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CAC40 Fails to make New All Time HighsThe French CAC40 has struggled to break above the resistance zone into all time new highs. The ECB has promised cutting rates further negative and more stimulus...we shall wait to see the developments, but so far the markets have already priced that in and sold off today after the announcement. The CAC40 on the 4 hour shows 2/3 market trends. We had an uptrend with well defined higher lows and higher highs, and now we are ranging. On the current candle, we had a fake out with the wick above, and the bears are stepping in. Await for a break of the 5535 zone before entering a short. See how strong the candle break is and we can assess the trade when that happens.
TVC:CAC40Short
by Uncharted-FX
CAC 40: Very strong long term upside potential. 6700 on sight.CAC is quite strangely printing on the big 1W/1M time frames a similar trading pattern with the early - mid 90s. The MA50/200 sequence is identical within a Channel Up with two distinct peaks that broke the Channel momentarily before testing again the supporting trend line. What stands out in particular is the +46.50% rebound from the first Higher Low on both cycles. What follows after is a giant Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which gave rise to the second peak outside the Channel Up. CAC40 is currently on that Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern attempting to price the Right Shoulder. With such striking similarities it is only natural to assume that the current cycle will follow to a large extent the 90's cycle. Which means that after the Inverse Head and Shoulders is completed a +49.50% rise may follow (second peak outside the Channel) bringing the index close to 6,700. This is our long term target for CAC and the candle action times this by March 2020. After that the final Higher Low takes place which should pave the way for the new hyper aggressive cyclical bull market similar to the late 90s - 2000. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
TVC:CAC40Long
by InvestingScope
2
CAC40 Rejoins Channel, Technicals Flash OverboughtWhile the CAC40 gave traders an almost perfect technical upward channel for January February and most of March, that channel was broken last week only to be somewhat regained over the past few sessions. It still does not know however if that channel support line is now resistance or still support. Moving averages all signal upward momentum while bull bear sentiment and RSI flash that this index is overbought. I'm not confident in equities right now. They all seem overbought and tend to be universally stagnant. Let's see how much further we can go though.
TVC:CAC40
by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot3
Former Support Channel as Resistance?This is such an interesting technical channel that we saw stemming back from December 2018. While, it failed to continue and broke through, it seems like now price action wants to use that former lower section of the channel that was support as resistance. However, this one is not as perfect as the channel that had formed as price action is creeping back into the channel. Either way, this one is still a fun one to watch considering how technically perfect it was acting for quite a while.
TVC:CAC40
by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot3
Channel broken a bit early, but could indicate bear marketMy call on CAC40 is changed from long to neutral now that global markets are increasing their fear on a global slowdown. This is evident in markets around the world as Asian markets plunged today as did European. US is set to be down as well. Overall, the channel break is incredibly disheartening for those expecting higher gains as it was a huge move down (3 percent). If you were not in this trade closer to the bottom, you may have missed your chance. If you didn't sell before this dip then you may have made some money. For those shorter-term traders, you may have already missed the train. We could get back in this channel tomorrow, but that seems unlikely. I'm actually more neutral to short than neutral, but Trading View only gives us three options so I prefer not a drastic shift from long to short. Let's see what happens over the next few days.
TVC:CAC40
by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot3
A different outlook for French Equities....2019 prediction=> Here we have a different view for French Equities as those who are following our telegram will already know. The case can be made that we are in a very large IVth wave of the V wave pattern since post 2008 crisis. => From a technical perspective this looks like a very large correction and should not continue its decline further than 38.2% (4525.x) => Anything below here will start to show serious cracks in the uptrend and will suggest the top for French Equities (not expected) may already be set in stone. => Here for 2019 we will add exposure to the upside on the test of 4525 with tight stops at 4165. => Best of luck all those in French and other European Equities
INDEX:CAC40Long
by ridethepig
1
Kick The CACThe French stock market is painting an inverted triangle formation. Though not yet confirmed, this can portend lower prices ahead. We are currently rounding over. A weekly close above the prior weeks' high would negate bearishness for now, whilst a weekly closing below the last swing low would confirm the pattern and target the purple area. While pundits claim the US stock market rally, it is far more prudent to short markets that are seeing material capital outflows, especially in failed states such as France.
OANDA:FR40EURShort
by TheRealPeaches
Selling Position - AUD/CHF I am so glad to be back posting after more then a year. My technical's are bleeding that its oversold but due to the fundamental for the Aussie being so poor keep a tight look on this but from what I can see its a great R:R. The technical side looks great. We haven't seen AUD/CHF at this level since 2016 so hopefully that level will be supported and expect a rally of at least 200+ pips. We also have a hidden bullish divergence so that should also tick another box of an upside.
Long
by Jamal92
2
Please Mind the CACOn the 24th April the CAC 40 made a huge gap up, from 5050 to 5260. An incredible 4%. In fact it is the largest gap we can see historically as far back as 2008. Gaps, as trades know, 'always' get filled. Statistically its more like 90% of the time. Whether bullish or bearish on the European reflation story, this trade is the same.. French stocks are likely to pull back to close this gap, before either continuing on their rally, or otherwise. Trade execution: A conservative way to play this would be see the actual gap as being highest high previously, which is actually 5140 (blue line). A more aggressive short target would be the 5050 from where it jumped.
INDEX:CAC40Short
by MVedra
Understanding the Euro at it's current state. Update*This is an updated chart, taking into consideration other factors which are currently unfolding on the EUR/USD. The 200-SMA line has come close to the price action, possibly signifying a bounce to higher prices. However, there is a strong trend line nearby, where many other buyers will also be waiting. This area of demand can help facilitate more downward price action in favor of sideways or more upward buying pressure. Currently, buyers and sellers must work together to trade the price to a more favorable area, either higher or lower, but definitely not sideways. Ideally, sellers will be able to bring in enough selling pressure, to push the Euro into further demand which will be waiting below, and allow then for the buyers to try creating some upward movement. This movement can then be taken on at a later date, once the Euro is safely below the 200-SMA. These current indications of competition between bulls and bears are easily related back to the French elections, which had seen volatility pick up in the indices worldwide, as the current stock indices gapping up have been correlated to the elections themselves taking place. Now that Macron has won, prices seem to be turning around at a 'peak.' This is similar to the election in the U.S.A., with Trump's victory leading to new highs, however this is only stock market euphoria within the psychology of investors. As easily as prices went up, just as easily will prices come down.
by Yqztv09