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GBP/USD Breakout (28.05.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3424 2nd Support – 1.3380 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43
Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back. If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst. Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing. Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy. 🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic. Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines. This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637. 💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever. ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them . Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet. Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU . Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund. Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction. 📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel. Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week: Wednesday: Fed minutes Thursday: GDP figures Friday: Core PCE inflation Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection. On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to. Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels. 🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top? But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength. The answer? Probably both. Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction. What could break the stalemate? A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft). Another policy win from Washington. Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!) 📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing. But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself. Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial. Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
18
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason? ✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)? Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%. This number is very important because: It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits. It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins. ❓ What is Altseason? Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot. During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over. Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things: Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing. Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall. ⚠️ But here is a very important point: We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it. The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken. ⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason? Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned: Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own. Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure. Conclusion: Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DEducation
by Navid_Jafarian
28
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon. Levels to watch: $150 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
17
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ PatternGOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ Pattern GOLD: Z Wave in Progress Gold is currently developing the final leg of a complex WXYXZ pattern, with the Z wave taking shape. Gold tends to rise unpredictably—even on days without major news or strong market volume, making this a hazardous trade. FOMC Minutes Today. The Federal Reserve’s minutes from the May 6-7 meeting will be released today. Policymakers showed no signs of adjusting interest rates soon, and today’s report may highlight how firmly they are sticking to their current "wait-and-see" approach. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
7
Selling pressure, gold price falls below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices continued to retreat during Wednesday’s North American session, slipping below the $3,300 mark after reaching an intraday high of $3,325 earlier. The pullback, amounting to a 0.27% decline, came as traders absorbed the implications of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes. During the May 6–7 policy meeting, the Fed opted to leave interest rates unchanged, highlighting growing uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of proposed tariffs. Officials maintained a cautious stance, citing heightened risks of both inflation and unemployment—potential consequences of trade disruptions. The minutes also reflected concerns over stagflation, with policymakers noting that “the Committee may face challenging trade-offs if inflation proves more persistent while growth and employment expectations deteriorate.” ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The downtrend line remains intact, gold prices are trading around below 3300. The tariff backdrop remains largely unchanged. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3311- 3313 SL 3318 TP1: $3300 TP2: $3290 TP3: $3280 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3205- $3207 SL $3200 TP1: $3218 TP2: $3230 TP3: $3248 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
EUR/CHF Technical Outlook – Potential Bullish Reversal Setup📈 Pair: EUR/CHF 📆 Date: May 27, 2025 📊 Timeframe: Daily (D1) 📌 Technical Highlights: 🔹 Current Price: 0.93456 🔹 Key Indicators: 50 EMA (Red): 0.93824 200 EMA (Blue): 0.94342 🧠 Chart Analysis: 🔻 Downtrend Resistance Line: A clear descending trendline is pressing price lower, reinforcing a bearish structure since March. 🟣 Reversal Zone (Support Area): Price is currently hovering just above the marked Reversal Point, a demand zone between 0.93000–0.93400. Historically, this zone has acted as a launch pad for upward momentum. 🟪 Resistance Level: Located around 0.94300–0.94600, this zone is reinforced by the 200 EMA, making it a critical breakout area. A strong bullish close above this region could invalidate the downtrend. 🔄 Two Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario: Price may bounce from the reversal zone. A break and retest above the resistance level could lead to bullish continuation toward 0.9500–0.9550. Confirmation above the 200 EMA will add confidence to the breakout. 📈 Potential Buy Entry: On breakout and retest of 0.9450 🎯 Target: 0.9550 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 0.9320 ❌ Bearish Continuation Scenario: If price fails to hold above the reversal point, sellers may regain control. A breakdown below 0.9300 could trigger further downside toward 0.9200 or lower. 📉 Sell Setup Invalid Until: Price closes below 0.9300 on strong volume. 🧭 Conclusion: This chart suggests a critical decision point for EUR/CHF. A bounce from the reversal zone followed by a confirmed break above resistance could signal the start of a medium-term uptrend. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation signals near the trendline and EMA zones. 🚦 Bias: Neutral to Bullish, awaiting confirmation 🧠 Tip: Watch for candlestick patterns (like bullish engulfing or pin bars) near the support zone for early entries.
Long
by MrStellanSight
13
Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation. Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar. DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1) Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation. EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building. A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🟢 BUY SCALP Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets. Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely. ⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves. Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure. Risk management is critical. ✅ SUMMARY: "Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
US100 - Triple Top Formation (Bearish Setup Active)he US100 on the 4H chart has formed a classic Triple Top pattern, indicating potential trend exhaustion and a bearish reversal setup. The price has tested the resistance zone three times near 21,600 without breaking higher, and a neckline breakdown may trigger further downside. 🔹 Pattern: Triple Top 🔹 Trend Context: Uptrend showing signs of weakening 🔹 Bearish Target: Near 19,600 - 19,800 zone 🔹 Confirmation: Watch for a breakdown below 20,750 (neckline support) Trade Idea Active – Bearish bias with caution on invalidation if new highs are made. 📉⚠️ Note : If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas! Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Hellena_Fx
2
USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus 📌 MARKET OVERVIEW USDCHF is currently consolidating within a tight range after a technical rebound from the 0.8226 support zone. The price is testing a confluence area at the descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the H2 chart, indicating indecision between bulls and bears as we head into the high-impact FOMC event. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H2 CHART Overall Trend: Sideways corrective move within a broader downtrend channel. Price is approaching critical resistance at the EMA200 and the channel’s upper boundary. EMAs in focus: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red). Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering around the 0.5 fib zone (0.8298), a neutral level for potential reaction. 🎯 Key Levels & Trade Scenarios: Major Resistance Zone: 0.8330 – 0.8368 → aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous structural high. Key Support Zone: 0.8226 → strong demand area. A break below this could expose deeper downside or set up a false break trap. 📌 Most Likely Path: Price could dip back to 0.8226 before launching a bullish recovery targeting 0.8330 – 0.8368. A clean breakout above 0.8368 with momentum and volume could invalidate the bearish bias and shift the trend mid-term. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT FOMC IN FOCUS: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting. However, market attention will be on Powell’s tone. A hawkish stance could fuel further USD strength, propelling USDCHF toward resistance zones. SNB (Swiss National Bank) maintains a neutral tone with slight disinflationary concerns, offering limited support for the CHF and strengthening the USDCHF upside case. US Treasury Yields are showing signs of recovery, adding bullish pressure to USD pairs. 📌 TRADING STRATEGY: Watch for bullish reaction at 0.8226 – potential long setup if RSI divergence appears. Short-term targets: 0.8330 → 0.8368. Breakout Strategy: If price clears 0.8368 with conviction, shift bias to bullish continuation and monitor for FVG or trendline breakout alignment. 📣 Stay sharp for increased volatility around FOMC. Position sizing and discipline are key in macro-heavy weeks like this.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
JUPUSDT Breakout... or Classic Bull Trap?Yello Paradisers are you truly prepared for one of the cleanest and most deceptive setups we've seen on JUPUSDT in weeks? A decisive move is building, but so is a very well-placed trap and only those who remain disciplined will navigate it safely. 💎#JUPUSDT has broken above a key resistance level that has rejected price action several times in the past. That same level is now being tested as support, and the market’s reaction here will be crucial. If this retest holds, we could see a continuation of the bullish structure with strong upward momentum. But this is precisely where many get caught assuming it’s a straightforward breakout, when in fact it could be the final bait before the flush. 💎The level at $0.5870 is now our line in the sand. If price remains above it, what we are witnessing is likely a healthy pause and consolidation before another impulsive leg upward. However, if $0.5870 fails, the next area of interest is the demand zone near $0.4718. A sharp move into this region could trap late bulls and shake out weak hands. The key will be whether buyers step in aggressively on that dip. A fast and strong rebound from the demand zone would confirm renewed strength, offering a potential high-probability long entry but only if the reaction is immediate and decisive. 💎To the upside, we are watching the moderate resistance around $0.7865, which could slow the move briefly. But the real game begins near the major supply zone at $0.8992. That’s where we expect smart money to begin unloading positions and anyone serious about preserving profits must be prepared to react accordingly. 💎However, if the price fails to hold even the demand zone and breaks below $0.4718, the entire bullish setup gets invalidated. That becomes our structural flip level, and if breached, we’ll turn bearish and prepare for further downside and potential lower lows. Discipline, patience, robust strategies, and trading tactics are the only ways you can make it long-term in this market. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
1
GBP/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on 1.3600British Pound (CFTC - CME) Commercial traders increased their long positions by +1,839 contracts and short positions by +3,597. Net exposure remains negative, but the significant short increase suggests active hedging and risk management. Non-Commercial traders (speculators) reduced their longs by -1,396 and increased their shorts by +1,827, signaling weakening sentiment toward the GBP. Open Interest rose modestly by +465 → showing renewed engagement, though there’s clear divergence between Commercial and Non-Commercial positioning. Implication: Net pressure remains bearish, but there's evidence of short saturation from Commercials, possibly hinting at a consolidation phase or reversal ahead. USD Index (ICE Futures) Non-Commercials increased both longs (+2,044) and shorts (+1,975), signaling indecision. Commercials slightly increased long exposure (+689), while shorts remained mostly flat (-114). Implication: The dollar shows cautious strengthening, but with no strong directional conviction. A period of ranging price action is likely. 2. Retail Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with only 33% long. Volume favors short positions as well: 7,727 lots vs. 3,866 long. Implication: From a contrarian perspective, the excessive short bias among retail traders supports a short-term bullish scenario, possibly driven by a short squeeze or liquidity run. 3. Historical Seasonality May shows a historically bearish tendency: 10-Year Avg: -2.22% 5-Year Avg: -1.60% 2-Year Avg: -0.65% Implication: Seasonal bias remains negative, but should be interpreted alongside COT and sentiment data to avoid misleading signals. 4. Technical Analysis Price is currently trading inside a weekly resistance zone between 1.3513 and 1.3600, following a strong bounce from a dynamic support. A previous structure break failed to follow through → bull trap was avoided. The weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels, suggesting momentum is shifting upward. Previous demand zones around 1.3176 and 1.3047 held well. Implication: A potential breakout is forming, but it occurs near a key technical level. Without strong volume or fundamentals, the area may trigger a sell reaction. 5. Market Depth There is a heavy cluster of short orders above current price, while long orders appear scattered and less aggressive. This creates a liquidity magnet effect, which may lead to bullish spikes towards 1.3550–1.3600 before any meaningful distribution. Implication: Potential upside extension in the short-term to hunt stops, followed by a bearish reaction. 🎯 Operational Outlook Main Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short-term, Bearish (Seasonal) mid-term Key levels to watch: Resistance: 1.3550–1.3600 Support zone: Ascending trendline and 1.3340–1.3176 Likely Scenarios: Price may spike toward 1.3550 to clear liquidity before facing rejection. A confirmed weekly close above 1.3610 opens the door to 1.3750. A drop below 1.3340 confirms structural reversal and bearish continuation.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
The Great Erosion: Why I Hedge With BitcoinBy Coach Miranda Miner Look at this chart. It doesn’t scream. It doesn’t panic. It simply tells the truth. Over the past decade, major fiat currencies have quietly lost their purchasing power. The Chinese Yuan has been debased by 61%, the US Dollar by 46%, the Euro by 38%, the British Pound by 34%, and even the Japanese Yen, often praised for its stability, has fallen 29%. And yet, central banks speak as if things are under control. They tell us inflation is “transitory.” They say rate hikes are temporary. They promise normalization. But as we’ve seen, normalization often means sacrificing the value of your hard-earned money. This is not a conspiracy. This is macroeconomic policy at work. The Reality Behind Currency Debasement Since the global financial crisis of 2008, central banks like the Federal Reserve (the Fed) have resorted to unprecedented monetary policy tools—quantitative easing, low interest rates, and now liquidity injections whenever markets tremble. The Fed’s balance sheet ballooned from under $1 trillion pre-crisis to nearly $9 trillion at its peak. Each time the Fed prints more dollars to buy assets and prop up markets, the money supply increases. When this happens without a corresponding increase in goods and services, what do you get? Inflation. And when inflation accelerates beyond control, currency debasement follows. Your dollars buy less. Your savings silently shrink. It’s not just the Fed. The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and People’s Bank of China have followed similar paths. Governments and their central banks are running deficits and solving them by diluting the very currency people save in. Don’t Just Trust Banks—Understand Incentives Let me ask you a simple question: Do you think your bank cares more about your financial freedom, or about their own bottom line? Look at the recent collapses: Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, and Signature Bank. We were told the system was stable. Then it cracked—overnight. Even NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:WFC —the biggest banks—are still at the mercy of regulatory changes, interest rate whiplashes, and geopolitical shocks. Don’t forget: banks are leveraged institutions. They lend more than they own. Meanwhile, you earn 1-2% on your savings while inflation eats away 6-8% per year. That’s a guaranteed loss. The Bitcoin Hedge: Scarcity in a World of Printing Now compare that with Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Bitcoin has a fixed supply: 21 million coins, ever. No Fed. No central authority. No backroom stimulus deal. Its supply is encoded and transparent. Every four years, the Bitcoin halving cuts the rate of new issuance, making BTC more scarce over time. In April 2024, we witnessed the most recent halving. The mining reward dropped from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block. In economic terms, the supply shock began fueling upward price pressure—exactly as it did in 2012, 2016, and 2020. Meanwhile, institutional demand surged. After the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, trillions of dollars were unlocked. Funds like BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK Invest’s ARKB have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin. In fact, by January 2025, ETFs acquired 51,500 BTC in a single week. During that same period, only 13,850 BTC were mined. That’s a 3.7x supply squeeze. Let that sink in. Bitcoin is the Antithesis of Fiat Bitcoin is not a gamble. It is insurance against the failure of the fiat system. For traders like us, it’s a strategic asset. For long-term investors, it’s a savings technology. For people in unstable economies—think Argentina, Lebanon, Turkey—Bitcoin is freedom. Even in the Philippines, I see it. OFWs sending money home are starting to learn about Bitcoin on the Lightning Network, bypassing remittance fees from NYSE:WU or $ML. As Coach Miranda Miner, I always teach: Discipline. Risk Management. Malasakit. This is not about being anti-bank. This is about being pro-freedom. Retail and Institutional Alignment For the first time, retail traders and Wall Street giants are eyeing the same asset. That alignment is rare. NASDAQ:TSLA holds over 10,000 BTC. NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy) holds more than 300,000 BTC and continues to raise capital just to buy more. El Salvador, a sovereign nation, now holds Bitcoin in a strategic reserve. Their president even uses geothermal volcano energy to mine BTC sustainably. This is no longer fringe. This is mainstream adoption in motion. But What About Volatility? Yes, Bitcoin is volatile. That’s true. But let’s flip the script. If something is volatile but trending upward in the long run—like Bitcoin—doesn’t it make sense to accumulate wisely? Versus keeping wealth in a stable asset—like fiat—that consistently loses value. That’s slow bleeding. It’s not volatility. It’s erosion. A Strategic Framework for 2025 Here’s what I advise fellow traders and investors: Hedge your fiat exposure. Don’t keep all your assets in cash or peso. Use dollar-cost averaging ( GETTEX:DCA ) to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC regularly. Allocate responsibly. You don’t need to go all-in. Even 5–10% exposure can protect your portfolio. Track macro events. Monitor Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, and ETF flows. Avoid hype. Study fundamentals. Bitcoin rewards research, not impulse. The Takeaway The currencies we grew up trusting have quietly betrayed us. This isn’t fear-mongering. This is risk awareness. If you believe in working hard, you should also believe in protecting that hard work. And Bitcoin offers that shield—not because it’s perfect, but because it’s mathematically incorruptible. You owe it to yourself to understand the shift happening before your eyes. So yes, I hedge with $BTC. Because in a world of ever-weakening paper, digital scarcity is power. —Coach Miranda MinerCEO, Global Miranda Miner GroupDiscipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.
by coachmirandaminer
4
Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action📊 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action 🕒 Timeframe: 4H (Based on candlestick structure) 📅 Published: May 27, 2025 💰 Current Price: 3,303.860 🔴 Major Resistance Zone 📍 3,480 – 3,500 📌 Seen with red arrows and price rejections. 📉 Strong selling pressure has occurred twice from this level (double top-like behavior). ❗ Until price breaks above this, bulls face a major hurdle. 🟣 Key Mid-Level Zone (S/R Flip) 📍 3,340 – 3,360 🔄 This area has flipped between support and resistance. 🔸 Price tested this level recently and pulled back (orange circle), suggesting sellers are active. 🔮 This is the pivot zone – watch for break/rejection to determine next trend leg. 🟪 Main Support Zone 📍 3,180 – 3,220 ✅ Multiple bounce reactions visible (green arrows and circles). 💪 This zone has held strong; indicates solid buyer interest. 📉 If price returns here and breaks below, we could see further downside to 3,120 or lower. 🧭 Market Structure Summary 🔁 The market is in a range-bound structure between 3,220 – 3,360, with spikes towards 3,480. 🔃 The recent higher low followed by rejection at mid-resistance suggests potential distribution. 🧠 Forecast Scenarios 🔵 Bullish Scenario (Blue Path) Break above 3,360 → Retest as support → 📈 Potential rally to 3,480 📍 Target: 3,480+ 🟢 Confirmation: Strong bullish engulfing candle + volume surge 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Blue-Arrow + Orange Circle) Rejection at current resistance → Drop toward 3,220 📍 Target: Main Support zone ❗ Watch for bearish candle pattern confirmation at 3,340 ⚖️ Trading Strategy Tips 🔍 Wait for confirmation at the mid-resistance before entering. 🛡️ Place stops below support zones for long positions. 💥 Aggressive short sellers may look to enter near 3,340 with tight stops above. 🧩 Conclusion The asset is in a critical decision zone. Whether it breaks higher toward the resistance or retraces to support will shape the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious, and let price action confirm bias before committing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZareeFxTradingAac
3
Coffee Pullback or Opportunity?The COT report dated May 20, 2025, reveals a gradual cooling of speculative sentiment in the coffee market. Non-commercials (speculative funds and money managers), who had largely fueled the strong rally towards the 420 USX/lb highs, are now closing long positions (–2,599 contracts), though they still maintain a significantly positive net exposure (+43,300 net contracts). At the same time, commercials (industry operators such as roasters, exporters, and processors) have reduced both their long and short positions. However, the drop in short hedges (–4,103 contracts) is an important signal—it may suggest less need for downside protection at current prices, often an early sign of a potential market bottom. Total open interest has decreased by 4,406 contracts, signaling a phase of liquidation and consolidation, where traders are reducing exposure rather than initiating new positions. 📌 Fundamental conclusion: The market is undergoing a healthy reset following the Q1 2025 boom, with speculators stepping back and commercials cautiously optimistic. 📈 Seasonal Analysis Seasonal tendencies align well with the current technical outlook. May is historically a weak month, with negative average returns across most time frames (10y, 15y, 20y). However, from June—especially July onward, data shows a strong seasonal rebound, with July–August being statistically the best-performing period of the year for coffee. This is partly due to climate-related risks (Brazilian winter, frost risk) and harvest/logistics cycles in key producing regions. 📌 Seasonal conclusion: June may offer a strategic accumulation window ahead of the traditional summer coffee rally. 🧭 Technical Analysis (Daily) The KC1! daily chart clearly reflects a distribution and correction phase following the early March peak at 420 USX/lb. Price has broken below the 355–360 demand zone and is currently testing a key support area between 340 and 325, previously established as a demand base during January–February 2025. The medium-term trend remains bullish, but the market is now in a downward corrective channel, with lower highs and lower lows. The weekly RSI sits in a low-neutral range—not yet fully oversold, suggesting there may still be room for further downside, though the bulk of the correction may already be priced in. 📌 Technical conclusion: The market is undergoing a deep pullback within a broader uptrend and is approaching potential reversal zones. 🔎 Strategic Outlook The coffee market is in the midst of a cyclical and technical correction following its sharp Q1 2025 rally. The COT report reflects a rebalancing of speculative positioning, while commercials appear less aggressive on the short side. Seasonality favors a rebound starting June, and the technicals point to a potential long-entry zone around 340–325, attractive for medium-term positioning. ✅ Recommended Trading Setup Base scenario (medium-term long): Entry: Between 340 and 325 USX/lb (gradual accumulation) Stop Loss: Weekly close below 320 (bearish confirmation) Target 1: 390 (intermediate supply zone) Target 2: 410–420 (return to highs) Confluence: RSI support, COT shift, seasonal upside, technical demand zone Alternative scenario (bearish breakdown): Only if weekly closes below 320 This would open room toward 300–285 USX/lb 📌 Final Conclusion While short-term caution is warranted, current conditions offer attractive long re-entry opportunities for those who await confirmation around the 325–340 support area. The ideal setup would include: Weekly stabilization with higher lows Renewed speculative long positioning in COT Seasonal momentum kicking in from mid-June
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
Gold price analysis on May 29Not beyond the previous analysis of the D candle confirming the decrease and maintaining the trend of the candle on May 27 After touching the breakout zone of 3257, Gold is reacting to increase again and there is a high possibility that there will be buying force in the market today 3275 is the reaction zone that Gold is facing in front of this increasing force when breaking 3275 will head to 3285 and this is an important breakout zone with a large number of sellers accumulating in this zone. Breaking 3285 is considered a temporary break of the downtrend and waiting for the next reaction zones for SELL strategies around 3302 and 3314 The support zones with a tendency to react to prices and are also targets for SELL signals are noted in the resistance zone of this morning's Asian session around 3256. Two notable support zones today for bottom-probing signals are noted around 3238 and 3220.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Wed May 28 BTCAfter a month of continuous failed short trades, I’ve stepped back from the market. At this point, staying flat feels like the most strategic move. This rebound is unlike anything I’ve experienced over the past 5 years of trading — it may even be the strongest rally since COVID. This raises a critical question: Is the economic recession over? Or are we witnessing a dead cat bounce before a much deeper downturn? Rather than forcing a direction, I’m focusing on observing structure, volume, and key breakout zones. I'm resisting the urge to predict and instead preparing to react based on confirmation. BINANCE:BTCUSDT CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Porsche_911_
1
Gold Daily Plan – 27 May 2025 | Sniper Eyes OnlyHey GoldMinds! Hope you’re ready – price action is about to get spicy. We’re coming off a slow Monday, but Tuesday’s bringing a real battlefield between bulls and bears. Here’s what you need to watch like a hawk: Key Structure Zones to Watch ABOVE PRICE 3,347 – 3,353: First real resistance — expect quick reactions. If price stalls here, scalp sellers could step in. Eyes on for short-term fade, but not the main battle zone! 3,360 – 3,370: The premium supply and real strong high zone. If price pushes here, watch for fakeouts, stop hunts, or sharp reversals. This is where the big bears get interested! BELOW PRICE 3,339 – 3,342: Micro support and flip area. If bulls hold this, we can see another push up. If it breaks, momentum likely shifts down fast. 3,328 – 3,335: First solid demand for sniper entries. Best spot for a confirmed buy if price sweeps this area and shows rejection. 3,310 – 3,318: Deep discount demand — the last real defense before we talk about a bigger correction. If we get here, expect a wild reaction or “nothing zone” if broken. Bias & Confluence Trend: Bullish bias, but momentum is fading and liquidity is thick up top. EMAs (5/21/50/100): Tightening up, watch for a fresh cross if volatility spikes. RSI: Neutral, with hidden bearish divergence possible at 3,360+. FVG/OBs: Marked in the key zones, especially above 3,347 and below 3,335. Liquidity: Above 3,353 and below 3,335 — sweeps are highly likely before real direction. Sniper Plan for Tuesday If price pushes into 3,347–3,353, don’t chase — wait for a reaction or sweep, then short only with confirmation. If price rockets to 3,360–3,370, eyes wide open for a sweep and sharp rejection. This is “hunt zone” for high-probability shorts. If price dips to 3,339–3,342, monitor for bounce, but don’t rush buys unless you see confirmation. True buy interest at 3,328–3,335 — best sniper long setups if price wicks this area and rejects hard. Final support at 3,310–3,318 — “do or die” for the bulls. Quick Take 📉 Don’t get chopped in the middle — play the real zones! Wait for the market to give you confirmation at the extremes. Sniper trading only, no FOMO. 📈 If you’re not sure, let the dust settle. Remember, patience = profits. 🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you’re ready to catch the next big move! What’s your bias for Tuesday? Follow & Comment below and let’s crush this week together. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
13
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis 🗓️ Chart Date: May 25, 2025 🔍 Key Levels: 🔵 Support Zone: $106,800 – $107,300 Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest. This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support. 🔴 Resistance Zone: $111,800 – $112,300 Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market. 📈 Indicators: 🔵 EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51 Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently. 🔴 EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91 Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed. 🧠 Market Structure & Price Action: After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone. Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal. A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance. 📌 Forecast: ✅ If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000. ⚠️ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone. 🧭 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): 📥 Long Bias: Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200 SL: Below $107,000 TP: $111,800 – $112,300 📌 Conclusion: The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal 📈 from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation. 🧠 Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
31