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Fundamental-analysis

Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
7
NZD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8268 2nd Resistance – 0.8301 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
XAU/USD 4H Analysis: Key Support, Resistance & Breakout TargetsKey Levels Identified: Support Zone (~2,875-2,885) 🟣 This is a strong area where price previously bounced. If price falls below this level, it could drop further toward the next support. Resistance Zone (~2,915-2,925) 🟣 Price is currently consolidating around this level. A breakout above resistance could push the price toward the target. Target (~2,950) 🎯 If the price breaks above resistance, the next key level is around 2,950. Potential Scenarios: 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above resistance, expect an upward move toward the target (2,950). Confirmation would come with strong volume and bullish candlestick patterns. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above support, a drop toward 2,825-2,835 is possible. A strong bearish candle closing below support would confirm this move. Current Trend: The price has been moving in a sideways consolidation between support and resistance. Watch for a breakout in either direction for the next big move.
FX:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (10.03.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2877 2nd Support – 2860 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
36
S&P500 is OVERSOLD!CME_MINI:ES1! NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:COIN BUY OPPORTUNITY on CME_MINI:ES1! The chart shows a strong bullish setup. A well-defined wave structure is visible along with a key Fibonacci retracement level marking the pullback. A divergence in momentum has been noted, and the price action has bounced off the 52-week EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. Fundamentally, the outlook remains positive. Recent macroeconomic data points to solid consumer spending and steady industrial production, while bank earnings and statements from major financial institutions have added to market confidence. These positive signals help support the S&P 500’s broader resilience, reinforcing the potential for further gains. That said, caution is advised. Uncertainties such as shifting monetary policy, potential geopolitical tensions, and any unforeseen changes in economic data could introduce volatility. Traders should consider tight risk management and stop-loss strategies to mitigate downside risks. Not Financial Advice
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
SHOCK! Trump to host crypto summit at the White House!On March 7, the White House will host its first-ever crypto summit, chaired by Donald Trump. The event will bring together top leaders of the crypto industry, including Coinbase (#Coinbase) CEO Brian Armstrong, MicroStrategy (#MicroStrgy) founder Michael Saylor, and others. Key discussion topics will include crypto industry regulation, stablecoin oversight, the strategic role of Bitcoin in the U.S. economy, and the establishment of a national crypto reserve. One of the summit’s highlights is the initiative to create a strategic U.S. crypto reserve, which will include Cardano (ADAUSD), Solana (SOLUSD), XRP (XRPUSD), as well as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD). This move aims to strengthen America’s position in the global digital economy and expand the dollar’s influence. Donald Trump emphasizes that the U.S. must lead in blockchain technology development, promoting the adoption of digital assets in the global financial system. Beyond regulation and reserves, the summit will also address cryptocurrency taxation and potential incentives for businesses operating in the sector. Key growth drivers for the crypto market: • Government support & regulation: High-level officials participating in the summit and the introduction of regulatory frameworks focused on transparency and security create a favorable environment for market growth. Clear regulations encourage institutional investors to enter the space. • Establishment of a strategic crypto reserve: The U.S. aims to include top cryptocurrencies in its national assets, boosting their credibility and investor confidence. This could strengthen digital assets’ role in the global financial system. • Blockchain technology advancements: The adoption of innovations such as smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and blockchain integration into traditional industries expands the use cases for cryptocurrencies and increases demand. • Rising adoption among users & businesses: Simplified crypto transactions, improved infrastructure, and a growing number of businesses accepting crypto payments contribute to the rising popularity of digital assets among the public. The White House Crypto Summit will be a landmark event for the industry, setting the stage for the crypto market’s future development. Analysts at FreshForex believe that government recognition, clear regulatory frameworks, and technological innovations will provide a solid foundation for the continued growth and strengthening of digital assets in the global economy. At FreshForex, accounts are available in 7 cryptocurrencies and over 70 crypto pairs with 1:100 leverage, accessible 24/7.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/JPY Bullish Channel (07.3.25)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 192.46 2nd Resistance – 193.40 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
USD/CHF Bearish Flag (06.3.25)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8826 2nd Support – 0.8787 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
25
XAG/USD Silver Price Analysis: Bullish Continuation or Rejection📉 Current Price: 32.3715 📊 Key Levels: Support Zone (~32.00 - 32.20): Price recently bounced from this level. Resistance Zone (~33.20 - 33.50): A potential target for an upward move. 📈 Potential Scenario: The chart suggests a bullish breakout after retesting the lower support zone. If the price successfully retests and holds above 32.00, it could continue towards 33.50. A break below 32.00 could invalidate this bullish move and lead to further downside. 🎯 Trading Outlook: Bullish Bias above 32.00, aiming for 33.50. Bearish Risk below 32.00, which could lead to further declines.
AMEX:TECLLong
by Jameshead007
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Setups!Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆✨ 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 🚧 Resistance Zones (Purple areas): 🔹 Lower resistance ~ 2,920 🔹 Upper resistance ~ 2,960 Support Zone 🛡️ around 2,900 2️⃣ Possible Price Movements 📈📉 ✅ Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above 2,920, it may surge towards 2,960 🚀💰 ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at 2,920, a pullback to 2,900 is likely ⚠️📉 3️⃣ Trend Analysis 📊 🔥 The price is in an uptrend after bouncing from 2,880 🔍 Watch the 2,920 level—break or rejection will decide the next big move! 💡 Trading Plan: Bullish: Wait for a breakout 🔼 above 2,920, then target 2,960 🎯 Bearish: Short if price rejects 2,920, aiming for 2,900 📉
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pairing pressed the accelerator pedal and produced another strong session on Wednesday, rising a further 0.85% and marking a third consecutive session of solid gains. Despite warnings that the UK economy as a whole is weakening, markets rose following Wednesday's Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy hearing. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise moderately despite weaker growth figures, prompting markets to adjust expectations of a rate cut before the end of 2025. Rates markets now expect less than 50bp of overall interest rate cuts before the end of the year. ADP's employment change for February showed just 77k new jobs, well below the forecast of 140k and March's 186k. Despite this, ADP results have not consistently correlated with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) since the reporting change in 2022, so the low reading is of little significance. There is little of note on the UK side of the economic data list this week, so the key data for traders remains US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), which will be released this Friday. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2900, SL 1.2820, TP 1.3050
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAU/USD Bullish Flag (06.03.25)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2949 2nd Resistance – 2969 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
20
GBP/NZD Rounded Top (06.03.25)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Rounded Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.2362 2nd Support – 2.2266 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
CHFJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupOANDA:CHFJPY is at a significant demand zone that has consistently triggered bullish reversals in the past. This zone has previously acted as a strong support level and now as price tests this area again, it creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control. I expect the price to move toward 168.60. On the other hand, a break below this support could signal further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
2
GBP/CHF Wedge Breakout (05.3.25)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1458 2nd Resistance – 1.1504 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 5, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD pressed the gas pedal and rose 1.4% on Tuesday, climbing 140 pips in a single session as markets sold off the US dollar and bet that US President Donald Trump will find a reason to backtrack on his tariff threats. Key data for both Europe and the US is due out later this week, but trade war rhetoric will rule the roost in the middle of the week. US President Donald Trump, staying true to form, is already laying the groundwork for a U-turn on his own tariff threats. At midnight Eastern Time, a package of stiff tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada and Mexico went into effect. However, despite a brief bout of risk aversion early in the U.S. session, currency markets quickly regained their footing and placed a big bet on another retraction or postponement of tariff policy from the Trump administration. Economic data will be sparse in the European market mid-week as traders in the vols are wringing their hands in anticipation of two beats - the European Central Bank's (ECB) March rate meeting on Thursday, and the latest iteration of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data scheduled for Friday. This week's NFP data is likely to attract even more attention than usual as investors will begin to watch for any signs of economic weakness as consumers and businesses begin to crack under the weight of President Trump's global trade war threats. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percent on Thursday, bringing the main discount rate to 2.65% from 2.9%, while the deposit rate is expected to fall by a similar amount to 2.5% from 2.75% as the ECB tries to get ahead of rising recession risks and support the EU's broad and diverse domestic economy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.06100, SL 1.05700, TP 1.06800
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/CAD Buy @ Support ZoneThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a AB=CD Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.5128 2nd Resistance – 1.5185 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, started the new week on a weak note and has already cancelled out most of Friday's gains to more than a one-week high. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, continues to post relative gains amid expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Bank of England (BoE). That said, concerns over US President Donald Trump's retaliatory tariffs and their impact on the UK economy may keep GBP bulls away from new bets. In addition, geopolitical risks could limit deeper USD losses and limit GBP/USD gains. Meanwhile, signs that the disinflation process in the US has stalled, reinforcing the case for the Fed to take a wait-and-see approach to future interest rate cuts, could also serve as a tailwind for the USD. This could help to further contain GBP/USD and warrant some caution before positioning for a resumption of the recent uptrend from levels below 1.2100, or the yearly low reached on 13 January. The main focus will be on the closely watched monthly US employment data on Friday. The widely-reported Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figure will shape expectations on the path of the Fed rate cut and drive demand for the dollar in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2610, SL 1.2560, TP 1.2690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD Trendline Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3 - 7)The GBP/USD Pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2425 2nd Support – 1.2316 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
USD/JPY Channel Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/JPY pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 153.90 2nd Resistance – 155.60 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
USD/CHF Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Mar 3-7)The USD/CHF pair on the H2 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.9138 2nd Resistance – 0.9221 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Bitcoin Cash at Critical Trendline – Next Big Move?Bitcoin Cash (BCH/USDT) is currently showing signs of a strong reversal after testing a key support zone and the ascending trendline. This level has acted as critical support in previous price cycles, making it an important area to watch. The price has rebounded from the strong support line, which aligns with the accumulation zone from early 2023. Additionally, BCH remains within a long-term descending channel, with the upper resistance line acting as a ceiling for previous bullish moves.
Long
by unichartz
2