Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons.
Tariffs
The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next.
This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze.
Demand
China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector.
Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals.
Supply
Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful.
Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen.
Sources:
1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025.
2 Reuters, March 26, 2025
3 Reuters, October 16, 2024
4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Fundamental Analysis
US100 - Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialThe US100 has been in a strong uptrend but recently formed a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal signal. After a period of correction, the price is testing a breakout from the wedge. If confirmed, the target aligns with previous highs near 22,000 - 23,000. A successful breakout could signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: 18,500 - 19,000
Resistance: 20,500 - 22,000 (Breakout Target)
Watch for breakout confirmation with volume and price action before entering long positions! 🚀📈
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Cybercriminals are winning—cybersecurity must strike back nowI recently created a website, but soon after launching it, I noticed it wasn’t appearing in Google searches. While researching how to fix this, I received an email with step-by-step instructions on what to do. Nothing about it seemed suspicious—not even the sender’s address. But when I used artificial intelligence (AI) to verify its authenticity, it was flagged as suspicious.
A few years ago, phishing emails had obvious red flags—poor grammar, strange formatting, or sketchy links. Today, with AI-powered tools at their disposal, cybercriminals are far more sophisticated. And if they’re getting smarter, cybersecurity must become smarter still.
The unbearable cost of a data breach
In 2024, the average cost of a data breach soared to nearly $5 million1. And that’s just the average—meaning many breaches resulted in far greater losses. While this number has been rising for years, 2024 saw a sharp uptick, underscoring how the widespread adoption of advanced AI tools is making cybercriminals smarter and attacks more costly than ever.
“Attack speeds could increase up to 100x as threat actors leverage generative AI” – Palo Alto Networks
In many cases, the true cost of a data breach goes beyond dollars and cents—it’s immeasurable. What happens when customer trust in a business’ security is shattered? The reputational damage could be irreversible. What if a hospital is hacked and a life is lost? The stakes couldn’t be higher. That’s why cybersecurity isn’t just a priority—it’s a necessity. And the world is finally waking up to that reality.
When cybercriminals compromise a target, their intention is to infiltrate the organisation via a weak link and move deeper into the network. E-crime breakout time refers to how quickly they escalate control—spreading from the initial breach to critical systems, stealing data, disabling security, or deploying ransomware. Some attackers achieve this in under an hour, making rapid detection and response crucial. In 2024, the fastest recorded time attackers were able to do this was 51 seconds2.
Attackers aren't always relying on emails—the nuisance calls we receive can often be quite nefarious. Vishing (voice phishing) attacks involve cybercriminals using phone calls to impersonate trusted entities, such as banks, government agencies, or service providers, to trick victims into revealing sensitive information or transferring money. These scams have surged dramatically, with a 442% increase in vishing in H2 2024 vs H1 20243, highlighting how criminals are exploiting human trust over the phone to bypass traditional cybersecurity defences.
A few weeks ago, I saw a post on LinkedIn of a man surrounded by police officers. He was telling the story of how he physically hacked into an organisation, walking through security checkpoints, accessing restricted areas, and pushing his luck until he finally got caught. But this wasn’t a real attack—it was a penetration test, a controlled security exercise designed to identify vulnerabilities before actual criminals exploit them. Organisations conduct these tests because hackers are employing increasingly sophisticated social engineering techniques—manipulating people rather than systems—to bypass security and gain access. The threat is growing, with 79% of attacks in 2024 being malware-free, up from 40% in 20194, proving that cybercriminals don’t always need malware when they can simply trick humans into opening the door.
High profile attacks underscore geopolitical risks
At the outset of 2024, concerns about cyber risks in the election year were widespread. While many countries navigated the electoral cycle without major known cyber incidents, Romania's December presidential election was notably annulled due to allegations of Russian interference. Far-right candidate Calin Georgescu's unexpected lead in the first round prompted investigations revealing a coordinated online campaign and cyberattacks supporting his candidacy, leading the courts to void the election.
In the same month, the US Treasury Department reported a significant cybersecurity breach attributed to Chinese state-sponsored hackers. The attackers exploited a third-party software provider to access Treasury workstations and unclassified documents. The breach involved the theft of a security key, allowing remote access to the department's systems. Although China’s foreign ministry denied these allegations, the incident underscores the growing intersection of geopolitical and cybersecurity risks.
Executives are concerned about risks from AI
A recent World Economic Forum survey5 of executives revealed that 66% believe AI and machine learning will have the biggest impact on cybersecurity in the next 12 months. Yet, 63% admitted their organisations lack processes to assess the security of AI tools before deploying them—highlighting a critical gap between innovation and risk management.
Cybersecurity must stay one step ahead
Cybersecurity must constantly innovate, leveraging cutting-edge technology to stay one step ahead of evolving threats. This relentless race between defenders and attackers is what makes cybersecurity such an exciting and dynamic field. Recent headlines around quantum computing suggest that the age of quantum might be closer than we once thought—a future where a quantum computer could shatter even the most sophisticated encryption effortlessly. This would redefine cybersecurity as we know it. Whether it’s quantum computing, AI, or blockchain, every breakthrough introduces new vulnerabilities, and safeguarding them must be a proactive pursuit, not a reactive one. Because if we wait until the attack happens, it might already be too late.
Sources:
1 IBM, 2025.
2 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
3 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
4 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
5 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Cybersecurity Report 2025.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
There is hope for BitcoinThere’s still hope for Bitcoin as long as it doesn’t break below the red line on the chart. That line represents a critical threshold; crossing it would push Bitcoin into a previous price zone where accumulation occurred, signaling the end of the current trend. Entering such a zone typically indicates a return to levels of prior consolidation.
As long as Bitcoin holds above the red line, optimism remains alive, and the first milestone will be breaking out of the downward trend that has been dominating Bitcoin recently.
Furthermore, Trump could end with the uncertainty and that would help BTC too.
Do you think BTC can move upwards in the upcoming days? Or do you think we will se the price breaking down the red line?
Gold Market Hits 3149, Eyes 3103 for Imbalance SweepGold market surges to a new high at 3149 as the new month formation seeks an imbalance sweep down to 3103. However, if 3143 holds strong, the short call remains in stance. Market sentiment is key in the coming sessions. follow for more insights , boost idea , and comment for more insights .
Bitcoin Daily HEADS UP - Nice start to Week But RESISTANCE NOW
The daily chart shows the line of resistance we now hit
This is the line that has rejected PA since january
It is Strong.
We May break through but we have to wait and see but it is certainly Wise to be prepared for rejection
Even more so when you look at the Apex we are coming to with in the next 7 days
PA ALWAYS REACTS BEFORE THE APEX
The Volume profile on the right suggests resistance overhead is strong but we do sit above the POC ( point of control )
All to play for this week and it coulf get emotional
And YES, that is a Fib circle we are hitting too
Double resistance could lead to a Drop in the near future and yet, it is also worth knowing that PA can pick an intersection of two lines of resistance to break through. Kind of 2 birds with one stone attitude.
We need to wait and see
What ever happens, I feel this week may be VERY interesting.
Enjoy
VolitionRX | VNRX | Long at $0.54***Stay away if you are risk averse (small cap with 300-400k daily volume and could go to $0).
VolitionRX AMEX:VNRX is a U.S.-based, multinational epigenetics company focused on developing blood tests for early disease detection, primarily targeting cancer and sepsis. Its Nu.Q blood tests are primarily for humans, focusing on early detection of diseases like cancer and sepsis. However, the company has also explored veterinary applications through its Nu.Q Vet product line, targeting cancer screening in animals, particularly dogs.
Recent insider purchases got my attention, with the CEO and Director each grabbing $100k worth at $0.55. Plus, many other insiders have recently been awarded options. The company is making progress in signing multiple licensing deals for their Nu.Q platform in the human market, with strong interest from large companies. Many development milestones have been made within their cancer testing program and more are likely to be announced. However, the company is unprofitable at this time, and this is a highly risky / speculative play. It may take years to unfold or be a total disaster and go to $0.00.
Rolling the dice at $0.54 with the goal to reach $0.75 and $1.00 in the coming 1-2 years. Analyst targets are in the $3.00-$3.50 range.
Japan's Business Sentiment Mixed, Yen StrengthensThe Japanese yen has gained ground on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.27, down 0.47% on the day.
The yen was red-hot in the fourth quarter of 2024, gaining a massive 9.5% against the US dollar, but has reversed directions in Q1, declining 4.7%.
The Manufacturing Tankan index indicated that confidence among manufacturers eased to 12 in Q1 2025, down from 14 in the previous quarter. This was the lowest level in a year, reflective of growing concern among Japanese manufacturers over US tariff policy.
The Non-manufacturing Tankan index, meanwhile, moved in the opposite direction, climbing to 35 in Q1, up from 33 in the Q4 2024 release. This was the fastest pace of growth since August 1991, as companies are increasingly passing on costs to consumers.
The mixed Tankan report is unlikely to change the cautious stance of the Bank of Japan, which has expressed concerns about the uncertainty caused by the threat of additional US tariffs. The BoJ held rates steady in March and the next meeting is on May 1, with the markets projecting another hold.
US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose wide-ranging tariffs on April 2, leaving US trading partners and the financial markets highly anxious ahead of what Trump has declared "Liberation Day".
It is unclear which countries will be targeted or what the tariff rates will be, which has only added to financial market jitters. If Trump goes ahead with the tariffs and targeted countries retaliate with counter-tariffs, we will be one step closer to a global trade war.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 149.65. Below, there is support at 149.02
There is resistance at 150.59 and 151.22
ONDOUSD | SPOT ONLYbuy in this area, price very discount % ONDO FINANCE
DISCLAIMER:
what I share here is just personal research, all based on my hobby and love of speculation intelligence.
The data I share does not come from financial advice.
Use controlled risk, not an invitation to buy and sell certain assets, because it all comes back to each individual.
#BTC #ONDO
BTCUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Risk | 4H AnalysisHello Guys Must Support Me For New Infomational Updatws Follow Me Here Is My new Analysis For BTC ( BTC/USD ) Share Your Thoughts Comment Section Thanks
Bitcoin is currently trading near $88,000, forming a rising wedge after recovering from a falling wedge breakout. However, the price is facing resistance near Top 1 and Top 2 levels, indicating possible exhaustion.
Technical Analysis
Rising Wedge Formation
– Typically a bearish pattern
Resistance at $88,000 - $90,000 – Price struggling to break above
Potential Targets – Breakdown could lead to $84,000 and $78,000 zones
Fundamental Outlook
ETF inflows slowing, impacting bullish momentum
Macroeconomic uncertainty & Fed policies influencing price action
A break below the wedge support could trigger a correction. However, a breakout above $90,000 may push BTC toward new highs . Watch key levels before making a move.
HCA Healthcare | HCA | Long at $299.00NYSE:HCA Healthcare: P/E of 13x, earnings are forecast to grow 6.01% per year; earnings have grown 10.6% per year over the past 5 years, and trading at good value compared to peers and industry.
From a technical analysis perspective, it dipped to my selected historical simple moving average area and may represent a buying opportunity to fill the daily price gap up to $394.00. Thus, NYSE:HCA is in a personal buy zone at $299.00.
Target #1 = $324.00
Target #2 = $362.00
Target #3 = $394.00
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening gold’s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
My LEAP Competition USDJPY Short Position 01/04/2025This is a position trade in LEAP competition that I'm happy to take. USDJPY is at an interesting position and environment where the USD wants to see more room for downwards and JPY wants to see strength. BOJ is neutral-hawkish although there were moments where they sounded neutral-dovish but overall I think with time jpy will strengthen this year.
TLT 103American 20+ bonds continue to hold a significant weight in my portfolio, and most importantly, the factors supporting their growth are increasing day by day.
Inflation in the U.S. will decline not due to monetary policy but because of economic stagnation and potential risks. Tariffs will raise goods prices, but at the same time, they will negatively impact consumer sentiment.
TLT is heading toward 103, which aligns with my technical outlook.
NBIS +80%Investing in Nebius AI could be promising due to the booming demand for AI cloud services, especially if it offers cost-efficient, high-performance AI infrastructure or unique proprietary models. If backed by strong partnerships or competitive pricing, it may carve out a niche against giants like AWS and Google Cloud
shib/usd updated scenarios !!!shiba inu 2 scenarios predictions, trump tarris coming out for every country this week so it will create a lot of volatility everywhere! stay firm and keep adding our ecosystem will improve how government use crypto !!! united arabs already on board! so a lot of mix news.... any thoughts???
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis
1. Key Levels & Structure
• Resistance Turned Support: The price has broken above a strong resistance level (marked by the thick red line).
• Possible Retest Zone: A pullback (retest) to the breakout zone is indicated, which could confirm support before moving higher.
• Major Support Area Below: The lower red box marks a previous demand zone, meaning price might fall back to this area if the retest fails.
2. Market Trend
• Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
• Breakout & Retest Pattern: The chart suggests a possible retest of the breakout area before continuing upwards.
3. Entry & Exit Strategy
• Entry Point: The ideal buy zone is near the small pink box (retest area).
• Stop Loss: Below the lower red support zone, in case the retest fails and price drops.
• Take Profit: The green box above shows the expected bullish target if the retest holds.
4. Confirmation Signals
• Watch for Bullish Candlestick Reversal (such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar) near the retest zone before entering a trade.
• Volume Increase on Breakout would confirm strength in the uptrend.
Overall Outlook
• Bullish Bias: If the price successfully retests and bounces, it may continue rising.
• Bearish Risk: If the support fails, the price could drop back to the lower support zone.
Verified again, bulls continue to hit new highsGold technical analysis: Gold opened at 3130 in the morning. Yesterday, gold technically accelerated in the Asian session. The European session bulls continued to break through and stood above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session stepped back twice to confirm the stabilization of the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Friends who follow me can see that our real-time analysis and the analysis of the article before the US session also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. This also verifies the 3127-3130 line suppression given in my article last night. The daily K-line closed with a shock and broke through the high-middle Yang. The overall gold price ushered in the rhythm of bulls accelerating the rise after breaking through the 3050 mark. The daily level closed with a strong medium-yang for three consecutive trading days. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3118-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3116-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line continue to cover long positions, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Trading discipline: 1. Do not blindly follow the trend: Do not be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend can easily fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in volatile markets, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
Primer: Solana - A Blazing BlockchainCME Group’s newly launched Solana futures enable institutional grade access to the cryptocurrency, offering investors access to compelling relative value opportunities.
This paper provides a background to Solana in relation to other major blockchain networks and cryptocurrencies. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper.
Solana is a high-performance public blockchain launched in 2020 by Solana Labs, founded by Anatoly Yakovenko (a former Qualcomm engineer). Yakovenko first proposed Solana’s novel Proof of History (PoH) concept in 2017 as a solution to blockchain scalability. He assembled a founding team including former Qualcomm colleague Greg Fitzgerald and others and named the project after a California beach town.
Backed by early venture funding, Solana’s mainnet launched in March 2020. The vision was to enable ultra-fast, low-cost transactions for decentralized applications (e.g. DeFi, gaming), addressing limitations of Bitcoin & Ethereum in speed and fees.
Solana has grown rapidly to become one of the most used networks and amassed a market cap of USD 64 billion, making it one of the largest digital assets. What is behind the massive surge? Is it due to flip ETH as the home of DeFi?
How Does Solana’s Blockchain Rank?
While Solana’s low fees and fast transaction speeds have driven high trading volume, transaction count, and wallet growth, it still trails ETH in Total Value Locked (TVL). To achieve its high transaction throughput, Solana has made certain compromises on decentralization.
In terms of ecosystem development, Solana is seeing rapid growth. The Electric Capital 2024 developer report found Solana attracted the most new developers in 2024 – more than any other ecosystem (even Ethereum’s, despite Ethereum’s broader base).
Solana now has ~2,500 monthly active developers, second only to Ethereum’s ~8,900 (which includes many working on Layer-2s). This loyal & expanding developer base has been a key factor behind Solana’s explosive growth.
DEX Surge and Meme Coin Mania
Solana’s early growth was driven by NFTs, supported by low fees and a loyal community that made it a hub for NFT trading. These factors continued to attract users even after the NFT boom subsided. Its fast, low-cost blockchain and strong developer base have enabled the launch of many user-friendly and popular applications. More recently, Solana’s growth has been fuelled by surging decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes and a wave of meme coin minting.
By November 2024, meme coin trading accounted for an all-time high 65% of monthly DEX volume on Solana’s largest DEX, Raydium. Raydium even overtook Uniswap in monthly volume that month.
Solana’s advantages in cost and speed have been pivotal in this trend. Transaction fees on Solana are negligible and on-par with L2 chains. This cost advantage makes minting and trading low-value tokens (like meme coins) economically feasible on Solana but prohibitively expensive on Ethereum layer-1. Similarly, Solana’s block times (~0.4 seconds) and high throughput enable rapid trading. Traders can execute many rapid swaps on Solana DEXs without the delays and slippage that Ethereum’s ~12-second blocks and occasional congestion introduce. Solana’s speed and low fees thus attracted a flood of retail speculators for meme coins and high-frequency trading strategies.
Ethereum’s ecosystem still offers deeper liquidity and broader dApp selection, but Solana capitalized on specific niches (e.g. meme coins, real-time trading) where Ethereum’s costs are a barrier.
However, this explosive growth was not without turbulence. In early 2025, a “meme coin meltdown” saw activity cooling off after several scam tokens collapsed. By February 2025, Solana’s share of total on-chain DEX volume, which had topped 51% in January, retreated to 24% as some froth cleared.
Data Source: Artemis
Scandals like a fake “Libra” token (which vaporized $4.4B in market cap) and a Trump-themed token rug pull dented retail sentiment. Even so, Solana’s DEX volumes remain on par with Ethereum’s entire ecosystem (L1 + L2), a remarkable feat. VanEck’s Feb 2025 report noted that despite an 80%+ drop in new meme token launches since January, Solana DEX activity “is still holding its own – roughly matching the entire ETH ecosystem”.
In short, the meme coin mania has demonstrated Solana’s capacity to manage massive retail-driven bursts of activities that might overwhelm other chains.
Market Metrics For BTC, ETH, and SOL
Since the bottom of the bear market following the FTX collapse. Solana has delivered a stunning recovery, far outperforming both BTC and ETH, but the massive gains were partly explained by the much sharper decline following FTX.
During 2024, SOL performance moved in lockstep with BTC with both assets delivering stunning returns. However, the performance diverged sharply after Jan/2025, coinciding with the collapse in DEX trading volume. The sharp correction since has erased most of the 2024 gains while BTC has remained resilient.
Solana has, nevertheless, managed to outperform ETH which has suffered an even deeper correction over the past few months.
Data Source: TradingView
Historical volatility for all three assets shows a similar trend but differ in magnitude. SOL has the highest volatility while ETH follows second and BTC is least volatile. During spikes, the differences become exaggerated, but during lows, the values can reach similar lows.
For traders, higher volatility can be both an opportunity and a risk.
While SOL’s performance is positively correlated with both ETH and BTC, this correlation breaks frequently (more commonly with ETH) and these periods of divergence present compelling spread opportunities.
The trend for implied volatility (IV) is like HV with SOL’s IV the highest and Bitcoin’s IV the lowest. Recently, IV has started to edge up again following a decline through March.
Trading Solana and Crypto Spreads
With the launch of CME’s Solana and Micro Solana futures, investors can express views on Solana’s growth and take tactical positions that benefit from relative outperformance. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper.
CME Solana futures provide exposure to 500 SOL per futures contract and reference the CME CF Solana-Dollar Reference Rate.
CME Micro Solana futures offer a smaller notional value to create more balanced spreads and for fine-tuning exposure. The micro contract provides exposure to 25 SOL.
Additional details about the contract including margins, calendars, and specifications are available on the CME Solana product page .
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
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