AUD USD - update (daily timeframe focus)The audio didn't record in the last one, so here is an update.
G'day,
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Volume profile added
Value area up and down purple & Blue respectively are important to note in where price is taking us.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Freshsupply
GBP JPY - Fresh supply since 2016, what now?G'day,
Firstly, welcome back to 2024. It's been a good start with some great consolidative moves within trading ranges, but now let's see the longer term movements for this pair of focus. GBP JPY.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
For simplicity purposes, terminology is provided in layman's terms to reach a wider audience.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
SPX into 2024G'day,
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Daily Chart
Weekly chart
Monthly
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 7+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIII
Nas100, awaiting opportunities after relief rallyG'day,
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged Short, until the opportunity for a close reaches the profit taking zone. This will be activated as long, short term longs are activated to note. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note, at current we are awaiting confirmation of a Bearish move.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence.
Fresh level mark up analysis provided from Monthly to Daily,
Monthly
Fresh level created on market top/ all time high
When a fresh supply is confirmed on the daily, weekly confirmation allows the distal and proximal line to be created.
Await the confirmation to tail off with an inside bar, falling three method or rising (ascending) wedge pattern forms.
The main aspect here is to understand the probability of the fresh level, signifies the bullish structure is phasing, phased out. Now a risk-adjusted probability of confidence >95% shows a fresh zone and structure left using the curve provides clear points to hold to for profit zones and or new accumulation orders.
Weekly
Price has reacted on a first tap - upon a fresh level which is half way down the structure - pointing to the weekly, monthly zone.
As a FL/OL - the first tap upon the zone will be a highly probable bullish zone as it's a fresh arrival to the destination, allowing buyers to fuel the buying orders awaiting.
The steap weekly curve has now been broken, where price will fuel an intra-channel move towards a PCP level, where price will react at a former hurdle weekly supply - creating a range (noting) the market is still in control to the downside. - Fresh supply, remains heavy sell orders.
Daily Chart
Weekly curve has been broken (using the daily curve line)
Upon a broken reactive test of the zone shows a perfect rejection and lower low retest which aligns with (November 2020).
Now with letting price react over two, three days allowing confirms to break the zone and re-test said zone. Upon a retest, the distal line is now clearer and the risk-adjusted trade can be input for long opportunities.
Where next?
Probable range - upon strong supply and fresh zone.
Weekly hurdle will be broken?
Probability of this fresh zone, unlikely, but not impossible with confirmations.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXII
BTC - still long, the retrace has arrived. Update to BTC:
A fresh all time high, created a great drop to fill the balance.
A new fresh top formed. Price has fallen but stopped at a great level of imbalance.
What now?
We will expect price to form a pin bar - for the bulls to close out the 7500-8000$ drop, however price will close within a nice range between the fresh top and new demand break.
If you are holding longs and still comfortable.
continue to hold with hedges accordingly at levels where price has reacted .
The chart shows us:
Maxed out weekly, monthly tops, creating a new all time high for the coin.
with a strong bullish movement, a potential correctional movement can take place in the run up to the holiday season.
Keep track of the US impact for the stimulus bill and further pumping of data on unemployment. - the stimulus package has now been agreed for $900bn and the vaccines are now rolling out.
The US market is looking to continue growth upon the federal spending and position itself with forecasted growth into 2021.
Zones to watch for long additions.
$24,000 - 25,550
$30k target - nearly there, however 29k is the -0.786 extension target. - this was completed over the weekend 2nd, 3rd January.
We now have an imbalance to fill back to $22.5 to 24k - this will be the pivot level for longterm outlooks.
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners through to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes.
If you feel our work is exceptional and would like to donate coins, this is highly appreciated.
Regardless we will continue producing analysis.
Thanks,
Team Lupa
BTC USD - showing longsHello,
We have currently had a second all time high for BTC reaching the weekly high again.
We now have two great imbalance ones at 16,000 and one below on a weekly $15,000.
Looking at our rejection yesterday on a slim volume day, BTC does not derive of the dollar as much as contrary to belief.
This non Fiat currency is now showing support and fresh buys at 16,000.
Again, we will trade upon confirmation where price taps again to retest or rejection has occurred and $20,000 is the next long target to hold.
If price chooses to break 16k, this in invalid and our lower zone comes into force.
Many thanks,
good luck in your trading.
Lupa