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DOLLAR_INDX, H4 7 March 2024DOLLAR_INDX, H4 7 March 2024 The Dollar Index has descended to its lowest point in a month, currently trading below 103.50 levels. The dollar faced significant downward pressure primarily due to the dovish stance communicated in Powell's testimony that began yesterday. Powell indicated an expectation that the U.S. central bank will initiate rate cuts this year. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for Friday, as it may offer insights into the potential timing of the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting actions. The dollar index traded eased from its crucial liquidity zone and plunged to its one-month high, suggesting a bearish bias for the dollar. Suggesting that bearish momentum is gaining. Resistance level: 103.70, 104.50📉 Support level: 102.90, 102.00📈
TVC:DXYShort
by top_fx
CL OIL H4 5 March 2024CL OIL, H4 In the latest session, oil prices saw a decline of over 1.3%, following a surge prompted by OPEC+'s announcement to extend its supply cut measures. The downturn is attributed to profit-taking activities among traders as oil prices neared their highest point since last November. Market participants are closely monitoring the ongoing developments from China's People's Congress meeting, with updates from the event anticipated to significantly influence oil price trends. Oil prices have declined to their support level of 78.65 level, which is at a potential rebound level. Suggesting the bullish momentum is easing. Resistance level: 78.65, 81.20 Support level: 75.20, 71.80
TVC:USOILLong
by top_fx
USDJPY H4 5 March 2024 USD/JPY, H4 The USD/JPY pair continues to move within a broad sideways range as traders await a catalyst to determine the pair's direction. The recently released Tokyo Core CPI reading, which came in at 2.5%, aligning with market expectations and marking an increase from the previous 1.8%, has sparked speculation of a potential rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This development could lead to a strengthening of the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY ticked up slightly but remains trading within its sideways range, given a neutral signal for the pair. Resistance level: 150.80, 151.70 Support level: 149.40, 147.60
by top_fx
EURUSD H4 5 March 2024EUR/USD, H4 The Euro remains in a holding pattern as investors await crucial monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank later this week. Anticipated to maintain steady interest rates, the ECB faces the challenge of easing inflation. ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos emphasises the need for more data on Eurozone inflation, currently at 2.6%, before considering rate adjustments. Investors remain attentive to ECB decisions for potential trading signals. EUR/USD is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might extend its gains after breakout. Resistance level: 1.0865, 1.0954 Support level: 1.0765, 1.0710
Long
by top_fx
GBPUSD H4 5 March 2024GBP/USD, H4 The Pound Sterling maintains a positive trajectory, supported by an optimistic economic outlook articulated by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. Sunak emphasized that the UK economy is on the right track, hinting at potential tax cuts in the upcoming budget. Despite the lack of clarity on budget details, investors are advised to vigilantly monitor developments for nuanced trading signals. GBP/USD is trading higher while currently testing the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might extend its gains after breakout Resistance level:1.2710, 1.2785 Support level: 1.2635, 1.2530
Long
by top_fx
XAUUSD H4 5 March 2024XAU/USD, H4 Gold prices have undergone a significant rally, approaching the historic high at $2146.80. The surge is fueled by market sentiment speculating on the potential for the Federal Reserve's first rate cut in June. Investors eagerly await cues from both Wednesday's testimony by Powell and Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report to assess the likelihood of a June rate cut. The precious metal has long been favoured during times of lower interest rates, and current market dynamics are reinforcing its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices have broken above the uptrend channel and continue to gain, suggesting that gold is trading with an extremely strong bullish momentum. Suggesting the bullish momentum is gaining. Resistance level: 2117.90, 2140.00 Support level: 2088.20, 2068.80
FX:XAUUSDLong
by top_fx
DOLLAR_INDX,DXY H4 5 March 2024DOLLAR_INDX, H4 The Dollar Index hovered within a remarkably tight range as investors braced for significant events in the week ahead. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve Chair, who is scheduled to testify before Congress. Market participants widely speculate that the Fed Chief will emphasise the central bank's commitment to its monetary tightening stance. The expectation is that there will be no haste in adjusting rates downward until there's clear evidence that inflation has sustainably settled below the 2%target. The Dollar Index traded flat, giving no clues for the upcoming movement. Resistance level: 104.50, 104.95 Support level: 103.70, 102.90
TVC:DXY
by top_fx
DOLLAR_INDX,DXY H4 4 March 2024DOLLAR_INDX, H4 The Dollar Index faced a decline last Friday as the market's risk sentiment underwent a shift. Discouraging ISM manufacturing PMI readings weighed on the dollar, prompting investors to sell the currency and turn their attention to riskier assets. Throughout the upcoming week, several members of the Federal Reserve are scheduled to deliver speeches. These addresses are anticipated to provide insights into the Fed's potential monetary moves, influencing the trajectory of the dollar's strength. The Dollar Index has declined but has found support at near 103.85, suggesting the bullish trend remains intact. Suggesting a neutral signal for the dollar index. Resistance level: 104.50, 104.95 Support level: 103.70, 102.90
TVC:DXY
by top_fx
USDJPY H4 4 March 2024USD/JPY, H4 USD/JPY experiences uncertainty due to mixed monetary policy statements from Bank of Japan members. While Hajime Takata signals a potential exit from ultra-loose policy with the inflation target in sight, Governor Kazuo Ueda provides a contradictory view, emphasising the need for confirmation in a positive wage-inflation cycle. This mixed sentiment continues to fuel uncertainty for the USD/JPY pair. USD/JPY is trading lower following the prior retracement from the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might extend its losses since the RSI stays below the midline. Resistance level: 150.80, 151.70 Support level: 149.40, 147.60
Short
by top_fx