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Fundamental-analysis

Fundamental Market Analysis for December 03, 2024 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is stuck at 1.0500 after the bullish recovery fizzled out. The pair was only able to squeeze out one green weekly candle after hitting multi-year lows around 1.0330. Euro\Dollar failed to push back from the 1.0600 mark as the short-term rebound fades. EUR/USD began another trading week by falling back to familiar short-term lows, failing an attempt to retrace to 1.0600 and pulling back to 1.0500, losing nearly eight-tenths of a percent on Monday. U.S. purchasing managers' index (PMI) data beat expectations but still came in below the 50.0 decline level, lending support to the safe-haven U.S. dollar. European economic data remains sparse in the first half of the trading week, although several European Central Bank (ECB) speeches will be on the agenda. Another week of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) looms over the markets, with US net job growth data due out on Friday, and plenty of preliminary labor and wage data to come during the week. ISM's US manufacturing PMI index rose in November, rising to a five-month high of 48.4 against a previous reading of 46.5, beating the forecast of 47.5. Despite the rise in the business expectations survey, the indicator is still in contraction territory below 50.0, meaning that most business operators still see a decline in overall activity in the coming months. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell AUD/NZD Bearish ChannelThe AUD/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1005, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0962 2nd Support – 1.0944 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
USD/JPY - H1 - Bearish Flag The USD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 150.80, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 149.20 2nd Support – 148.50 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
Buy GBP/AUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.9525 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.9578 2nd Resistance – 1.9606 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 02, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its U.S. counterpart at the start of a critical week and is pulling back from part of Friday's strong upward move to the highest level since Oct. 21. US Treasury yields are recovering amid US President-elect Donald Trump's reaction to the threat of 100 percent tariffs on BRICS countries. This, in turn, is helping to revitalize demand for the US dollar (USD) and is proving to be a key factor directing flows away from the lower-yielding yen. In addition, the bullish tone in equity markets further undermines demand for the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and rising forecasts of another interest rate cut by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in December should limit larger yen losses. Traders are also advised to refrain from aggressive directional bets and wait for important U.S. macroeconomic data this week, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI from this Monday. Consumer inflation data from Tokyo, the capital of Japan, released on Friday showed that core inflation is picking up and bolstered the case for another rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December. Also Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Saturday that the next interest rate hike is near as economic data is on track, although he would like to see what kind of momentum the fiscal 2025 Shunto program will create. Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
AUDUSD TO 0.653000 TOMORROW??Trading Plan 1. Baseline Scenario : - Macro-Fundamental Bias Dovish. The market expects the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates, with a 66.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in December. This expectation is driven by the Fed's recent decision to lower the federal funds rate to 4.50% - 4.75% and ongoing efforts to support maximum employment and achieve the 2% inflation target. - Short Term Sentiment Bias : Dovish. Current sentiment is driven by the recent decline in the US 10-year Treasury yield to 4.2%, reflecting market expectations of further rate cuts and stability under the new Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Additionally, the PCE inflation data aligning with expectations has reinforced the view that the Fed's current policy stance is appropriate. 2. Risk Event Baseline : - Market Expectations: - ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast: 47.7 | Previous: 46.5 - ISM Manufacturing Prices: Forecast: 55.2 | Previous: 54.8 3. Surprise Scenarios : - Negative Surprise: 7If the ISM Manufacturing PMI or ISM Manufacturing Prices data come in below expectations, it could lead to further USD selling pressure. This scenario supports long positions on AUD/USD, as the AUD is likely to strengthen against a weakening USD.
Long
by Midas_Macro
USD/CHF - H4 - Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. FX:USDCHF Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.8689 2nd Support – 0.8619 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
17
TradeCityPro | EURNZD Ideal Short Setup for Next Week👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze EURNZD as the forex market wraps up this week and prepare our triggers for next week’s positions! 🌍 Fundamental Overview Euro (EUR): Benefiting from the ECB's cautious tightening policies aimed at inflation control. Mixed economic data, such as weak industrial output, limits bullish momentum. New Zealand Dollar (NZD): Supported by stronger commodity prices and a resilient domestic economy. The RBNZ maintains a balanced policy outlook, strengthening the NZD further. The contrast between the ECB's inflation focus and the NZD's solid fundamentals tilts the bias toward NZD. Global risk sentiment and commodity trends are pivotal in determining price direction. 🕒 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis EURNZD is consolidating within a range between 1.7836 (support) and 1.8063 (resistance). Last week saw minimal movement, but this consolidation suggests the pair is gearing up for a breakout. The price didn’t reach the resistance this time and got rejected earlier. It is now testing the support level. 📉 Short Position Trigger If 1.7836 is broken with strong momentum, it would trigger a short position, targeting lower levels. 📈 Long Position Trigger If the 1.7836 support holds for an extended time, buyers could step in. A break above 1.8063 would confirm a long opportunity, especially if the price forms higher highs and higher lows in lower timeframes. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
1
Buy EUR/CAD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.4795, This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.4874 2nd Support – 1.4912 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
5
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Days. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2695, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2862 2nd Support – 1.3006 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
TradeCityPro | EURCHF Analysis Rejection or Breakout?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze this forex pair in a simple way and set triggers and alerts to prepare for potential trades. 🌍 Fundamental Overview Euro (EUR): Backed by the ECB's cautious stance on inflation, though mixed economic data, like declining industrial output, limits its strength. Swiss Franc (CHF): Strong as a safe-haven currency, bolstered by geopolitical risks. The SNB maintains a hawkish monetary policy to ensure inflation stability. The monetary policy divergence between the ECB's mild tightening and the SNB's hawkish approach adds bearish pressure on EURCHF, favoring CHF during risk-off sentiment. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe The chart remains strongly bearish, with prices near historic lows, lacking significant support ahead. Fibonacci levels can help identify potential 4H supports. 📉 Short Position Trigger: After a rejection from the trendline, watch for a move towards the 0.92790 support. If 0.92790 breaks with momentum, short positions can target: 0.92440 - 0.92187 - 0.91866 📈 Long Position Trigger: While the chart shows bearish dominance, signs of trend weakness are emerging. However, long trades remain high risk in the current environment. potential long setup could occur after breaking the trendline and the 0.9335 resistance. For safer entries, wait for higher highs and higher lows to form, confirming a bullish shift before taking action. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
1
Easyjet ready to fly?Easyjet records better financial statements, looking at the report is possible to read that LSE:EZJ flew about 5% increase in seats when compared with last year. The revenue increased by 14% this mainly because of the increase of 8% in capacity. Looking over the financial indicator it's noticeable an increase in revenue and the difference compared to 13 week moving average. The price breakout for the second time above the top of ascending triangle following for a cross over the 200ema. The yellow resistance is the strongest one that still needs to be broken. ADX is already above DMI- and being at 19,49 can show some strength confirming the DMI+. EFI barely dropped below zero when the price failed to cross the EMA changing direction above zero rapidly.
LSE:EZJLong
by AFCapital21
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 28, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD was supported in the market on Wednesday, taking the pair on a new course towards 1.0600 in the middle of the weekly trading session. The bullish bounce in the market was mainly due to investors taking a step away from recent dollar buying pressure, rather than any intrinsic strength in the euro itself. Wednesday's data list included a wide range of U.S. economic indicators before stock exchanges close for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, followed by shortened trading hours on Friday. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) rose by an expected 2.8% on an annualized basis in the third quarter, coming as a surprise to no one and having little impact on investor momentum. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) accelerated to 2.8% for the year ended October, also meeting expectations. While rising inflation readings are usually bad for market expectations for future rate cuts, the upward movement was widely expected, and the monthly reading's persistence at 0.3% m/m helped to portray that the surge in prices was a thing of the past. On Friday, traders will be eyeing preliminary European Union inflation data, the harmonized consumer price index (HICP). EU inflation is forecast to rise in the near term, further aggravating the European Central Bank (ECB) as ECB policymakers struggle to find the words to maintain investor confidence in the lopsided European economy. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0600, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish Long for DJTDJT's tremendous buying volume today pushed the stock price to $32.17 (+18.43%). A golden cross formed on the hourly chart on October 8th, and if DJT keeps its bullish momentum, a golden cross will likely form on the 4-hour chart in the next few days. The weekly chart shows that October holds the strongest buying volume for the year. This should help DJT play at a higher value. Fundamental Analysis—The surge is likely due to interest and support for Trump's upcoming presidency. This is what happened in March 2024. DJT's value rose due to the loyal base of Trump supporters. Analysts labeled DJT as a meme stock, trading more on social media buzz than traditional financial metrics. Knowing these fundamental analytics, I believe DJT will find great value and performance depending on a Trump victory.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by LOWCO_487
Sell AUD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe AUD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9104 Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9060 2nd Support – 0.9032 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
TradeCityPro | AUDUSD Analysis Preparing for Movement👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s examine the key triggers for AUDUSD, which appears poised for an interesting move. 🌍 Fundamental Overview: Supported by stable commodity prices, especially iron ore, a key driver of Australia's economy. Recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) comments suggest a balanced stance with no immediate rate hikes. Bolstered by strong economic data and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Mixed global risk sentiment keeps the USD favored as a safe-haven currency. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe AUDUSD has been in a long-term downtrend, losing multiple supports and forming successive lower highs and lows. However, the price has recently stabilized, ranging between 0.64501 and 0.65412. 📉 Short Position Trigger: After breaking the 0.64501 support, initiate a short trade targeting 0.62910. 📈 Long Position Trigger: In case of a false breakdown of the support or prolonged consolidation within the range, open a riskier long trade above 0.65412 , Safer long entries can be considered once higher highs and lows are confirmed. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
2
USD/JPY - H4 - Channel Breakout The USD/JPY pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Breakout pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. USDJPY Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.00, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 151.30 2nd Support – 149.82 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
28
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 27, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to attract some safe haven flows amid tariff threats from US President-elect Donald Trump. In addition, the recent pullback in US Treasury yields following the appointment of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary and expectations that he will rein in the budget deficit provides further support for the low-yielding JPY. This, along with weak US Dollar (USD) price action, led the USD/JPY pair to fall to a near three-week low around 152.700-152.650 during Wednesday's Asian session. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next interest rate hike in December may deter traders from aggressively bullish bets on JPY. Meanwhile, easing geopolitical tensions amid a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah may help limit the safe-haven JPY's gains. On the other hand, the US Dollar is likely to receive support from bets on slower interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which could provide some support to the USD/JPY pair ahead of key US macroeconomic data released later today. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004