Gold, Further Short on the cardGold started a recent descending channel from 1947.555 since the FOMC press conference on 20th September 2023.
Price could be expected to retest the Daily EMA 200 and 4hr EMA-20 before possibly swinging down to challenge the low since 21st August at 1885.
The DXY could also further grow to 109 and ultimately to 113 as i mentioned in my last DXY idea publication. This can potentially bring a negative fundamental to GOLD and so watch out.
Fundamental-analysis
BTC/USDT 4H Interval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation of BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use blue lines to mark the sideways trend channel in which the price approached the upper limit. At this point, it is worth determining the height of the channel, because when the price confirms the upper exit and tests it, the increase may be similar to the height itself. Next, it is worth marking the local downward trend line from which the price dynamically went up.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, after unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, it is worth marking the support zone from $26,513 to $26,200 first, but when we fall below this zone, we have a second strong zone from $25,893 to $25,462, and then strong support at $24,909.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance areas in a similar way. First, we will mark a strong resistance zone, in front of which the price is located from $26,910 to $27,453, when the price breaks out of this zone and then holds it, we can see an attack on the resistance at the price of $28,151 before further increases.
At this point, it is worth turning on EMA Cross 200 and, as we can see, the price was above the moving average of 200, which indicates a return to the upward trend, but it is important that this level is positively tested.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still some energy left, the RSI shows a visible increase and there is some room for the price to go higher, but the STOCH index clearly shows that the upper limit has been clearly exceeded, which also resulted in a deceleration of the growth and a visible rebound in order to regain gathering energy.
Gold Target 1903: Still Available? Check AnalysisAs we mentioned in our previous analysis that our next target is 1903. Already our three targets 1928, 1923 and 1916 have been hit.
Because we believe that if the market breaks the 1929 resistance, the next targets are 1936 and 1945, and if the market breaks the 1916 support, our next targets are 1908 and 1903.
If the market breaks the resistance of 1929 and goes up, then the market will back up between 1936 or 1938 or go up between 1945 and 1947 and the target is still the same as 1903.
If you like our analysis, then you can boost our posts. You can leave a comment in the comment section.
Good luck and best wishes to everyone.
Now, gold goes up? or Still 1903 Target AvailableAs we said in one of our analyses yesterday, if the market breaks 1916, then the market will go down further. We saw that the market actually went down, and now the market has pulled back a bit and is up to 1916.
We expect the market to go lower now and meet our target of 1903.
If you like our analysis, then you can boost our posts. You can leave a comment in the comment section.
Good luck and best wishes to everyone.
US indices plunge, US30 below 30,000 ptsUS stock indices came under selling pressure on Friday following European markets close. As indices from the Old Continent finished the day significantly lower, now pessimism might be spotted on US stock exchanges. Currently all major US indices are plunging more than 2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) fell below 30,000 pts, which was a critical support earlier.
We can expect further test of the diagonal support (in yellow below) to be tested around thee 29000pts level.
Comment your opinion below...
Peter Lynch's Timeless Investing Principles
Introduction
Peter Lynch, one of the most celebrated investors of all time, is renowned for his remarkable track record managing the Fidelity Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990. Under his stewardship, the fund generated average annual returns of approximately 29%, outperforming the S&P 500 by a substantial margin. Lynch's success was not just a stroke of luck; it was the result of a well-thought-out investment philosophy and principles that remain relevant to this day. In this five-page article, we will delve into the core principles that underpin Peter Lynch's approach to investing and explore how these principles can be applied by individual investors seeking to achieve their financial goals.
I. Invest in What You Know
One of the foundational principles of Peter Lynch's investment philosophy is to "invest in what you know." This principle emphasizes the importance of understanding the companies and industries you invest in. Lynch believed that individual investors have a natural advantage over professional fund managers because they can leverage their everyday experiences and knowledge to identify promising investment opportunities.
Lynch often cited examples from his personal life to illustrate this principle. For instance, he famously discovered the potential of the Hanes Corporation when he noticed his wife buying their products. He reasoned that if his family liked the company's products, there was a good chance that others did too. This simple observation led to a highly profitable investment.
II. Long-Term Perspective
Lynch advocates taking a long-term perspective when it comes to investing. He discouraged frequent trading and market-timing, believing that such strategies often led to poor performance and excessive transaction costs. Lynch's approach focused on identifying fundamentally strong companies and holding them for the long haul.
He often remarked, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." This means that in the short term, stock prices can be influenced by emotions and market sentiment, but over the long term, the fundamentals of a company will ultimately determine its stock price.
III. The P/E Ratio
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is a fundamental metric Lynch frequently employed in his investment analysis. He believed that the P/E ratio could provide valuable insights into a company's valuation. A low P/E ratio might indicate an undervalued stock, while a high P/E ratio could suggest an overvalued one.
However, Lynch cautioned against relying solely on the P/E ratio. He emphasized the importance of considering a company's growth prospects, industry dynamics, and competitive position when evaluating its stock. A low P/E ratio might be justified if a company has strong growth potential.
IV. Diversification and Concentration
Peter Lynch had a nuanced approach to diversification. While he recognized the benefits of spreading risk across different investments, he also believed in concentration when you have high conviction in a particular investment opportunity. This approach is sometimes referred to as "diworsification" – spreading investments too thin, which can dilute returns.
Lynch advocated holding a concentrated portfolio of your best ideas while still maintaining a level of diversification to mitigate risk. He noted that over-diversification could limit potential gains and lead to mediocre performance.
V. Be Patient and Contrarian
Lynch's investment philosophy often aligned with being patient and contrarian. He suggested that investors should not be swayed by short-term market fluctuations or popular trends. Instead, they should have the patience to wait for the market to recognize the value of their investments.
Moreover, Lynch saw value in going against the crowd when necessary. He believed that some of the best investment opportunities could be found in out-of-favor industries or companies that others were avoiding. Contrarian thinking often led him to uncover hidden gems.
VI. Stay Informed and Do Your Homework
Despite his emphasis on simplicity and "investing in what you know," Lynch was a firm advocate of doing thorough research and staying informed. He advised investors to study financial statements, read annual reports, and understand the ins and outs of the companies they invested in.
Furthermore, Lynch recommended paying attention to economic indicators and industry trends. Being well-informed allowed him to make informed investment decisions and identify potential risks and opportunities.
Conclusion
Peter Lynch's principles of investing continue to resonate with both novice and experienced investors. His common-sense approach, emphasis on knowledge and patience, and focus on long-term value have stood the test of time. By adhering to these principles, individual investors can navigate the complex world of finance with confidence and increase their chances of achieving their financial goals. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just starting on your investment journey, Peter Lynch's timeless wisdom provides a solid foundation for success in the world of investing.
SPX 500USD, Long The SPX 500USD is breaking unto a yearly trendline support from 20th April 2020.
The market is ready to retest the weekly EMA-50 and Daily EMA 200 on that same support at 4257 which coincides with the yearly upside trendline support.
My bias is that the trend will be upside from the liquidity zone and yearly trendline support.
I am also expecting a bearish wave of the DXY in this week and coming weeks.
XAUUSD, Long from the liquidity zone (1915)Gold is currently reacting on a key level (1925) which has the Daily EMA-50, 4Hr EMA 200/50/20 on clusted there.
The 4hr candle closing below these EMAs could spark a short to the next liquidity zone (1915).
The 4Hr candle closing above the EMA-200/50/20 could spark buys to 1952 potentially but before the market will buy, i will expect some liquidity drops to 1915 before any potential long at the back of an expected bearish wave of the DXY.
Investing vs Trading: A Comparative AnalysisHello, money enthusiasts! Whether you're a Wall Street wolf or a Main Street newbie, today we're diving into the exhilarating world of finance to dissect two popular money-growing strategies - investing and trading. So, sit back, relax, and prepare to soak up some knowledge!
The Basics
Let's kick things off with some simple definitions. Think of investing as adopting a kittens. It requires time, patience, and care, but over the years, the bond strengthens and becomes incredibly rewarding.
On the flip side, trading is like pet-sitting. You look after someone else's pet for a short while, enjoy the perks, and then move on to the next one. It's all about quick interactions and constant change.
Risk & Reward: The Financial Tango
In the world of finance, risk and reward are partners, always moving together. Investing often involves lower risk and lower returns over a long haul. It's a slow waltz where you glide along with the rhythm of the market.
Trading, however, is a fast-paced salsa. It's high risk, high reward, and you need to keep up with the tempo. The possibility of quick gains is exciting, but remember - one misstep can lead to a financial tumble.
Time Commitment: Marathon vs Sprint
Investing is like running a marathon. Once you've done your research, picked your stocks (your training plan), and invested, you can pace yourself and wait for the finish line.
Trading, in contrast, is a series of sprints. It demands constant attention, quick decisions, and the stamina to keep going. You need to be on your toes, ready to sprint when the starting gun fires.
Skills & Knowledge: Driving vs Racing
Investing generally requires a basic understanding of a company’s fundamentals, kind of like driving a car. You know the basics, you follow the rules, and you get to your destination safely.
Trading, however, is like racing. It requires an in-depth understanding of market trends, technical analysis, and financial charts. You need to know your vehicle inside out, anticipate the moves of other drivers, and make split-second decisions.
Emotion & Stress: Meditation vs Thrill Ride
Investing is akin to a meditation session. It's slow, steady, and although it might seem boring at times, it's beneficial in the long run.
Trading, on the other hand, is like a thrill ride. It's exhilarating, nerve-wracking, and requires a strong stomach. But for some, the thrill is part of the appeal!
In conclusion, whether you choose to invest or trade depends on your risk appetite, time commitment, knowledge level, and how much excitement you want from your money. Neither approach is inherently better—they're just different strategies to reach financial growth.
So, are you the patient pet owner, nurturing your investment over time? Or are you the dynamic pet-sitter, always looking for the next opportunity? Whichever path you choose, remember to stay informed, stay calm, and may your financial journey be prosperous. Happy money managing!
ETH/BTC - Flippening ... What Flippening ???My analysis of the ETHBTC chart suggests that there will be no Flippening, neither soon nor ever, an idea which I hope you will challenge with tough questions. After all, this venue exists to arouse the reverse-engineers and to provoke the thinkers to do what we do best.
As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, and this forecast is no exception.
Although my trading tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION, this is not a trade, per se, but the consummation of my understanding of the future of Ethereum as a "commodity".
Furthermore, I am preparing the charts of XRP/ETH and AMP/ETH as part of the complete analysis. Now that I have enough followers for live-streaming eligibility (many thanks!), I intend to do a recurring weekly show on prospecting within the cryptosphere, where those charts and others will be showcased regularly.
First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
Dollar Index (DXY): Important Resistance Ahead! 💵
Dollar Index is currently testing a significant resistance cluster 104.85 - 105.50.
The reaction of the price to that area will determine a further direction of the Index.
Bullish breakout of that and a weekly candle close above will confirm a long-term bullish reversal, with a highly probable consiquent bullish rally.
Alternatively, watch a rising parallel channel on a daily.
Its support breakout will initiate a correctional movement.
I will post the update once I spot a solid confirmation.
For now, stay patient and wait for the reaction.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD: Daily Analysis |Bullish Pattern|There are many considerations that can be made about Gold, and today we share some of them.
In this geopolitical and economic context, Gold is an important pawn on the chessboard. If we want to understand where the price could go in the coming months, we need to understand why we got this far today (as I write the Spot price is 1925).
💡 What is really supporting prices well?
The answer is very simple, operators have many doubts and uncertainties, so they buy gold, especially as long as US 10Y remains bullish:
(Click on Analysis below)
💲 The US Dollar is also important in this game, and in the coming months it could even surprise us...:
(Click on Analysis below)
📈 Technical Analysis
Having said this, from a technical point of view, if we look at daily chart, we do not exclude a bullish harmonic structure with an interesting potential target around 2000.
🔏 Risk Management:
As we showed in our latest intraday analysis, we went Long the last bearish leg on 1H chart, so it will only be necessary to move stop loss to B/E:
(Click on Setup below)
🔴 What could cause this to fail?
What could cause this to fail?
The FED's interest rate decision and inflation data are expected next week, these events could actually change this scenario.
In conclusion, even if this analysis will be correct, the path will be long and full of obstacles, so it will always be necessary to look for intraday supports and potential Reversal Patterns on small time frame every day.
Thanks for your attention.
Trade with care
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ETH/USDT 1D Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH pair to USDT chart, also on a one-day time frame. First, we can use the yellow line to mark the upward trend in which the price dropped. We can also mark EMA Cross 200, under which the price is constantly moving, which confirms that it will remain in a downtrend.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark supports, and here we see that the price has remained in a strong support zone from $1,608 to $1,483, but when we fall below this zone we can see a drop to the support level of $1,304 and further towards a very strong support. at $1,076.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here we see that the price is struggling to break the resistance level at $1,641, then we have resistance at $1,735, and then we mark a visible resistance zone from $1,813 to $1,889, and then a second very strong zone from $1,999 to $2,140.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for the move, the RSI, despite the increase, has a lot of room for the price to grow, but the STOCH indicator confirms the consumption of energy, which confirms the sideways trend, and what's more, it can give a reaction to the price in order to gain energy.
Daily BTC/USDT Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the upward trend line from which the price came out at the bottom, while the local orange line can mark the local downward trend line. When we turn on EMA Cross 200, we can see that we are currently making a second attempt to return to the upward trend, but there is a visible struggle to positively adjust the level.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, first of all, it is worth marking the support zone that kept the price from falling further from $25,670 to $24,235, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $22,195, and then we have strong support at $19,519.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $26,497 to $27,517, where the price is currently fighting at the upper limit, when it is overcome, we have a second strong zone from $29,172 to $30,330. When we manage to overcome these two zones, we will go towards the resistance at $31,764.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that we still have energy to continue the movement, on the RSI we have a visible increase to the upper part of the range but there is still room for the price to go higher, however, on the STOCH indicator we have visible energy consumption, which may indicate a sideways trend or an attempt to recover and, consequently, a price drop.
Bullish Breakout $147.950
Fundamental Forces at Play
Hawkish Shift by the Bank of Japan:
Investors and traders have been closely monitoring the evolving monetary policies of the Bank of Japan. In the pipeline is a potential pivot towards a more hawkish stance in the coming months. This shift towards a tighter monetary policy framework has raised eyebrows and led to a flurry of discussions among market participants.
US Economic Concerns and Interest Rates:
The landscape is further complicated by concerns surrounding the economic performance of the United States. Expectations of lower US interest rates in the near future have loomed large, adding an additional layer of uncertainty to the mix. These developments have ignited expectations of the Japanese Yen gaining strength against the US Dollar. Projections even suggest that by late 2024, the Yen could appreciate to an impressive level of 133.00 against its American counterpart. This tantalizing prospect has certainly attracted short-term speculators, positioning themselves to reap the rewards of an anticipated Yen resurgence.
A Closer Look at the US Economy:
However, before we make assumptions, it's crucial to examine the economic landscape. The US economy is demonstrating remarkable resilience and strength. Key indicators, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and robust retail sales figures, have surpassed expectations, underscoring robust consumer demand and spending habits. While new hiring may show signs of slowing, the absence of a surge in layoffs is making a substantial contribution to ongoing economic activity.
Inflation and Interest Rate Sentiment:
A pivotal point of interest revolves around the persistently rising trend in inflation. The release of United States data has triggered an immediate shift in sentiment concerning potential interest rate hikes. This twist in the narrative keeps traders on their toes, mindful of how central banks may react in the face of inflationary pressures.
Technical Insights and the COT Report
As we navigate these fundamental intricacies, a closer look at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an equally compelling narrative, offering insights into growing concerns and shifts in market sentiment.
Persistent Increase in Open Interest:
Over the past four weeks, open interest for the USD/JPY has consistently risen, signaling heightened market activity and increased interest in this currency pair.
Smart Money Adjustments:
A noteworthy development is the behavior of smart money, represented by Asset Managers/Institutional and Leveraged Funds. These 'buy-side' players, including pension funds, insurance companies, hedge funds, and money managers, have been gradually unwinding their net long positions. This cautious approach suggests institutional players may anticipate a change in market dynamics.
Small Speculators Remain Engaged:
In contrast, small speculators are still actively involved, striving to sustain bullish sentiment. Their persistence in the market indicates that there is a segment of traders who continue to believe in the USD/JPY's potential for upward movement.
The Path Forward and Interest Rate Sentiment: The data from the COT report paints a picture of growing concerns and positioning adjustments. As open interest rises and smart money proceeds with unwinding net long positions, the path forward for the USD/JPY may significantly depend on market sentiment surrounding interest rate hikes. If central banks choose to tighten monetary policy, this could be a catalyst for further USD strength and, consequently, appreciation of the Yen.
Technical Analysis and Upcoming Opportunities
As we approach the highly anticipated FOMC meeting on the 20th, technical traders are meticulously crafting strategies to capitalize on potential bullish movements in the USD/JPY currency pair.
Here's a glimpse into their playbook:
Breakout Traders Are on Alert: Observing the order book, one can't help but notice a cluster of buy orders at 147.950, a historically tested level. Adding to the intrigue, a take-profit order is positioned at 148.345. Breakout traders are poised to seize the moment should the price surge beyond 147.950.
Momentum and the RSI Indicator:
Momentum traders are closely tracking the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which currently suggests room for further upward movement. This indicator takes on greater significance if the price successfully breaches the 147.950 level. Such a breakthrough could trigger a feedback trading loop, propelling the USD/JPY to even greater heights.
The Upcoming Data Catalyst:
Traders are keenly aware of the impending data release for Japan's Balance of Trade. Market expectations point to a deficit of ¥-659 billion. Should this expectation hold, it may exert additional downward pressure on the Japanese Yen, fueling the USD/JPY's upward momentum.
AUD/JPY: A Currency Pair Poised for GrowthAUD/JPY currency pair is trading at around the marked levels. Please read the analysis on the chart, as well as the explanations in the comments. Thank you.
Technical Analysis:
On the 30-minute chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
The Elliot Wave Analysis in this case shows a continuation of the bullish impulse. I marked the first potential level of the Wave 5. It can extend after that level, or a correction may start (short term).
On the 4-hour chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
On the daily chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
Overall, the fundamental and technical analysis suggests that the AUD/JPY currency pair is likely to continue trading in a bullish trend in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Australian economy is currently facing a number of challenges, including a slowdown in China, rising inflation, and a trade deficit. However, the Australian economy is still expected to grow at a modest pace in 2023.
The Japanese economy is also facing a number of challenges, including an aging population, a shrinking workforce, and a high debt burden. However, the Japanese economy is expected to avoid recession in 2023.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
The JXY: Will It Continue to Rise?My first analysis about the JXY. It will be done periodically from now on to keep a fresh perspective over one of the most important currencies in the world.
The Japanese Currency Index (JXY) is a stock market index that measures the performance of the Japanese yen against a basket of six other major currencies: the US dollar, the euro, the British pound, the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar, and the Australian dollar. The JXY is calculated by weighting the currencies in the basket according to their relative importance to the Japanese economy.
Technical Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, the JXY is currently trading around its 50-day moving average (MA) and its 200-day MA. This suggests that the index will most likely reverse the trend on this smaller timeframe soon. However, the JXY is also facing resistance at its 50-day MA. If the JXY cannot break through this resistance level, it could fall back to its 200-day MA.
On the 4-hour chart, the JXY is also trading around its 50-day MA and its 200-day MA. However, the JXY is also facing resistance at its 50-day MA. If the JXY cannot break through this resistance level, it could fall back to its 200-day MA.
Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese economy is the third-largest in the world, but it has been struggling in recent years due to a number of factors, including an aging population and a declining birth rate. The Japanese government has implemented a number of policies to stimulate the economy, but these have not been successful in boosting growth.
The Bank of Japan has also taken steps to support the economy by keeping interest rates low. However, this has led to a weakening of the Japanese yen. The JXY has fallen by over 20% against the US dollar in the past year.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Euro Currency Index: The Future of the Eurozone?The Euro Currency Index is following the price action that I talked about in my last analysis.
For now, not big changes when it comes to technical analysis.
Technical analysis
On the 30-minute chart, EXY is trading in a descending channel. This suggests that the bears are in control and that the index is likely to continue to decline in the short term. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
On the 4-hour chart, EXY is also trading in a descending channel. However, the channel is starting to widen, which suggests that the bears may be losing momentum. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
On the daily chart, EXY is trading below its 200-day moving average. This is a bearish signal, and it suggests that the index is likely to continue to decline in the medium term. The next key support level is at 100.00, followed by 99.00.
Fundamental analysis
The eurozone economy is facing a number of challenges in 2023. The war in Ukraine has caused energy prices to soar, which is putting a strain on businesses and consumers. Inflation is also at a multi-decade high, which is eroding household purchasing power. In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates in the coming months, which could further weigh on economic growth.
Despite these challenges, there are some positive signs for the eurozone economy. The unemployment rate is at a record low, and consumer confidence is starting to rebound. Additionally, the ECB has announced a number of measures to support the economy, such as the new Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI).
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
✅ Daily Market Analysis - TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 19, 2023Key events:
Eurozone - CPI (YoY) (Aug)
USA - Building Permits (Aug)
On Monday, the major stock market indices on Wall Street displayed fluctuating movements, with particular attention on energy stocks closely following the surging prices of crude oil. Investors were also eagerly awaiting the upcoming interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.
Within the sectors of the S&P 500, the energy sector emerged as the top performer, posting a gain of 1.1%. This gain reflected the strengthening of crude oil prices, which approached the significant threshold of $95 per barrel due to ongoing supply constraints.
The continued upward trajectory in crude oil prices has raised concerns about the persistence of inflationary pressures, despite a series of recent economic data releases surpassing expectations. While these positive economic indicators have eased concerns of an imminent recession, they have not triggered fears of an interest rate hike in September.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average managed a marginal gain of 0.02%, equivalent to an increase of 6 points, while the Nasdaq remained relatively stable with a slight 0.01% uptick. The S&P 500 concluded the day with a modest gain of 0.1%.
NASDAQ index daily chart
SPX index daily chart
DJI index daily chart
Apple, trading under the ticker symbol AAPL on the NASDAQ, experienced a notable uptick in its stock price, surging by more than 1%. This increase has garnered optimism from certain sectors of Wall Street, particularly with regards to the heightened demand anticipated for Apple's recently unveiled iPhone 15. The optimism is particularly pronounced for the premium iPhone Pro and Pro Max variants, which is a notable departure from the initial reception of the iPhone 14.
Apple stock daily chart
However, it's important to note that not all perspectives on Wall Street are as optimistic about the iPhone 15's debut. Barclays, for example, pointed out that initial pre-order data suggested a potentially challenging cycle for the iPhone 15 in China. In this market, it seems that demand is tilting towards the more affordable variant of the iPhone 15.
Shifting our focus to the financial markets, the GBP/USD pair has once again concluded a trading session below the critical 200-day moving average (SMA 200). What's particularly noteworthy is that this breach occurred not only during today's trading session but also in the previous week.
GBP/USD + SMA 200 daily chart
The upcoming Bank of England (BOE) decision slated for Thursday adds an element of intrigue to the financial landscape. While market expectations include a 25-basis-point rate hike and an expansion of quantitative tightening measures by the BOE, there is also the potential for dovish commentary from the central bank. Such remarks could exert additional downward pressure on the GBP.
In the realm of precious metals, gold prices have experienced a three-day uptrend, surging to $1,930.00 per Troy ounce as of Monday. This rally appears to be fueled by investors seeking a safe haven amid uncertainties surrounding significant events scheduled for later this week.
XAU/USD daily chart
Investors are currently honing their attention on the imminent decision from the US Federal Reserve, an event widely anticipated to result in the maintenance of the interest rate at the current 5.5% per annum. What will likely be of primary interest during this event is the Fed's evaluation of the economy and inflation, as this will provide crucial insights into the central bank's potential future actions.
The allure of gold has been further enhanced by the abrupt depreciation of the yuan exchange rate, rendering the precious metal even more appealing as a safe-haven asset.
In the currency market, the dollar index is presently holding its ground, maintaining a position just below a 6-month high as of Monday.
US Dollar Currency Index daily chart
Taking a step back to examine the broader perspective, recent short-term movements have been characterized by a recurring sideways pattern for the third consecutive week. This period of sideways trading has seen bullish momentum repeatedly encountering significant resistance.
The overall trajectory of the dollar hinges significantly on the actions of the Federal Reserve. Should the Fed opt to follow in the footsteps of the European Central Bank and announce the conclusion of its tightening cycle, possibly hinting at the potential for rate cuts beginning in mid-2024, it could result in a weakening of the dollar.
On the flip side, one should not dismiss the prospect of a hawkish stance from the Fed. Recent data indicates that the US economy remains robust, boasting a tight labor market. While inflation remains elevated, there are signs of it moving on a downward trajectory. In this scenario, it becomes plausible that the Fed might pursue one more interest rate hike before the year's end, opting to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period until inflation retraces to its 2% target. In such a scenario, the greenback would likely reap the benefits of a stronger position.
Shifting our attention to the Australian dollar, it continues to display a lackluster performance as the new trading week kicks off. During Monday's European session, AUD/USD was trading at 0.6438, indicating a modest 0.11% increase.
AUD/USD daily chart
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has recently published the minutes from its most recent meeting. During this meeting, the RBA chose to maintain the status quo for the third consecutive month, leaving the official cash rate at 4.10%. This decision occurred in the final meeting led by former Governor Philip Lowe, who acknowledged that inflation had "reached its peak" but was still "uncomfortably high and is likely to remain so for an extended period." This statement left room for potential future rate hikes. However, prevailing market sentiment appears to lean towards a more dovish outlook, with expectations that the RBA may consider lowering rates at some point in 2024. Investors will be carefully analyzing the minutes for any indications or insights into the RBA's prospective rate decisions.
ETH/USDT 4HInterval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH pair to USDT chart, also on a four-hour time frame. First of all, we can use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel from which we could see the exit from the top and we are currently moving above the local upward trend line.
However, it is worth noting that at this point it was not possible to break out of the moving average of 200, which indicates that the downward trend remains.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. To mark supports, we will use the trend based fib extension tool, and as you can see, first we have a support zone from $1,618 to $1,587, then we will mark the second visible zone from $1,563 to $1,537, and then the third strong zone from $1,500 to $1,454.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $1,652, which has currently rejected the price increase, then we have to overcome a strong resistance zone from $1,685 to $1,727, only after going higher and testing this zone will we see further increases.
Index CHOP indicates that energy has been used. On the RSI, despite room for growth, the correction on BTC also had an impact on the entire market, which resulted in a price recovery, while the STOCH indicator showed energy consumption, which resulted in a quick recovery.
CUP AND HANDLE• weekly chart analysis
• cup and handle chart pattern breakout
• one year to breakout cup and handle pattern
• stock treading at the 557 level and 530–535 as a breakout of the pattern.
• target for the chart patterns 680
fundamental analysis
positive for the stock
1) PE RATIO < INDUSRTY PE
2) PEG BELOW 1
3) ROE > 15%
4) ROCE NEAREST 15%
Business Segments
Edible Oil and Vanaspati
Distillery
Real Estate
NEGATIVE FOR THE STOCK
1) DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO APROX 1
2) EV/EBITDA HIGH
3) NO ONE MUTUAL FUND AND FII BUYING