Stick to shorting goldAs mentioned in my previous analysis, although gold remains in a clear uptrend, the signs of a short squeeze are increasingly evident. Therefore, in short-term trading, we should refrain from chasing long positions at this stage. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2760–2765 resistance zone, a significant corrective move could occur at any time, which is why my current focus remains on shorting gold.
From the current price structure, we can observe a pattern where gold rallies by $60–65 following each confirmed bullish signal, only to retrace by $40 thereafter. Since the last confirmed bullish signal, gold has already advanced $62, indicating a high probability of a $40 correction based on this historical pattern. This means gold could retrace to test the 2740–2730 support range or even approach the 2720 level during this phase of consolidation.
This is precisely why I prefer shorting gold in the current scenario. As my trading plan, I initiated a short position near the 2760 level and continue to hold it. Let’s aim to capitalize on this opportunity and secure profits from the downside ahead of most market participants. Here's to a promising outcome!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Fractal
Fractal Phenomenon Proves Simulation Hypothesis?The humanity is accelerating towards the times when virtual worlds will get so realistic that their inhabitants gain consciousness without realizing they exist in a simulation. The idea that we might be living in a simulation was widely introduced in 2003 by philosopher Nick Bostrom. He argued that if the civilization can create realistic simulations, the probability that we are living in one is extremely high.
Modern games only render areas that the player is observing, much like how reality might function in a simulation. Similarly, texture of game environments update as soon as they are viewed, reinforcing the idea that observation determines what is rendered.
QUANTUM MECHANICS: The Ultimate Clue
Quantum Mechanics challenges our fundamental understanding of reality, revealing a universe that behaves more like a computational process than a physical construct. The wave function (Ψ) describes a probability distribution, defining where a particle might be found. However, upon measurement, the particle’s position collapses into a definite state, raising a paradox: why does the smooth evolution of the wave function lead to discrete outcomes? This behavior mirrors how digital simulations optimize resources by rendering only what is observed, suggesting that reality itself may function as an information-processing system.
The Born Rule reinforces this perspective by asserting that the probability of finding a particle at a given location is determined by the square of the wave function’s amplitude (|Ψ|²). This principle introduced probability into the very foundations of physics, replacing classical determinism with a probabilistic framework. Einstein famously resisted this notion, declaring, “God does not play dice,” yet Quantum Mechanics has since revealed that randomness and structure are not opposing forces but intertwined aspects of reality. If probability governs the fabric of our universe, it aligns with how simulations generate dynamic outcomes based on algorithmic rules rather than fixed physical laws.
One of the most striking paradoxes supporting the Simulation Hypothesis is Schrödinger’s Cat, which illustrates the conflict between quantum superposition and observation. In a sealed box, a cat is both alive and dead until an observer opens the box, collapsing the wave function into a single state. This suggests that reality does not exist in a definite form until it is observed—just as digital environments in a simulation are rendered only when needed.
Similarly, superposition demonstrates that a particle exists in multiple states until measured, while entanglement reveals that two particles can be instantaneously correlated across vast distances, defying classical locality. These phenomena hint at an underlying informational structure, much like a networked computational system where data is processed and linked instantaneously.
Hugh Everett’s Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) takes this concept further by suggesting that reality does not collapse into a single outcome but instead branches into parallel universes, where each possible event occurs. Rather than a singular, objective reality, MWI posits that we exist within a constantly expanding system of computational possibilities—much like a simulation running countless parallel computations. Sean Carroll supports this view, arguing that the wave function itself is the fundamental reality, and measurements merely reveal different branches of an underlying universal structure.
If our reality behaves like a quantum computational system—where probability governs outcomes, observation dictates existence, and parallel computations generate multiple possibilities—then the Simulation Hypothesis becomes a compelling explanation. The universe’s adherence to mathematical laws, discrete quantum states, and non-local interactions mirrors the behavior of an advanced simulation, where data is processed and rendered in real-time based on observational inputs. In this view, consciousness itself may act as the observer that dictates what is “rendered,” reinforcing the idea that we exist not in an independent, physical universe, but within a sophisticated computational framework indistinguishable from reality.
Fractals - Another Blueprint of the MATRIX?
Price movements wired by multi-cycles shaping market complexity. Long-term cycles define the broader trend, while short-term fluctuations create oscillations within that structure. Bitcoin’s movement influencing Altcoins exemplifies market entanglement—assets affecting each other, much like quantum particles. A single event in a correlated market can ripple across the entire system like in Butterfly effect. Just as a quantum particle exists in multiple states until observed, price action is a probability field—potential breakouts and breakdowns coexist until liquidity shifts. Before a definite major move, the market, like Schrödinger’s cat, remains both bullish and bearish until revealed by Fractal Hierarchy.
(Model using Weierstrass Function )
A full fractal cycle consists of multiple oscillations that repeat in a structured yet complex manner. These cycles reflect the inherent scale-invariance of market movements—where the same structural patterns appear.. By visualizing the full fractal cycle:
• We observe the relationship between micro-movements and macro-structures.
• We track the transformation of price behavior as the fractal unfolds across time.
• We avoid misleading interpretations that come from looking at an incomplete cycle, which may appear random or noisy
From Wave of Probability to Reality
1. Fractal Probability Waves – The market does not move in a straight line but rather follows a probabilistic fractal wave, where past structures influence future movements.
2. Emerging Reality – As the price action unfolds, these probability waves materialize, turning potential fractal paths into actual price trends.
3. Scaling Effect – The same cyclical behavior repeats at different scales (6H vs. 1W in this case), reinforcing the concept that price movements are self-similar and probabilistically driven.
If psychology of masses that shapes price dynamics is governed by mathematical sequences found in nature, it strongly supports the Simulation Hypothesis
Do you think we live in a simulation? Let’s discuss in comments!
XRP Big Picture Grinding HIGHER? XRPUSDT Buy Long only for Us! XSeeking Pips likes XRP HIGHER STILL!
Yes price has stalled somewhat but ✅️HIGHER TIMEFRAMES still call for $4 xrp MINIMUM TARGET in our opinion.
As Stated on our shared analysis last week on 15/01/25 🟢SeekingPips🟢 thinks below $5 XRPUSD REMAINS A BARGAIN as a LONG TERM HOLD.👌
Daily Chart BULL FLAG remains in play and SeekingPips continues to see BULLISH REACTIONS on our LOWER timeframe CHARTS and PRICE LEVELS we have identified and shared until now.
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Weakening USD $DXY after the Trump Inauguration? In the last Trump administration, the USD TVC:DXY declined in 2017 post-inauguration
I believe history could repeat itself, potentially boosting risk assets in 2025 like crypto and AMEX:IWM
Between the 2024 election and the 2025 inauguration, the USD strengthened, mirroring the 2016/2017 period, supporting this thesis
Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits?
On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points.
Current Situation
🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements.
🔸 Historical correction analysis:
For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal:
- The first correction resulted in a 25% drop.
- The second correction saw a 65% drop.
- Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward?
Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop?
My Decision
Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside.
Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
EUR/JPY ANALYSIS LOOK HEREThis is eur/jpy analysis,market overall is downside trend because price is breaking market structure to the downside,so we're looking for sell opportunity at the moment price is heading toward supply zone a good area to sell eur/jpy also there is fair value gap near the supply zone.before enter a trade wait for the change of character to happen in 1 hour or 30 min.wait till fair value gap be filled.trade safe
LONG on XMR/USDTI'm opening a long position on XMR/USDT based on a broader market narrative. As regulatory frameworks around cryptocurrency are expanding globally, privacy coins like Monero (XMR) stand to benefit significantly.
With privacy-focused features becoming increasingly valuable in a regulated landscape, Monero could experience substantial growth. From a technical standpoint, the chart shows , aligning with this fundamental view.
Targeting with a stop-loss at to manage risk.
Let's see how this idea plays out! 🚀
What do you think of this analysis? Feedback is welcome!
XRP Longs ONLY XRPUSD BUYS - Daily Bull Flag Still Good?🟢You know by now SeekingPips is looking for any opportunities to add to our XRP holdings.
🟡Yellow line is current line in the sand.
Needs to hold $3 otherwise an equal move down on this timeframe still leaves the Daily Bull Flag Valid.📈
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XTZ Tezos 7x? SeekingPips First Look! TIME & PRICE MEET?ℹ️As noted in the title Tezos XTZ is NOT something SeekingPips has had on his RADAR BUT....
You know by now that for 🟢SeekingPips🟢 PRICE is ALWAYS SECOND to TIME.
Our TIME FILTER BELLS are ringing HARD VERY HARD.
✅️Those of you who have been around SeekingPips for sometime KNOW WELL that I care not about any news or fundermental analysis, we are strictly MATH based TIME TRADERS in here so when the stars align and our TIME filters TRIGGER we sit up.
✅️You will know too that when 🟢SeekingPips🟢 decides to use a TRENDLINE that SeekingPips SEES SOMETHING COOKING.
✅️Also I just want to remind you that we only LONG CRYPTO. Any selling we do is strictly to bank something. Therefore the majority of our CRYPTO CHARTS will have a BULLISH BIAS.
⚠️However it DOES NOT MEAN that we necessarily have a valid trigger to enter the market at that moment a chart is shared.
⭐️We have our alerts ready and very clear key levels on the chart NOW WE SIT & WAIT and see how the LOWER TIMEFRAMES STRUCTURE develops around our TRENDLINE TO START.⭐️
No doubt we will have more to talk on this in the NEAR FUTURE.
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EURUSD OUTLOOK 20 - 24 JANA very simple setup on EU. We have two liquidity points being the Weekly high and low which currently have about an equal chance of being taken.
Currently structure on the 1H is bearish and will be looking to short targeting the weekly low. If price starts to give bullish structure then the weekly high will be my target.
Strict risk management is key to getting through a setup like this where we have equal chances of going in either direction.
Flow with the market and follow your rules
M15 'Real' Market StructureFor those who are interested in what we do inside traderbuddy (besides the 28Dto100K Challenge offcourse).
Here is a markup M15 ES with 'Real' Market Structure.
For clarity, offically we are still in a downtrend on the M15 and waiting to see how it will react to the 'Extreme'
BTC Short OpportunityFollowing the initiation of a bearish fractal on the monthly Bitcoin chart, the weekly long liquidation has been triggered. I anticipate a price retracement within the identified regions. A new all-time high would be unexpected, but given Bitcoin's volatility, it's not entirely out of the question.
The daily chart has exhibited three instances of manipulative price action.