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Fundamental Market Analysis for March 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, started the new week on a weak note and has already cancelled out most of Friday's gains to more than a one-week high. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, continues to post relative gains amid expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Bank of England (BoE). That said, concerns over US President Donald Trump's retaliatory tariffs and their impact on the UK economy may keep GBP bulls away from new bets. In addition, geopolitical risks could limit deeper USD losses and limit GBP/USD gains. Meanwhile, signs that the disinflation process in the US has stalled, reinforcing the case for the Fed to take a wait-and-see approach to future interest rate cuts, could also serve as a tailwind for the USD. This could help to further contain GBP/USD and warrant some caution before positioning for a resumption of the recent uptrend from levels below 1.2100, or the yearly low reached on 13 January. The main focus will be on the closely watched monthly US employment data on Friday. The widely-reported Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figure will shape expectations on the path of the Fed rate cut and drive demand for the dollar in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2610, SL 1.2560, TP 1.2690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2425 2nd Support – 1.2316 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 153.90 2nd Resistance – 155.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Bitcoin Cash at Critical Trendline – Next Big Move?Bitcoin Cash (BCH/USDT) is currently showing signs of a strong reversal after testing a key support zone and the ascending trendline. This level has acted as critical support in previous price cycles, making it an important area to watch. The price has rebounded from the strong support line, which aligns with the accumulation zone from early 2023. Additionally, BCH remains within a long-term descending channel, with the upper resistance line acting as a ceiling for previous bullish moves.
Long
by unichartz
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 28, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD remains under selling pressure near 1.0390 during Asian trading on Friday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid risk-off sentiment. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index will take centre stage later on Friday. Late Thursday, US President Donald Trump said that 25 per cent duties on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on March 4, rather than April 2 as he had anticipated the day before. Trump also said goods from China would be subject to an additional 10 per cent duties. He also promised this week to impose 25 per cent tariffs on shipments from the European Union. Tariff uncertainty from Trump is likely to weigh on the common currency in the near term. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Thursday she expects the US central bank's interest rate policy to be put on hold for now amid a search for evidence that inflationary pressures are easing and returning to the 2 per cent target. Meanwhile, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said late Wednesday that the Fed should keep interest rates on hold, which continues to put downward pressure on inflation. The Fed's cautious stance could boost the US Dollar and serve as a headwind for EUR/USD. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0380, SL 1.0430, TP 1.0300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy EUR/CAD High Impact NewsThe EUR/CAD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.5086 2nd Resistance – 1.5124 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
XAG/USD Bearish Flag (27.2.25)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 31.06 2nd Support – 30.66 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
NZD/CAD -H1 Chart - Wedge Breakout (27.02.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8101 2nd Support – 0.8068 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
Key Liquidity Zone in Play – Sniper Bounce to ATH? (XAU/USD)Alright GTK Family! 🏆 Here are our key zones for today: 🔹 4H Bullish OB Holding… For Now – Price is currently respecting our 4H Bullish OB, but the chances of breaking through aren’t slim considering the extreme bearish momentum from market open. 📉 🔹 Liquidity Grab & Bounce? – If price breaks below the OB, I expect a sweep of liquidity at the Feb 10 Weekly Low, followed by a strong push back up towards ATH. 💧🚀 🔹 Bearish Scenario? – If price rejects upwards, the next key resistance is the 4H Bearish FVG, which could be a selling opportunity, but it would be a riskier trade. ⚠️ 📍 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ 4H Bullish OB – Holding as support (for now) 🟢 ✅ Feb 10 Weekly Low – Major liquidity zone 💧 ❌ 4H Bearish FVG – Potential sell area, but risky 🔴 🎯 ATH Target – If bulls regain control 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by GoldTraderKaan
EUR/USD - H1- Chart - Ascending Triangle (27.02.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0433 2nd Support – 1.0405 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
38
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 27, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday, although it remains near the highest level since October 2024 reached earlier this week. Comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda last week about a potential increase in regular bond purchases led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. In addition, concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and a positive tone on risks proved to be key factors undermining the yen exchange rate. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid growing market confidence that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year amid rising inflation in Japan. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell has made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates. What's more, previously released U.S. consumer inflation data suggests that the Fed doesn't have much room to cut rates this year. This, in turn, pushed US Treasury bond yields up, widening the yield differential between the US and Japan and limiting the upside potential for the low-yielding Yen. Trading recommendation: BUY 149.200, SL 148.800, TP 150.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2904 2nd Support – 2880 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 25, 2025 EURUSDThe rise in US inflation data last week triggered a new wave of risk aversion among investors. Now their attention is focused on the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, which is expected later this week. Traders are hoping that the rise in US core inflation will quickly fade early in the year and not lead to a new protracted battle with ‘transitory’ inflation that will be too high for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to go for a rate cut. Market participants expecting a faster pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025 are already feeling the pressure as US President Donald Trump tries to ignite a global trade war. In addition, another spike in inflation could extinguish any remaining hopes of a rate cut. On Monday, President Trump repeated his threats of imposing high tariffs on Canada and Mexico, warning that the tariffs were still due to take effect ‘next month’ after he recently caved in to tariff pressure and granted deferrals to nearly all countries he has targeted for import taxes on their citizens. German consumer price index (CPI) data as well as retail sales activity figures are also due out on Friday. The German data, which is an indicator of EU-wide data, is likely to attract the attention of some traders on Friday, but the key factor influencing the market will be PCE inflation in the US. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0500, SL 1.0550, TP 1.0400
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
HAG Long: A trade based on the current geopolitical climateHENSOLDT AG ( HAG ) continues to respect its long-term ascending channel, with price action now testing multi-year resistance. Heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US, EU, and Russia, coincide with recent upward momentum. Historically, international conflicts have bolstered defence equities, and the current macro backdrop remains consistent with that theme. A sustained breakout above resistance could signal a shift in market expectations, while the underlying trend reflects the broader geopolitical landscape. Ironically, the chart represents the doomsday clock better than the clock itself. The irony doesn't end there, for global peace lies below the support for this stock. As soon as supporters of this stock take their hands off the wheel, peace inches closer. Bears on defence stocks bring peace. 🏝️ For now, it's time to be a bull. Probably.
XETR:HAGLong
by wildhorse3
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (24.2.25)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2567 2nd Support – 1.2515 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 24, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to strengthen against its U.S. counterpart last week and pushed the USD/JPY pair down to 149.000, its lowest level since early December, during Monday's Asian session. Japan's strong Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Friday complemented last week's encouraging Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth report. This, along with expectations that solid wage growth will drive consumer spending, suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates more aggressively than originally anticipated and continues to support the Japanese Yen. In addition, the emergence of new US Dollar (USD) selling is favorable for the JPY and has contributed to the USD/JPY pair declining for the fourth consecutive day, marking the seventh day of negative movement in the last eight. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda showed willingness to increase government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise sharply. This in turn led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields from the multi-year peak reached last week, which triggered some intraday JPY selling and helped the currency pair bounce more than 50 pips from the daily low. Trading recommendation: SELL 149.200, SL 149.800, TP 148.300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold's Next Move – 3000 in Sight or Deeper Correction First?🔥 Gold Market Analysis – Are We Heading for a New ATH? 🔥 📈 Extreme Bullish Momentum – But Signs of Exhaustion? Last week, price showed strong bullish momentum, pushing to a new all-time high (ATH). However, despite this strength, we have also seen deep pullbacks, signaling that sellers are active at key levels. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) has been tested 3 times – Each time, price has bounced significantly, with one of those bounces even leading to a new ATH. ✅ Friday’s reaction off this zone suggests buyers are still defending it, but price is struggling to push up as aggressively as before. ✅ Liquidity Sweep & Strong Rejection – We swept the 4H Asia high, tapped into a 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940) just above the liquidity grab, and then dumped 100+ pips 📉. 🔮 Possible Scenarios Moving Forward: 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation 🚀 Price could attempt to fill the 4H Bullish FVG (2923 - 2915) and then bounce back up, targeting the ATH again. If we break above the 1H Bearish OB (2947 - 2940), it could trigger further bullishness, potentially driving price towards 3000. 📌 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback Before Another Push Up 🔻 If price fails to hold the 4H FVG, we could see a drop down to the 4H Bullish OB (2886 - 2877), where buyers are likely waiting. A strong reaction from this zone could set up a higher low formation, allowing bulls to re-enter and push towards the ATH again. 💡 Final Thoughts: The market is at a critical point, and liquidity sweeps are playing a major role in shaping price action. If we see a clean break above resistance, 3000+ could be in sight. However, failure to hold key demand zones might lead to deeper corrections before another bullish leg. 🔥 Stay patient, follow the levels, and trade smart! 🔥
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldTraderKaan
GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 185.04 2nd Support – 182.94 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 21, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair declined after hitting a two-month high of 1.26740 on Friday and was trading near 1.26700 at the time of writing during the Asian session. However, the pair strengthened as the US Dollar (USD) struggled amid weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed). Initial jobless claims in the US rose to 219,000 in the week ended February 14, above the expected 215,000. Jobless claims also rose slightly to 1.869 million, just below the forecast of 1.87 million. Additionally, GBP/USD rose amid improving market sentiment after US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing market fears over tariffs. On Thursday, Fed chief Adriana Kugler said U.S. inflation still has “some way to go” before it reaches its 2% target, acknowledging uncertainty in the future, Reuters reported. Meanwhile, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem emphasized the potential risks of stagflation and rising inflation expectations. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic left open the possibility of two rate cuts this year depending on economic conditions. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.26700, SL 1.27300, TP 1.25600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AUD/USD Triangle Breakout (19.2.25)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6391 2nd Resistance – 0.6404 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
GBP/JPY Triangle Pattern (14.2.25)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 189.83 2nd Support – 188.42 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16