Can Netflix Reach One Trillion Dollars? Can Netflix Reach One Trillion Dollars? The Market Already Bets on It
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Netflix, the giant of digital entertainment, continues to cement its position as the global benchmark in streaming. With a market capitalization exceeding $515 billion, the platform is halfway to the trillion-dollar milestone, but more and more analysts and fund managers see this target as achievable in the medium term.
Strategies That Make the Difference
After the boom during the pandemic, Netflix faced fierce competition in its quest to gain and retain subscribers. The company responded with key measures: cracking down on password sharing, raising prices across its plans, and introducing an ad-supported subscription tier, an initiative that has significantly boosted performance metrics.
Thanks to this hybrid strategy, the company now boasts over 94 million monthly active users, many of whom fall within the highly desirable 18–34 age demographic, a segment with high long-term retention potential and strong appeal to advertisers.
Moreover, the platform has enhanced its advertising segmentation tools, enabling brands to reach their target audiences more precisely. Combined with Netflix’s data-driven content production model, this places the company in a highly competitive position compared to its industry peers.
Fundamental Analysis: Sustainable Growth and Competitive Edge
From a fundamental standpoint, Netflix is in a strong position with clear growth drivers:
• Revenue and earnings expansion: In the first half of 2025, the company reported over 15% year-on-year revenue growth and nearly 27% net income growth.
• Free cash flow on the rise: Both internal and external projections indicate that free cash flow (FCF) could double within five years, providing room for further content investment without increasing debt.
• Data-driven competitive advantage: Advanced analytics allow Netflix to optimize original content production based on viewing patterns, generating shows and films with higher success potential.
• Scalable model with increasing margins: The rising ARPU (average revenue per user) in the ad-supported tier suggests Netflix could boost margins without significantly raising operating costs.
• Low debt levels: With manageable net debt and healthy leverage ratios, the company retains financial flexibility for continued organic growth or share buybacks.
Analyst Ratings
According to TipRanks, 38 analysts currently cover Netflix stock. Of those, 29 rate it a Buy and 9 a Hold, with an average price target of $1,255.76.
• Highest price target: $1,600 – Jeffrey Wlodarczak (Pivotal Research)
• Lowest price target: $950
• JPMorgan rating: Hold, with a target of $1,220 – Doug Anmuth
These figures reflect solid market confidence in Netflix’s upward trajectory, though they also suggest that some of the optimism is already priced in.
Technical Analysis: Signs of Strength
Netflix closed Tuesday at $1,278.59, staying above key medium- and long-term resistance levels. The 50-period moving average has remained below the price since mid-April, reinforcing the bullish trend. The RSI is in overbought territory (71.62%), and although the MACD is no longer positive, momentum remains strong in the short term.
This is further supported by a Point of Control (POC) around the $985 level, which served as the support base for the previous upward leg. These mixed signals suggest that a consolidation phase could occur before the stock resumes a stronger upward movement.
The current upward channel has remained intact, pushing prices toward the upper bound, where a retest of limits is likely. A sideways phase between $1,282.57 and $1,400 may precede a new breakout attempt.
Conclusion
Netflix has shown exceptional adaptability in capitalizing on shifts in digital consumer behavior. With a solid financial foundation, sustainable growth, and unique competitive advantages in data and content, the company has a real shot at reaching a one-trillion-dollar valuation. Time and execution will ultimately decide whether that goal is achieved—but the groundwork is already in place.
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Fundamental Analysis
WTI CRUDE OIL USD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Price is reacting from a weekly FVG just below the 50% of a larger range, with some bullish momentum possibly fueled by recent geopolitical tensions.
But price is still within a bearish range acting as resistance, so upside may remain limited unless structure shifts.
A daily bullish OB below the 50% of that range could offer a solid pullback entry if price retraces which is aligning with the broader narrative and upside liquidity. Im having a neutral view of this and leveraging on both sides.
What are your thoughts?
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech
17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency.
Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold.
From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Sell EURUSDI'm analyzing EURUSD, and on the 4-hour timeframe, the overall market is in an uptrend. In the 1-hour timeframe, a minor downtrend has been broken, and the price looks like it is showing reversal pattern and if the market breaks that reversal trend then I will look for sell till that red line.
If the market run as per my analysis then I will look for buy along with overall trend after sell.
Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary:
The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300.
Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September.
Market analysis:
Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change.
The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
Gold Forming Triple Top – Correction Ahead?Gold is currently showing a triple top pattern while holding at a key trendline support.
With geopolitical tensions easing, US inflation cooling off, and a potential Fed rate cut on the horizon, gold may be set for a correction.
A drop toward the $2,900/oz zone looks likely — this will be a critical support level. A break below it could trigger a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Money Flow looking for 101kPer 2hr chart I can see a bearish divergence as smart money is unloading. This is is a liquidity grab by the whales. I eventually see Bitcoin retracing back to 98k. I will layered my charts gradually for you to review... disclosure I do have a short position active.
06/24/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: -717.50
Sleep: 4.5 hours - heat waves in nyc
Overall health: meh
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** 4/4
9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 5 pts
9:42 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal (failed)
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 20pt
11:58 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (failed)
What’s one key lesson or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
There are days that the algo will lose but you just gotta trust the process and execute accordingly with a stoploss.
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6130 = Bullish, Under 6125= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Boeing (BA, 1W) Falling Wedge + H-Projection TargetOn the weekly chart, Boeing has formed a classic falling wedge — a bullish reversal pattern that typically signals the end of a correction phase. After a sharp decline from $267.97 to $138, price action began to compress within a wedge, forming lower highs and higher lows on declining volume — a textbook setup for a breakout.
The structure remains active: a confirmed breakout above the upper wedge boundary, with a retest near $181.60 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement), would validate the pattern and trigger the next upward phase.
The projected move (H) equals the height of the previous impulse — $130.02. Adding this to the base of the wedge (~$138) yields a technical target of $268.00, aligning with the previous high and completing the structural recovery.
Technical summary:
– Multiple confirmations of wedge support
– Volume declining into the apex (bullish)
– Entry zone: breakout + retest at $181.60
– Mid-level resistance: $198.09 (0.5 Fibo)
– Final target: $267.97–$268.00 (H-projection complete)
Fundamentals:
Despite operational setbacks, Boeing remains structurally positioned for recovery as demand for commercial aircraft rebounds. Additional support could come from improving supply chains, increased defense contracts, and a more dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve heading into 2025.
A breakout above $181.60 and sustained momentum would confirm the falling wedge pattern and activate the H-measured move toward $268. This is a structurally and fundamentally supported mid-term recovery setup
Extra infoGeopolitical Gold Risk: EU Alarmed Over U.S. Custodianship
Rising geopolitical volatility and former President Trump’s escalating rhetoric against the U.S. Federal Reserve have sparked renewed European concerns over national gold reserves stored in the U.S., especially in Germany and Italy. Both nations hold the second and third-largest gold reserves globally (3,352 and 2,452 tonnes respectively), with a significant portion—over $245 billion in total—custodied at the New York Fed.
Lawmakers and public advocacy groups across the political spectrum in both countries are urging repatriation of gold to domestic vaults, citing Trump’s erratic policy stances and potential interference with central bank independence. The Bundesbank continues to defend New York's strategic value, while Italy remains silent. A growing number of central banks globally are reportedly shifting or planning to shift gold home as a precautionary move.
Japan’s Political Shifts: LDP Faces Voter Blowback Over Inflation
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered a historic electoral defeat in Tokyo’s local assembly elections, signaling growing voter discontent over surging food prices and stagnant wages. The LDP lost 8 of its 30 seats, surrendering its top position to Governor Yuriko Koike’s regional party, Tomin First.
With upper house elections on July 20, this loss raises risks of further political fragmentation. The populist right-wing Sanseito party gained seats for the first time, showcasing a shift toward fringe movements. PM Ishiba’s government also faces diplomatic and economic pressure as Trump threatens tariffs on Japanese imports. Tokyo’s results act as a warning sign that inflation and trade anxieties are materially influencing voter behavior.
U.S.-Korea Defence Diplomacy: Rolls-Royce Eyes GE Replacement
As South Korea reassesses its KF-21 fighter jet engine partner, UK officials are lobbying aggressively for Rolls-Royce to replace GE Aerospace, citing U.S. export restrictions that limit Seoul’s ability to sell jets internationally. The KF-21’s export prospects to Indonesia and the UAE are reportedly at risk due to American national security clauses.
Rolls-Royce proposes a joint development model to de-risk the engine program. However, entrenched U.S.–Korea defense ties, including Hanwha’s integration with U.S. military platforms, complicate this pivot. The U.K. seeks not only defense industrial collaboration but strategic geopolitical alignment with Seoul as a hedge against U.S. protectionism.
Energy Sector on Edge: Majors Withdraw Staff Amid Escalation Risks
European energy giants BP, TotalEnergies, and Eni have begun evacuating foreign staff from Iraqi fields, citing risk of Iranian retaliation after U.S. strikes on Tehran’s nuclear facilities. Operations remain intact, but local authorities confirm precautionary withdrawals, with Total reportedly pulling 60% of its expats.
Rumaila, Zubair, and southern Iraqi fields are proximate to Iranian territory and vulnerable to missile or proxy militia attacks. Analysts caution that Iran could exploit asymmetric tactics via regional militias, threatening key infrastructure without directly engaging U.S. forces. Shell, also present via Basra Gas, declined comment. The withdrawal underscores the fragile security balance as military posturing continues to escalate.
Oil Markets Volatile: Trump Demands Surge in U.S. Production
Following Brent crude’s spike to $81.40 and a subsequent intraday fall to $76.90, President Trump urged the Department of Energy to “DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!” to stabilize prices. His public messaging emphasizes a fear that elevated oil costs play into enemy strategies, pressuring energy firms and OPEC+ to expand output.
So far, Middle East supply has not been disrupted, and no damage to the Strait of Hormuz—which handles 21 million barrels/day—has been recorded. However, analysts from S&P, SEB, and RBC warn of continued upside risk if Iran or its proxies target tankers, refineries, or pipelines. Several tankers have already changed course or anchored to avoid chokepoints, signaling preemptive market caution.
Financial Markets and Central Bank Tensions
Trump’s repeated interventions into Fed policy, combined with tariff-driven inflation concerns, have created a highly politicized environment for monetary policy. He has publicly demanded immediate rate cuts to 1–2%, pressuring Powell amid signs of internal division among Fed governors.
With inflation nearing the Fed's 2% target but geopolitical risks rising, Powell must testify to Congress this week and defend the institution's independence. A shift in Fed leadership post-2026 under a Trump administration may fundamentally reshape U.S. monetary credibility if dovish, politically loyal appointees take over.
European Fixed Income Competition: Vanguard Cuts Fees
As competition heats up in Europe’s bond ETF market, Vanguard has slashed fees on 7 of its 15 European fixed income ETFs. The changes reduce average expense ratios to 0.11%, part of a broader push to gain share from leaders like BlackRock and State Street.
This move aligns with Vanguard’s U.S. fee overhaul earlier this year, aimed at democratizing access to fixed income. European investors increasingly demand lower-cost bond solutions as the bond market now exceeds equities in size, yet remains more opaque and less efficient. The fee cut should help catalyze inflows from cost-sensit
GOLD Ceasefire Violations Alleged:
Despite the ceasefire, both sides have accused each other of violations:
Israel reportedly struck a radar site north of Tehran just hours after the ceasefire was due to take effect, but refrained from further attacks following a direct call between Trump and Netanyahu.
Iranian missiles were fired toward Israel after the ceasefire announcement, but it is unclear if these were intentional breaches or operational delays.
GOLD safe haven appeal resumes buying in the face of war and geopolitical tension in middle east
Stellantis | STLA | Long at $9.59Stellantis NYSE:STLA is the maker of the auto brands Fiat, Peugeot, Jeep, Citroën, Opel/Vauxhall, Ram Trucks, Dodge, Chrysler, Alfa Romeo, Maserati, DS Automobiles, Lancia, Abarth, and Vauxhall. The stock has fallen sharply due to a 70% profit drop in 2024, weak U.S. sales, high inventory, and tariff uncertainties. The turnaround for NYSE:STLA beyond 2025 hinges on new CEO Antonio Filosa’s focus on U.S. market recovery, new product launches (e.g., Ram 1500 Ramcharger, Jeep hybrids), pricing adjustments, aggressive marketing, $5B U.S. manufacturing investment, and mending dealer relations. The stock is trading at a P/E of 5.1x, debt-to-equity of 0.8x (not bad), a book value of $29 (undervalued), a tangible book value of $9.82, and earnings and revenue are forecasted to grow into 2028. Economic weakening and tariffs may hamper these predictions, but the new CEO and future interest rate drops may get this stock rolling again.
However, if NYSE:STLA shows zero sign of near-term recovery or other fundamental issues arise, I truly think this stock could enter the high $5-$6 range before a true reversal begins.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price is currently with my selected "crash" simple moving average. This area often signifies a near-term bottom, but like mentioned above, watchout out for the "major crash" simple moving average area currently between $5.83 and $7.09.
Regardless of bottom predictions, NYSE:STLA is in a personal buy zone at $9.59 with a greater position likely if it enters my "major crash" zone, as mentioned above.
Targets into 2027:
$12 (+25.1%)
$14 (+46.0%)
Report - June 24, 2025Geopolitical Flashpoint: U.S.–Iran–Israel Conflict Reaches Temporary Pause
After weeks of escalating military engagement, President Trump has declared a phased cease-fire between Iran and Israel, effective June 25. While Israel has not officially confirmed, both sides reportedly agreed to halt attacks if met with mutual restraint. Iran launched 14 missiles toward Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on Monday in retaliation for the U.S. bombing of its nuclear sites; 13 were intercepted with no casualties. This symbolic attack was designed as a “face-saving” gesture, avoiding a broader conflict or disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint.
Market Impact:
Oil dropped sharply (WTI -7.2%, Brent -6.8%) as war premium unwound.
Equities rallied (S&P 500 +1%, Dow +0.9%) on relief from escalation.
Risk-off unwound modestly with global equities rising in Asia (Nikkei +1.1%, Hang Seng +1.8%).
Strategic Implications:
A durable cease-fire is far from guaranteed. Israel may not comply long-term.
Iran’s restraint signals desire for diplomatic off-ramp, supported by Qatari mediation.
U.S. avoided further retaliation, citing the limited scope of Iran’s action as justification.
Trump’s Pressure on the Fed and the ‘Powell Trap’
President Trump has intensified attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, demanding sharp rate cuts (targeting 1–2%). With inflation still near 2.6% Core PCE and tariffs starting to filter through consumer prices, the Fed risks its credibility if it yields to political pressure.
Fed Dynamics:
Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller (Trump appointees) support July cuts due to labor concerns.
Powell testifies before Congress this week, expected to defend central bank independence.
Market Reaction:
10-Year yield fell to 4.32%, 2-Year to 3.83%.
FedWatch: 22.7% chance of July cut, up from 14.5% pre-Iran strike.
Strategic Outlook:
Fed faces a no-win scenario: cut and risk inflation, or hold and face political firestorm.
Political pressure ahead of Powell’s February 2026 term expiry is rising—Trump may be shaping a post-Powell Fed regime.
U.S. Housing Market Update: Rising Inventory, Stalled Buyers
May existing-home sales rose +0.8% MoM (vs. -1.3% est.) but remain near record lows (4.03M annualized). Inventory rose +6.2% MoM, +20.3% YoY, yet affordability remains a major obstacle.
Median price: $422,800 (near record), +1.3% YoY.
Mortgage rates >6.5%, limiting buyer participation.
Price cuts surged (1 in 4 listings), showing seller capitulation.
Homes are sitting longer (27 days on market vs. 24 a year ago).
Implications:
Affordability gap persists: $100k income now affords just 37% of listings vs. 65% in 2018.
Selective regional strength: Midwest/Northeast stronger than Sunbelt/Southwest.
Energy Sector: Fragile but Stabilized for Now
Iran’s deliberate avoidance of energy infrastructure has led to a collapse in crude prices post-spike. However, risks remain:
Strait of Hormuz still vulnerable; closure would cut ~20% of global oil supply.
WTI pulled back to $75.67, Brent at $78.89—still ~10% higher than pre-June levels.
Trump publicly pressuring oil markets to keep prices low, signaling political discomfort with oil shocks during re-election year.
Energy Equities:
Exxon -2.6%, Halliburton -6.8% — oil-linked stocks lagged.
European oil names may rally if prices stay elevated: 7.8% EPS boost with +20% oil (Panmure).
Diageo | DEO | Long at $101.15Diego NYSE:DEO is the owner of alcohol brands such as Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, Smirnoff, Baileys, Guinness, Tanqueray, Don Julio, Cîroc, and Captain Morgan. The stock has fallen significantly since 2021 due to several factors, such as: post-COVID recovery slowdown; retail/travel disruptions hurting high-margin segments; inflationary pressures raising costs for materials like glass and agave, squeezing margins; consumer downtrading to cheaper alternatives; and macroeconomic headwinds. While tariffs may prolong overall recovery, I do not think it's the end for this company by any means.
Factors likely to drive NYSE:DEO stock higher include:
Interest Rate Cuts : Expected U.S. rate cuts in 2025 could boost consumer confidence and spending, benefiting premium brands. Lower rates may also reduce debt costs, easing pressure on its debt load.
Productivity Initiatives : NYSE:DEO $2B savings program (2025-2027) aims to improve efficiency, margins, and cash flow, potentially restoring investor confidence.
Undervaluation : Trading at 17.5x forward earnings (below historical 21x), the stock may attract value investors.
From a technical analysis perspective, NYSE:DEO has been riding my "crash" simple moving average zone. While the momentum has a strong downtrend, entry into this "crash" zone typically only happens a few times before a trend reversal. But there is a good probability, that my "major crash" zone (currently in the $80s) is possible before a true reversal. Regardless, without a crystal ball, I am starting to form a position and plan to add more if the "major crash" happens with this stock.
Thus, at $101.15, NYSE:DEO is in a personal buy zone with the noted potential for a drop into the $80s due to projected earnings revisions, etc.
Targets into 2027:
$120.00 (+18.6%)
$140.00 (+38.4%)
Dark moment for prices. Will it fall even lower?Information summary:
Due to the ceasefire in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite has rebounded, demand for safe-haven assets has declined, and gold prices have plummeted. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of declining risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a hearing of the House Financial Services Committee. Powell has been cautious about whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
Market analysis:
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling has become the only path. It seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold price has fallen to around 3295, then rebounded slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3313. The break of 3300 declares that gold still has further room to fall, and from the trend point of view, it is likely to continue to fall.
The current trend shows that the important support is around 3285. It is possible that it will fall directly to the current position. The Fed is still speaking, and it is unpredictable whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future. However, from today's trend, shorting is the best solution at present, and the upper resistance position is in the range of 3315-3325.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3320, stop loss 3330, profit range 3290-3285.
Safe Entry Line LEUSafe Entry 135.5$ Price Level.
LEU Target 315$ Price Level.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Line:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Line.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Gold prices rose as dollar data was not good
📌 Gold information:
Gold prices plunged on Tuesday as a ceasefire was declared in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite rebounded, and demand for safe-haven assets declined. The ceasefire news pushed global stocks higher, while oil prices fell to a two-week low as concerns about supply disruptions eased. The plunge in crude oil prices also further suppressed gold's inflation hedging appeal. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of waning risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's appearance at a House Financial Services Committee hearing. Powell has been cautious on whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
📊Comment Analysis
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling seems to be the only way to go. Today, whether you look at rebound short or low long, basically you will not have a chance, that is, falling, it seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold has fallen to 3295, and the break of 3300 declares that gold has further room to fall. From the trend point of view, it is likely to fall now!
The further strong support on the current trend line is around 3274, and it is not ruled out that it will fall directly to the current position. At present, the Federal Reserve is still speaking, and whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future is still unpredictable, but from today's trend, shorting is already the best solution at present, and the upper resistance can first look at 3330!
💰Strategy Package
Gold: Rebound 3325-3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3290-3300!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
Trade Idea: ETN (Eaton Corporation) - Breakout OpportunityTicker: ETN (NYSE) | Sector: Industrial/Energy Infrastructure
📈 Trade Setup
Entry: $340.5 (Current price near breakout level)
Stop Loss: $315 (-7.5% from entry)
Take Profit: $391.68 (+15% upside)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔍 Technical Analysis
Trend & Momentum:
Daily Chart: Strong uptrend (Higher highs & higher lows).
RSI (14): 62 (Bullish but not overbought).
MACD: Bullish crossover above signal line.
Key Levels:
Support: $315 (200-day SMA + previous resistance turned support).
Resistance: $350 (Psychological level), then $391.68 (ATH projection).
Volume: Rising on upward moves (bullish confirmation).
💡 Fundamental Catalyst
Sector Tailwinds:
Global energy infrastructure spending surge (grid modernization, data centers).
ETN’s exposure to electrification and renewable energy plays.
Valuation:
P/E: 33.5 (slightly rich but justified by growth).
Strong free cash flow (+12% YoY).
🎯 Why This Trade?
Breakout Play: ETN is testing a multi-week consolidation. A close above $345 confirms bullish momentum.
Sector Strength: Industrials outperforming S&P 500 YTD.
Low Relative Volatility: ATR of ~$8 suggests controlled risk.
⚡ Trade Management
Add-on: Consider adding at $355 if volume supports the breakout.
Adjust SL: Move to breakeven at $350 if price reaches $365.
Watchlist: Monitor XLI (Industrial ETF) for sector confirmation.
⚠️ Risks
Market Pullback: Broad selloff could drag industrials.
Earnings Volatility: Next report due in ~3 weeks.
📉 Chart Note:
"ETN is poised for a measured move to ATHs if $345 breaks. SL below $315 keeps risk defined."
✅ Verdict: High-conviction swing trade with clear technical structure.
#ETN #Breakout #IndustrialStocks #SwingTrading
(Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research. Past performance ≠ future results.)
6/24/25 - $sats - If you like pina coladas in a can6/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SATS
If you like pina coladas in a can
- situation was so bad that trump had to step in and ask regulators to move "faster" whatever that means, because management was explaining the speed was the only thing between their ability to really stride and bankruptcy
"riiiiight"
- spectrum is defn a "scarce" resource. anything that the CIA might use is something that's hard to "trade" because it's all fake. but there are CIA winners like NASDAQ:PLTR and then there are companies that are literally donuts.
- i found NASDAQ:SATS when scanning a few ETFs for space (to short) and it came up as a big holding in NASDAQ:UFO (which for now i'm not shorting - even though it is a short).
- and i was surprised to learn how horrific the financial situation is for this company. it's even worse than $cvna.
- i'd not be surprised to see this thing bankrupt within 2 yrs.
- be careful to follow jim cramer on his recommendations or when trump needs to step in to save your failing company.
V
6/24/25 - $asts - Sign of the times... 6/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ASTS
Sign of the times...
"V, why do you look at so much stuff"
- mainly so i can discern the fear and greed in the market
- while NASDAQ:ASTS is a good product, there's now a lot of "trust me bro" in the >$50 px, even low $20s was a tough punt (and subsequently exited not even in the $30s - just too rich for my criteria)
- but at this pt, while i can't say "it's a short" b/c there's nothing objectively wrong w/ the underlying here per se... the stock is vastly overvalued and a product of the "catch-up" crowd buying 0dte's.
- if you own it today or are considering to own it... careful.
- nobody knows how much the underlying liquidity can run for now... but this thing... is probably not the best use of funds
V