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Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices have risen sharply. How should we trade gold? 📣Gold news: US Senate passes Trump tax reform bill. Trump wins major victory Trump's signature tax and spending cuts bill passed the Senate on Tuesday. Republican leaders finally convinced dissenting lawmakers after a hard fight, helping Trump win another political victory. Trump refuses to extend July 9 tariff deadline US President Trump reiterated on Tuesday that he has no intention of extending the 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on most countries after it expires on July 9. When asked whether he would extend the suspension of tariffs, Trump replied on Air Force One: "No, I haven't thought about it. I will write to many countries to notify them of the tariff rates they will face." Gold (XAU/USD) struggled to extend its two-day rally, fluctuating narrowly in the Asian session on Wednesday, just below Tuesday's one-week high. The dollar's slight rebound - from its lowest level since February 2022 - put pressure on gold. Moreover, improving market sentiment continues to weaken demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, further limiting its upside. ⭐️Technical Analysis: Trend lines are steadily picking up, and continued buying could move towards 3383 based on today's ADP-NF data 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3375-3385 ​​SL 3395 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 💰Buy Gold Zone: $3315-$3310 SL $3305 TP1: $3320 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 2, 2025 GBPUSDOn Wednesday, during the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair is trading unchanged at around 1.37450. However, dovish statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and growing concerns about the budget may put pressure on the dollar in the near term. Investors are awaiting the ADP report on US employment for June, which will be released later on Wednesday, in the hope of new momentum. Powell said on Tuesday that the US central bank would be patient about further interest rate cuts, but did not rule out a rate cut at its July meeting, although the decision would depend on incoming data. According to the CME FedWatch tool, short-term interest rate futures now price in the probability of a rate cut in July at almost 1 in 4, up from less than 1 in 5 previously. Investors are concerned about US President Donald Trump's massive tax and spending bill, which could increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion. The bill will return to the House of Representatives for final approval. Fiscal concerns could dampen optimism and contribute to a decline in the US dollar. As for the pound sterling, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said last week that there are currently signs of a weakening UK labor market and stressed that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. The UK central bank is expected to cut interest rates three times by the end of 2025, bringing them to 3.5% to combat sluggish economic growth and a weakening labor market. Rate cuts are expected in August, September, and November 2025, with possible quarterly reductions. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.37450, SL 1.37900, TP 1.36750
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Swing Trade Plan: MAN Industries (NSE: MANINDS) A classic Cup & Handle Pattern bullish continuation pattern showing accumulation and a breakout from resistance. Indicates renewed buying interest. Breakout supported by rising volume, confirming buyer strength. Price holding above 20 and 50 EMA, indicating bullish trend continuation. Company has consistent order inflows and is part of infra/pipe supply chain, aligning with current government spending themes. This is my personal swing trade plan based on price action and fundamental analysis. Please do your own research before taking any investment decision.
NSE:MANINDSLong
by Airborn_trader
XAUUSD Free Signal: Bullish Breakout!!!Hello everyone. I’m sharing a trade setup for GOLD. Gold has shown strong bullish momentum this week. Picture is simple, The setup is straightforward: I’m following the gold uptrend, targeting last week’s high. Type: Buy (Long) Entry: $3,343 (after price breaks resistance at $3,340) Stop Loss (SL): $3,328 (below the recent swing high) Take Profit (TP): $3,393 (targeting last week’s high) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.3 (risking $15 to gain $50) This trade offers a high reward, low risk (1:3 risk-reward ratio). Gold shows buyers dominating and sellers weakening. Additionally, the US dollar index (DXY) is in a strong bearish trend. On higher timeframes (1W, 1D), gold’s recent move appears to be a slow correction, supporting my long position. What do you think of this gold setup? Share your thoughts in the comments! Follow for more free signals, and like if you’re taking this trade! Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risks. Always do your own research and manage your risk carefully.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by elmakacho
Can the pound-yen maintain its uptrend?Fundamental: BoE Governor Bailey signaled potential rate cuts ahead, with markets expecting a 0.25% rate cut in Aug. Political uncertainty persists as UK PM Starmer scaled back on welfare reforms amid a party rebellion, adding to fiscal caution. Trade tensions intensified as US President Trump threatened new tariffs on Japan and demanded greater agricultural access. Technicals: GBPJPY retreated from recent highs following a break above the ascending channel's upper bound. If GBPJPY rebounds from the support at 196.50, the price could extend its rally to the psychological resistance at 200.00. Conversely, a break below 196.50 could prompt a decline to the following support at 193.80. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Long
by lixing_gan
B&G Foods | BGS | Long at $4.45B&G Foods NYSE:BGS , owner of over 50 food brands including Green Giant, Ortega, Cream of Wheat, Mrs. Dash, and Crisco, has dropped nearly 92% in price since its high in 2021. Currently trading at $4.43 and with a book value of $6.43, NYSE:BGS may have some running room in the next 1-2 years for a forward P/E of 10x (currently negative, so there is anticipated growth, though small). This is another company that would greatly benefit from lowered interest rates due to its high debt-to-equity (4x). So, while debt and consumer spending declines may pose a threat to NYSE:BGS , I believe it is currently undervalued. If the stock drops due to poor earnings (which could drop to under $2.00), I will be entering another position unless fundamental / outlook truly change. Thus, at $4.45, NYSE:BGS is in a personal buy zone. Targets into 2027: $5.25 $6.25
NYSE:BGSLong
by WorthlessViews
LSAK - Monthly - Low Market Cap With High PotentialLSAK, currently boasting a low $366 million market cap, presents an intriguing investment opportunity, particularly with institutional backing from powerhouses like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, each holding over 6% of its market share. While its primary client base is in South Africa, the company's business model suggests a strong potential for continued global expansion. Lesaka Technologies has demonstrated steady annual growth since 2020, with a noticeable improvement in net income over the same period. Currently trading at a low point, LSAK is technically at a bottom, with an accumulation range between $3 and $5. As a 5 to 10-year investment, this stock is conservatively projected to reach a valuation of $14-$15 per share, with the potential for significantly higher valuations with strategic partnerships, making it an attractive option for long-term growth-oriented investors. Not financial advice, always do your due diligence Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬. We appreciate and value everyone's feedback! - RoninAITrader
NASDAQ:LSAKLong
by RoninAITrader
SHORT AUS200/ASX200 - TIME TO SHORT THE AUSSIETeam, over the last few days, we have been successfully SHORT BOTH UK100/AUS200, but I did not post the chart Today is a good time to post. Ensure you understand your RISK - can always discuss with us in the room Let's SHORT UK100/FTSE100, I still expect the market to be volatile even though the US expect a rate cut. on the 9th JULY, there will be a tariff announcement, and it could also extend towards September We are SHORTING AUS200 at 8586 toward 8616 - SLOWLY with target at 8562-47 DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8632-56 Target at 8608-8592
PEPPERSTONE:AUS200Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +1160 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success** 9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check: 11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check: 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** RTY and YM leading the way today NQ lagging Why is this? The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory. Money has to come from somewhere. If Money is going to YM and RTY, Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both. There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it Why would it drain from NQ? Easy Because NQ and ES already hit ATH, YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet. So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount News N/A **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Crypto breakouts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surgeJune brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop. Key moves this month : • Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025. • Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity. • Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships. • Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances. • Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk. Underperformers: • Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices. • Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure. According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
7/1/25 - $sbet - How I'm trading this7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SBET How I'm trading this - tl;dr, this is the first *larger* eth "treasury" attempts - while the world is focused on AMEX:BMNR today at 10x NAV, this sits quietly at 1.5x nav - there are two ways shareholders who would buy, say, at today's price would make an "eth yield" - 1/ co raises debt, converts, prefs etc. any flavor and uses this to buy ETH and ETH appreciates in excess of this yield. my sense is this is more difficult "today" given the institutional view of BTC remains *hard enough* (even tho, really, it's not). but with stable coins becoming more in focus, this gives important life to eth narrative in coming cycle (more on this below) - 2/ the mNAV is allowed to expand. if i raise at say 1.5x MNAV and then the stock appreciates toward say 3x MNAV and i raise there again to buy eth... the original holders essentially got a pro-rata distribution in excess of their initial stake. where the logic, here, fails... is that if this is your *only* way to raise $... eventually you collapse back to mnav, essentially... the inverse is also true. if you buy at 3x mnav and stock goes to 2x mnav, uh oh. it requires ever-increasing mnav. we know from BTC treasuries this might be up to 5x (mstr) and up to 10x (metaplanet) and really just depends on your story, size, mgmt, ability to raise outside of just equity etc. etc. - now with this all being said... we look at something like AMEX:BMNR today and there are two main outcomes - 1/ 10x mnav is too high and likely they're advantaged to raise here and dilute current shareholders to buy ETH and in essence it's tough to imagine much more mnav acceleration (but we *are* in that whacky tape and people are just trading price -- i know this from some comment i read today). fair. if this is the case, flows to NASDAQ:SBET should be very positive - 2/ mnav from AMEX:BMNR start to collapse toward say 5x and this affects sentiment for other "eth treasury" co's, namely NASDAQ:SBET and this thing goes to 1.2x mnav vs. say 1.5x today... no bueno -3/ there are others (two others), but above is 80% I think of pie so why eth? aren't you a BTC only guy V? - mm yeah BTC is the only commodity - but i also trade stocks, tech etc. and that's just want these other things are Eth, Sol etc. - with NASDAQ:HOOD launching their L2 on LSE:ARB the other day, tokenizing stocks, with the realization that banks will want to float and distribute their own stables across crypto rails sooner vs. later (and legislation that's allowing for it... more stables = stronger dollar and USD dominance globally)... CRYPTOCAP:ETH will earn the lionshare of the upside here. - of course flows will eventually find their way into $sol... CRYPTOCAP:SUI , NYSE:SEI , etc. etc. but for now CRYPTOCAP:ETH is probably the lowest-risk way to play this - I'm not ruling out that our garden variety pullback sends BTC back to $90k and you know what happens when BTC sneezes... everyone else catches a flu. So that could really hamper CRYPTOCAP:ETH action short term. - But I like the idea of playing not only CRYPTOCAP:ETH at a *reasonable* valuation here (you do pay 50% more! keep that in mind), but there seems to be a willingness to overpay (as AMEX:BMNR shows). so i'm content to neck out here to capture a 50-100% move. but small enough to either size up, look elsewhere and/or close with a loss without any flesh wounds. tl;dr... if u like $bmnr... u should like NASDAQ:SBET more. V
NASDAQ:SBETLong
by VROCKSTAR
Trade Idea: TXRH (Texas Roadhouse) - Position Trading Setup📈 Direction: Long (Swing to Position Trade) 🎯 Entry Zone: $190.00 - $191.07 (Ideal entry near $191.07) ⛔ Stop Loss: $181.57 (-5% risk) 🎯 Take Profit: $211.00 (+10.4% upside) 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2+ 🔍 Why TXRH? 📊 Technical Analysis ✅ Trend: Strong weekly uptrend (higher highs & higher lows) ✅ Moving Averages: Price above SMA 50 ($182.50) & SMA 200 ($175.00) → Bullish structure ✅ MACD Weekly: Positive momentum, no signs of reversal ✅ RSI (Daily): 58 (neutral, room to run before overbought) ✅ Key Levels: Support: $187.50 (recent swing low) Breakout Level: $190.00 (confirmation of continuation) Target: $211.00 (next major resistance) 📉 Fundamental Backing ✔ Revenue Growth: Strong sales & earnings growth (fundamentals support bullish bias) ✔ Debt-Free: Zero debt (financial flexibility) ✔ Valuation: P/E 28.97 (slightly high but justified by growth) 🎯 Trade Execution Plan 🔹 Entry: Wait for confirmation above $190.00 (break & retest ideal) 🔹 Stop Loss: Tighten to $185.00 if price moves favorably 🔹 Take Profit: TP1: $200.00 (partial profit) TP2: $211.00 (full exit) ⚠️ Risk Considerations Market-wide pullback could trigger stop loss High P/E makes it sensitive to sector rotations Monitor earnings dates for volatility 📌 Final Thought: TXRH is a high-quality stock with strong fundamentals and technicals. A break above $190 opens path to $211 with solid R/R. 👍 Like & Follow if you found this useful! Drop your thoughts below. 👇 #TradingView #PositionTrading #Stocks #TXRH #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing
NASDAQ:TXRHLong
by marjaku
7/1/25 - $wolf - Some ppl r not worth saving7/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:WOLF Some ppl r not worth saving - go read the last comment - here we are again... people are somehow allowing the bag holders to exit at more than zero for the thrill of playing a losing game - not only has the company told you the stock is going to zero, they've made this clear a number of times - only reason to monitor these things is to get a pulse on "liquidity" and willingness to play dumb games and win dumb prizes - good luck! avoid V
NYSE:WOLFShort
by VROCKSTAR
7/1/25 - $arbk - "restructure" 1017/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARBK "restructure" 101 - when a company goes to "restructure" that's a euphemism for sending your shares to donut heaven - sign of the times. sometimes it's hard to imagine what goes thru ppl's minds or if they do literally even 30 seconds of "work" before buying things - just recently this happened with $wolf... which i was flamed for pointing out. i think that's also ... *checks notes* also up 125% as of my writing this. - as comedian ron white used to say "can't fix stupid" - sometimes the best move is no move at all. put it in the big stack of "ignore". V
NASDAQ:ARBKShort
by VROCKSTAR