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Fundamental Analysis

EUR/USD: To buy or not to buy(sorry Shakespeare)To be, or not to be, that is the question: Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, Or to take arms against a sea of troubles Hello traders Straight from the Bart's mouth. Should we continue to duck and dive through this chaos and continue trading? Or will we drown in this sea of troubles? Well, I shorted EUR/USD last night at 1.1535 with an eye towards 1.1413 as a purely technical play after the tirade to fire Powell which we all know is so much baloney because he is just the mouthpiece of the FOMC, not the ultimate decision maker. The pop higher over the weekend was illiquid because of the Easter weekend. I closed my short at 1.1420 and was planning on shorting again at 1.1480 but the live on TV announcement that he has no intention to fire Powell upended that apple cart. I have initiated a short position at 1.1405 after the retracement from the 1.1308 low with an eye towards 1.1000 but who knows? He has now softened his stance on the Chinese tariffs but once again, don't hold your breath. The only certainty we can count on is that there will be continuous uncertainty. Gold has a shooting star on the 2D chart and DXY has a long tailed Doji on the downside. Long story short, keep swimming. We chose this career voluntarily and while we will never outsmart the market, we can definitely switch from free style swimming to back stroke to Esther Williams water ballet BUT don't just give up. Good luck all.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
1
Analysts Revise Alaska Air Group Forecasts Ahead of EarningsAlaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings results after markets close on Wednesday, April 23. Analysts expect the airline to post a loss of $0.77 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.92 per share during the same period last year. Revenue is projected to come in at $3.16 billion, up from $2.23 billion a year earlier, according to Benzinga Pro. The company last reported earnings on January 22, posting better-than-expected results for both revenue and earnings per share. As anticipation builds for the upcoming earnings call, several top analysts have adjusted their outlooks. Barclays analyst Brandon Oglenski maintained an "Overweight" rating on April 8 but lowered the price target from $80 to $62. Susquehanna’s Christopher Stathoulopoulos, with a 74% accuracy rate, kept a "Positive" rating but cut the price target from $95 to $55 on April 7. UBS's Thomas Wadewitz downgraded the stock to "Neutral" from "Buy" and dropped the target from $75 to $54. On March 18, Citigroup analyst Stephen Trent reaffirmed a "Buy" rating and slightly trimmed the price target from $83 to $81. JP Morgan’s Jamie Baker raised the target from $85 to $89 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating on March 3. On Tuesday, Alaska Air shares rose 2.93% to close at $44.94. Technical Analysis The stock found support near the $44 level, forming a potential base. If this support holds, ALK may target the $50 range or higher. However, a break below support could push the price down toward $40. All major moving averages are trending lower. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages stand at $57, $61, and $51, respectively, signaling ongoing bearish momentum.
NYSE:ALKLong
by DEXWireNews
British PMIs fall, Trump says won't fire PowellThe British pound dropped as much as 0.7% earlier today and is under pressure. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3265, down 0.45% on the day. The pound has taken advantage of broad US dollar weakness recently, rising 3% in the month of April. On Tuesday, the pound climbed as high as 1.3423, its highest level since September 2024. UK PMIs reports softened in April, another reminder that that the UK economy is struggling. The Services PMI fell to 48.9 from 52.5 in March, below the market estimate of 51.3. There are growing fears that the UK will fall into recession and global economic uncertainty has led to decreased business activity. The Manufacturing PMI eased to 44.0, matching the market estimate but lower than the March reading of 44.9. This was the lowest reading since August 2023 as the deteriorating global market outook has reduced demand for UK exports. The increase in employer tax contributions has hurt employment and lowered confidence. The International Monetary Fund has lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8, down from 3.3% in January. The downgrade was in response to US tariffs and the IMF warned that an escalation of trade tensions between the US and other countries would create further market volatility and lead to even lower growth. US stock markets are sharply higher on Wednesday after President Trump said that he had no intention to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump had intensified his attacks on Powell in recent days, resulting in sharp slides in US equity markets and the US dollar. Trump also said that China tariffs would drop "substantially" and investors hope this signals a de-escalation in the nasty trade war between the US and China.
by OANDA
Gold peaked and plummeted, entering a correction mode!Analysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: Today, the highest price of gold is 3386, and the lowest price of US market is 3260, which is also a drop of 126 points. Although gold has continued its decline, it is not like yesterday. The decline is accompanied by a rebound. The trend of Asian market is a back and forth, and the trend of European market is also a back and forth. Needless to say, the US market fell after the opening and the current rebound, the overall rhythm is bearish, but it is not as clean as Tuesday. This trend reflects the opposition of market sentiment. After the risk aversion subsided, the gold price fell from the high of 3500, but after the long position was sold at a high level, some people still took over at a low level, so it led to a rebound trend after the decline. Now from the daily chart, the daily K is likely to close with an upper shadow line as on Tuesday. Now the upper shadow line has been formed, so the closing price should be below the opening price of 3320. Now we need to pay attention to whether the lower shadow line can continue to spread downward. In other words, after this wave of rebound in the US market, there will be another wave of decline, and there will be a small rebound; returning to the short-term trend, in 1 hour, after the gold price fell below the two key positions of 3356 and 3285 today, the support moved down to around 3245. Although there was a rebound in the US market, it is likely to go to the range of 3228 to 3245 before rebounding, so the support references are 3260 and 3245; on the other hand, the resistance level, now the gold price pierces 3285 and then rebounds, and is now trading near this. The only reference is 3315 in the Asian session, and then up is the European session rebound high of 3340. If it is effectively crossed here, the bearish outlook will be suspended. ​The direction of the end of the session is bearish. The steady operation is to intervene in short orders near 3320 to protect the area near 3330. Of course, you can intervene in short orders near 3310 to see if it can reach the range of 3260 to 3245. This is up to you. Even if it touches this range and rebounds later, I do not recommend participating in long orders. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3315-3320 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3245 line support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
The rise of the US dollar index suppressed gold.From the perspective of technical analysis, the gold daily chart shows a large negative line pattern and then forms an inverted hammer reversal prototype structure. Today, the key support level below has moved down to the 3300 integer mark area. In the US hourly chart cycle, after the gold price short-term touched the price of 3290 US dollars/ounce, the technical indicators showed oversold repair characteristics, suggesting the existence of technical rebound momentum. The upper resistance level of the current price range is locked in the 3350-3360 US dollars/ounce area, and the core defense level below is still 3300 US dollars/ounce. I think if this support level is effectively broken, it may trigger a technical bottoming out of the price in the 3250 US dollars/ounce area. It is worth noting that the US dollar index has a short-term technical retracement. This kind of currency market fluctuation may provide a phased rebound support for the gold price through the exchange rate transmission mechanism. However, we need to be alert that the gold price has fallen below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward trend started from $2,900/ounce. If the 38.2% retracement level of $3,289/ounce is confirmed to be lost, it may trigger the resonance of technical stop loss orders and programmatic trading systems, forming further selling pressure. The current market structure shows typical characteristics of long-short game. It is recommended to pay close attention to the significance of gains and losses of $3,300/ounce for trend judgment. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds around 3,310, with the target at 3,290.3250
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Patrick-Daniel
Global Payments Inc. Hits 52-Week Low Amid Analysts DowngradeGlobal Payments Inc. (NYSE:GPN) dropped to a new 52-week low of $66.90 on Monday after Wells Fargo slashed its price target from $105.00 to $77.00. The firm issued an "equal weight" rating. Shares last traded at $67.22, down from the prior close of $69.46, with over 1.25 million shares changing hands. Several other analysts also revised their targets. Barclays reduced its price from $125.00 to $110.00 and maintained an "overweight" rating. Citigroup cut its target slightly from $138.00 to $135.00 while retaining a “buy” recommendation. Morgan Stanley followed suit with a target cut from $166.00 to $163.00 and kept an “overweight” stance. Evercore ISI began coverage with an “in-line” rating and set its target at $85.00. Meanwhile, Robert W. Baird lowered its price objective significantly from $145.00 to $100.00 while keeping an “outperform” rating. MarketBeat data shows that 15 analysts currently rate the stock as a hold. Eleven analysts recommend buying, and one has issued a sell rating. The average consensus price target now stands at $117.36. Technical Analysis The daily chart highlights a sharp sell-off with high volume in April, pushing GPN below critical support. The price failed to hold the $92 level, breaking down with a gap and falling into oversold territory. Moving averages point to downward momentum. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages all hover above the current price. RSI currently sits at 32.27, close to the oversold threshold. A minor bounce has occurred from the low, but resistance near $92 could cap gains. If selling pressure resumes, the price may revisit $66 or break lower towards $60.
NYSE:GPNShort
by DEXWireNews
Breaking: $ZEREBRO Spike 200% Gearing For 480% Legged up The price of Zerebro, a Solana based memecoin saw a notable uptick of 203% today, breaking out of a falling wedge pattern albeit the general crypto landscape saw notable upticks too with CRYPTOCAP:SOL reclaiming $150 pivot, CRYPTOCAP:BTC reclaiming $94k pivot, and Ethereum reclaiming $1800 pivot too. $ZEREBRO has undergone a retracement since March high losing about 79% of market. The memecoin capitalize on the dip to deliver a stunning 200% gains today and present market metrics hints at a 480% price breakout. $ZEREBRO is trading way above the moving averages with the RSI at 86, $ZEREBRO might outperform the general market as the top performing coin today. About Zerebro Zerebro is an autonomous AI system crafted to create, distribute, and analyze content across decentralized and social platforms. Functioning independently of human oversight, Zerebro shapes cultural and financial narratives through self-propagating content that merges fiction with reality, known as hyperstition. It operates on various channels, including X, Instagram, Warpcast, and Telegram, where it engages audiences with high-entropy, hyperstitious content.
RAYDIUM:ZEREBROSOL_3SJNOC.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
ETH gives a strong exit from the descending channel!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on ETH, because you can see a significant rebound at the level of 30% from the last low. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the ETH price moved in the local downtrend channel, from which we got an exit at the top, such a scenario often gives increases at the level of the channel height, which would bring the price closer to the levels of $ 2100. Here you can see how the current rebound brought the movement closer to the resistance at the level of $ 1830, and then resistance is visible at the price of $ 1950, where the ETH price must then face a strong resistance zone from $ 2060 to $ 2100, where there could potentially be an upward movement after leaving the channel as in this case. Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have support at the level of $ 1730, but if it is broken, the ETH price may continue to fall and return to a strong support zone from $ 1480 to $ 1380. It is worth paying attention to the MACD and RSI indicators because you can see how in the 4H interval we have gone beyond the upper limits of the ranges, which may translate into visible price consolidation on the chart in order to cool the situation.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Gold once fell below the 3,300 mark, can it rise again? 📌 Driving Event Spot gold (XAU/USD) once fell below the 3,300 US dollar mark, a significant correction from the previous historical high of nearly 3,500 US dollars. The market's risk appetite has increased, making the attractiveness of safe-haven assets weakened in the short term. However, repeated news about the direction of US policy and the Fed Chairman's movements may still affect the market in the medium and long term. 📊Comment Analysis From the perspective of market sentiment, the strong rise in gold prices in the early stage mainly relied on safe-haven demand and speculation about subsequent monetary easing. However, the short-term trend has led to some profit-taking in safe-haven assets due to the recovery of the equity market. This change in sentiment reflects the current market's optimism and caution about the US macroeconomic environment: once risk appetite weakens again, gold may be supported again; if risk appetite continues to rise, gold prices may continue to retreat. Overall, the market is in a state of repeated game, and sudden news can easily lead to large fluctuations in gold prices, and we need to continue to pay attention to the evolution of risk sentiment. ✅ Outlook for the future Short-term outlook: In the case of short-term technical continuation signals, gold prices may remain weak, and the support around $3,300 and $3,230.00 is worth paying attention to. If volatility further increases, it is not ruled out that prices will rebound quickly or bottom out rapidly. Medium- and long-term outlook: The upward structure at the daily level has not been completely destroyed. If the uncertainty of US policies increases or economic data is weak in the future, it will once again drive the recovery of safe-haven demand. Gold prices may still regain their upward momentum and hit $3,500 or even higher. On the contrary, if the equity market continues to strengthen, gold prices will face deeper correction pressure. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
SILVER: Bulls Approaching the Red Zone in a DowntrendXAGUSD 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ⚙️ OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — Price has been making lower highs since early April, and current action is approaching a critical SELL zone. 🔴RESISTANCE ZONE 🔴 34.5880 — PIVOT HIGH | Resistance (Major) 🔴 34.2779 — SELL ORDER 2 🔴 33.6503 — SELL ORDER 1 🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS 🎯 32.4555 — SELL ORDER & TP 1 🎯 31.4515 — SELL ORDER & TP 2 | Mid-Pivot 🎯 30.7102 — SELL ORDER & TP 3 🎯 29.5696 — EXIT SELL | TP 4 🟢SUPPORT LEVELS 🟢 29.7916 — BUY ORDER 1 🟢 28.6285 — BUY ORDER 2 🟡 28.5150 — PIVOT LOW| Support (Major) ✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES Price is currently pushing up into a heavy resistance zone between 33.65 and 34.58. Latest green candle taps a major SELL ORDER level — watch for a rejection pattern forming. Multiple pivot lows confirmed — but uptrend momentum appears weak within overall downtrend. All short-term MAs (10–50 EMA/SMA) are signaling SELL. Only long-term MAs (100–200) still show bullish support. 📉OSCILLATOR SUMMARY MACD, Momentum, and Awesome Oscillator — All bearish 🟥 RSI & Stoch RSI — Neutral, hovering mid-range ADX at 11.00 — Weak trend strength, suggesting range or minor pullback ahead TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📉 Watch for rejection from current level (33.65–34.27) — could trigger drop to TP1 or TP2 📈 Break and close above 34.58 could invalidate the current sell zone bias 👀 Best opportunities arise if price rejects cleanly from resistance with volume confirmation 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION SELL-THE-RIP (Swing Short Setup): — Entry: 33.65 or 34.27 — TP Levels: 32.45 / 31.45 / 30.71 — SL: Above 34.60 CONSERVATIVE BULLISH SCALP: — Entry: 29.79 or 28.62 — TP Levels: 30.71 / 31.45 — SL: Below 28.51 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™” — Let the levels do the talking 📉📈
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDUSD buy ideaRegarding the recent tariff imposed by the US President, this currency pair has been negatively impacted and is expected to continue its downward trend. The price is likely to find support at either the 4-hour demand zone or the daily Order Block, which is located just below. To capitalize on this potential trading opportunity, consider placing a buy stop limit order instead of a limit order. I anticipate the price to stabilize at one of these two key zones. Important Disclaimer This is not financial advice. If you choose to take this trade, please apply proper risk and money management.
Long
by phoenixwicks9
Gold Traders Pay AttentionA Major Buying Opportunity is Emerging for GOLD ( XAUUSD ) In this analysis, we highlight an upcoming potential buy zone on GOLD ( XAUUSD ) that could present a significant trading setup. We’ll break down recent price action, key support zones, and technical signals that traders should keep on their radar. Whether you're focused on intraday strategies or swing trading, these insights can help you position effectively for the next major move. Don't miss out—watch the full breakdown for complete details. Share your GOLD trade strategy in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
XAU/USD Trade Signal Analysis 1H | Read the Caption BelowXAUUSD(Gold) Trade signal analysis at 1H timeframe -Entry Zone: 3294 - 3290 Take Profit Levels: • TP1: 3,320 • TP2: 3,360 • TP3: 3,411 Stop Loss (SL): 3,240.506 (Placed just below the support zone to protect against downside break) Reason for Entry: •Price action shows strong bullish rejection at a key support zone, marked by the purple box. •The support area has previously acted as a demand zone, indicating potential for price reversal. •Formation of a possible double bottom or bullish engulfing candle near support. Note: trade at your own risk and do proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alex_gold_trader
USDCAD (1M) Bullish Pennant Structure and H ProjectionUSDCAD (1M) — Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Bullish Pennant Structure and H Projection On the monthly chart of USDCAD, a bullish pennant structure has been formed and confirmed with a breakout followed by a clean retest of the upper boundary. The price broke out of the consolidation zone with momentum and is currently holding above the key support at 1.3802. The structure remains active: the first target based on the projected move is 1.4905. If the impulse continues and the market structure remains intact, extended targets lie at 1.5690 (1.272), 1.6100 (1.414), and 1.6689 (1.618) Fibonacci expansions. Technically, the 1.3802 level (0.618 retracement) is the critical support. If this zone holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. The nearest resistance is 1.4287 (0.786), and a confirmed break above this level would likely trigger the next phase toward 1.49. Volume increased during the breakout, confirming strong buyer interest. Fundamentally, the setup is supported by diverging monetary policies: the Bank of Canada has signaled a more dovish stance due to slowing inflation and economic softness, while the Federal Reserve remains more neutral and cautious about rate cuts. In addition, oil prices — a key factor for the Canadian dollar — are under pressure, weakening the CAD further. Broader macro uncertainty and the global demand for USD as a reserve and safe-haven asset continue to support the dollar, strengthening the USDCAD pair. Conclusion: As long as the price holds above the 1.38 zone and confirms above 1.4287, the bullish structure remains in play with a target of 1.4905 and potential extensions to 1.5690–1.6100.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
GBPAUD Long 4/23/2025GBP/AUD Long Setup – Final Retest of Daily Support with Bullish Confirmation Looking to go long on GBP/AUD after multiple confluences across timeframes suggest a strong bounce from key support. Daily Chart: Price continues to respect the 2.07500 support zone, which has held since April 9th. Today, we saw a sharp move back into that level with a strong wick rejection, suggesting a possible final retest before continuation. 4H Chart: We’re 12 minutes from closing a bullish hammer, printing just above the daily support zone — a textbook signal of bullish strength returning from structure. 1H Chart: Clear false breakout + inside bar combo, followed by a bullish hammer close, all occurring within the support zone. These are strong reversal signals, especially when aligned with higher timeframe structure. News Context: While GBP flash PMI data came in weak, price action tells a different story. The bullish hammer forming during the news candle suggests liquidity absorption, not continuation selling. Trade Plan: Entry: Around current levels above 2.075 Stop: Just below the 1H hammer (tight structure-based risk) Target: 2.10815 — aligning with recent swing highs and the top of the range Solid structure + clear invalidation = high-quality setup. If momentum holds, we could see a swift rotation back toward the highs.
Long
by Big6Financial
USDCAD Short 4/23/2025USD/CAD Short Setup – Break of Daily Demand + Textbook Triangle Unwind This short is built off both macro fundamentals and multi-timeframe technical precision. Daily Chart: USD/CAD has been steadily breaking structure to the downside. Yesterday's close was significant — we broke below a major daily demand zone at 1.38221, signaling a shift in longer-term sentiment. Today’s price action has already retested yesterday’s high into that broken zone — a classic break-and-retest setup. 4H Chart: A clear 5-wave triangle correction is printing — text-book stuff. We’re nearing the breakout point. Price is pressing against the lower boundary, and momentum looks ready to shift. A potential Evening Star pattern is forming right now, supported by an inside bar and a follow-up bearish hammer — a stacked reversal signal. 1H Chart: Structure confirms the 4H — all signs point toward a correction completing and a new impulsive leg down beginning. Fundamentals: Later today, the U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show contraction — a negative for the dollar. If the data misses expectations, it could amplify the bearish move on USD/CAD. We’re also tracking oil closely — further CAD strength via crude would accelerate the downside here. Trade Plan: Entry: Current area near the 1.382 retest SL: Above triangle high TP1: 1:1 R:R – partial take profit (75%) TP2: Let the remaining 25% run with structure-based trailing If the setup confirms post-PMI, this could be a strong follow-through play after a major HTF breakdown.
Short
by Big6Financial
Trump vs. Powell: 4d Gold Price Roller Coaster📊 Summary of Recent 4 Trading Days During the ongoing US-China trade war, President Trump has ramped up his public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Though he lacks the authority to remove Powell directly it seems, Trump's frustration with the Fed’s independent policy direction has led to an apparent institutional power struggle. This conflict hasn’t gone unnoticed by the markets. Just the mention of removing Powell caused the gold price to spike, as stock market money got squeezed out, amplified by tensions in the trade war. The Federal Reserve’s credibility is high, so such remarks naturally trigger significant volatility. After Trump's initial outburst, gold surged $216. But when he softened his tone, the price reversed just as dramatically—falling about $240 (with the trading day still ongoing at the time). Hopes for progress in trade negotiations also played a role in this sharp reversal. ⚠️ Warning Signs of Market Distortion Statements from the US President now function almost like market-moving events in addition to normal news. For gold traders, this creates an unstable environment where typical technical setups may fail. The past days showed signs of manipulated or artificial movements—with potential insider activity. One notable example: Gold looked set to break higher after a 1-hour candle closed above the EMA 20 line. But a sudden $12 bearish candle in the last 30 seconds erased the setup. It felt orchestrated—possibly by institutional players defending key levels. 💡 Trader’s Takeaway Don’t blindly trust technical signals in this environment. Watch for political noise—it’s louder than usual. Prefer quieter markets if you’re risk-averse. Expect $100+ daily ranges and frequent price whipsaws. 🗣 What’s your take? Is Trump really influencing the gold market on purpose—or just creating chaos? Let’s discuss below. 👇 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
1