Years of absense, like a student who perfects his craftI won't be sharing my trading secrets and strategy. But CAKE is looking to make a massive move up and with along side BTC. I believe we are in the beginning of a next bull market leg up with BTC and cryptocurrency. As long as you position yourself correctly, you can make some massive gains. I hope to see you at the other side of this long.
~Cheers.
Fundamental Analysis
META | Long | Strong Tech Flow + AI Narrative | (May 28, 2025)META | Long | Strong Tech Flow + AI Narrative | (May 28, 2025)
1️⃣ Quick Recap: We're still holding our long position on Meta (META) with no compounding yet. Price action is steady, and the upside structure is intact. Partial TP1 has been hit, and we're aiming higher with solid targets ahead. 📈
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Previous entry (Stop Loss moved to Entry for risk-free ride)
Stop Loss: At Entry (secured)
TP1: ✅ Hit
TP2: $680
TP3: $740
Partial Exits: TP1 locked, TP2 and TP3 pending
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Technicals support continuation — structure still bullish, money flow strong
✅ AI narrative in play: Meta's Instagram AI training model has been delayed to June, keeping future updates in the spotlight
✅ Financials remain robust: $164B revenue, $62B net income, 2B floating shares, 0.3% dividend, PE ratio ~24
❌ Keep watch for macro sentiment shifts or pullbacks near key resistance zones
4️⃣ Follow-Up: Will update as we approach TP2 or if structure shifts. Still confident in this play as long as momentum holds.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) – Powering the AI Data Center BoomCompany Snapshot:
Credo Technology NASDAQ:CRDO is a rising star in AI infrastructure, delivering high-speed, low-power connectivity solutions that are mission-critical to modern data centers.
Key Catalysts:
AI Infrastructure Tailwinds 🧠🏢
Direct exposure to Active Electrical Cables (AEC) and PCIe retimers
Positioned for rapid demand acceleration from AI, cloud, and hyperscale data centers
AEC chip market expected to grow 15x from $68M (2023) to $1B+ by 2028
Sticky Software + Hardware Model 🧩
PILOT software platform offers real-time diagnostics and performance tuning
Enables a recurring revenue model and strengthens customer retention
Scalable, Energy-Efficient Portfolio ⚡🌐
High-bandwidth, low-power design aligns with sustainability goals of large data centers
Integrated solutions are already seeing early adoption momentum
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $51.00–$52.00
🚀 Upside Target: $90.00–$92.00
📈 Growth Drivers: AI infrastructure demand, software expansion, chip market scale
💡 Credo isn’t just riding the AI wave—it’s building the rails for it. #CRDO #AIInfrastructure #Semiconductors
What we thing, what’s gonna happen. (120,000)This monthly BTC chart shows a bullish trend aiming for $116,000–$120,000.
• A three-candle bullish pattern is forming, suggesting continued upside.
• The label “SELL HERE, SELL the NEWS” near $120,615 signals a possible profit-taking zone.
• The lower area around $78,000 is marked as a buy-the-dip zone (“Buy the scare again”).
• BTC is currently seeking liquidity to continue its move up, possibly reaching the target by mid next month.
• A major resistance trendline is near, so price reaction there will be key.
Is the momentum in Bitcoin EXHAUSTED? Or not yet?In recent days, Bitcoin has been actively updating its ATH almost daily. Everyone is already predicting $150,000 by the end of the month.
🔥 But is everything really so rosy? Let's take a closer look!
During the powerful growth over the past month, two gaps have formed below us. The first is at $97,368–102,867. The second is at $85,158–93,232. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later.
📊 Technical:
Liquidity zones - as we know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which pushes it in one direction or another. Right now, there is practically no liquidity above us; it is all concentrated below. Only a move to $99,000 can now liquidate more than a billion dollars in longs.
I think short sellers' stops are much higher, at $120,000 and above. There is no point in placing them here when there is still no confirmation of a trend reversal.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Volume - as I say in every review - is not a new growth impulse. It is a technical rebound. It has been moving at reduced volumes all along, which have only continued to decline.
MACD - has already given a bearish crossover , but this is certainly not the best indicator on such a TF. However, in combination with other indicators, it can predict a trend reversal at the right time.
DSRZ - shows the volume of interest at certain levels, and now we see that the first block of interest is concentrated in the $106,000–104,000 zone. These are the first support levels, from which I will expect the first rebound if the correction continues.
Liquidation Levels - as I said, all liquidity is now concentrated at the bottom. Bitcoin is very overheated and it's time to cool it down. Many think that it will be overheated when, as in the previous cycle, funding will be 0.2 and above.
But this is a different cycle, a different time, different traders, and different rules. This has already been proven more than once in this cycle.
📌 Conclusion:
I have said many times that we should not expect much from this momentum and that it is purely a technical rebound. And if something does not push us sharply upward now to bring in retail, we can definitely not expect it before the fall.
Summer is coming, investors and traders will close their positions and go on vacation. The market will be quiet.
So, personally, I am leaning back in my chair, expecting a price of at least $85,000, and watching what happens next. 🥃
Australian inflation higher than expected, Aussie extends lossesThe Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day.
Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since Nov. 2024. The reading was slightly higher than the market estimate of 2.3% but remained within the central bank's inflation target of 2%-3%. Trimmed mean inflation, the central bank's preferred indicator for underlying inflation, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in March.
The inflation report was mildly disappointing in that inflation was hotter than expected. Underlying inflation has proven to be persistent which could see the Reserve Bank of Australia delay any rate cuts.
The markets have responded by lowering the probability of a rate cut in July to 62%, compared to 78% a day ago, according to the ASX RBA rate tracker. A key factor in the July decision will be the second-quarter inflation report in late July, ahead of the August meeting.
The Reserve Bank lowered rates last week by a quarter-point to 3.85%, a two-year low. The central bank left the door open to further cuts, as global trade uncertainties are expected to lower domestic growth and inflation.
The Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its May 7 meeting later today. At the meeting, the Fed stressed that it wasn't planning to lower rates anytime soon and the minutes are expected to confirm the Fed's wait-and-see stance.
US President Trump has been zig-zagging on trade policy, imposing and then cancelling tariffs on China and the European Union. Fed Chair Powell said at the May meeting that the economic uncertainty due to tariffs means that the appropriate rate path is unclear and that message could be reiterated in the Fed minutes.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, and the opportunity has come
Gold hit 3325 in the European session, and fell under pressure in the US session. It can be seen that the market still has no continuity, and the recent volatility is narrowing compared to the previous period. The whole month of May was a wide range of roller coaster fluctuations.
The oscillating market is to operate at the point of card. Wait for a one-sided trend and then follow the trend. Short-term US market rebounds to 3315 to short, and use the intraday high as defense. The 1H cycle support below 3280/3290 is long in batches, and other positions are not involved.
LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points
Macro & Central-Bank Divergence
UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025.
IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar.
Technical Structure Remains Bullish
Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s).
14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run.
Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup.
Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew
BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish.
FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling.
Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
Gold buy Technical Analysis (Recent Trends)
Check:
Market Structure: Is price making higher highs/higher lows (bullish) or lower highs/lower lows (bearish)?
Key Support/Resistance: Are we near major zones?
Indicators:
200 EMA: Above = bullish bias; Below = bearish bias.
RSI: Overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) zones.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Order Blocks (OBs) if you're using SMC.
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📊 2. Fundamentals Driving Gold
Gold tends to:
Rise when:
USD weakens.
Inflation expectations rise.
Geopolitical tensions increase.
Central banks (like the Fed) are dovish.
Fall when:
Interest rates rise (stronger USD, higher yields).
Risk appetite returns (investors shift to equities).
Watch:
Fed rate decisions & commentary (Hawkish = bearish for gold)
CPI/inflation data
Dollar Index (DXY)
Bond yields (10-year US Treasury)
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📉 3. Sentiment & Seasonality
Gold often sees bullish behavior during economic uncertainty or Q4 (seasonal demand like Diwali).
Commitment of Traders (COT) data can show institutional
Wed May 28 BTCAfter a month of continuous failed short trades, I’ve stepped back from the market. At this point, staying flat feels like the most strategic move. This rebound is unlike anything I’ve experienced over the past 5 years of trading — it may even be the strongest rally since COVID.
This raises a critical question:
Is the economic recession over?
Or are we witnessing a dead cat bounce before a much deeper downturn?
Rather than forcing a direction, I’m focusing on observing structure, volume, and key breakout zones. I'm resisting the urge to predict and instead preparing to react based on confirmation. BINANCE:BTCUSDT CME_MINI:NQ1!
Golden Jedi counterattack! Key support ignites the bull engine📌 Gold Technical Analysis & Operation Strategy Update
Gold bottomed out and rebounded as expected, and the trend basically met recent expectations - oscillating upward around the support range below.
💡 Key Point Review
Today, gold opened at around 3300, with a minimum of 3291, and then rebounded, reaching a maximum of 3325. The overall trend still fluctuates within the range, with strong support below and obvious suppression above, and the overall performance is a narrow range of fluctuations.
📉 4-hour chart analysis
Support focus: 3285-3295 area
Pressure focus: 3330-3340 area
Short-term long-short watershed: 3275-3283 line
🔎 Before effectively falling below the watershed, it is still mainly seen as range fluctuations, and the high-altitude low-multiple strategy continues to be implemented.
📈 Operation strategy suggestions
1️⃣ Try to go long with a light position if the price falls back to 3295-3300
2️⃣ If the price falls back to 3280-3285, you can add to your position appropriately
🎯 Target focus: 3316-3320, and look to 3330-3340 after breaking through
⚠️ Risk control suggestions: strictly set stop loss, control position, and prevent the risk of range breakout.
Nampak is packing great upside to R561It's been the underdog for a while now.
WHich the price just moving sideways since late 2024.
But now it's had a major breakout to the upside.
What's causing it, I'm not sure but we can suspect a few things.
1. Debt Restructuring Complete
Nampak finalized its debt renegotiation, easing investor fears of default.
2. Improved Cash Flow
Asset sales and cost cuts have strengthened free cash flow.
3. Packaging Demand Rebound
Recovery in the FMCG and beverage sectors boosts demand for cans and packaging.
4. Undervalued Stock
The share trades well below book value, attracting value investors.
And the technicals look great.
W Formation
Price above 20 and 200
Target R579.61
TONCOINCRYPTOCAP:TON In the 4-hour timeframe, key support and resistance zones have been identified based on significant highs and lows. The primary resistance area is at $4.070, while the main support level is at $2.860. A descending trendline has been drawn, and the price trading below the 200-period moving average suggests continued bearish momentum in this time horizon. However, if the near-term resistance at $3.590 is broken, a potential upward movement towards the primary resistance at $4.070 could occur. Conversely, a break below the immediate support at $3.000 might lead to a price decrease towards the main support level at $2.860. To confirm bullish or bearish scenarios, monitoring for valid breakouts of these levels along with volume analysis and other technical tools is essential.
EURUSD : No F/fLooking at the chart, it was earlier anticipated that price will go to the DOUBLE F/f.
However, I think there was a change in direction - a possible pivot now.
This week's high @ 1.1419 should be the top. The previous yellow 'd' should be the turning point.
Probably all the way down to support at 1.0500!!!!!!
Good luck.
Us30 sell . Higher Timeframe Structure (HTF bias) – Look at Daily, 4H, or 1H timeframes.
2. Market Structure (SMC) – Are we in a clear bullish or bearish structure?
3. Premium/Discount Zones – Relative to the recent range.
4. Liquidity Pools – Equal highs/lows, trendline liquidity.
5. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) – Gaps that price might be targeting or rejecting.
6. News & Macroeconomic Context – Especially for indices.
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As of Now (May 28, 2025) – Please Confirm if You Want a Live Update
If you'd like a real-time bias, I can pull up the latest chart data. Otherwise, here's how to analyze it manually:
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How to Find Bias for US30 – Example Framework
🔎 Step 1: Check Daily/4H Structure
Higher highs & higher lows → Bullish bias
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish bias
🔎 Step 2: Identify Liquidity
Look for equal highs/lows – those are likely targets.
🔎 Step 3: Use FVG Zones
If price is inside a bullish FVG and rejecting, bias could be bullish.
If price is filling in a bearish FVG and breaking down, bias could be bearish.
🔎 Step 4: Premium/Discount
Use a Fib from recent swing high to low.
Above 50% = premium → Look for shorts
Below 50% = discount → Look for longs
EURUSD Mirror Market Concept – Retest Before Bullish Expansion 🔍 Analysis Summary:
This EUR/USD setup is constructed using the Mirror Market Concept (MMC), which identifies price behavior patterns that tend to "mirror" across central zones or key support/resistance levels. The chart highlights multiple "Ellipse + Central Zone" regions that represent strong consolidation and price decision areas, reflecting symmetry in market reactions.
📈 Key Technical Insights:
Central Zones & Ellipses: These are repeated zones where price action has shown symmetry in both accumulation and distribution phases. Watch how these ellipses mirror prior moves, indicating likely zones of reaction.
Previous Target & Reversal Area : The market completed a leg to the previous target (around 1.1410), followed by a rejection from a major resistance zone, initiating a reversal. This aligns with the Mirror Market structure, where the move downward reflects the previous bullish leg.
Support Level: A significant support zone has been marked near the 1.1275 level. Price action reversed from here, respecting this base and forming a reversal zone.
Retesting Phase: After bouncing from support, the price is entering a retesting phase around the 1.1330 level (identified ellipse). This retest is critical—if held, it could trigger bullish continuation.
Major BOS (Break of Structure): Once price breaks and sustains above the 1.1360–1.1380 region, it will confirm the BOS and pave the way toward the final Target Zone at 1.1450–1.1470.
🎯 Trade Plan Overview:
Bullish Scenario: Look for confirmation of support near 1.1320–1.1330 during the retest. If price holds and forms bullish structure (e.g., higher lows, bullish engulfing), consider long setups targeting 1.1450.
Bearish Invalidator: A breakdown and close below the support level at 1.1275 would invalidate the bullish bias and call for reevaluation of the setup.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This analysis reflects the mirror behavior of price and the market psychology around equilibrium zones. MMC provides a structured way to anticipate future price action by understanding how historical reactions unfold. Watch key zones and wait for confirmation before engaging.
How to seize this golden short-term opportunity!Yesterday, gold continued to fall from its highs, and the short-term trend was in line with our expectations. The lowest price of gold yesterday hit around 3285, which was also the long area given in yesterday's analysis. In addition, the secondary layout of long orders in yesterday's analysis brought us good returns.
At present, gold is in a rebound stage as a whole. Although the momentum and amplitude of the rebound have not increased significantly, this trend has shown signs of a gradual recovery in the market. In terms of short-term operations, it is recommended to follow the trend and wait for the price to fall back before choosing an opportunity to go long. Yesterday, the gold price fell again to around the 3285 mark and received effective support. Today, we still need to focus on the support performance of this area.
From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, today's gold price relies on this area as a short-term strength and weakness dividing line for long and short layout. The lower support focuses on the 3275-3283 range, and the upper pressure is around 3316-3320. The short-term key watershed is around 3275-3280. As long as the daily level does not effectively fall below this area, the overall judgment of the long and short shock range is still maintained. In terms of operation, the "high-altitude and low-multiple" rotation idea will continue to be the main focus. If the market situation or rhythm changes, the strategy will be adjusted in time according to the actual market situation and will be notified separately.
Gold operation strategy reference:
1. If gold falls back to the 3275-3285 area, you can consider placing long orders, with the target at 3316-3320.
2. If gold rebounds to the 3316-3321 area, you can try to short with a light position, with the target at 3288-3290.
SMCI – Falling Wedge Breakout Setup | 2–4 Day SwingWe're watching NASDAQ:SMCI on the 30-minute chart forming a textbook falling wedge pattern. Price is compressing under the breakout line, with RSI flattening and volume fading – a classic pre-breakout structure.
Entry Trigger:
Above $42.00 with confirmation.
Targets:
TP1: $46.00
TP2: $48.00
Invalidation:
Break below $39.50 – setup is off.
Trade Notes:
Volume dry-up = energy build-up
RSI in reset zone (~36) = potential momentum shift
2–4 day swing idea based on breakout + momentum
"We don't force trades – we prepare for them."