Ftse100
Travis Perkins - Supplying profits and building accounts?Buy Travis Perkins (TPK.L)
Travis Perkins plc is a United Kingdom-based product supplier to the building, construction and home improvement markets. The Company operates through segments, which include General Merchanting, Plumbing & Heating, Contracts and Consumer.
Market Cap: £4.07Billion
Travis Perkins has completed an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern on the weekly chart as prices advanced above 1495p. The shares gapped higher on the outcome of the general election in the UK, rising sharply towards 1841p. The shares have consolidated in recent weeks to close the gap created at 1544.5p and we have now seen a break higher from a wedge pattern. This suggests there will be a continuation higher in price over the coming days and weeks.
Stop: 1495p
Target 1: 1830p
Target 2: 2000p
Target 3: 2330p
Fresnillo - LONGLong opportunities continue to present themselves while this technical standpoint continues to play out. Sized in from the bottom and looking to sit on my hands to take profit at key levels on the chart. Trade with care.
Note: This idea follows my own tried and testing trading strategy and rules. This idea does not constitute trading guidance for anyone else.
DM to learn more about learning to trade.
BT Group - Filled the gapBuy BT Group (BT.A.L)
BT Group plc is a communications services company. The Company is engaged in selling fixed-voice services, broadband, mobile and television products and services, as well as various communications services ranging from phone and broadband to managed networked information technology (IT) solutions and cyber security protection.
Market Cap: £18.96Billion
BT has broken out of a channel pattern on the daily chart. The shares recieved a boost following the Conservative win in the General Election and the shares gapped higher. We have now seen that gap get filled, which should attract fresh buying interest.
Stop: 181.6p
Target 1: 212p
Target 2: 230p
Target 3: 265p
UK100: Could the slide bellow 7,190 extend?FTSE100 (UK100) index is also an interesting one to watch this week. The index was bounded in a range above 7,000 handle since August. Note that FTSE has been in a loose inverse relation with the pound since the Brexit referendum.
So, in case of a clear Conservative win this Thursday, a strong rally in both the pound and FTSE would be a strong sign of return in investor confidence. Take in mind that the UK elections are held when markets are open, and a new government may be formed on Friday, so volatility could be significant throughout the night and also during all day at Friday.
UK100 index were steady on Monday after posting the biggest weekly loss in 9 weeks last week. A firmer pound prevented more extreme gains as the latest poll showed the Conservatives increasing its lead over Labour by two-digits percentage points.
The UK100 index is trading below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs on 4-hour chart. The RSI indicator is sloping down on both H4 and D time frames. This morning FTSE broke the first support at 7,200. We opened Short position at 7,190 with Stop Loss above 7,250 and Take Profit around 7,130. There is located the lower line of Bollinger Bands on 4-hour chart and since October this level is acting as key support.
On opposite side, the first resistance is the top in the last 3 days at 7,256, followed by H4 50 SMA, middle line of BBs and 200 SMA (on both H4 and daily charts is around 7,320).
Do you trade this index and how?
Tesco - Pattern consolidation for long trajectory.Tesco:
-In the daily chart: Price action has consolidated into a rangebound symmetrical triangle, this usually symbolises continuation (to the upside) but I do not discount the possibility of a short if we fail to breakout long and in-turn breakout in the opposite direction.
Identifying a breakout: In this case price has had bullish candles deviate outside of the range, however, using both a price and time filters for confirmed entry, no bullish daily candle has so far managed to close outside. As we are right at the upper wall of the pattern, this could occur soon for a nice RRR ONLY IF we get a bullish daily candle close long.
Catalysts for the move: UK election - If the conservatives gain a majority on Thursday night then I expect this entry position to be triggered, if not then i expect the opposite for this and the FTSE100 in general if labour win or there is uncertainty with a hung parliament.
FTSE Bottoming Pattern on 4 Hour Trade/ British ElectionsJust before I talk about this trade, just a fair warning that the British Elections are this week on Thursday December 12th. So a high risk event, and will be dominated by Brexit promises.
I have spoken about how Central Banks in the Western world are stuck, and they are now attempting to maintain confidence in the system. They want to go back to easing and QE but remember, QE was supposed to be a one time desperate policy to prevent a 1920-30's like great depression. When we go back to QE, people will realize it did not work in the first place. They will use different names to mask QE, but this is the confidence crisis that looms.
These central banks have one role now: to keep assets propped. This will eventually be morphed into buyers of LAST RESORT (instead of lenders of last resort...which was the central banks original mandate when they were first being formed).
I am expecting higher equity prices in the US because there is nowhere to go for yield anymore. Also, many investors know the Fed will support this market. Not to mention the President needs high stock markets if he wants to win the next election using "Keeping America Great" slogan.
Yes, we will have pullbacks, but equity markets will go higher. I speak about why this can be a problem for the Fed and the US Dollar. Post linked below.
In terms of the current FTSE chart, we did make a bottoming/ double bottom pattern at a flip/support zone. From here, we had a nice break above a flip zone marked in blue, a strong break, and now it seems we are making our first higher low which will be confirmed with this current 4 hour candle close.
Target will be the flip zone at 7340 for the trade.
UKX Price Action Analysis | Distribution SchematicThe Distribution Schematic #2, by Richard Wyckoff:
bit.ly
UK100 is currently in Phase D and has already done a Bearish SFP, which indicates a possible downtrend. This seems like a nice example of the Distribution Schematic #2 and also has a fundamental background due to #Brexit. Rest is Risk Management.
Entry: 7390
SL: 7810
TP-1: 6910
TP-2: 6610
TP-3: 6360
R/R: 2.44
Please let me know if you have any suggestions or any ideas to add. I can also give you more detailed explanation for this specific trade setup.
The ideas published here are not financial advices.
FTSE 100 - Can it clear the cluster of resistance?We look to Sell at 7445
Bespoke resistance is located at 7445
Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning
We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 7432 from 7729 to 7003
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile
Stop: 7485
Target 1: 7275
Target 2: 7205
Ferguson - Turning up the heatBuy Ferguson (FERG.L)
Ferguson PLC is a distributor of plumbing and heating products. The Company operates through seven business units: Blended Branches, Waterworks standalone, HVAC standalone, Industrial standalone, Fire and Fabrication, Facilities Supply standalone and B2C e-commerce.
Market Cap: £15.35Billion
Ferguson is trading in a bullish long term channel. The shares are trading just below all time high and there is no sign of the momentum slowing. The small corrective move lower in recent days has attracted buying interest and a move to new highs is expected.
Stop: 6545p
Target 1: 7200p
Target 2: 7600p
Target 3: 8000p
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BT - Dialling upBuy BT Group (BT.A.L)
BT Group plc is a communications services company. The Company is engaged in selling fixed-voice services, broadband, mobile and television products and services, as well as various communications services ranging from phone and broadband to managed networked information technology (IT) solutions and cyber security protection.
Market Cap: £18.96Billion
BT has broken out of a channel pattern on the daily chart. The breakout move has retraced 50% of the impulsive move higher and retested the broken channel. The shares appear to be stabilising around 185p, while the Conservatives remain in the lead in the opinion polls then the shares could continue higher in relief of avoiding the threat of part nationalisation from a Labour Government.
Stop: 181.6p
Target 1: 212p
Target 2: 230p
Target 3: 265p
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FTSE 100 - Possible sequence of lower highs.We look to Sell at 7380
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
The trend of lower highs is located at 7382.
Positive overnight flows lead to an expectation of a firm open this morning.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Stop: 7415
Target 1:7275
Target 2: 7200
FTSE 100 - Selling ralliesTrade Idea
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Continued downward momentum from 7404 resulted in the pair posting net daily losses yesterday.
Negative overnight flows lead to an expectation of a weaker open this morning.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 7310, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 7310
Stop: 7355
Target 1; 7095
Target 2: 7005
FTSE trade updateAfter yesterday's news from USA, that they back Hong Kong's bill, China said they will retaliate if it becomes a law. Tensions arise and we are back in risk off mood.
Now approaching big support soon and 200SMA. A break lower for a short. A bounce of support before continuation may offer earlier entry with better risk-reward.
Good Luck!
Bellway - Building momentumBuy Bellway (BWY.L)
Bellway plc is a major UK residential property developer based in Newcastle upon Tyne. It is listed on the London Stock Exchange and is a constituent of the FTSE 250 Index.
Market Cap: £3.9Billion
The medium-term trend is bullish on Bellway. The shares have corrected lower in recent weeks and appears to have found some support at 3125p. There was strong move higher in yesterday’s session and further upside towards resistance at 3710p is expected in the short term.
Stop: 3078p
Target 1: 3600p
Target 2: 3710p
Target 3: 3800p
Interested in UK Stocks?
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