The Fundamentals Titan that is Arista NetworksNYSE:ANET is a popular tech stock with strong fundamentals while valuation methods such as PE Ratio, Price to sales, etc, might be signaling that it is overvalued, the forecast projections remain strong. Arista Networks has no debt and more then 3 Assets per Liability, With more then double the Cash to cover Liabilities also growing Equity rapidly this company. The Balance sheet is a definite strength for this company!
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$6.27b
Debt: US$0
Equity: US$8.43b
Total Liabilities: US$3.19b
Total Assets: US$11.62b
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Valuation:
PE Ratio: 46.63x
Forward PE Ratio: 43.7x
Price To Sales: 18x
Price To Books: 13.5x
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Idea:
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Arista Networks) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may pose different risks and overall be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this idea or any idea. Please be careful! this post is only for conversation.
Fundamental-analysis
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1076
2nd Support – 1.1051
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell GBPCHF UK CPIThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1136, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1080
2nd Support – 1.1040
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1190. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Today’s (17-9-2024) US Retail sales data Affects Gold Prices why we sell Gold today ???
well many will tell answer is simple that gold is overbought and everyone is selling.....
But That's not a whole case.
- Yes gold was overbought and running on High uptrend.
- From our past Encounter with gold suggested Small Changes in US Retail sales data will Endup in big change in gold,and it happeded as per our prophecy.
- Buyer around the world are running heavy profit they has to close position and book profit will force price to come downside.
So this is it...
Stay tune for more update from us will come back with another Facinating trade..
Keep following keep trading and Remember Buy high Sell low....
XAUUSD | Bearish DivergenceCurrently, XAUUSD (Gold) is in an uptrend, making new higher highs and higher lows while moving within a parallel channel, supported by its trendline. Additionally, fundamental factors are pushing gold to reach new highs.
However, on the 1-hour time frame, there is a hidden bearish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal into a downtrend. This indicates that we may soon see the formation of new lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), and the price could move towards a high-demand zone.
Moreover, with high-impact USD news expected this week, we anticipate a potential retracement in price. After this pullback, we could expect an upward rally in gold.
In summary:
1: Uptrend: Gold is making higher highs and higher lows, moving within a parallel channel.
2: Fundamentals: Support the uptrend and push for new highs.
3: Hidden Bearish Divergence: On the 1-hour chart, indicating a potential shift to a downtrend.
4: High-Impact USD News: Expected to cause a retracement, followed by a potential upward rally.
Expectation: A short-term pullback, followed by a possible continuation of the uptrend.
These factors suggest short-term downside potential before a likely continuation of the uptrend.
Sell EURCHF Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9395
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9353
2nd Support – 0.9324
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9412. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
AUDCHF / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS / FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ~ PROPFIRMThis is my analysis for audchf, the graph shows fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
This entry mentioned here is open with sell top in my propfirm account *Fundingpips* 100k.
Everything is clear, I didn't detail the fundamental analysis, I just put it as a final observation, as the fundamental analysis is done with a set of information and rate cuts.
Feel free to comment, this is just my entry, it doesn't mean I'm 100% right, sometimes the market isn't right.
The High Revenue Low Float Case Of Coca-Cola Consolidated NASDAQ:COKE recently seemed to have a double bottom form in Coca-Cola Consolidated Stock , Where a recovery seems possible after having a small pullback in share price. NASDAQ:COKE Recently a lot of debt was added onto the balance sheet due to the buyback programs initiated by the management like ("$1 billion share repurchase program for its common stock.") "(Aug 20, 2024)" The Valuation seems interesting at its 22.4x PE Ratio, and its Price to Sales 1.7x, and its 9.5x Price to book Ratio. It will for sure be interesting to see how the stock performs as time goes on!
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US$1.90b
Debt: US$1.79b
Total Liabilities: US$4.46b
Total Assets: US$5.66b
Debt to Equity Ratio: 149.4%
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Coca-Cola Consolidated) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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Idea:
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 13, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair weakened further below the mid 141.000s during the Asian session on Friday and is now back closer to the YTD low reached earlier this week. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems to be leaning in favor of bearish traders and supports the prospects of a continuation of the established downtrend seen over the past two months.
The US Dollar (USD) fell to a fresh weekly low amid rising bets for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing next week, bolstered by the release of a softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday. In fact, markets are now pricing in a more than 40% probability that the US central bank will cut borrowing costs by 50 basis points at the end of its September meeting. This keeps US Treasury yields near 2024 lows, which puts pressure on the dollar and leads to a decline in the USD/JPY pair.
The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, continues to receive support from hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) indicating that it will raise interest rates further if the economic outlook matches forecasts. Moreover, BoJ board member Naoki Tamura said on Thursday that the road to ending soft policy is still very long. This represents a significant divergence from dovish Fed expectations, which in turn encourages further pullback in Japanese Yen (JPY) and contributes to the tone of the USD/JPY pair.
The aforementioned fundamental backdrop indicates that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, although traders may prefer to move sideways ahead of a key central bank event that could occur next week. The Fed is due to announce its decision at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday. This will be followed by the BOJ's policy update on Friday, which will determine the next leg of directional movement for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, the pair remains on track to end the second week in the negative.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
GBPUSD Sept 11 Sell Trade This trade was set in pending order at around 3-4am EST . During London Session.
I saw some continuation in bearish structure due to the fact that previous day introduced supply (we can see it in (4h- 1H Timeframe). After carefully checking the Point of Interest, I set the sell limit.
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:7
Supply Entry with confluence in liquidity.
move that gives momentum during CPI News release 8:30am EST
#wyckoff
#patience
T. Rowe Price Analysis 9/10Disclosure: As of 09/10/2024 I am long T. Rowe Price shares ticker NASDAQ:TROW
T. Rowe Price is an investment management company operating in the mutual funds, retirement plans, and investment management business areas.
Management Effectiveness: T. Rowe Price has been around for many years and management has consistently managed to grow assets under management, and provide good returns for the firm as well as their clients.
The company's return on assets is very good, never dropping below 10% even in the financial crisis of 2008. The company has minimal debt, and an excellent balance sheet. With a business like this the concern is valuation, all the fundamentals and the trend of growing assets as workers contribute to retirement plans will continue well into the future.
With a company like this a very long holding period should be expected. As a holding in a retirement, or tax advantaged account T. Rowe Price is very attractive at the right valuations. The idea is to let the earnings compound over a period of decades. Please keep this in mind if you decide to add this company to your portfolio.
Looking at the current valuations the combined earnings and dividend yield is nearly 13%. With stable revenue growth, asset growth, and very little downside in the way of tail risks this business is a buy for me at anything below $110 per share. My personal expected return on this is between 15%-17% annually with a holding period of 20-50 years to allow the returns to compound internally with the business.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 10, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is turning positive for the second consecutive day after declining early in the Asian session to the 142.850 area, although it lacks bullish confidence. Spot prices are currently trading with a slight positive bias just below the mid-143.000s and remain within striking distance of the one-month low reached last Friday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to be threatened by data released on Monday that showed the economy grew slightly slower in the second quarter than originally reported. This could complicate the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) plan to raise interest rates further in the coming months. In addition, the overall positive sentiment in equity markets is reducing demand for the safe-haven Yen and serving as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid some buying interest from the US Dollar (USD).
Investors may also prefer to stand back and wait for the release of US consumer inflation data on Wednesday before making new directional bets. Thus, strong follow-through buying is needed to confirm that the USD/JPY pair has formed a short-term bottom and is positioned for significant gains amid the lack of meaningful macroeconomic data from the US on Tuesday. That said, speeches by influential FOMC members may provide some impetus later in the US session.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 143.000, if consolidated below consider Sell position, if rebounding positions on Buy.
Buy EURNZD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.7975, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8084
2nd Support – 1.8145
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) H4 ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a Formation of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2440
2nd Support – 2400
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
What does the future hold for Crypto Mining?I have chosen RIOT as the chart, but I am looking at MARA and also BITF. But as a whole, looking at the WGMI (Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF), BTC mining companies as a whole is taking a hit. Crypto itself is taking a huge hit and of course, this affects Crypto Mining. It did seem that Crypto was going to push higher as the expectations for the BTC ETF release was going to be the first part of pushing BTC to the "moon" and with the BTC halving, money would just start stacking for holders. But that didn't happen. There is a decent amount of geo political turmoil going on. Governments selling BTC. SEC doing what it can to get Crypto labeled as securities in order to bring the coins to its realm of oversight. The Yen carry trade unwinding. The potential of a recession.
But there is the other side, where there is good news going on for BTC. The possibility of BTC becoming a reserve asset. The upcoming elections, with a a lot of fingers pointing at former President Donald Trump being very pro Crypto. But even if Kamala Harris (pointed in ALTCOIN daily), says that she is in support of crypto, then that will be a good push for Crypto to move higher. There is also the FED reducing rates towards the end of September; with the recent NFP coming out lower than expected and pushing the chances for a reduction in rates for 50 basis points to 50%.
So if the self fulling prophecy for BTC hitting $100k - $150k do come true, then Crypto Miners are going to be cooking. Projects are already underway and the Crypto Market has been very resilent. There are those that thought Crypto was going to collapse during the silk road incident. Then after the cash in 2017 when BTC hit $20k. Then the Terra Luna incident. FTX collapse. Mt. Gox incident. And many others. Yet Crypto is still here.
The main issue I think is where all the money is pilling into, and during 2017, crypto was starting to hit the mainstream and a lot of coverage was on it. Institutions finally starting trading BTC and others, as well a lot of retail traders and investors were pilling in. In 2021, people were staying home, receiving check after check of stimulus, wondering were to put it. Then when things started opening up, businesses were offering sign up bonuses. Afterwards, during both these events, once Crypto hit a certain lvl, a ton of people cashed out and instantly became very rich. This money flowed into other products, such as wants and/or other ventures/markets. Now money is flowing into different meme coins, AI, FAANG-M stocks, among other things.
If BTC is able to push higher and hit the around $120k, then MARA, holding around 13,677 BTC will be worth around $1.65 billion, RIOT with a holding of around 7,250, will be around $870 million, and BITF, with holdings of around $1,016, would be around $121 million (which RIOT is attempting a takeover of BITF, offering a buyout of BITF, which BITF did not accept. If this does happen, RIOT would become a very strong competitor to MARA, pushing its exahash production from 12.6 to 19.6. MARA has an exahash of 29.9).
For the price targets, if things go accordingly, MARA will likely be able to break out of the $20 resistance, avoiding the completion of the inverse cup and handle pattern. If this pattern forms, price will likely keep pushing lower, potentially to around the $8 lvl (at least breaking the $10). For RIOT and BITF, they have the same pattern as MARA, and WGMI price is in a monthly rising channel, so there is a strong possibility that price will drop, but if things go accordingly, then prices on these companies will also avoid the acceptance of the inverse cup and handle pattern. The psychological lvls for these two companies are $10 and $2, which could be hit depending on how things go these next few months.
I am in a position on RIOT and a few on BITF, my positions are at a small loss, but I am selling covered calls and cash secured puts to offset the loss, which, when factored in, puts me at a net positive. Additionally, I am participating in the stock lending program, which is further offsetting my losses. I am on the side that price will push higher and I am willing to see it through.
Protect your inventory (your capital), and have some great trading out there.
GOLD 4h Chart analysis 100%Hello Traders!
Follow the instructions.
If the price consolidates between $2498 and $2497, gold may touch the $2487 level before bouncing back to $2528. A break above the strong resistance level could potentially send gold to new all-time highs (ATH).
Possibility:
waiting for geopolitical situation as it getting worsting.
I'll Update as it needs to be updated.
Use proper risk management Or money management and follow my instructions properly.
Don't forgot to support by liking or following!!
GOLD's Day Chart Analysis 100%Hello traders,
Based on my calculation and technical analysis, i predict that gold will likely exhibi the following behavior ....
1. if the resistance level breaks then gold reach it new (ATH).
2. if GOLD's came down and form rang in the level of 2477 2455 then gold is likely to go back up and after that we'll do further analysis.
Thank you!
Sell AUD/USD Bearish Flag The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6733, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6662
2nd Support – 0.6626
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
BTCUSD ShortWe've been in this flag for a while. I am looking to capitalize on a retrace to past previous support zones on the weekly timeframes, 50-52k.
The last weekly candle had a strong engulfing close.
The current weekly candle started pushing upwards which brings me to the overall play, a short once the weekly candle flips on itself and breaks the current low.
The current H4 chart is starting to align with the overall vision, same engulfing candle driving price down to the entry point zone. I usually expect the same "movement conditions" as the last time we were in a determined zone and from 57,000 to 54500 we should have a somewhat similar clean move down. My goal is to clear my risk once we go down to 54500.
I am expecting the US rate cuts to drive the price further down to retest the 50-52 thousand range. The overall idea in the rate cuts is rather simple. A rate cut implies that more investment opportunities will then be "profitable" when compared to other investment vehicles, therefore a lot of people/banks that are holding to BTC for hedging purposes, will now be tempted to resume with other investments and thus driving down the price of BTCUSD.
Other major economies are expected to lower their marginal lending rates as well, so this can easily play out for a while.
Interest Rate Cut dates:
EUR / 12 Sept 2024
CAD / 4 Sept 2024
USD / 18 Sept 2024
If the first target is hit, then partials are to be taken out and a residual position will be left as a runner with a trailing stop.
Supply/Demand Analytics on 2024 Oil: IEA-EIA Demand ProjectionDear Esteemed Members,
There are several fundamental factors that could support the oil price reaching $76.09 per barrel, which is the highest level since November 2014.
As the global economy rebounds from the pandemic, the demand for oil is expected to increase, especially in the second half of 2024. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that global oil demand will grow by 5.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, reaching 99.6 million bpd by the end of the year.
The OPEC+ group of oil producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has been maintaining a cautious approach to increasing output, in order to balance the market and avoid oversupply. The group agreed in April to gradually raise production by 2.1 million bpd between May and July, but this is still below the pre-pandemic levels of output. Moreover, Saudi Arabia has voluntarily cut an extra 1 million bpd from its production since February, which it plans to phase out by July.
The US shale industry, which was hit hard by the price collapse in 2020, has been showing signs of discipline and prudence, focusing on improving cash flow and shareholder returns rather than expanding production. The US oil rig count, a proxy for drilling activity, has increased by about 100 rigs since the start of the year, but it is still more than 300 rigs lower than a year ago. The EIA estimates that US crude oil production will average 11.2 million bpd in 2024, which is 0.3 million bpd lower than in 2020.
The oil market is always susceptible to geopolitical tensions and conflicts that could disrupt supply or create uncertainty. Some of the current hotspots include Iran, Libya, Nigeria, and Venezuela. Iran, which has been under US sanctions that limit its oil exports, is engaged in indirect talks with the US to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, which could lead to a lifting of sanctions and a return of Iranian oil to the market. However, the outcome of the negotiations is uncertain and could face opposition from hardliners in both countries. Libya, which has been plagued by civil war and instability, has seen its oil production fluctuate due to frequent attacks and blockades on its oil facilities. The country is currently producing around 1.2 million bpd, but it faces challenges in maintaining and increasing its output amid political and security risks. Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer, is facing social unrest and militant attacks that could affect its oil infrastructure and exports. The country is also struggling to implement a long-awaited reform of its oil sector, which could improve its governance and attract investment. Venezuela, which has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, has seen its oil industry collapse due to mismanagement, corruption, and US sanctions. The country’s oil production has fallen from over 3 million bpd in the late 1990s to less than 0.5 million bpd in 2020.
Kind Regards,
Ely