FTSE100 Bottom formed. Buy opportunity.FTSE100/ UK100 is forming a Bottom on a 1 year Support Zone. The RSI is also bottoming out.
Target 7820 (+8.70% rise0>
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FTSE
FTSE HIT A NEW ALLTIME HIGH DEGATIVE/ RSI SPOT ON I need not remind you it is a worldwide thing Deflation cycles
Has FTSE formed a swing low?UK100 - Intraday -
Previous support located at 7600.
Previous resistance located at 7650.
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 7500.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 7650 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 7521 (stop at 7456)
Our profit targets will be 7681 and 7711
Resistance: 7650 / 7700 / 7750
Support: 7600 / 7500 / 7400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Impulsive Elliott Wave Decline in FTSE Calling More DownsideFTSE ended cycle from 3.16.2020 low with wave I at 8047.06. The Index is now in the process of correcting this 3 year rally in wave II. The internal subdivision of wave II is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. A zigzag structure is a 5-3-5 structure with ((A))-((B))-((C)) as the label. Wave ((A)) and ((C)) in this case subdivides into 5 waves impulse. In the 1 hour chart below, FTSE is still within wave ((A)) of II with subdivision as 5 waves. Down from wave I, wave 1 ended at 7978.61 and wave 2 ended at 8020.13.
The Index then resumes lower in wave 3 towards 7870.39, and wave 4 ended at 7949.97. Final leg lower wave 5 ended at 7854.82 which completed wave (1). Rally in wave (2) ended at 7976.48 with subdivision as a zigzag structure. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 7950.69 and pullback in wave B ended at 7875.03. Wave C higher ended at 7976.48 which completed wave (2). The Index resumes lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 7897.45 and rally in wave 2 ended at 7959.77. Expect the Index to extend lower 1 more time to end wave 3, then it should rally in wave 4 and extends lower again. Near term, as far as pivot at 7976.48 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
FTSE 100 SELL (UK100 INDEX)Hi there.
Price is moving impulsively to the downside.
Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for sell.
During periods of volatility markets mean revert to long term maDisclaimer:
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FTSE BULLISH EXHAUSTION?I am currently looking to sell this index.
It is no surprise to anyone who reads my ideas ,not many:p, that I am of the option that whilst the latest inflation data coming from the UK has ticked lower, I believe it will again raise its head to bite the UK on its ar$e.
I guess more importantly, I think the inflation data coming out of the US over the coming months will be hot and with that the dollar will rally once again. Although not quite as it did in 2022. This will result in a significant exportation of inflation around the world which will further increase the prices of food, energy and fuel; pretty much everything that is priced in USD. Ultimately hurting the economies which the companies comprising the FTSE rely on. Aside from big pharma and petrochemicals.
Moreover, if you look at the chart above, the FTSE has been in a decent rally since October of last year which culminated in an all-time high milestone of 8000. The rally to date has been moving in an ascending triangle (WHITE) which coincided nicely with relatively strong divergences between the move up to 8000 and the indicators shown (RED).
This is often a good indication of weakness in a prevailing trend and may potentially signal bullish exhaustion. The price broke this triangle structure on 28/02/23 with a failed rally back to support which indicates that we may be looking at a decent move to the downside in the coming weeks and months. As such, I’m now looking to enter a sell trade from here-on.
My POI for this move is anywhere between 8950 and 8130 (current price to top of structure)
As always I will be scaling in my positions as (or if) the price moves higher, which I expect it will until Powell comes out and admits that last months 25bps hike was a mistake.
It’s important to note that the UK economy and this index are not overly correlated because whilst the companies making up the FTSE may be HQ’d in the UK, their market audiences are more global. Please bear in mind that this is not a full breakdown or analysis for an entry, it is just my current thoughts on this market and a very basic o view of why I’m looking to short this index. Please always do your own analysis and always trade with caution.
FTSE to recoup some of Friday's 'SVB' selloff?Friday was the most bearish day for the FTSE since September, as concerns over SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) and the potential for contagion across the finance sector weighed on sentiment. Yet a joint statement from the Fed, Treasury and FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp) released on Sunday assured that deposits at the bank will be guaranteed, which helped boost sentiment in today's Asian session.
Futures markets point to a higher open, and we suspect the FTSE can rebound and recoup at least some of Friday's losses. Note that the RSI (2) reached oversold by Friday's close, and the low of the day found support around the 2019 / 2020 highs and monthly S1 pivot.
The bias is bullish above Friday's low and for an initial move to 7800, a break above which brings 7850 into focus.
FTSE Broke from a range to the upside.Previous support located at 7950.
Previous resistance located at 8000.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 8006 and 8024
UK100 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 7926 (stop at 7894)
Resistance: 800 / 8050 / 8100
Support: 7950 / 7900 / 7850
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
UK 7000 Target ReachedTaken a few months but the UK short Target has been reached.
Expecting things to plateaux from here.
Best, HF
FTSE bulls eye break of 8,000The FTSE snapped a 4-day losing streak yesterday, after the pullback from its record high found support along the bullish trendline. A bullish engulfing candle also closed above the 10 and 20-day EMA’s, after the RSI (2) went into oversold territory the day prior. So it appears a swing low has formed and we’re looking for a move back above 8,000 whilst prices remain above last week’s low.
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 24/02A review of the price action from the European session and recap of US price action as US indexes followed on from some strength this time in the Asian and European trade. The US gapped up on the open, sold off hard only to bounce back into the close to wipe off the majority of the earlier losses. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
UK100 to breakdown?UK100 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 7899 (stop at 7943)
Previous support located at 7900.
Previous resistance located at 7975.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A move through 7900 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 7789 and 7759
Resistance: 7975 / 8000 / 8050
Support: 7900 / 7750 / 7700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE on the RISE into price discoveryWho said the financial markets were rational? I guess no one, but why people always try to find reasons for an asset to go up or down.
When you look at the UK economy and the FTSE making new 'All Time High', we understand my first setence.
Price could go much higher if this 'Expanding Diagonal Figure were to play out'
FTSE bulls eye the record highWe have been patiently waiting for momentum to turn higher, which it finally did yesterday thanks to the dovish 50bp BOE hike. It closed above its recent consolidation, having formed several lower spikes which held above historic highs. From here we now fancy a retest of its YTD high and move towards 7900, near its record high.
FTSE Potential for Bearish DropLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for FTSE is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a sell stop entry at 7724.1, where the recent low is to ride the bearish momentum. Stop loss will be at 7811.8, slightly above where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 7620.5, slightly below where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and where the overlap support is.
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FTSEFTSE 100
Clear trendline up, pattern formed - you could wait for daily close and see if this bearish formation comes into fluorescent.
Key an eye
1. Trendline and 2. The pull back reaction (Whos in control)
Trade Journal
Elliott Wave Suggests FTSE Should Extend HigherFTSE shows an incomplete bullish sequence from 10.13.2022 low favoring further upside. Up from 10.13.2022 low, rally is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Wave (1) ended at 7599.7 and dips in wave (2) ended at 7303.68 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Wave (3) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave (2), wave (i) ended at 7389.92 and wave (ii) ended at 7366.88. Wave (iii) higher ended at 7540.31 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 7462.80. Final leg wave (v) ended at 7547 and this completed wave ((i)). Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 7434.64.
Up from there, wave (i) ended at 7516.36 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 7448.69. Index then rallies higher in wave (iii) towards 7772.37 and wave (iv) is either completed or expected to complete soon. Index should rally higher 1 more leg to end wave (v) and this should complete wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Afterwards, expect a pullback in wave ((iv)) to correct cycle from 12.29.2022 low before the rally resumes. As far as pivot at 7303.68 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
