⚠️Possible drop on GBP pairs (FTSE too!)As the video explains, we believe that there is a decent chance for further bears on the GBP and possibly on the FTSE too.
The video also goes over a recap on GBPNZD sell from Friday night that ticked all of our boxes to short.
We trade using the RSI indicator, Fibonacci retracement and the Donchain channels. and wrap it all up with price action analysis!
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FTSE
ridethepig | FTSE Fundamental FlowsHere we are more or less back to square one as to where we were in July and testing away at the resistance.
Buyers are showing a lack of tenacity!
If after the Brexit fact (does not really matter if its a deal or hard brexit deal) we can see the possible outflow pressure really start to make itself felt. The strong counter here should immediately come under pressure with the initial loss of market access and broader global slowdown.
Once again (and with slow and steady pace) start to build some sell side exposure, abandon the overweight UK equities position and employ the following manoeuvres. A test of the centre looks rolled up and ready to take. Make excellent use of the flow towards 5,600.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
+10% on the FTSE trade from last week, great moves ! UK100 OPEN TRADE IF FOLLOWING TREND BASED ON 1% RISK IS RUNNING + 10.4%
OUR STRATEGY EXPLAINED:
The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart.
Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter.
What is our strategy?
Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc.
This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course.
The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy...
What does this mean?
It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management.
The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow.
We just have to do what Percy does.
Please see our related ideas below for more information to explain what we do and how it can help you.
FTSE and all Stocks - Don't BUY!!!!Hello all
DuncanForex here with a trade idea - with no advertising about anything so the post will stay active.
With the power move down during February 2020 (The AB Move) and then a slower retrace to the previous area of support which is now resistance.
The FTSE broke out of its downward consolidation long and is now progressing higher to the 61.8 Fib retrace.
Dont be fooled by this Bullish move, once it reaches 6600 area, it will consolidate again and i still think based on my analysis, the CD move will be completed and the FTSE will go to 3500 area.
You can see where i will be looking to short the market in the picture.
This isn't financial advice, however don't buy stocks, wait at least another 12 to 24 months and buy them when the FTSE is circa 3500
Stay safe and safe trading
Duncan
NASDAQ RALLY TO CONTINUE?IM jumping back in us100 as i expect it to spike on dollar fall at some point this week. head and shoulders reversal on 30m
FTSE 100 FLYING!! **3 X TP'S HIT / OPEN +10.8% GAIN!**OPEN TRADE IF FOLLOWING TREND BASED ON 1% RISK IS RUNNING + 10.8%
OUR STRATEGY EXPLAINED:
The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart.
Our back testing and money management strategy itself is holding until a reverse signal to ride a big trend, but as you will not see the next signal - manage the trade as you wish should you decide to enter.
What is our strategy?
Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc.
This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course.
The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy...
What does this mean?
It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management.
The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow.
We just have to do what Percy does.
Please see our related ideas below for more information to explain what we do and how it can help you.
FTSE Intraday setup.UK100 - Intraday - We sold at 5594 (stop at 5662)
Prices have reacted from 5597.
Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 5594 level.
Our profit targets will be 5400 and 5155
Resistance: 5650 / 5854 / 6106
Support: 5445 / 5155 / 4785
30/10/2020 #FTSE Where next?FTSE looks like a bear flag is forming.But with yesterday's reasonable daily close, both sides can be played today.
My blue zone - above 5587 for longs, target 5603, 5637, 5685. Be nimble and trail stops. I have a hunch we will see 5685, but hunch are hunch. Trade what you see.
Below 5569, be short. 5539 should offer a bounce as it is yesterday's low. We might even bounce here and rally. Below are 5489. 5443 is strong support, should cap low of day.
Are the markets losing faith on FTSE?The situation looks very dismal for FTSE100 as since June's High, the index has been trading within a Channel Down that has already lost almost 50% of the post March gains.
Additionally, the MACD on the 1W chart just made a Bearish Cross. The whole sequence from start (Death Cross) until now, loos very similar to the 2008/2009 credit crunch. Have the markets lost all faith on the UK100 in order to push it to the 1.236 Fib as in 2009?
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
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ridethepig | Stoxx 50 into the elections and beyond📌 STOXX 50
The purpose of the operation here is a clean and simple 5-3-5 sequence to the downside which means the lows are still exposed to another flank attack from those accompanying bears.
This is a very important few weeks and months for volatility and in a roundabout way we must take full advantage of this while it takes place. I don't consider the manoeuvre here to be any different from the elementary operation we took at the beginning of the year in European Equities as we are in the same complacent environment with covid escalating out of control.
As we have discussed together before, the herd must always be wrong and recognising this and the misconception of the v-shapers can only lead to an eventual test of previous support. To the topside, invalidation will come via a closing breach of 3490/3500 as this is the level which is protected via its own barrier.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎