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Fundamental-analysis

GBPJPY Sell Idea ??? A detailed Technical and Pictorial AnalysisHello Traders !!! Today, we will delve into the topic of JPY buying, exploring it from both fundamental and technical perspectives. It has come to our attention that many traders, excluding large investors and major players in the Forex market, are perplexed by the significant selling pressure on JPY. The answer to this question is rather straightforward: the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not providing substantial support to JPY. When compared to other central banks, the BoJ fails to offer enticing incentives to investors. If this trend continues in the future, it will undoubtedly inflict further damage upon the value of JPY. Technical Analysis GBPJPY is currently displaying a strong uptrend from a technical standpoint, and there is optimism that it will easily reach targets of 190 and 196. However, caution is warranted at these key levels, as indicators in higher timeframes indicate significant overbought conditions. Furthermore, it is highly probable that JPY intervention will occur at these crucial levels, with a stronger connection to the USDJPY pair. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor the levels of USDJPY. If USDJPY surpasses the 150-152 range, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will undoubtedly intervene in the Forex market. Hence, those interested in trading GBPJPY must also pay close attention to the key levels of USDJPY. Below I am mentioning some levels to trade GBPJPY. First Trade Setup : Sell level: 189.5-190.5 stop loss: 191.950 Take profit: 187.650 Second Trade Setup : Sell level: 195-196.2 stop loss: 197.57 Take profit: 192.240 Third Trade Setup : Sell level: 199.65-200.87 stop loss: 201.98 Take profit: 196.7, 192.87, 188.10 Long trade Setup : open long position from 190 and 196 zone stop loss: 210.500 take profit : 181.57 Fundamental Analysis : When discussing fundamentals, it is notable that all central banks are adopting strict monetary policies and raising interest rates in response to inflationary pressures. As inflation continues to surge, these banks are implementing robust measures to maintain it within acceptable bounds. However, in stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is displaying a lack of action when compared to its counterparts and maintaining an accommodative monetary stance. This behavior from the BoJ is detrimental to the value of JPY. Therefore, it is advisable to trade JPY pairs cautiously, particularly at key levels, as the BoJ has been repeatedly issuing verbal warnings regarding potential intervention. Now, let us analyze the possibility of intervention. Analyzing the Possibility of Intervention The probability of intervention is widely debated among experts, who argue that concerns regarding intervention are currently unsubstantiated. According to their analysis, Tokyo is expected to limit its actions to verbal warnings this year. Several points support this perspective: Costly nature of intervention: Japan intervened in the market last year to strengthen the yen, marking the first intervention since 1998. In previous instances, authorities had intervened to prevent the rise of the JPY, which could harm the export-oriented economy. The process of strengthening the yen through intervention is complex and expensive. To increase the exchange rate, the Ministry of Finance issues short-term bills, raising the cost of the currency, which are then sold to weaken the JPY. On the other hand, weakening the yen requires using foreign exchange reserves to exchange dollars for yen. Continuously buying currency to prevent its decline would deplete Japan's monetary reserves. Unlike selling off JPY, where Tokyo can essentially create an unlimited supply of yen, there are limitations to buying back the currency. Approximately 6.35 trillion yen (around $43 billion) was spent on supporting the yen last year. Considering this, it is unlikely that the authorities will engage in large-scale intervention this year and may instead hope for a minor and temporary retreat in the USD/JPY pair. Absence of consumer pressure: Throughout history, the Japanese government has never chosen to intervene to strengthen the yen during periods of low public dissatisfaction. A weak currency generally leads to an increase in the cost of living, causing discontent among consumers. This was observed in Japan towards the end of the previous year when fuel and commodity prices reached record highs, and the depreciation of the yen accelerated, negatively impacting local purchasing power. Consequently, public outrage prompted the government to take action. Currently, although inflation in the country remains above the target of 2%, the effects of high energy prices have diminished, resulting in significantly lower levels of public dissatisfaction. Based on this, it can be inferred that Tokyo lacks compelling reasons to initiate intervention at present. Softer tone of warnings: In recent days, the Japanese government has intensified its warnings of potential intervention. However, it is notable that the tone of these warnings has not shifted significantly. Japanese officials continue to express concerns about sudden fluctuations in the foreign exchange market while cautioning about possible actions to address excessive yen volatility. In 2022, before implementing actual intervention, the Japanese authorities adopted a much more assertive tone, using phrases such as "deeply concerned" and "decisive steps." Such strong language is absent from their latest statements. Consequently, many analysts perceive the recent warnings by Japanese authorities as mere rhetoric rather than an indication of imminent intervention. what measures BoJ will take to protect further devaluation of the JPY Let's assess the likelihood of the Japanese authorities taking measures to protect their national currency and consider the most realistic scenario for preventing further devaluation of the JPY at this stage. Increased verbal intervention: Since Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at potential tightening, the yen has experienced a sharp decline against the dollar. Japanese officials have responded by issuing daily warnings to speculators who try to profit from disparities in monetary policies between the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) by trading the USD/JPY pair. Given that the fundamental factors influencing the yen are unlikely to change in the near future, it is expected that traders will continue actively selling the Japanese currency. If the decline of the JPY accelerates, Tokyo may escalate its warnings, promising decisive action against speculative movements. Many experts view this scenario as the most likely one. Atsushi Takeda, an economist from the Itochu Research Institute, stated, "The yen's depreciation is not as significant as last year, as the United States approaches the peak of interest rates. There will likely be one or two more rate hikes. Therefore, we do not anticipate strong JPY volatility leading to further depreciation at this stage." Analysts believe that the Japanese government is primarily focused on managing the pace of currency depreciation rather than targeting a specific exchange rate. Therefore, it is expected that Tokyo will continue with verbal intervention as the USD/JPY pair approaches the 145 level, but it is unlikely to engage in actual market intervention if speculators exceed that threshold. Implementation of intervention: Last year, the Japanese government intervened in the market twice: in September when the yen approached 146 against the dollar, and in October when USD/JPY reached a 32-year high at 152. In 2022, Japan spent $65 billion on direct purchases of JPY. Implementing a new intervention would also incur significant costs for Tokyo, as the authorities would need to utilize the country's foreign exchange reserves to sell dollars. Taro Kimura, an analyst at Bloomberg Economics, noted, "Businesses and consumers are now more accepting of a weak yen compared to last year. The recent rally in Japanese stocks may also contribute to their positive sentiment." Considering these factors, along with the benefits of a weaker yen for exporters, experts consider the actual implementation of intervention at this stage to be unlikely. Japanese companies with a global presence have long been the major beneficiaries of a depreciated JPY, resulting in increased overseas earnings for firms such as Toyota, which added 1.3 trillion yen to its annual operating profit, and Sony, which experienced a sales increase of approximately 1.2 trillion yen across five key segments. Hideo Kumano, an analyst at the Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute, stated, "We believe the government will only intervene in the market if the yen suddenly falls to 150. Although they did so last year, currency intervention remains a last resort." Hawkish actions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ): Some market participants suggest that the BoJ could halt the yen's decline by adjusting its Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy. Speculation has arisen that the BoJ may make its first hawkish move as early as July. However, Bloomberg analysts believe this expectation is misguided. Toru Fujioka, an economic commentator, shared, "The BoJ has consistently stated that it does not intend to directly curb the yen's depreciation using monetary policy tools, as such actions exceed its mandate and may be seen as currency manipulation." According to Fujioka, the BoJ would only consider adjusting the YCC policy if the bond market experiences significant fluctuations similar to those seen last year, coupled with persistent inflation resulting from wage increases. My Trade Setup First Trade Setup : Sell level: 189.5-190.5 stop loss: 191.950 Take profit: 187.650 Second Trade Setup : Sell level: 195-196.2 stop loss: 197.57 Take profit: 192.240 Third Trade Setup : Sell level: 199.65-200.87 stop loss: 201.98 Take profit: 196.7, 192.87, 188.10 Long trade Setup : open long position from 190 and 196 zone stop loss: 210.500 take profit : 181.57, 170.35
Short
by AhsanTufail
ATOM/USDT 4H Interval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ATOM chart in pair to USDT, like its predecessor on the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel in which the price is moving. Going further, we can move on to selecting support places, for this we will use the trend based fib extension tool. And here we will mark a significant support zone from $8.16 to $6.91, however, when the zone does not hold the price, we can see a drop around the second very strong zone from $5.90 to $4.91. Looking the other way, we see that the price is moving towards an important resistance zone from $10.54 to $11.37. If it manages to break out of this zone upwards, the price will move towards a strong resistance at $12.56 and further to the resistance at $14.05. Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy for the moment is used, the MACD indicates that we are moving in a local downtrend, while the RSI has a significant rebound to the lower part of the range, which may give a change in the trend in the coming hours.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT Long-Term Review 1DIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. Using the yellow line, we will mark the uptrend line, which, as we can see, holds the price nicely in corrections. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here in the first place it is worth marking the support zone from $ 1845 to $ 1662, however, when the price drops below, we can see a return to a very strong support zone from $ 1363 to $ 1150. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $2237, before which the price once again turned back, the next resistance is at the price of $2552, and then the third resistance at the price of $3007. When we turn on the EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see the place of transition into a strong uptrend and how far the price stays in this trend. The CHOP index indicates that we have a lot of energy to use. The MACD indicator is in an uptrend. On the other hand, we have a rebound on the RSI, however, looking at the fact that we are in the upper part of the range, the price may go down to a lower level.
by cryptodailyuk
LTC 1DInterwal Rewiew - Long-TermI invite you to review the LTC chart on a single day interval. As we can see, the price stayed above the uptrend line, and including the corss 50 and 200 emas, we see confirmation of the uptrend. Let's start by marking the support spots for the price and we see that first we have a support zone that starts at $97 and ends at $876, however if the price goes lower, the next very strong zone is from $68 to $56. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price bounced off a very strong resistance at $114, only when it breaks it and positively tests it will move towards the resistance at $134. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been consumed, the MACD indicates that the uptrend is maintained, while the RSI rebounded from the upper limit of the range, which confirms the initiated price correction.
by cryptodailyuk
The Limits of Fundamental Analysis: An In-Depth PerspectiveFundamental analysis serves as a comprehensive approach to evaluating securities, aiming to assess their intrinsic value by examining the underlying factors that shape their worth. This method involves a meticulous analysis of qualitative and quantitative aspects, enabling an assessment of a company's financial well-being, performance, and future prospects. By diving into financial statements, gathering relevant company information, conducting qualitative and quantitative analysis, performing forecasting, and utilizing valuation techniques, fundamental analysis empowers investors to make well-informed decisions regarding the long-term potential of a security. Undoubtedly, fundamental analysis provides valuable insights and a solid foundation for investment decision-making. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the limitations inherent in this approach and the necessity of adopting a holistic perspective when making investment decisions. While fundamental analysis offers a comprehensive understanding of a company's fundamentals, it may not account for short-term market fluctuations, investor sentiment, or external macroeconomic factors that can significantly impact the performance of a security. Therefore, combining fundamental analysis with other methodologies, such as technical analysis or considering market trends, can provide a more robust and well-rounded approach to investment decision-making. By recognizing the strengths and limitations of fundamental analysis and incorporating it into a broader framework, investors can strive to enhance their chances of making sound investment choices that align with their financial goals and risk tolerance. Knowing How and Why Fundamental Analysis Works Fundamental analysis is a meticulous approach to evaluating securities, such as stocks or bonds, by examining the underlying factors that impact their intrinsic value. This method involves a comprehensive analysis of both qualitative and quantitative factors to assess the financial health, performance, and future prospects of a company or investment. The process of fundamental analysis typically includes several key steps. It begins with analyzing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, to gain insights into its financial position and performance. Gathering relevant company information, such as details about the management team, business model, competitive advantages, and market share, is also crucial. Qualitative analysis plays a significant role in fundamental analysis. It involves evaluating industry dynamics, market trends, regulatory factors, and the competitive landscape to understand the broader context in which the company operates. This analysis helps assess the company's positioning and identify potential risks and opportunities. Quantitative analysis is another vital component of fundamental analysis. It involves examining financial ratios and metrics derived from the company's financial statements. Profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, and valuation ratios provide valuable insights into the company's financial performance, efficiency, and relative valuation. Forecasting and projections are integral to fundamental analysis. Analysts use historical data, industry trends, and other relevant information to make future projections of the company's revenues, earnings, and cash flows. These forecasts help evaluate the company's growth potential and estimate its intrinsic value. Valuation is a critical step in fundamental analysis. Analysts use various methods, such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and price-to-book ratios, to determine the intrinsic value of the company or investment. Based on the intrinsic value compared to the current market price, fundamental analysts make investment decisions. If the intrinsic value suggests that the investment is undervalued, it may be considered an attractive opportunity. On the other hand, if the intrinsic value is lower than the market price, it may indicate an overvalued investment. Arguments Against Fundamental Analysis : Fundamental Analysis Is Outdated For day traders, the immediate market conditions and price movements take precedence over future stock prices, which is a primary focus for long-term investors. Day traders rely on real-time information and timely data to make quick trading decisions. This is where charts become essential, as they provide up-to-date details on price changes, current stock prices, and moment-to-moment fluctuations. Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, relies on analyzing company financials and economic indicators, which are often released after a few days or each quarter. The lag between data releases makes fundamental analysis less suitable for day traders who require more immediate insights. Instead of waiting for economic reports and financial statements, day traders rely on chart analysis to identify trade setups and execute their trading strategies. In this context, fundamental analysis may not be as effective for day trading. Day traders heavily rely on technical analysis techniques, which involve studying charts, patterns, and indicators. These tools allow them to analyze price trends, identify key levels, and determine entry and exit points for their trades. By focusing on real-time data and chart readings, day traders can react swiftly to market movements and implement their trading plans effectively. It's important to understand that while fundamental analysis may have limited applicability for day trading, it remains a valuable tool for long-term investors who consider a broader range of factors and take a more extended perspective on investment decisions. Each approach serves its purpose depending on the trading style and goals of the investor. Fundamental Analysis Is Incapable of Predicting Immediate Reactions The response of the market to fundamental data points, whether they pertain to specific commodities, companies, or the overall economy, can often seem unpredictable. Even when a company's actual earnings exceed analysts' expectations, it does not guarantee that stock prices will always rise. In some cases, if traders had even higher expectations for the company's earnings, the actual result may be viewed as disappointing, leading to a decrease in the value of the asset. Conversely, if traders had anticipated even worse earnings, even a below-average result could cause the investment's value to increase. Market reactions to fundamental data are influenced by various factors, including market sentiment, investor expectations, and prevailing economic conditions. These factors create a complex interplay that can cause stock prices to deviate from what might be considered the "expected" response based solely on the fundamental data. Investors must understand that market reactions are not always straightforward or predictable. Gaining insights into market sentiment and investor expectations, in addition to conducting fundamental analysis, can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential market movements. Furthermore, implementing risk management practices and adopting a diversified investment approach can help mitigate the impact of unexpected market reactions to fundamental data points. Without technical analysis, fundamental analysis cannot be completed. Fundamental analysis and technical analysis are two essential tools for understanding price movements and making informed trading decisions. Relying solely on one approach while ignoring the other would be a mistake. Instead, they should be used together to complement each other and provide a comprehensive understanding of the market. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying factors that drive market sentiment and determine the potential direction of prices. It provides insights into the overall health and prospects of the currencies or assets being traded. On the other hand, technical analysis focuses on analyzing historical price data, chart patterns, and indicators to identify optimal entry and exit points. By combining fundamental and technical analysis, traders gain a more holistic view of the market. Fundamental analysis helps answer the "why" behind price movements, while technical analysis helps determine the "when" to execute trades. Mastering technical analysis enables traders to spot early warning signs and changes in market sentiment, allowing them to react swiftly. By striking a balance between both approaches, traders can make well-informed decisions and improve their overall trading strategy. To enhance understanding of both fundamental and technical analysis, it is beneficial to gather materials and insights from various sources. This approach exposes traders to different perspectives and helps them develop a well-rounded knowledge base. Remember, successful trading involves incorporating both fundamental and technical analysis, rather than relying solely on one approach. Fundamental analysis can't explain why the market went too far. Fundamental analysis is a valuable tool for understanding the intrinsic value of an asset, but it may not fully account for market overreactions. When day trading, it's essential to be aware of significant price movements that can occur when fundamental news, such as the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, is released. During these important releases, the market can react rapidly and sometimes in an exaggerated manner. Positive news initially may create the perception of high employment rates, but subsequent information may reveal little change in unemployment or stagnant wages. It's important to recognize that market overreactions can happen. While certain economic news releases have a strong impact, their effects on market dynamics may not always be lasting or significant. To navigate these sudden market movements, it's crucial to implement strong money management practices. Robust money management strategies can help you better handle market overreactions and potential volatility. This includes setting appropriate Stop Loss orders, managing position sizes, and diversifying your portfolio. These practices protect your capital and mitigate the risks associated with market fluctuations caused by overreactions. While fundamental analysis provides valuable insights into the underlying factors driving market movements, it's important to be aware of the potential for market overreactions and adjust your trading strategies accordingly. Fundamental Analysis Cannot Predict Supply And Demand You are correct that fundamental analysis alone may not be sufficient to predict supply and demand dynamics in day trading, particularly in the forex market where currencies are traded in pairs. While fundamental analysis provides insights into the broader economic factors influencing both currencies, it is crucial to consider additional factors that impact supply and demand dynamics. Market sentiment and overall market dynamics play a significant role in determining the demand and supply of securities. Factors such as investor psychology, market trends, and prevailing market conditions can influence trading volumes and affect price movements beyond fundamental data. It is important to recognize that events unrelated to fundamental data, such as natural disasters or geopolitical tensions, can have a substantial impact on various financial instruments like bonds, stocks, or commodities. These events can shape market sentiment and have implications for day trading. Some events may have a minimal impact, while others can exert significant influence on market sentiment for a specific period. To succeed as a day trader, it is essential to consider a wide range of factors beyond fundamental analysis. This includes staying updated on market sentiment, monitoring technical indicators, and being aware of significant events or developments that may affect supply and demand dynamics. By adopting a comprehensive approach that combines fundamental analysis with an understanding of market sentiment and other relevant factors, you can gain a better understanding of supply and demand dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. Should You Use Fundamental Analysis? Deciding whether to incorporate fundamental analysis into your investment strategy depends on several factors, including your investment goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, and trading style. While fundamental analysis offers valuable insights into a security's intrinsic value and long-term prospects, it is not the only approach to consider. Here are some key considerations to help you determine if fundamental analysis is suitable for you: 1 ) Long-Term Investment Goals: If you have a long-term investment horizon and aim to build a portfolio of fundamentally strong companies, fundamental analysis can be beneficial. By evaluating financial statements, industry dynamics, and company information, you can make informed decisions aligned with your long-term investment goals. 2) Value Investing: If you are a value investor, fundamental analysis is particularly relevant. By examining a company's financial health, earnings potential, and valuation, you can identify stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value, offering potential for long-term appreciation. 3 ) Fundamental-Focused Trading Strategy: For investors who employ a fundamental-focused trading strategy, fundamental analysis is crucial. This approach involves using fundamental factors to identify short-term trading opportunities. By analyzing company-specific news, economic indicators, and market trends, you can capitalize on short-term price fluctuations driven by fundamental factors. 4 ) Combining Approaches: Many investors adopt a hybrid approach by combining fundamental analysis with other methods, such as technical analysis or market sentiment analysis. Integrating different approaches can provide a more comprehensive view and help validate investment decisions. For example, technical analysis can help identify optimal entry and exit points based on short-term price patterns, complementing the long-term perspective offered by fundamental analysis. 5 ) Time and Effort: Consider the time and effort required for thorough fundamental analysis. Analyzing financial statements, researching industry trends, and staying updated with company news demands substantial time and research skills. If you have limited availability or prefer a more passive investment approach, fundamental analysis may not be the most suitable option. Ultimately, the decision to use fundamental analysis depends on your investment objectives and individual preferences. It's important to consider your own circumstances, risk tolerance, time availability, and level of expertise before incorporating fundamental analysis into your investment strategy. Fundamental analysis is indeed a valuable tool for investors, providing insights into the intrinsic value and long-term prospects of securities. However, it's important to recognize its limitations and the need to incorporate other methods into the investment process. By combining fundamental analysis with other approaches, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make better-informed decisions.
Education
by FOREXN1
8
USDCAD 30 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
Long
by Tradelikemee
4
USD/CAD Prediction on 28.06.2023The USD/CAD pair has recently been experiencing an upward trend, a shift that market analysts and traders are closely monitoring. This forex pair's current rise, which represents the value of the US dollar (USD) against the Canadian dollar (CAD), is being influenced by a myriad of factors. From a macroeconomic standpoint, it's important to consider the interplay between the economies of the two countries involved. The United States and Canada, as two of the world's major economies, have intricate economic ties, which often directly influence the USD/CAD exchange rate. One key factor could be the relative strength of the US economy. Recent data shows an uptick in several leading indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rate, and inflation. This has led to expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, a move that often bolsters the USD's value. On the other side of the pair, the CAD's performance is heavily influenced by the price of commodities, notably oil. If oil prices are experiencing a downturn or are relatively stable while the US economy strengthens, it could explain the uptick in the USD/CAD rate. Moreover, geopolitical tensions and changes in global risk sentiment can also affect the pair. When there's global economic uncertainty, investors tend to flock towards "safe-haven" currencies such as the USD, driving up its value against pairs like the CAD. Lastly, market speculation plays a role too. If traders believe that these trends will continue, they may buy into the USD/CAD pair, thereby driving the price up even further. It's essential for traders and investors to stay updated with both US and Canadian economic data, geopolitical events, and other relevant news that could impact the pair's future movements. A thorough analysis of these elements would provide a better understanding of whether this upward trend in the USD/CAD rate is a temporary phenomenon or the beginning of a longer-term shift.
Long
by mazayafx
Price Waiting for News Releases | Tech/Fundamental Analysis Traders, today we have those news releases for Wed, 28 Jun 2023.. Buyside liquidity then sellside liquidity.. Use these news as your trigger and most importantly, confirm your entry.. This view is linked to my previous view, please review it.. Price may reprice higher than H2 FVG and into my "sell area" marked in my previous idea.. Those are areas of "possible" reversal points, and entry should be confirmed in the proper time.. I'll keep you updated ✅
Short
by MST_Trader
BITCOIN UPDATE Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. First of all, Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week! Today is Monday, and I have some information to share with you. 📰 Last week was nice, and yesterday we witnessed the highest weekly candle close of the year. This week will also mark the monthly close, which is expected to show significant growth. 📈 Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, forming new HH's and HL's. The correction from $30k was highly predictable, and I have been mentioning it for the past two months. Now, I will share my outlook on future events, and this post will serve as an addition to my recent BTC 1D TF chart. 🔙 The 200MA and 200EMA have performed exceptionally well, and as I mentioned before, I anticipate further growth for BTC in the near future due to several reasons: 1️⃣ The sweep of the high at the $32k level ; 2️⃣ Liq. grab from the monthly FVG ; 3️⃣ The 3.618 level as the next Fib. target ; 4️⃣ The "Manipulation" stage according to PO3 ; 5️⃣ The fifth wave according to Elliot Wave theory ; 6️⃣ Additionally, there is a MACD Bullish Cross. 💡 Remember - Dips are for buying! In the near future, focus more on long positions rather than short ones ! 🔜 Further updates will be provided as new developments unfold !
Short
by bullstraders7
bitcoin update Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. As we said before we can expect more pump here only if the 31K$ resistance zone break but now price is below the resistance so we may have short-term fall too. Major supports: A. 27500$ B. 26700$ C. 25000$ Major resistances are: A. 31000$ B. 34000$
by bullstraders7
EURGBP Trading the Range - 0.852 convictionHey Traders! 👋 For Day 39/100 of our challenge, we will look at EURGBP short idea and how we can trade the range Technicals: - Prior to range, structure was bearish - Strongly rejected 0.863 key level - Now retesting middle limit pivot area - 79% retracement rejected as well - Expecting the fill of range bottom at 0.852 Fundamentals: 🇪🇺 Despite ECB remaining hawkish, recent data have been negative in both inflation and labor. This gives ECB less room to be hawkish/raise rates further compared to BoE 🇬🇧 The main downside risk for BoE now is the aggressive pricing in of peak rates by the rate markets. However, BoE has done a great job in meeting expectations lately: surprise hike of 50bp and the lack of push back on aggressive rate markets. The UK has also been seeing positive data recently which gives them more room to raise rates to battle inflation. Now, a hard landing due to aggressive rate hikes is also another risk. But it seems that the market isn't paying much attention to that as much as inflation currently. So that leaves us with the EURGBP short expectations this week. Any changes in catalysts is possible with inflation data from around the world is released. So stay safe, and see you tomorrow 👍
Short
by rob_WRLD_
XAUUSD: 1915 supports long, 1937 shortThe first plan: BUY1915~1910 Second plan: SELL1937 What happened over the weekend in Russia's domestic affairs is over and the impact on gold has passed. We can see that it opened higher today, but the range is not very large. From the perspective of space, the upward rebound is not strong enough. But speaking of technical aspects, there are indeed many bullish signals in four hours, but the strength is not enough, but the market is bullish. Heavy volume, but the gold price has not made a new breakthrough. Instead, it has chosen to fluctuate downward and fluctuate back and forth. It is inappropriate for me to go long above 1920, and it is naturally inappropriate to chase short. 1920 will become the point of long-short competition, and we will follow the trend to enter after one side wins. The best solution for us is to wait for it to fall back around 1915-1910 and do long, and set 6-7U SL according to our own different price points. The upper pressure level is at 1937, if you are given the opportunity, you can directly go short.
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
BTC 1D Interval ReviewWe will now move on to the BTC/USDT chart, also on a one-day timeframe. First of all, using the yellow line, we can mark the downtrend line from which the price went up, then, using the blue lines, we can mark the uptrend channel in which the price is currently moving. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, but here we will use support zones and we have the first zone in the range of $ 27725 to $ 25381, then there is a second strong zone from $ 23388 to $ 21513, while if the price fell lower we have a third very strong support zone from $18,934 to $15,418. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we have the first very strong resistance at the price of $ 31769, which so far has not been strong enough to overcome, the next resistance is at the price of $ 35578, and then the third resistance at the price of $ 41028. When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that it kept the price nicely in the uptrend. The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used. The MACD indicator is in a strong uptrend. On the other hand, on the RSI we see a breakout of the upper limit and we currently have a slight rebound, but I expect a stronger rebound or a sideways trend with small price slides.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC.D Review 1DayIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC Dominance over the rest of the cryptocurrency market. At the beginning, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel, which after several attempts was able to exit upwards. Now, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places where dominance should encounter resistance. And here we see that we are facing a very strong resistance at 53.99%, but when it is overcome we can see a rapid increase to around 63.33%, which will give BTC a significant advantage over the rest of the market. Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from 48.19% to $ 47.04, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a decrease to around 45.92%, and then to the second support zone from 44.27% by 42 .17%. Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicator confirms a strong uptrend, while on the RSI we crossed the upper limits of the range, which should give a moment of recovery or at least a temporary sideways trend with small pullbacks.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by cryptodailyuk
EUR/USD Prediction on 26.06.2023The EUR continues to exhibit bearish tendencies in the current market environment. Despite intermittent rallies, the broader downward trajectory suggests that the bearish sentiment surrounding the currency remains strong. This sentiment is influenced by a confluence of factors. The European economy, while showing signs of recovery in some sectors, still grapples with uncertainties, largely fueled by geopolitical issues, weaker economic data, and persistent concerns over inflation and unemployment rates in some member countries. Furthermore, the policy measures of the European Central Bank (ECB) are being closely scrutinized by market participants. The ECB's cautious stance towards normalizing monetary policy, including its slow tapering of the pandemic-related bond-buying program, is exerting additional downward pressure on the EUR. A number of analysts are also highlighting the impact of the interest rate differential between the Eurozone and other major economies such as the US. With the US Federal Reserve taking a more hawkish stance on interest rates in light of a stronger economic outlook and rising inflation, the dollar continues to attract investors seeking higher returns, leading to a weaker EUR. Additionally, the unfolding Brexit process and its consequent impacts on trade and economic growth also introduce a degree of uncertainty. The protracted negotiations and potential for non-optimal outcomes may continue to affect investor sentiment negatively, thus contributing to the bearish outlook on the EUR. Looking ahead, it will be crucial to monitor how these macroeconomic factors evolve. Until there are more definitive signs of robust recovery in the Eurozone, and the ECB begins to shift towards a more hawkish monetary policy, the EUR is likely to remain under pressure. As always, investors are encouraged to keep an eye on key economic indicators and events that may offer clues about future currency movements. In summary, the EUR continues to display bearish trends, influenced by factors such as ongoing economic uncertainties in the Eurozone, ECB's monetary policy stance, interest rate differential with the US, and the continuing impact of the Brexit process. Investors and traders are advised to watch these factors closely in order to navigate the potential risks and opportunities associated with the EUR in this volatile market.
Short
by mazayafx
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NSE:PARACABLESLong
by Microcap_Investor
MATIC 1D Interval ReviewThe last one in today's chart is the MATIC chart in pair to USDT, on a one-day interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel where the price is moving in the upper range. Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when the price returns to a correction. And here the first very strong support that has kept the price so far is at $ 0.58, but if we fall lower, the next support is at $ 0.31. Looking the other way, we see that the price has to face the $0.76 resistance, only when it breaks it will move towards the $0.91 resistance and then towards the very strong $1.04 to $1,16 resistance zone. Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have more and more energy, the MACD indicates a downtrend, while the RSI shows that a small price increase gives a strong movement on the indicator, which can quickly limit the room for further increases, in the coming hours we can see further growth.
M
by cryptodailyuk
XAUUSD: Today's downtrend remains unchanged and continues to breThe 1-hour chart is subject to the suppression of the moving average system, and still maintains a good downward trend. In terms of operation, it is recommended to be bearish rather than chasing short, wait patiently for the rebound to short the band, short-term rebound 1924~1920, stop loss 1930, target 1908-1892. Gold fell 1% yesterday to hit a three-month low after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before Congress. The prospect of more rate hikes from the U.S. central bank overwhelmed any support for gold from signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market. To be honest, the recent market is really difficult to operate. Last night’s review found that the U.S. dollar index and gold basically fell at the same time this month. This situation has happened before, but it cannot last for a long time. It depends on when the stalemate is broken. From a technical point of view, gold continued to fall the next day, and the daily line closed with a big negative line with upper and lower shadow lines, and the overall trend is still in the downward trend since the new high.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ