BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead....
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin.
Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend.
Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280
Support levels: 83170, 78170
The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800.
But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction....
Regards, R. Linda!
Fundamental Analysis
ETH SHORTCRYPTOCAP:ETH 2H SHORT
The asset retains the potential to decline within the current structure.
The most favorable conditions for opening short positions can be formed after the test of POI 2. Also, the scenario of entry within the local zone of interest POI 1 (15m) remains relevant.
Target benchmarks: $1537, $1521, $1503, $1470.
Which altcoins hold the potential to conquer the crypto market?Have you ever heard of ISO 20022?
Do you know what this standard is all about?
Which tokens have adopted or are compliant with this standard?
ISO 20022 is an international standard for the exchange of financial data between financial institutions, banks, corporations, and other entities. Developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), its purpose is to provide a universal language for financial messaging on a global scale.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently near a strong trendline and a solid daily support level. I’m expecting it to break the $90,000 mark, a key psychological level, within the next few days. My main target is at least a 7% increase, reaching $90,500.
📈
Now , let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
🔍 What Is ISO 20022 and Why Should Traders Care?
Have you come across ISO 20022 and wondered what it really means in the world of finance and crypto? It’s not just a technical standard—it could be a major bridge between traditional finance and blockchain-based assets.
🌐 A Global Standard for Financial Messaging
ISO 20022 is an international protocol developed by the International Organization for Standardization. It defines a universal language for exchanging financial data between institutions—banks, governments, payment networks, and corporations.
💡 Key Features of ISO 20022
• Uses XML-based message formatting—both machine and human-readable
• Covers multiple financial areas: payments, securities, trade, treasury, and cards
• Highly flexible and extendable to future innovations
• Designed to reduce processing errors and boost interoperability worldwide
📈 Why It’s Becoming a Big Deal
With increasing digitization, the global financial system is shifting toward unified communication standards. Major infrastructures like SWIFT are already migrating to ISO 20022 to future-proof their operations.
🪙 The Crypto Connection
Some cryptocurrencies have been developed to align with ISO 20022 standards. This means they have the potential to integrate directly into regulated financial systems—making them more likely to be adopted by banks and governments.
✅ ISO 20022-Compliant Cryptocurrencies (As of 2024)
• XRP (Ripple)
• XLM (Stellar)
• XDC (XinFin)
• IOTA
• ALGO (Algorand)
• QNT (Quant)
• HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph)
🤝 Why Compliance Matters
If traditional finance fully adopts ISO 20022, only tokens that meet its criteria will likely be considered for official integration. This could have huge implications for utility, regulation, and long-term value.
🧠 Strategic Insight for Investors
Incorporating ISO 20022-compliant assets into your portfolio isn’t just about trends—it’s about positioning yourself for future financial system evolution. These tokens may play a key role in bridging the gap between DeFi and TradFi.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
ISO 20022 is a global financial messaging standard designed to streamline data exchange between banks and institutions. It's becoming crucial as traditional systems like SWIFT adopt it for greater efficiency. Several cryptocurrencies, including XRP, XLM, and ALGO, are ISO 20022-compliant, positioning them for future integration with mainstream financial systems. This compliance could lead to wider adoption by banks and governments, making them more valuable long-term. 🚀
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Junk Bonds on Bounce?The High Yield Corporate Bond ETF AMEX:HYG is a widely watched risk sentiment gauge, as seen within the renowned "Fear and Greed Index," and closely tied to credit conditions and investor appetite for riskier debt. It reflects how much confidence the market has in lower-rated corporate borrowers—making it a strong proxy for broader risk-on/risk-off shifts.
Technically, HYG looks like it may have completed a five wave impulsive structure from the 2022 lows, followed by an ABC correction that found support near 75.60. That (C) leg could mark the end of the correction, especially with recent price action holding above Kumo cloud support on lower timeframes, hinting at a potential reversal or at least stabilization.
Fundamentally, there’s a lot in flux. Inflation is still sticky, which has kept the Fed cautious on any immediate rate cuts. At the same time, tariff talk targeting Chinese imports rekindled fears of trade friction and margin compression—especially for leveraged companies. Credit stress is also rising, with default rates ticking up in weaker sectors like consumer credit and commercial real estate.
The silver lining for bulls: the U.S. dollar has recently pulled back, easing pressure on corporate borrowers and global funding conditions. A weaker dollar can be supportive of high-yield credit as it reduces debt servicing burdens, especially for firms with dollar-denominated liabilities.
Junk bonds are approaching a pivotal level. A clean break above the $78 would strengthen the case for a bullish reversal and a new impulsive phase. But if resistance holds and price rolls over, it may warn that markets aren't out of the woods yet. In any case, HYG remains a powerful gauge within the market’s risk engine.
$SPX6900 following Global M2 money supplyFollowing Colin Talks Crypto's BTC & Global M2 money supply.
I'm using his script to generate global M2, in his version there is a 108 day - 86 day offset.
Here with SPX I adjusted to between that range at 96 days.
This sets up a strong outlook for SPX6900 going into the new few months.
Can Dogecoin break resistance and soar 40% straight to $0.21?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Dogecoin 🔍📈.
Dogecoin, often hailed as a standout asset of the century, is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel—presenting an exceptional opportunity for long-term investors. A potential 40% upside targets the $0.21 level, contingent upon a confirmed breakout above key resistance and the upper boundary of the channel.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Dogecoin’s in a solid downtrend channel right now, but it’s looking like a great long-term buy with a shot at 40% gains up to $0.21 if it breaks key resistance.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
$BTC: Last 2 months pump before the bear market starts.On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one.
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
When to Sell GOLD?? When will Gold STOP RISING? When will gold stop rising - When to sell gold and start investing in other assets
Hey everyone, Tradevietstock is back again! Today, I’m diving into gold investing after a hot streak in gold prices, with everyone in the media talking about it. There’s even some unofficial info and rumors claiming gold could reach 6,000USD per ounce. But what data shows that gold prices will continue to rise dramatically, maybe even double? And, more importantly, when will gold stop rising? And what is the exact time to sell it and take profit? Let’s break down the data below.
Our view at Tradevietstock is that gold won’t keep climbing like that. Instead, this is the time to look for opportunities to sell at the best price. FOMO (fear of missing out) at this point, chasing gold at its peak, can lead to significant losses, especially if you’re a short-term speculator.
Looking at recent movements, XAUUSD has surged for three consecutive sessions, each by around 3%. To me, this signals strong FOMO in the gold market—not a good sign for new buyers.
i. Gold Price History
1. Historical Data from 1970
Gold has seen significant spikes in the past, similar to the recent surge. Below is a summary of gold price history from 1987 to present, highlighting periods of strong consecutive increases and other key benchmarks.
2. The historical context at key moments
=> As we can see from the events above, gold tends to rise during periods of financial instability and geopolitical tension. However, from 2022 to now, gold prices have almost doubled, and all macroeconomic negative news has been priced in. So, when will gold stop rising and when to sell it?
ii. Probability Data
1. Quantitative Statistics
Below is a statistical comparison of XAUUSD gold prices with similar strong price movements observed in April 2025:
Looking at the data, we can see that gold prices generally decrease from the 30th session onward, after experiencing a 3% increase each session. The 30th session begins on April 9, 2025. Additionally, since 2024, gold has increased by more than 60%.
2. Probability Results
Based on probability calculations from April 9, 2025, the opportunity to buy new positions in XAUUSD is virtually gone. After the 10th and 30th sessions, it's no longer advisable to enter new positions. Instead, it's time to look for sell positions or lock in profits.
=> Since the cycle began, gold has accumulated for 213 consecutive sessions, while the average accumulation period for XAUUSD is about 290 sessions. This is quite close. The longer the accumulation phase, the stronger the price increase afterward. However, we’ve already seen a significant rise in gold prices, meaning most of the potential gains have already been priced in.
3. What Signals Confirm That Gold Prices Will Drop Sharply?
When will gold stop rising and when should we sell it? The answer is simple: we need clear confirmation signals from XAUUSD. In this case, the signal would be a sharp 5% decline in a single session. Based on statistical probability and historical data, such 5% declines have historically confirmed the start of a bear market for gold, meaning prices will either decrease or remain stagnant for an extended period.
A notable 5% drop occurred on May 15, 2006, when gold had previously surged by approximately 55% over a period of about 246 sessions. The outcome was that gold prices dropped by around 14% in the next 30 sessions.
Another example of when to sell occurred on December 4, 2009, when gold experienced a 4% decline after a previous gain of 24% over 144 consecutive sessions. Since the prior gain wasn’t exceptionally strong, XAUUSD only dropped around 6% in the following 50 sessions.
From these examples, we can conclude that gold tends to rise sharply after an accumulation cycle of about 200 sessions or more, with subsequent price increases of 50% or higher. The stronger the previous rise, the larger the drop afterward, typically around 14-15%.
4. Data from Gold Sentiment
When will gold stop rising? When should you sell gold? Based on the Gold Sentiment data from MacroMicro, it’s clear that as the Survey Diffusion Index increases, gold prices tend to rise. Conversely, when this index decreases, gold prices enter a correction phase, leading to a period of stagnation.
Currently, the Survey Diffusion Index has been declining since around March 2025. So when will gold stop rising? This suggests that the gold price may soon reach the end of its upward cycle. However, since this is a lagging indicator, selling or locking in profits requires considering additional factors.
iii. Conclusion
So, when will gold stop rising and when should you sell it? Will the price reach 6,000USD per ounce? According to our analysis, the right time to sell or lock in profits is when a 5% drop occurs in a single session. This conclusion is based on data, not speculation. Gold prices are unlikely to hit 6,000USD per ounce in the near future and will likely need to go through another cycle with an average accumulation period of 200 sessions. The price target to take profit could be around 3,600USD
I hope that the information in this When will gold stop rising article will help you begin your investment journey smoothly and with more confidence. Wishing everyone successful investments and profits!
XAUUSD trade idea for upcoming week Current Situation:
: Price is around 3326
: There’s a strong previous uptrend, and now price is recovering from a recent dip.
Trade Setup Explanation :
Bullish Phase (Short-Term Buy Idea)
: First Buy Zone: Current price up to the all-time high zone around 3355.
: The chart anticipates a short-term bullish push, likely to retest the ATH area.
: This zone is considered a liquidity grab or “trap” area, where price could reject and reverse.
Main Sell Zone:
> Sell Zone Identified: 3355–3360 area.
> This is a key resistance zone with:
> Previous multiple rejections (marked by red arrows).
> It's also where sellers are expected to be strong.
Sell Target Path:
1: TP1 = 3305 – Minor support, first logical reaction zone.
2: Price is then expected to range around 3305–3295 (highlighted in purple).
3: After consolidation, the expectation is a bearish continuation.
>>Final Target = 3255 – A major support zone and final destination of the swing short.<<
Global Market Overview. Part 4.2: SOLANA
Solana: The American Blockchain Making a Comeback
(Previous post: )
Continuing from everything I’ve written earlier about Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana deserves a separate spotlight.
Because this asset is a different story altogether. It’s not like Bitcoin. It’s not like Ethereum.
Solana has its own path, its own logic — and most importantly, its own market cycle, which follows a very different pattern of growth.
Why did Solana rally?
Let’s be blunt: Solana isn’t just a blockchain — it’s the epicenter of the new crypto cycle, where the main drivers weren’t decentralization or institutional capital, but memes, hype, and community.
Thousands of new tokens launched on Solana became the spark behind an explosion of interest.
The network surged with activity, and it was that real usage — not marketing — that pushed market cap higher.
But that’s not all.
Solana is Made in the USA.
And in crypto, just like in politics, that matters.
An American project, developed on U.S. soil, Solana quickly gained the trust of the largest and wealthiest crypto investor base in the world — American investors.
To be precise: it was the U.S. crypto community that pushed Solana into the mainstream.
And once funds and OTC brokers joined the party, it became clear — this asset isn’t going anywhere.
What about fundamentals?
Peak price: nearly $300
Growth from 2021 to 2024: one of the fastest in crypto
Network load: consistently high
Number of projects in the ecosystem: growing
Confirmed approval for a Solana ETF in the U.S.
Technological flexibility and strong developer support
U.S. jurisdiction: trusted by both institutions and retail
Why didn’t it crash with the rest of the market?
Here’s the twist: even as the crypto market was rocked by negative news and broad corrections, Solana held above $100.
That’s a key support level — and it held up under pressure from:
Trump’s tariff panic
Futures market liquidations
Capital outflows from other altcoins
Rising Bitcoin dominance
Yes, the price pulled back to the $130–140 range, but it never broke major support — a clear sign that strong hands haven’t let go.
But why hasn’t it gone higher if things are so good?
Simple: the Solana ETF hasn’t officially launched yet.
But once formal approval from the SEC is in place — the asset is set to explode.
We already saw a pump above $200 just on rumors.
Now the clock is ticking — when will rumor become reality?
And here’s a spoiler: the Solana ETF has already been approved.
In crypto, that’s how it goes — first the whispers, then insider info leaks, then the price runs.
And finally, when the official news drops — that’s when the real move starts.
We haven’t seen that final leg yet because of all the macro confusion over tariffs.
What’s next?
I’m not giving financial advice.
But here’s the reality — I bought Solana on the dip and I’m still buying.
Why?
Because I need to recover the $300K I lost on Ethereum
Because everything points to a continuation of the bull trend
Because no other major asset offers this kind of symmetry between fundamentals and upside potential
Solana isn’t a bubble.
It’s a trading platform for the meme economy — and one of the few blockchains where actual demand matches real scalability and low fees.
And in crypto, that means a lot.
My personal take
If you’ve got free cash right now — don’t be afraid to look Solana’s way.
I see no reason to fear this asset in the medium to long term.
The network is alive. The network is growing. The asset is holding strong.
Now all we need is the next trigger — and it will come.
The potential to see $200 again in the coming months?
Very real.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 21 - April 25]Earlier this week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD fell from $3,245/oz to $3,193/oz after US President Donald Trump exempted tariffs on 20 goods, including smartphones, laptops, hard drives, computer monitors and machinery used to produce semiconductors and chips. However, the US-China trade war became increasingly tense when Mr. Trump announced a tax of up to 245% on Chinese goods imported into the US, pushing the gold price to skyrocket to $3,357/oz, then adjusted down to $3,283/oz and closed the week at $3,327/oz.
Many experts believe that the unpredictable policy changes of the US President, as well as the risk of a global economic recession, especially Mr. Trump's threat to remove FED Chairman Powell...
May continue to support gold prices in the short term. In addition, the weakening of the USD has also been actively supporting the upward momentum of gold prices.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES THIS WEEK:
There won’t be many important economic reports coming up next week, especially since markets will be closed on Monday for the Easter holiday.
On Wednesday, markets will get the preliminary S&P Global Composite PMI for April and new home sales data for March. On Thursday, a slew of important data will be released, including durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims and existing home sales. The weekend will close with the final report on the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index.
Markets will also be closely watching speeches from Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler and Patrick Harker, especially after notable comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday.
📌Technically, gold is already deep in overbought territory, and a technical correction could be imminent before gold can move higher. Depending on the strength of the correction, gold could fall to $3,250/oz next week, followed by $3,150/oz, and then the psychological support of $3,000/oz. However, if $3,300/oz proves to be a solid support level, gold could soon break above $3,400/oz next week. It could even go as high as $3,500/oz if US-China trade tensions continue to escalate.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,304 – 3,300 – 3,261USD
Resistance: 3,338 – 3,372USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3394 - 3392⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3398
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3243 - 3245⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3239
Analysis and layout of the latest gold market ?Analysis of gold market trend next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: Stimulated by the news, gold prices have continuously refreshed historical highs this year. As of the close of this week, gold prices have reached a high of 3357. There was a slight retracement signal after setting a historical high on Thursday, but the closing price was still above 3320. The weekly line closed with a real body longer than the upper and lower shadows, suggesting that there is a possibility of further upward movement next week. That is to say, while we are optimistic that overbought will trigger selling at the end of the week, there are also investors who continue to be optimistic about the pullback and buy into the market. So Thursday's trend is to dive from the high to 3284 and then rebound to 3327 to close. The closing price reflects that the gold price is still in a state of continued rise in the general trend.
In the short-term trend, Thursday's callback stopped at 3284, and did not reach the previous high conversion support of 3245, which we predicted. Then the support level can be moved up to 3285; as for the upper resistance, we need to pay attention to the suppression of the historical high of 3357. If the news over the weekend, especially the trade conflict and Trump's remarks, continue to stimulate the Fed to cut interest rates, then the probability of gold rising will be greatly increased. So for next week's operation, it is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks. As for the entry point, the first one is 3310. This is a step support level for high-level pullbacks and a retracement point during the rebound, so it can be used as an entry point to look bullish. The upper side mainly focuses on the high point suppression of 3357. If it continues to break, the upper side can continue to see the position of 3409. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds for the short-term operation of gold next Monday. The upper short-term focus is on the resistance line of 3357-3360, and the lower short-term focus is on the support line of 3285-3310. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3350-3360, target near 3335-3320, and look at the 3310 line after breaking.
Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3305-3310, target around 3325-3345, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks.
DXY SINGLING DANGER! UPTADE! Bad things happen when the dollar gets too strong....
Well, "the bad thing" now seems to be the dollar itself crashing lower.
What a difference 2 months can make!
Waging economic war against our allies, pulling military defense from allies, isolationism has not been working as expected. In fact, Trump has overplayed his cards, and his tactics are backfiring.
CAUTION is in order!!
Target not reached! Forced on me.
As mentioned back on January 18, 2025, when the dollar gets this strong, bad things happen.
As you can now all see, bad things did happen. Markets are crashing, and we are headed for an economic depression!
WARNING!
EURNZD Starting a Bullish Reversal After Breaking the Downtrend Technical Overview:
On the 4H timeframe, EURNZD appears to be breaking out of a descending trendline that has been intact since early April. The pair formed a higher low around the 1.8984 level, suggesting early signs of a bullish reversal. Price is currently trading near 1.9212 after breaking the trendline and retesting it as support. If momentum holds, potential targets lie around 1.9745 and 2.0000, with a stop loss below 1.9152.
Fundamental View:
Fundamentally, the euro remains supported by expectations of steady or possibly tighter monetary policy from the ECB, especially if inflation pressures persist. In contrast, the New Zealand dollar continues to weaken due to signs of economic slowdown and a more neutral stance from the RBNZ. This divergence in monetary policy outlooks favors further upside in EURNZD.
Extra Note:
Keep an eye on a clean 4H candle close above 1.9220 with strong bullish momentum. High volume accompanying the breakout would further confirm the bullish scenario.
ETH short CRYPTOCAP:ETH 2H SHORT.
The asset retains the potential to decline within the current structure.
The most favorable conditions for opening short positions can be formed after the test of POI 2. Also, the scenario of entry within the local zone of interest POI 1 (15m) remains relevant.
Target benchmarks: $1537, $1521, $1503, $1470.
Can Notcoin Deliver an 18% Gain in This Setup?0.002100 TargetHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Notcoin 🔍📈.
Notcoin is currently presenting a short-term trading opportunity within its downward channel. I'm anticipating a potential rebound toward the upper boundary, aiming for a minimum return of 18%. The primary target for this move is set at 0.002100, assuming favorable market momentum.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is:🧨
Notcoin looks ready for a short-term bounce toward 0.002100, with at least 18% upside if momentum kicks in.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
GOLD 4H ANALYZEHello dear traders,
I’ve been away for a while, but I’m back now to share fresh market analysis and trading signals.
As you can see on the gold (XAUUSD) chart, we’re continuously seeing the formation of new price highs. Every price correction in key zones can offer a great buying opportunity.
The price range between 3190 and 3195 is a high-potential buying area.
Make sure to pay attention to the note highlighted in the image.
Wishing you all success and happiness!