SEI vs early SOL ; the fractal comparisonSEI vs early SOL ; the fractal comparison
Basically underlying DEX/exchange tech/layers are going to be super important. So if it works well it should do well. Fair enough.
I saw someone on twitter (sorry cant remember where first) regurgitating this fractal comparison, trying to frame some pump potential.. ok i like doing that too. :)
The token seems quite popular.. but its not really like SOL is it.. also no SBF to pump to infinity treatment.
anyway lets see if this random comparison works out. :P
gl
Fractal
CHZ: buy low of big candle📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 0.1496
🛑Stop Loss: 0.1471
🎯Take Profit: 0.1532 - 0.1573 - 0.1623
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mirorPortocol... tecnicall analysis We In the price of 0.0096. We entered an upward trend. According to the previous cycle, where you can see the fall, I marked it with red vertical lines. We can grow as much. And I saw a bullish flag on the chart which completed the bullish confirmation .This currency is risky, but I like these currencies because it can bring you success sooner. Despite all the risks, I still choose it.
DOGE Fractal: Following THIS Pattern? 📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here):
Doge has been following an interesting pattern recently in the daily timeframe - Elliot Waves. We see the 5 impulse waves up (wave1-5) followed by the abc correction waves. Then we have a period of range bound trading finally before the next wave1-5 starts. Here's where it get's technical in terms of the wave fractal:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
DOGE - Following BTC FRACTAL?🚀📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Fractals are a helpful way to identify how markets have previously moved. When identifying a similar pattern, it can be useful to speculate future potential price action.
Doge has been very profitable so far. Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here):
As BTC trades sideways/rage, we can expect to see altcoins play catch-up. From a correction perspective, this was the drawback for each coin during the corrective wave:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
DYDX: trade in pollback📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 3.446
🛑Stop Loss: 3.366
🎯Take Profit: 3.528-3.606
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Doge Megabull targets $2-3 by November 2025 - Up to 3,000% gainsHi everyone!
Today, lets dive in the technicals and boom and bust cycles of Dogecoin:
Short-term:
Doge will likely for the rest of the 2024 year remain in sideways and bound in the wide range delimited with the:
Support block (green box) at: 0.056-0.036; and,
Top resistance block (red box) at: 0.11-0.16c.
In the incoming days / weeks, I am expecting doge to rally (a bit similar to the blue fractal as reference) towards the top resistance block (red box) at 0.11-0.16c which would be a great opportunity to take a little profit off the table there. There is a chance that doge retraces down from that resistance block to the 0.07c support block again which would be a great rebuy in 2024. I do not anticipate lower target unless there is a black swan even, but I do not expect any currently.
Midterm:
There are clear patterns that repeat across Crypto on altcoins which I always point to for those familiar with my charting and in this case doge is clearly displaying those bottoming bull reversal patterns although still unconfirmed:
(1) Basing with a double bottom at 0.056-0.036c
(2) Rounding bottom (half blue circle)
Long-term:
Dogecoin has still not broken the top resistance block (red box) at 0.11-0.16c and is still very far from breaking the previous ATH at 0.74c~.
So buying know at 0.088c (see the WE ARE HERE arrow) is still considered an extremely cheap entry and you could still make a whopping 3,000% in gains if my 2025 forecast plays out as expected and we see Dogecoin top at either T1: $2 or at T2: $3 by October 2025 through December 2025.
Looking further ahead at the next bear market of 2026-2027 and based on the repetitive boom and bust cycles of doge and crypto, we could expect the final bottom to shape a nice rounding bottom bull reversal and double bottom buying opportunity at 0.61-044c!
Closing Notes:
This multiyear Dogecoin chart is my attempt at forecasting the action of doge for the next 4 years and will be updated regularly.
Please give a like and follow to this chart if you appreciate this chart and the work put behind it.
Best of luck and happy trading!
Carl M.
Bitcoin Halving Thesis - Cycle Top and Bottom w/ TargetsI’ve been tracking the Bitcoin Halving Cycle for many many moons, trying to analyze as many patterns as possible to give me confluence in a signal for this cycle’s top and bottom.
There’s five that I will focus on in this thread:
1. Trough to Peak
2. Halving to Peak
3. Peak to Trough
4. Trough to Trough
5. Fibonacci Extension
Note, I do not take the 1st Halving in 2012 into much consideration as it was a very immature market with a novel technology. There was obviously no market data prior to this Halving to base any TA on, so that’s another kicker. Technical Analysis is a self-fulfilling prophecy after-all.
Evidence in this bias comes from the past two cycles being nearly identical in all of the aforementioned.
The Halving Cycles I will focus on start in Jan. 2015 with the Trough to Peak being 1,068 Days. We then have a 363D Peak to Trough from Dec. 2017 to Dec. 2018.
It is similarly 1,059D from Trough to Peak in Nov. 2021 (-9D difference), and 378 Days back down from the Peak to Trough (+15D difference).
If we continue this Trough to Peak pattern of -9D difference adding 1,050D, that will put this Cycle Peak ~Oct. 6, 2025.
The Peak to Trough pattern of +15D with 393D would put our Cycle Bottom ~Nov. 3, 2026.
Now let’s look at the Halving to Peak. The last two Halving Cycles follow similar patterns again, while the first Halving does not.
2016-17 is 526D Halving to Peak, and 2020-21 is 546D, with a difference of +20D.
For the upcoming 2024 Halving ~Apr 22, 566D puts this Cycle’s Peak at Nov. 9, 2025. This correlates with the Trough to Peak Oct. 6 date to give us a 1 month range.
Next we’ll see the past two Halving Cycles Trough to Trough are highly correlated once again, whereas 2012 is not.
2015-18 it was 1,430D T to T.
2018-22 more closely resembles this cycle with 1,438D and a difference of 8D.
Following this pattern for 2022-26, adding on 1,446D would confirm the cycle’s bottom ~Nov. 6, 2026. That’s a 3D difference that we discovered in the Peak to Trough pattern.
The last thing I will cover is the Q3 2025 Price Target that I have found using the Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension.
Using this Fib from the 2015 low to 2017 high gives us a 3.618 level that is almost spot on with the 2021 Cycle Peak!
Using this again from the 2018 low to 2021 high, it would put the 3.618 ~240k. I’m not a fan of round numbers and would say $235k would be a bit more conservative to price the top.
I’ll be following this cycle very closely to see how this plays out and will share my analysis if the market detours from my thesis.
The point of this analysis is not to pick an exact date or price to sell, but to give a general range so you can be well prepared for when it happens.
I’ll most likely be selling CRYPTOCAP:BTC around the $200k range or Aug. - Sept 2025, whatever comes first, just to get ahead of the market.
I would rather miss out on those last gains on the way up than try to frantically exit on the way down.
If you enjoyed this analysis make sure to give me a follow and turn on notifications so that you can stay up to date with it.
Also Bookmark this thread so that you can come back for future reference
Happy Trading!
~FIN~
JK 👑
SOL - The FRACTAL you should WATCH📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
If you've been following me for a while, you'll know that SOLANA has been on the list of my top 20 altcoins to watch in 2024.
This particular fractal has played out extremely well, and we're about to move into the next phase of this fractal.
Here's the original post I made in January when I first starting watching this fractal:
From a technical indicator analysis, we can see that the price is still extremely bullish - but the RSI is running hot:
Note that this, again, confirms the need for a pullback/drop before considering the start of impulse wave 3 /pop.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:SOLUSD
BItcoin: Recent history relative to priorOn the basis of earlier probabilistic map (which captured how price is being governed by golden rule on a bigger scale) , I'd look for same relationship to interconnect the chart on the short-term too. So at this point it's also important
One of the earlier significant price developments would include the fact of bottoming late 2022 after the fall of -77%. Since currently the price is way above those levels, it allows the use of the line which connect covid and 2022 bottom. We also established that connection of two bottoms defines the wavelength 983 Days, thus the direction of that line can be used as axis of deviation plotted with fibs.
The direction of the fall of -77% can be used to define the frequency of cycles from late 2022.
Together they produce another interference patten that defines the uncertainty of the market. (Just to recap: The direction of fibs with shallow angle defines Price Deviation. Steep angle of direction defines the Time aspect of the waves. The steeper the angle the more it relates to timing.)
It is EASY to make money.Hi,
With the recent plunge in Bitcoin and altcoins, many of you may have been worried, and some of you may already be celebrating the recent rebound.
However, do not let your emotions take control over your trading account.
Market sentiment is a reflection of the individual psychology of each of us.
And as history has shown, those who hold on win. Hold on to your FOMO, hold on to your FEAR.
Below is a chart of SOL, which shows a huge move higher this cycle, AVAX, which is chasing it, DOGE, which has now broken above its consolidation zone, and FIL, which is still not out of the consolidation zone.
You can also find many examples of these asset cycles in the stock market. Here are some ideas. 🍀☢️
Conquer your FEAR and FOMO, and you WILL earn money.
1PERCENT
$JUP - Bullish to $10+2021 #UNI
vs
2024 #JUP
Zoom Out n Chill, anon.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL is CRYPTOCAP:ETH from 2021.
#JUP is #UNI from 2021.
#JUP is hands-down the #1 aggregator in the space and is regularly doing more volume than #UNI. However, #JUP is also much more than an aggregator. It is an all-in-one platform for all things Solana, is a perps exchange, a launchpad (with potentially shared revenue via staking), + much much more.
This project will be huge. You know I am bullish on CRYPTOCAP:SOL if you have been following my charts (see all my charts dating back to calling the bottom at $8 CRYPTOCAP:SOL ).
The fractal chart vs #UNI is a good baseline, and circulating market cap helps to put things in perspective where #JUP is at in the greater spectrum.
GL HF.
Elon is going to Mars, We are going to Jupiter.
- @CryptoCurb
(Curb)
Triangle chart pattern spotted again...looking for a sellwe see a wegde chart pattern the exact one as the one on our left so there is a possibility that we might have a drop and the leg of the break out of the previous wedge pattern is showing daily down trend am looking for the violation of the h1 uptrend that is occuring now...let me know what you guys think