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Fundamental Market Analysis for May 23, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trying to halt its three-day losing streak, hovering around the 1.08200 mark during the Asian session on Thursday. The strengthening of the Euro against the US Dollar (USD) can be attributed to the latter's corrective movement. Investors are likely to await the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from the eurozone and Germany before turning their attention to the US PMI, which will be released later in the North American session on Thursday. The eurozone manufacturing PMI is forecast to rise to 46.2 from 45.7 in May, while the services PMI is expected to show a slight increase to 53.5 from 53.3. Meanwhile, in the US, the manufacturing and services PMIs are expected to remain unchanged at 50.0 and 51.3 respectively. The Euro could face challenges as the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to consider lowering borrowing costs at its June meeting. This expectation is due to the current inflation rate in the Eurozone, which stands at 2.4%, very close to the ECB's target of 2.0%. President Christine Lagarde recently stated that such action in June is highly likely if data continues to support confidence that inflation will eventually align with the ECB's target over the medium term. The US Dollar (USD) strengthened on Wednesday as the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting indicated hawkish sentiment towards Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Fed policymakers expressed concern over the lack of progress on inflation, which has been more persistent than expected in early 2024. As a result, the Fed is hesitant to start cutting interest rates. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels - Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks. - Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50 SL @ 11.59 TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 16.03 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
US30 neutral 1. we are currently consolidating in a tight controlled price range - this clearly illustrates to me that we are waiting a big price move soon (most likely after the high impact new releases today) 2. i believe a break below the line below wil lead to a bullish continuation upwards or a break below the line above will lead to a short term bearish break down of price to the downside. Always maintain a open mindset about the outcome of news as nothing is guareteed in the trading market at any time
BLACKBULL:US30
by TakeTheRisknProsper
📈Ethereum: Awaiting ETF Approval📣🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today's focus is on ETH, which recently experienced a 28% pump in anticipation of the potential approval of an Ethereum ETF. As I mentioned in my previous analysis, breaking the $2964 level was crucial, and it provided a strong trigger for opening a position, leading to a 28% gain with a high risk-to-reward ratio. 📰Today, the final decision regarding the ETF is expected to be announced. If approved, Ethereum could see another pump, potentially surpassing the $4063 level and aiming for its all-time high (ATH) around $4600. However, if the ETF is not approved, Ethereum is likely to dump, possibly losing the $2880 support level amid market fear and excitement, which would be bad news for ETH holders. Personally, I believe the ETF is more likely to be approved, leading to another pump in Ethereum's chart. 🔔The announcement is just a few hours away. If you believe the ETF will be approved, I suggest moving to lower timeframes, finding a trigger based on your strategy, and opening a long position. Conversely, if you think the ETF will not be approved, you can apply the same approach for a short position. 📈Ignoring the ETF news and focusing purely on technicals, the RSI is significantly overbought, reaching as high as 89. This indicates high market excitement, and the RSI is now starting to come down but hasn't exited the overbought territory yet. There is a high probability of range-bound movement until the price meets the SMA25, potentially forming a box near $3798. After the SMA25 convergence, we might see renewed momentum. If the price breaks $3798 sooner, it would be even better as the resistance would be broken with more bullish momentum, allowing the price to move up more smoothly and with fewer candles. 🚀For long position targets, consider the $4063 resistance as the first target. If this resistance is surpassed, the next target would be the $4600 ATH. 📉For shorts, as long as the volume of red candles continues to decrease, I wouldn't consider shorting. To short, wait for the SMA25 to reach the candles, and if the bottom of the box breaks with increased selling volume, you could enter a risky short position. Given this would be against the primary market momentum, you should take profits quickly. 💣The main short position to watch for a complete trend reversal would be the break of the $2880 support level. 📝In conclusion, Ethereum is at a critical juncture with the potential ETF approval news imminent. If approved, we could see significant bullish movement towards and beyond $4063, aiming for the ATH around $4600. On the other hand, if not approved, Ethereum might experience a notable drop, potentially losing the $2880 support. From a technical perspective, watch the RSI and SMA25 interactions closely, and plan your trades based on the key levels and volume confirmations mentioned above. Always stay informed and be ready to adjust your strategy based on market developments.
by itsparham96
3
Sell GBPUSD CPI DataThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to a recent breakout from a wedge pattern. Possible Short Trade : Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling GBP/USD) below the broken support trendline of the wedge after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.2720 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 1.2678: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the wedge (from its apex to the breakout point) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. 1.2650: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the wedge, ideally with some buffer around 1.2730. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
What's next for Silver and Gold?OANDA:XAGUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY Finally 😎 Silver broke through $30. So what's next? Long-term: I would say there is nothing on its way to go for $50. BUT, what would support Silver to go for $50? where's the demand for silver? How would supply change in the coming years? .... I would say, let's not get ahead of ourselves and focus on what's going on now, then I try to prepare a separate post for the reasons I have for staying bullish on silver in the coming years. Short-term: As you might have noticed, on 15 May, after the US Fed announced the CPI data, silver started its rally to $30. The recent CPI y/y data came out at the expected level of 3.4% and the CPI m/m was at 0.3% which was lower than the market expectations. So, Fed Chair Jerome Powell continued his recent interviews with a dovish tone which signals that we are very close to a rate cut **. For now, the first rate cut is expected to happen in September. Long story short, gold and silver are pricing in the rate cuts now as this sentiment pulling DXY down. So, in the short-term , I would like to see Silver between $33.6 - $36.4 and Gold entering the $2580 - $2650 area. In the meantime, DXY can reach to 103. I have highlighted these areas on the chart 😊. ** Watch out for unemployment numbers as the Fed shifts its focus on that. If you are a day trader, you can expect higher volatility around unemployment news than before and you expect this number to have a higher impact on the longer-term trends of DXY. ** Also, keep that in mind, if they want to normalize the 3% inflation rather than 2%, it means we can expect higher levels of interest rates for a longer period of time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SamanFx0
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 21, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair continues to rally near 1.27100 on Tuesday in the early Asian session. Investors are expecting more catalysts as various Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers are due later in the day. On Wednesday, close attention will be focused on UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and FOMC meeting minutes. On Tuesday, the US dollar trades stable amid the absence of important economic data from the US and the UK. Fed officials remain cautious about the timing of the end of the easing cycle and emphasize the need to hold rates longer to gain confidence that inflation is moving towards target. The minutes from Wednesday's FOMC meeting will take center stage as they may provide some clues as to the future path of interest rates. On Monday, Fed Vice Chairman Michael Barr said the central bank “needs to give our restrictive rate path some more time to continue its work.” Meanwhile, Fed policymaker Philip Jefferson, another permanent voting member of the Fed's rate-setting committee, said inflation continues to fall, though not as fast as he expected. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at its next meeting in June. Financial markets believe there is a 76% chance of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in September and two rate cuts before the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The US Fed's wait-and-see stance is likely to lead to a US Dollar (USD) rate hike and could limit the pair's near-term growth. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.27200, on the rebound take Sell positions.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
New Support & Resistance for the Gold CFD market in 2024Fundamental Analysis : Since we all know the geopolitical tension we are living right now : Russian and Ukranian War, Palestinian and Israel conflict, Tension between USA and China, BRICS buying gold massively. Also increasing inflation all over the world, increase in interest rates is globalised... Gold also is very correlated with US CPI, GPD, Housing sector who is not doing well (maybe new bubble)... anyway hope the best for the dollar... who is being challenged in this new geopolitical era. Technical Analysis : Gold is doing well, most agressive move are bullish move (volumes weighted). Very healthy trend, that is obvious to oscillator expert. TDI, is the best indicator to use since it's a combination of 5 well known indicators
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Le_mah
📈Analysis of NOT Coin: Lessons and Strategies💥🔍Let’s dive into today’s analysis. Today’s analysis is a bit different from the others, as we will focus more on the fundamental aspects of this project and have a discussion with those who participated in this project and managed to cash out. The meme coin we will analyze today is NOT, a project that generated a lot of hype for a long time and even led to significant growth for the Telegram blockchain. The coin of this blockchain, TON, also experienced substantial growth. The greatest benefit of this project was not to itself or the participants, but rather to the TON blockchain and Telegram company, which by distributing NOTCOIN to their users, brought over 30 million users into the TON network. Now, there are many people worldwide who have entered the blockchain space through NOT. ✅You might think that after the profits made by Telegram and its blockchain, the second group to benefit were those who earned through the “tap to earn” mechanism. But if you do a rough calculation, you’ll see that, at best, you made $100-200 from this project. Consider the number of days and hours wasted for that money. Think about how much you’ve worn out your phone screen or even whether your finger bones are the same as they were before all that tapping, or if in the future you might develop conditions like arthritis. Instead of all that tapping, you could have worked at McDonald’s for a week, wasting less time and making more money. Or perhaps it would have been better to spend those six months learning a new skill. I promise you would have made more money in the long run because this money you earned now won’t significantly impact your life, but a skill like trading, Photoshop, or programming could have a much greater impact on your future. 🔑Even if you were among the professionals in trading or DeFi who understood this space, you could have predicted that with the hype of the project, TON would also rise. It would have been enough to follow daily analyses to use the entry points given for TON, allowing you to be up by nearly 140%. After making this profit, you could have created a TON-NOT LP when NOT was listed on DEXs, earning additional profit from swapping and trading TON and NOT. I promise that if you had done this, you would have profited more than from all that tapping, because I did it myself and earned more than many people who farmed NOT. Always be aware of what other opportunities hyped projects can bring you. Remember, projects that yield the highest profits are often those that the general public is unfamiliar with. If you want me to introduce you to some of these projects, ask me in the comments, and I will respond to each of your comments. 🤔Now, after all this discussion, let’s move to the chart to see what the best option is if you have farmed NOT or worse, bought NOT. First of all, if you bought NOT without using it in the DeFi space, you need to make significant changes to your purchasing strategy. Buying a basket of altcoins is not like shopping for groceries. For each altcoin purchase, you should research the project with patience, and only invest in one out of a thousand t-shirts you see, as you would with Gucci. So, if you’ve made a purchase without a goal, you need to change your buying strategy as I mentioned. For those who farmed, I have two methods you can use depending on your situation. If the money you earned from NOT will significantly change your life, don’t waste any time and sell your tokens now to make that change. But if selling the tokens won’t make much difference in your life and will just get you a good dinner or something similar, I suggest you explore the TON blockchain and see what you can do with that money to earn passive income. 📈Technically, there isn’t much data on NOT, and we don’t have many charts, but as you can see, after breaking the descending triangle, it has reached the first target of the triangle and is now resting. The trigger for shorting is 0.005194, and the trigger for longing is if it breaks 0.005651 and RSI also breaks 43.53. However, if I were you, I wouldn’t open a futures position on this meme coin because it doesn’t make sense, and we don’t have enough data to get reliable triggers from it. 📝In summary, while the NOT project brought many users into the TON blockchain and generated significant hype, the actual financial benefit for individual participants may have been minimal compared to the time and effort invested. It’s crucial to consider the broader opportunities that such projects can bring and focus on developing skills that offer long-term benefits. Strategically, if you hold NOT tokens, evaluate whether selling now can make a significant impact on your life or if investing them within the TON ecosystem for passive income might be more beneficial. Always stay informed and approach altcoin investments with thorough research and a well-defined strategy. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
Long
by itsparham96
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 20, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trading on a stronger note near 1.08800 on Monday in the early hours of Asian trading. The growth of the major pair is supported by the weakening of the US dollar. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials Bostic, Barr, Waller, Jefferson and Mester are scheduled to speak on Monday. The main event in the Eurozone will be the preliminary PMI for May on Thursday. Inflationary pressures eased in April, but this progress is unlikely to prompt the Fed to cut interest rates anytime soon. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he believes the U.S. central bank will need more data to gain confidence that inflation is steadily falling toward the 2% level. In addition, several Fed officials have emphasized their cautious stance on holding rates longer. Last week, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he sees signs of cooling inflation in the recent CPI report, but prefers to keep an eye on May and June data to make sure inflation doesn't turn the other way. FRB Cleveland President Loretta Mester said policy is in a good place and it is premature to say that progress on inflation has stalled. Richmond FRB President Tom Barkin said the central bank needs to keep borrowing costs high for longer to ensure that the inflation target is met. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly on Buy from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 17, 2024 USDJPYThe Dollar-Yen pair rose to 155.900 during the Asian session on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) faced fresh pressure. This was due to the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintaining its bond purchases from the previous operation, abandoning an unexpected cut in debt purchases earlier this week. Traders speculate that the BoJ may cut bond purchases at its June meeting. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda also said there are no plans to sell the central bank's ETF funds. In an interview with Bloomberg, former BoJ chief economist Toshitaka Sekine suggested the BOJ could raise the benchmark interest rate three more times this year. Sekine noted that the next move could come as early as June, given the significant scope for adjustments to the current "excessively" accommodative settings. According to Reuters, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said at an event in Jacksonville on Thursday that interest rates should be patient, noting that significant price pressures remain in the U.S. economy. In addition, FRB Cleveland President Loretta Mester noted that it may take longer than expected to confidently determine the trajectory of inflation and suggested that the Fed should maintain a restrictive stance for an extended period. Trading Recommendation: On consolidation above 155.800 we consider buying, on rebound we take Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
#GAMESTOP IS NOT GOING TO STOP!GameStop Corp (#GameStop) video game store chain shares soared by 46% during Monday's trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), reaching $25 . The surge didn't stop there, as on Tuesday the price reached up to $60 per share! Wednesday opened with a sudden downward gap, but by the end of the session, the price confidently recovered to $40. What will happen today? The rollercoaster ride repeats itself with this stock after the sudden return to social media by YouTube streamer Keith Gill, known as Roaring Kitty. He posted a mysterious message on the X service (formerly Twitter), showing that he's always in the know. Gill's post garnered over 8 million views within hours of its late Sunday posting, marking his first post on the account since June 2021. The surge in stock prices led to a so-called "short squeeze" - a situation where investors betting against the stock and opening short positions are forced to buy stocks as their prices unexpectedly rise, contrary to their expectations. This situation further fueled the rise in shares, which appreciated by hundreds of percent. As a result, funds betting against the company's stocks lost billions of dollars. Giacomo Pierantoni, Head of Data at Vanda Research, stated that the overwhelming majority of demand for shares now comes from retail investors. It seems that, as in January 2021, investors are betting against those shorting GameStop Corp (#GameStop) shares, notes MarketWatch.
NYSE:GME
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
1
EURUSD Higher after US CPI but Policy Dynamics to WeighWednesday’s US CPI report showed a moderation in price pressures in April, following months of persistence, with headline inflation easing to 3.4% y/y and core to 3.6% y/y. Along with the miss in retail sales, markets strengthened their pricing for two rate cuts this year by the Fed, staring in September. The greenback fell as a result, sending EURUSD to the highest levels in nearly a month. this bring the March peak in the spotlight (1.0981), but we are cautious around the ascending prospects. US Inflation remains far from the 2% target, which along with strong economy and robust labor market have raised the bar for a Fed to pivot, leading policymakers to higher-for-longer narrative. Their European peers have made more progress on moderating price pressures and the economy struggles. As a result, the ECB looks more ready to lower rates, having hinted at a June pivot. The monetary policy differentially is likely to cap the upside and put pressure on EURUSD. Along with overbought RSI, there is scope for a retreat towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would shift bias to the downside and make the common currency vulnerable to the 2024 lows (1.0600). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Short
by FXCM
#SWSOLAR Closed Above its All Time High Long-Term Opportunity KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR FY24 Unexecuted order value at INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024 compared to INR 4,913 crore as of Mar 2023 Company has received new orders / LOI in two projects worth -INR 488 crore during the quarter including being declared L1 for a second floating solar module project in the country Company received its second international order in Q4 from Enfinity for a BOS project in Italy amounting to EUR 20 mn We have received total orders/LOI in 13 projects worth INR 6,023 crore in FY24 compared to new order inflow of INR 4,387 crore in FY23 P&L of the company has begun to revive in FY24 Consol revenues up -51% YoY Achieved positive consolidated EBITDA in FY24 Domestic EPC gross margins continue to operate within our target range Achieved PBT/PAT profitability in 4QFY24 Rationalization of overheads continue to progress with FY24 overheads at -INR 333 crores compared to -INR 382 crores in FY23 The company has significantly de-leveraged the balance sheet in FY24 Total net debt of -INR 116 crore, compared to net debt of-INR 1.966 crore in FY23 No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
NSE:SWSOLARLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
BNB 4HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a sideways trend channel, staying below the local downtrend line. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include: T1 = USD 579.2 at which the price struggles T2 = $605.9 T3 = $623.6 AND T4 = $648.3 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $570.1 SL2 = $539.4 SL3 = $518.2 AND SL4 = $491.50
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD ANALYSE TODAY IS FIRE Guys if you like my analyse please Boost this post and follow me on tradingview lets Start with the analyse GOld 15/05/24 : Yesterday We had Uncle Jerome talks he mentioned alot of things these are the points he mentioned 🟥 Jerome Powell: It is reasonable that job vacancies will decrease without a significant increase in unemployment. 🟥 Jerome Powell: Our goal is clear regarding inflation, which is to reach 2% levels, but the improvement is limited. 🟥 Jerome Powell: The Federal Reserve may be forced to make a series of cuts. 🟥 Jerome Powell: The Federal Reserve may have to raise the balance sheet. 🟥 Jerome Powell: Economic report data still shows that we are facing stable inflation. Most of the notes Negative and the most important one is this one : 🟥 Jerome Powell: The US Congress is pressuring us to reduce interest rates in order to stabilize employment and prices. This means we're about to cut rates soon , Maybe this month or next Month or even Next week why not today 😂 If this happend which is the best scenario for us , Gold first target and the easiest one is : 2370 Next targets if CPI came Heavy Negative than expected we'll see strong push to 2407.449-2413.158 ( LONG TERM ) if this Came Positive Gold will dump to these levels 2347.124-2334.854-2323.522 But this doesnt mean gold is weak , we say yesterday PPI how gold reacted Numbers Came positive but still Gold Remain Strenght This was My analyse guys Good luck i'll wait for Data Release to get an entry in Gold But in General im long with Gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderFa9ir
3
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 15, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair is trading with a bullish bias around 1.08150 in the early hours of Asian trading on Wednesday. Later, markets may shift to cautious sentiment ahead of key economic data releases from the Eurozone and the US. Wednesday's highlights will be the first reading of the Eurozone's first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) and the April US consumer price index (CPI). On Tuesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said inflation is falling more slowly than expected and the CPI data gave more reason to keep rates higher. Powell added that he believes it is unlikely that the central bank will need to raise interest rates further, even if there is less chance of a rate cut. In addition, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said inflation remains too high and the U.S. central bank still has a lot of work to do. These hawkish comments could boost the US Dollar (USD) and put pressure on the major pair in the near term. However, later in the day, US CPI data is due to be released, which could influence the Fed's interest rate decision at the next meeting. Annual core CPI inflation is expected to fall to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in the previous reading. Core CPI inflation is projected to fall to 3.6% in April from 3.8% previously. If the upcoming CPI data meets expectations, it could lead to the prospect of a rate cut. This, in turn, could lead to a decline in the dollar and serve as a tailwind for EUR/USD. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly on Buy from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold analysis for 13/05/24 & 14/05/24According to my analysis and according to what you taught me, Tamas : Scenario 1 : If CPI comes negative on Wednesday, it could lead to deflation concerns, which might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates to stimulate economic activity and prevent deflationary pressures. A negative CPI could indicate a decrease in the general price level of goods and services, potentially signaling weak demand or economic contraction A decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar, as lower interest rates typically make a currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. This could lead to a depreciation of the dollar index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies Gold prices may rise in response to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates typically decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. Additionally, concerns about inflation and currency depreciation amid monetary easing measures could further support gold prices , Gold may Target 2394-2400 Scenario 2: A positive CPI indicates an increase in the general price level of goods and services, suggesting inflationary pressures. This could lead to concerns about the purchasing power of the currency and potential future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation If the PPI also shows an increase on Tuesday, it could reinforce inflationary expectations, indicating rising costs for producers. This might further support the case for potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to address inflationary pressures Technical Analysis : We're currently in Correction Wave , and Expecting Price to Pump for Gold target 2394-2401 Advice : please always use a propre risk management this is my analyse and good luck Make sure if you like my Analysis to boost up my post and Comment
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderFa9ir
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 14, 2024 USDJPYThe Dollar-Yen pair continues to rally around 156.20 and higher in the early hours of Asian trading on Tuesday. The Japanese Yen is losing ground against the US Dollar (USD) despite the hawkish signal from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to reduce Japanese government bond purchases on Monday, as well as unfavorable Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data for April last week. Investors will be more focused on key US economic data this week, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI) and retail sales. These reports will provide some hints as to whether inflation remains intractable, is falling slightly, or even possibly rising. The Producer Price Index (PPI), which reflects inflation at the wholesale level, is due out Tuesday and is expected to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier. The core PPI, which excludes energy and food costs, is expected to rise 2.4% y/y over the same reporting period. Traders can use the PPI report to gauge potential CPI results, and better-than-expected data could continue to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). As for the JPY, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) gave a hawkish signal on Monday by reducing the amount of Japanese government bonds (JGBs) it offered to buy as part of its regular buying operation. The move is expected to put upward pressure on Japanese bond yields and possibly narrow the gap between Japan and the US, which has weakened the Japanese Yen. However, the recent movement has been muted and has had little impact on the yen exchange rate. On Thursday, Japan will release the country's Q1 2024 GDP growth data. Stronger figures may lift the yen and limit the USD/JPY pair growth in the near term. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPCAD-BEARISH-4H-CONTINUATION GBP/CAD Analysis 1. **Bearish/Bullish Analysis:** - **Scorecard 3:** Indicates a bearish sentiment for GBP, bullish for CAD, resulting in a bearish outlook for GBPCAD. This could suggest weakness in the Pound against the Canadian Dollar. - **COT-Flip:** The Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggests a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish for GBP and from bearish to bullish for CAD, aligning with the Scorecard's conclusion of a bearish GBPCAD outlook. - **Seasonal Analysis:** Seasonal trends show a bearish bias for GBP, and neutral for CAD, further supporting the bearish outlook for GBPCAD. 2. **Commodity Analysis:** - Commodity analysis indicates a bearish sentiment, which could imply that macroeconomic factors or global commodity trends influence the GBP/CAD pair negatively. 3. **Conditional Analysis:** - Conditional factors show a mix, with a bullish bias for both GBP and CAD, resulting in a neutral stance on GBPCAD. This suggests that certain conditional factors may not strongly influence the pair's direction. 4. **Fundamentals:** - Leading Economic Index (LEI), Endogenous (ENDO), and Exogenous (EXO) fundamental analyses collectively point towards a bearish sentiment for GBP and a bullish sentiment for CAD. This reinforces the overall bearish outlook for GBPCAD. ### Technical Analysis: 1. **Trend:** - The overall trend analysis indicates a bearish trend for GBP/CAD, suggesting that the pair is experiencing downward price movement. 2. **Continuation Patterns:** - Continuation patterns are bearish, implying that the current downtrend in GBP/CAD is likely to persist. Overall Interpretation: The analysis of the scorecard and technical indicators suggests a predominantly bearish outlook for GBP/CAD for the second week of May. Fundamental factors such as the leading economic index and market sentiment indicators align with technical indicators, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Traders and investors may consider this information when making decisions regarding GBP/CAD positions, keeping in mind both short-term and long-term trading strategies.
by AamirZahirali
Buy GBP/CAD UK GDPThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further price gains in the coming hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying GBP/CAD) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 1.7120 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points, based on the channel and recent price movement: 1.7181: This target is obtained by measuring the height of the channel (from the base to the breakout point) and adding that distance to the breakout price. 1.7215: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on roughly twice the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally with some buffer around 1.7105. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
4
Sell GBPAUD UK Interest Ratethe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish pennant pattern. Potential Short Trade : Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the pennant after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 1.9000 or lower if the price continues to decline. Target Levels: 1.8871: This target is achieved by measuring the height of the flagpole (initial downtrend before the pennant) and projecting it downwards from the breakout point. 1.8807: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on roughly twice the height of the flagpole. Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the pennant, ideally with some buffer around 1.9042. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9