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Fundamental Market Analysis for August 13, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to lose ground against the US dollar (USD) on Tuesday. Safe-haven currency flows may limit the yen's decline, which could be linked to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. A special session of the Japanese parliament is scheduled for August 23 to discuss the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise interest rates last month. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to be invited to the session, organized by the lower house's financial affairs committee, government sources reported citing Reuters. The USD/JPY pair is gaining support amid easing pressure on the U.S. dollar due to lower expectations of a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut in September fell to 50% from 85% last week. Nevertheless, the betting markets continue to rate the probability of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting at least 25 bps at 100%. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) wedge BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2427, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2403 2nd Support – 2388 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2440. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
$BABA | Allocation & Watchlist | Market Exec & Buy Stops |Technical Confluences: - Price action has been consolidating between a Wedge pattern - Price action is at a Demand Zone of all-time lows - Price is starting to slowly break above the 200MA - A break above the resistance trendline (been a good support/resistance TL) would be a significant move. Fundamental Confluences: - Considerably cheap valuations - Still one of the largest e-commerce players, don't see it dropping it off anytime soon - China's economy has been weakening and we are seeing efforts by the China government to help boost back the domestic economy. Potential for revenue boost. ________________________________ Putting in my first tranche of NYSE:BABA allocation for my Long-Term portfolio. Gonna be holding this share for years and will continue adding position with Buy Stop orders. Remember, DYOR. ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
NYSE:BABALong
by weekendanalyst
5
xauusd4h analisis gold prediction. friday gold just beenup side done in the range, but daily candle close with bullish at (sbr) 2427 strong ressistence but as we still have (bos) 2411,2412 depending on broker chart. supply: 2444. 2448 demand : 2403. 2405 before gold want to go high will have strong pullback.. or, take supply then pullback and recharge the puel and fly. i belive the chart is clear to understand. allwe need is patient and right confirmation. what are your thought let me know in the comment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Time-Win
Fundamental vs. Technical Analysis in Cryptocurrency TradingHello, Traders! Today, we'll delve into the ongoing battle 🥊between two mighty opponents: fundamental analysis (FA) and technical analysis (TA). What is the difference between fundamental and technical analysis? What are each's strengths? Do they truly need to compete? Fighter in the Right Corner — Fundamental Analysis Introducing the first contender: Fundamental Analysis. What is Fundamental Analysis? This strategy evaluates assets' fair market value and potential for growth and decline by studying business methods, technical documents, roadmaps, competition, network activity, and other indicators. Types of Fundamental Analysis: Qualitative Analysis: Subjective judgment based on non-quantifiable information. It includes evaluating the team behind the project, its vision, partnerships, and community support.  Quantitative Analysis: Involves analyzing numerical data and financial metrics. It includes evaluating financial statements, market cap, trading volume, and other measurable data points.  On-Chain Analysis : Involves examining blockchain data to assess network activity, transaction volume, and other on-chain metrics. It helps understand cryptocurrency usage and adoption. How to Do Fundamental Analysis? Criteria for Evaluating Crypto Projects through Fundamental Analysis: Reputation and Team Members' Experience: A strong, experienced, and reputable team can significantly influence the project's success. Level and Volume of Raised Investments: High-profile investors and substantial funding can indicate a project's potential. Social Media: Audience and activity on social media platforms. Active and engaged communities can drive adoption and success. Whitepaper: The project’s technical document outlining the vision, technology, and roadmap. A well-drafted whitepaper provides insights into the project's seriousness and feasibility. Tokenomics: The token’s economic model, including supply, distribution, and utility. Effective tokenomics can ensure sustainable growth and value. Roadmap: The project implementation plan detailing milestones and timelines. A clear and realistic roadmap can indicate a project's future direction and potential. Fighter in the Left Corner — Technical Analysis Here comes the second contender: Technical Analysis. This method analyzes and forecasts asset value based on historical price indicators. In TA, a chart is a crucial tool for tracking price changes.  Tools Employed by Technical Analysis: Data Collection: Historical price data from various timeframes using platforms like TradingView. Charts: Informative data through candlestick charts, line charts, or other graphical representations to examine trends. Indicators: Use tools like Moving Averages (SMA, EMA), Relative Strength Indexes (RSI), and Bollinger Bands. Patterns: Such as Head and Shoulders, Double Tops and Bottoms, Triangles, Flags, Pennants, Wedges, Cup and Handles, etc. Backtesting: Use historical data to evaluate past performance and refine your approach. Psychological Factors: Emotional biases and market sentiment can influence trading decisions. See our article on the Fear and Greed Index. Practice: Demo accounts or paper trading to hone your skills without risking real money, building experience and confidence before trading with actual funds. We also invite you to read our detailed article about Technical Analysis. Intense Duel 🧑‍⚖️ So, should we even be picking a winner? In conclusion, understanding the nuances of fundamental analysis and technical analysis is paramount to crafting a robust investment strategy. FA in crypto delves into the core aspects of a project. This thorough examination aims to grasp a digital asset's intrinsic value and long-term potential, mitigating risks by assessing its reliability and future prospects. Conversely, TA leverages market statistics and historical price data to uncover trends, patterns, and potential entry and exit points. This method provides a granular view of market sentiment, enabling traders to make informed decisions based on price movements and trading volumes.  FA and TA serve distinct purposes: FA offers a comprehensive understanding of a project's viability and long-term growth potential, making it ideal for long-term investments. TA, on the other hand, is adept at navigating the immediate market landscape, making it indispensable for short-term trading strategies.  Combining these approaches can significantly amplify investment success. Crypto fundamental analysis provides the foundational knowledge to identify promising projects with solid fundamentals. At the same time, Crypto technical analysis equips traders with the tools to capitalize on market fluctuations and optimize entry and exit points. In essence, FA and TA are not mutually exclusive but rather complementary strategies that, when used together, can yield a more comprehensive and practical approach to cryptocurrency trading and investing. 🤝🏻 Subscribe to stay updated with our upcoming tutorials. Let’s Set the Level Together!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 8, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair bounced back towards 1.0935, breaking a two-day losing streak during Asian trading on Thursday. A softer US dollar (USD) is providing some support to the major pair. Nevertheless, risk-off sentiment may limit EUR/USD gains amid escalating geopolitical risks. Later in the day, the weekly US initial jobless claims report will be released. Last week's weak US jobs report for July sparked speculation of deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year, which continue to undermine the US Dollar. Financial markets are convinced that the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting in September, increasing the rate cut bets by 50 basis points (bps) rather than 25 bps, to nearly 83%, according to the FedWatch tool. On Wednesday, European Central Bank policymaker Olli Rehn said the ECB could continue cutting interest rates if there is confidence among policymakers that inflation will slow in the near term. The central bank left interest rates unchanged at its July meeting. ECB President Christine Lagarde said during a conference on the coast that any move in September remains an open question. Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could put pressure on risk assets such as the euro (EUR). The market turned cautious after CNN reported on Wednesday that Iran and its supporters are preparing for a potential retaliatory strike on Israel. According to the latest reports, the retaliation could be delayed until Thursday or Friday. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 7, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to lose ground against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day. This decline can be attributed to comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida on Wednesday: "We will not raise rates when markets are unstable," according to Reuters. Deputy Governor Uchida also noted that the BoJ's interest rate strategy will adapt if market volatility changes economic forecasts, risk assessments or projections. Given recent market volatility, he emphasized the need to carefully monitor the economic and price effects of its policy, stating, "We should maintain the current degree of monetary policy easing for the time being." The upside potential for the USD/JPY pair may be limited as the U.S. dollar faces challenges and markets expect a more significant rate cut in September. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is 67.5%, up from 13.2% a week earlier. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2760 Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2680 2nd Support – 1.2637 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2834. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
53
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2430, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2385.50 2nd Support – 2358 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2480. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
62
GOLD ( SENSITIVE WEEKLY ) (1D)XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS Fundamental : due to the fight in the middle east , gold prices complete instability . Tendency, the price under bullish pressure , until trade below 2,427$ . Upward Zone : In order to see an increase, as long as the price trade turning level at 2,427$, it indicates a reach of resistance levels (1) at 2,482$ , then as it stabilizes on the turning level we may see new resistance zones around 2,520$ and 2,560$ . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level by open 1d candle below this level , it indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 2,364$, then stabilizing below this level is likely to reach the support level (2) at 2,297 . Corrective Level :Price may make a correction at 2,427$ , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,482$ , 2,520$ , 2,560$ . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,297$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Sell NZD/USD Channel Breakout (Today NFP)The NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.5952, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.5907 2nd Support – 0.5880 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.5984. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 1, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is unable to capitalize on the positive movement following the FOMC meeting and is fluctuating in a narrow trading range during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices are currently trading around the mid-1.28000s, almost unchanged for the day as traders prefer to take a wait-and-see approach in anticipation of the Bank of England (BoE) policy update. Signs that global inflationary pressures are easing have fueled speculation that the UK central bank will cut interest rates later today. In fact, financial markets estimate the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting rates from a 16-year high of 5.25% to be more than 65%, and expect another quarter-point cut before the end of the year. This, in turn, will help to strengthen the British Pound (GBP) and boost the GBP/USD pairing. However, investors are far from confident that the Bank of England will take immediate action as UK services inflation remains uncomfortably high. This, in turn, is deterring traders from placing fresh directional bets on the GBP/USD pair and resulting in a subdued range of price action. As such, the focus will be on the accompanying monetary policy statement and comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey at the post-meeting press conference. Ahead of a key central bank risk event, the US Dollar (USD) selling bias following the FOMC meeting continues to provide some support for GBP/USD and should help limit the downside. The US central bank acknowledged recent progress in inflation and a cooling in the labor market. In addition, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the likelihood of a rate cut soon if inflation remains in line with expectations and led to a decline in US Treasury yields. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2850 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.2905 2nd Resistance – 1.2930 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2814. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
Sell EUR/USD Bearish Channel (Fed Interest rate)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0785 2nd Support – 1.0767 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0845. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
23
Will BoJ support Yen with a rate hike today?Macro theme: - On Wednesday, the BoJ announced an interest rate increase and a bond tapering plan, reflecting confidence in the domestic economy's recovery and concern over the weakened yen. - The BOJ raised the uncollateralized overnight call rate to 0.25%, marking the second rate rise this year after the Mar 19 increase, which ended negative interest rates, equity purchases, and yield curve controls. Technical theme: - USDJPY shifted its structure downward after breaking its support at 151.90. The price is trading below both EMAs, which is about to have a dead-cross signal, indicating that bearish momentum persists. - If USDJPY cannot sustain above 151.90, it may extend its loss to 150.80 and 146.50. - On the contrary, if USDJPY finds support at 151.90, the price may perform range trading within 151.90-155.80 till an apparent breakout occurs.
by DatTong
Buy GBP/JPY Symmetric TriangleThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 198.05 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 200.71 2nd Resistance – 202.43 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 196.20. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
34
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 29, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair is trading on a stronger note around 1.28750 in the early hours of European trading on Monday. The dollar's decline amid hopes of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September is providing some support to the major pair. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision will be published on Wednesday, no changes in the rate are expected. Most analysts and traders expect the Fed to leave the interest rate unchanged at its next meeting on Wednesday. The U.S. Federal Reserve may signal this week that an interest rate cut is around the corner, although many expect it to hold rates steady until its next rate decision in September. Investors now see the first rate cut coming by mid-September, estimating a 100% Fed rate cut of at least a quarter percentage point by then, according to CME FedWatch Tool data. Traders will also be watching the FOMC press conference closely for new stimulus. A dovish FOMC tone could undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for GBP/USD. As for the British Pound, the Bank of England may cut interest rates at its August meeting on Thursday, which would be the first rate cut since 2020. Markets are predicting a 50% probability of a quarter-point rate cut on Thursday, although opinions are divided on whether the cut will happen now or at the next meeting in September. Trading recommendation: Trade in the 1.28400-1.28850 channel on a bounce from the levels.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC.........Is it Accumulation or Distribution?????Price is with a range from 72k to 58k, with price pushing lower and trading within the 66k lvl. With the FED holding rates at 5.50% and signaling that it may hold rates at current lvls for longer, it is hitting the crypto market. There is a lot of self-fulling prophecy out there about when the FED will cut rates, with some looking at the timeframe being in September. There is a FED rate decision in July which could set the stage for the September Rate Decision. Before then, the FOMC Minutes will be coming out, along with another NFP and inflation rate reading. With traders and investors wanting to see some reprieve and a stronger FED Dot Plot pointing at 2 or more rate hikes for the year, a lower printing on the NFP and inflation and a slowing economy, will give some cheer to the market and push BTC higher. But on the other side, strong economic printing and inflation stagnating and staying where it is at or rising, will likely sweep the legs of crypto and cause price to fall. The US economy (whether you believe so or not) data is showing that there is no need to start reducing rates as of yet. GDP is around 3%, unemployment isn't to bad. Wage Growth is still up there near 5%. Inflation is still above 3% and the FED is reducing its balance sheet. The technicals are showing mixed data which could keep price from finding a trajectory until a solid catalyst comes out. The daily chart is showing price is form either a cup and handle or a double top. If the cup and handle pattern is correct then some type of strong catalyst came out (likely the NFP printed a extremely weak number, inflation dropped considerably, a string of bad US economy data) and had enough force to break out of the very strong 72k resistance. If that resistance is broken with enough force to push it up to 75k pretty quickly, there isn't much to stop it. But if the double top is correct, then price will likely push to the 62k and test the 60k a few times before breaking below it. If the 58k is broken and price is able to hold at the 57k for a few days to a week, then price will likely drop further, below the 55k. Data is going to be the driving point for what price will do. If data keeps printing good and bad, then it will likely cause confusion for traders and investors and they will likely take the course of exiting. There are some prominent players out there like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) and other advocates of BTC (Robert Kiyosaki) that are likely to stay in and potentially keep price from tumbling greatly; but it still depends when the masses and hedge funds want to start piling in. I am thinking that if BTC does drop and hits below the 55k, there is likely to be a huge spike in buying up BTC as the self-fulling prophecy will be strong. The catalyst is likely to be when the FED will start reducing rates as eventually the economy will need some assistance. But the real question, is if the economy does push into a recession, will there be another case of QE and Stimulus pushed out (bailouts) if inflation is still around 2.5%-3%? Either way, I am still building a position on BTC even if it pushes below the 50k lvl.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DollarSaenz