Get started

Fundamental-analysis

NZD/CHF Triangle Breakout (17.04.2025)The NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.4886 2nd Resistance – 0.4916 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
ENA/USDT Breakout Pattern (18.04.2025)The ENA/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.3015 2nd Resistance – 0.3217 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
AT&T I Tipping Point : Short Opportunity with Head & ShouldersHey traders after a previous trade trade on the hood hitting targets of 16.4%. Today I bring you NYSE:T Technical + Fundamental View Pro Tip - Breakdown below the Entry Line will be considered at Trade Initiation. (Risky Traders) R:R= 5.4 - Rest can follow entry at day close post breakdown SL above Entry Candle. - The Breakdown Below the Entry Line will confirm the head and shoulder pattern Entry Line - 26.93 Stoploss - 27.53 Target 1 - 25.59 (Neckline of head and shoulder) Target 2 - 24.74 Target 3 - 23.68 Technical View - Head And Shoulder on Daily Time frame - On the hourly timeframe, the chart looks weak, showing a potential double top pattern where the second peak is lower than the first, indicating growing investor fear. Fundamental View - High Debt: Over $140 billion in debt limits investment capacity and consumes significant cash flow. - Network Issues: Poor service quality and outages risk losing customers to competitors. - Strong Competition : T-Mobile and Verizon offer better plans, making customer retention harder. - Market Saturation: The U.S. wireless market is nearly saturated, limiting new customer growth. - Execution Risks: Growth and debt reduction depend on flawless asset sales and network upgrades; delays could harm finances and stock performance. Additional Considerations - AT&T’s valuation is higher than some peers, potentially capping upside. - Telecom market competitiveness means growth hinges on successful 5G and fiber rollouts. - Dividend yield (~3.9%) is attractive but lower than some rivals, which may impact income investors.
NYSE:TShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 18, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 142.25 in thin trading session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) is declining against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid concerns over the economic impact of tariffs. Data released by the Statistics Bureau of Japan on Friday showed that the national consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6% in March, up from the previous reading of 3.7%. Meanwhile, the national CPI excluding fresh food was 3.2% y/y in March, up from 3.0% previously. The reading was in line with the market consensus. Finally, the consumer price index excluding fresh food and energy rose 2.9% y/y in March vs. the previous reading of 2.6%. The Japanese Yen remains strong against the US Dollar as an immediate reaction to Japanese inflation data. However, JPY gains may be limited as Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials signalled a pause in the consideration of interest rate hikes, emphasising the need to monitor uncertainty heightened by US tariff measures. Economic data from the US on Thursday was mixed. US initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level in two months, signalling a stable labour market. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed index fell short of expectations, a warning shot from the manufacturing sector. Trade recommendation: SELL 142.05, SL 143.40, TP 139.80
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Hits New Highs as US-China Tensions Escalate 📌 Gold Outlook: US-China Trade Tensions Fuel New Bullish Wave Amid Policy Uncertainty 🧨📈 🌍 Geopolitical Drivers Taking the Lead On April 15th, President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the U.S. – a move seen as the latest escalation in his ongoing economic confrontation with global trade partners, most notably China. This development has shaken overall market sentiment, prompting investors to rotate into safe-haven assets like gold, which has surged in response. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar weakened sharply, nearing 3-year lows last week, further increasing gold’s appeal for holders of other currencies. 🏦 Central Bank Uncertainty Adds Fuel to the Fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the central bank would not intervene to “rescue” markets during turbulent periods, suggesting that volatility may persist as hedge funds unwind leverage and global investors remain cautious. He emphasized that the current volatility may be driven by shifting trade policies and broader uncertainty — which he said is “too early to fully diagnose.” With central banks showing no immediate intent to inject liquidity or cut rates, the bullish case for gold remains strong in the coming weeks. 📊 Technical Outlook: New Highs in Sight, But Volatility Will Be Sharp Gold continues to print new ATHs, and the dominant strategy right now is to trade with the trend — which clearly remains bullish. In such an environment, sudden drops are normal and not necessarily tied to any single news event. Rather than attempting to short the market near highs, we are focusing on catching bullish continuation setups after sharp intraday corrections. These will likely form at support zones or classic continuation patterns on M15/M30 timeframes. 🔍 Price Levels to Watch 🟢 Support Zones: 3314 – 3300 – 3284 – 3266 🔴 Psychological Resistance: 3380 – 3396 – 3410 💼 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: Entry: 3300 – 3298 SL: 3264 TP Targets: 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3324 → 3330 → higher SELL ZONE (Psychological Reaction Only): Entry: 3396 – 3398 SL: 3402 TP Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 ⚠️ Final Thoughts We remain firmly buy-biased, especially as gold continues to be driven by macro and political catalysts. Pullbacks should be welcomed — not feared — and seen as opportunities to scale into longs at structure. While intraday drops may appear sharp and sudden, they often lack fundamental backing and provide the best entry conditions for continuation traders. Be cautious with shorts — unless reacting to extended psychological resistance zones. Always trade with a clear plan and never forget to honor your TP/SL levels to safeguard your capital. 💬 How are you navigating gold during this surge in global tension? Are you buying dips or waiting for a deeper correction? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GBP/USD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3320 2nd Resistance – 1.3369 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 17, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBP/USD broke its seven-day winning streak, slipping to 1.3230 in the Asian session on Thursday after retreating from a six-month high of 1.3292 reached on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading above 99.60 at the time of writing, supported by stronger-than-expected consumer spending data for March. US retail sales rose 1.4% in March, beating February's 0.2% increase and the forecast of 1.3%. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is under pressure after softer than expected UK Consumer Price Index data for March. Core inflation rose 2.6% year-on-year, lower than the 2.7% expected and February's 2.8% reading. The core consumer price index, which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco, rose 3.4% - in line with forecasts but slightly lower than the 3.5% previously. The monthly core CPI rose 0.3%, falling short of forecasts and the previous reading of 0.4%. Notably, services inflation - a key indicator for the Bank of England (BoE) - fell to 4.7% from 5.0%, reinforcing expectations of a potential rate cut at the Bank of England's May meeting. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3190, SL 1.3280, TP 1.3010
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XRP/USDT Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The XRP/USDT Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.0158 2nd Support – 1.9362 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
NZD/CAD Fundamental Update (17.04.2025) The NZD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8138 2nd Support – 0.8077 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 16, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Retail Sales 20:30 EET. USD - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Speaks EUR/USD is trading in positive territory around 1.1285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US dollar (USD) is currently trading near a three-year low against the euro (EUR) as trade tensions persist. On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that the Trump administration's tariff policy was a major shock to the US economy that could force the central bank to cut rates to prevent a recession even if inflation remains high. At the same time, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said the Fed should hold rates until there is more clarity. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday amid growing recession fears related to US tariffs.Analysts believe the ECB may cut all three key interest rates at its April meeting on Thursday. The ECB cut interest rates for the second consecutive time in March, bringing the deposit rate to 2.5 per cent. Further cuts would bring the rate down to 2.25%. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1260, SL 1.1360, TP 1.1080
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions📌 Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US–China Tensions: How Far Can It Go? 🧨📈 Gold has reached another all-time high (ATH) as geopolitical tensions between the United States and China intensify. Markets have become incredibly sensitive, reacting sharply to political rhetoric and economic policy shifts from the world’s most powerful leaders. As investors grow increasingly uneasy, gold continues to serve its role as a safe haven — but the real question now isn't whether gold will rise, but rather: how high can it go? 🌍 Geopolitical Sensitivity at its Peak A single tariff threat or retaliation can trigger gold to surge by $30–$50. Conversely, a pause in policy or a diplomatic “cool down” can cause price to drop hundreds of points. In this environment, political narratives are driving markets more than technical setups. This is one of those rare moments where fundamentals and news flow completely overshadow traditional chart signals. Even textbook candle confirmations are losing reliability — clean bullish closures are often followed by equally strong bearish rejections. 📊 Key Levels to Watch Support Zones: 3,280 / 3,268 / 3,258 / 3,240 / 3,230 Resistance Zones: 3,292 / 3,302 / 3,310/ 3330 ⚙️ Trading Zones 🔽 Sell Zone: Entry: 3,330 – 3,332 SL: 3,336 TP: 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,315 → 3,310 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #1: Entry: 3,270 – 3,268 SL: 3,264 TP: 3,274 → 3,278 → 3,282 → 3,286 → 3,290 → 3,300 📈 Buy Zone #2: Entry: 3,240 – 3,238 SL: 3,234 TP: 3,245 → 3,250 → 3,255 → 3,260 → 3,264 → 3,268 → 3,274 → 3,280 → OPEN ⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Advisory With geopolitical tensions rising and volatility surging, trading gold requires extra caution. Avoid chasing momentum blindly — even strong confirmations can flip without warning. This is a market driven by emotions, news headlines, and global uncertainty, not just technicals. Always stick to your trading plan, and more importantly: respect your SL/TP at all times. 💬 How are you approaching gold in this macro environment? Share your views below – are you holding long or fading the rallies? 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GBP/CAD – Price Hits Key Supply ZonePrice has now reached a key supply zone around the 1.8468 – 1.8500 level, a region where strong selling pressure previously caused a sharp drop. This area aligns with previous structure and volume imbalance, making it a critical zone to watch for potential rejection or reversal. We can observe: Strong bullish momentum leading into the zone Previous distribution and drop from this level Clean break of internal structure on the way up What to watch for next: Bearish reaction or confirmation candles from this zone could signal potential short setups A strong breakout and retest might invalidate the zone and open room for further upside This area deserves close attention — patience is key before committing to a trade. Wait for price action confirmation.
Short
by jshafx
USD/CAD Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.4034 2nd Resistance – 1.4131 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉 🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204. However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch 3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup. 311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend. 🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment. Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated. 🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios. Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns. Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels. 💡 Conclusion Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in. Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining during the Asian session on Tuesday, which, along with a modest rise in the US dollar (USD), is lifting the USD/JPY pair closer to the mid-143.00s. US President Donald Trump's cancellation of tariffs on major consumer electronics and the signal that he may temporarily exempt the auto industry from the 25 per cent duties continue to support market optimism. This in turn undermines demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the yen. However, the rapidly escalating trade war between the US and China and lingering concerns over the potential economic impact of Trump's crippling tariffs should temper market optimism. Meanwhile, expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates are strongly at odds with bets on more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, along with hopes of a trade deal between the US and Japan, should limit losses for the low-yielding Yen. Trade recommendation: SELL 142.80, SL 144.50, TP 140.50
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AUD/NZD Triangle Breakout (15.04.2025)The AUD/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0666 2nd Support – 1.0617 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
XAU/USD Weekly Outlook Liquidity Grab Before Next Move📌 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook: Range-Bound Behavior Hints at Potential Liquidity Grab Before Next Move 💰📊 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a broad 30-point price channel between 3,216 and 3,246. Price action shows clear indecision, as bulls and bears wrestle for control without confirmation of a breakout or breakdown. While the overall trend remains bullish, momentum has softened compared to last week. Technical indicators are signaling overbought conditions, and a deeper liquidity sweep is becoming increasingly probable. Traders should remain patient and watch for clearer signals during the upcoming European session. 🔍 Market Structure Highlights Upside Barriers: 3,246 (ATH), 3,255, 3,268, 3,285, 3,302 Downside Supports: 3,216, 3,195, 3,172, 3,152, 3,120 📈 Trade Opportunity Zones Potential Long Setup: Buy Zone: 3,172 – 3,170 Stop Loss: 3,166 ls: 3,176 | 3,180 | 3,184 | 3,188 | 3,192 | 3,196 | 3,200 Potential Short Setup: Sell Zone: 3,268 – 3,270 Stop Loss: 3,274 Target Levels: 3,264 | 3,260 | 3,256 | 3,252 | 3,248 | 3,244 | 3,240 🧭 Weekly Strategy Insight With no significant economic data on the calendar this week, price movements will likely be driven by intraday liquidity and order flow. Focus should be placed on the London and New York sessions, where volume tends to peak and directional bias becomes more evident. Current market behavior suggests that a fake-out or liquidity trap could develop before the next significant move. Traders are advised to avoid chasing price and instead wait for optimal entries at key zones. ⚠️ Risk Reminder Even in the absence of major news, volatility remains elevated. Always execute trades with a solid risk plan and predefined TP/SL levels. Protect your capital first — the opportunities will come with patience and discipline. 🛡️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy. Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely. The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Institutional Supply Zones in Play: Will the Euro FX Rally Hold?Euro FX Futures is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe, surging toward major supply zones that have historically triggered significant sell-offs. The chart reveals two key supply areas where institutional selling pressure has previously emerged. The first, more immediate zone represents a medium-term supply area that could attract profit-taking or initiate a pause in the current rally. The second, higher zone is a long-term supply area with even greater significance, marking the origin of strong bearish moves in the past. These zones are crucial in the current context, as they highlight potential turning points or consolidation phases as price approaches them. The overall structure remains bullish, but as the market climbs into these well-defined supply regions, traders should be cautious and watch for any shift in momentum or early signs of distribution. These zones often act as magnets for liquidity and can become battlegrounds between buyers and sellers. Whether this bullish move powers through or reacts with a pullback will depend on how price behaves within these high-supply environments. For now, the market is in a strong phase of upside continuation, but strategic traders will be closely monitoring these zones for potential setups.
CME:6E1!Short
by jshafx
Is it going to happen again? My view to the markets right now...CBOT_MINI:YM1! Is the Dow Jones breaking the downtrend again? I believe there's a strong chance the markets are setting up for another move higher. From a fundamental standpoint, the recent pause in tariffs is a big deal. It removes an immediate layer of uncertainty that’s been hanging over the global economy, especially for exporters and multinational companies. On top of that, the fact that key tech products have been left out of the latest tariff actions is boosting confidence in the sector that has been leading market strength for years. Economically, we’re still seeing resilience in key indicators. Unemployment remains low, consumer spending is steady, and central banks are staying cautious with tightening. The environment still leans more towards slow growth than recession, which supports equities over the medium term. More importantly, my own criteria for a favorable market setup are lining up. Whether it’s sentiment, intermarket signals, or trend conditions—this looks like a solid spot for a bullish stance. You can see my chart to check out my current viewpoint on the Dow Jones and how I’m positioning based on all this. Not Financial Advice
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
[XAU/USD & DXY] – Long-Term Outlook📌 – Long-Term Outlook: Is Gold Entering a New Bull Cycle as USD Weakens? 📊 Technical Analysis – Gold & DXY The divergence between Gold and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has become increasingly clear: 🔹 Gold (XAU/USD): Price has broken the previous high at 3,190 and is now testing 3,219 – a fresh all-time high on the daily chart. The MA13, MA34, and MA200 are showing a perfect “bullish fan” formation, indicating a sustainable uptrend rather than a short-term pump. The key support zone around 3,164 – 3,118 remains critical for any healthy pullback. 🔻 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): Price has decisively broken below the psychological 100.55 support and is now hovering near 99.78. If DXY fails to hold above 99.7, the next downside target could be 97.5 in the coming quarter. The technical structure is clearly bearish, confirming USD weakness across the board. → This negative correlation aligns with macro expectations: a weaker dollar is fueling gold’s bullish momentum. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis – Macro Drivers US PPI & CPI both come in lower than expected: Inflation is showing clear signs of cooling. Markets are now pricing in a possible rate cut as early as June. Shift in Fed tone – from hawkish to neutral: While not officially declared, recent Fed statements have been more dovish, supporting risk assets and weakening the dollar. Strong safe-haven demand remains: Geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty continue to push capital into gold, especially as USD enters a weakening phase. 🧭 Long-Term Perspective Gold is potentially entering a new bull cycle. With consecutive ATH breakouts and favorable macro conditions (falling inflation, expected rate cuts, USD weakness), gold could push to even higher levels into Q2 and Q3. The USD faces downside pressure in the coming months, especially if the Fed signals a firm pivot toward easing. ⚠️ Strategy Caution Short-term corrections may occur, especially after such a sharp rise. However, any pullbacks into key support zones could present strategic long opportunities for longer-term investors. 💬 What’s Your Take? Is this the beginning of a major bull cycle in gold, or do you expect deeper pullbacks before continuation? Drop your analysis and charts below! 👇👇👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
EURCAD Breakdown Watch–Bearish Divergence + Fundamental WeaknessEURCAD rallied into a key turncoat zone (former resistance → support) Currently consolidating within this zone and showing clear RSI bearish divergence on both 1H and 4H timeframes. Price is losing momentum while macro and seasonal factors align for a short bias. 🔍 Macro & Seasonality Confluence: EUR Fundamentals: Worsening LEI, Endogenous & Exogenous scores CAD Stability: Mildly bearish, but stronger than EUR Seasonal Bias: EURCAD turns bearish after April 15
Short
by wajahatarif
1
GOLD Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short?📌 XAU/USD Outlook: Explosive Bull Run or Setup for a Historic Short? 💥📈 ✨ Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered an exceptionally volatile phase, with price swings exceeding $100 per day. After dropping from 3,280 to 3,080, gold has roared back to a new all-time high at 3,200 in just two sessions — raising the critical question: Is this a true recovery wave, or merely a bull trap ahead of a potential historic short? A surge of capital has flooded into financial markets, aggressively buying the dip across multiple asset classes. Investor psychology is now at the forefront, driving gold into extreme territory. 🌍 Fundamental Outlook: Recent U.S. economic data came in weaker than expected, supporting the bullish momentum in gold. If history repeats itself, we could witness similar outcomes with the upcoming CPI and PPI releases — both of which are forecast to remain soft, potentially weakening the USD and further lifting gold. Short-term: U.S. consumer demand appears weaker, pressuring USD. Medium-to-long term: These weak data points may be laying the groundwork for a massive short on gold once the Fed initiates its expected rate cuts — potentially as early as June. 📊 Technical Outlook: Gold’s price action is becoming increasingly difficult to predict. It took a full week for gold to fall $200 — but only two days to fully reclaim that ground and establish a new ATH. Today, the market may continue this bullish surge, particularly if the PPI data surprises to the downside. Key Support Levels: 3,200 3,188 3,174 3,157 3,130 3,120 Key Resistance Levels: 3,265 3,302 🧭 Trading Plan: BUY Zone (High Probability): Entry: 3,175 – 3,173 Stop Loss: 3,168 Take Profit: 3,180 | 3,184 | 3,188 | 3,192 | 3,196 | 3,200 | Open SELL Zone (Aggressive Counter-Play) Entry: 3,301 – 3,303 Stop Loss: 3,308 Take Profit: 3,296 | 3,292 | 3,288 | 3,284 | 3,280 | 3,270 | Open ⚠️ Risk Management Advisory: Price action is extremely volatile — trade setups should be chosen carefully. Ensure proper stop-loss and take-profit are in place for every trade. Avoid emotional entries and respect risk-to-reward principles to protect your capital. 💡 Conclusion: Gold is in a critical zone. With macro sentiment, news flow, and technicals all aligned, traders must stay alert. In the short term, the FOMO-driven rally looks likely to continue — but remain vigilant for signs of a reversal that could usher in a massive short wave. 🗨️ Share Your View: Do you see gold continuing this bullish run — or is this the calm before a historic dump? Share your thoughts and strategies below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
8