Gold Analysis Update: Resistance Levels and Market OutlookHello Everyone!
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Gold Analysis
I'm observing that gold is facing resistance at 2762 on the H1 chart. It has been retesting this level repeatedly and pulling back to 2756.
If gold fails to break 2763 on the H4 candle, we can anticipate a bearish market movement in the next few hours.
All targets are clearly explained in the chart above for your easy understanding.
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Fundamental-analysis
ETH/USDT Setup: Trendline retest before next moveAfter a strong bullish move, ETH/USDT 🔥 broke below its downward trendline 📉 and started moving lower. A potential pullback to retest the broken trendline ⚠️ could be on the horizon before the price resumes its downward path, targeting the key support level 🛑. Traders should watch this zone closely for opportunities! 📊💡
Gold Price Forecast: Key Levels to Watch !!Gold Price Analysis: 🔑 Key Zones and 📉 Potential Reversal at MA200
1️⃣ Resistance Zone 🟥:
The red-highlighted area marks a strong resistance zone. A breakout 🚀 above this level could lead to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Liquidity Zones 💧:
The "In LQ" region shows where liquidity may be resting, suggesting possible retracements or reversals near this point.
3️⃣ 200 EMA Support 📊:
The MA200 (2,734.059) is a critical support level. A breakdown 🔻 here could send prices lower, testing further support levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish: Break above resistance 🟥 with higher highs.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from resistance 🟥 leading to a drop toward the MA200 support 📉.
Watch these levels closely! 🔎
ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View
NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below.
Support Zones
$50-53
Target Zones
$60
$77
Fundamental View
ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease.
The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand.
The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027.
Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.
Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 24, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is attracting buyers towards 1.04500 in the early Asian session on Friday, fuelled by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Later on Friday, preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for January in the Eurozone and Germany will be released. In the US, the flash S&P PMI for January will take centre stage.
U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos led to a decline in the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies. Late on Thursday, Trump said he wants to see interest rates cut immediately and accordingly they should fall across the board.
‘The markets seem to be more concerned about lower rates and any indication that they're going to be cut’, said David Eng, an investment adviser at Sonora Wealth Group in Vancouver.
Meanwhile, ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised on Wednesday that the central bank is ‘not too concerned’ about the risk of inflation from abroad and will continue to cut interest rates at a gradual pace. Markets have priced in a nearly 96% probability that the ECB will cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level.
GOLD-XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold Analysis: The market is in the center zone, indicating potential for upward movement. Look for buying opportunities as the price approaches support levels. Once the market reaches a strong resistance, it could signal a sell setup. Stay cautious, plan your entry and exit carefully, and manage your risk effectively!
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 22, 2025 GBPUSDThe Pound saw mixed results from UK labour data, but the UK's own Labour Department is taking the figures as a grain of salt. On the US side, US President Donald Trump brushed aside his campaign promises of sweeping tariffs against all US trading partners, focusing on new, more subtle tariff threats against US North American trading partners Canada and Mexico.
Markets shuddered as investors tried to keep up with the new headline generator - President Trump. Investors were betting big that the newly minted US president would not impose tariffs on day one, as he has long threatened to do, but a new round of renewed trade rhetoric has market sentiment fluctuating in the mid-range.
With only little significant data scheduled for Wednesday, pairs traders will focus on the headlines likely to be released during US trading hours. Pound traders will be keeping an eye on Friday's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from S&P Global, which is due out on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2280, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
EUR/AUD Bullish Channel (22.1.2025)The EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.6703
2nd Resistance – 1.6732
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BITCOIN CAN MOVE TO GIVEN TARGET AREABitcoin's price action continues to capture attention as it edges closer to a significant target on the charts. Traders and investors are closely monitoring its movement, analyzing key support and resistance levels to predict the next possible breakout or retracement. With market sentiment and trading volumes playing crucial roles, the question remains: will Bitcoin achieve its target, or will it face a correction? Stay updated and ready for potential opportunities as the momentum unfolds!
XAUUSD 1hr chart showing selling opportunity must read caption XAUUSD is showing clear signs of a potential selling opportunity, with market conditions and technical indicators pointing towards a possible bearish movement in gold prices. Traders are advised to closely monitor key levels and patterns that reinforce this trend, as the current setup suggests a favorable environment for initiating sell positions. With global economic factors and technical analysis aligning to support this outlook, now might be an ideal time to prepare for a well-timed sell trade in gold, maximizing the potential for profit as the market unfolds.
NZD/CAD Channel Breakout (22.01.2025)The NZD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8068
2nd Support – 0.8034
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 21, 2025 EURUSDThe Euro-Dollar pair remains in negative territory after cutting its recent losses, trading around 1.03800 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure amid prevailing expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB). Markets expect a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at each of the ECB's next four meetings, driven by concerns over the eurozone's economic outlook and the belief that inflationary pressures will remain subdued.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar against six major currencies, rose to 108.30 at the time of writing. The US Dollar recovered from recent losses in the previous session, helped by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policy and assess the United States' trade relations with Canada, Mexico and China.
However, the dollar faced headwinds after Bloomberg reported that President Donald Trump will not immediately announce new tariffs after his inauguration on Monday. The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the benchmark overnight rate in a range of 4.25 percent to 4.50 percent at its January meeting. However, investors believe that Trump's policies could lead to rising inflationary pressures, which could limit the Fed to another rate cut.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.04000, if consolidated above consider Buy positions, if rebounded consider Sell positions.
GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 188.64
2nd Support – 188.00
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Bitcoin: Don't be blind to the world (Trump inauguration)Regular readers will know that we avoid fundamental analysis In these reports - we stick to the price.
But that doesn’t mean being blind to the world around us.
On Monday January 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated as US President.
I’m sure many of you have your political views about Trump - but just keep those away from your trade ideas!
The crypto market - and Bitcoin especially - has been on a huge rally since Trump spoke at a Bitcoin conference in favour of cryptocurrencies last year.
There’s a chance President Trump could mention Bitcoin in his inaugural speech but even if he doesn’t, the prospect of favourable regulation is broadly positive for Bitcoin - or if we’re more honest - the idea of better regulation could be enough justification to keep the crypto bull run going for now.
Bitcoin
On the weekly chart, we can see Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been trading sideways around the $100,000 level - with roughly $90,000 as support.
But bigger picture it’s a huge uptrend and we want to trade in line with the trend (as always)
Importantly - it just closed the week back over the critical $100K mark - and it did so with a bullish engulfing candlestick that engulfed the previous 3 weeks.
As a reminder - where the week closed is more important than the high or low of the week - and a weekly close is more significant than a daily close. You can think of the closing price as the price that everybody agreed was the right price for that period.
The final missing piece to the bullish breakout is a weekly close at a new record high.
On the daily chart we are watching the broken trendline as well as the $100k level as support that needs to hold if the breakout is going to happen soon.
But while the price trendline is not especially reliable with only two ‘touches’ or swing points the broken RSI trendline is much more significant and shows a big pickup in momentum that will be needed if the price is to break out.
If the breakout does happen, the first barrier that needs to break is $110,000 but after that $120k then even $130k could come quite quickly given Trump’s inauguration this week.
But - as always - that’s just how my team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Send us an email or message us on social media.
cheers!
Jasper
XAUUSD3 strong rejaction on 2730 finally gold rejected 4th time as well, strong strong suply zone. weekly candle was closed bullish, kind of confusion but as techniclly i see a short from , if price din return in favore back to 2730 could be a double top.
everything depend on the market opning on monday.
what are your thought, let me know in the comment.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2709
2nd Support – 2729
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains.
The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released.
Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term.
Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
USD/CHF Wedge BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9094
2nd Support – 0.9063
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to gain significant strength and is languishing near multi-month lows against its US counterpart amid doubts over the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) rate hike plans. Signs of intensifying inflationary pressures in Japan leave the door open for a BoJ rate hike in January or March. In addition, BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino signaled on Tuesday that a rate hike remains a real possibility at the upcoming meeting. However, there was no direct indication in Himino's comments about the possibility of a rate hike in January. Moreover, some investors believe that the BOJ may wait until the spring talks before pulling the trigger.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkishness in December was a key factor behind the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields. This has widened the yield differential between the US and Japan, which in turn is seen as another factor undermining the low-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, risk-on sentiment is deterring traders from placing bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. At the same time, weak US Dollar (USD) price action acts as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation data. The crucial Consumer Price Index (CPI) report may influence the Fed's policy course and stimulate demand for the USD.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 14, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD faltered as markets changed their expectations for interest rates before the end of the year, sending the pair to fresh 15-month lows and breaking through 1.2100, but then ended trading near the 1.2230 starting point.
It has been a quiet start to the week, but more inflation data from both the US and the UK will give traders plenty of material to ponder as they try to determine the first quarter rate differential forecast. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady for the first half of the year, while the Bank of England (BoE) will have to choose between keeping interest rates stable in a still-high inflation environment and risking an inflationary spike to support the floundering UK economy with further rate cuts.
Tuesday's significant data of the week will start with the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which is expected to rise to 3.7% y/y in December from the previous reading of 3.4%. Wednesday will see the release of UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which is also expected to accelerate in the near term, with a rise to 0.4% m/m versus the previous reading of 0.1%.
US CPI inflation, also out on Wednesday, is forecast to rise to 2.8% from 2.7%, US retail sales data is expected on Thursday and UK retail sales round out the list of important data this week.
Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2150, trading mainly with Sell orders
GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2365
2nd Support – 1.2460
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k).
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%.
US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting.
In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control.
The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
NVO LongNovo Nordisk, a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, has traditionally maintained a solid financial standing with strong revenue growth, impressive profitability, and a robust pipeline of new treatments. However, the company has recently faced a significant dip in its stock price, largely due to market concerns related to its obesity treatment segment. While these concerns may reflect short-term volatility or market uncertainty, it’s important to recognize that the company's underlying fundamentals remain strong.
When evaluating the company through the lens of intrinsic value indicators—such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratios, and projected growth rates—Novo Nordisk appears to be trading at a favorable price relative to its long-term growth potential. This suggests that, despite the recent drop in stock price, the company’s shares may be undervalued, offering a potentially attractive entry point for investors who are willing to take a long-term view.
In the long run, the obesity treatment market is expected to grow, and Novo Nordisk’s leadership in this space, along with its diversified portfolio and innovation-driven strategy, could well position it to benefit from future market developments. Therefore, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity for those who believe in the company’s continued strength and market leadership.
#DYOR