🔥THE WORST YEAR FOR CRYPTO: 2022 OVERVIEW AND 2023 FORECAST✅🔥Hi friends! Bitcoin fall from $41 500 to $15 500 by 42% this year. 2022 was an amazing year, especially if you are trading using downtrend strategies. But who will be the winner in 2023? Long or short traders? Read more in this idea!
📊
WHAT WERE THE MAIN REASON FOR BTC DUMP IN 2022?
1.
LUNA, UST, and Do Kwon are the first such major crash this year. The algorithmic stablecoin UST lost its peg to $ and pulled down the LUNA token, which it was backed by.
Terra LUNA had one of the largest amounts of Bitcoin. In total, they had about 81,000 BTC in their wallets, but this did not save them from the fall. LUNA was top-10 altcoin by capitalization but fall from $110 to $0.01.
BTC fell from $31 000 to $17 900 by 44%.
2. FTX, FTT and Sam Bankman-Fried. At that moment, it seems like BTC begin to recover and already reached $21 500 after the 4 month consolidation (accumulation) from June to November. CZ tweeted about FTT sell off just only opened eyes to the problem of the #2 exchange.
🚩 Bitcoin fell to $15 500 but actually, it`s not a huge dump, as was all the year before. This fact indicates that there are almost no sellers in the markets and recovery is highly possible.
📊 THIS HAPPENED FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THE BITCOIN HISTORY
The Q1 2022 started with a small fall, but after this, the series of negative events in the cryptocurrency market pushed the price of bitcoin lower and lower. Now we should say that this is the worst year ever.
✅ All 4 quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) will close at loss FOR THE FIRST TIME IN BTC HISTORY.
📊 THE PREDICTIONS FOR BTC IN 2023
I name this year THE YEAR OF RECOVERY for the crypto market. BTC will reach $32k as a pullback to this year’s dump with a 95% probability. I think that the #1 crypto has a 70% probability test of $45k.
✅ But first, the price can update the lows and reach $10-12k. So if you are a trader , it will be a really good year because of its volatility.
If you are a long-term trader or investor , I would be in the market by 20-40% to not miss the possible growth. Another part of the deposit leaves for buying lower at $10-12k or after making new HH and HL at $21-22k.
It will be interesting to check the results in a year.
Friends, what is your target for BTC in 2023? Write your target at the comments. Please, don`t write $200-300k :)
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
FTT
FTT: Moonshot BoysDoes anybody dare to long this... all it takes is a better than expected restructure and the new leadership offering to make things right and this thing will moon. Do they want to risk one of the largest crypto exchanges, whos interacted wtih a majority of addresses going offline. They could turn this thing around since its already owned mainly by the west and rebuild it. Worth a punt?
FTT vs BNBPlease 1st of all click the boost🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
This is comparison of FTX Token vs Binance Coin , so if the:
*price is going up, it means FTT is stronger than BNB
*price is going down, it means FTT is weaker than BNB
After strong initial impulse down the FTTBNB has been consolidation for almost a year and formed this triangle. Now the price is breaking down out of this triangle📐 and if it really breaks, I think there is chance for drop to 0.034. TARGET being height of the triangle projected from midpoint of the local range (pink). It's a bold call predicting that FTX Token will lose -65% against the Binance Coin.
As you know both are exchange tokens, so it's sort of Changpeng Zhao ⚔️ Sam Bankman-Fried battle. 3-2-1 fight! Who is gonna be stronger?💪
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺!
⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FTT to lose another 70%?Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
Hi guys! Hope you are doing well even after the FTT/ FTX liquidity debacle which has been sort of indicated by the chart below two months ago:
Now it seems we are not done yet, as FTT broke down this triangle 📐 and I think there is chance for run to 0.527 and even lower. This would mean another -70% for FTTUSDT from the actual level! Price is currently sitting at key support trendline (blue) but in my opinion it's just matter of time when it will be broken down which could start another brutal selloff. Stay safe!
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺!
⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
FTT is gone!Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
Over a month ago I posted prediction that FTX Token will lose 70% of its value against USDT...
At that time the price was 1.8, and now it's already almost another -50% down! As the FTTUSDT pair has been delisted from Binance, you can't "play" the original idea anymore, it doesn't load the new data. Anyway here comes new bearish setup in form of triangle breakout with target @ 0.46 which is another 50% loss of value from current level. I guess we will get there sooner or later with pullbacks along the way.
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
Please boost🚀, comment🗣️, follow me✒️, enjoy📺!
⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
BNB Hidden Bearish Divergence as it Breaks TrendWe have a Bearish Bump and Run Reversal Top that is Breaking Down on BNB as we show Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Weekly Timeframe . It should first come down to the 100% Retrace at $6.475 but if that doesn't hold don't be surprised to see it come down to the 1.618 Extension at $0.361
:This is an the same setup as the original chart just altered to fit a more stable exchange other than FTX since every asset on that exchange seems to be making strange moves that don't represent the actual market value of the coins elsewhere.
🔥WHY SBF ARREST IS A BULLISH SIGNAL FOR CRYPTO MARKET❓🔥 Hi friends! This is finnaly happen: Sam Bankman-Fried was arrested in the Bahamas on Monday after US prosecutors filed criminal charges against him.
🚩 SEC charges Sam Bankman-Fried for conducting “a years-long fraud” in FTX.
Court filing claims FTX's founder 'orchestrated a massive, years-long fraud — diverting billions of customer funds for his own personal benefit and to grow his crypto empire.
📊 HOW WILL THE ARREST OF SBF AFFECT THE CRYPTO MARKET?
Let me remind you that FTX users lost about $1 billion and this is not yet the final information. But I think that FTX users lost the most not directly, but the entire crypto industry. Together with FTT, Solana fell, as well as many other crypto projects.
🚩 Bitcoin fell by 26% from $21,300 to $15,600. Most alctoins fell by 50%. The crypto market lost $280 billion.
✅ The arrest and trial of the former CEO should have a positive impact on the crypto market for one main reason: ALL FRAUDSTERS WILL BE PROSECUTED.
Now every owner and manager of any crypto company will know what illegal actions can lead to. Because of this, everyone will benefit and first of all users who have already lost a lot of money.
🚩 Perhaps the founder of Terra Luna Do Kwon will also soon be in court and will be punished by law.
📊 WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO THE FTX EXCHANGE?
The new CEO of the exchange John J. Ray III helped the huge company ENRON with debt restructuring after the collapse in 2000-2001. Perhaps the exchange will survive, but it will be extremely difficult to regain the trust of customers.
Bernie Madoff , cheirman of Nasdaq, whose fraud was recognized in 2009, sentenced to 150 years in prison. According to preliminary estimates, it is the largest financial fraud in history. The number of victims ranges from one to three million people and several hundred financial institutions, totaling about $50 billion.
🚩 If SBF's guilt will be proven, how many years in prison will he get? Interested to know your opinion in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Cycles Exchange giants FTT (FTX, Alameda Research)+BNB (Binance)Comparative analysis. The main trend of the two exchange coins BNB and Alameda Research, and yes the exchange FTX. The time interval is one month. Logarithm.
Coins of two liquid exchanges: Binance and FTX .
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
Coinmarketcap: BNB
Here's what it looks like on a line chart of the price.
Is Sam Bankman-Fried a young potential "grandpa" Warren Buffett or a fintech criminal with a life sentence?
Could Alameda replicate the success of Binance, led by future PR wunderkind Sam Bankman-Fried, i.e. a young Warren Buffett? A joke? Ta, no... That's his role after his grandfather died. Or is it? Think about it...
Do you think the pseudo-asset market, the various cryptocurrency scams, can be compared to the tokenized stock market ? Can you smell XRP?)
Right now, in 2022, Binance is a mastodon in terms of cryptocurrency trading. Just like Poloniex in 2017).
Think about who is behind companies like Alameda Research ? Why are they allowed to do what others are not? Why can some liquidate, ostensibly for their own benefit, entire projects with billions of dollars in capitalization and a community of millions of people with impunity, while others can't even breathe a breath?
Who has the right to pardon or punish? Who can claim such a huge piece of the fat pie as the tokenization of stocks or the materialization of money from nothing (stabelcoins) but the state?
Exchanges. Hype and liquidity. Changing market leaders.
Therefore, for conservative traders and investors, it is more rational to pay attention to the non-random mastodons of the crypto market. But, keep in mind that they tend to gain or lose fat over time. I didn't write about Poloniex as an example for nothing. It's an example of hype and decline from previous times of popularity. In 2017 there was such an influx of traffic to the exchange that it was impossible to trade. Five years later, things have changed. Liquidity flowed to the new mastodon of hype, Binance.
Market cycles of cryptocurrency market spikes/declines .
In the price chart, I have shown the time cycles of the cryptocurrency market. This is probably the most important thing everyone wants to know. Most market participants want to scroll through money and increase the amount available "here and now in the moment" - emptying their pockets. Typically, the market of such "burps up" before the next peak in the cycle. Don't be that kind of person.
Very few people draw conclusions from their previous mistakes. They admit their mistakes and look for ways to solve them, rather than cite randomness. There is no randomness in non-accidental actions.
Notice how the "crypto hamster traffic" has decreased in the market nowadays. I may be writing crudely, but it's understandable. Local reversals occur at times like this.
Major FTT trend
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Main Trend.
This is what this zone looks like on the line price chart on a larger scale.
Pay attention to what zone the price is in now and at what values of profit. Take this into account in your trading.
Main trend of BNB .
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Main trend. The main trend. Time frame 1 week. Logarithm. Cycles are also shown.
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
Note that the price is currently in the distribution zone. Over +1600% Which in case of a break-up (downtrend secondary) could act as a partial reset zone. The first potential target is shown.
In the case of a breakout of the neck zone (in the case of a return of the price)—temporary sadness. In addition to the currently existing trend line, I have also shown a future potential trend line (the direction of the main price trend) of the negative scenario, depending on the stopping in some of the zones shown on the chart.
Just for clarity, I overlaid the chart BNB/USD (Exchange Binance). Time frame and scale are the same.
This is what this zone looks like on a line chart.
Secondary trend.
FTT/USD Local work in the reversal zoneLocal trend. Bowl. Time frame 1 day. Logarithm.
Coinmarketcap: FTX Token
This is how this zone looks on the linear price chart.
Agree how beautiful. Beauty, even where it is not seen, must also be able to do.
This zone is in a secondary trend.
FTT/USD (FTX, Alameda Research). Secondary trend
Soon there will be a pump in the FTT currencyHi Guys
According to the chart, soon a pump will occur in the FTT currency and it is a very good place to hold and sell at the price of 7 dollars.
R/R = 29
WOOOOOW VERY VERY GOOD POZITION
Approximate profit 450 %
LIKE & COMMENT PLEASE .
WHATT DO YOU THINK ??!!
Share your comments ...
Bitcoin Marco UpdateJust a small update on Bitcoin , the price has infact made new lows but the RSI has not and this is very bullish.
When we get these sort of divergences when the RSI is around 30 it is our signal that we are close or at a bottom.
I layed a ray line from the bottom of the weekly close in 2018 and aligned it with he bottom of the March 2020 ,which then gives us this diagonal support line. I hate diagonal support lines they fail most of the time and there many ways one can draw these lines but in this case using the bottom of the weekly closes we get one angle.
So far this support line has had incredible confluence take a look below.
1h Chart
4h Chart
The reaction to this line coming in from last two major bottoms is amazing , there is a high chance that the bottom is in here.
I would also recommend checking out this TA from trading shots it is possible that have completed the final stage with "discouragement" by making that lower low.
How Sam Bankman got Fried Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Losing $22 Billion in one day is probably a record for the books. Let's take a closer look at the Sam Bankman-Fried story...
At 30, SBF is(was) the youngest billionaire in the US. In 5 years, he managed to start the fastest growing DEX (FTX), as well as Alameda Research. He is also well connected. VERY well connected, with political ties to big names such as actors including Tom Brady, Naomi Osaka and financial institutions including Coinbase Ventures and Binance Labs. So how is it then that he got burnt and lost it all overnight? Let's take a closer look at the intricacies.
First, let's take a closer look at just how big and interconnected FTX really was:
💰 44 Active investors deposit $1.8 Billion in just a year
💰 Celeb Ambassadors including actors such as Stephen Curry, Tom Brady and Naomi Osaka
...hopefully we've learnt our lesson about trusting actors on crypto with Matt Damon on BTC and Ashton Kutcher with his XRP endorsement right before major crashes.... no?
💰 FTX has a combined value of $40 Billion in 2022
💰 FTX sponsors Mercedes in F1
💰 FTX sponsors Major League Baseball, FTX printed on all shirts (guess who's getting a new wardrobe...)
💰 Fortune Magazine Face - "Next Warren Buffet"
After the SEC forced shutdown in 2018 of crypto exchange broker 1Broker, many crypto moguls decided to take their companies elsewhere. This is also true for Sam, who decided to open FTX in Hong Kong later moving to Bahamas, away from the restrictions and regulations of the US. Binance followed a similar path, later moving it's company from China to Cayman Islands. SBF continues to keep favor with the US as he makes large contributions to Joe Biden's campaign, over $11 million. He reportedly spent over $47 million supporting democratic political campaigns. SBF networking progresses and he often testified to congress about how crypto regulations should proceed, even though he moves his business to the Bahamas (not the US). He positions himself as the voice of reasoning for the future of crypto regulations. During 2021, SBF reaches the peak of his wealth and fame. He nd 9 other youngsters are leading the FTX empire from the penthouse in the Bahamas.
Some say he became overconfident, others say he was sloppy. It seems as though the start of his downfall was due to Rival, CZ from Binance. Back in 2019, CZ hinted on Twitter that SBF was involved in an attempted attack on Binance futures platform. CZ later drives down the price of FTT by publicly stating their exit from FTX after "certain revelations came to light". SBF responds with a tweet "you won, well played".
When the bear market arrives late 2021, SBF is portrayed as a saint as he "invests hundreds of millions" in companies such as BlockFi, Voyager and Celcius whilst they face liquidity problems. A research report from September 2022, reveals a different story. He, infact, invest miniscule amounts or even nothing at all to help these companies! But this article does not make headlines, yet. Then a whistle blower breaks the news - Alameda Research uses $10 billion of customers FTX funds to make a risky investment, which is totally illegal. This is the complete opposite of the terms and conditions on his website as well as the opposite of what he said to Congress during his talks about how regulations should be. This is where the saying "not your keys, not your crytpo" shines. Crypto users and SBF fans are heart broken... How could he??
The final blow: Recently, continuous rivalry on crypto twitter between CZ and SBF fuels the price drops on FTT as CZ claims to sell all remaining tokens. Alameda Research (one of the 9) jumps in and claims to "buy back" whatever CZ has left to sell. But then, another stroke of bad luck - the balance sheets of Alameda Research leaks. As it turns out, they have NO liquidity, especially not enough to make any FTX buyback. And so, overnight, the price drops a whopping 89% and there goes most of SBF's wealth.
Final Thoughts...
If you're smart enough, have the right support structures and a great PR team, you can grow your fortune with fake virtue signaling. Infact, many philanthropes ( unlike Jeff Bezos 's ex wife whom you probably don't even know about ) will only donate when the camera's are on. They also ensure that they are highlighted as kind hearted saints by the media. They do whatever it takes to hide all the corruption and money laundering behind the scenes. SBF was portrayed as the humble, young billionaire face op crypto, and everyone wanted him in their corner due to his trading brilliance and profitable partnerships. Sometimes, however, when the bad deeds start outweighing the good ones exponentially, it becomes increasingly hard to hide the true events from the public .It has, somehow, come to light that instead of being a humble and charitable public servant, SBF was the leader of a group of kids living the highlife in a penthouse in the Bahamas. Misusing funds for corruption and illegal activities including but not limited to money laundering. And so came the fall of Sam Bankman Fried. His downfall involves deception, illegal activities, large political contributions and the misuse of customer funds. It is noteworthy that most of his wealth was in FTT, native crypto to FTX decentralized exchange (DEX) .
💭...This is no uncommon thing. Many people do the same illegal stuff, probably even on a larger scale but somehow, SBF got burnt. You can't help but wonder... Who Fried Sam Bankman ?
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
FTX - A Failure of Crypto, or Fiat?Binance recently announced that they will not be going forward with FTX's bailout - so the future of the company and its holders still hangs in the balance. (The FTT token has been removed from this site since, but last I checked it was down 95%+.) Is this the "end of crypto"?
Well, not quite - MATIC, ATOM, DOGE, ETH, LINK are still in up in the last 6 months, despite the recent drop, highlighting the fact that the fact that the appetite for taking bets on the crypto market is still there. Given that the recession woes are still there, many are likely still on the sidelines waiting for the market to bottom out before deciding to get back in. The downturn was expected, but it's also possible to make the argument that the industry is still doing better than expected.
Here's the tricky part: the FTX scandal is triggering for a lot of people in finance because FTX had their hand in basically everything: crypto, fiat, regulators, celebrities, political parties (SBF and his families have strong ties to the Democratic Party, as records show), the media, and the banking system - both old and new. Unlike previous scams/scandals (e.g. Mt. Gox), FTX had the buy-in of mainstream money and institutions (including regulators) which also calls into question the effectiveness of the institutional safeguards as well.
Who's fault is it? There's likely going to be a lot of finger-pointing in the upcoming months as the mess gets sorted out, but the question for investors right now is whether or not the market is going to see this scandal as a failure of the industry, or a failure of the regulatory framework that currently exists. So far, the results are still unclear.
The irony of the FTX scandal is that these were the sorts of problems that crypto set out to fix - had they used crypto for its intended purpose (on-chain governance, transparency in their financial records and dealings), it's very likely that these issues would have been caught way earlier before it became too late. Some will leave, some will stay, but the ideal outcome to come out of this scandal would be for the people themselves to demand higher standards in accounting and fiduciary duties.
The FTX Implosion (A brief overview)FTX Token (FTT) WAS a beloved cryptocurrency for traders with just under 30,000 total addresses holding the token. Sadly , over 3 years, grew to a market cap of over $3,000,000,000 USD. The FTX Token was proving itself useful for traders all around the world.
HOWEVER.....
FTX halted withdrawals following reports that it used customer funds on risky investments that left the crypto exchange in a deep hole. FTX has NOW filed for bankruptcy , which means anyone who can establish that the company owes them money will have to get in line to request repayment.
How did it all unfold?
- On 6th November; Binance CEO announced that he was selling his holdings of the FTX token (approx $530million worth). Alameda offered to buy the Binance CEO's share at $22 each, which saw the price fall slightly from $24 to $22.
- 8th to 9th November; Binance went from announcing an intention to buy FTX (subject to due diligence) to stepping away from the deal, just hours of checking its accounts. Within the day, FTT cascaded from $22 to $2.36, as the SEC and CFTC begins its investigation of FTX and Alameda.
- 12th November; Between $1 to $2 billion in funds from FTX customer accounts have gone missing, with messages indicating that FTX has been hacked.
Currently
- Bahamian regulators freeze assets of FTX.
- Alameda is being wound down
- FTX files for bankruptcy
Unfortunately, this FTX implosion has reignited the call for more regulatory oversight in the crypto markets, to address the current systemic risks.
🔥BREAKING: Binance will delist all FTX pairs❗ Strange decision.🔥 Hi friends! Binance will delist all FTX trading pairs: FTT/BNB, FTT/BTC, FTT/ETH, FTT/USDT.
It is a strange decision for Binance CEO, because the company still not delist Luna and Luna2(LUNC) which was scammed and haven't enough reserves to recover. Investors lose almost $40B in Luna and USDT. Only Binance exchange lose $1.6B invested money.
✅ The same situation with FTT (FTX token). FTX echange announced the bankruptcy and literally scamed and Binance will delist it. We don't already final amount of money what investors and Binance lost, but I think this numbers is really close. Previously, CZ said that Binance gad going to sell $580M in FTT.
📊 WHAT IS GOOD FOR BINANCE IN FTX CRASH❓
Binance become only BIGGEST exchange on the market, because FTX was it closest competitor. The most money from FTX flows into Binance.
🚩 At the last online meeting CZ said that if they could solve the problem of how people store their crypto in their wallets, it would be a big boost for DeFi and the entire crypto industry, for the mass adoption of crypto and that he would not mind if centralised exchanges ceased to exist❗ Also, importantly, he said that they are now very actively investing in DeFi.
I have to add, that a lot Binance or related to Binance projects can copy TWT token chart and starts to grow. I leave here the list of most promises tokens for you:
🔥 BNB
🔥 TWT✅
🔥 CAKE
🔥 LINK
🔥 1inch
🔥 XVS
✅ Traders, was it idea usefull for you? Which coins of Binance seems next gainers to you? Write your thoughts in the comment!
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.