TF.
Fibs are based on long term levels (not drawn from renko values).
*Note this is a Renko chart
Opinion:
If the prediction has any semblance to what will happen, it would be reasonable to suggest longs are accumulating down to maybe 88k without going too low where traders will then try to grab as much liquidity from 91-99k on the way up to sell after they push the price past ATH. A wick down to 88k, as low as even 84k could be expected here, and if the fear index continues dropping we might even see 80k being the target with a wick down to 76k. A bottom in the 70k range might result in an ATH target around 169k, while 141k would be what I think is the next top for a less extreme scenario, 123-125k being either the consolidation or retracement level for all cases. Next level after 141/169 would be the big 200k, where in most attempts at using this method of pattern prediction has shown it would very quickly retrace from.
As time passes, confidence in the 73k level as final support is increasing quickly as VWAPS, ATR based supports and moving averages continue to meet and surpass that price level on longer and longer timeframes and lengths. It might require very specific circumstances along with a very coordinated selloff to cause the price to drop below 73. How the market reacts once we break our 91k support will be interesting to see as there are more new investors and crytpo derivatives this season than ever.
Bitcoin 874d, 218d channels explored. Today I explore and log the patterns of Bitcoins 2015-2018 cycle using a simple SMA, Puell Multiple, NUPL indicators.
"Bitcoin: Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL)"
As I measure the capitulation on the 2015 period we get a upwards channel that forms the majority major trend of the Bitcoin bull market, so far I got 847d because the BPM, NUPL started to tap the upper trend line including the Pi cycle that also experiences a break out.
After the breakout of the sideways up trending channel occurred we follow a 218d period of what I could call it the "vertical phase" of the bull market.
So far monitoring this situation in todays market we are right at the end of the range where the next logical move could occur. Understandable if this market repeats it has some serious price valuations that could occur before year end.
Is it crazy to believe we could be over $150,000 by the end of the march? I don't really think so.
Interesting events are unfolding and if this next move is as volatile as the 2015 cycle I think we should expect a similar pattern emerging where capital FOMO's into Bitcoin once again.
Thank you.