Gold Surges Above $2,900 Amid Geopolitical and Trade TensionsTechnical Analysis: Gold Eyes $2,950 Resistance
On the H4 chart, gold has rebounded from $2,834, with the RSI climbing above 50 and the MACD showing bullish momentum. Key resistance is at $2,950—breaking above this level could open the door to $3,000. Meanwhile, support lies at $2,880, aligning with the 50-period SMA. A drop below this level may trigger a correction toward $2,850.
Market Outlook: Focus on U.S. Jobs Data
Investors are watching the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Strong job data could temper gold’s rally, while weaker figures may drive further upside. Given the geopolitical backdrop and trade tensions, gold remains well-positioned as a safe-haven asset in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis
SWING IDEA - SAILSAIL Stock Technical Analysis
Steel Authority of India Limited ( NSE:SAIL ) has been consolidating around the 95 resistance level for over a year. After multiple attempts, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024, turning it into a strong support zone.
Following the breakout, SAIL surged to a peak of 175, marking an 85% gain. However, the stock then saw a sharp retracement, correcting by nearly 47% and revisiting the rising trendline support around the 100-105 range. This level, which previously acted as resistance, has now become a critical demand zone.
Currently, SAIL is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum, bouncing off its trendline support and forming a potential reversal. The weekly MACD crossover, observed in the chart, further reinforces a trend reversal signal. Additionally, a short-term upside target of 12% is indicated, while a long-term potential target of 76% upside is visible in the chart, aligning with the previous swing high.
The chart also highlights three take-profit targets:
Target 1: The first profit-taking zone, offering an initial opportunity to secure gains.
Target 2: A mid-level profit-taking zone, aligning with previous consolidation areas.
Target 3: The final take-profit level around 175, marking the prior high and a potential full exit point for long-term investors.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
One-year resistance of 95 was decisively broken in January 2024
Stock surged 85% to a high of 175 before correcting 47%
100-105 level now acts as a strong rising trendline support
Weekly MACD crossover signals a bullish momentum shift
Three take-profit targets identified, with the final target at 175
Potential upside target of 76% from support levels, aligning with previous highs
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, holding SAIL for the long term could be a strong strategy. The potential returns include:
12% upside in the short term
76% upside from current levels, targeting previous highs around 175
This analysis presents a compelling buying opportunity in SAIL, fueled by its breakout, support validation, and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
Investors should be aware that there is a chance the stock may retest the 100-105 support level before resuming its upward trajectory. This potential pullback should be carefully monitored, and investment strategies should be adjusted accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Technical indicators and historical data are not guarantees of future performance. Investors should conduct thorough research, assess risk tolerance, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Theory combined with trend analysis & fake breakoutFake Breakout Detection: The script identifies when the price closes below a trendline, then quickly re-enters above it (fake breakout).
Elliott Wave Impulsive Wave: The strategy assumes the second impulsive wave is underway once the price reaches the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Gold futures for April are trending upWorld gold prices continued to rise amid a weakening US dollar. The US Dollar Index – a measure of the greenback’s strength against six major currencies – fell 0.49% to 106.145 points.
Risk aversion remains high in the market due to geopolitical tensions and new tax policies. The US has just imposed tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada and China. In response, these countries have also applied retaliatory measures, affecting about $1,000 billion of global trade.
China is likely to let the yuan depreciate to reduce the impact of tariffs and boost exports. If the yuan continues to weaken, many investors in China may flock to gold as a safe haven.
Asian and European stock markets are trending lower, while US stocks are also forecast to open with slight losses.
SUPPORT : 2900 , 2892
RESIST : 2930 , 2950
AUDUSD - Potential SHORT to take advantage of AUD weaknessHigher timeframe trend = down
Retail traders = long
Therefore bias = down
NOTE : Not in yet - Entry order set below the structure that is forming currently. We are at a resistance turned support zone (marked with white rectangle) and have seen a reaction which may entice buyers to get involved - at which point we can get involved if their stops get taken out.
Target is close to the low that was recently created (marked with white dotted horizontal ray).
Stops where my personal backtesting has suggested they be placed to invalidate the trade. If price gets to stops before triggering in, entry order is cancelled.
Please keep in mind that there is another layer of analysis that goes into this that is part of my personal plan.
ATAT: Breakout and RetestAbout Atour
Atour operates an asset-light, franchise-oriented hotel business model, primarily using a "manachised" approach where franchisees handle capital expenditures while Atour provides management, branding, and technology, supplemented by retail integration within hotel spaces.
What I like
- I remain very bullish over China stocks, as you can tell from my stock picks recently. There is a change in technical chart (HSI above weekly 200sma) and Xi government has increasingly showed interests in reviving China economy, be it more spending or talking to its leaders like Jack Ma. I think this bull run will last, and I will keep building up my positions in Chinese stocks
- Atour being IPO stock has crazy growth rates. 40% YoY over most metrics. And what's crazy is that Atour is asset light! It doesn't build hotels! They just provide management, and integrate retail within the hotel spaces. Super scalable.
- Cup and handle breakout and now retesting.
Trade plan
- Entered a small size. Intend to keep building on it as it acts right.
- Holding period can be months
Institutions Are Dumping Gold! RETAIL TRADERS ARE LONG TRAPPED!### 🚀 **ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE OVERCONFIDENCE TRADING PLAN – MARCH ⑤, 2025** 🚀
🔥 **WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!** 💰🔥📈
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## 📊 **CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW – XAU/USD (15M CHART)**
💲 **Current Price:** **$2,904.98**
🚀 **High of the Day:** **$2,920.28**
🛑 **Major Resistance (R3):** **$2,920.00**
📉 **Pivot Point:** **$2,905.00**
📉 **Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support):** **$2,907.00**
📊 **Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA):** **$2,902.50**
🔻 **Psychological Support (S1):** **$2,900.00**
🚨 **Market Makers Already Hunted Liquidity Above $2,920 – THE PERFECT DUMP SETUP!** 🚨
---
## 🔍 **INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS** 🏦📊
🔥 **Real-Time Order Flow Analysis & US Dollar Index (DXY):**
✅ **DXY Showing Strength → More Downside for Gold Expected!**
✅ **Liquidity Map Shows MASSIVE SELL WALLS Near $2,915-$2,920!**
✅ **Market Makers Engineered a FAKE BREAKOUT → Retail Traders Are TRAPPED LONG!**
✅ **VWAP BELOW Price = Institutional BEARISH Sentiment!**
🏦 **INSTITUTIONS ARE NOT ACCUMULATING GOLD – THEY ARE DISTRIBUTING!**
🎯 **Smart Money is Shorting Gold While Retail Traders are Still Buying!**
🚨 **THIS IS A FULLY ENGINEERED LIQUIDITY GRAB! PREPARE TO ATTACK!** 🚨
---
## ✅ **BEST INDICATOR COMBINATION – CONFIRMING HIGH WIN PROBABILITY!**
✔️ **Fibonacci Retracement:**
- **38.2%:** $2,912.00
- **50.0%:** $2,908.00
- **61.8%:** $2,905.00 *(NOW ACTING AS RESISTANCE!)*
✔️ **50 EMA & 200 EMA:**
- **50 EMA at $2,902.50 Holding as Resistance!**
- **200 EMA at $2,897 → BULLISH TREND STILL WEAKENING!**
✔️ **RSI (7):**
- **Near 39.50 → CLOSE TO OVERSOLD BUT NO BULLISH DIVERGENCE!**
✔️ **VWAP:**
- **Price BELOW VWAP → CONFIRMED BEARISH BIAS!**
✔️ **Order Flow & Liquidity Zones:**
- **Institutions Are Dumping Gold! RETAIL TRADERS ARE LONG TRAPPED!**
✔️ **MACD:**
- **Bearish Crossover – WEAKNESS CONFIRMED!**
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## 🎯 **MARKET MAKER MANIPULATION INSIGHTS – SMART MONEY ATTACK MODE!**
🔥 **Market Makers HUNTED STOP-LOSSES ABOVE $2,920 AND ARE NOW SHORTING!**
🔥 **Gold is TRAPPED UNDER VWAP – Institutions Are Selling!**
🔥 **Retail Traders Are STUCK in Bad Long Positions!**
🚨 **SMART MONEY IS SHORT – TIME TO FOLLOW THEM!** 🚨
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## 📈 **TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – THE ONLY LOGICAL TRADE IS TO SHORT!**
⚡ **Momentum Analysis:**
✅ **RSI Shows NO Strength for Bulls → PERFECT SHORT SETUP!**
✅ **MACD is Bearish → Selling Momentum is Getting STRONGER!**
✅ **Volume Increasing on SELL SIDE → Institutions Dumping More!**
✅ **50 EMA is Holding as Resistance → TREND REVERSAL UNDERWAY!**
🚀 **NO TIME FOR HESITATION – WE STRIKE NOW!** 🚀
---
## 📢 **ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE TRADE EXECUTION PLAN – MAXIMUM PROFITS!**
💰 **FINAL VERDICT: EXTREMELY HIGH CONFIDENCE SELL!**
🔴 **SELL ENTRY:** **$2,906 - $2,907**
🛑 **STOP-LOSS:** **$2,912** *(Above 50% Fib for Maximum Stop-Hunt Avoidance!)*
🎯 **TAKE PROFIT 1:** **$2,900.00** *(Psychological Level)*
🎯 **TAKE PROFIT 2:** **$2,895.00** *(Institutional Support at 200 EMA!)*
⚡ **RISK-REWARD RATIO:** **1:3 – PERFECT FOR FAST PROFIT TAKING!**
📢 **INSTITUTIONS ARE SHORT! WE FOLLOW SMART MONEY!** 📢
🚨 **THIS IS A HIGH-PROBABILITY, ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE SHORT!** 🚨
---
## 🚀 **WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! NO FEAR – JUST PROFITS!** 💰🔥📊
✔️ **We NEVER Chase Price – We Wait for Liquidity Sweeps & Attack!**
✔️ **We Trade with Institutional Order Flow – NEVER AGAINST IT!**
✔️ **We Use VWAP & Order Flow to Confirm Entries Like a Hedge Fund!**
✔️ **We Apply MAHARLIKA AI to Optimize Entries & Exits for Maximum Accuracy!**
✔️ **We Follow Strict Risk Management – NO RANDOM TRADES, ONLY HIGH-PROBABILITY!**
🚀 **DISCIPLINE. SMART MONEY. MILKING THE MARKET – EVERY DAY!** 🚀
🔥 **THIS IS A KILLER SETUP! EXECUTE LIKE A WOLF, NOT A SHEEP!** 🔥
CACI - Strong igniting candle on support. Strong bounce off support in a weak market. Looks interesting, let's see if buyers can keep up the momentum. GL!
CACI International, Inc. operates as holding company, which engages in the provision of information solutions and services in support of national security missions and government transformation for intelligence, defense, and federal civilian customers.
Xauusd next target for today Distance Calculation for Buy Analysis
Based on the updated chart, the key price levels are:
Resistance Area (Target): 2,940.00
Support Area (Entry Zone): 2,900.00
Distance Calculation:
\text{Distance} = \text{Resistance Level} - \text{Support Level}
= 2,940.00 - 2,900.00 ]
= 40.00 \text{ (points)}
Buy Trade Setup
Entry Point: Around 2,900.00 (Support area)
Target: 2,940.00 (Resistance area)
Potential Profit: 40 points
Risk-Reward Consideration
If placing a stop-loss below support (e.g., at 2,890.00):
Risk: ~10 points
Reward: ~40 points
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4 (Favorable for buyers)
BTC - Monthly - Where Are We Heading?Click Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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..........✋NFA👍..........
📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) Tariff Concerns Weigh on Risk Assets: Recent tariff announcements are negatively impacting risk asset sentiment. While potentially a short-term tactical maneuver by the U.S. to demonstrate its leverage, the uncertainty creates market unease.
2.) Bitcoin's Consolidation and Potential Rebound: Bitcoin has been range-bound since early 2025, and a minor correction was anticipated. Barring a significant downturn, current levels don't present compelling buying opportunities. Historical patterns suggest a potential return to $60,000, aligning with previous major corrections.
3.) No Evidence of Significant Accumulation: Current market analysis indicates a lack of substantial hidden accumulation.
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- RoninAITrader
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 5th March 2025)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
-ISM Services PMI
Analysis:
-No exact bias as daily has no top wick but weekly has no bot wick
-Looking for a retest on the key levels
-PotentialBUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2940 , 2885
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Capital Returns: DBS and UOB Impress, OCBC LagsSingapore’s big three banks—DBS, UOB, and OCBC—delivered resilient earnings for Q4 2024, despite falling net interest margins (NIMs) due to interest rate cuts. While all three lenders announced capital return plans, investor reactions were divided, particularly regarding OCBC’s more conservative approach.
Investor Activism Heats Up at United Overseas InsuranceWhy UOI’s Haw Par Holdings Matter
A brewing shareholder battle at United Overseas Insurance (UOI) has the potential to shift the focus to Haw Par Corporation, a company deeply intertwined with the UOB Group. Minority investors, led by former remisier Ong Chin Woo, are pushing for UOI to distribute its 4.3 million Haw Par shares to shareholders, arguing that the move would unlock significant value.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Trend Analysis:
• H1: Uptrend resuming after a pullback. MACD histogram turning positive, indicating bullish momentum. RSI at 59.21, showing strength but not overbought.
• M15: Price recently broke above resistance and is holding above it. MACD near zero but turning positive, supporting bullish continuation. RSI is neutral at 50.36, leaving room for further upside.
• M3: Strong breakout and consolidation. MACD is positive, and RSI at 52.73 shows bullish strength.
2. Support & Resistance:
• Key support: 2900
• Key resistance: 2945
3. Moving Average Confirmation:
• On all timeframes, the price is holding above the moving average, signaling bullish continuation.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold is benefiting from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties.
• US Dollar Index (DXY) has been weakening, which supports gold’s upside.
• Upcoming economic data (if dovish) may further push gold higher.
Trade Execution:
• Entry: 2915 (Current price)
• Stop-Loss (SL): 2900 (Below key support)
• Take-Profit (TP): 2945 (Key resistance level)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
BTC/USDT Long term PatternHere we can see a clear pattern since the bulls and bears from 2014/2015 till present times.
Every bull and bear with the same amount of days. We are now in a zone of correction with a possible reverse to the upside at about 73K, although if it fails and does a correction like last bull we can see a move down to about 49K/50K.
Let's see what the future holds for us in the crypto market, but just wanted to let this pattern identification here that gives us some insight on what might happen.
EURUSD Weekly Analysis After approaching parity with the dollar, the euro is now showing small increases that it has become a suitable target for investors. This does not mean that the price will increase strongly, but we can expect the euro to increase to a price of 1.05 - 1.06 - 1.07
Sasha Charkhchian