Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%
Moderna (MRNA) shares tumbled by approximately 8.9%, falling below $29—marking their lowest level since April 2020, when global markets were shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since the start of 2025, MRNA’s share price has declined by around 32%.
Why Did MRNA Shares Drop?
On Monday, MRNA led the decline among US biotech stocks following the resignation of Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Marks had held this position for over a decade.
During Trump’s first term, Marks oversaw the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and established guidelines for emerging treatments such as cell and gene therapy.
However, in Trump’s second term, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. now serves as Health Secretary. According to The Wall Street Journal, Marks criticised Kennedy’s stance on vaccines in his resignation letter, calling it “misinformation and lies.”
The pharmaceutical industry was already under pressure amid speculation that Trump’s tariff plans could extend to prescription drugs, which are typically exempt from such measures. Marks' departure has further intensified uncertainty regarding regulatory decisions under the new administration.
Technical Analysis of MRNA Shares
The chart indicates that:
➝ The stock remains in a downtrend that began with a sharp drop in August last year (reinforced by the moving average).
➝ Over the past five months, it has been forming a descending channel (marked in red).
➝ The lower boundary of this channel acted as support yesterday.
The formation of higher lows and highs (marked in blue) had given bulls some hope in March 2025. However, yesterday’s bearish gap appears to have shattered that optimism.
It is possible that the lower blue trendline and the median of the red channel will act as resistance moving forward, further darkening the outlook for MRNA’s share price—especially given the ongoing negative news surrounding the stock.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Possibility Of A Big Drop on Gold !!!! huge drop is coming , we had gold yesterday huge profit taking , and deliveries were huge , so the big money never comes in now ! , the yesterday range is empty of orders , the big boys taking out , so get ready for a big drop , if u check my ideas posted i told about the big buys coming previous week and banked 1200 pips in one trade , so be careful with ur longs now , yesterday chart is empty of the orders this means when it drops it really drops about 600 pips at least , mark my words!
stay tuned
==> i.n.s.t.?a => awtforex
#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Analysis #LONG #Eddy#COMP #COMPUSDT #Compound #Analysis #LONG #Eddy
COMPUSDT.P Ready For Long Entry
Important areas have been identified, the entry point has been touched in advance, and the pullback has been made on a lower timeframe, and it is ready to long entry upon receiving confirmation.
This is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this scalping setup to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note: The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 40% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownThis BTC/USD 1-hour chart showcases a falling wedge breakout, indicating a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could move toward its next resistance target of $87,550, offering a profitable long setup for traders. Let's analyze the chart in detail.
1️⃣ Market Context: Understanding the Trend
📉 Previous Downtrend
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was in a strong downtrend after reaching a resistance level near $87,000–$88,000.
Sellers took control, creating lower highs and lower lows, forming a descending wedge pattern.
The price declined sharply, reflecting profit-taking, increased supply, and weak demand.
📊 Current Market Setup
Bitcoin found strong support around $81,412, a level where buyers have stepped in multiple times.
The price action compressed into a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating that bearish momentum was weakening.
The breakout from the wedge suggests that bulls are regaining control, signaling a potential uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level ($87,000–$88,000)
This zone has acted as a strong supply area where Bitcoin previously struggled to break through.
If Bitcoin approaches this level again, a break and retest scenario would be ideal for further continuation.
🔹 Support Level ($81,412)
This area has provided multiple bounces, confirming it as a demand zone where buyers are actively defending.
A break below this support would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a downward move.
📍 Breakout Confirmation
The falling wedge breakout is confirmed by bullish price action and strong buying pressure.
Bitcoin is now forming higher lows, indicating a potential trend reversal.
3️⃣ Technical Chart Pattern: The Falling Wedge
📌 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines before breaking out upward.
✅ Characteristics of a Falling Wedge in This Chart
Series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a contracting price range.
Decreasing bearish momentum, seen by smaller candles near the support zone.
Bullish breakout with strong momentum, signaling a reversal.
💡 Implication:
A breakout from a falling wedge often leads to a strong upward move, especially if volume supports the breakout.
4️⃣ Trading Setup & Strategy
📍 Entry Strategy
A confirmed breakout above the wedge with a strong bullish candle.
A pullback and retest of the breakout level can provide a high-probability entry point.
🎯 Target Levels
Primary Target: $87,550 (Projected based on wedge height).
Extended Target: Above $88,000 if momentum continues.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
Below the support zone at $81,412 to minimize risk.
If Bitcoin falls below this level, it invalidates the bullish setup.
5️⃣ Risk & Considerations
⚠️ Potential Risks to Watch
Fake Breakouts: If BTC fails to hold above the breakout level, it could result in a bull trap, causing a price reversal.
Market Volatility: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and external factors (such as macroeconomic news or regulatory updates) could impact price movements.
Resistance Pressure: The $87,000–$88,000 zone could act as a strong resistance, leading to possible consolidation before a decisive move.
✅ Risk Management Tips:
Keep a tight stop-loss below key support.
Adjust position size based on volatility.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid false breakouts.
6️⃣ Conclusion: Bullish Bias but Caution Advised
📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend after breaking out from the falling wedge pattern. However, traders should watch for a confirmation of strength before entering long positions.
Key Points to Watch:
BTC needs to hold above $83,500 to sustain bullish momentum.
A strong candle close above $85,000 will further confirm bullish control.
The $87,550–$88,000 resistance zone will be a crucial test for the next move.
🚀 Bullish outlook remains valid unless BTC drops below $81,412.
Hashtags for TradingView Idea
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #CryptoSignals #TradeSetup #TradingStrategy
EURUSD: Eurozone CPI expectations and PMIs in Europe and the US.By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The EUR/USD trades cautiously on Tuesday, in a context marked by the release of key data that could define its direction in the coming days. The pair is trading slightly lower by 0.09%, reflecting investors' uncertainty ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) and manufacturing PMIs in Europe and the United States.
Eurozone CPI under the spotlight
The market expects March CPI in the Eurozone to have risen by 2.2% y/y, one tenth less than in February, while core inflation could come in at 2.5%, also one tenth below the previous figure. A lower-than-expected figure could reinforce expectations of a more moderate stance by the European Central Bank (ECB), which would put further pressure on the euro against the dollar.
PMI and economic outlook
Manufacturing PMIs will also be released today in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, the Eurozone and the US. These data will offer insight into the health of the manufacturing sector and could influence perceptions of economic strength in both regions. If the data in Europe shows weakness and the US data beats expectations, the dollar could strengthen further, extending the downward pressure on the EURUSD.
Technical Analysis
The EURUSD is currently climbing in price since April 26th, supporting its climb at higher supports at each time 1.07364, 1.07649, 1.07913 its current POC, and today it has broken out generating support near 1.08 dollars per euro. If this price holds as support, we will see an increase in the value of the euro against the dollar. The 1-day chart shows an upward expansion of the averages, but if we go to 4 hours this expansion is much more timid. And in 1 hour this expansion is non-existent and the three averages are about to make a possible confluence of averages. In the Asian day there has been some correction with volume which could mark, together with the RSI currently at 43.10%, a recovery of the price. It is likely that in the news hours these prices will soar throughout the day, especially at the beginning of the American session that will put on the table the US data, which after the consequences of the tariff pressure are generating undesirable effects towards the United States, with its consequent weakening. If the U.S. data shows strength, the next area of movement for the dollar would be its second support indicated at 1.07649.
In this environment, investors will continue to watch bond market signals and central bankers' speeches for clues on future monetary policy decisions that could impact the EURUSD price. EURUSD remains in a key zone, with support at 1.08, awaiting inflation and PMI data. If European data disappoints and the US shows strength, the dollar could gain ground. The US session will set the direction of the pair.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Another Good Trade for GOLD (XAUUSD) Today
My overall forecast for this week is that Gold will do classic expansion week where monday will go up then tuesday will most likely go up to sweep mondays high then do the reversal so that wednesday and thursday will be expansion going down and target the daily imbalances below. For today i was expecting a bullish push upwards for GOLD before it will reverse so i followed my steps by combining my multi timeframe analysis. From daily for the overall bias to 1H for that confirmation and alignment then 5m for my entry timeframe. Once i saw those 3 timeframes align with combination confirmation that i saw with the price action then i entered the trade. My original target was 1:3R but then i saw the weakness after price came to my 1:2R level so i manually pulled out with a 1:2R gain for today....
4 consecutive days of increase, GOLD support from TrumpIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise, surpassing $3,145/ounce, up more than $24 on the day.
The global trade war has caused concerns in the market, continuing to push gold prices to new highs. Gold prices rose 8% in March and have increased for three consecutive months this year.
Gold prices have increased more than 18% this year, following a 27% increase last year, thanks to a favorable monetary policy environment, strong central bank buying and demand for exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Trump: Tariff details could be announced soon (Bloomberg)
US President Trump said on Monday local time that details of the tariffs could be announced either Tuesday night (April 1) or April 2.
Trump also said the US would be “very friendly” to other countries and that tariffs could be significantly reduced in some cases. Trump then talked about other issues before returning to the issue of tariffs, adding: “The tariff plan is already in place.”
White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Monday that US President Trump will announce a plan for reciprocal tariffs "country by country" in the White House Rose Garden on April 2 and that no tariff exemptions are currently being considered.
In the latest escalation in the trade war, Trump is set to impose broad “reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners on Wednesday, a day he has called “Liberation Day.” Trump also plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on all non-U.S.-made cars this week.
Asked about the reciprocal tariffs and which countries would be affected, Leavitt declined to provide details. Asked whether lower tariffs would be applied to products used by U.S. farmers, Leavitt said “there are no exemptions at this time.”
Trump also said on Sunday that he would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on buyers of Russian oil if he finds Russia intends to obstruct US efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
4 days of soaring, gold is heading for its 4th consecutive strong day of gains as it breaks the target at the 0.618% Fibonacci extension of $3,139, followed by the target at the 0.786% Fibonacci extension of $3,177.
With the current technical conditions, there is no resistance or signal for a significant technical correction.
With the medium-term trend being highlighted by the price channel and a blue price channel as the short-term trend. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it will remain technically bullish in the long-term.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not giving any signal of a possible downside correction.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold prices remains bullish, and any current downside correction should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity.
With that, the notable positions for the uptrend will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,128 – 3,113 USD
Resistance: 3,177 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3157 - 3155⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3161
→Take Profit 1 3149
↨
→Take Profit 2 3143
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3081
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3099
No Rate Hike, No Mercy – AUD/USD Selling in Style!Riding the wave of bearish structure, AUD/USD continues to follow the macro trend with laser precision. After the RBA held rates steady, we’re seeing the typical post-news dump play out—fueled by the market’s disappointment and reduced sentiment.
Technically, price respected the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showed strong displacement to the downside, confirming continuation.
Key Targets:
🔻 0.62311 – Minor liquidity
🔻 0.62185 – 1H Sell-side liquidity
🔻 0.61703 – Ultimate short-term sell-side target
Expecting the market to bleed lower unless major fundamentals flip the bias. Until then... the trend is your bestie.
DYOR 🧠📉
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish Outlook – Targeting 3157 & Beyond
Gold (XAUUSD) is displaying strong bullish momentum today, with price action indicating a potential rally toward the 3157 level. The metal has established a key demand zone between 3115 - 3125, from where buyers are likely to step in.
🔹 Trading Plan & Key Levels:
✅ Entry Zone: 3115 – 3125 📍
✅ Bullish Targets: 3157 ➝ 3170 🎯
✅ Invalidation: Below 3110 ❌
🔹 Technical Analysis
📊 Market Structure: Higher highs & higher lows confirm bullish continuation.
📈 Support & Demand Zones: Strong buying interest at 3115 - 3125.
📉 Indicators: EMA crossover supports bullish bias; RSI > 60 confirms buying pressure.
🔵 Liquidity & Order Blocks: Price might grab liquidity before pushing higher.
🚀 Bullish bias remains intact as long as price holds above 3115, with an upside target of 3157 – 3170. A breakout beyond 3170 could trigger further gains. Stay disciplined & follow risk management! 🏆
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown: Riding the Rising Wedge to Profit1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern that occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows within converging trendlines. This pattern is considered bearish, as it usually precedes a breakdown when price fails to sustain the higher levels.
The pattern is clearly visible as price moves within two upward-sloping black trendlines.
The narrowing range suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control.
A confirmed breakdown occurs when price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating potential further downside.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige, Top Box)
This area represents a strong supply zone where price has struggled to move higher.
Each time the price reaches this level, selling pressure increases, pushing the price lower.
The chart labels this as the Resistance Level, suggesting a potential reversal zone.
Support Level (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Box)
This is the previous demand zone, where price has rebounded multiple times.
Once price reaches this level, buyers may attempt to push it higher.
However, if this level fails to hold after the breakdown, further downside is expected.
Stop Loss Level (~3,150)
The stop loss is placed just above the recent highs.
If price moves beyond this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Traders use stop losses to limit risk in case the market moves against the position.
Target Level (~3,080)
This is the projected downside target based on the height of the wedge.
A measured move (calculated from the highest to the lowest point of the wedge) aligns with this target.
It represents a potential 1.78% decline from the breakdown level.
3. Price Action & Trade Setup
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a wedge breakdown.
The bearish momentum suggests sellers are in control.
Entry Zone:
A good short-selling opportunity is identified after the breakdown and potential retest of the lower trendline.
Risk Management:
Stop loss at 3,150 (above resistance).
Profit target at 3,080 (expected support).
This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
4. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
Rising Wedge Psychology:
The pattern forms as buyers push price higher, but each new high has weaker momentum.
Eventually, selling pressure outweighs buying interest, leading to a breakdown.
Resistance & Support Psychology:
The resistance area acts as a supply zone where big traders sell their positions.
The support zone may hold temporarily, but if it breaks, panic selling could accelerate the decline.
5. Possible Scenarios After the Breakdown
Bearish Case (Most Likely Outcome)
Price continues downward after breakdown.
It reaches the 3,080 target with increased selling momentum.
Confirmation of a bearish reversal pattern.
Bullish Case (Invalidation of Setup)
Price reclaims the wedge and moves back above resistance.
It invalidates the bearish breakdown, stopping out sellers.
A potential bullish continuation toward new highs.
Final Thoughts
This chart presents a high-probability short trade based on the Rising Wedge breakdown and resistance rejection. Traders can manage risk by setting a tight stop loss above resistance while aiming for a target at the next key support zone. The pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, favoring sell setups over buying opportunities.
Would you like me to add further insights, such as Fibonacci levels or RSI analysis, to strengthen the trade idea? 🚀
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?
Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are a fascinating concept for traders seeking to refine their understanding of price behaviour. By identifying areas where market sentiment shifts, IFVGs provide unique insights into potential reversals and key price levels. In this article, we’ll explore what IFVGs are, how they differ from Fair Value Gaps, and how traders can integrate them into their strategies for more comprehensive market analysis.
What Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently.
Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later.
FVGs are closely tied to the concept of fair value. The gap suggests the market may have deviated from a balanced state, making it an area traders watch for signs of price rebalancing. Recognising and understanding these gaps can provide insights into where the price might gravitate in the future, helping traders assess key zones of interest for analysis.
Understanding Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs)
An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), or Inversion Fair Value Gap, is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept that builds on the idea of an FVG. While an FVG represents a price imbalance caused by strong directional movement, an IFVG emerges when an existing FVG is invalidated. This invalidation shifts the role of the gap, turning a bearish FVG into a bullish IFVG, or vice versa.
Here’s how it works: a bearish FVG, for instance, forms when selling pressure dominates, leaving a gap that might act as resistance. However, if the market breaks through this gap—either with a wick or a candle close—it signals that the sellers in that zone have been overwhelmed. The bearish FVG is now invalidated and becomes a bullish IFVG, marking a potential area of support instead. The same applies in reverse for bullish FVGs becoming bearish IFVGs.
Traders use inverted Fair Value Gaps to identify zones where market sentiment has shifted significantly. For example, when the price revisits a bullish IFVG, it may serve as a zone of interest for traders analysing potential buying opportunities. However, if the price moves past the bottom of the IFVG zone, it’s no longer valid and is typically disregarded.
What makes these reverse FVGs particularly useful is their ability to highlight moments of structural change in the market. They can act as indicators of strength, revealing areas where price has transitioned from weakness to strength (or vice versa). By integrating IFVG analysis into their broader trading framework, traders can gain deeper insights into the evolving dynamics of supply and demand.
Want to test your IFVG identification skills? Get started on FXOpen and TradingView.
How Traders Use IFVGs in Trading
By integrating IFVGs into their strategy, traders can refine their decision-making process and uncover potential setups aligned with their broader market outlook. Here’s how IFVGs are commonly used:
Identifying Key Zones of Interest
Traders begin by spotting FVGs on price charts—areas where rapid movements create imbalances. An inversion FVG forms when such a gap is invalidated; for instance, a bearish FVG becomes bullish if the price breaks above it. These zones are then marked as potential areas of interest, indicating where the market may experience significant activity.
Contextualising Market Sentiment
The formation of an IFVG signals a shift in market sentiment. When a bearish FVG is invalidated and turns into a bullish IFVG, it suggests that selling pressure has diminished and buying interest is gaining momentum. Traders interpret this as a potential reversal point, providing context for the current market dynamics.
Analysing Price Reactions
Once an IFVG is identified, traders monitor how the price interacts with this zone. If the price revisits a bullish IFVG and shows signs of support—such as slowing down its decline or forming bullish candlestick patterns—it may indicate a strengthening upward movement. Conversely, if the price breaches the IFVG without hesitation, the anticipated reversal might not materialise.
How Can You Trade IFVGs?
IFVGs provide traders with a structured way to identify and analyse price levels where sentiment has shifted. The process typically looks like this:
1. Establishing Market Bias
Traders typically start by analysing the broader market direction. This often involves looking at higher timeframes, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to identify trends or reversals. Tools like Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Changes of Character (CHoCH) within the ICT framework help clarify whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish.
Indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, can also provide additional context for confirming directional bias. A strong bias ensures the trader is aligning setups with the dominant market flow.
2. Identifying and Using IFVGs
Once a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated—indicating a significant shift in sentiment—it transforms into an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Traders mark the IFVG zone as a key area of interest. If it aligns with their broader market bias, this zone can serve as a potential entry point. For instance, in a bearish bias, traders may focus on bearish IFVGs that act as potential resistance zones.
3. Placing Orders and Risk Management
Traders often set a limit order at the IFVG boundary, anticipating a retracement and for the area to hold. A stop loss is typically placed just beyond the IFVG or a nearby swing high/low to manage risk. For exits, targets might include a predefined risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3, or a significant technical level like an order block or support/resistance area. This approach ensures trades remain structured and grounded in analysis.
Advantages and Disadvantages of IFVGs
IFVGs offer traders a unique lens through which to analyse price movements, but like any tool, they come with both strengths and limitations. Understanding these can help traders incorporate IFVGs into their strategies.
Advantages
- Highlight market sentiment shifts: IFVGs pinpoint areas where sentiment has reversed, helping traders identify key turning points.
- Refined entry zones: They provide precise areas for potential analysis, reducing guesswork and offering clear levels to watch.
- Flexibility across markets: IFVGs can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, or indices, making them versatile.
- Complementary to other tools: They pair well with other ICT tools like BOS, CHoCH, and order blocks for enhanced analysis.
Disadvantages
- Subject to interpretation: Identifying and confirming IFVGs can vary between traders, leading to inconsistencies.
- Limited standalone reliability: IFVGs need to be used alongside broader market analysis; relying solely on them increases risk.
- Higher timeframe dependence: Their effectiveness can diminish on lower timeframes, where noise often obscures true sentiment shifts.
- Potential for invalidation: While IFVGs signal potential opportunities, they aren’t guarantees; price can break through, rendering them ineffective.
The Bottom Line
Inverse Fair Value Gaps provide traders with a structured approach to identifying market shifts and analysing key price levels. By integrating IFVGs into a broader strategy, traders can uncover valuable insights and potentially refine their decision-making. Ready to apply IFVG trading in real markets? Open an FXOpen account today and explore potential trading opportunities across more than 700 markets, alongside four advanced trading platforms and competitive conditions.
FAQ
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG)?
The IFVG meaning refers to a formation that occurs when a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated. For example, a bearish FVG becomes bullish after the price breaks above it, creating a potential support zone. Similarly, a bullish FVG can transform into a bearish IFVG if the price breaks below it, creating a potential resistance zone. IFVGs highlight shifts in market sentiment, providing traders with areas of interest for analysing possible reversals or continuation zones.
What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and an Inverse Fair Value Gap?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is an imbalance caused by aggressive buying or selling, creating a price gap that may act as support or resistance. An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when the original FVG is invalidated—indicating a shift in sentiment—and its role flips. For instance, a bearish FVG invalidated by a price breakout becomes a bullish IFVG.
What Is the Difference Between BPR and Inverse FVG?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) represents the overlap of two opposing Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), creating a sensitive zone for potential price reactions. In contrast, an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a concept based on a single FVG that has been invalidated, flipping its role. While both are useful, BPR reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers, whereas IFVG highlights sentiment reversal.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD - Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly bid today, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, fueling safe-haven demand. The metal has surged from 3098 to 3114, with upside momentum suggesting further gains towards key resistance zones.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
✅ Trend Bias: Bullish 📊
✅ Key Levels:
Support: 3098 | 3085
Resistance: 3135 | 3142
✅ Indicators:
EMA: Price holding above the short-term moving averages 🔄
RSI: Bullish above 60, signaling strong momentum ⚡
ATR: Increased volatility, favoring breakout potential 📉
Market Structure: Higher highs & higher lows confirm bullish trend 📈
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔹 Entry: Buy on dips above 3114 or breakout above 3120 🚀
🔹 Targets: 3135 → 3142 → 3150 🎯
🔹 Risk Management: Stop-loss below 3098 to protect downside exposure ⛔
Gold remains in a bullish phase, and a break above 3120 could ignite further upside momentum! Stay updated & trade wisely! 🔥🚀
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 1, 2025 GBPUSDOn Monday, the GBP/USD pair was traversing the charts in familiar territory, passing a familiar accumulation zone as investors awaited the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. The Trump administration intends to enact a broad catalog of tariffs against virtually all US trading partners starting April 2.
Specific details of the Trump administration's tariff plans this week remain vague and elusive, but the main tariff threats remain “retaliatory” tariffs on all countries that have their own tariffs on imports of U.S. goods, regardless of the economic context. Retaliatory tariffs on Canada and the European Union are also expected, as well as additional flat tariffs on copper and automobiles.
The UK economic data release schedule remains loose this week, however, fresh US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) employment data is due out later this week. The release of NFP could be an important factor for the markets as the US economy transitions into a post-tariff economic environment, and the March labor data will serve as an “indicator” of the impact of the Trump team's tariff plans.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29250, SL 1.30000, TP 1.28650
Behind the Curtain: Macro Indicators That Move the Yen1. Introduction
Japanese Yen Futures (6J), traded on the CME, offer traders a window into one of the world’s most strategically important currencies. The yen is not just Japan’s currency—it’s also a barometer for global risk appetite, a funding vehicle for the carry trade, and a defensive asset when markets turn volatile.
But what truly moves Yen Futures?
While many traders fixate on central bank statements and geopolitical news, machine learning tells us that economic indicators quietly—but consistently—steer price action. In this article, we apply a Random Forest Regressor to reveal the top macroeconomic indicators driving 6J Futures across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, helping traders of all styles align their strategies with the deeper economic current.
2. Understanding Yen Futures Contracts
Whether you’re trading institutional size or operating with a retail account, CME Group offers flexible exposure to the Japanese yen through two contracts:
o Standard Japanese Yen Futures (6J):
Contract Size: ¥12,500,000
Tick Size: 0.0000005 = $6.25 per tick
Use Case: Institutional hedging, macro speculation, rate differential trading
o Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY):
Contract Size: ¥1,250,000
Tick Size: 0.000001 = $1.25 per tick
Use Case: Retail-sized access, position scaling, strategy testing
o Margin Requirements:
6J: Approx. $3,300 per contract
MJY: Approx. $330 per contract
Both products offer deep liquidity and near 24-hour access. Traders use them to express views on interest rate divergence, U.S.-Japan trade dynamics, and global macro shifts—all while adjusting risk through contract size.
3. Daily Timeframe: Top Macro Catalysts
Short-term movements in Yen Futures are heavily influenced by U.S. economic data and its impact on yield spreads and capital flow. Machine learning analysis ranks the following three as the most influential for daily returns:
10-Year Treasury Yield: The most sensitive indicator for the yen. Rising U.S. yields widen the U.S.-Japan rate gap, strengthening the dollar and weakening the yen. Drops in yields could create sharp yen rallies.
U.S. Trade Balance: A narrowing trade deficit can support the USD via improved capital flow outlook, pressuring the yen. A wider deficit may signal weakening demand for USD, providing potential support for yen futures.
Durable Goods Orders: A proxy for economic confidence and future investment. Strong orders suggest economic resilience, which tends to benefit the dollar. Weak numbers may point to a slowdown, prompting defensive yen buying.
4. Weekly Timeframe: Intermediate-Term Indicators
Swing traders and macro tacticians often ride trends formed by mid-cycle economic shifts. On a weekly basis, these indicators matter most:
Fed Funds Rate: As the foundation of U.S. interest rates, this policy tool steers the entire FX complex. Hawkish surprises can pressure yen futures; dovish turns could strengthen the yen as yield differentials narrow.
10-Year Treasury Yield (again): While impactful daily, the weekly trend gives traders a clearer view of long-term investor positioning and bond market sentiment. Sustained moves signal deeper macro shifts.
ISM Manufacturing Employment: This labor-market-linked metric reflects production demand. A drop often precedes softening economic growth, which may boost the yen as traders reduce exposure to riskier assets.
5. Monthly Timeframe: Structural Macro Forces
For position traders and macro investors, longer-term flows into the Japanese yen are shaped by broader inflationary trends, liquidity shifts, and housing demand. Machine learning surfaced the following as top monthly influences on Yen Futures:
PPI: Processed Foods and Feeds: A unique upstream inflation gauge. Rising producer prices—especially in essentials like food—can increase expectations for tightening, influencing global yield differentials. For the yen, which thrives when inflation is low, surging PPI may drive USD demand and weaken the yen.
M2 Money Supply: Reflects monetary liquidity. A sharp increase in M2 may spark inflation fears, sending interest rates—and the dollar—higher, pressuring the yen. Conversely, slower M2 growth can support the yen as global liquidity tightens.
Housing Starts: Serves as a growth thermometer. Robust housing data suggests strong domestic demand in the U.S., favoring the dollar over the yen. Weakness in this sector may support yen strength as traders rotate defensively.
6. Trade Style Alignment with Macro Data
Each indicator resonates differently depending on the trading style and timeframe:
Day Traders: React to real-time changes in 10-Year Yields, Durable Goods Orders, and Trade Balance. These traders seek to capitalize on intraday volatility around economic releases that impact yield spreads and risk appetite.
Swing Traders: Position around Fed Funds Rate changes, weekly shifts in Treasury yields, or deteriorating labor signals such as ISM Employment. Weekly data can establish trends that last multiple sessions, making it ideal for this style.
Position Traders: Monitor PPI, M2, and Housing Starts for broader macro shifts. These traders align their exposure with long-term shifts in capital flow and inflation expectations, often holding positions for weeks or more.
Whatever the style, syncing your trading plan with the data release calendar and macro backdrop can improve timing and conviction.
7. Risk Management
The Japanese yen is a globally respected safe-haven currency, and its volatility often spikes during geopolitical stress or liquidity events. Risk must be managed proactively, especially in leveraged futures products.
8. Conclusion
Japanese Yen Futures are a favorite among global macro traders because they reflect interest rate divergence, risk sentiment, and global liquidity flows. While headlines grab attention, data tells the real story.
Stay tuned for the next installment of the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we continue uncovering what really moves the futures markets.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Cracks Appearing in J&J's Armor?Johnson & Johnson, a long-established leader in the global healthcare sector, confronts substantial challenges that raise significant questions about its future trajectory and stock valuation. Foremost among these is the persistent and massive litigation surrounding its talc-based baby powder. With tens of thousands of lawsuits alleging links to cancer, the company's strategy to manage this liability via bankruptcy has been repeatedly struck down by courts, most recently rejecting a $10 billion settlement proposal. This forces J&J to potentially face over 60,000 individual claims in court, introducing immense financial uncertainty and the prospect of staggering legal costs and damages.
Compounding these concerns is mounting scrutiny over the company's historical and recent marketing practices. A federal judge recently imposed a $1.64 billion penalty against J&J's pharmaceutical arm for misleading marketing of HIV medications, citing a "deliberate and calculated scheme." This follows earlier multi-million dollar settlements related to alleged improper financial inducements paid to surgeons for orthopaedic implants by its DePuy subsidiary, and tax disputes in India over questionable "professional sponsorship" expenses tied to similar activities. These incidents depict recurring legal and ethical entanglements with significant financial penalties and reputational harm.
Taken together, the unresolved talc litigation, substantial financial penalties from marketing violations, and persistent questions regarding ethical conduct create considerable headwinds for Johnson & Johnson. The cumulative impact of ongoing legal battles, potential future liabilities, and damage to its corporate image threatens to drain resources, divert management focus from core operations, and erode investor confidence. These converging factors present tangible risks that could exert significant downward pressure on the company's stock price moving forward.
RBA Holds Their Cash Rate, May Cut Neither Confirmed Nor DeniedThe RBA held their cash rate at 4.1%, and keep a May cut up in the air without any appetite to commit to one. I highlight my observations on the RBA's statement, before updating my analysis for AUD/USD, AUD/CAD and GBP/AUD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/USD Technical & Fundamental AnalysisThis chart presents a long (buy) trade setup on GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) 30-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis
1. Entry & Stop Loss (SL) 🛑
Entry Zone: 1.29050 - 1.29100 (Purple Support Area)
Stop Loss: Below 1.28850 (Red Box)
2. Target Zones 🎯
Target 1: 1.29300 – Minor resistance, suitable for first take-profit (TP1).
Target 2: 1.29500 – Stronger resistance level.
Target 3: 1.29700 – Major resistance area, final take-profit (TP3).
3. Market Structure & Price Action 📈
The price reacted to the entry zone, a support level.
A retest of previous demand zones before potential bullish continuation.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Favorable, as upside potential is greater than downside risk.
Bullish Confirmation: If price holds above the 1.29050 zone, an upward move is likely.
Recent Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD
1. UK Economic Data 🇬🇧
UK GDP Growth: Slower growth than expected, but still in positive territory.
Bank of England (BoE) Policy: No immediate rate cuts, keeping GBP stable.
UK Inflation: Still above target, supporting a stronger GBP.
2. US Economic Data 🇺🇸
Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy:
Mixed signals from the Fed—some officials hint at rate cuts later this year.
If the Fed pauses or cuts rates, GBP/USD could rise.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data:
Expected to show job market resilience. A strong NFP could push USD higher, pressuring GBP/USD.
US GDP Data:
Slower-than-expected growth could weaken USD, helping GBP.
3. Market Sentiment 🌍
Risk-On vs. Risk-Off:
If investors shift to risk-on sentiment (buying stocks, GBP), GBP/USD could move higher.
If risk-off sentiment dominates (buying USD as a safe haven), GBP/USD may struggle.
Conclusion & Trading Plan
✅ Buy near 1.29050 - 1.29100 with SL below 1.28850.
✅ Take Profits: TP1 (1.29300), TP2 (1.29500), TP3 (1.29700).
✅ Monitor: US economic data, Fed rate expectations, and risk sentiment.
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NOTUSDT.P Lower Time Frame "AMD" Analysis
Great opportunity to invest spot at a specified price.
To get confirmation, you need to be patient until the AMD structure is complete on the lower timeframe, first wait for the manipulation and then get confirmation of entry for buy trades, and follow the price during the distribution phase.
Important areas of the lower & higher time frame are identified and labled.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD Analysis ))
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point are indicated on the chart along with their amount.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 300% & 1000% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.
(( This is a lower time frame AMD structure inside another higher time frame AMD structure. ))
Please Check NOTUSDT Higher Time Frame "AMD" Analysis from this link :
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NOTUSDT Higher Time Frame "AMD" Analysis
Great opportunity to invest spot at a specified price.
Important areas of the higher time frame are identified and labled.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD Analysis ))
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
The entry point, take profit point are indicated on the chart along with their amount.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 300% & 1000% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump.
Be successful and profitable.