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USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus USDCHF – Awaiting Breakout Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus 📌 MARKET OVERVIEW USDCHF is currently consolidating within a tight range after a technical rebound from the 0.8226 support zone. The price is testing a confluence area at the descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the H2 chart, indicating indecision between bulls and bears as we head into the high-impact FOMC event. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H2 CHART Overall Trend: Sideways corrective move within a broader downtrend channel. Price is approaching critical resistance at the EMA200 and the channel’s upper boundary. EMAs in focus: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red). Fibonacci Retracement: Price is hovering around the 0.5 fib zone (0.8298), a neutral level for potential reaction. 🎯 Key Levels & Trade Scenarios: Major Resistance Zone: 0.8330 – 0.8368 → aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous structural high. Key Support Zone: 0.8226 → strong demand area. A break below this could expose deeper downside or set up a false break trap. 📌 Most Likely Path: Price could dip back to 0.8226 before launching a bullish recovery targeting 0.8330 – 0.8368. A clean breakout above 0.8368 with momentum and volume could invalidate the bearish bias and shift the trend mid-term. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT FOMC IN FOCUS: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting. However, market attention will be on Powell’s tone. A hawkish stance could fuel further USD strength, propelling USDCHF toward resistance zones. SNB (Swiss National Bank) maintains a neutral tone with slight disinflationary concerns, offering limited support for the CHF and strengthening the USDCHF upside case. US Treasury Yields are showing signs of recovery, adding bullish pressure to USD pairs. 📌 TRADING STRATEGY: Watch for bullish reaction at 0.8226 – potential long setup if RSI divergence appears. Short-term targets: 0.8330 → 0.8368. Breakout Strategy: If price clears 0.8368 with conviction, shift bias to bullish continuation and monitor for FVG or trendline breakout alignment. 📣 Stay sharp for increased volatility around FOMC. Position sizing and discipline are key in macro-heavy weeks like this.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
3
USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst?USDJPY PLAN – Will FOMC Be the Next Big Catalyst? 💬 After several sessions of sideways movement, USDJPY is showing signs of a potential breakout, supported by both technical signals and macro fundamentals. As the FOMC meeting approaches, the market is poised for a major shift — making this the perfect time to prepare actionable trade plans. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Primary Trend: Short-term bullish retracement within a broader downtrend – currently testing the 200 EMA on H2. EMAs in use: EMA13 (black), EMA34 (orange), EMA89 (red) – effective dynamic support/resistance indicators. Key Resistance Levels: 145.35: Major confluence zone with 0.618 Fibonacci and trendline resistance. 146.11 – 147.20: Previous highs and Fibonacci extension targets. Key Support Zones: 144.61: EMA200 acting as immediate pressure point. 143.43 – 143.02: Crucial demand zone with strong reaction expected on pullback. 🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOMC Outlook: With recent CPI data softening and labor numbers moderating, markets anticipate a hold on rates. However, any hawkish tone from Chair Powell could trigger a sharp bullish move on USDJPY. BOJ’s Dovish Stance: The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing no clear intent to hike rates. This weakens the Yen and supports mid-term upward momentum for USDJPY. Interest Rate Differentials & Carry Trade Flows continue to drive volatility and directional bias in this pair. 🎯 TRADE SETUP SUGGESTION If price breaks and sustains above 144.61 (EMA200): look to BUY on pullback toward 144.15–144.20, targeting 145.35 and 146.11. If price gets rejected at 145.35: consider a short-term SELL toward 144.00 – 143.43 for a corrective leg. ⚠️ STRATEGY NOTE: Avoid entering right at the time of the FOMC release. Wait for post-event confirmation. Prioritize strong breakouts or rejections, and manage risk carefully under volatile conditions.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY Falls to Near 144.20 Amid Dollar Weakness The USD/JPY currency pair has reversed its early gains and is trading near 144.20 during Wednesday’s European session. This pullback comes as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to maintain the momentum of Tuesday's recovery. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, has retreated from its intraday high of 99.85 and is stabilizing around 99.50, signaling a lack of bullish follow-through. Key Drivers: Weaker USD sentiment is weighing on the pair, likely influenced by a shift in US Treasury yields or expectations regarding future Fed rate moves. A stronger Japanese Yen could also be at play, potentially supported by safe-haven demand or policy signals from the Bank of Japan. Technical Perspective: If USD/JPY continues to decline, the next support level might be found near 144.00, followed by 143.50. On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.00, a psychological and technical barrier.
by Blueberry
JUPUSDT Breakout... or Classic Bull Trap?Yello Paradisers are you truly prepared for one of the cleanest and most deceptive setups we've seen on JUPUSDT in weeks? A decisive move is building, but so is a very well-placed trap and only those who remain disciplined will navigate it safely. 💎#JUPUSDT has broken above a key resistance level that has rejected price action several times in the past. That same level is now being tested as support, and the market’s reaction here will be crucial. If this retest holds, we could see a continuation of the bullish structure with strong upward momentum. But this is precisely where many get caught assuming it’s a straightforward breakout, when in fact it could be the final bait before the flush. 💎The level at $0.5870 is now our line in the sand. If price remains above it, what we are witnessing is likely a healthy pause and consolidation before another impulsive leg upward. However, if $0.5870 fails, the next area of interest is the demand zone near $0.4718. A sharp move into this region could trap late bulls and shake out weak hands. The key will be whether buyers step in aggressively on that dip. A fast and strong rebound from the demand zone would confirm renewed strength, offering a potential high-probability long entry but only if the reaction is immediate and decisive. 💎To the upside, we are watching the moderate resistance around $0.7865, which could slow the move briefly. But the real game begins near the major supply zone at $0.8992. That’s where we expect smart money to begin unloading positions and anyone serious about preserving profits must be prepared to react accordingly. 💎However, if the price fails to hold even the demand zone and breaks below $0.4718, the entire bullish setup gets invalidated. That becomes our structural flip level, and if breached, we’ll turn bearish and prepare for further downside and potential lower lows. Discipline, patience, robust strategies, and trading tactics are the only ways you can make it long-term in this market. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis Using Mirror Market Concepts + Target📌 Overview: In this analysis, I’ve applied MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) to Silver’s recent price action. MMC helps traders like us identify symmetry, psychological zones, and repetitive structures in the market. This chart is a textbook example of how buyers and sellers leave patterns behind that we can mirror to predict what comes next. Let’s dig deep into this elegant setup 👇 📈 1. The Curve Zone Support – Foundation for the Move At the base of the chart, you’ll notice a curved support zone drawn in black. This isn’t just any random support—this is a rounded structure that shows how price gradually transitioned from bearish to bullish over time. This Curve Zone Support indicates: Sellers are getting exhausted. Buyers are quietly stepping in, absorbing all sell-side pressure. The market is preparing for an upside breakout. This zone also aligns with mirror behavior—what price did before, it's setting up to do again. 🟣 2. Mirror Market Concepts in Action MMC teaches us to reflect past structures into the future. Here’s how it plays out: Previous dips into the curve zone were followed by strong bullish pushes. Recent price action mimics earlier structures, forming mini-cups and curved bases. This behavior suggests that Silver is mirroring its own bullish reversal structure again. It’s like watching history repeat itself—with new energy. 🟡 3. Demand Zone + Break of Structure (BOS) Around the $33.00 level, price dipped into a marked demand zone (highlighted in light purple). This is where buyers jumped back in and pushed price up again—proving strong interest at this level. You’ll also notice a Minor Break of Structure (BOS) above this demand zone, showing: A small, but significant shift in market sentiment. Short-term trend change from bearish to bullish. Fuel for the next leg up. This BOS acts as confirmation that price is ready to move toward the target. 🎯 4. Targeting Major Resistance – $34.50 Zone The ultimate goal is the Major Resistance Zone around $34.50. This zone has been tested before and caused strong rejections. But here’s the key difference now: Price is approaching this level with momentum, structure, and buyer interest. If MMC continues to play out, this zone could be taken out or at least retested for potential breakout continuation. This area is marked as your Target Zone and is aligned with the mirrored projection. 🧠 5. What the Market Psychology Tells Us Let’s not just read candles—let’s read the mind of the market: Buyers are patiently absorbing every dip. Sellers are losing control at each attempt to push price down. The curve base structure is signaling accumulation. Demand zones are holding perfectly. Minor BOS adds more weight to bullish bias. All these are classic MMC psychological footprints. ⚙️ Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only): 🔹 Bullish Bias: Entry: On confirmation above the minor BOS or demand retest. Stop: Below the recent demand zone. Target: $34.50 Major Resistance area. 🔹 Bearish Watch: If price rejects from the curve or fails to hold above demand zone… Price could revisit $32.50 or lower to re-test curve zone again. 📘 Final Thoughts: This chart is a masterclass in how Mirror Market Concepts work. From the curve zone support to the demand hold, and now a clear target in sight, everything is lining up beautifully. If you’re a price action trader, this is the kind of structure you wait weeks for. If the bullish scenario plays out, we could see Silver make a strong run toward the $34.50 resistance zone in the coming days. Keep your eyes on: Curve zone support holding Demand confirmation
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin MMC Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts in Action + Target📌 Overview: In this idea, I’m using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to break down Bitcoin’s current price behavior. MMC is a powerful way to spot repetitive price patterns, psychological zones, and mirrored moves that help us predict where the market might go next. Let’s break down what this chart is really telling us. 👇 🔁 1. Mirror Market Concept in Play MMC is all about symmetry. Think of it like looking into a mirror—what price did on the left side, it might repeat (or mirror) on the right side. Look at the two rounded zones (highlighted in light blue ellipses). Price dipped into the support zone, formed a rounded bottom, and then shot up. A similar pattern is forming again on the right-hand side. This mirroring behavior gives us a clue that price could follow the same path upward again. 📉 2. Trendline Resistance – A Key Level The chart shows a clear descending trendline that has been respected multiple times. Every time price tries to break above this line, it gets rejected. This tells us that sellers are still in control at that level. Until this trendline is broken cleanly, bullish momentum remains capped. However, multiple tests of the trendline also indicate it's getting weaker, so a breakout might be coming. 🟪 3. Support Zone – Buyer’s Stronghold See the purple shaded area near $108,400? That’s the support zone. Price bounced off this area several times, showing that buyers are defending this level. This zone is important because: If it holds, we can expect another upward push. If it breaks, price could drop to the next support level (not shown here, but could be around $107,000–$107,500 based on structure). 🎯 4. Previous Target Hit – New Target Identified Using MMC, we previously predicted a move up to around $110,800, and that target has been successfully hit (labeled as "Previous Target" in the chart). Now, a new target zone is forming around $109,600–$109,800, marked on the right side of the chart. If price breaks above the trendline and central zone, this is the next likely destination. 🔵 5. Central Ellipse Zone – Compression Area The blue ellipse on the right side represents a central zone—an area of price compression and indecision. In MMC, this is where price builds up energy before a move. It acts like a spring: the longer price consolidates here, the bigger the breakout move will be. Right now, BTC is compressing in this central zone. This is a critical moment. The breakout direction from here could decide the short-term trend. 📊 Trade Plan Ideas: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: Wait for a clean breakout above the trendline and central zone. Look for a retest of the breakout area (confirmation). Target the $109,600–$109,800 zone. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break the trendline and drops below the support zone at $108,400… We could expect a deeper pullback toward $107,000–$107,500. 🔹 Key Levels: Resistance: $109,200 (trendline area), $109,800 (target zone) Support: $108,400 (zone), $107,500 (next major support if broken) 📘 Final Thoughts: This chart is a perfect example of how MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) can give us a visual roadmap of what price might do next. It’s not about guessing—it’s about recognizing the psychological patterns that repeat over and over in the markets. Right now, Bitcoin is sitting at a decision point: Break above the trendline = possible bullish continuation Break below support = likely bearish shift Watch the central zone closely—because the next big move could start from right there. 🔍
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
3
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone Marked in red the price recently tested this zone and sharply rebounded indicating strong buyer interest The red circle highlights a possible false breakout" or liquidity grab below support Reversal Structure The yellow zigzag line outlines a projected bullish reversal pattern This includes a potential double bottom or higher low formation which is a classic bullish signal Upside Targets Target 1 $3324 First resistance or take profit level Target 2 $3338 Intermediate resistance Final Target $3350 Major resistance or bullish target zone
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
USDCAD Bullish Setup – Watching Key Breakout LevelUSDCAD has tested the lower trend line and is showing signs of a potential reversal. The overall trend remains bullish, but additional confirmation is needed before entering. I’ll be looking to go long above 1.39734, which would signal a strong breakout continuation. 🔹 Trend: Bullish 🔹 Entry Idea: Long above 1.39734 🔹 Confirmation Needed: Break and retest or strong bullish momentum 🔹 Support Zone: Around the trend line 🔹 Resistance: Monitor previous highs once breakout occurs Let me know your thoughts or drop your chart in the comments below!
Long
by clintonHFX
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth... Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363 Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265 A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May) Insight into regional manufacturing. Weak data may increase rate cut expectations. Dallas Fed Services Activity Measures service sector strength; can affect Fed rate outlook. Germany Unemployment Claims Rate (May) Higher unemployment could support a more dovish ECB. Import Price Index (April) Key for inflation outlook; may influence euro and bund yields. France PPI, Consumer Spending, Q1 Payrolls Indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Can affect Eurozone equities and ECB expectations. Australia CPI (April) Major driver for AUD and rate expectations. A high print could push AUD higher. Central Bank Events FOMC Minutes Traders will watch for signals on inflation concerns and future rate path. Fed Speakers: Williams, Kashkari Comments may influence expectations for Fed policy shifts. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey Insight into Eurozone inflation expectations. Affects EUR. RBNZ Decision Direct impact on NZD. A hawkish stance could lift NZD. Earnings (Market Movers) NVIDIA High-impact for NASDAQ and AI stocks. Watch for volatility and options activity. Salesforce Key for tech sector sentiment, especially SaaS names. Synopsys, Agilent, Abercrombie & Fitch Sector-specific insights: semis, health, consumer. Bond Auctions US 2-Year FRN US 5-Year Notes Auctions may impact Treasury yields and USD. Weak demand could push yields higher. Trading Focus Watch USD, AUD, EUR, NZD around data and central bank events. NVIDIA earnings could shift tech and AI market sentiment. Treasury yield curve may move on Fed minutes and auctions. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level. Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action📊 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action 🕒 Timeframe: 4H (Based on candlestick structure) 📅 Published: May 27, 2025 💰 Current Price: 3,303.860 🔴 Major Resistance Zone 📍 3,480 – 3,500 📌 Seen with red arrows and price rejections. 📉 Strong selling pressure has occurred twice from this level (double top-like behavior). ❗ Until price breaks above this, bulls face a major hurdle. 🟣 Key Mid-Level Zone (S/R Flip) 📍 3,340 – 3,360 🔄 This area has flipped between support and resistance. 🔸 Price tested this level recently and pulled back (orange circle), suggesting sellers are active. 🔮 This is the pivot zone – watch for break/rejection to determine next trend leg. 🟪 Main Support Zone 📍 3,180 – 3,220 ✅ Multiple bounce reactions visible (green arrows and circles). 💪 This zone has held strong; indicates solid buyer interest. 📉 If price returns here and breaks below, we could see further downside to 3,120 or lower. 🧭 Market Structure Summary 🔁 The market is in a range-bound structure between 3,220 – 3,360, with spikes towards 3,480. 🔃 The recent higher low followed by rejection at mid-resistance suggests potential distribution. 🧠 Forecast Scenarios 🔵 Bullish Scenario (Blue Path) Break above 3,360 → Retest as support → 📈 Potential rally to 3,480 📍 Target: 3,480+ 🟢 Confirmation: Strong bullish engulfing candle + volume surge 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Blue-Arrow + Orange Circle) Rejection at current resistance → Drop toward 3,220 📍 Target: Main Support zone ❗ Watch for bearish candle pattern confirmation at 3,340 ⚖️ Trading Strategy Tips 🔍 Wait for confirmation at the mid-resistance before entering. 🛡️ Place stops below support zones for long positions. 💥 Aggressive short sellers may look to enter near 3,340 with tight stops above. 🧩 Conclusion The asset is in a critical decision zone. Whether it breaks higher toward the resistance or retraces to support will shape the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious, and let price action confirm bias before committing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZareeFxTradingAac
4
EURJPY → False breakout of resistance. Reversal?FX:EURJPY is testing the resistance of the trading range as part of a distribution movement, but the situation ends with a false breakout and price consolidation within the flat. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening and thus exerting a corresponding influence on the currency pair. EURJPY is forming a false breakout of resistance within a distribution movement formed after a retest the support of the flat. The price returns to the channel. After a false breakout of resistance and a return of the price below a strong key level, a base is forming in the form of support at 163.2 (trigger). Resistance levels: 163.4, 163.6 Support levels: 163.2, 162.7 A breakdown of the 163.2 trigger and price consolidation below the key level could intensify the sell-off, triggering a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11