2/28/25 - $arry - NXT is your daddy2/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARRY
NXT is your daddy
i have an absolutely degenerate position in NXT
and for the first time... i feel super comfortable w/ my portfolio. go read my NASDAQ:QQQ note premkt for some context as to my arranging furniture on the titanic. +8% YTD as of writing, gave some back/ a lot tbh... but doing this all from a position of strength. and this is not my first rodeo.
50% NXT leaps, 10% OBTC, 7% NVDA leaps, 4% TSM leaps, 4% UBER leaps and 4% NXT GTFO May '25 $40 strike... about 20% cash.
pencils down everyone.
just listened to the NASDAQ:ARRY conf call and it's hilarious to listen to mgmt answer questions about why their competitor (nextracker) has a. better margins b. booking more backlog c. growing faster d. already has as domestic content solution
and here's the kicker. array is also taking market share in the industry!
the crappy #2 is doing just fine!
hahahahaha.
solar tide certainly still go out
we have some geopol, tariff n3ws to overcome etc. etc. but make no mistake on how nxt's going to start doing billion dollar quarters. FCF generation is probably 700 mm this year and stock trades inside of 5.5 bn enterprise value and flips buybacks in 2H.
could we go lower.
V always says. idk. idc.
have a great weekend friends. we have a great seat in NXT. ARRY is probably even flooring/ a buy here. but why mess with #2 when they're so far in the rearview.
NXT only. there is no second best.
V
Fundamental Analysis
XLF - housing slow down in FL and AZ - bear spread and long putXLF bear spread and long put is my trade, thesis is we may be creating a double top.
Banks have run up quit abit and are far away from their book value.
Housing seems to be slowing in Florida and Arizona.
Tarriffs may muddle with international payments, at least creating desire for certainty.
Vix volatility is threatening to go higher. I dont trade vix directly.
be safe out there!
Gold’s Glimmering Pullback: A Strategic PauseIn recent weeks, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a notable pullback from its record highs, influenced by a combination of technical indicators and fundamental factors. The emergence of a Shooting Star candlestick pattern at the peak suggests potential short-term bearish momentum, while overbought conditions indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) further support the likelihood of a temporary correction. Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have intensified gold’s rally. However, positive economic data has led to speculation that the Fed may slow the pace of rate cuts, contributing to the recent price decline. Despite this pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish, with analysts viewing the current dip as a strategic opportunity for investors to enter the market at more favorable levels. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
What Broadcom’s Chart Says Heading into Next Week’s EarningsTech giant Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO will report fiscal first-quarter results after the bell next Thursday (March 6). What does technical and fundamental analysis say about the stock heading into the results?
Let’s see:
Broadcom’s Fundamental Analysis
I generally think of Broadcom as a semiconductor business that designs, develops and supplies higher-end chips to a range of businesses, but AVGO is also an enterprise-software operation and a cybersecurity-solutions business.
In fact, some investors see Broadcom as one of the best-run, most well-rounded tech companies in the United States (or around the world for that matter).
Oh, and what's with the stock symbol “AVGO”?
Well, do you guys remember Avago? That was a semiconductor company that designed and developed both analog and digital devices.
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan headed Avago back in 2016 when Avago acquired Broadcom, but management decided to name the combined company “Broadcom” because that was better known than Avago.
Still, one quirk left over from the 2016 deal is that Tan never thought to change his company's stock symbol from “AVGO” (unless he just prefers the oddity of it all).
As for Broadcom’s upcoming earnings, Wall Street's consensus view is that the firm will record $1.51 of adjusted earnings per share and $0.85 in GAAP EPS on $14.6 billion of revenue.
Numbers like that would amount to 26% year-over-year adjusted earnings growth and 22% in y/y revenue gains. (Readers might recall that almost three months ago, the firm guided fiscal Q1 sales to $14.6 billion -- well above the Street's expectations at the time for something like $14.1 billion.)
Beyond EPS and revenues, AVGO has long been a free-cash-flow machine. The company generated $5.6 billion of operating cash flow and $5.5 billion of free cash flow in its fiscal third quarter ended Nov. 2. That represented a 39% gain on the free-cash-flow side from the same quarter a year earlier.
As a matter of fact, Broadcom hasn’t produced less than $4 billion in operating cash flow for any quarter in the past 10. It also held capital expenditures to $132 million or less in all of those three-month periods.
Broadcom’s Technical Analysis
Here’s AVGO’s chart as of Tuesday (Feb. 26) going back approximately four months:
What a wild chart!
Readers might first notice the “double top” pattern of bearish reversal spanning from late November into mid-January (and marked with the red line).
This produced a gap-down move in January that triggered the pattern’s $218 neckline, which was the stock’s pivot point at the time. (AVGO was trading at $198.75 at midday Friday.)
However, the last leg of Broadcom’s bearish double-top pattern later morphed into the first leg of a new double-bottom pattern of bullish reversal, marked with green line at right with a $238 pivot point/neckline.
But interestingly, before the stock reaches the bullish pattern’s neckline, Broadcom will have to get past its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a blue line) at $227 in the chart above.
If you're a bull, that's two upside pivots for you. But if you're a bear, that's two obstacles where resistance could show up.
Meanwhile, Broadcom’s 21-day EMA (marked with a green line) recently crossed under its 50-day SMA (the blue line). That’s often seen as a "swing trader's death cross" –- which is historically a potentially bearish pattern.
Looking at other indicators, Broadcom’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line in the above chart) is weak, but improving.
However, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator -- or “MACD,” marked by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom -- is less than bullish.
Broadcom’s 12-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a black line) is below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). And the histogram of the stock’s 9-day EMA (the blue bars at bottom) has been below zero since Feb 19. Historically, this can all be bearish.
The bottom line? This is a chart that could go either way.
I have no skin in this game, but I see the bullish double-bottom pattern as potentially more impactful than the stock’s MACD, RSI and swing trader's death cross. However, you could argue the point either way.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in AVGO at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
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UK HOUSE PRICES: RELENTLESS UPTRENDIn January 2025, the latest figures reveal that UK house prices have risen by 0.7%, pushing the average price to a staggering £299,238, a new all-time high. For the mainstream media, the narrative of an impending house price crash has been a constant refrain over the past two years, fueled by the belief that prolonged high interest rates would spell disaster for the housing market.
Indeed, these elevated interest rates have significantly hindered the natural upward trajectory of house prices, which typically rise in response to inflation, a growing population, and a persistent shortage of new housing construction.
The current stagnation in UK house prices resembles a pressure cooker, building up energy that is bound to release in a dramatic surge. The government’s ongoing strategy of printing money to appease voters will inevitably flow into asset prices, leading to inflation in these markets, much like the consumer price inflation we’ve already witnessed.
The government finds itself in a bind, compelled to continue this money printing to meet the electorate's demands for free money and to manage an ever-growing debt burden. As the debt increases, so does the need for borrowing to service it. This cycle makes it increasingly challenging for the UK to lower long-term borrowing rates, especially compared to the US, which still holds sway over the global financial landscape.
UK house prices are gradually regaining momentum following the fallout from the Liz Truss debacle, a situation she seems to remain blissfully unaware of, despite the havoc her brief six-week tenure as Prime Minister wreaked on the British economy.
The financial landscape was nearly sent tumbling into chaos, prompting the Bank of England to step in with an unprecedented commitment to purchase UK Government Bonds. The economy is so fragile that the UK is now compelled to invest in US government bonds to shore up its financial system against the spectre of another crisis reminiscent of the Truss era under Labour. We were perilously close to a financial meltdown!
Currently, UK house prices are inching towards a potential increase of around 10% per year, indicating a modest upward trend rather than a frenzied housing boom, while also avoiding the catastrophic price drop that the media seems to obsess over.
Ultimately, average house prices in the UK are set to rise, irrespective of government actions or economic conditions. Therefore, those considering the purchase of a standalone house should act without hesitation, as flats and new builds present more complicated challenges—flats can become a logistical nightmare, and new developments might be situated in flood-prone areas, among other concerns.
EOS USDT 📊 Current Market Overview EOS ( NYSE:EOS ) :
EOS is currently trading at $0.5567, showing a sharp decline but approaching a key support zone. The price has formed a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting an upcoming breakout.
📌 Key Price Levels
Support Zone: $0.50 - $0.55 (Potential Accumulation Area)
Resistance Targets:
$0.9777 (First Target 🎯)
$1.2594 (Second Target 🚀)
$1.5051 (Final Target 🔥)
Nextdoor Holdings | NEXT | Long at $1.75If you have ever been on Nextdoor NYSE:KIND , then you are aware of how many people are addicted to local news, drama, and crime watching. Add AI to this mix, and I only see growth with this company (if the company manages it correctly). While other social media platforms like X, Meta NASDAQ:META , Rumble NASDAQ:RUM , Reddit NYSE:RDDT , etc are focused on world news and drama, the niche with NYSE:KIND is unique. User growth will mean everything in the long-term (Q4, 2024 - total weekly active users was 45.9 million, which was an increase of 10% year-over-year).
I was hoping to enter after the most recent earnings call since I anticipated a major drop to close the large price gap below $2.00 (the company is developing the "Next" platform to enhance user growth and revenue (anticipated release is mid-2025) which will hit earnings). Maybe this platform will be a dud since the company has been hush about it, but it least shows a plan for growth and engagement.
At $2.75, NYSE:KIND is in a personal buy-zone. I'm prepared for a bumpy ride... the $1 zone or under isn't out of question - reason this is a "starter" position.
Targets:
$2.00
$2.25
$2.45
WHITEROCK will move into a MultiBillion Market CapI feel this is the future of crypto and the stock market.
I like that this is in the top 3 holdings of Vitalik Buterin
intel.arkm.com
WhiteRock has a ton of potential to be in multi billion market cap in less than 12 months.
If you are in the US you need a VPN to access this website.
NVDA to 151? Morning Trading Fam
Currently this is what I am seeing with NVDA, looks like we have decent support around 118 if that level holds I can see us driving up to 144 then 151 from here. However if we break through the 118 support: we could possibly see a massive breakdown down to 87-88 dollar range.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
EUR/USD setup for downside move to the parity with USDDuring January and February EUR/USD was bulding nice upper trend line and building up the base for forming of bottom crossing important averages and resistance lines. Unfortunately upper move was negated and we broke down the 1.0422 important support. From now on I expect at lest retest of low 1.0177 in weeks and months to come with the door open to reach parity with US dollar and retest the 2022 lows.
Shorting / average price 1.0458. R/R 1:10.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 24 - Feb 28]OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase for the 8th consecutive week, marking the longest increasing streak in many years. Opening the week at 2,886 USD/oz, gold price peaked at 2,955 USD/oz and closed at 2,936 USD/oz. The main reason is concern about US tariff policy causing economic instability, increasing global gold demand. In addition, many central banks, especially in the BRICS bloc, are also actively buying gold.
Gold prices will have more room to rise higher due to the ongoing geopolitical and geo-economic instability, including the Trump administration's tariff policy and the risk of political instability in Europe. Additionally, demand for investing in gold-backed exchange-traded funds is also growing.
The US PCE inflation report, released next Friday, may affect gold prices through FED interest rate adjustments. If PCE increases, the FED may delay cutting interest rates, which is detrimental to gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE drops sharply, the gold price could exceed 3,000 USD/oz.
SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Tuesday morning will see the February US Consumer Confidence report, followed by January New Home Sales data on Wednesday.
On Thursday, markets will receive preliminary reports on US fourth-quarter GDP, January Durable Goods Orders and weekly jobless claims, followed by US pending housing contract data later in the morning.
However, the most important event of the week will be the US core PCE index on Friday, along with the January personal income and personal spending reports. This is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, helping gold traders gauge the outlook for interest rates in the near term.
📌Technically, although the gold price is still maintaining an uptrend, however, on the Weekly and Daily charts, some technical indicators such as MACD show signs that the price has diverged, the moving average lines (EMA34,89) are quite far from the price line, this shows that the gold price next week may face adjustment pressure before continuing to increase again, unless there are fundamental factors that have a strong impact on the gold price.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,946USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 2999⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3005
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2834 - 2836⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2830
ETH Wyckoff Mode (First one got moderated)The Schematic seems to be holding true for the moment.
ETH seems to be ahead of BTC's schematic at the moment.
ETH has seen its SOW(Sign of Support) and is possibly in Phase E(Down Trend)
What to look for next? Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic (Bullish).
Preliminary Support(PS): Initial buying pressure slows the downtrend.
Selling Climax (SC): Sharp decline with heavy volume as weak hands sell.
Automatic Rally (AR): Price rebounds as selling pressure eases. This could be a nice area to look for a scalp.
The alternative theory is that we have already seen a PS instead of a SOW and this could be the SC.
Time will tell and hopefully our indicators can give us a cleared path forward.
You might need to drop down to lower timeframes such as Daily to see things more clearly such as PS, SC and AR.
Remain adaptable in your analysis.
Trump Media ($DJT) – Truth Social’s Latest MovesTrump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) – Truth Social’s Latest Moves
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! 🌞 Trump Media ( NASDAQ:DJT ) is trending 📈, last at $ 29.23 per Feb 18, 2025, close (Yahoo Finance), down 3.82% that day. Q4 2024 showed a $ 401M loss, yet cash reserves hit $ 777M 🌿. Let’s dive into this social media play! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Feb 18, 2025: $ 29.23, down 3.82% from $ 30.39 💰
• Q4 2024: Revenue at $ 1M, down from $ 1.1M year prior 📏
• Full Year 2024: $ 3.6M sales, $ 401M net loss 🌟
It’s volatile, with cash as a lifeline! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: $ 6.43B as of Feb 18, 2025, per Yahoo 🏆
• User Base: 9M Truth Social sign-ups as of Feb 2024 ⏰
• Trend: Exploring M&A, per Feb 14 filing 🎯
Firm, betting on growth! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 Earnings: $ 401M loss reported Feb 14, 2025 🔄
• Expansion: Plans for Truth.Fi ETFs, per Feb 6 Reuters 🌍
• Market Reaction: Flat post-earnings, per CNBC 📋
Adapting, diversification’s key! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Losses: $ 401M hit in 2024, per Feb 14 filing 🔍
• Competition: Meta, X pressure social media 📉
• Regulation: Legal woes linger, per Feb 14 SEC ❄️
Tough, but risks loom large! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Cash Reserves: $ 777M buffer, per Feb 14 filing 🥇
• Brand: Trump loyalty drives interest 📊
• Flexibility: M&A plans in motion 🔧
Got resilience in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Revenue down, losses up 📉
• Opportunities: Crypto ventures, M&A growth 📈
Can NASDAQ:DJT turn cash into wins? 🤔
(8/9) – NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 23.93 , cash-rich but loss-heavy, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $ 35+ soon, M&A pays 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance ⚖️
• Bearish: $ -20 looms, losses weigh 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
NASDAQ:DJT ’s $ 29.23 Feb 18 close masks $ 777M cash stash 📈, but $ 401M losses sting 🌿. Volatility bites, yet dips are our DCA gold 💰. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?