Ftmo
US30 Mean Reversion TradeThis is a daily chart of the #US30 taken this morning. It's important to note that today ties the longest run of the year without the daily bar testing the 20 day moving average.
Back in August, it ran away for 24 days, ultimately to come down aggressively on that day to touch/retest the average. Today, we're extended yet again by 24 days and traders are aware that a mean reversion is imminent.
Be mindful of this in your trading right now. No one can predict when the move down will happen, but it will. It's 1000 points away so expect some big moves.
I anticipate a trend from the open any day now, if not today.
EURUSD / GBPUSD / USDCAD / USDCHF Weekly Forex AnalysisEURUSD and GBPUSD are making short-term bullish bias before the next big drop in this case we are finishing the wave C correction move. USDCHF and USDCAD are opposite to what the XXXUSD pairs are doing meaning we are making short-term bearish moves. But on the USDCAD we are making a wave 4 pullback before the next drop and on USDCHF we are in a leading diagonal pattern corrective phase.
USDCAD Bullish Triangle PatternWe have been dollar strong for a while now, we are trading in an impulse move so it's safe to say the bullish trend/ momentum will last for a while. We are in a 4th wave phase which is a triangle pattern, which is incomplete we still need to see wave D to E form.
A different view but still anticipating the same direction would be we are finished with wave 4 but we are now forming wave 5 as an ending diagonal pattern similar to the USDCHF chart.
USDCHF Bullish Wave Triangle CorrectionUSDCHF will most likely continue to rise meaning that the main objective is the Bullish direction, I wouldn't consider taking the countertrend move even though it's optimum but not worth it. It's safe to wait for a Triangle correction pattern completion before buying still keeping in mind the fact that waves 1 and 4 never overlap.
EURCAD Price Trades In A Zig-Zag CorrectionPrice is in the first two phases of an impulse move, it would be wise to wait for the wave 2 completion before considering the rally as wave 3,4 and 5. Wave 2 in this case its a Zig-Zag Correction expecting it to reach onto the 78,6 Fibonacci level. If price does definitely reach that level that would offer great entry points for wave 3 rally.
EURCAD Alternative CountEURCAD is in an interesting situation where we have alternative scenario, where in the short-term they are indicating the same direction but in the long-term are different. The idea is we have a zig-zag correction and also a leading contracting diagonal pattern.
Zig-Zag correction pattern we will see price break below previous low to make new lows, suggesting long-term bearish trend.
Leading Contracting Diagonal pattern suggesting we will make short-term bearish move to complete a corrective pattern as motive waves are always followed by corrections. With that in mind we cant make new low or break old low that would only invalidate the Leading Diagonal scenario.
What are your thoughts?