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Fundamental-analysis

XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge BreakoutThe XAG/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Wedge After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 29.42 2nd Support – 29.04 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
GBP/CAD - Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.7787 2nd Support – 1.7722 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
51
Gold Long Term and Short TermGold Analysis and Trading Plan Gold prices saw mixed movement yesterday, gaining 0.50% and trading around $2,648. Market dynamics were driven by solid US economic data, improved services sector activity, and President-elect Donald Trump’s remarks, which boosted the US Dollar and capped Gold's rise. Key Developments: Strong US jobs data and increased business activity in services reduced expectations for further Fed rate cuts. China’s central bank increased Gold reserves for the second consecutive month, supporting bullish sentiment. US Treasury yields remain elevated, bolstering the Greenback. Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will likely provide the next major catalyst for Gold's movement. Technical Analysis: Short-term: Gold is forming a double top pattern around the $2,665 resistance level. A rejection here could indicate potential downside. Long-term: Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a bullish breakout signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Key Levels: Resistance: $2,665 (double top), $2,675, $2,700 Support: $2,624 (near-term), $2,612 (lower range of the triangle), $2,580 Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: If Gold breaks above $2,665, it may target $2,700 and higher levels. On a downside breakout below $2,612, watch for a move toward $2,580. NFP Impact: The NFP report on Friday could drive significant volatility and provide clarity for the breakout direction. Use it to refine your entries. Risk Management Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. Use proper position sizing, place stop losses to manage risk, and ensure trades align with your overall strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Follow for more Market analysis or if you want to learn more about the markets!
TVC:GOLDLong
by InwardTrader
TRX/USDT - Breakout PatternThe TRX/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.2762 2nd Support – 0.2804 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
RACE (Ferrari) – Quality has its PriceMIL:RACE has a technically interesting setup that also fits well with the weekly setup that I presented a few weeks ago. The current consolidation has once again reached the lower zone and should find support from here one more time. Recently, a significant bounce was achieved from here several times. In addition, Ferrari is moving at the daily SMA 200 line and has bounced upwards from this (as well as from the horizontal support). In the 4h chart we see a nice RSI divergence as well as a breakout from a falling wedge. Both bullish signals. Fundamentally, Ferrari is not cheap, but quality has its price. The backlog extends years into the future, the pre-order lists are full to bursting, the line-up presented is technically flawless and in demand and the cash flow is immense. In addition, the company is still family-owned (which secures the share price) and the current F1 season with Hamilton and Leclerc as the team should also be interesting. We are initially targeting the area around EUR 438 and then the previous ATH at EUR 457. This results in an ROI of 10%. Should the daily closing price fall below EUR 400, the trade would be disqualified and closed. Target zones 438 EUR 457 EUR Support Zones 400 EUR
MIL:RACELong
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 7, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is fluctuating near familiar levels, having started the new trading week almost unchanged. The pair is near recent highs as investors await decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Both central banks are expected to make new moves on interest rates in 2025, with the Fed targeting a rate cut and the BoJ beginning to raise rates. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda recently reiterated the BOJ's commitment to achieving a neutral rate. What makes the Bank of Japan unique among the other major central banks in the developed world is its longstanding efforts to stimulate inflation rather than curb it. Because the Bank of Japan's discount rates are well below the global average, the Japanese yen has had a tough turnaround in 2024 as the rate differential has widened. Since the natural rate of interest is likely much higher than current BoJ discount rates, BoJ Governor Ueda and company will have to start adjusting rates upward at some point, or they risk sending the Japanese economy into another tailspin. Wednesday will bring the latest Fed meeting minutes down on traders, but the key document this week will be Friday's US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. As half of the Fed's mandate includes full employment, markets will be watching this week's US employment data with heightened interest. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 156.00, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BNB/USD - H1 - Triangle BreakoutThe BNB/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. BINANCE:BNBUSDT Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 730 2nd Resistance – 744 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Buy XAG/USD (Silver) Trendline SupportThe XAG/USD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Support from Trendline. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Support level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 30.10 2nd Support – 30.35 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for Januaryr 6, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD is unable to capitalize on the modest gains of Friday's recovery and is fluctuating in a range above the 1.2400 mark at the start of the new week. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain near the lowest level since April 2024 reached last week and appear vulnerable to an extension of the three-month downtrend amid a bullish US Dollar (USD). In fact, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against a basket of currencies, is holding near a two-year high amid optimism over US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook. Furthermore, concerns over Trump's sweeping tariffs, as well as geopolitical risks related to the war between Russia and Ukraine and rising tensions in the Middle East, are supporting the safe-haven Dollar and acting as a headwind for GBP/USD. Meanwhile, sentiment around the British Pound (GBP) remains weak amid a series of weak UK data recently and doubts over the newly elected Labor government's fiscal strategy. In addition, the relatively soft stance of the Bank of England (BoE) and the decision to leave interest rates unchanged in December by a split vote may continue to weigh on GBP. This confirms a negative outlook on GBP/USD as traders await the final UK Services PMI to gain fresh momentum. Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2400, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025 Gold enters 2025 with a complex yet promising outlook, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, technical, and geopolitical factors shaping a favorable environment for investors. Below is an in-depth analysis of the current market conditions and potential scenarios for gold this week. Current Market Context Gold concluded the first trading week of January near $2,657 per ounce , consolidating its upward momentum from late 2024. This movement has been underpinned by: - Sustained central bank demand , particularly in emerging markets. - Geopolitical uncertainty , including tensions in the Middle East and Europe. - Expectations for looser monetary policies from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed). In 2024, gold achieved an exceptional annual gain of +27% , its best performance since 2010, driven by its role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. The metal reached an all-time high of $2,790 , setting the stage for continued volatility and opportunity in 2025. Key Fundamental Drivers 1. Global Monetary Policies - The Fed adopted a cautious stance in December, signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is only an 11.2% probability of a rate cut in January, suggesting short-term stability in interest rates. - In contrast, Europe and China are expected to pursue more accommodative monetary policies. China has already announced fiscal and monetary stimulus measures to counter its economic slowdown. 2. Geopolitical Risks - Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and heightened tensions in the Middle East remain significant drivers of safe-haven demand. - Additionally, uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policies under President Donald Trump is adding to market volatility. While some policies may bolster the dollar, others—such as trade tariffs—could increase demand for gold as a hedge. 3. Central Bank and Physical Demand - Central banks have been aggressively accumulating gold reserves since 2022, with purchases expected to exceed the historical average of 500 tons annually in 2025. - In China, a weakening yuan and a sluggish real estate market could further boost physical gold demand. Technical Analysis Gold is currently trading within a critical range that could determine its short-term trajectory: - Key Resistance Levels: - $2,666 (psychological barrier). - $2,700 (significant technical resistance). - All-time highs near $2,790 . - Key Support Levels : - $2,635 , aligned with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). - Lower levels around $2,600 and $2,532 , which could act as correction zones. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near neutral territory (50), indicating potential for upward movement if immediate resistance is breached. However, the range between $2,607 and $2,736 will be pivotal in defining this week’s trend. Projections for This Week Bullish Scenario A decisive breakout above $2,666 could pave the way for further gains toward psychological levels at $2,700 and potentially beyond. Catalysts for this scenario include: - Weak U.S. economic data—such as Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report—supporting expectations for monetary easing. - Escalation of geopolitical tensions or clear indications of additional Chinese stimulus. Bearish or Corrective Scenario Conversely, unexpected strength in the U.S. dollar or robust economic data could exert downward pressure on gold prices. In this case: - A pullback toward support levels at $2,635 or even $2,600 would be likely before resuming the broader uptrend. Strategic Insights Gold maintains a favorable outlook for this week due to strong fundamental and technical support. However, traders should closely monitor three key factors: 1. The release of U.S. labor market data (NFP) on Friday. 2. Movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and Treasury yields. 3. Emerging geopolitical developments that could shift risk sentiment. The current consolidation near critical technical levels offers opportunities for both bullish and corrective strategies. Active risk management will be essential given the anticipated volatility.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by UnknownUnicorn96005149
USD/CAD Breakout OpportunityTrading Idea: USD/CAD Breakout Opportunity USD/CAD has paused its four-day rally, trading near 1.4400 during the Asian session. The Canadian Dollar is supported by rising oil prices, with WTI nearing $73.50 per barrel, while US Dollar strength from the Fed’s hawkish stance limits the downside. Technical Outlook: The pair is consolidating within a rectangle pattern. The best trading approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout: Upside breakout: Indicates continued bullish momentum. Downside breakout: Signals a potential CAD-driven correction. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 1.4430–1.4450 Support: 1.4360–1.4380 Risk management is essential—always use stop-loss orders and manage your position size to protect your capital. Follow for more trading ideas and education!
by InwardTrader
BTC/USDT - H1 - Head & Shoulder PatternThe BTC/USDT pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined H&S pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 99204 2nd Support – 101.051 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
31
Sell GBP/NZD Bearish FlagThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1994 2nd Support – 2.1920 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD paused its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.02700 during the Asian session on Friday. European Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday fell short of expectations, which only added to Euro traders' concerns following a soft speech from European Central Bank (ECB) Governor Yannis Stournaras later in the day. According to ECB Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras, the ECB intends to smoothly cut interest rates until 2025. According to Stournaras, the ECB rate is expected to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 2% at the end of this year. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates much more slowly than previously expected in 2025, the EUR interest rate differential will widen significantly by the end of the year, putting downward pressure on EUR/USD in the long term. This is in line with the expectations of some analysts who are calling for the euro to reach parity with the US dollar as early as this year. Pan-European PMI results for December fell slightly to 45.1 against expectations of holding at 45.2. While the data itself had relatively little impact, it helped underscore the growing likelihood that the European Central Bank (ECB) will accelerate rate cuts to support the European economy, even as gasoline prices hit their two-year highs, further confounding Europe's economic outlook. The only significant data on Friday's economic calendar is the results of the ISM US manufacturing PMI, which is expected to remain at the declining 48.4 reading for December. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.02500, if it is fixed below consider Sell positions, if it bounces back consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
NVIDIA set to make one more higher high to $165?Technical Analysis: ================ A series of higher highs and higher lows in Weekly Timeframe: NVIDIA has found support at $132, which previously acted as a resistance area during June, July, and August 24. If the stock continues to rise from this level, we could see another higher high (yellow cap) around $165. Alternatively, a deeper correction toward $104 could still be on the table if the support fails. Fundamental Analysis: ================== 1) If NVIDIA struggles, it would suggest AI's momentum is waning—which is clearly not the case. This downtrend might simply reflect profit-taking by large traders. 2) The "Santa Rally" is in play, and NVIDIA appears to be on the "nice" list, signaling potential upward momentum. 3) NVIDIA's Blackwell product line is expected to contribute significantly to profits in the next quarterly earnings, potentially providing a substantial boost to the stock. I bought NVIDIA stock at $145 and plan to hold sell at $160.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by spranav
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 31, 2024 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is recovering the previous session's losses, trading around 1.25500 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair's growth can be attributed to the weakening of the US dollar (USD) amid a decline in US Treasury bond yields. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the U.S. dollar against six major peers, remains low around 108.00. The dollar ran into trouble when U.S. Treasury bond yields fell about 2% on Monday. The 2-year and 10-year bond yields were 4.24% and 4.53%, respectively. The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a more cautious outlook for additional rate cuts in 2025, marking a shift in monetary policy stance. This development underscores the uncertainty over future policy adjustments amid the expected economic strategies of the incoming Trump administration. The British Pound came under pressure as traders slightly increased their dovish bets on Bank of England (BoE) policy in 2025. Market expectations now reflect a 53 basis points (bps) interest rate cut next year, down from the 46 bps projected after the Dec. 19 policy announcement, during which the Bank of England kept rates at 4.75% with a 6-3 vote split. Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.25500, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell CHF/JPY Triangle BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 174.00 2nd Support – 173.52 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
24
Sell BTC/USDT Bearish ChannelThe BTC/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to form of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the top of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 91151 2nd Support – 90107 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
SPX6900 (Daily Chart) – Analysis and Key Insights1️⃣ Rally and Performance SPX6900 has been on a remarkable rally since September 2024, showcasing its potential as a standout performer. The market experienced a correction phase after the initial surge, creating a base for renewed bullishness. 2️⃣ Bullish Momentum Resumes Since November 26, SPX6900 has displayed consistent bullish momentum, currently sitting at a market cap of $800M. The moving average and price action confirm the market's strength, with higher lows and breakout potential. 3️⃣ Community and Vision The team and community are targeting billions of dollars in market cap, supported by a strong belief in the project’s narrative. This isn’t just about quick trades—the SPX6900 movement is focused on long-term growth and adoption. 4️⃣ Key Community Metrics A growing community of over 60k followers on X, supported by well-known KOLs. The project stands out for its vision-driven narrative, differentiating it from typical speculative coins. 💡 Final Thoughts SPX6900 is shaping up to be a long-term opportunity for patient holders, with potential for significant gains in 2025. If the current momentum continues, this project could become one of the top-performing coins in the coming months. 📌 What’s your view on SPX6900? Let’s discuss in the comments below! 🚀
RAYDIUM:SPXSOL_9T1H1U.USDLong
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 26, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD currency pair was not traded on Wednesday due to the closure of the Forex market. On the weekly timeframe, the pound demonstrates similar dynamics to the euro. The differences lie in the strength of the movements, reflecting the different stability of the euro and the pound. However, the general trend is set by the growth of the US dollar, which has been strengthening for 16 years. This confirms that it is the dollar that is driving the market, not the weakness of the euro or pound. Over the past 16 years, the euro has depreciated 1.55 times and the pound 1.69 times. The pound's faster fall is due to the UK's economic problems. The pound has recovered more strongly than the euro over the past two years, but this movement remains a correction within a global downtrend. The fall in the British currency is likely to continue. If the global trend is not completed, the pound could fall to the 1.18 level in 2025 or even below this parity. The completion of a 16-year trend requires significant catalysts, which have not yet been seen. The main driving force for the pair remains economic data from the US, while the British Pound continues to be under pressure due to weak macroeconomic data and political instability in the UK. Investors should keep an eye on news related to the Fed's monetary policy and interest rate expectations. Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle. Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally. ⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD). Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !! previous Analysis ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard .💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CobraVanguard
7
Sell GBP/NZD Triangle PatternThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1983 2nd Support – 2.1860 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1