Get started

Fundamental Analysis

GOLD → An amazing recovery. Up to 3400?FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen, testing resistance in the range, with buyers not giving up. The price breaks through the flat line and enters the buying zone; everything depends on the bulls... Gold is rising for the second day in a row amid a weak dollar, increased demand for safe assets, and escalating conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Market nerves are being stoked by trade risks and instability in Asia, while investors await the Fed's decisions and Powell's speech. GOLD is breaking out of its neutral range. Focus on 3369 and local resistance at 3381. The fundamental backdrop is favorable for gold. If buyers hold their ground above the indicated levels, the price may continue to rise. Resistance levels: 3369, 3381, 3408 Support levels: 3352 (0.5f), 3330 I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the local liquidity zone (long squeeze) at 3352 (0.5f) before continuing to rise. But at the moment, the focus is on 3369-3370, which are key levels (currently acting as support). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
VIRTUALUSDT → Rebound from resistance. Trend break, U-turn?BINANCE:VIRTUALUSDT.P is pausing within an uptrend and forming a range within which signals of a possible reversal and decline are appearing. Bitcoin is pausing its rally and moving into correction. This is a negative development for altcoins, which will not grow without the flagship. VIRTUAL is consolidating, but pressure is building in the market (as can be seen from the cascade of resistance levels within the range). Another prerequisite for a breakdown of the market structure is a downward exit from the upward channel (a break of the trend support). Another retest of support at 1.581 could trigger a breakout and a fall. There is a fairly free zone below, and the nearest target is located in the 1.178 zone. Resistance levels: 1.72, 1.829 Support levels: 1.581, 1.416, 1.178 Focus on the current range of 1.581 - 1.829. The chart shows that the price continues to storm and test support, which is an important signal against the backdrop of a broken uptrend. A break of support at 1.581 and consolidation below this level could trigger liquidation and a fall to the fvg zone or the liquidity zone at 1.178. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Gold price breaks through 3400. Bulls take control?Gold price breaks through the 3400 resistance level I predicted. And there is a trend of continuous rise. Next, Quaid will comprehensively analyze the current market situation for all traders. Technical analysis: From the daily chart, the gold price has broken through the important resistance level and formed a strong upward trend. Currently trading above $3400, it has successfully broken through the key resistance range of $3385-3400. The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the middle track is at 3231.01, the upper track is at 3485.06, and the lower track is at 2976.97, indicating that the current price is near the upper track of the Bollinger Band, showing strong upward momentum. The RSI indicator shows that the current value is 64.8, which is in the neutral to strong area, and has not yet reached the overbought level, and there is still room for growth. Quaid believes that in the short term, if gold stabilizes above $3,400, it may hit $3,430-3,450. Once it breaks through, it will open up the possibility of a higher price. Market sentiment observation: The current market sentiment is clearly biased towards risk aversion, and global geopolitical tensions have become the main driving force for gold to rise. The continued tension of geopolitical conflicts and political uncertainty in Germany have prompted market participants to seek safe assets. At the same time, expectations for the Fed's future monetary policy shift are also increasing. Although the possibility of a rate cut in May is extremely low, the probability of a rate cut in the June meeting is close to 30%. Liquidity indicators show that the trading activity in the gold market has increased and institutional funds continue to flow in, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has the upper hand in the short term. Technical indicators have not shown obvious overbought signals, which means that the current rally still has room to continue. Compared with other asset classes, gold's relative strength is outstanding, especially in the context of the possible challenges to the status of the US dollar as a safe haven asset. Outlook for the future In the short term: Gold prices may continue to rise to test the $3,400-3,500 area. The Fed's decision will be a key trigger for gold prices in the near term. If the Fed shows a dovish attitude, gold prices are expected to further break through historical highs. Medium term: Global geopolitical uncertainty is expected to continue to support gold prices. If geopolitical conflicts escalate further or the situation in the Middle East deteriorates, safe-haven demand may push gold prices to hit the $3,600 level. At the same time, market expectations of a shift in the Fed's monetary policy will be another key factor affecting gold prices. Long term: From a macro perspective, the current combination of slowing global economic growth and geopolitical tensions will continue to provide support for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Buy EUR/USD now. Sell laterSimple bullish channel, got confirmation on 15m. Trade is now active, wish me luck. I believe it isn’t too late to buy in. The 3M, Monthly, and Weekly indicate bearish Except we have 24 days left in this month to be really bullish and then dump in a couple weeks The daily, 4H share strong bullish trendlines and we just rejected the bottom, already on our way up The 1H and 15m has its own bullish channel as well So in conclusion, the next 1-3 weeks will be very bullish. After that, expect a huge bear run. Get out as soon as the bull run is over and start shorting 🐻 For now, wait for a quick dip, buy a long and close your laptop for a week. (With risk management) Check back in a week and see if it’s still running, wait until it hits your TP (which will be at the top of the Trendline on the daily or 4H) then start shorting Hope this was all helpful, if you have any questions, comment or DM me. I am currently in the trade and I will let you guys know how it goes :)
Long
by SethGoforth
2
GOLD soars, geopolitical risks escalateIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (May 6), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly jumped more than 50Dollar in the short term. The price of gold just hit 3,387USD/ounce, setting a new intraday high. Trump's latest tariff announcement has increased risk-off sentiment, thereby pushing the price of gold up sharply. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday he plans to impose a 100% tariff on foreign-made films, extending his restrictive trade policy on U.S. imports to the entertainment industry for the first time, rekindling investor concerns about the potential fallout from a global trade war. On Monday local time, Trump signed an executive order on biomedical research, hoping to use this opportunity to boost the US pharmaceutical industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced within the next 2 weeks. Gold is often considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty and performs well in low interest rate environments. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical records several times. On the other hand, geopolitical tensions surrounding the conflict between Ukraine and Russia are also escalating as Ukraine actively attacks despite warnings from Russia. On May 9, Russia will solemnly celebrate the 80th anniversary of Victory Day - a significant historical milestone with the participation of many international politicians and military corps from many countries participating in the parade at Red Square. Geopolitical risks often impact the market very quickly and dramatically, gold prices will increase sharply whenever geopolitical risks appear as dangerous as the current situation in Ukraine - Russia. Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD prospects On the daily chart, after gold received support and recovered from the confluence area of ​​EMA21 and 0.50% Fibonacci retracement, gold showed prospects of continuing to recover and entering a new technical bullish cycle, bringing price activity back above $3,300. At the time of writing, gold has reached the weekly target level sent to readers in the weekly publication at $3,371, which is also the current nearest resistance. Once gold remains stable above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the prospect of continuing to increase with the next target around $3,400 – $3,430 in the short term. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned upward with a significant slope after receiving support from the 50 area, which should be considered a positive signal for further bullish expectations. Intraday, the technical outlook for gold is bullish with the main support from the EMA21, the notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,267USD Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3409 - 3407⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3413 →Take Profit 1 3401 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3395 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3306 - 3308⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3302 →Take Profit 1 3314 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3320
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025 📈 5625 5638 5650 📉 5614 5602 5590 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MES1!
by J3Trad3s
1
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025 📈 19840 19900 19965 📉 19779 19717 19655 Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support! Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by J3Trad3s
Ethereum Prepares for Major Pectra UpgradeEthereum—the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization—is set to undergo a major upgrade in May 2025, known as “Pectra.” This update promises to significantly improve scalability, performance, and user experience. But what exactly does it entail? Pectra follows the groundbreaking "Merge" event of 2022, which shifted Ethereum from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake consensus. With that transition complete, developers have now turned their focus to making the network faster, cheaper, and more user-friendly. The upgrade includes several Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), targeting transaction processing, wallet functionality, and validator operations. Some key highlights are improvements in staking, partial withdrawals, adaptive fee structures, and better client compatibility. Most notably, Pectra enhances staking mechanics, allowing validators to partially withdraw funds—something that was previously restricted. This change is expected to attract more participants to Ethereum’s staking ecosystem. Transaction efficiency is also a central focus. The upgrade aims to reduce network congestion and lower gas fees, which have long been a pain point for users of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms and NFT marketplaces. Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Though ETH price action remains relatively stable, trading volumes have increased as traders position themselves ahead of the upgrade. Analysts suggest that a successful implementation could trigger a rally in Ethereum’s price, especially if the changes deliver on promised performance gains. Ethereum continues to dominate the smart contract space despite increasing competition from blockchains like Solana and Avalanche. Pectra could further solidify Ethereum’s lead, especially if it improves network speed and lowers costs without compromising decentralization. This upgrade isn’t just a technical patch—it’s a strategic move to future-proof the Ethereum ecosystem in the Web3 era. With Pectra, Ethereum reinforces its role as the foundational infrastructure for decentralized applications.
Long
by HCN-News12
Is this an Asian currency crisis in reverse? The Taiwan Dollar surged more than 5% against the U.S. dollar on Monday, briefly pushing USD/TWD below the 29.00 mark. The two-day rally—totaling nearly 10%—is the sharpest in over three decades. But Taiwan isn’t alone. A broader wave of U.S. dollar selling has lifted several Asian currencies, including the Singapore Dollar, South Korean Won, Malaysian Ringgit, Chinese Yuan, and Hong Kong Dollar. Goldman Sachs reported on Tuesday that investor positioning has shifted significantly, with clients moving from short yuan positions to long ones—suggesting a growing expectation of continued U.S. dollar weakness.
by BlackBull_Markets
Short-term entry can be made at key points.📊Technical aspects: |Gold showed a clear upward trend today driven by risk aversion, mainly because Trump announced a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, a move that triggered global concerns about trade wars and exacerbated economic uncertainty. In order to avoid risks, investors have turned to traditional safe-haven assets such as gold, resulting in a surge in demand for gold and a subsequent rise in prices. Currently, from the perspective of technical indicators, the 4-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger band is in an enlarged form, and the gold price is running close to the upper Bollinger band. Gold is still bullish, but the RSI shows overbought. Don't chase highs and beware of gold's highs and falls. It is recommended to go long again after a pullback. 🎯Practical strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3385-75, with a target of around 3400. If it does not break, you can go short near 3400 and see a fall back near 3384.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Tim's Fundamental View LayoutHere is the way that I view any stock for an initial analysis to get an idea of what the market is valuing and viewing the company. I first look at the free cash flow, so that is directly under the price chart. Free cash flow is the life-blood of the company and can be used to pay dividends and to reinvest in the company to grow the top line or to buy back stock. Next I look at the PSR or Price-To-Sales-Ratio. This ratio is paramount for me since the top line shows up first for companies and is the starting point for analysis. Companies with low or no sales growth get priced very differently from companies with high growth. Start with sales growth in your analysis. There are many great books on the topic written by Kenneth L. Fisher, the creator of the tool. Next "Avg Basic Shares Outstanding" to see if the company is constantly diluting investors and raising capital or hiding expenses by giving out stock options each year. Old companies in slow growth industries tend to buy back stock and growth companies grow shares outstanding and is a strong headwind for investors. Next is "Long Term Debt"... which is another extremely important variable to look at with any company. In the long run, debt is the cheapest capital since you can pay it off cheaply but it can also drag down a company when the future is uncertain and unpredictable. Companies with predictable sales and growth often load up on debt which enhances returns for equity owners, but increases the risk long term. Jet Blue NASDAQ:JBLU is case in point for this as in 2000 before the pandemic it had a $5 billion market cap with $1 billion in debt and now it has over $8 billion in debt and the market cap is down to $1.5 billion. It is very difficult to get out from under such a heavy debt load. Debt can be "death" for any company if overused. Next is "Revenue" graphed annually. Essential to see if inflation impacts sales growth or if it can't keep up with inflation. The last 5 years was between 20%-50% inflation depending on the industry so if a company doesn't have higher revenues by at least 20% since 2019, then this reveals a weakness in their pricing power which is a very competitive market with likely declining or low margins. Last is "Market Cap". It is always good to know the market capitalization of any stock that you own. It is the foundation for understanding if any investor would ever want to buy the whole company and what would it cost to buy it and what are the "returns" from owning the whole company. I hope you can copy this layout for your own so you too can have a one-page view of the history of a company to help you get your mind around its valuation and potential along with understanding the risks all in one, easy picture.
NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by timwest
12
NATRIUM | Investing | Why BILL GATES is Betting on NATRIUMBill Gates is betting big on Natrium - should you be, too? Natrium is this next-generation nuclear reactor design that's attracting a lot of attention from people like Bill Gates and other major investors. What's particularly interesting about it is that it combines a fast reactor with a built-in molten salt "battery." Essentially, it can generate a steady output of power and then provide an extra boost during peak demand by drawing on its stored heat. This design aims for greater flexibility in meeting fluctuating electricity needs. The technology is a joint development by TerraPower, the company co-founded by Bill Gates, and GE Hitachi. They're presenting it as a zero-carbon power source capable of reliably backing up intermittent renewables like wind and solar, ensuring a consistent supply of clean energy. The excitement from investors like Bill Gates appears to be driven by the need to address climate change and secure reliable energy supplies. They view Natrium as a way to deliver large-scale, carbon-free power while potentially overcoming some of the limitations of older nuclear reactor designs. Gates has emphasized the enhanced safety features and potential for lower operating costs. Furthermore, Natrium's specific design to complement the intermittency of solar and wind, through its energy storage, is a significant draw for investors looking at future energy solutions. The substantial public and private investment, including government funding and bipartisan legislative support, also signals strong confidence in this technology. The description of TerraPower as a "Bill Gates-backed" firm developing this multi-billion dollar demonstration plant highlights the high-profile nature of the project. The fact that corporate partners, such as the data center company exploring Natrium for their power needs, are also getting involved indicates a broader recognition of its potential beyond just government initiatives. Compared to traditional nuclear reactors, Natrium offers some potential advantages. Its sodium coolant operates at near-atmospheric pressure, simplifying safety compared to the high-pressure water systems in older designs. This allows for natural heat dissipation in case of issues, reducing the risk of large steam explosions. Another key aspect is Natrium's potential for more efficient fuel utilization and reduced long-lived waste generation. The design aims for better fuel efficiency and a smaller volume of long-term radioactive waste compared to current light-water reactors. Natrium's primary advantage over wind and solar is its dispatchability. Unlike the intermittent nature of renewables, Natrium can provide power consistently, 24/7. The integrated energy storage allows it to complement renewables by absorbing excess energy or releasing power during periods of low renewable output. This firm grid support is a significant benefit for utilities concerned about grid stability and the variability of renewable sources. For utilities transitioning away from coal, Natrium offers a carbon-free, relatively direct replacement in terms of power output. It also has a smaller land footprint compared to large-scale wind or solar installations. There are inherent challenges with a first-of-a-kind system like Natrium. The prototype is still under construction, lacking a proven operational track record. Construction and licensing processes could face delays and cost overruns. Critics also raise valid points about the actual safety and cost-effectiveness compared to projections. The use of sodium coolant, while offering safety advantages, also presents risks due to its reactivity with air and water, requiring robust containment systems. Regulatory scrutiny will undoubtedly be extensive. And fuel supply is a critical uncertainty. Natrium requires high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is not currently widely available. Disruptions in the supply chain and limited existing production capacity pose a significant risk to the timely and cost-effective operation of Natrium plants. Looking ahead, Natrium is being considered for deployment in regions needing reliable power to complement renewables and to power energy-intensive industries. The long-term vision involves integrating Natrium with renewable energy sources to create a more stable and decarbonized grid. The speculative outlook for Natrium in the next 5-10 years is heavily dependent on the successful completion of the Wyoming demonstration plant. If it meets its targets, it could pave the way for wider adoption. However, the timeline is ambitious, and challenges related to fuel supply and regulatory approvals remain. A successful demonstration could trigger significant investment and adoption in the coming decades, positioning Natrium as a key player in the energy transition. If you're interested in investing in companies involved with TerraPower's Natrium reactor, several publicly traded firms are integral to its development and supply chain: 🔧 Engineering & Construction KBR Inc. | (NYSE: KBR) KBR has formed a strategic alliance with TerraPower to commercialize and deploy Natrium reactors globally. The collaboration focuses on creating a replicable contracting framework to reduce financial risk and ensure cost transparency in deploying Natrium technology. terrapower.com ⚛️ Nuclear Fuel & Components BWX Technologies Inc. | (NYSE: BWXT) BWXT has been awarded a contract by TerraPower to design the Intermediate Heat Exchanger for the Natrium demonstration project. This component is critical for transferring heat within the reactor system. Centrus Energy Corp. | (NYSE American: LEU) Centrus Energy is collaborating with TerraPower to establish domestic production capabilities for high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is essential for fueling the Natrium reactor. ⚙️ Manufacturing & Industrial Partners Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd. | 034020.KQ (KOSDAQ) Doosan Enerbility is supplying critical components for the Natrium reactor, including the core barrel and internal supports. HD Hyundai | 329180.KQ HD Hyundai is manufacturing the reactor vessel for the Natrium project. 🌍 International Collaborators SK Inc. | 034730.KQ SK Inc., a South Korean conglomerate, has invested $250 million in TerraPower to support the demonstration and commercialization of the Natrium reactor. Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) | 15760.KS (KOSPI) KHNP has entered into a strategic collaboration with TerraPower to support the Natrium project, leveraging its expertise in nuclear power development. OTHERS: 1. Mirion Technologies (NYSE: MIR) Mirion is supplying the Radiation Monitoring System (RMS) and Nuclear Instrumentation System (XIS) for the Natrium Reactor Demonstration Project in Wyoming. 2. GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) Through its subsidiary, Global Nuclear Fuel–Americas (GNF-A), GE Vernova is partnering with TerraPower to establish the Natrium Fuel Facility in Wilmington, North Carolina. This facility aims to produce high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel essential for the Natrium reactor. 3. NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE: SMR) While not directly involved with the Natrium project, NuScale is a prominent developer of small modular reactors (SMRs), a category that includes Natrium. The company's advancements in SMR technology contribute to the broader nuclear energy landscape. 4. Southern Company (NYSE: SO) Southern Company is collaborating with TerraPower on the development of a molten chloride fast reactor (MCFR), a separate advanced nuclear project. Their involvement in advanced nuclear technologies aligns with the innovations seen in the Natrium project. ________________________________ Sources: Recent industry reports and news articles and TerraPower press releases provide the data above. Also put together with the help of AI. world-nuclear-news.org, ans.org, gatesnotes.com, scientificamerican.com, terrapower.com, reuters.com
NSE:TATACHEMLong
by CryptoCheck-
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart – Key Resistance Test: Breakout or RejectSimple Analysis: Price is currently at a resistance zone (~$3,335). Two possible outcomes are drawn: Bullish scenario: Break above current resistance → move toward the next resistance (~$3,500+). Bearish scenario: Rejection from current resistance → fall back to the support zone (~$3,240). EMAs: 50 EMA (red) is above 200 EMA (blue) = bullish bias, but price must break resistance to continue upward. Summary: Watch for a breakout above ~$3,335 for bullish continuation, or a rejection for a potential drop to support near ~$3,240.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Fxhenry22
Celanese Corp | CE | Long at $39.64Celanese Corp is another chemical company (like Dow Inc) crushed by tariffs and economic headwinds. It's dropped -78% in one year.... However, this is a very strong company with strong credit market interest and no immediate liquidity crisis. From a technical analysis perspective, this... like in 2008 and 2020... is the time to gather shares given it has reached the "abysmal crash" levels based on my selected simple moving averages. In the past, recovery to new highs has taken 1-2 years. History doesn't always repeat, but fear is opportunity in the stock market. If negative news continues to reign, a dip into the high $20's isn't out of the question. If the company can squeak through 2025 and not continue to stack debt (debt/equity=2.43x), the growth opportunity into 2027-2028 looks promising. I'm keeping my targets into 2026 low, but this could be a good buy and hold for the right investor. Targets: $47.00 $54.75
NYSE:CELong
by WorthlessViews
Gold's upward momentum continues. Will gold continue to see an uFundamental analysis: Tomorrow will see the decision of the Federal Open Market Committee, which may pose a risk to bulls as the Fed is likely to refute the market's aggressive dovish pricing expectations. From a more macro perspective, as the Fed implements loose policies, real yields may continue to fall and gold is still in an upward trend. But in the short term, more positive news on tariffs and a hawkish stance by the Fed may trigger a further decline in gold prices as the market readjusts to the new situation. Technical analysis: Gold prices broke through the shock range strongly in the early Asian session, jumping from $3,330 to $3,386, and then slowly fell to $3,350; it climbed again to $3,385 during the European session. The European session did not break through the early high, but there was no excessive retracement, and the European session as a whole maintained high shocks. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current upward resistance is 3,395, and the support level is 3,350 below. If the upward movement today can strongly break through the resistance level of 3395, the price of gold may reach the high point of 3400-3430. If the price of gold fails to break through the resistance level of 3395 and continues to fluctuate at a high level, it will prepare for a continuous rise and break through the high. Operation strategy: Long strategy: enter the market and do more, and the upward range looks at the high point of 3400-3430. Short strategy: short at 3410, and the downward position looks at the support range of 3370-3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1