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Fundamental Analysis

USDJPY → A rebound following a rising dollarFX:USDJPY is growing following the dollar. A local reversal is being formed due to US politics and economy The price stops in the zone of 149.4 - 148.6 after a strong fall. Long-term consolidation is forming a reversal setup, the situation is also supported by the reversal and strengthening of the dollar. Against this background, the Japanese yen is losing positions. The focus is on the resistance 150.3, if the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, then in the short to medium term the price may strengthen to the trend resistance. Resistance levels 150.3, 150.95 Support levels: 149.4, 149.15 At the moment we have a downtrend and the potential for counter-trend correction. Everything depends on the dollar and the upcoming news. If the outcome is positive for us, the price may reach 152.3 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
A healthy retrace1- What a day yesterday! The bloodbath is not completed yet! Today is the end of D/W/M and it will be another huge red candle; another 800-900 points to the downside! 2- I was wrong about a retrace up; NVDA results were not sufficient to attract buyers. Market is pricing in the slowing down of US economy with a real risk of recession; all macro-data were bad recently. 3- This was fueled by US Tariffs. 4- Core PCE data came inline but higher than the previous reading. On the other hand, Trump mentioned the tax cuts which is very good for equities. Hence, this sell-off is not so bad; it's very healthy for the next move up. I will come back to this point during the Monthly/Weekly Analysis.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
"GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 23000 Sell Entry below 22100 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 22600 for Bearish Trade Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 24100 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 21200 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: "GERMANY40" GER40/DAX Indices market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 🔰Fundamental Analysis The GER40 index has experienced a moderate decline of 2.5% in February, with the index currently standing at 22,500 points. Company earnings have been mixed, with some companies exceeding expectations while others have disappointed. The dividend yield for the GER40 is around 2.5%, which is relatively attractive compared to other major European indices. 🔰Macro Economics The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 4.25% to combat inflation. Germany's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 1.5% in 2025, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty. Global trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, continue to impact the German market. 🔰Global Market Analysis The GER40 is experiencing a bearish trend, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours. The index is currently trading at 22,500, with a high of 22,600 and a low of 22,400. 🔰COT Data Speculators (Non-Commercials): 45,011 long positions and 30,015 short positions. Hedgers (Commercials): 25,019 long positions and 40,011 short positions. Asset Managers: 30,015 long positions and 20,019 short positions. 🔰Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions. 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment. 🔰Positioning Analysis The long/short ratio for the GER40 is currently unknown. The open interest for the GER40 is approximately €10 billion. 🔰Quantitative Analysis The GER40 has a relatively high volatility, with an average true range (ATR) of 150 points. The index is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend. 🔰Intermarket Analysis The GER40 is highly correlated with the Euro Stoxx 50 index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.85. The index is also highly correlated with the DAX index, with a correlation coefficient of 0.90. 🔰News and Events Analysis The GER40 has been impacted by the ongoing economic uncertainty in Europe. The index has also been affected by the decline in German industrial production. 🔰Next Trend Move Bearish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bearish move, targeting 22,000 and 21,800, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty and decline in German industrial production. Bullish Prediction: Others predict a potential bullish move, targeting 23,000 and 23,200, due to the attractive valuations and potential economic recovery. 🔰Overall Summary Outlook The overall outlook for the GER40 is bearish, with a mix of negative and neutral predictions. The market is expected to experience a moderate decline, with some analysts predicting a potential bearish move targeting 22,000 and 21,800. 🔰Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, the GER40 is trading at 22,500, with a 0.5% decline in the last 24 hours. 🔰Future Prediction Short-Term: Bearish: 22,200-22,000, Bullish: 22,800-23,000 Medium-Term: Bearish: 21,800-21,600, Bullish: 23,200-23,400 Long-Term: Bearish: 21,400-21,200, Bullish: 24,000-24,200 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FOREXCOM:GER40
by Thief_Trader
1
Turnaround expectedArbe Robotics Inc. – Comprehensive Market Analysis Corporate Profile Arbe Robotics Inc. is an Israeli company based in Tel Aviv that specializes in the development of high-resolution, 4D imaging radars for the automotive industry. The company prides itself on being a global leader in “perception radar” solutions, claiming that its radars are up to 100 times more detailed than any other currently available automotive radar. Its flagship product is a proprietary radar chipset featuring 48 transmit and 48 receive channels (yielding 2,304 virtual channels), which enables the creation of ultra-high-resolution “Phoenix” imaging radars (2K resolution). Arbe’s radars are designed to operate in all weather and lighting conditions, generating real-time (30 FPS) 3D/4D point clouds, and are capable of detecting small objects (such as a detached tire on the road) with minimal false alarms. The company’s business model is primarily built on B2B partnerships: Arbe supplies its radar chipset and accompanying software to Tier-1 automotive suppliers (e.g., Magna, HiRain, Weifu, Sensrad), who then integrate these systems into original equipment manufacturers’ (OEM) vehicles. In addition, Arbe is expanding into new mobility segments as its technology is modular and customizable for use in passenger cars, commercial trucks, robotaxi fleets, logistics robots, drones, and even smart city infrastructure. Arbe aims to make radar a core component of autonomous and driver-assistance systems, either alongside or as a substitute for cameras and LiDAR. Since its merger with a SPAC in October 2021, Arbe has been publicly traded on Nasdaq under the ticker ARBE – making it the world’s first publicly listed automotive imaging radar company. The company currently maintains a global presence with offices not only in Israel but also in China, Germany, and the United States to strengthen ties with local OEMs and suppliers. Financial Analysis Revenue and Profit Trends: Arbe is still in the early stages before full-scale commercial production, so its revenues remain low and its operations are predominantly financed through capital raises. In 2023, the company reported an annual revenue of only around $1.5 million, a significant decline from approximately $3.5 million in 2022. Quarterly data reflect similar trends: for example, in Q3 2023, revenue was just $0.5 million (compared to $1.3 million in Q3 of the previous year), and in Q3 2024, it further fell to only about $0.1 million. The company continues to operate at a loss – in 2023, its annual net loss reached $43.5 million, slightly up from $40.5 million in 2022. These high losses are largely due to significant investments in R&D and business development, with operating expenses far exceeding current revenues. Consequently, the gross margin turned negative in 2023, with an annual gross margin of -2.6% compared to +63.5% in 2022, reflecting the challenges of achieving economies of scale at such low volumes. Cash Flow and Capital Structure: Since Arbe is not yet profitable, its operating cash flow is negative and the company relies on capital markets for financing. Notably, Arbe carries no debt and finances its operations primarily through equity. Following its Nasdaq debut via a SPAC merger in 2021—which provided roughly $118 million in gross proceeds—most of those funds have been allocated to R&D and business operations. By the end of 2023, the company held approximately $44 million in liquid assets (with $28.6 million in cash and $15.4 million in short-term deposits), which management believes is sufficient to finance operations until the second half of 2025. However, the company is aware that further capital will be necessary to scale production. At the end of 2024, Arbe raised additional funds through a $28.75 million equity offering (a registered direct offering), and it has also signaled plans for a bond issuance on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange to support 2025 production ramp-up. The current cash burn rate is roughly $30–40 million per year, so while management is confident that recent financing will bridge the gap, additional funding may be needed if revenue growth lags behind projections. Market Position and Competitive Environment Arbe positions itself as a pioneering innovator in the automotive radar technology market, though it remains a small player in an intensely competitive and rapidly evolving sector. Traditional automotive radar systems (e.g., adaptive cruise control sensors) have been dominated by established suppliers such as Bosch, Continental, Denso, ZF, and Aptiv, which have been serving OEMs for decades. However, the market is now witnessing a revolution with the advent of imaging radars that offer much higher resolution and capabilities for autonomous driving. On this front, Arbe faces competition from both large multinational companies and emerging startups. For instance, companies like Bosch and Continental have already announced their own high-resolution radar solutions, while ZF Friedrichshafen is also developing 4D radars (including through acquisitions of startups). Additionally, Chinese technology giant Huawei has entered the race by developing a 4D imaging radar for its autonomous vehicle platforms. Moreover, several startups, such as Uhnder in the USA (developing digital radarchips) and Oculii (whose technology was later acquired by Ambarella) as well as China’s Muniu Tech (Ainstein), have been actively developing 4D radars for serial production. These competitors generally have higher current revenues and stronger financial backing than Arbe, posing a significant challenge in capturing market share. Nonetheless, Arbe’s technological advantage – demonstrated by its ultra-high resolution and proprietary chipset – may appeal to OEMs seeking the most advanced sensing solutions. Arbe has already secured partnerships with leading Tier-1 suppliers (for instance, Magna and Chinese partners like HiRain and Weifu), which gives it an indirect route into OEM networks. Currently, Arbe’s market share is still minimal since mass production is yet to begin, but broader market trends are favorable as automakers increasingly recognize the importance of advanced imaging radars. Industry forecasts estimate that the global 4D automotive radar market was valued at around $2.65 billion in 2023 and could grow at an annual rate of approximately 17.6% from 2024 to 2030, indicating robust future demand. Technological Developments and Innovation Arbe’s strength lies in its continuous innovation and its intellectual property in radar technology. Its key development is a proprietary radar chipset architecture that uniquely integrates a high-performance radar processing unit (RPU) with several custom-designed RF front-end chips. The company’s patented radar processor is capable of processing up to 3 terabits of data per second and can handle tens of thousands of detections per frame in real time. The chipset incorporates advanced radar signal processing algorithms, which transform the vast raw data into interpretable point clouds with low power consumption in real time. The resulting Arbe Phoenix radar sensor achieves an unprecedented angular resolution of 0.7–0.8° (both in azimuth and elevation), a distance resolution of approximately 7.5–60 cm, and a range of up to 350 meters – performance metrics that far exceed those of traditional automotive radars. In Q4 2023, the company announced that the production version of its radar processor – fully ready for automotive mass production – had been released, marking it as one of the most powerful dedicated radar processors available on the market. Concurrently, Arbe made its entire chipset available for production, with Tier-1 partners already integrating it into “B-sample” radar systems, and several OEMs have begun testing these systems under real-world conditions. Arbe’s technological prowess has been recognized with multiple industry awards (for example, a CES Innovation Award in 2023), underscoring its leading position in automotive sensor innovation. The company also places strong emphasis on developing advanced driver assistance (ADAS) and autonomous capabilities using its radar technology. In early 2025, Arbe announced a collaboration with NVIDIA, integrating its radar data into NVIDIA’s DRIVE AGX in-vehicle computing platform to enable AI-powered free-space mapping and advanced driver assistance functionalities. This joint demonstration, showcased at CES 2025, featured live demonstrations of Arbe’s radar capabilities: the sensor’s high-resolution point cloud data, processed by AI, provided precise mapping of available road space and object recognition—even in complex urban traffic or poor visibility conditions. The radar can track and classify several hundred objects in real time, including small or partially obscured obstacles, while mitigating multipath interference. These developments aim to transform the radar from a mere supplementary sensor into a key component of AI-driven vehicle perception. Arbe’s innovation strategy also includes a robust approach to intellectual property protection and academic collaboration. The company holds several patents covering its radar architecture and signal processing methods (including TD-MIMO-based RF front-end technology and its RPU), and in 2023 it even added world-renowned radar expert Professor Yonina Eldar to its advisory board. This focus on protecting its technological edge is crucial for maintaining a competitive advantage in an increasingly crowded market. Currently, the primary focus is on achieving automotive-grade certification for its radars and scaling up production, so that its cutting-edge sensors can enter mass production as soon as possible. Stock Price and Technical Analysis The ARBE stock has experienced significant volatility over the past few years, reflecting the company’s early-stage, high-risk profile and shifting investor sentiment. Following its merger with a SPAC in October 2021, ARBE shares initially traded around $10, rising to a historical high of approximately $14.79 in November 2021 during an early hype phase. However, in line with broader corrections in the tech and SPAC sectors, the stock price plunged, reaching around $3.41 by the end of 2022—a decline of roughly 63% on an annual basis. In 2023, the downtrend continued, despite a temporary rally early in the year that pushed the stock into the $6–7 range; by year’s end, the closing price had fallen to around $2.18, representing an annual decline of approximately 36%, even as the broader U.S. market gained about 16.7% over the same period. Throughout 2024, the stock appeared to stabilize in a low range, fluctuating between $2 and $2.5, with a 52-week low of $1.56 and a peak near $2.50. In January 2025, the stock experienced a temporary rally—sparked by the announcement of the collaboration with NVIDIA and CES presentations—leading to an approximately 12% gain in the quarter, with the price briefly approaching $4 (YTD high of around $4.00). However, this rally was not sustained; by the end of February, the stock had retraced to around $1.90, indicating that cautious sentiment still prevails among market participants. Investor Sentiment and Fundamentals: Investor sentiment toward ARBE remains mixed. The long-term technical trend appears bearish – with many short-term indicators signaling selling pressure as the stock trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. High volatility and relatively low liquidity contribute to sharp swings in ARBE’s price, making it highly sensitive to news and market sentiment. Some investors remain optimistic about the company’s technological potential, viewing ARBE as a micro-cap with significant upside if its vision comes to fruition. However, more traditional investors remain cautious due to the company’s ongoing losses and the dilutive impact of frequent equity issuances. For example, a Simply Wall St analysis indicates that while Arbe’s projected revenue growth is promising, its persistent losses and share dilution erode long-term investor confidence. Additionally, in September 2023, ARBE was removed from the S&P Global BMI index (a global micro-cap index), which exerted additional selling pressure from index-tracking funds. Technical analysts currently advise caution or a waiting stance: the stock appears to have found support around $1.5–2, but resistance remains near $4–5. These levels, established by prior trading ranges, indicate that while any breakthrough could spur renewed buying, a failure to breach these resistances might lead to further declines. Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities Arbe Robotics faces significant opportunities if it can capitalize on market growth and leverage its technological advantages. The company’s greatest potential lies in converting its development projects into concrete mass-production programs with major automotive OEMs. Encouragingly, in July 2024 Arbe announced that one of the world’s top ten automakers had selected its radar chipset for next-generation imaging radar system development, aimed at mass production. Although the OEM’s name was not disclosed for competitive reasons, the news indicated an immediate start and an accelerated market launch, suggesting that Arbe could secure large-volume contracts in the near future. Such a win would represent a major boost to revenues, as a contract with a top-tier OEM could extend across multiple vehicle segments. Similarly, several Tier-1 partners have announced plans to begin mass production using Arbe’s technology by the end of 2024 or in 2025. For instance, China’s HiRain Technologies has stated that it will commence mass production of 4D radars powered by Arbe’s chipset by late 2024, while Sensrad has received significant orders globally for its Arbe-based radar solutions. These developments indicate that by 2025, Arbe’s technology could be deployed across multiple automotive models, potentially driving exponential revenue growth. Management forecasts suggest that the real scaling-up phase may begin in 2025, transforming current modest revenues into a significantly larger revenue base. Arbe also sees growth opportunities through strategic partnerships and market expansion. The opening of its Shanghai office in 2023 has brought it closer to Chinese automakers—crucial given China’s status as the world’s largest automotive market and its eagerness to adopt new sensor technologies. In September 2023, Arbe secured a framework agreement with a Chinese specialist, Sensrad, valued at approximately €7 million to jointly serve various global customers—a deal that not only generates revenue but also deepens Arbe’s market presence in China. Additionally, Arbe is in advanced discussions with OEMs in Europe and North America. According to company communications, the targeted automakers across these regions collectively represent about 31% of the global passenger vehicle market, and growing interest in advanced imaging radars among these manufacturers bodes well for future growth. Arbe’s internal estimates suggest that for just the segment currently testing its chipset, the total addressable market could reach $7.5 billion by 2030. If Arbe secures even a portion of this market, its revenue potential could multiply several times over. Beyond the automotive sector, there are additional opportunities. Arbe’s radars can also be applied in industrial robotics, drones, ground robots, heavy machinery, and smart city sensor networks. The company has highlighted its strategic focus on diversifying into non-automotive markets in 2023, where the sales cycle may be shorter and involve fewer standardization hurdles, providing a supplementary revenue stream while automotive projects ramp up. Moreover, Arbe is actively involved in standardization and regulatory efforts—efforts that will accelerate the adoption of imaging radars in safety ratings and new car assessment programs (NCAP). Overall, the future outlook for Arbe is one of high growth potential: if its technology is successfully adopted on a mass scale in advanced driver assistance and autonomous systems, Arbe could transition from an early-stage startup into a rapidly growing supplier. The next few years will be critical; if Arbe can secure its planned OEM projects and deliver on its production ramp-up, it may achieve a breakthrough in financial performance. Conversely, delays or market shifts could necessitate further capital injections and strategic adjustments. Risks and Potential Challenges Despite the significant opportunities, Arbe faces several risks and challenges that could hinder its success: Market Demand and Adoption Risks: The automotive industry is characterized by long product cycles and slow decision-making. While the promise of imaging radars is increasingly recognized, adoption may be slower or limited than expected. If automakers delay or restrict the rollout of such sensors (for example, only integrating them in premium models), revenue growth may be delayed. Additionally, in the competitive landscape of autonomous driving technologies, the optimal mix of sensors (radar vs. LiDAR vs. cameras) remains uncertain. Should OEMs favor LiDAR or camera-only systems (as seen with Tesla), Arbe’s potential market may be negatively impacted. Competitive and Pricing Pressures: The evolving radar technology market may trigger price wars and reduced profit margins. Arbe’s unique high-resolution offering could be challenged by larger competitors who are investing heavily in developing similar solutions. Should these competitors successfully launch comparable products, Arbe might be forced to reduce prices, thereby affecting profitability. Moreover, large OEMs might prefer to stick with established suppliers, perceiving them as a “safer” choice unless Arbe can clearly demonstrate superior performance. In the Chinese market, local competitors offering cheaper solutions—even if technically inferior—could also pose a threat. Financial Risks: Arbe remains financially immature with a continuous need for capital. Although the company had approximately $44 million in liquid assets at the end of 2023, its annual cash burn of roughly $30–40 million means that this runway may only last about 1.5 years at the current spending rate. While management expects existing funds to carry the company until mid-2025, delays or failures in securing key orders might necessitate additional financing, leading to further dilution or increased debt. Recent equity raises and planned bond issuances highlight this dependency, which may increase financial uncertainty if market conditions deteriorate. Technological and Execution Risks: Despite impressive prototype performance, transitioning to mass production and achieving automotive-grade certification poses significant challenges. Arbe’s chipset must meet strict quality, reliability, and safety standards (e.g., ASIL requirements). There is a risk that unforeseen technical issues—such as higher-than-expected failure rates or manufacturing challenges at their partner’s GlobalFoundries facility—could delay production or increase costs. Additionally, coordinating development efforts across multiple regions (Israel and China) can lead to logistical and operational challenges. Geopolitical events, such as regional conflicts (which in 2023 affected up to 20% of the workforce due to reserve call-ups), could further impact project timelines. Regulatory and Legal Risks: The automotive sensor market is subject to stringent regulatory oversight. For instance, radar frequency bands (typically 77–81 GHz for automotive applications) are tightly controlled, and delays in obtaining regulatory approvals in some regions could hinder market entry. International trade tensions (e.g., between the USA and China) might also affect technology exports, given Arbe’s global operations. Furthermore, potential intellectual property disputes may arise if competitors allege infringement of proprietary technologies, or vice versa, leading to costly legal battles and operational disruptions. In summary, while Arbe Robotics presents a highly promising opportunity in the evolving landscape of automotive sensing, its risk/reward profile is extreme. Success will depend on its ability to secure mass-production contracts with major OEMs, manage competitive pressures, and effectively execute its technological roadmap. The coming years will be critical—if Arbe can convert its development projects into solid production orders, it could transition into a rapidly growing supplier. However, any delays or shifts in market dynamics might necessitate additional capital and strategic pivots, potentially diluting shareholder value. Sources: Arbe Robotics – Corporate Overview (Official Website) Arbe Robotics – Products and Technology (Official Website) Arbe Robotics – Q3 2023 Financial Report (Press Release) Arbe Robotics – Q4 and Annual Financial Report 2023 (Press Release) Macrotrends – ARBE Stock Price History Simply Wall St – Analysis on Arbe’s Recent Developments Arbe Robotics – Strategic Partnerships and Projects (Press Releases) Market Research – Global 4D Automotive Radar Industry Outlook Arbe Robotics – Collaboration with NVIDIA (CES 2025 Press Release) Arbe Robotics – Q3 2024 Financial Report (Press Release)
NASDAQ:ARBELong
by meszaros
$TASI | Bearish Retracement Play After Reaching Key TA TargetsTADAWUL:TASI | Bearish Retracement Play After Reaching Key Technical Targets 📉 Trade Setup: I have entered a short position on TADAWUL:TASI based on fundamental analysis (FA), anticipating upcoming challenges in the financial system, which could pressure the stock market globally. Additionally, from a technical standpoint, the index has already met its key targets from $10K to $12.8K, signaling a potential retracement. Trade Details: 🔹 Entry: 12,500 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 12,550 🔹 Take Profit (TP) Levels: • TP1 (30%) → 11,590 • TP2 (20%) → 11,325 • TP3 (20%) → 10,990 • TP4 (30%) → 10,030 Technical & Fundamental Outlook: • The market has extended significantly from $10K to $12.8K, reaching exhaustion zones. • Economic uncertainty and potential systemic challenges could trigger a market correction. • Expecting TADAWUL:TASI to retrace and mirror the prior upward move. 📊 Risk Management: • Tight SL at 12,550 ensures controlled risk. • Profit-taking at multiple levels to lock in gains progressively. 📝 Thoughts? Drop your insights below! 🚀📉
TADAWUL:TASIShort
by djobs
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
1
Oil ($USOIL) – Diesel Demand Soars as Cold Grips U.S.Oil ( TVC:USOIL ) – Diesel Demand Soars as Cold Grips U.S. (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! Oil is dipping slightly 📉, at $ 74.93, down 0.1% from yesterday’s close, as per February 27, 2025, data. Cold weather’s driving up U.S. diesel demand 💪, and Texas power systems are hitting clean energy milestones 🌿. Let’s dive into this oil play! 🔍 (2/9) – REVENUE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Post-Election: $ 74.93, down 0.1% from $ 75.00 💰 • Feb 27, 2025: Diesel demand rises due to cold weather 📏 • Texas Power: Clean energy milestones achieved 🌟 TVC:USOIL steady, with diesel’s boost! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Market Cap: Approximately $ 1.05B, tracks WTI crude tight 🏆 • Diesel Spike: Cold lifts usage, per Reuters ⏰ • Energy Shift: Texas clean power climbs 🎯 TVC:USOIL firm, frost pays off! 🚀 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Cold Snap: Boosts diesel usage across U.S. 🔄 • Texas Grid: Clean energy marks met 🌍 • Market Reaction: Down 0.1% post-election 📋 TVC:USOIL adapting, chill’s the star! 💡 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Election Aftermath: Policy shifts may affect prices 🔍 • Green Energy Growth: Challenges oil’s dominance 📉 • Weather Flux: Diesel demand may fluctuate ❄️ TVC:USOIL tough, but risks hover! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Diesel Lift: Cold weather props up demand 🥇 • Oil Core: Fundamental to energy needs 📊 • Resilience: Handles market fluctuations 🔧 TVC:USOIL got heat in the freeze! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Election haze, green energy bite 📉 • Opportunities: Continued cold weather, rising demand 📈 Can AMEX:USO bank on the frost to gains? 🤔 (8/9) – OIL’s $ 74.93 dip, diesel up in Feb 2025, your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: $ 80+ soon, cold lasts 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks in check ⚖️ • Bearish: $ 70 looms, green wins 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 TVC:USOIL $ 74.93 dip masks diesel’s cold surge 📈, Texas green strides mix it up 🌿. Election stings, yet dips are our DCA gold 💰. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
TVC:USOILLong
by DCAChampion
2/28/25 - $nvda and tape in the month ahead (LONG READ)2/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDA and tape in the month ahead (LONG READ) - wild day y'day - but let's set our feet and think ahead - first on nvda, and i'm choosing to post my portfolio/ allocation on this name bc it's an important one for mkt sentiment, risk, geopol etc. NASDAQ:NVDA 5% LEAPS (2x leverage) - majority of world still thinks AI is a meme and on this topic, it's not. your job is now a meme. these chips have such a moat and demand that incremental margin doesn't matter. you're getting 0.5x PEG and 3.5% fcf yield. we're at the value region, anything lower (toward $100) and i'm considering that despair/capitulation and i'll take the LEAPS to 10%. NYSE:TSM 5% LEAPS (2x leverage) - geopol punching bag. if you had to pick one between nvda and tsm i don't think you could do it. they're so different and with respective moats. also about 0.5x PEG and 4% fcf yield. we're in value territory and a move closer toward $150 and i'd consider 10% LEAP size. *pause* why 2-1 leverage V? isn't that risky? yes, leverage risky, but i'm keeping these ITM and have a keen sense for valuation in a 2Y context and want to express this view while keeping cash higher and hence ability to maneuver. *moving on* NASDAQ:NXT 35% LEAPS (1.5x leverage) - i've written extensively about this, but to the new crowd you check all boxes. a/ visibility for 1y of growth beats based on backlog and a sleeping consensus, b/ killer ROIC and cash generation, c/ cheap valuation (nearly 10% fcf yield on my #s, and still 7% on cons.), d/ buybacks coming on an underleveraged-cash-rich balance sheet in 2H and e/ the most important factor - an A+ CEO and leadership team OTC:OBTC 20% - closed end BTC fund trading 10% shy of NAV in last weeks, so way to get BTC exposure ("the king") at a discount in a rocky risk environment - BTC remains a long duration beta, not yet getting the "wtf freak out" premium that gold has today (and probably bc it's not so well understood - that's cool - good to acknowledge it). - goal is to stack sats, but diligently and carefully - best to avoid leverage in the current environment - would be a full position (i'd make it 30-40%) if/when BTC goes into high 60s or low 70s, otherwise I'm patient. BTC needs catalyst on monetary front to find new highs. NYSE:UBER 7.5% LEAPS (2x leverage) - another one i've written about extensively, so check out details - tl;dr is a/ orthogonal to any foreign content/ tariff BS, b/ great leadership team fwd thinking and on the forefront of AV (autonomous) despite the consensus that's wait and see, c/ growing margins, great returns and tremendous cash generation, d/ 6% fcf yield and sticky safe haven in this tape limit draw down risk, e/ multi-year compounder set and forget at current rate *honorable mentions* - names that i trade around, usually high frequency in/out, would perhaps consider larger positions if/when tape behaves. right now i'm only parking in stuff i a/ know really well, b/ see great value for participating and therefore c/ can size them reasonably large. i don't like having a complicated and smorgasbord of names in this tape. NASDAQ:NICE - cheapest B2B software moving the AI needle into their customers w good growth, high cash gen and heavy buyback incoming $DECK/ NYSE:YETI - the only two discretionary names (in a tough consumer) that are on my high watchlist given growth/ cash generation and combination of the two. tricky. needs to be managed carefully in this consumer-eat-dirt environment. NASDAQ:MU / NASDAQ:ALAB - the two semis I think are interesting ex- NYSE:TSM and $NVDA. NASDAQ:MU for HBM being a key grower inside inference applications and probably massively understated on my math and NASDAQ:ALAB bc they're able to offer some crazy performance benefits and the #s are outstanding w/ cash gen following. NASDAQ:BLDE - the only investable EVTOL business. the NASDAQ:TMDX result was a "pass" and limited my ST interest here. I'd consider Blade to be a price inelastic Uber with no relevant competition. I'd also think Uber eventually buys these guys. Hope that helps inform my thinking (as I'm sure I'd get a lot of DMs today) and wanted to spell it all out if you can incorporate into your mosaic/ own PnL. I'd guess we're most of the way thru this sell-off despite what ______ is saying, mainly b/c we've had an asynchronous dip (so it's hard to notice) and each name has taken it's turn doing the -15% to -50% dump in the last 6-12 months (and especially many recently). The index isn't showing it b/c CBOE:SVIX has been the stealth QE/ pins, but I digress. More for another day. If you're reading this, you woke up today. So you started with a big W. Showing up with a positive attitude is a competitive advantage. Don't let that one go. You got this. Lock in. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
Cup-and-Handle Success? Gold Nears Its First Major Target!In early February, JPMorgan and HSBC requested significant physical gold deliveries from COMEX, spurring a notable withdrawal of gold stocks from LBMA and shipments to COMEX vaults—this activity, coupled with market rumors of potential gold tariff adjustments and revaluation, created volatility. However, the U.S. Treasury dismissed any plans for revaluing gold, and profit-taking alongside reduced delivery notices slowed the pace of withdrawals. Technically, gold has achieved its first target following a breakout from a cup-and-handle pattern. With prices nearing $2,700, a correction and consolidation phase is likely before further upward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bruceyam
Where Did Altcoin Season Go?Ah, Altcoin Season —that magical time when every random token is supposed to skyrocket, turning you from an average investor into a crypto mogul overnight. At least, that’s what the hype says. Yet, despite endless Twitter (sorry, X) posts and YouTube thumbnails screaming, "It's coming! Any day now!", it still hasn't arrived. So, let’s cut through the noise and ask the real question: Why didn’t Altcoin Season happen? ________________________________________ 1. Everyone Was Expecting It—But Someone Was Selling There’s an unwritten rule in financial markets: When everyone expects something to happen, it probably won’t. Every self-proclaimed crypto guru has been yelling: "Altseason is here! 100x! To the moon!" Meanwhile, someone was selling. Instead of an explosive rally, we got some pumps followed by brutal sell-offs. Why? Because while retail traders were waiting for liftoff, big players were cashing out quietly. Someone always has to be the exit liquidity. ________________________________________ 2. The Market Is Not the Same as 5 Years Ago Just because Altcoin Season happened in 2017 or 2020 doesn't mean it will play out the same way again. The crypto market has changed dramatically: • No more reckless retail FOMO throwing money at anything with a flashy logo. • Institutions have entered the space—but they don’t care about low-cap moonshots. • Liquidity is more concentrated—Bitcoin and a handful of top coins dominate the inflows. Altcoin Season thrived when everyday investors piled into random projects without thinking. But after multiple crashes and rug pulls, that blind optimism has vanished. ________________________________________ 3. Projects Make Promises, But Don’t Deliver (Shocking, Right?) Let’s be honest: Who makes the most money in crypto projects? Right—the developers. Every market cycle, we get new buzzwords: DeFi revolutions, AI-blockchain fusion, metaverse takeovers… but what actually happens? • Fancy whitepapers, vague roadmaps—but great marketing. • Tokenomics built to enrich insiders, not retail investors. • Initial hype, then a slow decline—until the next trendy project appears. At this point, we all know only a tiny fraction of altcoins provide real innovation. Without real progress, there’s no fuel for a true Altcoin Season. ________________________________________ So… Is Altcoin Season Dead? Not necessarily. But it’s no longer a guaranteed, predictable event. The expectations have changed. • Without new retail money flooding in, who’s pumping these coins? • With Bitcoin dominance high, who’s paying attention to altcoins? • If most new projects exist to enrich devs, why would an altseason even happen? Instead of waiting for a mythical altcoin boom, maybe the smarter move is to ask yourself: Am I investing in a solid project, or am I just hoping to be "the lucky one" who catches the next 100x? Either way, good luck with your HODLing—and with those "If I had just invested $100 at that price..." screenshots.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold Resource Corp (GORO) share price rises Analysis of the Recent Significant Increase in Gold Resources Corp (GORO) Introduction Gold Resources Corporation (GORO) has experienced a remarkable surge in its stock price in recent times. Several factors may have contributed to this rally. In the following sections, we examine market trends and investor sentiment in the gold and mining sectors, the company’s recent financial reports and their impact, corporate news (such as new projects, mergers, or strategic decisions), macroeconomic factors (such as changes in gold prices and interest rate trends), and technical analysis (price movements, volume changes, and other indicators). Each aspect is supported by relevant sources and detailed explanations. Market Trends and Investor Sentiment in the Gold and Mining Sector 📈 In 2024 the gold sector regained investor focus. Global gold prices rose by approximately 28% by the end of November 2024 – the best annual performance seen in the past decade. This surge was driven by several factors: significant central bank purchases and strong investor demand offset a decline in consumer (jewelry) demand. Additionally, falling bond yields in the second half of the year and a weakening U.S. dollar helped drive up gold prices. Overall, the improved investor sentiment for gold—as a safe haven asset amid market volatility and geopolitical risks—boosted the attractiveness of gold-related investments. In this environment, the perception of gold mining companies improved. Although major gold producers’ stocks (e.g., the GDX index) rose by only around 9% in 2024 compared to the roughly 27% increase in the metal’s price, several analysts believed that junior mining stocks had the potential to catch up in early 2025. The high gold prices, which forecast record earnings for the sector, were unlikely to be ignored by the market. Overall, the improved investor sentiment in the gold mining segment provided a supportive backdrop for smaller players like GORO, as higher gold prices directly boost their revenue prospects. Financial Reports and Their Impact 💼 Gold Resources Corp’s financial results from 2024 initially reflected significant challenges that negatively impacted its share price. In Q2 2024, the company posted revenues of $20.8 million while incurring a net loss of $27.7 million. Revenue declined by about 27% compared to the previous year, largely due to a drop in metal sales volumes; at the same time, high cost levels led to operating losses even at the mining level. In Q3 2024, the situation worsened: the company produced and sold only 1,357 ounces of gold and 181 thousand ounces of silver (equivalent to approximately 3,526 ounces of gold), a significant drop compared to its usual production levels. Due to production constraints and technical problems (including issues with equipment at its Don David mine in Mexico, a limited number of active mining fronts, and unfavorable weather), sales fell while unit costs soared. Consequently, the Q3 net loss amounted to $10.5 million (or $0.11 per share). By the end of the quarter, the company’s financial condition was under stress: its cash balance stood at only $1.4 million and working capital had dwindled to $6.1 million as of September 30, 2024. These weak financial results and liquidity concerns raised serious doubts among investors about the company’s viability. The negative news was clearly reflected in the stock price: in October 2024, GORO’s share price plummeted to a new low of $0.21—a 52-week low. During that period, the stock was down about 43% on an annual basis, and concerns arose that the company might even have to suspend operations if its financial and production issues were not resolved. However, management took steps to address the situation and restore confidence. In its Q3 report, management acknowledged the production difficulties and indicated that corrective measures (such as revising mine plans, initiating new drilling programs, and implementing cost-cutting measures) were underway. Furthermore, a notable development was that one analyst firm, H.C. Wainwright, maintained its buy rating and raised its 12-month target price from $1.50 to $1.75 at the end of 2024, suggesting that some market participants saw long-term value in GORO despite the poor recent results. In summary, the impact of the financial reports was twofold: in the short term, weak numbers and fears of insolvency drove the share price lower, but following the bottom, a potential turnaround began to emerge as the company implemented corrective measures and benefited from an improved market environment. Recent Corporate News and Strategic Decisions 📰 Toward the end of 2024 and into early 2025, management undertook several extraordinary measures to stabilize the company’s situation and set the stage for future growth. In January 2025, the company raised fresh capital through a $2.5 million registered direct offering, selling 15.625 million new shares at $0.16 per share. Although this was below the market price (and thus dilutive), it provided crucial working capital and general corporate funds. The fact that investors were willing to participate in the offering was a positive signal—that the market was giving GORO a chance to recover by supporting its turnaround efforts. In the short term, the news initially pressured the share price (with trading in the pre-market reflecting the dilution), but once the offering was completed, the share price surged by 13% on January 21, 2025. On the operational front, there were encouraging developments. In November 2024—after a critical Q3—the company issued a “liquidity update” stating that production at its Don David mine in Mexico had improved in early Q4: technical issues (such as those affecting the filter press and processing mill) had been resolved, and a revised mine plan had opened up additional mining fronts. As a result, combined with high precious metal prices and a favorable peso–dollar exchange rate, the mine achieved roughly a break-even operating cash flow in November 2024. This was a significant turnaround compared to previous losses, indicating that the company might be able to finance its day-to-day operations at least in the short term. Management did, however, caution that for sustainable long-term production, further capital investment would be required—namely, investments in new mining equipment, upgrades to the processing plant, and the development of the “Three Sisters” and “Splay 31” ore bodies (which would secure future production). The company is actively seeking external financing options—including loans, additional equity financing, or strategic partnerships—since without new capital, even the break-even operation at the mine might only be sustainable through Q1 2025. Strategically, management remains focused on two pillars: maximizing opportunities around the Don David mine in Mexico and advancing the “Back Forty” project in Michigan, USA. Back Forty, acquired in 2021, is an advanced-stage polymetallic (gold-silver-copper-zinc) project that represents a long-term growth opportunity. Although this project has been put on the back burner for now due to current financial challenges, management has not abandoned it. In short, recent corporate news indicates that management is actively addressing its crisis—through capital raising, cost control, and operational optimization—while also laying the groundwork for future projects. Macroeconomic Factors (Gold Price, Interest Rates, Currencies) 🌍 Behind the surge in GORO’s stock price are important macroeconomic drivers. Global gold prices reached record highs in 2024 and remained robust into early 2025. During the year, investor “flight to safety” boosted demand for gold as inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and market volatility increased. As mentioned earlier, gold’s annual gain of around 28% by the end of 2024 was partly driven by record central bank purchases. Changes in interest rates also played a role: after significant rate hikes by central banks (notably the U.S. Fed) in 2022–2023, the market began to expect a pause or slowdown in monetary tightening in the second half of 2024. With bond yields peaking and then slightly declining, investors speculated that rate cuts might even come in 2025. This reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, thereby increasing its attractiveness. A weakening U.S. dollar further supported gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars—when the USD depreciates, gold prices rise. These macroeconomic factors have a direct impact on GORO’s operations. Higher gold and silver prices improve the revenue potential of the company, as a given production volume fetches a higher price. For example, in Q3 2024, GORO sold its gold production at an average price of about $2,561 per ounce (and silver at ~$30.6 per ounce), a very favorable price level enabled by the spike in market prices. Moreover, cost structures were also affected by macro factors: in Mexico, where the company operates, the local currency exchange rate plays a key role. A weaker peso relative to the dollar at the end of 2024 benefited the company, as its operating costs (wages, local supplier payments) are primarily incurred in pesos while revenues are in dollars. In summary, the macroeconomic background—a rising precious metals market, a potentially easing interest rate environment, and a weaker dollar—provided a strong tailwind for GORO’s stock valuation and fundamentally improved its operating prospects. Technical Analysis: Price Movements and Indicators 📊 Technical indicators also support the recent upward trend in GORO’s stock. The stock reached a low of approximately $0.12–$0.21 in the fall of 2024, then rallied several hundred percent over the following months. Over a three-month period, the stock increased by about 204.7%, more than tripling in value. In early 2025, the momentum continued, with the year-to-date gains reaching roughly 108%. The pace of the rally accelerated in February—the last two weeks saw a 48% increase, with the stock recording gains on 7 out of 9 consecutive days. Such sustained and significant gains are rare, and technical analysis suggests that a short-term correction might eventually occur. Daily price swings were also pronounced: for instance, at the end of February, the stock’s daily range was about 6% (with an intraday low of $0.455 and a high of $0.483), indicating high volatility—a characteristic not surprising for a penny stock. Volume data shows that the rally was accompanied by robust buying interest. The average daily volume was around 2.5 million shares in recent times, with trading volumes often exceeding this average on up days. On one notable day (February 27, 2025), roughly 2 million shares changed hands, slightly above the previous day’s volume, indicating that the rally was supported by genuine market participation. Technical indicators display a bullish picture, though some point to potential overbought conditions. The stock is trading well above its key moving averages—more than 50% above the 50-day moving average and about 39% above the 200-day moving average—which supports the presence of a solid upward trend in both the short and medium term. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 70, traditionally indicating an overbought condition—suggesting that the rapid increase may soon lead to profit-taking or a minor pullback. Nonetheless, absent clear reversal signals, the trend could continue. According to some technical analysts, GORO is currently in a strong and wide uptrend, and if the trend persists, further gains of up to 89% over the next three months are possible, with projections suggesting that in three months the stock could trade between approximately $0.68 and $1.11. It is worth noting that the $0.70 level represents a 52-week high, a critical resistance level that, if broken, could trigger additional buying, whereas a failure to break through might lead to a correction. Conclusion The significant increase in Gold Resources Corp’s stock price can be explained by a combination of factors. Sector-wide, improved market sentiment and high gold prices created a favorable environment that increased investor interest in mining stocks. At the corporate level, GORO managed to address earlier issues through corrective actions and capital raising, reducing immediate bankruptcy concerns and hinting at a potential turnaround. Macroeconomic factors—rising gold and silver prices, expectations of a pause in rate hikes, and a weakening U.S. dollar—improved the company’s operating prospects. Finally, technical factors reinforced the fundamental developments: once the market recognized the improved outlook (e.g., rising gold prices, stabilized operations), momentum traders entered the stock, further driving up its price. It is important to note that the high-speed rally comes with increased risk, as investors will be watching to see if the company’s fundamentals (production and financial stability) eventually catch up with the elevated stock price. Sources: World Gold Council – Gold Outlook 2025 (Dec 12, 2024) – Analysis of gold’s performance in 2024 and its driving factors (central bank and investor demand, lower yields, geopolitical risks). Mining.com – Gold stocks’ revaluation year (Jan 2025) – Discussion on the underperformance of major gold stocks in 2024 and the potential for a catch-up in 2025. Investing.com – Gold Resource Corp stock hits 52-week low at $0.21 (Oct 24, 2024) – Coverage of GORO’s bottoming out and Q2 performance (declining revenue, losses, analyst targets). Business Wire – Gold Resource Corporation Reports Q3 2024 Results (Nov 5, 2024) – Q3 financial results (production, losses, cash position) and associated challenges. Business Wire – Gold Resource Corporation Liquidity Update (Dec 2, 2024) – Update on improving production and liquidity towards the end of 2024, along with future financing needs. Gold Resource Corp – Press Release: $2.5M Registered Direct Offering (Jan 7–21, 2025) – Details on the equity offering and capital raise. Finviz.com – GORO Stock Snapshot (Data as of Feb 28, 2025) – Key performance metrics (quarterly, annual percentage changes, moving averages, RSI, target price). StockInvest.us – GORO technical analysis (Feb 27, 2025) – Technical trends (sustained upward movement, volume, short-term channel and forecasts).
AMEX:GOROLong
by meszaros
Why is the market crashing?Why Did Bitcoin Crash to $78K? Here’s What’s Driving the Panic Bitcoin soared to an all-time high of $109K in January 2025, but last night, it crashed to $78K, a brutal 26% drop, leaving it hovering around $80K. The market’s in full panic mode, and after digging into the latest news, here’s why: Trump tariffs, the Bybit hack, and a mix of other pressures are to blame. 1. Trump Tariffs: Trade War Chaos The Trump administration’s new tariffs, 25% on Mexico and Canada, 10% on China, are shaking up global trade. Here’s the impact on Bitcoin: Uncertainty Surge: Higher costs and trade disruptions spook investors. Risk-Off Mood: People ditch volatile assets like Bitcoin for safer bets like bonds. Sell-Off Trigger: The fear of an economic slowdown is hitting crypto hard. These tariffs are a major reason for the market’s jitters. 2. Bybit Hack: $1.5B Gone A massive hack hit Bybit’s Trust Wallet, with $1.5 billion in Ethereum stolen, the biggest crypto heist ever. Here’s why it’s tanking Bitcoin: Trust Shattered: Security breaches like this make everyone nervous about crypto safety. Panic Selling: Fear of more hacks or losses sparks a rush to sell. This event is amplifying the crash big time. 3. Other Crash Fuel Beyond tariffs and the hack, these factors are piling on: Macro Fears: Uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate hikes is pushing investors away from risk. Profit-Taking: After hitting $109K, big players cashed out, adding pressure. Post-Halving Dip: Bitcoin often corrects after halvings (like 2024’s), and we might be feeling that now. What’s Next for Bitcoin? This crash sucks, no doubt, tariffs and a billion-dollar hack are a nasty combo. But Bitcoin’s bounced back from worse. The panic might ease once the news settles, though recovery could take a minute. Keep an eye on trade updates and crypto security news, they’ll drive what’s next.
Long
by MonoCoinSignal
1
Bearish Opportunity in OM1. We have price at key pd array as the Daily breaker block low 2. We have Inversion FVG H1 that acted as resistance as expected 3. We have structures shift in discount that will flip to new PREMIUM 4. We have draws as the sellside liquidities in H1 note: Significant changes were made in the tokenomics of MANTRA. therefore volatility is expected This pair is highly manipulated in Binance therefore taking this trade there is not recommended,
Short
by Sherman_Trades
1
BTCUSDT - The CME gap will be filled soonContrary to expectations that February has always been a green and positive month in Bitcoin history, this month is closing with a bearish monthly candle. We will probably have a lot of volatility in March. This volatility will start with the release of important data such as the NFP. According to recent economic data, the US economy has performed better than expected in 2024 but there are still signs of slowing growth in 2025. But in short, considering that in recent months, the NFP report has been stronger than expected, indicating a strong labor market, we expect to see continued strengthening of the dollar in March. This will cause Bitcoin to be pushed down for a quick downward move to fill the CME gap after a long period of range-bound trading. But this is not a cause for concern. Since this move is not a bearish signal but just a flash crash to attract liquidity, it will react to the area and immediately return to the top. Structurally, considering that we have bullish order flow on the HTF, there are technical signs that Bitcoin could have a downward correction.
Short
by alixjey
2
Japanese yen declines as Tokyo Core CPI easesThe Japanese yen has extended its losses on Friday.  In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.39, up 0.40% on the day. After a string of releases that pointed to an upswing in inflation, Tokyo core CPI for February reversed the trend on Friday.  Japan's CPI, PPI and the Bank of Japan Core CPI all accelerated in the most recent releases but Tokyo Core CPI surprised to the downside, with a gain of 2.2% y/y.  This was down from 2.5% in January and below the market estimate of 2.3%. The soft Tokyo Core CPI reading is unlikely to raise many eyebrows at the Bank of Japan. The index remained above the BoJ's 2% target for a fourth consecutive month and Bank policymakers are expected to remain hawkish about monetary policy.  The BoJ raised rates in January and also revised its inflation forecasts upwards, a signal that further rate hikes are on the table. The markets are expecting the BoJ to continue tightening and this has been resulted in higher yields for Japanese government bonds, which hit a 15-year high earlier this month. Governor Kazuo Ueda responded to the sharp rise in bond yields with a warning that the central bank stood ready to intervene in the bond markets. Ueda's threat appears to have worked as bond yields have retreated slightly. The US wraps up the week with core PCE inflation, the Fed's peferred inflation gauge. The market estimates for January stand at 2.6% y/y (vs. 2.8% in December) and 0.2% m/m (vs. 0.3% in December). This would still be above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The Fed is not expected to lower rates before May, barring an unexpected surprise from inflation or employment data. USD/JPY tested resistance at 150.39 earlier.  Above, there is resistance at 150.98 There is support at 149.57 and 148.98
by OANDA