Roaring 20's #FTSE100 to meaningfully outperform UK HOUSINGA BOLD prediction --- possibly to some people
But I stand by this chart as a roadmap where I see #UK equities outperforming
against the cash cow that has been UK #Housing
The how's and what's and why's are unimportant
But the key thing is for younger people struggling to get into UK housing
Investing in #Stocks #Technology Innovation #AI and #crypto
will reap HUGE dividends these next few years
I have talked about the roaring 20's echo mania bubble before
but as we see stocks indicies around the world breaking it only confirms my thesis!
FTSE
NIKE - Just Buy It!Nike tends to have corrective phases every now and then. We are now seeing one of the biggest corrections to date. We could be correcting in excess of 50% which would put us in a great position to buy Nike for the longer term.
Nike is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment, with revenue in excess of US$46 billion in its fiscal year 2022.
In other words, its very unlikely that Nike will go bust and so any dips should be seen as a buying opportunity.
Our first point of interest is the structure level at 80. Ideally we break below that in accordance Elliott Wave Theory. We want to see wave C go below wave B.
Our ideal buy zone is the 60 level where we have the -27 fib extension. Once we come towards that region, we'll be looking for any bullish price action indicating a reversal and the start of the next massive bullish leg. If we go even lower than 60, then it's more of a reason to buy and load up!
We're looking for targets of atleast 200% as first targets. This trade is one to hold for the long term.
What do you guys think?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe@
FTSE100 - Breakout Alert 7,743Yesterday's close on the FTSE 100 was a really good indication that the 7,743 level will likely hold.
The index first breached above this level eight days ago and then quickly retraced below it. After trading below this level for a few days, we're back up above this level.
This signals buying pressure paused and has since resumed. Assuming this level holds on any further retracements, this will signal further trend potential.
FTSE making a sustainable rally after bullish break-out.This is an update to our analysis 3 months ago (December 18 2023, see chart below) where we called for a Resistance bullish break-out and buy on the next 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) contact:
Even though the pull-back dipped some more, the index still followed our projection on a rough scale. The long-term pattern remains a Channel Up but due to some relative readjustments because of that longer dip, we have to revise our target a little lower to 8150. That represents a +10.40% rise from the dip's lower point but still a 1.382 Fibonacci test (8350) is possible but in our updated view it will take longer to achieve.
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UK100 - Short SignalUK100 D1
Pushing the absolute peak of our resistance price here, trading at 7755 ish.
A great reward and possible short opportunity. Don’t fix it unless it’s broken, an impulse swing entry here with stops as tight as 25 points.
We have been following UK100 for some time now and this range has held for a while. Lets see what unfolds.
Unlocking Opportunities: UK100 Supply and Demand AnalysisHello Traders,
Critical Zone Breakout from Supply Zone Indicates Potential Upside Momentum, While Failure to Respect Signals Downside Pressure Ahead.
We have 2 Demand Zones, and A Supply Zone. If The Price Breaks The Supply Zone, Take Entry While Retesting OR Pullback of The Move Otherwise If It Respects The Supply Area Then Look For The Short Entries!
Please Note That The Only Purpose of The Information On This Page is Purely Educational.
I Would Welcome Your Participation And Support in the Form of Likes, Comments, And Follow us to Offer Some Encouragement.
Thank You.
Will this UK100 dip attract bulls?UK100GBP - 24h expiry
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7640 level.
We look to Buy at 7635 (stop at 7605)
Our profit targets will be 7710 and 7735
Resistance: 7750 / 7880 / 7950
Support: 7640 / 7560 / 7500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
UK100 FTSE Technical Analysis & Trade Idea (see previous video)The UK100 has reached a critical resistance level and is showing signs of being overextended, particularly on the daily time frame. I foresee a potential retracement and am currently seeking a short opportunity against the prevailing trend. For a comprehensive analysis of this setup, please refer to my recent video post.
UK100 FTSE Technical Analysis & Trade Idea#UK100 Observations:
- Monthly and weekly charts indicate weakening bullish momentum.
- Significant resistance encountered at a key level suggests a potential reversal.
- 61.8 Fibonacci retracement zone identified as a logical downside target.
Trade Idea:
- Short position on the #FTSE.
- Place stop-loss above recent swing high.
- Primary target: Previous swing low on the daily (1D) chart for a 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
- Consider partial profit closure at the 1:1 risk-to-reward level.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis offers a technical perspective and not direct financial advice. Conduct thorough market research and implement sound risk management strategies before executing trades.
UK100 8 hours short rips/rallies tp 7350🔸Hello traders, this is 8hour chart of UK100. Recently trading in well-defined
trading range, risk/reward flipped in bears favor after we got rejection near
range highs, therefore recommend to focus on sell setups.
🔸Range highs set at 7660, range lows set at 7350, premium prices overhead
at 7700 and 7750, below at 7250 and 7300. Trading now near range highs.
🔸Recommended strategy bears: focus on short selling rips/rallies, bears
will target re-test of range lows near/at 7350. strong risk/reward on sell side.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
FTSE to find buyers at market price?UK100GB - 24h expiry
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
Further upside is expected.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
A move through 7725 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7775.
We look to Buy at 7710 (stop at 7670)
Our profit targets will be 7810 and 7830
Resistance: 7725 / 7750 / 7775
Support: 7700 / 7685 / 7675
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
US30 LongsUS30 is breaking All-Time-Highs.
Trend is still Bullish.
Market opened with bullish momentum; waiting for retracement to enter long positions.
Aggressively enter new long positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position is negative.
Stop loss placed under bullish breakout.
SPX LongsMarket has been breaking All-Time-Highs.
Overall Market Trend is still bullish.
Same sized retracements (indicated by green trend-lines) have printed, along with a subsequent bullish breakout, confirm continuation of uptrend.
Invalidation at 4733.3 (stop loss placed)
No profit target (new highs cannot be accurately determined at this time).
Aggressively enter new positions once original position is in profit and has found support.
Avoid entering new positions if original position goes negative.
Look for similarities in US30, NAS100, FTSE, DAX & NIKKEI.
A downturn is imminent - 10 Year Treasury Note based analysisIn recent years, many of us acknowledge that the term "recession" has been appearing in news and social media outlets at an increasing rate. While it acts as great clickbait, most sources tend to avoid to avoid a more fundamentals data driven approach, but rather are preferential an opinionated viewpoint from which their viewers can relate. Here I propose a more decisive graphical proof of why I believe some sort of downturn is on the (medium term) horizon, using the 10 year US treasury bond as the foundation, and comparing its recent movements to other typical recession indicators at a long timeframe.
The top graph shows the US YoY interest rate divided by the US 10 year note. Bonds and the interest rate are very closely economically correlated, deviations in the ratio between these two factors provides a very strong indicator (historically) for recession territory. 7 out of 8 times where the white line around 1.2 has been crossed on the 3M chart, as shown by the bottom graph, unemployment is quick to follow with rapid and sharp increases (beginning from red vertical lines).
This white line acts as the point of no return for the economy medium term. The maximum threshold by which historically the balance of the economy tips in one direction, bursting bubbles in favor of what people call a recession, and eventual return to an equilibrium (stability). This was hit in December 2022. While its very hard to tell the exact point where the downturn begins after this point, its obvious (based off this chart alone) one is around the corner.
By no means is this solid proof of anything in the future, but a very simplified graphical comparison between the ratio of two major economic data trends and their historical impact on the rate unemployment. If these historic trends continue to remain strong (as they have done with 88% accuracy since 1971) we should expect a significant economic downturn on the medium term timeframe, between 3-18 months from now. This is not financial advice, derive what you will from this data, let this idea act only as a point of interest - however, I urge sensible and thoughtful investing/trading on medium/short term timeframes with a bias towards the downside and continues high volatility.
FTSE Close to a major bullish break-out. Be ready.It's been almost 2 months since we last looked into FTSE 100 (UK100) but the index didn't fail to deliver as it hit our 7535 target (see chart below) and got rejected inside the 6-month Resistance Zone:
Despite the inability so far to break above the 7690 - 7750 Resistance Zone, the index did succeed at making the first important bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line of the All Time High (ATH). Breaking above the Resistance Zone would be the second and final bullish signal but the rejection so far has made it test the first Support on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) right below. In fact the two are close to forming a 1D Golden Cross, with the last registered occurrence being on December 28 2022.
In fact as you can see, the two sequences (current and October - December 2022) are so far quite similar. Once the Resistance Zone broke in January 2023, the rally extended almost as high as the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, any pull-back after the current Resistance Zone breaks, is technically a buy signal. Our long-term target is 8300 (slightly below the 1.382 Fibonacci level).
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UK100 to continue in the upward move?UK100 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The trend of higher lows is located at 7400.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 7575 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7620.
We look to Buy at 7545 (stop at 7505)
Our profit targets will be 7645 and 7665
Resistance: 7575 / 7600 / 7620
Support: 7540 / 7525 / 7510
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE to find buyers at market?UK100 - Intraday
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
A move through 7425 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 7525.
We look to Buy at 7365 (stop at 7315)
Our profit targets will be 7485 and 7515
Resistance: 7425 / 7475 / 7525
Support: 7400 / 7340 / 7320
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE REMAINS INDECISIVEIn the reported financial update, the FTSE 100 index experienced a slight decline of 0.11% to close at 7,401.72 on Wednesday. This drop was primarily driven by weaknesses in the financial and mining sectors but was partially offset by robust results in the retail sector. Notable companies such as National Grid, BP, Shell, Anglo American, and Fresnillo contributed to the index's decline. In contrast, Marks & Spencer reported a significant surge in first-half profits, leading to an almost 9% increase in its share price. Other retailers like JD Wetherspoon saw strong sales growth, while ITV reported modest revenue improvement but faced a 6% drop in its share price.
Additionally, the economic news highlighted Eurozone retail sales declining for the third consecutive month, with notable drops in non-food products and automotive fuel, though August's figures were revised upward.
On the technical side, RSI is in the neutral zone, but MACD is showing buy signals. In case of Bullish movement, the price might reach levels of 7491. As a pivot point might be considered 7409, from where the price might fall to 7351.
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