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ETH/USDT Daily Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line from which the price went up. It is also worth mentioning that after turning on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that the moving average of 200 held the price before falling further. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first support at $1843, the second support at $1801, and then we can mark a very strong support zone from $1760 to $1701. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here the first strong resistance that the price is currently fighting is $1882, then we can mark a very strong resistance zone from $1944 to $2030, and when it manages to break out above, the price will be able to move towards the resistance at the previous high of $2140. The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. The MACD indicator confirms the local uptrend. On the other hand, the RSI is moving around the middle of the range, which may indicate that there is still room for the price to break out of the first resistance.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 4HINTERVAL Review Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local sideways trend channel, while locally we can mark the uptrend line along which the price is currently moving towards the upper border of the channel. Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here we have the first support at $30,514, and then we have a strong support zone from $30,266 to $29,929, however, when we break below this zone, we can see a drop to around $29,493. Looking the other way, in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool, we can determine the places of resistance. We will first mark an important resistance zone from $30,829 to $31,136, once it is broken, price will attempt to attack the resistance at $31,520 so it can move further up. As we can see, EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicate the place of confirmation of the transition to a local uptrend. The CHOP index indicates that the energy is gathering strength, the MACD indicator confirms the ongoing local uptrend, while the RSI is moving in the upper part of the range, which may affect the price with a slight correction.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD// XAUUSD🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : SELL Core CPI data will be released in a few hours. What to expect? USD Strength: The expectation of core inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve's target suggests that the Fed may consider further rate hikes. Historically, higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investors seeking better returns, thus potentially increasing demand for the USD. As a result, there could be a positive impact on the strength of the USD if the Fed decides to raise rates in response to elevated inflation. If core inflation remains above the Fed's target and there is a possibility of further rate hikes, it may create an environment of uncertainty and inflation concerns, which could potentially increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. This increased demand for gold may contribute to upward pressure on its price. Considering the information provided, if the USD strengthens due to expectations of further rate hikes driven by persistent core inflation, it could potentially exert downward pressure on gold prices. However, the impact may be tempered by the role of gold as an inflation hedge, as elevated inflation levels and uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes could support increased demand for gold and potentially lead to higher prices. On the other hand, from technical point of view gold has created a significant imbalance in the 4-hour chart, as we have observed in the market. We believe that gold will need to fill that market imbalance before experiencing further upward or downward movements, which will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Moon_SmartMoney
BNB/USDT 1DReview Resistance an SupportHello everyone, welcome to a review of the BNB vs. USDT pair, taking into account the one-day timeframe. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the sideways trend channel in which the price is currently approaching its upper limit. Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here we will first mark the strong support zone from $234 to $228, however, if the price falls below this zone, we can see a drop to around $220.4. Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price is moving towards the upper border of the channel, where we have a strong resistance zone from $244 to $250, only when we exit it upside, we can attack the resistance at $256.8. Index CHOP indicates that there is still energy to continue this movement. The MACD indicator, despite corrections in the channel, maintains an upward trend. On the other hand, on the RSI we approached the middle of the range, despite everything we can see an attempt to attack the first resistance zone.
by cryptodailyuk
XAUUSD: Operating strategy for the second week of July​​This week's gold analysis: The trend of gold this week is still the same as last week, and it cannot get out of the range shock. I originally thought that the non-agricultural situation could break the current situation of gold. Still seems disappointed. After bottoming out and recovering on Friday, it seemed that the rise was strong, but it was just in shape. After rising to the 1934 line, the bears had the upper hand, and there was no upward momentum anymore. Before I thought that the overall short position cannot be reversed if it does not stand above 1930, which also proves what I thought. At present, we can see that the price of gold has risen by about 25 U.S. dollars since the news of non-agricultural benefits came out, and the closing price is also firmly above 1925. It can only be said that the current gold short forces have been temporarily suppressed, and the bulls have the momentum to regain their dominant position, but before breaking through the 1940 position, it can be said. So what we are considering now is not to look long or short, but to consider the position of entry is the key. This week mainly depends on the release of CPI data on Wednesday to see if gold can break through the range and go in a new direction. So this week's operation strategy, just find a suitable point to enter the market. Because I only do short-term within the day, so the operation is still the same as last week, just sell high and buy low. Net assets increased by 37% last week, hopefully I will make more profits this week! Focus on the 1910~1940 interval, follow my new post for more detailed entry timing
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ActuaryJ
XRP/USDT 1D Review ChartHello everyone, welcome to the XRP chart review on a one-day timeframe. As we can see after defining the uptrend line, the price has fallen slightly below, but remains close to this line. Let's start by marking the support areas for the price and we see that first we have a support zone from $0.45 to $0.42, which is holding the price so far, but if the zone is broken, the next support is at $0.39. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently bouncing off the $0.48 resistance. Then we can mark a resistance zone from $0.51 to $0.52, and a second very strong zone from $0.54 to $0.57. The CHOP index indicates that a lot of energy has been collected, the MACD is struggling to return to the downtrend, while the RSI has a further rebound, which may positively affect the change of the price direction to an upward one.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on a single day time frame. As you can see, the price has fallen below the local uptrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that the price stayed in the first support zone from $1864 to $1828, and then there is the second support zone from $1793 to $1742. Looking the other way, we will check the resistances in the same way and here we see that the price must first break the resistance zone from $1909 to $1959, when it breaks it it will move towards the second zone from $2041 to $2101. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for a move, the MACD is on the verge of returning to a downtrend, while the RSI has a pullback to the middle of the range, which may translate into an upward price move.
by cryptodailyuk
SOL/USDT 1D Review resistance and supportHello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart in pair to USDT. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel where the price is moving in the upper range. Going further, we can move on to marking support areas when the price starts a correction. And here the first strong support is at $19.91, then we have a very strong support zone from $17.66 to $15.39 and then support at $12.17. Looking the other way, we see that the price has reached an important resistance zone from $ 21.69 to $ 24.06, which so far has no strength to break. However, if it manages to break above the resistance zone, the next resistance will appear at the price of $27.15. Please take a look at the CHOP index, we see that most of the energy has been used in the current uptrend, the MACD confirms the ongoing uptrend, while the RSI has a clear uptrend which could give the price a correction in the coming time.
by cryptodailyuk
XRP/USDT Review 1DayInterval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart on a one-day timeframe. As we can see after defining the uptrend line, the price has fallen slightly below, but remains close to this line. Let's start by marking the support areas for the price and we see that first we have a support zone from $0.45 to $0.42, which is holding the price so far, but if the zone is broken, the next support is at $0.39. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price is currently bouncing off the $0.48 resistance. Then we can mark a resistance zone from $0.51 to $0.52, and a second very strong zone from $0.54 to $0.57. The CHOP index indicates that a lot of energy has been collected, the MACD is struggling to return to the uptrend, while the RSI has a further rebound, which may positively affect the change of the price direction to an upward one.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT Long-Term 1DInterval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair to USDT, taking into account the one-day interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel from which the price has gone up, while locally it is worth marking the sideways trend channel in which the BTC price is moving. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to determine the supports, as we can see now the first support at $30049 held the price, however when it goes lower the next support is at $29180, then the third support at $28402 and then it is worth marking a very strong zone support from $27678 to $26628. Looking the other way, we can determine the places of resistance in a similar way. And here the first resistance at fibon's golden point is at $31855, before which the price turns back, however when it manages to break it, the second resistance is at $33809 and then the third resistance at $36250. When we turn on the ema cross 10 and 30, we can see that it indicates a continuation in the ongoing uptrend. The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy to be used, the MACD indicator indicates a downtrend, and we can see a rebound on the RSI, but we are still in the upper part of the range, which may give the price a rebound.
by cryptodailyuk
USDJPY | H1 | UpdateUSDJPY update, looking at USDJPY now based on my initial analysis we can see that the USDJPY tanked as per the initial forecast, there was some volatility during the course of the week due to fundamental events surrounding the USD which also acted as a catalyst towards increasing the overall momentum as we would’ve noticed with today’s NFP announcement. But looking back we can take note that USDJPY created a short term trading range between 144.19x and 144.68x before breaking out of our minor support level at 144.19x then came back to retest that level and confirm it as our new resistance after the announcement of the US ADP Employment Change yesterday before tumbling further down. Today’s NFP announcement acted as a further catalyst pushing USDJPY to break through our initial target and support at 142.8xx & 142.6xx now we’re looking forward to it pushing further down to 141.2xx
Short
by mosa_moshka
GBPJPY Sell Idea ??? A detailed Technical and Pictorial AnalysisHello Traders !!! Today, we will delve into the topic of JPY buying, exploring it from both fundamental and technical perspectives. It has come to our attention that many traders, excluding large investors and major players in the Forex market, are perplexed by the significant selling pressure on JPY. The answer to this question is rather straightforward: the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not providing substantial support to JPY. When compared to other central banks, the BoJ fails to offer enticing incentives to investors. If this trend continues in the future, it will undoubtedly inflict further damage upon the value of JPY. Technical Analysis GBPJPY is currently displaying a strong uptrend from a technical standpoint, and there is optimism that it will easily reach targets of 190 and 196. However, caution is warranted at these key levels, as indicators in higher timeframes indicate significant overbought conditions. Furthermore, it is highly probable that JPY intervention will occur at these crucial levels, with a stronger connection to the USDJPY pair. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor the levels of USDJPY. If USDJPY surpasses the 150-152 range, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will undoubtedly intervene in the Forex market. Hence, those interested in trading GBPJPY must also pay close attention to the key levels of USDJPY. Below I am mentioning some levels to trade GBPJPY. First Trade Setup : Sell level: 189.5-190.5 stop loss: 191.950 Take profit: 187.650 Second Trade Setup : Sell level: 195-196.2 stop loss: 197.57 Take profit: 192.240 Third Trade Setup : Sell level: 199.65-200.87 stop loss: 201.98 Take profit: 196.7, 192.87, 188.10 Long trade Setup : open long position from 190 and 196 zone stop loss: 210.500 take profit : 181.57 Fundamental Analysis : When discussing fundamentals, it is notable that all central banks are adopting strict monetary policies and raising interest rates in response to inflationary pressures. As inflation continues to surge, these banks are implementing robust measures to maintain it within acceptable bounds. However, in stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is displaying a lack of action when compared to its counterparts and maintaining an accommodative monetary stance. This behavior from the BoJ is detrimental to the value of JPY. Therefore, it is advisable to trade JPY pairs cautiously, particularly at key levels, as the BoJ has been repeatedly issuing verbal warnings regarding potential intervention. Now, let us analyze the possibility of intervention. Analyzing the Possibility of Intervention The probability of intervention is widely debated among experts, who argue that concerns regarding intervention are currently unsubstantiated. According to their analysis, Tokyo is expected to limit its actions to verbal warnings this year. Several points support this perspective: Costly nature of intervention: Japan intervened in the market last year to strengthen the yen, marking the first intervention since 1998. In previous instances, authorities had intervened to prevent the rise of the JPY, which could harm the export-oriented economy. The process of strengthening the yen through intervention is complex and expensive. To increase the exchange rate, the Ministry of Finance issues short-term bills, raising the cost of the currency, which are then sold to weaken the JPY. On the other hand, weakening the yen requires using foreign exchange reserves to exchange dollars for yen. Continuously buying currency to prevent its decline would deplete Japan's monetary reserves. Unlike selling off JPY, where Tokyo can essentially create an unlimited supply of yen, there are limitations to buying back the currency. Approximately 6.35 trillion yen (around $43 billion) was spent on supporting the yen last year. Considering this, it is unlikely that the authorities will engage in large-scale intervention this year and may instead hope for a minor and temporary retreat in the USD/JPY pair. Absence of consumer pressure: Throughout history, the Japanese government has never chosen to intervene to strengthen the yen during periods of low public dissatisfaction. A weak currency generally leads to an increase in the cost of living, causing discontent among consumers. This was observed in Japan towards the end of the previous year when fuel and commodity prices reached record highs, and the depreciation of the yen accelerated, negatively impacting local purchasing power. Consequently, public outrage prompted the government to take action. Currently, although inflation in the country remains above the target of 2%, the effects of high energy prices have diminished, resulting in significantly lower levels of public dissatisfaction. Based on this, it can be inferred that Tokyo lacks compelling reasons to initiate intervention at present. Softer tone of warnings: In recent days, the Japanese government has intensified its warnings of potential intervention. However, it is notable that the tone of these warnings has not shifted significantly. Japanese officials continue to express concerns about sudden fluctuations in the foreign exchange market while cautioning about possible actions to address excessive yen volatility. In 2022, before implementing actual intervention, the Japanese authorities adopted a much more assertive tone, using phrases such as "deeply concerned" and "decisive steps." Such strong language is absent from their latest statements. Consequently, many analysts perceive the recent warnings by Japanese authorities as mere rhetoric rather than an indication of imminent intervention. what measures BoJ will take to protect further devaluation of the JPY Let's assess the likelihood of the Japanese authorities taking measures to protect their national currency and consider the most realistic scenario for preventing further devaluation of the JPY at this stage. Increased verbal intervention: Since Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at potential tightening, the yen has experienced a sharp decline against the dollar. Japanese officials have responded by issuing daily warnings to speculators who try to profit from disparities in monetary policies between the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) by trading the USD/JPY pair. Given that the fundamental factors influencing the yen are unlikely to change in the near future, it is expected that traders will continue actively selling the Japanese currency. If the decline of the JPY accelerates, Tokyo may escalate its warnings, promising decisive action against speculative movements. Many experts view this scenario as the most likely one. Atsushi Takeda, an economist from the Itochu Research Institute, stated, "The yen's depreciation is not as significant as last year, as the United States approaches the peak of interest rates. There will likely be one or two more rate hikes. Therefore, we do not anticipate strong JPY volatility leading to further depreciation at this stage." Analysts believe that the Japanese government is primarily focused on managing the pace of currency depreciation rather than targeting a specific exchange rate. Therefore, it is expected that Tokyo will continue with verbal intervention as the USD/JPY pair approaches the 145 level, but it is unlikely to engage in actual market intervention if speculators exceed that threshold. Implementation of intervention: Last year, the Japanese government intervened in the market twice: in September when the yen approached 146 against the dollar, and in October when USD/JPY reached a 32-year high at 152. In 2022, Japan spent $65 billion on direct purchases of JPY. Implementing a new intervention would also incur significant costs for Tokyo, as the authorities would need to utilize the country's foreign exchange reserves to sell dollars. Taro Kimura, an analyst at Bloomberg Economics, noted, "Businesses and consumers are now more accepting of a weak yen compared to last year. The recent rally in Japanese stocks may also contribute to their positive sentiment." Considering these factors, along with the benefits of a weaker yen for exporters, experts consider the actual implementation of intervention at this stage to be unlikely. Japanese companies with a global presence have long been the major beneficiaries of a depreciated JPY, resulting in increased overseas earnings for firms such as Toyota, which added 1.3 trillion yen to its annual operating profit, and Sony, which experienced a sales increase of approximately 1.2 trillion yen across five key segments. Hideo Kumano, an analyst at the Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute, stated, "We believe the government will only intervene in the market if the yen suddenly falls to 150. Although they did so last year, currency intervention remains a last resort." Hawkish actions by the Bank of Japan (BoJ): Some market participants suggest that the BoJ could halt the yen's decline by adjusting its Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy. Speculation has arisen that the BoJ may make its first hawkish move as early as July. However, Bloomberg analysts believe this expectation is misguided. Toru Fujioka, an economic commentator, shared, "The BoJ has consistently stated that it does not intend to directly curb the yen's depreciation using monetary policy tools, as such actions exceed its mandate and may be seen as currency manipulation." According to Fujioka, the BoJ would only consider adjusting the YCC policy if the bond market experiences significant fluctuations similar to those seen last year, coupled with persistent inflation resulting from wage increases. My Trade Setup First Trade Setup : Sell level: 189.5-190.5 stop loss: 191.950 Take profit: 187.650 Second Trade Setup : Sell level: 195-196.2 stop loss: 197.57 Take profit: 192.240 Third Trade Setup : Sell level: 199.65-200.87 stop loss: 201.98 Take profit: 196.7, 192.87, 188.10 Long trade Setup : open long position from 190 and 196 zone stop loss: 210.500 take profit : 181.57, 170.35
Short
by AhsanTufail
ATOM/USDT 4H Interval ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ATOM chart in pair to USDT, like its predecessor on the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel in which the price is moving. Going further, we can move on to selecting support places, for this we will use the trend based fib extension tool. And here we will mark a significant support zone from $8.16 to $6.91, however, when the zone does not hold the price, we can see a drop around the second very strong zone from $5.90 to $4.91. Looking the other way, we see that the price is moving towards an important resistance zone from $10.54 to $11.37. If it manages to break out of this zone upwards, the price will move towards a strong resistance at $12.56 and further to the resistance at $14.05. Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy for the moment is used, the MACD indicates that we are moving in a local downtrend, while the RSI has a significant rebound to the lower part of the range, which may give a change in the trend in the coming hours.
by cryptodailyuk