Gold (XAU/USD) : Bullish Setup with Key Demand Zone🔹 Trend Line & Demand Zone 📈
* The trend line shows an upward trend. 🚀
* The demand zone 🟦 acts as strong support, where buyers are likely to step in.
🔹 Price Action 🔍
* Price is bouncing off the demand zone ➡️ Bullish Signal 📊🔥
* Higher lows forming, indicating potential upward momentum.
🔹 Trade Setup 🎯
✅ Entry Point: Near the demand zone 🟦
❌ Stop Loss: 🔽 3,099.26 (Below demand zone)
🎯 Target Point: ⬆️ 3,148.58 (Key resistance area)
🔹 Expected Movement 🏆
* A slight pullback 📉 before a strong push up 📈💪
* If price holds the demand zone, 🚀 potential rally ahead!
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio ⚖️
* Favorable trade setup ✅ High reward, controlled risk 🎯
🔹 Final Verdict 🔥
📊 Bullish Bias ✅ As long as demand zone holds!
🚨 Warning: If price breaks below 3,099.26, expect further downside!
Fundamental-analysis
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD saw a bullish spike on Wednesday after the Trump administration announced tariffs that were less severe than many investors expected given President Donald Trump's flurry of tariff threats over the past 72 days. While the specific tariff proposals are unclear, U.S. consumers should prepare for flat 10 percent tariffs on all imports, significant 25 percent tariffs on all automobiles and auto parts, and “reciprocal” tariffs imposed at different rates depending on the country.
In addition, Trump has reiterated his intention to impose additional tariffs on goods such as copper, microchips, and other important imported consumer goods that are vital to the U.S. economy. As these tariffs are likely to drive up consumer prices in the coming months and there is no obvious alternative in the market to obtain foreign goods without incurring high import duties, inflationary pressures are expected to rise soon and persist longer than desired. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, the uncertainty of the Trump administration's trade policy is likely to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period beyond previous expectations.
European economic indicators are likely to remain moderately light for the rest of the trading week. Meanwhile, new US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected this Friday. The NFP report could have a significant impact on the markets as the US economy moves into a post-tariff phase, and the March labor statistics will be a key indicator of the impact of the Trump administration's tariff strategy.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.09100, SL 1.08400, TP 1.10300
ADP in Focus: Will Strong Jobs Data Trigger Gold Pullback?🟡 GOLD MARKET BRIEF – Early Asian Surge Meets Resistance Ahead of Key US Jobs Data
Gold kicked off the day with a sharp rally during the Asian session, driven by consistent demand from Asian and Middle Eastern investors — a pattern we’ve seen forming repeatedly during early sessions lately.
However, price reacted swiftly at the 3130–3135 resistance zone, exactly as mapped out in yesterday’s trading plan. With sellers stepping in again, my outlook remains:
🔻 Look for reaction-based SELL opportunities in the Asian and London sessions, especially if price pulls back into key resistance.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
✅ As always: Wait for the breakout — then trade the retest in the confirmed direction.
📰 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes today will be on the US ADP Non-Farm Employment report, which tends to offer early clues ahead of Friday’s NFP.
Should the data come in stronger than expected, USD could gain traction — likely applying downward pressure on Gold, in line with our target zone around 308x–307x.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148
🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100
SL: 3096
TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
📌 Caution: With ADP on deck during the US session, expect a spike in volatility.
Stick to clear levels, protect capital, and trade with discipline — not emotion.
Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (02.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0736
2nd Support – 1.0707
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Fundamental Market Analysis for April 2, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fails to capitalise on the previous day's modest gains against its US counterpart and attracts fresh sellers during Wednesday's Asian session. The USD/JPY pair, however, remains in the range it has been in since the beginning of this week as traders await a new catalyst before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. As such, attention will remain focused on US President Donald Trump's announcement of retaliatory tariffs later today.
Meanwhile, speculation that the slowdown in the economy caused by the tariffs may force the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to keep policy steady for now is undermining the yen. However, investors seem convinced that the BoJ will continue to raise interest rates amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the growing confidence that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June, and should support the lower-yielding Japanese Yen.
Trade recommendation: SELL 150.00, SL 150.90, TP 148.60
Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions🟡 Gold Eyes Fresh Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Quarter-End Volatility
Gold started April with a strong bullish gap, reaching another all-time high during the Asian session. Price is now trading near the upper bound of a multi-day structure, supported by ongoing geopolitical risks, macro uncertainty, and flight-to-safety flows.
European and UK traders should remain cautious today, as end-of-month volatility may lead to fake breakouts, stop hunts, and liquidity grabs – especially ahead of key U.S. economic data later this week.
🧠 Market Context:
Risk sentiment remains fragile as global equities faced pressure overnight.
Safe haven demand is elevated following weekend headlines tied to geopolitical conflict and natural disaster risks in Asia.
Traders are also watching the market’s reaction to Trump’s softened tone on tariffs — potentially shifting macro flows in risk assets.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price action remains bullish overall, but the pair is extended at current levels.
Expect high volatility today as monthly candles close — with a chance of both upside wicks and liquidation dips.
Scalping or reacting at well-defined zones is preferred over chasing.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3158 – 3166 – 3172 – 3180
🔻 Support: 3133 – 3122 – 3111 – 3100
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3122 – 3120
SL: 3116
TP: 3126 – 3130 – 3134 – 3138 – 3142 – 3146 – 3150
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3170 – 3172
SL: 3176
TP: 3166 – 3162 – 3158 – 3152 – 3148 – 3144 – 3140
⚠️ Final Note:
Today’s session could be chaotic with month-end flows and low liquidity pockets.
Stick to clean setups. Wait for confirmation. Always use SL/TP.
📌 If you found this plan helpful, like & follow for daily setups and institutional-level insights.
📊 Trade with structure, manage your risk, and let the market come to you.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 1, 2025 GBPUSDOn Monday, the GBP/USD pair was traversing the charts in familiar territory, passing a familiar accumulation zone as investors awaited the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. The Trump administration intends to enact a broad catalog of tariffs against virtually all US trading partners starting April 2.
Specific details of the Trump administration's tariff plans this week remain vague and elusive, but the main tariff threats remain “retaliatory” tariffs on all countries that have their own tariffs on imports of U.S. goods, regardless of the economic context. Retaliatory tariffs on Canada and the European Union are also expected, as well as additional flat tariffs on copper and automobiles.
The UK economic data release schedule remains loose this week, however, fresh US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) employment data is due out later this week. The release of NFP could be an important factor for the markets as the US economy transitions into a post-tariff economic environment, and the March labor data will serve as an “indicator” of the impact of the Trump team's tariff plans.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29250, SL 1.30000, TP 1.28650
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAU/USD - H1 Chart - Trendline Breakout (27.03.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3051
2nd Resistance – 3065
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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Trade Setup & Key Levels🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Trend Line Breakout:
📉⬇️ A downward trend line was broken, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
📈✅ The price has moved above the trend line, confirming the breakout.
🔹 Support & Resistance Zones:
🟦 Support Area: $3,000 - $3,010 (Buy Zone)
🟥 Resistance Area: $3,030 - $3,040 (Sell Pressure)
📊 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Plan:
🔄 Wait for a pullback to the support zone (🟦 light blue area) before entering.
🎯 Target: $3,056.97 📈🏁
🛑 Stop Loss: $2,999.02 ❌🚨
📈 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 DEMA (9-period) = $3,026.48 (near the current price, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish trend).
🔥 Conclusion:
🔵 Bullish Setup Active 🚀
⚠️ Wait for price reaction at support before entering.
❌ If price drops below $2,999, the setup is invalidated.
📌 Final Tip: Watch for a bullish candlestick pattern 📊 at support before executing the trade! 🎯
GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility⚠️ GDP Data in Focus – Gold Traders Prepare for Volatility
🟡 Market Brief – 27/03/2025
📰 Trump’s Latest Tariff Remarks Leave Markets Unshaken
Earlier this morning (end of US session), Donald Trump made new comments on tariff policy.
However, unlike previous occasions, his speech did not trigger significant market volatility.
He stated:
“Reciprocal tariffs will be eased, broadly applied to all countries, but not harshly.”
🔹 A 25% import tariff on cars will take effect from April 2
🔹 No additional tariffs for now on semiconductors or pharmaceuticals
→ It appears the market had already priced in this announcement, resulting in a muted reaction.
📊 Today’s Spotlight – Final US GDP (q/q)
This is the broadest measure of inflation, reflecting price changes for all goods and services included in GDP.
Given the weakness in recent US inflation indicators (CPI & PPI),
AD anticipates today’s GDP may also come in weaker than expected.
⚠️ However, market reaction might remain limited (≈30 pts),
as Core PCE data tomorrow is expected to be the true driver of weekly volatility.
🟡 Gold Strategy – Intraday Setup
Gold may retest resistance levels or recent highs,
before a potential strong move to the downside – the BIG SHORT scenario AD has been tracking.
📌 Plan for Today:
Look for intraday BUY opportunities during the Asian and European sessions,
especially near key support levels marked on the chart.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔻 Support: 3019 – 3011 – 3002 – 2988
🔺 Resistance: 3036 – 3046 – 3056
🎯 Trade Zones – 27/03:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3002 – 3000
SL: 2996
TPs: 3006 – 3010 – 3014 – 3018 – 3022 – 3026 – 3030
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3055 – 3057
SL: 3061
TPs: 3051 – 3047 – 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030
🧠 Final Note:
This week’s volatility hinges on two major macro releases:
✅ Today’s Final GDP report
✅ Tomorrow’s Core PCE data
→ During Asia & London sessions: respect the levels and trade reactively
→ For New York session: stay alert — AD will update instantly if needed
Good luck, trade safe, and stay disciplined.
— AD | Money Market Flow
CHF/JPY Triangle Pattern (27.3.25)The CHF/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 169.06
2nd Support – 168.46
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Gold Outlook – Steady Range Before Key Data Hits🟡 Market Context:
Gold has been trading in a steady range since the start of the week, with no significant breakout or momentum shift observed.
Today’s session is expected to remain quiet, as there are no major economic events scheduled.
All eyes are on the Thursday GDP release and Friday’s PCE inflation data from the US — both of which are likely to determine the direction for gold into the end of the month and quarter.
📆 Key Data to Watch:
Thursday: US Quarterly GDP
Friday: US PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge)
These events are considered high-impact catalysts that may trigger sharp moves in gold, especially if surprises occur.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price continues to respect key support and resistance zones identified earlier this week.
There is no confirmed breakout yet, so the strategy remains range-based:
➡️ Trade the levels. Watch for reaction signals at extremes.
➡️ Wait for clearer momentum following the macro releases.
🧭 Key Price Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 Trade Plan – 26/03
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Notes:
The market remains in accumulation mode ahead of key US data.
No need to rush — protect your capital, wait for clean setups, and let the market reveal its hand.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Bull Trap Confirmed: HOOD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionHey Traders after the success of our last month trade on Tesla hitting all targets more than 35%+
With a Similar Trade setup I bring you today the NASDAQ:HOOD
Short opportunity on Hood
Based on Technical + Fundamental View
-Market structure
-Head and shoulder pattern
-Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame.
1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue
2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges
3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures
4. Intense Industry Competition
5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility
Technical View
Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a great Risk Reward ratio.
Pro Tip
Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone.
Target 1 - 35.52$
Target 2 - 30.81$
Target 3 - 26.26$
Stop Loss - 44.72$
Fundamental View
1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue
Robinhood’s revenue model relies heavily on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in trading activity. After a pandemic-driven surge in 2020–2021, user growth stalled, with monthly active users dropping 34% YoY to 14 million by mid-2022. Transaction revenue fell 55% in Q2 2022, and while assets under custody grew to $140 billion by Q2 2024, the platform’s dependence on volatile crypto and meme-stock trading amplified revenue instability.
2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges
The SEC’s scrutiny of PFOF and proposed trading rule changes threaten Robinhood’s core revenue source. In 2022, New York regulators fined Robinhood’s crypto unit $30 million for anti-money laundering violations. Ongoing legal risks, including backlash from the 2021 GameStop trading restrictions, have further eroded institutional trust.
3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures
Operating expenses surged due to aggressive marketing, technology upgrades, and compliance investments. Despite workforce reductions (23% layoffs in 2022), profitability remains strained. The company’s shift toward diversified products like retirement accounts and credit cards has yet to offset these costs.
4. Intense Industry Competition
Traditional brokers like Fidelity and Charles Schwab adopted zero-commission trading, neutralizing Robinhood’s initial edge. Newer platforms like Webull and Public.com also captured younger investors with advanced features, while Robinhood’s limited product range (e.g., lack of wealth management services) hindered retention of high-net-worth clients.
5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility
- Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a growth stock, HOOD declined amid rising rates in 2022–2023 and broader tech-sector sell-offs.
- Recent Market Turmoil: On March 10, 2025, HOOD dropped 18% alongside crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase due to Bitcoin’s price volatility and fears of inflationary tariffs under new U.S. policies.
- Retail Investor Pullback: Reduced discretionary investing and crypto crashes (e.g., Bitcoin’s 71% plunge in 2022) dampened trading activity.
NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISE
A good bounce inbound after this monster sell off on OrangeJuiceAfter this monster sell off I have been looking for a good entry on the smaller time frame for a bounce back up to the large consolidation area around the .618 retracement of the move down shown here on the weekly.
I think I have got that on Wednesday with an open lower followed by a nice impulsive move up. The positioning is set for a reversal, with speculators massively still short, on the technical side we have the RSI turning up on the weekly and already crossed over on the daily.
I am in from the Wednesday close and will be looking to add on the move up with good pull backs followed by rejections on the STF.
Invalid if Wednesdays low is taken.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to hold below the round 1.2900 mark and is attracting buyers in the Asian session on Monday.
The US Dollar (USD) started the new week on a weak note and halted its three-day recovery from multi-month lows, which in turn is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. Despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising its inflation forecast, investors seem convinced that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the central bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle in the near future.
In fact, the UK central bank has cautioned against assumptions of rate cuts and has also raised its forecast for inflation to peak this year. This suggests that the Bank of England will reduce borrowing costs more slowly than other central banks, including the Fed, which lends further support to the GBP/USD pair.
Moving forward, traders are awaiting the release of flash PMI indices from the UK and the US for meaningful momentum. In addition, speeches from influential FOMC members will stimulate demand for the dollar, which, along with comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, should create short-term trading opportunities for the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2930, SL 1.2850, TP 1.3060
USD/CAD Triangle Pattern (24.03.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4403
2nd Resistance – 1.4435
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xAUUSD Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience📊 XAUUSD WEEKLY INSIGHT | Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience
As we close out a volatile trading week, let’s zoom out and assess what’s really happening with gold. The recent price action on the higher timeframes is revealing important signals — and it’s time to take a strategic pause before the next move.
🔍 WEEKLY SNAPSHOT:
Gold experienced a sharp correction of over $50, followed by a late-session recovery into the weekend. The result?
✅ Long upper wicks on both the W1 and D1 candles,
✅ Signs of rejection from all-time highs,
✅ Yet price still managed to close above the 50% candle body range — momentum is cooling, but not reversing (yet).
The big question now is:
Is this a healthy pullback within the uptrend… or the beginning of something deeper?
📐 Key Takeaways:
Structure on higher timeframes remains bullish – price is still moving within the primary ascending channel
Short-term retracement has reached the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone on H1 and H2 – a potential decision area
End-of-week buying indicates positioning by informed participants, not random volatility
No confirmation of a major reversal yet – but conditions are developing
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support Zones: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
🧠 Mindset Going Into Next Week:
Don’t rush it.
Let Monday’s open reveal the volume story — whether through gaps, spikes, or clean structure. The best setups form after the market shows its hand, not before.
This is where strategic patience beats emotional trading.
📣 Final Note:
Stay focused on structure. Respect your levels. Watch how price reacts — not just where it goes.
And remember: sometimes no trade is a powerful trade when the market is indecisive.
More insights coming soon on market psychology and execution discipline.
💬 Feel free to leave a comment, follow for updates, or share your own views below.
Wishing everyone a strong and clear start to the new week,
— AD | Money Market Flow
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 21, 2025 EURUSDFederal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the danger to the economy from US President Donald Trump's tariff threats, which seem to exist in a quantum state where they both exist and don't exist at the same time. According to Fed Chairman Powell, downside risks have certainly increased thanks to repeated tariff threats, but Fed policymakers continue to insist that US economic data remains strong, albeit off recent highs.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's (Fed) manufacturing activity survey for March fell to 12.5 m/m, down from the previous reading of 18.1 and down for the second month in a row, but held the brakes and fell less than the median market forecast of 8.5. US weekly initial jobless claims also rose less than expected at 223,000 new jobless claimants, up from 220,000 the previous week. Investors had expected the figure to be 224k. Sales of existing homes in the US also rose by almost a third of a million transactions more than expected, rising to 4.26 million units in February from a revised January figure of 4.09 million. Market watchers had expected a slight slowdown to 3.95 million.
With little in the way of economic data on Friday, investors will have a week's worth of events to digest. Traders will also keep an eye on any social media developments from President Trump.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0850, SL 1.0930, TP 1.0760
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Can Gold Surge Past $3100?🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on 20 March 2025
📊 Market Snapshot
Gold (XAU/USD) is riding a strong uptrend on the H1 chart, moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. After breaking the $3000 psychological barrier, bullish momentum remains intact 💪. However, with key resistance ahead and US economic data on the horizon, volatility could spike. Let’s break down the setup for today’s trading session! 🧠
🔍 Technical Analysis
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, confirming a solid uptrend. It’s currently testing the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧
Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at $3070.612, a high-volume area (VPOC) where sellers may step in 🛑
A break above could target $3081.053, then $3097.774, with $3100 as the next psychological level 🎯
Key Support Levels:
Nearest support at $3031.774, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary and a prior VPOC 🛡️.
A deeper pullback might test $3024.254 or $3017.197, where buyers previously defended (marked by yellow circles) 📍
Additional Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡️
🌍 Fundamental Insights
US Dollar Dynamics:
Gold often moves inversely to the USD 💱. Today, 20 March 2025, markets are focused on the US Jobless Claims data (due at 13:30 GMT) and Fed speeches, which could sway the Dollar 📅. A weaker-than-expected US report may weaken the USD, boosting Gold towards $3100 🚀.
Safe-Haven Demand:
Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East unrest, US-China trade talks) continue to support Gold as a safe-haven asset 🛡️. This underpins the bullish outlook for now.
Interest Rate Environment:
The Fed’s dovish tone in early 2025 has lowered the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting its upward trajectory 📉. Meanwhile, keep an eye on UK inflation data this week, as it could impact GBP and indirectly influence Gold.
📝 Trading Plan
Buy Opportunity (Buy Zone: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060 💵
Sell Opportunity (Sell Zone: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
Stop Loss (SL): $3075 ⛔
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050 💵
⚠️ Market Alert
Gold has been hitting all-time highs following the FOMC meeting earlier today 🌪️. With US data due during the London session, expect volatility—stick to your TP/SL to safeguard your account! 🛡️💡
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted buyers for the second consecutive day and strengthened to a new one-week high against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday. Expectations that strong wage growth could boost consumer spending and contribute to higher inflation give the Bank of Japan (BoJ) room to raise interest rates further. This has led to a recent sharp narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and other countries, which continues to support the low-yielding yen.
In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and its impact on the global economy, as well as geopolitical risks and the political crisis in Turkey, are contributing to inflows into the Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is struggling to gain meaningful momentum amid increased economic uncertainty amid US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, in turn, is weighing on the USD/JPY pair and contributing to the intraday decline.
However, interest rate differentials, the Bank of Japan's loose monetary policy, the trade balance differential and global market sentiment put pressure on the Japanese yen. The further direction of the USD/JPY pair lies on the upside.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.400, SL 147.600, TP 150.100