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XAUUSD: Post-Crash Buy Zone and Bullish SetupHere's a structured breakdown of today's #XAUUSD (Gold) trading idea, including key levels, wave structure, and risk/reward zones for both short-term and swing traders. --- 🔹 Key Technical Zones (H1 & H4 Charts) Support Levels - 3,303 USD – Key support on H4; potential false breakout area - 3,324–3,327 USD – Wave 5 completion zone and high-probability buy area - 3,337–3,343 USD – Entry zone for early bullish setups - 3,340–3,345 USD – Clean long entry; targeting up to 3,450 USD Resistance Levels - 3,363–3,365 USD – Sell zone tied to wave 4/5 overlap - 3,375–3,383 USD – Mid-range resistance; key for short-term profits - 3,405–3,500 USD – Long-term bullish targets; includes ATH region --- 🔹 Wave Count (H1 Structure) - Wave X – Recent sell-off ended a potential uptrend; suggests ongoing correction (WXY) - Wave Y – 5-wave drop toward 3,363–3,365 USD; acting as a short-term sell zone - Wave Z – Expected final leg down toward 3,324–3,327 USD (ideal buy zone) - Retracement Setup – Anticipated bullish retrace post-wave 5, with targets back at 3,363–3,376 USD --- 🔹 Order Blocks & FVGs Buy Zones - 3,343–3,330 USD – FVG within an order block; strong bullish entry area - 3,319–3,317 USD – Deep support with short-term target at 3,349 USD Sell Zone - 3,363–3,365 USD – Key area for short setups, with targets at 3,342–3,330 USD --- 🔹 Strategy & Key Takeaways 1. Bullish Structure Still Intact - Rising channel remains valid on H4 - Holding 3,303 USD is critical for confirming bullish continuation 2. Trade Setup - Long entries near 3,340–3,345 USD - Target range: 3,450 USD and above - Tight stops around 3,325 USD recommended for low-risk exposure 3. Wave Completion Zones in Play - Monitor 3,324–3,327 USD (buy zone) and 3,363–3,365 USD (sell zone) for end-of-wave activity 4. Risk Management Is Key - Scale into positions - Respect intraday volatility and breakout traps
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
CME is at the pivot zoneCME Group posted $1.64 billion in revenue (+10% YoY) and $2.80 EPS, beating forecasts. Net income surpassed $1 billion, and ADV rose 13% YoY to 29.8 million contracts, with record volumes across all major asset classes—including rates, equities, commodities, and crypto. From a technical point of view, the stock positions around the static support level of $270. Given the overall position of the financial sector relatively low compared to tech sector, we may expect it to bounce higher to the resistance level of $290.
NASDAQ:CMELong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
TME benefits from the Asian stocks rallyAnother name on our list is Tencent. Tencent Holdings Ltd. is a Chinese multinational technology and entertainment conglomerate, one of the largest companies in the world by market capitalization. Headquartered in Shenzhen, China, it was founded in 1998 by Pony Ma and several co-founders. It benefits from the rebound of AI narrative, and develops a rally, which may be expanded into the future. Tencent delivered a standout first quarter, with revenue rising 13% year-over-year to ¥180 billion (~$25 billion), exceeding market expectations. Net profit increased by approximately 14% YoY to ¥47.8 billion, while non-IFRS operating profit climbed 18%, highlighting improved operational efficiency. All major business segments—gaming, fintech, cloud, and media—outperformed forecasts, further strengthening investor confidence. Technically, it develops a strong momentum, moving in an uptrend: not a fresh start, but it’s possible to observe a short-term continuation. If the price tests the lower line of the ascending triangle, it may bounce higher and break the higher border of this formation, as displayed on the chart.
NYSE:TMELong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
NFLX gains the momentumNFLX is gaining strength. Fundamentals: Netflix reported a 12.5% year-over-year increase in Q1 revenue, reaching $10.54 billion and surpassing expectations. Adjusted EPS rose by ~25% YoY to $6.61, coming in 16% above consensus estimates. The company also issued bullish Q2 guidance, forecasting 15.4% revenue growth, supported by solid momentum in both subscriber growth and advertising revenue, further boosting investor confidence. This overall situation puts NFLX in the list of momentum stocks. From a technical standpoint, it consolidates in the widening chart formation, and may bounce off its bottom, which also corresponds to the area between 20-day moving average and lower band of the Bollinger Bands (20).
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
2
Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary: Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed. Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today. Market analysis: Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term. I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Launch of Robotaxi Service Boosts Tesla Share Price by Over 8%Launch of Robotaxi Service Boosts Tesla (TSLA) Share Price by Over 8% As previously announced by Elon Musk, Tesla has launched its robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. The cost of a ride is $4.20. The service is not yet fully operational. It is more of an extended testing phase, as access is currently by invitation only, and a Tesla employee may be present in the back seat. Nevertheless, the market responded positively — Tesla (TSLA) shares rose by more than 8% (comparing the closing prices of daily candlesticks). Technical Analysis of TSLA Share Price Chart In our 11 June publication, we: → identified an ascending channel; → highlighted the May support level (marked with an arrow), suggesting it could act as resistance following a bearish breakout. Since then: → the channel has remained relevant; → the aforementioned level acted as resistance but was broken by the bulls yesterday. As a result, the TSLA share price has reached the median of the current ascending channel, where it may find equilibrium and form a consolidation zone once the initial positive reaction to the robotaxi launch subsides. It is also worth noting the stock’s resilience following Elon Musk’s controversy with President Trump — the price has already risen more than 28% from the June low, indicating the potential for a scenario in which resistance at $365 is tested. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Risk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment MattersRisk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment Matters More Than Chasing the “Holy Grail” In trading, most participants and analysts are focused on finding the so-called “Holy Grail” — the perfect entry point where the price moves in the desired direction and yields profit. However, few actually assess the risks involved, as if success is possible without factoring them in. Market reviews are often filled with levels, forecasts, and price directions, but rarely include probability estimates or potential losses. In my view, the real Holy Grail isn't a guaranteed profitable entry, but a scenario where the market offers a position with minimal risk relative to historical context. To identify such setups, we need a risk scale based on historical data — how favorable the current risk-to-reward ratio is compared to the past. It’s also crucial to understand that no one can predict price direction with certainty. The key to opening a position is not hope, but evaluating all possible scenarios — upward, downward, or sideways — and knowing the outcome in each case. Risk management is more than just placing a stop-loss; it’s a structured approach that should be central to any trading strategy. What Are Minimal Risks? “Minimal risk” is a relative concept — it only makes sense when measured against a defined scale. Building such a scale requires historical statistics: what were the maximum and minimum losses and profits for similar positions in the past? Profit-to-Loss Ratio The idea behind the search for the “Holy Grail” is to find moments when the market offers the best possible profit-to-risk ratio. For example, if the current ratio is 10, and historically it has ranged from 0 (low risk) to 100 (high risk), then 10 may be a good entry point. If the ratio approaches 80–90, it signals that the position is extremely risky. Why Are Probability and Risk Assessment Important? Market reviews often talk about resistance levels, volatility, and price direction — but rarely address the risks of different scenarios. No expert can predict market movements with certainty — if they could, they’d be billionaires. Opening positions without accounting for risks and scenario probabilities is extremely dangerous. How to Factor in Risks When Entering a Position The key question is: what will the profit-to-loss ratio be after entering a position, depending on whether the price goes up, down, or stays flat? It’s important to understand the consequences of each case and make decisions based on risk assessment. Risk Management Must Account for the Inability to React Instantly Conventional tools like stop-losses and limit orders often fail to protect capital effectively during sudden price spikes. These tools are particularly vulnerable when market makers or high-frequency algorithms trigger stop levels en masse. This highlights the need for more resilient risk management instruments — ones that can respond to volatility instantly and automatically. Options are one such tool, capable of limiting losses regardless of market dynamics. Without robust risk management, long-term profitability becomes statistically unlikely. Sooner or later, the market will present a scenario that can wipe out your capital — unless you’re properly protected. Important note: this is not an endorsement of options or any specific broker. It’s simply a conclusion based on the logic of building effective capital protection. If a broker only provides access to linear instruments (futures, spot, stocks) without the ability to hedge, it will inevitably lead to capital erosion — even for systematic traders. And if this article gets more than 100 rockets, I’ll continue sharing specific examples of low-risk trading assessments.
SP:SPX
by wien6000796
1
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%. 2. Central Bank Interest Rates Bank of England (BoE) Rate: The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%. Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon. US Federal Reserve Rate: The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing. 3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025) Bank of England: The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year). Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing. Federal Reserve: The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected. Key Data to Watch: UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness. US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues. Summary Table Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025 Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook Key Takeaways The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term. The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further. The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies. Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction. #GBPUSD
by Shavyfxhub
Stock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire AnnouncementStock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire Announcement Last night, U.S. President Donald Trump made a social media post announcing a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. According to his own words, the ceasefire is set to last “forever.” This announcement triggered a sharp bullish impulse (indicated by the blue arrow) on the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), pushing the price to a new high above the 6074 level. Just yesterday, traders feared that the United States could be drawn into yet another costly war following bomber strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. However, today the stock markets are recovering, signalling growing optimism and a waning of fears over a major escalation of the conflict. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart When analysing the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) seven days ago, we identified an ascending channel. The angle of the trend remains relevant, while the width of the channel has expanded due to the downward movement caused by tensions in the Middle East. Notably: → the price marked the lower boundary of the channel as well as the internal lines (shown by black dots) dividing the channel into quarters; → the latest bullish impulse suggests that the upward trend is resuming after breaking out of the correction phase (indicated by red lines). It is possible that in the near future, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) could reach the median line of the channel. There, the price may consolidate, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers—particularly if the peace in the Middle East proves to be lasting. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
Gold Outlook: Navigating Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Mixed Technical Analysis The gold spot price recently tested resistance near $3,451, marking a significant swing high. Following this, the price has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $3,353, which currently acts as critical support. The daily chart shows gold holding above its 50-day weighted moving average (WMA) around $3,250, with an upward sloping trendline reinforcing near-term bullish support. If gold decisively stays below the $3,353 support, it may test lower levels near $3,293 and potentially the trendline support near $3,228. Such a move could signal a short-term bearish phase, driven by easing geopolitical fears or strengthening US dollar sentiment. • Support Levels: $3,353 (61.8% Fib), $3,293 (100% Fib retracement), $3,228 (141.4% extension). • Resistance Levels: $3,451 (recent high), with a possible challenge above to $3,500 psychological level. Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing neutral at 48, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD histogram indicates weakening bullish momentum, while stochastic oscillators are trending lower but not yet in oversold territory, implying potential for further correction before resuming upward movement. Conversely, a rebound above $3,451 could trigger fresh bullish momentum targeting $3,500 and beyond.
ERRANTE:XAUUSD
by Errante
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead? Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset. 📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold. 🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past. EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce. Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week. ✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310 SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320 📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens. 📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce. 🧭 Final Thoughts XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBPJPY Bullish Momentum AnalysisGBPJPY Bullish Momentum Analysis The GBPJPY pair is currently under bullish pressure, having broken through key resistance levels suggesting the potential for further upside continuation. This movement is supported by a weakening Japanese yen, driven in part by the continued strength of the US dollar and rising global yields. Resistance Levels 200.00 Support Levels 196.000 Technically Key resistance and small correction the bullish structure has not broken the price returns break and get there resistance. You May find more detils in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Long
by MrMartin_11
Bitcoin Holding Above $100K – Bullish Bias IntactIn my previous analysis, I mentioned that a daily close below $100K would trigger a short bias. However, price closed above the $100K level, sweeping liquidity and rejecting the downside. This move invalidates the bearish setup and confirms a bullish continuation. Market structure remains intact, and we're now looking for potential long setups on retests or pullbacks. Key Points: Liquidity sweep below $100K Daily close above key support Bullish structure remains valid Watching for continuation targets and retests 📍 Stay patient and follow price action. Structure never lies. #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #BullishContinuation #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTA
Long
by clintonHFX
XAUUSD Breaks Trend – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its rising H4 trendline and the key support zone around 3,340 – a strong signal for a potential short-term downtrend. A sharp bearish candle with high volume confirms sellers are now in control. The 3,360–3,365 zone has flipped into resistance and may act as a retest area before further declines. If price fails to hold 3,320, the next targets are 3,300–3,280, possibly down to 3,260. Volume Profile indicates money is leaving the upper range, reducing the chance of a strong rebound. Preferred strategy: wait for a pullback to 3,355–3,365, set SL above 3,370, and aim for TP at 3,300–3,280. Caution: the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance and USD strength are applying pressure on gold. Long positions are risky at this stage. Monitor the 3,300 level closely for potential buyer reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion