GBP/JPY Bullish Flag (25.06.2025) The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 198.46
2nd Resistance – 199.00
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Fundamental Analysis
XAU/USD - Channel Breakout (26.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3385
2nd Resistance – 3410
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GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market...
Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech
Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take
Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372
Support levels: 3319, 3307
The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target.
Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743
Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508
The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of ViewGold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of View
Since yesterday, gold has not moved much despite the situation in the Middle East looking calm and stable for the moment.
In a normal market, gold should have started another downward wave, given that a ceasefire was reached between the influential countries and a war that could have lasted for years given their military arsenal.
Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified for the second day and his comments were aggressive, despite being provoked by many of Trump's supporters with very aggressive tones. This was probably one reason why the US dollar did not show strength.
However, gold is a safe-haven asset and if it is to respect its status, chances are it will fall further, at least as a profitable moment, because all the important events have ended so far. It could create a possible reversal from the current area as shown in the chart.
Key downside targets: 3314.50, 3300, 3285, and 3270.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal.
The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East.
Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline.
Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320
Resistance levels: 3360, 3366
Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCAD: Oil Price Weakness Weighs on CAD – Can USD Capitalize?USDCAD: Oil Price Weakness Weighs on CAD – Can USD Capitalize?
Hello TradingView community!
Today, let's analyze the USDCAD pair, which is showing interesting dynamics as the CAD faces pressure from falling oil prices.
🌍 Macro Drivers: CAD Struggles Amidst Lower Oil, USD Upside Limited
The USDCAD pair is caught in a tug-of-war between the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and the US Dollar (USD):
CAD pressured by oil: The Canadian Dollar has seen its gains trimmed, primarily weighed down by lower crude oil prices. Canada, being a major oil exporter, sees its currency directly impacted by these fluctuations.
Oil prices lower: A recent truce between Israel and Iran is keeping crude oil prices significantly lower (16% below Monday's highs), directly affecting CAD's strength.
USD's limited upside: Despite CAD's weakness, the US Dollar's upside attempts are being constrained by recent soft US economic data and persistent hopes for Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy easing.
In summary, USDCAD is seeing a slight upward tick due to a weaker CAD from oil price drops, but the USD's rally is somewhat capped by Fed easing expectations.
📊 Technical Analysis & USDCAD Trading Plan
Based on the USDCAD chart (H4/M30) provided:
Overall Trend: USDCAD is trading within an ascending channel, but shows signs of weakness near the channel's upper boundary. Price appears to be forming a lower high after a previous upward move.
Key Price Levels:
Potential SELL Zone (Resistance): Clearly identified around 1.36989. This is a strong resistance level, coinciding with recent local highs. Selling pressure is likely to emerge here.
Key Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 1.36734 and further down at 1.36431. The 1.36431 level is particularly significant, aligning with a major Fibonacci level (1.382) and acting as a robust demand area from prior price action.
Moving Averages (EMAs): Price is trading near the EMAs (black, orange, red), indicating a consolidation phase and potential for a significant move.
Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that USDCAD could pull back from the current resistance zone (1.36989) towards the support levels below, particularly 1.36431, before potentially finding buying interest to resume an upward trend.
🎯 USDCAD Trading Plan:
SELL ZONE: 1.36989
SL: 1.37050
TP: 1.36900 - 1.36850 - 1.36800 - 1.36750 - 1.36700 - 1.36600 - 1.36500 - 1.36431
BUY ZONE: 1.36431
SL: 1.36300
TP: 1.36500 - 1.36550 - 1.36600 - 1.36650 - 1.36700 - 1.36750 - 1.36800 - 1.36900
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Crude Oil Prices: Any significant movements in crude oil will directly impact the CAD.
US Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from the US could heavily influence Fed policy expectations and USD strength.
Bank of Canada (BoC) Policy: Statements or decisions from the BoC will also be a critical factor affecting the CAD.
Trade smart and stay vigilant! Wishing everyone a successful USDCAD trading day!
Gold Price Rebounds from Support Zone – Potential Breakout Above🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) | Rejection from Support with Potential Bullish Continuation
Published: June 26, 2025
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Broker: OANDA
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🎯 Summary
Gold appears to be staging a potential bullish reversal after a strong reaction off a key support zone around $3,300, with a rising channel formation and higher lows hinting at a break above short-term resistance. This could set up a test of the $3,360–$3,370 level in the near term.
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📊 Technical Breakdown
🔹 Support Rejection & Structure
Price action found strong demand at the $3,300–$3,310 zone (highlighted by the orange circles and green arrows).
Multiple rejections from this zone indicate the presence of institutional buying or defended liquidity.
The current price action respects a rising channel, forming consecutive higher lows, a bullish market structure in the short term.
🔹 Resistance & Breakout Potential
Price is approaching a key horizontal resistance at $3,355–$3,360.
A clean break and hold above this level could trigger a continuation toward the next liquidity zone near $3,380+, aligning with prior consolidation (green box region).
🔹 Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
The price is testing the Kumo cloud from below.
A bullish crossover and breakout above the cloud would further confirm bullish momentum.
Leading Span A is flattening, suggesting a potential equilibrium shift in favor of buyers.
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🧠 Strategic Insight
What sets this chart apart is the clear confluence of signals:
Structural support,
Bullish channel formation,
Repeated higher lows,
A squeeze against resistance.
This paints a scenario where smart money may be accumulating before a breakout. The anticipated move is not merely reactive — it's rooted in fractal price behavior, cloud dynamics, and accumulation logic.
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📌 Trade Scenario (Not Financial Advice)
Bullish Case:
A breakout above $3,360, ideally with volume confirmation, opens the door for a move to $3,380–$3,390. Watch for retests of the breakout zone for potential entries.
Bearish Invalidator:
A close below $3,320 would invalidate the ascending channel and shift short-term sentiment back to neutral or bearish.
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💡 Original Perspective
While many traders focus on the breakout itself, this idea emphasizes the accumulation phase and higher-lows within a compression zone — a subtle yet powerful clue of institutional activity. This nuanced approach provides a layer of depth often overlooked in short-timeframe charts.
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📣 Community Prompt
🔍 What’s your view on Gold's behavior at this resistance? Are you seeing similar higher-timeframe confluence? Drop your thoughts or alternate views in the comments!
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders!
Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades.
1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1)
Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move.
H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA.
H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher.
2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15)
M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral.
M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought.
3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352
Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling.
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380
Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285
Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here.
🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272
Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength.
4. What to Do
Current price is about 3323.
If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade.
If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285.
Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change.
Be patient and wait for good signals.
5. Important Levels
Zone Price Range Notes
Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone
Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades
Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone
Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance
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GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (25.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 195.96
2nd Support – 195.37
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6/24/25 - $arm - Short $arm, long $nvda trade6/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARM
Short NASDAQ:ARM , long NASDAQ:NVDA trade
- the trade that keeps on giving
- NASDAQ:ARM on it's NASDAQ:NVDA pair (ARM/NVDA) has only been down and do the right, the chart is not something you'd want to step in front of unless you knew of "why" it would fundamentally change
- NASDAQ:ARM trades at a valuation that's 2x NVDA, but the company grows half as fast, has lower margins and generally is size-constrained in a game of scale (TSM will take NVDA all day every day over anyone, incl. ARM demand)
- so while it's tough to time "short semis" - and generally I think semis remain the best MT/LT beta in the market mainly because the AI-trade IMHO remains (dystopianly - i know not a word) in the earlier innings than converse... we've just retraced the entire march/april move from lows back to highs?
- the market has a super short memory
- people are renting their exposure (0dte's). positioning remains stretched. i still like a lot of cash here and good hedges.
- but i'm happy to play the pair between arm and nvda. i'm using $150 strikes (same expiry) for both, equally OTM for both, arm on the put side, nvda on the long side
- my guess is any sell off in beta pulls arm down 2x the nvda beta and any further move higher could suck oxygen out of a tired arm with worse valuation underpinnings and rotating into nvda (a better "store of value") and leading to nvda dominance on the arm chart (again referencing the ARM/NVDA pair trade... lower... forever)
V
AUDJPY DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully completed a breakout from a bullish pennant structure on the 4H timeframe, signaling the beginning of a strong upward continuation move. After a sustained consolidation below descending resistance, price action has now pierced through the upper trendline with volume and follow-through momentum. The breakout is aligned with the prior bullish leg from mid-June, indicating trend continuation. I’m now targeting 96.500 as the next key price level, with current price holding firm at 94.500.
Fundamentally, the Australian Dollar remains supported by recent hawkish RBA expectations. Traders are now pricing in the possibility of another rate hike following sticky inflation data out of Australia. The latest CPI print showed an annualized rise above 4%, exceeding forecasts, and reinforcing the case for tighter monetary policy. In contrast, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its dovish tone, with no immediate signs of rate normalization. The ongoing yield divergence continues to fuel bullish flows into AUDJPY.
Today’s market sentiment favors risk-on assets, and AUD typically benefits in such conditions. Global equity strength and higher commodity prices are further backing AUD's upside momentum. Moreover, with carry trade flows increasing as investors seek higher-yielding currencies, AUDJPY is well-positioned to benefit from both fundamental tailwinds and technical breakout confirmation.
This setup is technically clean and fundamentally strong. Pullbacks toward the 94.100–93.900 zone could be retested as new support before the pair extends higher. As long as price holds above the breakout level, I remain bullish with 96.500 as my primary upside target. This pair is offering a high-probability continuation play in alignment with both macro and micro structure.
AUD CHF long ideaWith the markets Middle East and tariff concerns put to one side for time being, a risk on trade currently seems viable. The positive mood is backed up by FED board members turning dovish.
This could be classed as either a 'risk on' or '4hr support and resistance' trade simply a 'risk on' trade.
The risk to the trade is negative sentiment. Chair Powell is speaking again today, but I can't envision he will say anything out of the ordinary compared to yesterday. Another risk is that I may look back and a different pair may have been a better option to trade, but I feel CHF strength is overdone considering the growingly positive environment.
Nvidia & Nasdaq History - What you need to know!Record-high share price: NVDA hit a new all-time high as U.S. stock markets rallied and Wall Street analysts forecast continued upside
Nvidia is pushing towards the first ever $4 Trillion market cap.
Today it surpassed MSFT as the largest company in the world closing up over 4% on the session.
Micron earnings are adding extra fuel to the fire for semi conductors.
Short term picture for semis - they're very extended and need some consolidation.
Micron earnings: Revenue: $8.05 billion, up ~38% YoY, beating the ~$7.89 billion consensus
Data‑center revenue: Tripled YoY, powered by surging demand for high‑bandwidth memory (HBM)
HBM sales: Exceeded $1 billion, growing over 50% sequentially
Strong margin and revenue beat; robust cash flow (~$857 million free cash flow) with a solid balance sheet ($9.6 billion in liquidity)
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview
After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend.
2. Technical Analysis
Price Action
XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend
Repeated historical rejections.
The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June.
Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control.
Support Zone Behavior
The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align.
This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels.
RSI Indicator
RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart.
3. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply).
3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark
Support:
3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now.
3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes.
4. Trade Setup Scenarios.
Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears
Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD.
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD.
Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4.
Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD.
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD.
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD.
Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume
Note:
XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
Undervalued with strong margins and market positioning
Attractive entry point: Improved margins and undervaluation make it a compelling buy
Pricing power: Dominates the photomask niche in semiconductors, enabling high, stable margins
China risk managed: Heavy China exposure, but resilient through geopolitical pressure
Bottom line: Well-positioned for growth; strategic moat and financial strength support a bullish view
PO3 analysis previewThis chart displays my current working model for PO3 structure, focusing on a multi-timeframe analysis (9m, 27m, 81m, 3H) using volume imbalances and key time-based phases. I’ve marked potential accumulation, manipulation, and distribution zones, alongside session-specific traps (like NYO sweeps) and key reaction areas tied to historical VIs.
The purpose of this post is to visually document these events and align them with real-time behavior. I'm exploring how price respects past VIs and cycles — especially when PO3 bar counts match across timeframes — and whether timing precision (e.g., bar 3/9 revisits) is consistently repeatable.
All annotations are part of a larger test strategy currently in development.
XAUUSD poised for a rebound?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 3,327 level after breaking below a short-term ascending trendline that started in mid-May. While this break might suggest a potential bearish reversal, from a technical standpoint, it could simply be a corrective move within a larger bullish structure.
The current price pattern appears to be forming a classic ABC correction.
If the support zone around 3,320–3,325 holds, there’s a strong possibility that price will rebound toward the 3,400–3,480 region in the coming sessions.
This area is not only a technical support but also a previous demand zone where buyers stepped in aggressively. Close attention should be paid to any bullish price action signals here. A reversal candlestick or a volume spike could serve as confirmation for a rebound setup.
A potential trade idea is to consider a long position around 3,320–3,325, with a stop loss below 3,308.
First target is set at 3,400, and an extended target at 3,480 if bullish momentum continues. Conversely, if the price closes below 3,308 with strong volume, the bearish scenario will gain ground, potentially dragging price down to the 3,280–3,231 support area.
The setup remains open, and clear confirmation is needed. Patience is key—wait for solid signals before committing to a position.