Fundamental Analysis
XCN Near Term Target 0.0173 COINBASE:XCNUSD After a couple of exciting days for Onyx Coin, we have seen mostly sideways consolidation as the market normalizes prices and new investor capital flows in.
XCN needs to break through the resistance of the previous high around 0.01595, to reach a target of 0.0173 which would signal return to a growth focused trend. Until then, likely more sideways consolidation, but watch out for sudden moves as interest continues to grow.
GBP Weakness vs. JPY Strength: A Clear Sell Opportunity for GBP/GBP Analysis: Bearish Sentiment
Recent data for the British Pound (GBP) highlights economic struggles that paint a bearish outlook:
S&P Global Services PMI Flash (24 Jan '25)
Forecast: 50.9
Previous: 51.1
A decline in the forecast reflects slowing growth in the services sector. If the actual reading falls below 50, it would signal contraction and further weaken the GBP.
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (24 Jan '25)
Forecast: 47
Previous: 47
A flat forecast at 47 indicates continued contraction in manufacturing. Any negative surprises here could increase selling pressure on the GBP.
GfK Consumer Confidence (23 Jan '25)
Forecast: -18
Previous: -17
Declining consumer confidence suggests weaker spending and economic growth. A lower-than-expected actual reading would likely hurt GBP sentiment further.
Unemployment Rate (21 Jan '25)
Actual: 4.4%
Forecast: 4.3%
Previous: 4.3%
A rising unemployment rate indicates a weakening labor market, a clear bearish signal for the GBP.
JPY Analysis: Bullish Sentiment
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to show strength, driven by key economic improvements:
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec 19, 2024)
Actual: 2.9%
Previous: 2.3%
Higher inflation raises expectations for tighter monetary policy, which is bullish for the JPY.
BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Dec 18, 2024)
Actual: 0.25%
Forecast: 0.25%
Previous: 0.25%
Although unchanged, the BoJ may need to respond to rising inflation in the future, which would support the JPY.
Balance of Trade (Dec 17, 2024)
Actual: -117.6 billion
Forecast: -688.9 billion
Previous: -461.2 billion
A massive improvement in the trade balance strengthens the JPY, reflecting robust export activity.
GBP vs. JPY: Head-to-Head
GBP Outlook: Bearish across multiple indicators, with weakness in services, manufacturing, consumer confidence, and the labor market.
JPY Outlook: Bullish due to rising inflation, trade balance improvement, and the potential for future monetary tightening.
Conclusion: A Clear Sell Probability for GBP/JPY
The data strongly favors the Japanese Yen over the British Pound. With GBP weakening and JPY strengthening, the probability of a continued downtrend in GBP/JPY is high
Rating: Sell GBP/JPY
GBP Sentiment: ★☆☆☆☆ (Weak)
JPY Sentiment: ★★★★☆ (Strong)
Overall Recommendation: ★★★★☆ (Sell GBP/JPY)
This setup presents a compelling opportunity for sellers, as the divergence between the two currencies grows clearer. Stay updated and trade with caution! 📉
Unleashing the Bull: Why AXP is Poised for a Breakout!Current Price: $324
Stop Loss: $310 (below key support). ( very tight SL )
TP1: $340 (short-term breakout target).
TP2: $360 (channel resistance).
TP3: $370 (analyst high target).
1️⃣ Strong Earnings Potential (Jan 24, 2025)
Analysts expect EPS of $3.03 (+15.7% YoY) and revenue of $17.18 billion (+8.8% YoY).
Solid growth driven by resilient consumer spending and premium travel recovery.
2️⃣ Premium Client Spending
AXP focuses on affluent clients, benefiting from higher spending levels and limited credit risk.
Strong performance in the travel and entertainment segments aligns with rising global travel demand.
3️⃣ Bullish Technicals
Channel Breakout: AXP has broken out above the ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum.
Indicators:
RSI above 70 indicates strong momentum.
MACD confirms bullish crossover.
Increased volume supports the breakout.
4️⃣ Interest Rate Tailwinds
Elevated interest rates enhance AXP’s interest income, bolstering profitability in its lending business.
5️⃣ Analyst Sentiment
Consensus Price Target: Analysts' median target of $360 , with high-end forecasts at $370 , offers an upside potential of 11% to 14% from the current price.
Key Levels to Watch: Pullback or Breakthrough?In analyzing the chart, we see a critical setup forming. If the price breaks below Support (2), there’s a strong probability that it may perform a pullback before continuing to drop, potentially retesting the area around Support (1).
This pullback behavior is often observed as the market seeks to confirm previous levels before resuming its move.
However, if the price fails to hold below Support (2), we could witness bullish momentum taking over, driving the price upward toward the supply zone above. This movement could signal a shift in sentiment as buyers step in to capitalize on the opportunity.
Keep a close eye on these levels and watch for confirmation before entering the trade. Always manage your risk and trade what you see, not what you feel! Let the market guide you. 🚀📈
HELLO TRADERS BTCUSD ANALYSIS KINDLY SHARE YOUR FEEDBACK According My Personal Analysis Btcusd Move Around These Areas Chart Price Currect $1051OO I Can Expert If Price Break Its Resistance $108500 It Can Further Fly To $110500 And In Short If Break The Support Zone $102700 It Can Further Falls To $100700 key areas
Possible Buy $110500
Possible Sell $100700
Support Zone $102700
Resistance Zone $108500
DogecoinDoge usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio >2
Dogecoin always has a good volume in the market
Investors know that Musk is interested in Dogecoin, and this is a positive point for this currency. The currency was created as a joke but found its place and now Doge has drawn a clear path for itself and for enthusiasts.
The price is now fluctuating in an ascending triangle. It's very dangerous if market crashed down but I think sentiment of market is positive after Trump.
Of course we must be careful
So my target is not dreamy
I am watching the market and waiting for suitable time to enter again for higher target on 0.73 $
BITCOIN long ideaBitcoin holding still very strong in upper side , crossing above 110000 levels , expect meaningful upside. 127000, 138000, till 168000 levels.
entry close above 110000 ,
this is typical accumulation pattern in upside momentum , chances of double top is little low
due to strong sentiments from trump and love towards crypto.
breakdown below 89000 triggers sell side , neeed to do then only .
Nifty sentimental bounce Nifty major benchmark may bounce from current levels , due expiry short covering and positive divergence , generally market takes cues from us or international markets. seeing a bounce in international markets, and lots of shorts in system and expiry approaching last week should see some of upside move before it fades.
Hims & Hers - Cheap Health saftyNYSE:HIMS is a platform in the US that takes care of peoples health. They help with everything from skincare to mental or physical treatment. The app provides free licensed providers consultations. Which i think is a gamer breaker in the US, since the cost from going to the doctors is so high, after what i have heard.
The price has broken through two old tops, one in 2021 and one in 2024, and now those tops are used as a bottom. Plus the RSI is turning just a little lower then the SMA. This indicates a bull run.
The Q3 earnings was doubled the expected, and since the price can go a lot over the indicators as seen in 2021 it could go on the rocket ship again
UJ sell ideaAhead of Friday's expected BOJ rate hike (0.25% to 0.50%), USDJPY is at a critical juncture.
Technical Insights:
1. Price found support on the 50-day moving average.
2. Lower time frames indicate a bearish bias, following the break of the ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart.
Trade Plan:
1. Waiting for price reaction between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels.
2. Aiming to sell on a confirmed bearish setup within this zone.
3. Alternative sell opportunity: Daily supply zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels
- Daily supply zone
PS: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice so remember to always practice good risk management.
DOT/USDT 4H Interval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is bouncing off the local downtrend line, only when it breaks out of it upwards will it be able to move towards the next two trend lines.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 6.67 USD
T2 = 7.05 USD
Т3 = 7.32 USD
Т4 = 7.65 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 6.22 USD
SL2 = 5.99 USD
SL3 = 5.56 USD
Considering the STOCH indicator we can see how we are again going below the lower boundary, which could potentially indicate an upcoming attempt to change the price direction.
PepsiCo (PEP) Analysis
The price is approaching a strong support zone at $145–$150, which has acted as a key resistance in 2020 and a reliable support level during 2022–2023. This zone could trigger a bounce, but much will depend on the upcoming earnings report on February 4th. A positive report might drive a rebound toward $160 or higher, while disappointing results could lead to a breakdown toward $130. Monitor price action closely near the support zone and wait for bullish confirmation before making any moves!
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The AUD/USD pair is looking interesting right now, with some mixed signals from the latest analysis. On one hand, the pair has stabilized at its horizontal support area, which could lead to a bullish continuation, with the price potentially breaking above the range's resistance. On the other hand, some experts are warning of a potential reversal, with the pair showing signs of exhaustion and a possible shift in momentum.
In terms of fundamentals, the Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations for July increased 6.3% annualized, while the Australian Employment Change for June came in at 88.4K and the Unemployment Rate at 3.5% . The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week of July 9th are predicted at 235K, and US Continuing Claims for the week of July 2nd are predicted at 1,383K. The US PPI for June is predicted to increase 0.8% monthly and 10.7% annualized.
The forecast for the AUD/USD turned bullish after the pair stabilized at its horizontal support area, with short-term volatility likely to rise as bulls and bears fight for control. However, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud continues to apply downside pressure, suggesting a rocky path higher. Traders should monitor the CCI after it has formed a positive divergence in extreme oversold territory followed by a breakout above -100.
Overall, it's a bit of a mixed bag, but the bullish scenario is gaining traction. The AUD/USD pair could move in a bullish direction.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Strong US Economy: A strong US economy could lead to an increase in demand for the US dollar, which could put upward pressure on the AUD/USD pair.
Interest Rate Differentials: The interest rate differential between the US and Australia is expected to remain positive, which could support the US dollar and put upward pressure on the AUD/USD pair.
Commodity Prices: A rise in commodity prices, particularly iron ore, could put upward pressure on the Australian dollar and support the AUD/USD pair.
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Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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TripAdvisor | TRIP | Long at $14.83Travel Boom: Commence. TripAdvisor, Viator, and TheFork NASDAQ:TRIP
Pros:
Profitable company
Earnings are forecast to grow by an average of 30.9% per year for the next 3 years
Debt to equity is 0.94x (low)
My historical simply moving average is approaching the price (which may lead to price spike)
Cons:
P/E is 68.37x
No dividend
A lot of industry competition
Insiders recently exercising options
I anticipate a global travel boom, particularly in the US, as a wealth transfer occurs and baby boomers spend their money. Thus, at $14.83, NASDAQ:TRIP is in a personal buy zone.
Target:
$17.00
$19.00
$25.00
$34.00 (very long-term outlook)
SHORT GOLDUncertainty about the arrival of Trump with all the current geopolitical situation raised the price of gold in spite of usd strength. Price is currently in the strong resistance zone, also here is supply zone 2730-2750 created when Trump was elected president. I expect liquidity grab above the last top , reaction and confirmation on the smaller charts (h4/h1) for entering a sell position.
If the price breaks and closes above 2750, the zone become strong support and from there i expect further growth in future to a new ATH
XAUUSD 4H (anticipating) Breakout Trade: Buy‐Stop Why This Zone?
If gold breaks and closes above ~2,770–2,775, it suggests bullish continuation toward 2,780–2,800 or more.
Possible Setup
Type: Buy Stop at ~2,775 (anticipating a breakout)
Stop‐Loss: ~2,750–2,760
The idea is to keep stops relatively tight if the breakout fails.
Take‐Profit Targets:
~2,790–2,800 (a 15–25 point run above your entry).
If momentum is strong, a secondary target near 2,830 (the 2.618 Fib extension) is possible.
Summary “Big Picture” Outlook
Daily Trend: Bullish, with price above the 50 and 200 EMAs. MACD is still positive.
Key Near‐Term Resistance: 2,763–2,770; a breakout could extend toward 2,800 and potentially 2,830.
Key Pullback Supports:
2,730–2,740 (4H FVG & VAH)
2,710 (PoC)
2,680–2,690 (4H 200 EMA / deeper volume node).
Volume Profile: Confirms strong participation around 2,700–2,730, suggesting a robust support band in that area.
Momentum Indicators: Short‐term MACD (1H, 4H) is cooling but not definitively bearish. The daily timeframe remains positive, so short‐term dips may be bought until proven otherwise.
Important: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play.
Final Note & Disclaimer
All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
GOLD → The bulls are fighting for 2750. ATH is close!FX:XAUUSD is in a bull run phase due to rising risks. The price is testing new highs and trying to consolidate above key resistance. Trump's speech is ahead and high volatility should be expected.
Gold price is consolidating in the bullish zone after breaking through the three-top resistance. Traders are analyzing the impact of President Trump's tariff policies, which have caused uncertainty in the markets and weakened demand for the dollar and bonds. Meanwhile, support for gold prices is provided by optimism from China's measures to stimulate stock markets.
Investors' attention is focused on US economic data, including weekly jobless claims and Friday's PMI from S&P Global, which could affect expectations for a Fed rate cut. Weak statistics will reinforce forecasts of two rate cuts this year, which supports interest in gold.
Technically, the focus is on 2750. If bulls hold their defenses above this zone, gold could head towards ATH.
Resistance levels: 2750, 2762
Support levels: 0.5 fibo, 2732
Bullish trend, high risks, politics. Lots of reasons that support the metal. But, today is Trump's speech, and this man knows how to make noise in the market. High volatility is possible. But, in general, gold looks as if it is ready to go up, perhaps it can even renew ATH
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Japan's central bank is about to raise ratesFX:USDJPY cannot continue its uptrend yet. Rumors about possible actions from the central bank of Japan will appear. The dollar in the meantime continues to rise....
158.46 is a rather strong resistance formed by the bears, who continue to put pressure on the market. This week, we expect active actions from the Central Bank of Japan, namely - raising interest rates. In general, this phenomenon is quite rare, but it can support the currency pair very well. If the Japanese decide to take such actions, the currency pair may continue the correction from 0.5 - 0.7 fibo. Priority targets in this case may be the zones of interest at 153.24, 151.94.
Resistance levels: 156.56, 157.22
Support levels: 155.1
Price fixing below 0.5 Fibo or below 155.95 may provoke aggressive selling. The decision on rates in Japan will take place on Friday, until then the price may be in consolidation....
Regards R. Linda!