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Fundamental-analysis

EUR/USD Wedge Breakout (17.2.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0413 2nd Support – 1.0375 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
EURNZD - Buy Setup at key ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently in a significant support zone, which has times before been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area once again, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1,83700. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair. Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war. On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR). Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GOLD - Potential Selling Opportunity to 2,912?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently at a clear resistance level that has acted as a zone for bullish momentum. This could signal a potential selling opportunity. If bearish signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, emerge, I expect a move toward 2,912 . On the other hand, a breakout above this resistance could weaken the bearish outlook. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
7
EURNZD - Buy Setup at Clear ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is approaching a clear support zone, marked by prior bullish reactions and buyer interest. This zone has consistently reversed bearish trends in the past, making it an interesting area to watch. If buyers step in and confirm the support with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, I anticipate a move upward toward 1,83500. But if a break below this zone occurs, it could signal increased selling pressure and invalidate the bullish outlook. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 18, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted some sellers during Tuesday's Asian session, which, along with a slight rise in the US dollar (USD), helped the USD/JPY pair to stage a modest recovery from the 151.250 area or more than a one-week low. Investors welcomed US President Donald Trump's delay in imposing retaliatory tariffs. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid rising bets for an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), helped by the release of robust Q4 Japanese GDP data on Monday. Meanwhile, the BoJ's hawkish expectations have led to a significant rise in Japanese government bond yields to multi-year highs. In addition, the recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), has narrowed the differential between U.S. and Japanese rates. This may further deter traders from aggressive bearish bets on the lower-yielding yen. Thus, it would be prudent to wait for strong buying before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed and positioning for further recovery. Trading recommendation: BUY 152.000, SL 151.300, TP 153.100
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURSEK at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 11,364?OANDA:EURSEK is in a significant support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity. If bullish signals appear, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 11,364, . However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation of bullish strength before entering long positions. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management, Best of luck , TrendDiva
Long
by TrendDiva
1
PLATINUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection. If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,021 level. However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in. I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
OANDA:XPTUSDShort
by TrendDiva
6
XRP | BIG NEWS | How XRP Gets to $10A few weeks ago I made an update about rumors of Bank of America using XRP for its internal transactions. The United States is the world’s largest economy, with a GDP of about $27 trillion. If a major like Bank of America were to adopt the use of XRP, consider how it processes trillions of dollars every day. Imagine what this can do for the market cap. Currently, these transactions are run through traditional payment systems like SWIFT and FedWire. But if Ripple can come in with a real cost saving advantage, it's very likely that other banks may follow. Apart from internal transactions. these banks play a key role in global financial transactions, which means that any shift towards the XRP could lead to massive liquidity inflows and increased daily trading volume for the currency. In case of limited adoption within US banks, the price may rise to $2-5 in the medium term. In the event of widespread adoption within the United States, if XRP becomes a core part of the operations of major banks, the price could reach $10-20, but this would require fundamental changes in the financial infrastructure. In the event of global adoption led by the United States, the price could range between $20 and $50, but this requires years of development and legal regulation. __________________________ BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
5
GBP/NZD Trendline Breakout (10.2.25)The GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2.2053 2nd Resistance – 2.2141 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
Bitcoin below $96K – Miners trigger a sell-offThe price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped more than 3% in the past 24 hours, closing around $96,000 amid aggressive selling by miners. Over 2,000 BTC have been transferred to centralized exchanges since Bitcoin’s recovery to GETTEX:98K , intensifying downward pressure on the market. This price decline is driven by miners’ efforts to reduce their reserves in response to market instability. At the same time, Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.6%, signaling new challenges for the industry and adding pressure on the cryptocurrency’s value. Typically, asset transfers to centralized exchanges indicate a readiness to sell, whereas transfers to custodial wallets suggest long-term holding. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has repeatedly dropped below the $100K mark, influenced by uncertain U.S. trade policies and negative macroeconomic signals from the Labor Department report. A brief recovery failed to sustain bullish momentum, leading to large-scale sell-offs and further price declines, keeping altcoins under constant pressure. As a significant part of institutional Bitcoin demand, miners continue to shape market dynamics. However, over the past seven days, selling activity has slowed as investors anticipate a potential price rebound. FreshForex analysts forecast that BTCUSD retains the potential for recovery and even new all-time highs, while Standard Chartered suggests Bitcoin could reach $500K by 2028.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 12.02.25)Overall Trend & Context: The pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and we are now waiting for the lower time frames to shift in accordance with the narrative. Technical Findings: Price is at a daily level of supply (as well as refined zones down to the 15m & 5m) LTF oversold conditions. We could still see further upward movement so will wait for either a break at 1.03650 or for our OANDA:GBPUSD trade to run into profits (or both). Potential Scenarios: For now I will only be considering shorts. Risk accordingly and be safe for CPI today.
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 Chart - Channel Breakout (12.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2835 2nd Support – 2797 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
DOT/USDT Triangle Breakout (9.02.25)The DOT/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 5.03 2nd Resistance – 5.18 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle Breakout (07.02.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2890 2nd Resistance – 2904 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
38
Understanding Market Activity in CryptoMarket activity measures the level of trading intensity in a market. It includes transaction volume, price fluctuations, supply and demand, and how different participants interact. In crypto, this is reflected in metrics like trading volume, liquidity, and order book depth. Example: Bitcoin ( BTC ) trading volume spikes when major news (e.g., ETF approvals) or macroeconomic events occur. This increased activity shows how market sentiment drives price movement. Who Are the Market Participants? Market participants are anyone buying or selling an asset. In crypto, this includes: - Retail traders (individuals buying BTC, ETH, etc.) - Institutional investors (hedge funds, large companies) - Market makers (liquidity providers ensuring smooth order flow) - Miners & validators (securing the network and earning rewards) The more participants in a market, the more liquid it becomes, making price movements smoother and reducing volatility. Example: Bigger CEX have a deeper liquidity than a small DEX, meaning orders execute faster with less slippage. Price + Time = Value (Crypto Perspective) One fundamental rule in markets is: ➡️ Price + Time = Value This means that an asset’s value is determined not just by its price but also by how long people are willing to hold or trade it. Example: A long-term BTC holder who bought at $1,000 and held for 5 years sees a much different "value" than a day trader who flips BTC in minutes. Additionally, crypto markets always have price levels that attract buyers and sellers (support and resistance levels). Example: Bitcoin's $20,000 level in past cycles acted as both strong support and resistance, attracting buyers when the price dipped and sellers when it surged. Market Analysis & Price Patterns (Normal Distribution in Crypto) To analyze market activity, traders break price movements into time segments. One useful tool is the normal distribution curve, which shows where most trades happen. Example: In on-chain analysis, if most Bitcoin transactions happen between $40,000–$45,000, this becomes the value area where market participants agree on price. Crypto analogy: Think of a whale buying BTC in chunks over days, forming a distribution pattern. If they stop buying, price trends shift. Supply & Demand in Crypto (Using a Bakery Analogy) Markets function based on supply and demand. Imagine a bakery: In the morning, fresh bread (high demand, low supply) = higher prices By evening, leftover bread (low demand, excess supply) = discounted prices The same happens in crypto: New altcoin launch: Limited supply, high hype = price pumps Token unlocks: More supply enters the market = price dumps Example: When a project like Aptos (APT) unlocks millions of tokens, supply increases, and the price often drops due to selling pressure. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Market Trends Markets move in different timeframes—hourly, daily, weekly, and even yearly trends. Short-term example: Ethereum’s price swings daily based on trader speculation. Long-term example: Bitcoin halving cycles create multi-year trends that drive overall growth. Example: In 2020, BTC was under $10K, but by 2021, it reached $69K due to long-term macro factors. Crypto Market Makers (Real-World Examples) Bitcoin Miners: Similar to a car company adjusting production, Bitcoin miners decide whether to sell mined BTC or hold it for higher prices. 2️⃣Whales & Institutions: Like property developers adjusting prices, whales accumulate crypto at low prices and distribute at highs. 3️⃣Liquidity Pools in DeFi: Like restaurants pricing meals based on demand, liquidity providers adjust fees and slippage in Uniswap pools. Example: Alameda Research (before FTX collapsed) was a key market maker, providing liquidity across major crypto exchanges. Long-Term Disruptions (Crypto Example: Ethereum vs. Bitcoin) Long-term players reshape entire markets over time. Example: Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) was the first mover, dominating the crypto market for years. Ethereum (ETH) introduced smart contracts, shifting activity from BTC to DeFi, NFTs, and Web3. Now, new chains like Solana challenge ETH, forcing changes in network fees and scalability. This mirrors how Japanese car companies disrupted the U.S. market, forcing competitors to evolve. How to Spot Fair Prices in Crypto? Markets always seek equilibrium—a price where buyers and sellers agree. Example: If a new altcoin doubles in price, but trading volume drops, it signals overvaluation. If on-chain data shows steady BTC accumulation, it suggests a fair price floor forming. ➡️ Traders watch repeated transactions to gauge market sentiment. Consumer Awareness in Crypto As investors, we naturally understand how price and time impact value. However, we also need to watch long-term market participants like: Whales (Smart Money): Who is accumulating? On-Chain Data: Are large wallets buying or selling? Institutional Trends: Are hedge funds moving into crypto? 📌 Example: When Tesla bought #bitcoin in 2021, it signaled institutional confidence, but when they sold, market sentiment shifted. Final Thoughts Crypto markets follow the same supply and demand principles as traditional markets but with 24/7 trading, higher volatility, and unique tokenomics. Understanding market activity helps traders anticipate moves and make better investment decisions. 🚀 Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Education
by Crypto4light
DE30 Strengthens Within Ascending Channel, next at 652.00?DJ:DE30 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with price recently rebounding from a key support level. This suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with the next target near 652.00, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. A short-term pullback could present a buying opportunity, particularly if bullish candlestick patterns like an engulfing or hammer formation emerge, confirming buyer strength. A decisive move above recent highs could reinforce momentum toward the expected target. But if we get a break below the channel’s lower boundary, it would invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in market direction.
DJ:DE30Long
by TrendDiva
NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025. Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish) Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish) Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy) NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1% Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend. Plan Of Action. Wait 5 - 15 min after data release. Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest. Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest). Execute with Proper Risk Management. STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!! Support & Resistence Resistence - 44725 - 44750 Support - 44525 -44500 Technicals Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50. US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by THE_US30FX
GBP/NZD Channel Breakout (5.2.2025)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1862 2nd Support – 2.1765 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 6, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trying to consolidate after breaking a six-day losing streak, with EUR/USD still holding at 1.0400. US employment change data from ADP showed stronger-than-expected results for January, with a net increase in the number of people employed coming in at 183k, beating the expected decline to 150k from December's revised 176k. While the ADP jobs data unreliably predicts the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data expected later in the week, the increase bolsters investor confidence that the US economy remains on solid ground. Early Thursday will see the release of pan-European retail sales data for December. Median forecasts expect the figure to rise to 1.9% y/y, up from 1.2% in the previous period. However, the month-on-month figure is expected to fall to -0.1% from 0.1%. The most important release this week will be the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. Investors expect the January NFP to fall to 170k from December's 256k. Traders will also be watching for revisions to previous months' data. Those expecting a rate cut are becoming increasingly frustrated with the sustained strength of the US economy as labour statistics are often revised upwards. Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0370, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC/USDT -H1- Bearish Channel (06.02.2025)The BTC/USDT Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 90412 2nd Support – 87124 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
EUR/NZD Triangle Breakout (5.2.2025)The EUR/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.8220 2nd Support – 1.8140 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 5, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers after data released during Wednesday's Asian session showed a rise in real wages in Japan, confirming bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is significantly at odds with expectations that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will cut borrowing costs twice before the end of this year. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. will support yen yields. In addition, the weakening U.S. dollar (USD) led the USD/JPY pair to fall to mid 153.0, or the lowest level since December 18, in the last hour. Meanwhile, investors remain concerned that Japan could also be targeted by US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, along with a risk-on sentiment, could deter traders from making new bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports the outlook for further yen strength. The Japanese yen hit a one-month high against the US dollar amid expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Expectations of further narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and the US also support the yen. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004