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Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game: Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates. Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
ELLIOTT WAVE Forecast: Euro and Pound Under PressureHello Traders, From my previous short call on GBPUSD on the 13th of December (), I noted some economic indices that favours US dollar over GBP. The analysis is unfolding pretty well. The British pound (GBP) continues to face strong pressure from the U.S. dollar, causing it to lose its position after the impulsive breakout of the ending diagonal at 1.27035. This was expected, but we haven't reached the predicted target yet. With the Euro (euro) also expected to decline, it's unlikely the pound will recover. Looking at the currency pair, it seems the pound is about to drop more. This is due to a complex correction in the market trend. So, it's a good idea to stick with selling the pound (GBP). If the price drops below 1.2610 and stays there, I will consider selling more towards the final leg wave (Y). I will keep selling GBPUSD at 1.2610, and if the price goes below, I will sell more. My stop loss is set at 1.2635 and I aim to take profit at 1.2470 or lower. I will keep an eye on the market for any changes. Cheers and happy trading.
Short
by Samuel124
AUDCHF: Safe-Heaven Time After last week's joint military actions by the USA and UK against Houthi Rebels in the Red Sea, markets are exercising heightened caution amidst the potential for new conflicts to emerge. In such uncertain scenarios, safe-haven currencies like the Swiss Franc stand to benefit. Another pivotal factor supporting this notion is the recent elections in Taiwan, where the USA-backed candidate emerged victorious, indicating that the island may seek support from Washington against China's territorial claims, as hinted by President Xi in his New Year speech. Adding to the rationale is China's slower-than-expected recovery, underscored by last week's discouraging economic data on inflation. This suggests that the world's second-largest economy continues to grapple with challenges in its recovery process. From a technical analysis perspective: Entry is positioned at the previous support, now functioning as resistance. Stop Loss is set at 1 ATR (Average True Range) above the entry point. Take Profit is targeted at the next support level, maintaining a 1:2 Risk-Reward ratio. Stay tuned for more trades and analyses like this, and feel free to share your opinions in the comments below! 📈🤔
Short
by Elite_Forex
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP - LONG THEN BIG SHORTIn examining the technical analysis (TA) of Lockheed Martin Corp's stock chart, we observe discernible indications of a potential trend reversal. Notably, multiple Bearish daily Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are present, accompanied by a Bearish Order Block (OB) situated just beneath the preceding major peak of $508.10, as delineated in the accompanying chart by blue boxes. From a fundamental analysis perspective, information from reliable sources indicates imminent challenges within a specific segment of the company's operations. These challenges, poised to become public knowledge shortly, could substantially impact Lockheed Martin's growth trajectory if not adeptly managed. The root of these challenges can be traced back to 'a program', which is on the brink of exposure due to impending government intervention. Should the company persist in a non-transparent approach to these issues, we anticipate a marked increase in bearish market sentiment favoring selling, potentially depressing the stock's value significantly below its support level at $393.77. Conversely, if Lockheed Martin's management adeptly capitalizes on the significant commercial and public relations opportunities—particularly concerning the mass production of a groundbreaking, revolutionary product—we foresee a robust market sentiment driving the stock well beyond its all-time high of $508.10. One of the new opportunities could emerge from diversifying Lockheed Martin Corp's business model, potentially exploring manufacturing sectors beyond their traditional scope, or through strategic collaborations with a company (example: 'Tesla') known for their innovation and lateral thinking, thus broadening the range of their market engagement. Currently, it is imperative for investors, including myself, to encourage Lockheed Martin to engage proactively with governmental entities and the broader community. Such engagement could pave the way for a brighter communal future, concurrently augmenting the intrinsic value of the company. Assuming the mass production of this innovative product materializes, it could potentially double the company's value in a relatively short timeframe. This projection might appear ambitious, but the potential is undeniable once fully comprehended. However, failure to seize this opportunity could precipitate considerable selling pressure, potentially triggering a significant market correction over time, with the potential to reach a critical support level of $119.95.
NYSE:LMTShort
by Market-Pip-Factory
3
Understanding Initial Jobless Claims as a Market IndicatorIntroduction In the complex and multifaceted world of economic indicators, initial jobless claims hold a special place. As a measure of the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, this statistic offers a real-time glimpse into the health of the labor market, which in turn is a vital component of the overall economic landscape. This article delves into how initial jobless claims function as an indicator and their impact on the financial markets. Understanding Initial Jobless Claims Initial jobless claims refer to claims filed by individuals seeking to receive unemployment benefits after losing their job. These are reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor, providing a timely snapshot of labor market conditions. A lower number of claims typically signifies a strong job market, suggesting that fewer people are losing their jobs. Conversely, an increase in claims can indicate a weakening labor market, often a precursor to broader economic downturns. Initial Jobless Claims as an Economic Indicator Health of the Labor Market: The primary significance of initial jobless claims is its reflection of the labor market's health. A steady, low number of claims often correlates with job growth and declining unemployment rates, indicating a robust economy. Leading Indicator for the Economy: As a leading economic indicator, jobless claims can provide early signals about the direction of the economy. Spikes in claims can forewarn of economic contraction, while consistent decreases might indicate economic expansion. Consumer Spending: Since employment directly affects consumer income, initial jobless claims can also indirectly signal changes in consumer spending, a major driver of economic growth. Impact on Financial Markets Market Sentiment: Traders and investors closely watch initial jobless claims to gauge market sentiment. Fluctuations in these numbers can lead to immediate reactions in the stock, bond, and forex markets. Monetary Policy Implications: Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, consider labor market conditions when setting monetary policy. Rising jobless claims can lead to a more dovish policy stance (like lowering interest rates), while decreasing claims might justify tightening policies. Sector-Specific Implications: Certain sectors are more sensitive to changes in jobless claims. For instance, a rise in claims can negatively impact consumer discretionary stocks but might be favorable for defensive sectors like utilities or healthcare. Analyzing the Data Understanding initial jobless claims requires context. Seasonal factors, temporary layoffs, and unique economic events (like a pandemic) can skew data. Analysts often look at the four-week moving average to smooth out weekly volatilities for a clearer trend. Conclusion In conclusion, initial jobless claims serve as a crucial barometer for the economy and financial markets. Investors, policy makers, and economists alike monitor these figures for insights into labor market trends and the broader economic picture. As with any indicator, it's essential to consider jobless claims in conjunction with other data to fully understand the economic landscape.
ECONOMICS:USIJCEducation
by AlgoAlpha
Apollo Hospitals - Management Quality and Economic MoatNSE:APOLLOHOSP Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd, a prominent healthcare service provider in India, has shown significant management quality and a strong economic moat. Management Quality: Strategic Growth and Diversification: Apollo Hospitals has focused on expanding its services, including elective surgeries and diagnostics. This diversification and expansion into various healthcare segments highlight effective strategic planning. Financial Performance: The company has demonstrated robust financial growth over the years. Notably, there has been a substantial increase in net sales, EBITDA, and PAT (Profit After Tax), indicating a healthy financial status. This growth trajectory reflects strong operational capabilities and a successful business model. Operational Efficiency: The efficient operation of Apollo Hospitals is evident from the significant YoY growth in its Hospital segment and the Pharmacy business. The company has also entered into a 10-year commercial agreement with Amazon India, which is a strategic move to enhance its reach and operational efficiency. Economic Moat: Market Position and Brand Recognition: Apollo Hospitals is well-recognized in the healthcare industry, which contributes to its competitive advantage and customer loyalty. Integrated Business Model: The company's integrated business model, covering a wide range of services from primary to tertiary health requirements, strengthens its position in the healthcare sector. Operational Network: Apollo Hospitals' extensive operational network fuels its business growth, enabling it to serve a broad customer base effectively. Strengths and Weaknesses: Strengths: Strong operational performance and network. Growth initiatives that indicate potential for future expansion and development. Weaknesses: A noted decrease in working capital, which could impact business growth. Challenges such as the dearth of healthcare professionals and stringent industry regulations. In summary, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd exhibits strong management quality, marked by effective strategic planning, robust financial performance, and efficient operations. The company's economic moat is underpinned by its market position, integrated business model, and extensive operational network. While there are strengths in its operational performance and growth initiatives, the company must address issues related to working capital and navigate the challenges posed by regulatory environments and workforce management
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by amitlall_79
Gold Trade ChannelFor the last weeks, Gold has been closely trading in between the diagonal support and resistance. The question now is: Where is it going next? We can expect a good Risk to Reward in both directions. I will wait for a break in a certain direction and wait for the retest afterward. More likely after the Higher inflation data and tensions in the Red Sea with the Hauthi rebels spike up is expected. However, the dollar was showing resistance with the better-than-expected economic data last two weeks so consolidation is also on the table. What is your idea or view? Comment below and lets make a nice and positive discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Elite_Forex
(NSE:OCCL )Oriental Carbon on move up Market Share: # OCCL is the sole manufacturer of Insoluble Sulphur (IS) in the domestic market. Majority of demand for insoluble sulphur is derived from the automotive tyres industry. It enjoy a domestic market share of nearly 55%-60% and around 10% market share in the global market. OCCL has established itself as a preferred first/second supplier to all major tyre manufacturers in global markets Capacity as of FY20: # IS plant spread across 2 units (Dharuhera & SEZ Mundra) of 34,000 metric tonnes per annum. Upcoming Capex # Capacity expansion underway to expand the Insoluble Sulphur capacity by 11,000 MTPA & Sulphuric acid capacity by 42,000 MTPA, spread across two phases at its Dharuhera facility. Total project will cost 216 Cr, funded with a debt equity ratio of 2:1. Phase-I of IS capacity expansion by 5500 MTPA along with Sulphuric acid capacity at an outlay of 156 Cr is underway. Commissioning for the project has been pushed to July2021 from Q3FY21 as envisaged earlier for phase-1. reference: Screener.in
OLong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Better labour market is not equal better indices this time S&PFollowing last week's release of stronger-than-expected economic data, investors are recalibrating their expectations concerning aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The market sentiment is shifting, with investors scaling back their anticipation of imminent rate cuts. This change in perception is amplified by the surge in bond yields, indicating a rising consensus among institutional traders to build short positions. The rationale behind these actions lies in the growing belief that the Fed might maintain its current restrictive policy stance for a longer duration than initially anticipated. This shift is underpinned by the robust health of the labor market, as evidenced by declining unemployment rates, diminishing jobless claims, and notably higher Non-Farm Payrolls reported last week. The entry level aligns favorably for execution, especially just before the commencement of the London session. Two Take Profit (TP) levels have been identified for this trade. The initial TP is strategically positioned at the upcoming 4-hour (4H) support zone, reflecting a prudent approach to secure early gains. For a more assertive yet realistic approach, the second TP is set at the 200-day Moving Average (200MA) on the Daily time frame (TF). Historical backtesting indicates a tendency for the market to approach or touch the 200MA during anticipated drops similar to the current market scenario. This second TP level, although more aggressive, presents a viable opportunity based on historical trends. Comment your opinion below . . .
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Elite_Forex
The Start of the US Recession is NearCurrent economic, fundamental, and now technical data suggest that we are potentially nearing the start of the US Recession. Here are the technical factors that suggests the recession may have already begun⤵️ On the 1W chart, Price has rejected the $4.8k key resistance level on the 1D chart, the price is overbought and the RSI is indicating a bearish divergence And lastly, our momentum indicators have all turned bearish today, indicating that the downtrend has officially started, from a technical POV.
SP:SPXShort
by AlgoAlpha
1
BTC Long-Term Hello everyone, I invite you to check the long-term view of the situation of BTC in pair with USDT. For this purpose, we will start by defining the main downward trend line using the yellow line, from which the price, after going up, began to create the current upward trend channel marked in blue. Going further, using the Fib Retracement grid, which should be spread from the last price peak to the bottom, we will determine a very strong resistance at $48,634 at 0.618 Fib, the so-called golden Fibon point, at which the price had a pre-halving correction in previous cycles. Further, taking into account the latest local movement, we will spread the trend based fib extension grid, thanks to which we can expand the resistance to the resistance zone from $46,729 to $48,634. This is a zone with very strong resistance on the way to the new ATH. Looking the other way, you should determine the support points when the price starts to recover, similarly here, from the price bottom, we will spread the Fib Retracement grid and determine the support at the level of $34,566, and the second one at the level of $27,297. At this point, taking into account the recent increase, we will again unfold the fib retracement grid, thanks to which we can see additional support at the level of $37,990, and the support lower can be extended to the support zone from $34,566 to $33,092. Please look at the RSI indicator, which shows that there is a lot of room for further price recovery, and if we look at the STOCH indicator, it also shows room for recovery.
by cryptodailyuk