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Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?USD/JPY: Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction? Hello TradingView community! Today, let's focus on analyzing the USD/JPY pair, which is showing interesting developments after its recent correction. 🌍 Macro Overview: USD/JPY Under Current Pressures The market is observing shifts in the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair: UOB Group's 24-Hour View: The USD experienced a sharp decline from 148.02 on Monday to 144.49, despite being "oversold". This indicates a slowing in the downtrend, though caution remains. Retest Expected: According to UOB Group, there's a likelihood of USD/JPY retesting the 144.50 level before a more sustained recovery can be expected. Downside Limited: A drop below 144.50 cannot be ruled out, but based on current momentum, any further weakness is unlikely to reach 144.00. Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance levels are noted at 145.20 and 145.55. Overall, USD/JPY is in a phase of seeking equilibrium after a significant decline. 📊 Technical Analysis & USD/JPY Trading Plan Based on the USD/JPY chart (H4/M30) you provided: Overall Trend: The pair has undergone a relatively deep corrective decline after reaching a local peak, but appears to be seeking a strong support zone. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance (SELL Zone): Clearly at 144.894 - 145.178. This is an confluence area of Fibonacci levels and local highs where selling pressure could emerge strongly. Important Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 143.800 - 143.500. This represents a potential bottoming area where demand might be strong enough to push the price higher. Projected Price Action: After the sharp decline, USD/JPY might retest the 144.50 area. If it holds above key support levels, an upward move towards resistance zones is plausible, as indicated by the arrows on the chart. 🎯 USD/JPY Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: 143.800 - 143.500 SL: 143.400 TP: 144.000 - 144.200 - 144.500 - 144.800 - 145.000 - 145.200 - 145.500 SELL ZONE: 144.894 - 145.178 SL: 145.300 TP: 144.700 - 144.500 - 144.200 - 144.000 - 143.800 - 143.500 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: US and Japanese Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from both nations could significantly impact Fed and BoJ policy expectations. BoJ Policy Decisions: Any shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance will create strong volatility for the JPY. Global Risk Sentiment: Changes in overall market sentiment can also affect JPY crosses. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful USD/JPY trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens?EUR/USD: Euro's Resilience Holds Strong – Can it Reach New Highs as USD Weakens? 🌍 Macro Landscape: EUR/USD Rides Risk-On Sentiment and Fed Cut Hopes The Euro (EUR) is showing significant strength, maintaining its position near a three-year high against the US Dollar (USD). This resilience is largely fueled by a moderately positive risk appetite in the market. Simultaneously, the US Dollar is facing considerable downward pressure. This weakness stems from recent weaker-than-expected economic data from the United States and increasing market expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to implement interest rate cuts. If US economic indicators continue to soften, it could solidify the case for earlier Fed rate cuts, further undermining the USD and potentially boosting EUR/USD. 🏦 Central Bank Policy: Diverging Paths for ECB and Fed Federal Reserve (Fed): The market is increasingly pricing in the likelihood of Fed interest rate cuts. Weaker US data strengthens this narrative, as the Fed might be compelled to ease monetary policy to support economic growth. This dovish outlook for the Fed is a key driver of USD weakness. European Central Bank (ECB): While the provided information focuses on the EUR's strength due to broader market sentiment and USD weakness, the ECB's more measured approach to monetary policy compared to the Fed's potential easing can create a favorable interest rate differential for the Euro, attracting capital flows. This divergence in central bank policy expectations—with the Fed leaning towards cuts and the ECB maintaining a more cautious stance—creates a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair. 🌐 Capital Flows: Money Favors Euro Amidst USD Softness Global capital flow models suggest that funds are increasingly moving towards assets perceived as offering better relative value or stability. As US yields become less attractive due to anticipated Fed rate cuts, capital may flow out of USD-denominated assets. This outflow from the USD naturally benefits currencies like the Euro, especially given its current positive momentum driven by a moderate risk-on environment. The re-pricing of Fed policy risk directly influences these capital movements, contributing to the upward trajectory of EUR/USD. 📊 Technical Structure (H4 Chart Analysis): EUR/USD Eyes Key Resistance Levels Based on the provided EUR/USD H4 chart: Uptrend intact: The pair continues to exhibit a positive trend, characterized by higher lows and higher highs within an ascending channel. Key Resistance Levels: Initial Resistance: 1.16330. This level aligns with recent highs and the top of the minor channel. A break above this suggests further bullish momentum. Major Resistance Zone: 1.17031. This is indicated as a significant resistance area, potentially a long-term target or a reversal point. A break here would confirm strong bullish conviction. Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: 1.15470. This level has acted as a support point, aligning with the EMA 200 and a Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential bounce area. Strong Support Zone: 1.15249. This zone represents a robust demand area, aligning with previous price action and serving as a crucial level for bulls to defend. Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200): The price is trading above the short-term and long-term EMAs, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The EMAs are fanning out and showing a bullish alignment, reinforcing the uptrend. Projected Price Action: The chart suggests that the price might retrace towards the 1.15470 or 1.15249 support zones before resuming its upward trajectory towards the 1.16330 and potentially 1.17031 resistance levels. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations: Scenario 1 – BUY the Dip: Entry: Look for bullish confirmation around 1.15470 - 1.15249. Stop-Loss: Below 1.15100 (or a level below the 1.15249 support for risk management). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.15600 TP2: 1.15800 TP3: 1.16000 TP4: 1.16200 TP5: 1.16330 (Targeting the immediate resistance) TP6: 1.16500 TP7: 1.16800 TP8: 1.17031 (Targeting the major resistance) Scenario 2 – SELL the Rally (Counter-trend/Reversal): Entry: Look for bearish confirmation around 1.16330 - 1.16400 or higher near 1.17031. Stop-Loss: Above 1.16500 (or above 1.17100 if selling at higher resistance). Take-Profit: TP1: 1.16200 TP2: 1.16000 TP3: 1.15800 TP4: 1.15600 TP5: 1.15470 (Targeting the immediate support) TP6: 1.15249 (Targeting the strong support zone) ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: Upcoming US Economic Data: Any further weak data could solidify Fed rate cut expectations and weigh on the USD. ECB Official Statements: Comments from ECB members on inflation or monetary policy could impact EUR's strength. Global Risk Sentiment: A continued moderate risk-on environment will generally support the EUR against the USD. Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's LiftoffXAUUSD: Powell's Softer Tone Hints at Gold's Liftoff – Ready for a July Rally? Hey everyone! Let's dive into XAUUSD today! We've got some sweet news from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that could be a game-changer for Gold. 🌍 Macro Edge: Gold Breathes Easier as Rate Pressures May Ease! Gold's recent climb is largely thanks to Powell's "soft-spoken" remarks. He's openly admitted that tariff-driven inflation is lower than expected, even subtly hinting at earlier rate cuts – perhaps as soon as July! Despite his "no need to rush" stance, the market's getting a clear message: if inflation keeps cooling down, the Fed will have room to loosen policy sooner. This is music to Gold's ears! Lower rates mean a reduced opportunity cost for holding Gold (which doesn't yield), making it far more attractive to investors. 🌐 Capital Flows: Gold vs. USD – Who's the Next Safe-Haven King? Market liquidity always dances to the tune of interest rates and risks. Gold and the USD typically share the safe-haven crown during volatile times. However, if Powell's "dovish tilt" holds, and the Fed cuts rates soon, prepare for a significant capital shift: USD might cool off: Lower US yields reduce the USD's appeal. Gold takes the spotlight: With lower holding costs and persistent global geopolitical uncertainties, Gold could see a surge in demand. The market's re-pricing of Fed policy is already bolstering Gold, signaling a potential upside move on the horizon! 📊 Technical Insight (H4/M30 Chart): Gold Breaking Free, Targeting Higher Peaks! Looking at our XAUUSD chart (H4/M30, based on your image): Channel Breakout: Gold has clearly broken out of its prior descending channel! This is a positive sign, indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. Price is consolidating, possibly forming a new accumulation pattern or a minor ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch: Potential SELL Zone (Resistance): Around 3352.383 - 3371.205. This is a major historical resistance cluster where Gold has previously met strong selling pressure. Watch for rejection here. Higher Resistance: 3391.750 - 3395.000. A decisive break above this level would signal a more robust long-term bullish trend. Current BUY Zone (Support): Around 3302.939 - 3311.214. This is a critical demand zone where strong buying interest is likely to emerge, aligning with recent lows. Next Key Support: 3286.257. This is the next line of defense if the current BUY zone breaks. 🎯 Trade Plan & Key Zones: BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284 SL: 3280 TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320 BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300 SL: 3295 TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330 SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355 SL: 3360 TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320 SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374 SL: 3378 TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350 ⚠️ What Else to Watch For: More Fed Official Speeches: Any new comments on inflation or policy will keep the market buzzing. Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions can always boost Gold's safe-haven appeal. Let's trade smart and stay sharp! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today: 17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech 17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy USDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD 1H | Harmonic AB=CD | Sentiment Reversal in PlayGold has formed a clean Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, with price currently sitting at the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). This aligns with technical expectations for a possible bullish shift. 🗓️ The recent sharp sell-off in Gold was heavily influenced by the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, triggering fear, panic, and speculative selling. Despite Gold's fundamentally bullish bias as a safe-haven asset, market sentiment overpowered fundamentals in the short term. 🔍 On the 30min LTF, we have a crystal-clear Bullish Divergence on RSI, adding further confluence that downside momentum is weakening, and a corrective reversal may unfold from this area. Bias: ✅ Harmonic AB=CD complete — PRZ active ✅ LTF Bullish Divergence (30m) confirmed ✅ Price action showing exhaustion at key support ✅ Expecting potential bullish reaction and relief rally ⚠️ As always, waiting for confirmation with proper risk management. Market remains sensitive to geopolitical headlines. 💡 DYOR — Do Your Own Research before executing trades.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by awaisulabdeen
GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (25.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 195.96 2nd Support – 195.37 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead? Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold. 🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past. EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce. Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week. ✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310 SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320 📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens. 📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce. 🧭 Final Thoughts XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Wedge Breakout (21.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 3425 2nd Resistance – 3451 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
74
NZD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (23.06.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 86.35 2nd Support – 86.00 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
XAUU-USD chart it will go back upwardXAUUSD Buy Setup Active 🟢💰 Gold is holding strong above key support – currently trading at 3355. We’ve entered a Buy position expecting continued bullish momentum in the market. 📍 Entry: 3355 🎯 Targets: 3420 – 3450 – Final Target 3400 🛑 Stop Loss: 3325 (below recent structure low) With global uncertainty and technical strength aligning, this move could push gold higher in the coming sessions. Stay alert, manage risk, and follow the trend until reversal confirmation. 🧭📈 #XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ForexTrading #BuySetup #TradingViewAnalysis #MarketUpdate
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones. 🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold? 📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold. 💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors. ⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market. 📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG) The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume. Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond. Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback. ✅ Trade Setup 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 ⚠️ Final Thoughts The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike. Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 23, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate fell to around 1.14900 at the start of the Asian session on Monday. The US dollar is strengthening against the euro (EUR) amid US President Donald Trump's decision to join Israel's war against Iran, which has sharply escalated the conflict. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the conflict in the Middle East. Over the weekend, the US entered the conflict between Israel and Iran when American military aircraft and submarines struck three Iranian targets in Iran, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump said Iran's key uranium enrichment facilities had been “totally destroyed” and warned of “much more severe” strikes if Iran did not agree to peace. The rise in tensions following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities is contributing to the rise in safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and is having a negative impact on the major currency pair. Earlier this month, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time this year to support the eurozone's sluggish recovery, but made it clear that there would be a pause in July. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end, as the central bank is now “well positioned” to deal with the current uncertainty. The ECB's hawkish tone may help limit the euro's losses in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.15000, SL 1.14600, TP 1.15800
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)🔷 1. Trend and market structure 🔺 Main channels: The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022. The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks. 🔁 Market phase: The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend. The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum. 🔷 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance) ✅ Resistance levels (green lines): 83.46 USDT – the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below. 95.48 USDT – strong resistance from March-April 2024. 105.19 USDT – a level tested many times in the past. 110.00 USDT – a psychological level. 115.83 USDT – a local high from December 2023. 🛑 Support levels (red lines): 78.30 USDT – currently tested support level. 70.98 USDT – a key defensive level for bulls. 52.03 USDT – strong historical support. 39.78 USDT – the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022. 📐 Dynamic support (orange line): The lower boundary of the ascending channel – currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time. 🔷 3. Technical indicators 📊 CHOP (Choppiness Index) Oscillates near the lower values ​​→ the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase. Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum). 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI below 50, currently around 40–45 → supply advantage. Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward. 🔄 Stochastic Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone. Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave. 🔷 4. Technical scenarios 🟢 Growth scenario (long): Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46. Targets: TP1: 95.48 TP2: 105.19 TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel) SL: below 70.98 USDT 🔴 Bearish scenario (short): Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance. Targets: TP1: 70.98 TP2: 65 (lower channel line) TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone) SL: return above 83.46 🔷 5. Swing strategy proposal Long Entry 78.30–79.00 SL < 70.50 TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00 Short Entry < 77.50 (ret.) SL > 83.50 TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00 🔷 6. Additional comments It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound. The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD 🕒 Interval: 4H 1. General trend We are observing a medium-term downtrend. Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows. Current price: approx. USD 102.625. 2. Formation and Price Action 🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10): Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of ​​USD 111,000 - 112,500. Consolidation from May 27 to June 2. 🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10): A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards. A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming. The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction. 3. Technical levels 📉 Resistance: $112,400 – local peak from June 10. $109,000 – $109,500 – area of ​​previous consolidations. $107,000 – lower limit of previous support. 📈 Support: $102,000 – currently tested level. $100,000 – psychological support level. $97,000 – potential range of further declines. 4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart) The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone. This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction. 5. Candles and price action The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone. No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound. 6. Scenarios ✅ Bullish scenario (short-term): Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone. Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance). If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible. ❌ Bearish scenario (continuation): Breakout of support at USD 102,000. Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD. Possible escalation of declines on increased volume. 7. Signals to watch Price behavior in the area of ​​102k USD - a key place to react. Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement. Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further? Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution. 🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts. Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy. Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution. 📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4) BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108. A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586. However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume. ✅ Suggested Trade Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300 Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick SL: 102,600 TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586 🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800 Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel SL: 108,200 TP: 106,000 → 104,500 ⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk. 💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum. For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype. Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. 1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume 2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Fundamental Updates : Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
26
Energy giants surge: Top 5 stocks to watchJune 2025 was marked by heightened volatility across the global energy sector . Amid fluctuating oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and ongoing industry transformation, major oil and gas companies delivered mixed results. Let’s break down the key drivers behind the moves in Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil. Here are the five leaders that set the tone this June : 1. Shell: Steady growth driven by strategic adjustments . The stock climbed 7% thanks to a pragmatic dividend policy and a $3.5B share buyback plan. LNG Canada project developments also boosted investor confidence. 2. TotalEnergies: Strong performance backed by green energy push . Shares rose 5.5% after the acquisition of a renewable energy portfolio and a dividend increase. Conservative production forecast (+3% for 2025) and investment in clean energy kept demand strong. 3. BP: Recovery supported by oil price rebound . BP added around 7% on oil market stabilization and a new share buyback program. Although production declined due to asset sales, higher profitability in the oil segment offset the drop. 4. Chevron: Notable gains fueled by new projects . Chevron advanced 7.5% following the launch of the Ballymore field in the Gulf of Mexico. Expanded buyback and dividend plans further attracted investors. 5. Exxon Mobil : Stable upward momentum from production expansion. Shares jumped nearly 10% as Q1 profits reached $7.7B. Liquefied natural gas development and output growth targets energized traders. FreshForex analysts believe the rally in energy majors may continue in the near term. Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil remain strong picks for active investors.
NYSE:XOMLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout? After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift. 🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm 🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning: US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare. If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio. The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock. 📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability. 📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1) Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control. Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel. EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum. If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await. ✅ Trade Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308 Stop-Loss: 3303 Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323 Stop-Loss: 3318 Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420 Stop-Loss: 3424 Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398 Stop-Loss: 3403 Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week? With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week. ✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction. Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head. Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY. Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses. Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term. Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart🧭 General Context (1D, Long-Term): The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025. ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth → decline → correction → potential consolidation/accumulation. 🔹 Market Structure (Price Action) 🔸 Trends: November 2023 – March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+ March 2024 – February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600 February 2025 – May 2025: dynamic rebound – probable trend change (new higher low + higher high) May – June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400–2,800 📉 Key Support and Resistance Levels Type Level Notes 🔴 Resistance ~2,800 – 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above 🟡 Resistance ~3,200 – 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024 🟢 Support ~2,300 – 2,400 Local lows in June 2025 🟢 Strong support ~1,600 – 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase) 📊 Technical indicators ✅ Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart): Currently in the oversold zone (~0–20) → may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards → possible rebound Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements 🔍 Technical formations ⚠️ Possible formations: Double Bottom: February–March 2025 → classic trend reversal formation Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present – ​​prices are moving in a slightly rising channel Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase) 📌 Summary – scenarios 🟢 Bullish scenario: Breakout of resistance ~2,800 → possible test of levels 3,200 – 3,400 USD Confirmation of a higher low → continuation of the uptrend Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone → potential for an uptrend 🔴 Bearish scenario: Drop below 2,300 USD → possible return to the area of ​​1,800–1,600 USD Breakout of the structure of higher lows Confirmation that the increase was only a correction 🧠 Final conclusions Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting. Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance. For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching. For investors: 1,600–1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by cryptodailyuk