Fundamental Analysis
World gold price todayIn the international market, at 6:00 a.m. on January 24, the world spot gold price was $2,753/ounce, down $7 from the highest price in the overnight trading session of $2,760/ounce. However, the gold price later rose to a new high, around $2,770/ounce, up nearly $20/ounce compared to today.
According to Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, recent better economic data from the US suggests that the Fed may have to delay cutting interest rates longer and the higher interest rate environment increases the opportunity cost of holding Lis gold.
This expert commented that in the US stock market, stock investors are trading very strongly, so gold is less interested.
Another factor that investors are paying attention to is that President Trump announced that he would impose tariffs on goods from the European Union and is considering applying a 10% tax on Chinese imports from February 1.
However, if these policies are considered to be inflationary, causing the Fed to maintain high interest rates for a long time, the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge may decrease.
Why does hegemony andsupremacy work? Trumpian economics ushers…Why does hegemony and supremacy work? Trumpian economics ushers The Neo Titanic era of late-stage capitalism.
Blessings. Good? I’m just easing back into the site myself.
An easy basic plain chart for your head tops!! you’re welcome.
entered the premarket with the hands-off approach and a wide stop.
Targeting 250 points of the US 3 to close out and historic week
I may also use a scalping strategy between the LSE and NYE opens
The pips are falling out of the sky. The bulls 🦬can smell the blood. Even the bears 🐻 like me can't resist the fresh meat in the woods tonight.
As always on the menu is the working class, as the new deconstructionists position their chairs on the reality TV show Neo-Titanic.
It’s a good year to get rich.
Trump, BOJ could be the ideal divergent theme for USD/JPY bearsWe've just seen the BOJ deliver a hawkish hike, where they upgraded their inflation forecasts and cited rising wage pressures. This leaves the door open for further hikes this year. Meanwhile, Trump is now trying to strongarm the Fed and global central banks to lower interest rates immediately. Together, this is the ideal divergent theme currency traders crave. And the icing on the cake for USD/JPY bears would be if Trump begins his attack on a strong USD (which I think he will).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
XAUUSDAs of January 23, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $2,751.87 per ounce, slightly down from the previous day's near three-month peak of $2,763.43.
Technical analysis suggests that gold prices may continue to rise, with potential targets at $2,765 and $2,795.
However, analysts note that gold might face resistance around $2,759, which could trigger a correction.
Given these factors, if gold reaches the $2,760 level, it may encounter resistance, potentially leading to a price correction. This could present an opportunity to consider selling positions. However, it's crucial to monitor market conditions closely, as various factors, including U.S. trade policies and Federal Reserve decisions, can influence gold prices.
*Disclaimer: This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.*
AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Japanese" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/JPY "Aussie vs Japanese" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 98.400
However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 101.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
AUD/JPY is a popular currency pair that can be influenced by various fundamental and macroeconomic factors. Here's a brief analysis to help you make an informed decision:
Fundamental Analysis---
Interest Rate Differential: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been keeping interest rates relatively high compared to the Bank of Japan (BOJ). This difference can make the AUD more attractive to investors, potentially driving up the value of AUD/JPY.
Commodity Prices: Australia is a major exporter of commodities like iron ore, coal, and gold. An increase in commodity prices can boost the Australian economy and support the AUD.
Economic Growth: Australia's economy has been showing signs of resilience, with a growing services sector and a rebound in consumer spending. Japan's economy, on the other hand, has been facing challenges, including a declining population and low inflation.
Macroeconomic Analysis---
Global Risk Sentiment: AUD/JPY is often considered a risk-on/risk-off pair. When investors are risk-averse, they tend to sell AUD and buy JPY, causing the pair to decline. Conversely, when risk appetite increases, AUD/JPY tends to rise.
Yield Curve: The yield curve in Australia has been relatively steep compared to Japan, which can attract investors seeking higher returns.
Central Bank Policies: The RBA has been maintaining a hawkish stance, while the BOJ has been keeping its ultra-loose monetary policy. This contrast can influence the AUD/JPY exchange rate.
Technical Analysis---
The AUD/JPY chart is showing a bullish trend, with the pair trading above its 200-day moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 60, indicating a moderate bullish momentum.
Conclusion---
Based on the fundamental and macroeconomic analysis, it seems that AUD/JPY might continue its bullish trend. However, it's essential to keep an eye on global risk sentiment, commodity prices, and central bank policies, as these factors can influence the pair's direction.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
GOLD-XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold Analysis: The market is in the center zone, indicating potential for upward movement. Look for buying opportunities as the price approaches support levels. Once the market reaches a strong resistance, it could signal a sell setup. Stay cautious, plan your entry and exit carefully, and manage your risk effectively!
IRCTC Reaches Multi-Year Support – Should You Buy Now...?IRCTC has recently approached a significant multi-year support level at 768. This level has proven to be a reliable support point in both 2020 and 2023, indicating its importance for investors and traders alike. Currently, although we are observing a short-term downtrend in the stock's price, there is a potential turning point in sight.
If the price manages to break above the established trendline and maintains that elevated position, it could signal a promising buying opportunity. This scenario would be reinforced by two key confirmations: first, the reaffirmation of the multi-year support at 768, which historically has provided a cushion against further declines; and second, the breakout above the trendline, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Thus, careful monitoring of these levels may provide strategic entry points for investment.
HDFC Bank Range Breakout: A Good Buying Opportunity...?After a period of strong consolidation, HDFC Bank has successfully cleared the resistance level at 1660. This breakthrough indicates potential upward momentum in the stock's price. Currently, the stock is retesting this 1660 level, which could serve as a crucial support zone before it continues its upward journey.
Considering the current market conditions and the recent price action, this presents an opportunity to enter a long position. We should aim for a first target around 1719, the next resistance level to watch. If momentum remains strong and the stock continues to rise, a second target can be set at 1808.
As always, it's essential to manage risk, especially in a volatile market environment. Therefore, implementing stop-loss orders is recommended to protect against any unexpected price movements. This strategic approach can help secure profits while mitigating potential losses as we navigate this trade.
Gold (XAU/USD) Ready for All time High In My Overview And Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is currently trading within an ascending channel, outlined by trendlines, which indicates a strong bullish momentum. Key support levels at $2,723 and $2,709, serving as crucial zones for potential pullbacks.
The analysis outlines two intermediate take-profit levels at $2,770 and $2,785, with a final target of $2,800.
The chart pattern suggests continued bullish movement as long as the price remains above the support levels and respects the channel's structure.
If the price breaks through the resistance near the intermediate targets, it is likely to achieve the final target of $2,800. This forecast aligns with both fundamental factors and technical indicators, emphasizing strong upward momentum in the short term.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis Gold (XAUUSD), showing a clear uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the broader bullish momentum.
Key observations:
1. Support Zones: The marked support areas at $2,710 and $2,668 indicate strong buying interest during price pullbacks.
2. Resistance Zone: The $2,780-$2,794 region serves as a potential upside target, where sellers may emerge.
3. Price Action and Breakouts: The three circled areas highlight strong bullish movements and breakout points, demonstrating consistent buying pressure.
Target Projection: The chart suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, with potential take profit levels (TP) at $2,765 and $2,780. A break above $2,780 may further accelerate the uptrend.
Technical fundamentals, with support zones acting as a cushion for any retracement. Risk management is critical around these zones.
Dear traders! Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts in comment section
NOTE: This Ananlysis For educational purposes only not a trading advice
Trump tantrums, tarrifs, T-bills and technicals.Hello traders
What fun had by all at the WEF in Davos today, listening to DJT threatening our allies, Canada and the European Union, oil producers, US banks and finally, the FOMC, his favorite foe. AND Central Banks across the globe: drop interest rates. WHAT????
He does not even pretend anymore that there is something called the free market, ESPECIALLY in the Grand Daddy of capitalist countries, our beloved USA. His lashing out at anything he does not like and signing executive orders like a dictator, has semblances of Dr. Evil in "Austin Powers, International Man of Mystery." Except, this is not funny. It is embarrassing for the "Leader of the free world" stating that we are all his b****es and had better obey.
He seriously acts like he runs the planet and no one should dare cross him or ignore his demands. I have to wonder how it is going to turn out for Co-President Musk who contradicted and criticized Trump and the bigly AI Stargate project. You said what, Elonia??? LOL
Anyway, I've had my fun for the day writing thus far. Let's get serious.
How did the markets react to his rants? I could not monitor it live because I was under deep sedation for a spine L5-S1 discectomy at the time. Therefore, I apologize for any spelling errors or anything that does not make 100% sense.
Looking at the charts, I believe the markets shrugged and ignored him.
*DXY is at the same support level since 12/20/25
*So is US10Y
*Gold hit a technical resistance level yesterday
*EUR/USD: it completed a Head and Shoulders technical formation and backed away from the 1.0436 level. My short trade is still in play.
So, a bigly old nothing burger.
The Federal Court system has called his ending birthright citizenship a "blatantly unconstitutional" executive order.
Hegseth's confirmation hangs in the balance with Republican Senators Murkowski and Collins indicating they will vote no.
There is pushback from diverse quarters because allowing this guy to go unchecked again will lead to international disaster. Oh, and good job ending the Ukraine conflict with a phone call within 24 hours...
In conclusion, I circle back to what I have said in my two previous ideas: don't lose your head about his BS. Trust your charts and own informed assessment.
I check this chart layout throughout the day because these are the asset classes that I believe reflect where currencies are heading. I check S&P 500, NASDAQ and Bitcoin too as a bellwether of risk.
Successful trading for all of you FX warriors.
On Semiconductor: Underdog moat of AI power playOn Semiconductor
The company is currently trading at $56.26 per share at TTM Price-to-earning(P/E) ratio of 13.69, approximately, with a forward P/E ratio of 13.92.
The enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) is about 8.89, with profit margin of 23.8%.
Analysts’ consensus estimates for the upcoming quarter project earnings per share (EPS) between $0.92 and $1.04, with revenue expectations ranging from $1.7 billion to $1.8 billion.
Based on the estimates, the calculated intrinsic value of the forecasted share price lies between $52 to $57.9 range.
Focus Industries : Automotive, industrial, and IoT markets.
Strengths :
1. Leader of the product segment.
2. Growth in EV and ADAS solution.
3. Vertical integration mitigating supply chain risks and reaching operational efficiency.
4. Global operating segments - Optimism grown alongside with interest rate optimism tailwind.
Weakness :
1. Dependence on cyclical markets
2. Limited presence in certain high-growth segments
3. High CAPEX limiting shareholder return
Key Customers:
1. Tesla, GM, Ford, and other automotive manufacturers.
2. Dell, HP, and Cisco..
3. IoT companies and manufacturing organizations.
ETHBTC Analysis - Time to buy ETH and its tokens?I can understand that the altcoins have lost all the gains, but we took as much profits as possible. ETHERUEM tokens have dropped massively but if u remember those were the coins we made most profit from. It really depends where in the market is your average buy level. Now for those who are trying to build a portfolio for long term knows that at these times, we accumulate good coins. ETHBTC chart is looking great, i expect Ethereum to move first followed by all its underlying tokens.
This chart shows we are in a demand level, which took a while to reach. After a very long time i can say I am bullish for Ethereum and its tokens to perform well.
$ETH why is it cancelled? Things you porobably need to know.There are several reasons why CRYPTOCAP:ETH is being sidelined—some obvious, others you may not have considered. Here's my analysis.
Let’s be clear: something is wrong in this cycle, and the ETF providers are at the heart of the problem.
The famous line, *"there is no second best"*, rings true—because they ensure no one overshadows their main asset: $BTC.
They’ve already tried to destroy crypto outright—really hard—and failed. The elites are 100% devoted to the USD; it’s their lifeblood. Crypto, especially stablecoins like USDT or USDC, became a competitor, and they did everything possible to wreck the market. When direct attacks didn’t work, they turned to a new strategy: controlling it from the inside.
They embraced crypto, and now they’re making billions off crypto enthusiasts who mistakenly believe these players are here for their benefit. This won’t last forever, but that’s a topic for another day.
Now, let’s address why Ethereum is underperforming—and why it’s likely to continue.
### 1. **Corruption in the Proof-of-Stake System**
All PoS systems rely on staking: the more you stake, the more rewards you earn. Typical staking rewards in crypto average about 10% APR, significantly higher than traditional bank interest rates.
But here’s the catch: these rewards are minted, creating inflation because more coins are constantly being dumped into the market. This results in a class of "retired" investors who stake massive amounts, live off their staking rewards, and sell them without ever touching their capital. This creates constant sell pressure on PoS coins.
The Ethereum Foundation controls how much staking is rewarded. Because it’s run by the same people staking, their vested interest is to keep APRs high, even though this fuels inflation. Ironically, Ethereum’s inflation rivals the USD—a troubling reality for a crypto meant to outperform traditional finance.
### 2. **Ethereum’s Ripple Effect on the Market**
Most altcoins rely on Solidity smart contracts, meaning Ethereum’s performance directly impacts the broader altcoin market. When Ethereum underperforms, it drags down Layer 2 solutions, DeFi projects, and the entire altcoin ecosystem.
Knowing this, why did ETF providers rush to approve ETH ETFs? Simple: *“There is no second best.”*
By taming Ethereum, ETF providers manipulate the market to keep Bitcoin afloat, cancel bear markets, and kill any chance of an altseason. On-chain data shows their strategy: when they buy Bitcoin, they sell Ethereum. This frustrates altcoin holders, pushing them to dump their bags and pivot toward—guess what—Bitcoin.
### 3. **The ETF Trojan Horse**
Ethereum, with its corrupt foundation, is the perfect tool for entities like BlackRock to maintain Bitcoin dominance. By doing so, they effectively prevent bear markets and suppress altseasons.
But this strategy has an endpoint. ETFs will milk the crypto space for as much profit as possible. Once they’ve extracted enough, they’ll dump their holdings, funneling all that capital back into USD. This has been their plan all along.
When that happens, the crypto market—including Bitcoin—will crash. Ethereum’s role has essentially been to funnel cash into Bitcoin, making it easier for institutions to accumulate wealth before transferring it all back into USD.
---
In short, Ethereum is being used as a tool in the ETF providers' larger scheme. It’s not about creating a thriving ecosystem but about maintaining dominance, controlling markets, and ultimately cashing out into the USD.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate Highest in Near 2 YearsECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3.6%
(December/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in November,
marking the highest reading since January 2023 as food prices rose the most in a year.
Meanwhile, the core inflation rate climbed to a 16-month peak of 3%, in line with estimates.
#POSSIBLE CONDITIONSMarket Outlook for Tomorrow:💯
As we dive into today’s 4H analysis, two possible scenarios unfold:
1:Rejection at the Recent Selling Zone (2654 - 2665): If the market faces resistance here, we
could see a pullback, with price potentially dropping towards 2725.
2:Breaking the First Zone: Alternatively, the market might liquidate its first zone and then face a fresh sell-off from the second key selling area.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
The game is on! Let’s watch closely as we await whether the market offers us risk or reward. These selling zones are critical, so make sure to act only after a solid bearish confirmation.💥
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/23/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/23/25
📈 22147.25 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 21714.5 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 22039 & 📉 21822.75
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/23/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/23/25
📈 6166 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 6056.75 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 6138.75 & 📉 6084.25
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
XCN Near Term Target 0.0173 COINBASE:XCNUSD After a couple of exciting days for Onyx Coin, we have seen mostly sideways consolidation as the market normalizes prices and new investor capital flows in.
XCN needs to break through the resistance of the previous high around 0.01595, to reach a target of 0.0173 which would signal return to a growth focused trend. Until then, likely more sideways consolidation, but watch out for sudden moves as interest continues to grow.