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Gold – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays📌 Gold Surges $80 off Support – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays 📉📈 Gold (XAU/USD) bounced sharply today — surging over 80 points from the support zone near $3,260, swept during the late U.S. session. This strong rebound came as buyers stepped in aggressively after a 250+ point crash earlier in the week. Now, the market is pulling back from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone, showing early signs of sell-side reaction. If this momentum continues, Asian and London sessions could push price lower to fill liquidity in the untested FVG region near 3,288. 🔁 Intraday Structure & Key Zones After sweeping both sides of the range (80 up / 40 down), gold is now consolidating between 3,328 – 3,320. With intraday volatility ranging from 80–100 points, today’s focus will be on high-probability reaction zones. 🔴 SELL Bias for Today Primary Resistance: 3,376 – 3,378 → This zone is expected to act as the first defense for sellers. If broken, watch the final resistance at 3,410 — a key structural level. → A clean breakout above 3,410 may invalidate the sell setup and shift the bias back to BUY. 🔍 News to Watch ⚠️ Unemployment Claims (U.S.) will be released during the New York session. → Given current market sensitivity, expect volatility to spike around this release. 🧭 Today’s Trading Zones 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 3,230 – 3,228 SL: 3,224 TP Targets: 3,234 → 3,238 → 3,242 → 3,246 → 3,250 → 3,254 → 3,260 🔻 SELL ZONE #1 Entry: 3,376 – 3,378 SL: 3,382 TP Targets: 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 🔻 SELL ZONE #2 Entry: 3,408 – 3,410 SL: 3,414 TP Targets: 3,402 → 3,398 → 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 3,382 → 3,375 → 3,370 🛡️ Risk Management Note The market remains extremely volatile and headline-driven. Stick to your trading plan and always respect TP/SL levels to protect your capital — especially during high-impact news releases. 💬 Are you planning to sell into resistance or wait for a deeper pullback to buy? Share your setups and ideas below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend? Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline... Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458 Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17 A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Ferrovial strengthens its presence in the USABy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst Ferrovial has launched a public–private partnership bid for the concession of Terminal B at Newark Liberty International Airport, replicating the financing and operating model it leads at the new Terminal One of JFK Airport in New York. The Port Authority Board allocated USD 35 million for preliminary studies to redesign this terminal—originally built in 1973 and today handling more than twice its intended capacity. The Spanish group aims to upgrade access roads, parking facilities and passenger services—including a hotel hub and renovated runways—with the goal of improving the flow of the 12.3 million travelers who passed through in 2023. On the financial front, at the close of trading on the Madrid Stock Exchange, Ferrovial’s shares remain in line with their April levels, displaying a P/E ratio of 9.04×, below the sector average of 11×—underscoring its relative value profile. The 12-month consensus price target stands at €41.28 (range: €29.70–€48.00), with a moderate buy consensus of 3.29 out of 5. After monetizing its four UK airports (Heathrow, Aberdeen, Glasgow and Southampton) for over €3 billion, Ferrovial boasts exceptional liquidity and strong cash generation, enabling it to tackle major projects. In Australia, it is exploring the acquisition of a stake in Perth Airport, marking its return to the region after its involvement in Sydney Airport from 2002 to 2007. Its track record in flagship concessions—such as JFK’s Terminal 1, a USD 9.5 billion project running through 2060—gives it a competitive edge against top-tier funds and operators also vying for Newark. Meanwhile, the company continues diversifying its transport-infrastructure portfolio: it has increased its stake in Toronto’s Highway 407 ETR and is active in managed-lane concessions in the US. FER.ES Technical Analysis Since the Christmas rally pushed the share price higher through mid-February, Ferrovial has undergone a corrective phase toward its €38.99 moving average. From April 9, bullish momentum has resumed, targeting a retest of €41.45. A break above this level could open the way toward €42.70, the next resistance zone before prior highs. Although the RSI indicates overbought conditions, the Point of Control (POC) sits just below €41.45, suggesting strong trading activity in that area. Additionally, the widening of moving-average spreads signals a reaffirmation of the upward trend. Conclusion Ferrovial consolidates a sustainable growth profile, underpinned by large-scale projects (Newark, Perth, Rail Baltica, highways), a strengthened balance sheet and attractive market valuations. The outcome of the Newark concession and its entry into Perth will be pivotal in cementing its position as a global leader in airport infrastructure. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:FERLong
by ActivTrades
BTC Breakdown Confirmed Below 93.3K: Distribution or Correction?After failing to reach the projected 96.5K supply zone, BTCUSDT topped at 94.9K with a high-volume rejection and has since broken decisively below 93.3K — a critical VWAP support zone. This move validates the bearish continuation scenario and shifts the strategic focus from pullback-reload to downside targets and flow-based invalidation. Key Developments Since the Previous Report: 🔻 Top Confirmed at 94.9K on April 23 at 13:38 UTC 🔽 Delta at top: -266, aggressive selling 🔽 OI peaked and started to stall ❌ Failed to build continuation to 96.5K 🔻 “Support” at 93.3K broken overnight (new low: 92.238 USDT) This eliminates the reload-long scenario and strengthens the short continuation thesis. Current Market Structure: BTC is now trading below VWAP and the previous high-volume breakout zone. The current structure resembles a distribution phase, not a simple pullback: 🔻 Price below VWAP daily/weekly 🔽 OI flat to slightly declining ❌ Buy delta faded post-top, sellers back in control Tactical Outlook: With confirmation below 93.3K, the next key zone of interest is: 🔹 91.800 USDT – Previous accumulation + POC zone If price stabilizes there with renewed buy delta + OI uptick, we can reassess for recovery. But for now, momentum favors sellers. Recommended Tactical Entry: Short Setup (Continuation): 🔹 Sell limit at 93.100–93.300 (retest of broken support) 🔹 Stop Loss: 93.850 (above VWAP and breakout candle) 🔹 TP1: 91.800 (POC zone) 🔹 TP2: 90.200 (gap support below) ⚖️ R/R: 1:2.5 to 1:3 Entry Conditions: Delta remains negative during retest OI does not rise (no renewed long positioning) Volume spike with no follow-through (inefficient move) Invalidation: If price reclaims 93.850 with increasing OI and buyer aggression, short thesis is invalidated. Alternative: enter aggressively after bearish rejection candle on 5–15min timeframe. Playbook: Short bias active unless: Price reclaims 93.8K with conviction (delta + OI surge) Daily closes back above VWAP Until then: ✅ Maintain shorts ❌ Avoid premature longs ⚡ Watch for volume spikes without delta = liquidity traps Conclusion: The failure at 94.9K combined with the clean break of 93.3K marks a transition from bullish continuation to controlled unwind. The market is now in distribution territory, and caution is warranted. Watch 91.8K closely. Author: Pôncio Pacífico Ex-institutional trader, banned from CEXs. "Volume doesn't lie. Traders do." Follow for the next tactical flow shift.
Short
by NunoSid
1
Gold Analysis April 24D1 candle closed with a sharp decline of nearly 100 prices And today's opening with a price gap of more than 100 prices shows the instability of the market. Returning to the h1 time frame wave will be easier to grasp. At the beginning of the European session, the market decided that the buyers won and are pushing up from 3322. Pay attention to the immediate area of ​​3340. If it breaks at the end of the European session, continue to wait for the price reaction at 3363. If it doesn't break, you can SELL. In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3363, wait for 3384 for the SELL strategy. The BUY strategy is focused on the European session's price push zone of 3322. When it breaks, pay attention to the GAP opening zone this morning at 3295 and the bottom zone yesterday at 3266
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD ( XAU:USD) : Potential Bearish Pennant + Correction WaveGood morning, traders. Please note, this is Not Financial Advice (NFA) —always conduct your own research and risk management. 1. Technical Analysis We are currently observing the formation of a potential bearish pennant, with price action consolidating between converging trendlines. This formation appears to align closely with the Elliott Wave correction structure, particularly within the A-B leg. The apex of the pennant lies just after wave (B), suggesting a potential breakdown into wave (C), completing the corrective sequence. Should this pattern confirm, we could anticipate a continuation of the downward movement, targeting deeper support zones in line with previous wave (4) levels. 2. Trend Structure Wave (5) appears to have completed, initiating the A-B-C correction. The corrective leg A → B is now complete, with price action consolidating near the upper resistance of the pennant. A breakdown below the lower support trendline could confirm wave C in motion, reinforcing the bearish outlook. 3.) Macro Environment & Market Sentiment Recent developments from the U.S. administration have introduced uncertainty in macroeconomic policy: Tariffs: Former President Donald Trump has hinted at a potential rollback of the 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, acknowledging their long-term unsustainability. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that any changes would be part of bilateral negotiations and not unilateral actions. Major U.S. retailers have raised concerns over ongoing supply chain disruptions, adding pressure to de-escalate trade tensions. However, Trump insists tariffs won’t be eliminated completely, signaling no immediate resolution. Federal Reserve Leadership: Trump also walked back earlier statements threatening to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, now affirming that Powell will serve out his term until May 2026 . While this move has slightly calmed markets, Trump continues to pressure the Fed to lower interest rates amid persistent inflationary concerns. Although this softening stance introduces a degree of stability, the underlying tension between fiscal and monetary authorities remains.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ghostysellsdonkeys
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 24, 2025 EURUSDEvent to watch out for today: 15:30 EET. USD - Number of Initial Jobless Claims in the U.S. EURUSD: EUR/USD rises towards the 1.1335 level during the early Asian session on Thursday. Easing concerns over potential tariff threats from US President Donald Trump are putting some pressure on the US Dollar (USD). According to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book report released on Wednesday, businesses facing the early stages of Trump's tariffs are looking for ways to pass on rising costs to consumers. Companies have reported receiving warnings from suppliers about price increases and are looking for ways not to absorb those increases, noting uncertainty about whether they can pass them on to customers. Earlier this month, Trump imposed a basic import tax of 10 per cent or more on dozens of countries, but then unexpectedly suspended the taxes for 90 days to give countries a chance to negotiate lower rates. Nevertheless, trade policy uncertainty and concerns over slowing economic growth in the US could drive the dollar lower and create a tailwind for EUR/USD. Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 2.25% at its April meeting. During a press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the US tariffs on EU goods, which have increased from an average of 3% to 13%, are already hurting the prospects of the European economy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1350, SL 1.1320, TP 1.1430
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Real Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in TradingReal Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in Trading The falling wedge is a chart pattern highly valued by traders for its potential for bullish reversals after a bearish or consolidation phase. Its effectiveness has been extensively studied and documented by various technical analysts and leading authors. Key Statistics Bullish Exit: In 82% of cases, the exit from the falling wedge is upward, making it one of the most reliable patterns for anticipating a positive reversal. Price Target Achieved: The pattern's theoretical target (calculated by plotting the height of the wedge at the breakout point) is achieved in approximately 63% to 88% of cases, depending on the source, demonstrating a high success rate for profit-taking. Trend Reversal: In 55% to 68% of cases, the falling wedge acts as a reversal pattern, signaling the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish phase. Pullback: After the breakout, a pullback (return to the resistance line) occurs in approximately 53% to 56% of cases, which can provide a second entry opportunity but tends to reduce the pattern's overall performance. False Breakouts: False exits represent between 10% and 27% of cases. However, a false bullish breakout only results in a true bearish breakout in 3% of cases, making the bullish signal particularly robust. Performance and Context Bull Market: The pattern performs particularly well when it appears during a corrective phase of an uptrend, with a profit target reached in 70% of cases within three months. Gain Potential: The maximum gain potential can reach 32% in half of cases during a bullish breakout, according to statistical studies on equity markets. Formation Time: The wider the wedge and the steeper the trend lines, the faster and more violent the post-breakout upward movement will be. Comparative Summary of Success Rates: Criteria Rate Observed Frequency Bullish Exit 82% Price Target Achieved 63% to 88% Reversal Pattern 55% to 68% Pullback After Breakout 53% to 56% False Breakouts (False Exits) 10% to 27% Bullish False Breakouts Leading to a Downside 3% Points of Attention The falling wedge is a rare and difficult pattern to correctly identify, requiring at least five contact points to be valid. Performance is best when the breakout occurs around 60% of the pattern's length and when volume increases at the time of the breakout. Pullbacks, although frequent, tend to weaken the initial bullish momentum. Conclusion The falling wedge has a remarkable success rate, with more than 8 out of 10 cases resulting in a bullish exit and a price target being reached in the majority of cases. However, it remains essential to validate the pattern with other technical signals (volume, momentum) and to remain vigilant against false breakouts, even if their rate is relatively low. When mastered, this pattern proves to be a valuable tool for traders looking for optimized entry points on bullish reversals.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
5
Gold Price Analysis April 23Candle D has a clear bearish confirmation and the 4-line structure is being continuously sold, leading to the gold price falling nearly 200 prices from ATH. Today's strategy will mainly be SELL following the market trend. At the end of the European session, the price breaks 3319, then wait for a retest to BUY up towards the resistance zones of 3379 - 3345. If it does not break 3319, then SELL Gold back to 3275 and 3247. Pay attention to the price reactions in the chart areas to have a reasonable BUY and SELL strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold may continue to fall in the short term Trading sometimes does require some luck, but in the long run, good luck and bad luck will offset each other. To continue to succeed, you must rely on skills and apply good principles. Always remember; "Trading gold: half science, half art, all discipline." 📌 Driving events The continued uncertainty of President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its broader impact on global economic growth have exacerbated market anxiety. These factors have triggered a new wave of safe-haven demand, pushing investors back into the gold market. 📊Commentary analysis Gold prices are still facing selling pressure and are consolidating below the downward trend line. Trading prices are around 3,300 or lower. 💰Strategy Package Short position: Participate around 3320-30 points, profit target around 3290-80 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall.... Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987 Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695 If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance.... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
The Ruble's Unlikely Triumph: What's Driving It?The early months of 2025 have seen the Russian Ruble emerge as the world's top-performing currency, achieving a significant appreciation against the US dollar. This unexpected rally is largely attributed to robust domestic economic measures. Faced with persistent inflation exceeding 10%, the Central Bank of Russia implemented a stringent monetary policy, raising the key interest rate to a high of 21%. This aggressive stance not only aims to curb price growth but also makes the Ruble highly attractive to foreign investors seeking elevated yields through carry trade strategies, thereby increasing demand for the currency. Furthermore, a healthy trade surplus, marked by increased exporter conversion of foreign earnings, has bolstered the Ruble's supply-demand dynamics. Beyond internal economics, shifting geopolitical perceptions have played a vital role. Growing market anticipation of a potential ceasefire in the Ukraine conflict has notably reduced the perceived political risk associated with Russian assets. This improved sentiment encourages some international investors to return cautiously to Russian markets. Concurrently, a weakening trend in the US dollar, influenced by evolving US trade policies, has amplified the Ruble's relative strength on the global stage. Strategically, Russia's ongoing efforts to decrease its reliance on the US dollar are also providing underlying support for the Ruble. Initiatives promoting trade settlements in national currencies, such as recent agreements enabling Ruble payments with Cuba, reflect a long-term pivot towards establishing alternative financial channels. However, this Ruble strength presents challenges, particularly for the state budget heavily dependent on converting dollar-denominated oil revenues. A stronger Ruble yields fewer domestic funds, potentially straining finances, especially amidst volatile global oil prices. The balancing act between maintaining high rates to control inflation and mitigating their impact on domestic credit and investment remains a critical consideration for policymakers.
Long
by UDIS_View