TCS Analysis - Multi-Year Deal with Air France-KLMTrend: TCS is in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel since 2021, signaling steady growth potential.
Technical Signals:
EMA Support : Price bounced above key EMAs (20/50/100/200), showing strong support.
Volume Surge : High buying volume after the Air France-KLM deal indicates increased investor confidence.
RSI : Above 50, supporting bullish momentum.
Levels to Watch:
Support : ₹3,995.45 – Reliable base.
Immediate Resistance : ₹4,411.25
Final Target : ₹4,587.95 – Top of the channel.
Trade Setup:
Entry: On pullbacks or above ₹4,217.30.
Stop Loss : Below ₹3,995.45.
Target : ₹4,411.25 - ₹4,587.95.
Fundamental Analysis
#FLUX (SPOT) entry range( 0.55 - 0.59) T. (0.9099) SL (0.5409)entry range( 0.55 - 0.59)
Target (0.9099)
SL .4H close below (0.5409)
note ....
(This trade may give you 100% profit but we are taking 54% from the highest entry point so you can keep a little for incremental revenue with very tight stoploss )
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BINANCE:FLUXUSDT
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**** #Manta ,#OMNI, #DYM, #AI, #IO, #XAI , #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #Voxel #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX ****
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BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
Bitcoin Rips to $76,000 on Trump Pump. Can It Hit $100,000 Next?Bitcoin BTC/USD was fully onboard with Donald Trump’s race to the White House. With much fanfare and celebration, the orange coin crossed $76,000 to hit a new record as the former President clinched the top spot in American politics in a stunning comeback, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris.
So, what’s with that big surge and what can you expect ahead for the crypto industry under a Trump presidency? Let’s find out.
Bitcoin BTC/USD , the original cryptocurrency, is in full beast mode now that former President Donald Trump has defeated Vice President Kamala Harris to win the White House. The price of Bitcoin rocketed to the rarefied air of $76,000 on Wednesday, gaining more than 9% on the day and catapulting its valuation to a record $1.5 trillion.
Bitcoin has been a centerpiece in Donald Trump’s campaigning efforts. It’s part technology, part investment — two things Trump loves and embraces. In fact, he seems enamored with the coin and went the extra mile for it. Not only has he reiterated his support for the crypto industry, but has vowed to make the US “the Bitcoin superpower of the world” and the “crypto capital of the world.”
Big-shot crypto players, such as Andreessen Horowitz and Gemini founders the Winklevoss twins are cheering Trump’s victory after they had endorsed him and spent lavishly on his campaign and on promoting pro-crypto candidates for Congress.
“We are on the brink of a new American Renaissance,” said Tyler Winklevoss in a post on X . “The crypto army is striking!”
Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase COIN , also praised Trump’s election win. “Welcome to the new members of America's most pro-crypto Congress ever…” the crypto exchange boss said on X . “219+ pro-crypto candidates and counting have now been elected to the House & Senate.” “Tonight the crypto voter has spoken decisively.”
Hopes are high now and the agenda is already looking busy. Overjoyed crypto circles expect three main things from Trump:
1) To pass crypto-friendly laws and regulations that will help propel the industry ahead of its foreign competitors (China and Russia, mostly) in terms of business, mining and trading.
2) To fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler “on day one.” Gensler is seen as a villain to the broader adoption of crypto both on Wall Street and in general. During Gensler’s tenure, the SEC has chased down crypto exchanges, such as Coinbase, Kraken and Crypto.com with more than 100 lawsuits.
3) To create a Bitcoin strategic reserve — a lofty ambition, which will make sure the US government never sells its Bitcoin (currently the US holds roughly 200,000 BTC). More on this below.
There’s already a bill introduced by Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R–Wyo.) to whip up a reserve with a target of 1 million Bitcoin over five years (200,000 BTC a year).
“For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin,” Trump has said during a campaign speech.
“If I am elected, it will be the policy of my administration, United States of America, to keep 100% of all the Bitcoin the US government currently holds or acquires into the future,” he said. Currently, the government every now and then auctions off its Bitcoin, which has been seized from criminals.
With that in mind, how is Trump and the Republicans broadly going to approach the next four years?
In short:
Pro-business
Pro-growth
Light regulations
Low taxes
Or, as Tesla TSLA CEO and vocal Trump backer Elon Musk expects, "The future is gonna be so 🔥"
Besides Bitcoin, how did the result of Election Day bump up other digital assets and crypto stocks?
Ethereum ETHUSD , the second-largest coin, got a 10% boost to its price, going over $2,800 a piece. Solana SOLUSD , an Ethereum rival, pumped to levels above $190 from under $170. Dogecoin DOGEUSD , the Shiba Inu-themed coin beloved by Musk, surged more than 30% in volatile trading and crossed 21 cents before paring back some of the gains to slide under the 20-cent threshold. In general, it was a good day for cryptocurrency markets .
Crypto stocks reacted with a sharp dash to higher grounds as well. Crypto exchange Coinbase COIN pumped 31% to notch its best day ever . Bitcoin-hoarding software firm MicroStrategy MSTR surged 13%, lifting its year-to-day gains to a whopping 276% increase.
Crypto miners’ stocks also participated in the rally. Riot Platforms RIOT gained 26% on the day, followed by Marathon Digital’s MARA 19% increase. Another Bitcoin miner, Core Scientific CORZ , closed up by 10% on the day.
Over to the exchange-traded fund space. The burgeoning crypto ETF space turned up some impressive figures. The pack of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively pulled in $612 million of net new money on Wednesday. The spot Bitcoin investment vehicles now command $26 billion in assets under management.
Ethereum ETFs, a bundle of 9 , picked up $52 million of daily net inflows, bringing the total amount of investments to $1.35 billion.
With that said, were you brave enough to chip in before the big Election Day? And do you think the door to $100,000 is now wide open? Drop your thoughts below and let’s whip up the discussion!
11/7/24 - $olpx - EPS not great, waiting room mid $1's11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:OLPX
EPS not great, waiting room mid $1's
- whenever the CEO opens up a quarterly report with words like "This year has been dedicated to the transformation"... say no more.
- I think Amanda has a good product (I use it actually!) and is the right person for the task at hand, but this turnaround won't be easy and probably more of a '25 event before we really see it producing fruit
- if we imagine FCF could be probably more like 125 mm (i can't give credit for 150 mm next year) and a 15% discount rate (what i think the market will return! so it should be more, but i'm already erring on more conservative FCF guess), that's simplistically 125/.15 = ~$850. i could get to 1 bn if you want to put some growth in etc, etc, but i have my reasons (if you want me to expound i'll write you a valuation tome in the comments - and making that offer - i will). anyway stock is still 1.3 bn valuation EV (small net debt of ~150 mm).
- the names that have any debt and aren't ripping the ball off the cover aren't doing well as yields spike.
- while NASDAQ:OLPX defn makes $$ (thank goodness), the risk reward for a stock now off it's highs and losing some momentum on this print i think... means lower.
- where do i start fishing? minimally $1.60's, but given we're entering a funky season of the year and i'd like to keep the book in high conviction beat/raise types with good '25 visibility (hello $nxt! hello CRYPTOCAP:BTC hello NYSE:TSM and NASDAQ:META )... it's tough for me to get involved right now.
- lmk if you see it differently.
- i'd like to own it again, but now i need a better reason... mainly lower price.
V
04/11/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $73,633.97
Last weeks low: $67,477.38
Midpoint: $70,555.67
ELECTION WEEK IS HERE! This is the one we've all been waiting for and probably been nervous about. On the 5th November the US election takes place, now we might not know for certain who has won on that day but we should have a good idea barring no funny business. At time of writing, Trump leads the betting market polls 57.7% : 42.3% which is down significantly from last weeks high of 67%. A lot can happen between now and tomorrow but for BTC and crypto in general a Trump win should be favourable to the markets, a Harris win might delay cryptos progress IMO.
If the US election wasn't enough for one week FOMC takes place a couple of days later. With a forecasted cut of 25bps coming taking the interest rate from 5.00% to 4.75%. The last FOMC saw a 50bps cut so the FED is rapidly moving to a more risk on environment which should be pro crypto, however I do think the election result will dwarf this FOMC in importance as the 25bps cut has been known about for awhile and most likely priced in.
Obviously the election is the main focus of this week, a number of projects have token unlocks this week too:
Larger % circ. supply:
NEON,BANANA,ADA,XAI,BGB,AGI
Smaller % Cir. supply:
SOL,WLD,TIA,TAO,AVAX,DOGE,SEI,NEAR,DOT,SUI&FIL
The altcoin market is still at the mercy of BTC and BTC is at the mercy of this election currently so we'll have a better picture of what the future may look like by the end of the week.
WIF COIN LONG OPPORTUNITY - Solana Memecoin WIF is one of the top memecoins on the Solana blockchain. It often shows strong momentum, especially when Solana is moving upwards. Watching WIF can be useful for tracking both Solana’s trend and the memecoin market.
Technical Analysis: The price recently ran the daily swing liquidity and tapped into the weekly demand zone, where it faced strong rejection and began an upward move.
We also saw rejection near the bearish trendline that has influenced the downward trend over the last few weeks.
I’ll be looking for lower time frame confirmations around $2.12, which aligns with the 4-hour demand zone and Fibonacci retracement discount level.
Stop Loss: $1.85
Target 1: Bearish trendline
Target 2: $2.69
Target 3: $2.96
BTC/USDT.P update - Post ElectionThere are two potential scenarios currently. One is that we continue to push into price discovery and the bull run officially starts, or we will have a decent pull back that traps all the easy retail loans at the top before the actual bull starts....
I think both are likely and I'm not here to predict, but I am going to prepare for both situations.
I've marked in yellow circle indicating where the pull back is likely to land if we do see one. If we don't, I am already packed with previous accumulations and I'm happy to ride this bull with some left over sideline capital.
It's never a good idea to spend all your resources at any given time, that is like "show hand", you can play it where you always have left over resource to do something and put yourself in an advantage. It is my opinion of course, but it's been working out great for me so far. Trade safely guys, no matter what, something is about to get down LOL. @Nate Alert
11/7/24 - $bird - More interested $7-8/shr11/7/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: $ IDX:BIRD
More interested $7-8/shr
- mgmt is operating on their own time
- beyond M&A, it's hard to see how stock really moves higher in the 3-6 month timeframe, unless it catches some momentum in this whacky environment where rando-stuff-moon. but i'd not bet my dog's tennis ball on it
- basically mgmt "taking right" actions still e.g. store closing, gearing up for some interesting product launches/ marketing but it sounds like we get to see this all playing out in 2H25. that's an eternity to wait for a result that wasn't really a beat (inside guidance) and where guidance for 4Q/FY was taken lower. ewww, that doesn't work in this environment.
- while balance sheet remains net cash and we can decide how to handle leases (maybe i say it's not $50 but $25 mm of "debt") that still say puts us in a $50 mm net cash position. at the same time we burn 10-15 mm a quarter until someone buys the company or results start to inflect. rough. essentially by 4Q, we'll either be raising with a good story, or stock will have started to work a bit as FCF inflects positive (probably a '26 event at the earliest given my experience operating in reality)
- so what's the brand worth? 1x gross profit? 0.5x gross profit?
- really hard to say. i think you need to assume someone like NYSE:BIRK , NASDAQ:CROX , NYSE:ONON (even NASDAQ:LULU ) could buy these guys and cut a lot of the SG&A out on their bigger platform. this is why i think multiple of gross profit makes the most sense.
- at most i'd say 1x gross profit which if/when you assume buyers would want to see the new lineup in the market (bc the current portfolio is still not growing... so why complicate things for yourself), and take out all the net cash bc we burned it getting there, that's the stock as of y'day call it $10-11/shr or ~90 mm market cap.
- but if we need to wait, what's the right discount rate for something like this 25-30%? private equity style? so you're now at probably $7-8/shr today and it waffles up or down depending on how well these marketing/ launches go next year
TL;DR... the company's best option is to sell today at some modest premium. i think they've made it quite hard to do so in delaying this decision for years. now they need to swim. and the stock is on it's back heading into tax sell off season and where the ticker is too small cap for (real) institutions to get involved and what would an activist really accomplish in a founder-led situation like this on fire? unfortunately i think this thing is going lower and/or i'm uninterested unless we start entering the mid single digits, call it $7-8, minimally.
talk then. stay well.
V
Germany is destined for upside to 20,893 according to thisWe have seen a textbook Falling Wedge form on the Daily with the Dax.
It seems like there has been a consolidation (range bounded) move before the next direction.
So looking at the indicators and sentiment of the markets, in the medium term it looks like DAX is destined for upside.
Along with the main markets like S&P500 and Crypto.
We just need the price to break above 20MA and we could see the next target at 20,893
WHat do you think?
Bitcoin’s Path to New Highs: Strategic Patience We’re witnessing BTC testing significant structural resistance within this upward channel. Historically, such levels, especially in the context of macro-economic uncertainties, have defined pivotal moments in Bitcoin’s price action.
As we approach the $75,000 region, it’s crucial to observe how BTC interacts with this resistance. If a breakout occurs with volume confirmation, it could set the stage for a powerful upward trajectory. However, patience is key. The market often “breathes” before major moves, and any false breakouts here could lead to rapid pullbacks.
This is not merely about trading levels but understanding market psychology. Every price level reflects collective sentiment — a blend of FOMO, skepticism, and seasoned discipline. Remember, profit is not just about “catching tops or bottoms” but executing a strategy that respects both momentum and caution.
Let’s maintain a watchful eye on the next few sessions. A successful close above this level signals strength; a retreat, however, might be an invitation for a reentry at lower support levels around $70,000.
Stay disciplined, respect the levels, and as always, let the chart tell its story.
dyor
Crypto Stonks Are Booming! Top Crypto Stocks to Watch NowFrom Memecoins to Mega Stocks
While crypto traders have been focused on finding the next big memecoins like Doge , crypto-related stocks have also been performing well this year. In today’s analysis, we’ll dive into some crypto related stocks you might want to keep an eye on
1. Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN )
First on our list is Coinbase, the top US crypto exchange with a market cap of $48 billion. Since its IPO in April 2021, Coinbase has gained a reputation as a trusted exchange known for its regulatory compliance.
Besides its exchange services, Coinbase offers a self custody wallet popular among the crypto community, with over 10 million downloads. In February 2023, Coinbase launched its own layer 2 blockchain, Base , which has since recorded over $1 billion in total value locked and averages daily transaction volumes of over $400 million.
Coinbase has also played a part in advancing spot Bitcoin ETF approvals, forming a surveillance-sharing agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange in July 2023. Additionally, Coinbase partnered with **Stripe** in June to boost the global adoption of USDC. This partnership enables crypto payouts and a fiat-to-crypto onramp, making it easier for users to buy crypto with credit cards and Apple Pay through Coinbase Wallet. Coin is up over 350% since our first signal
2. MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR )
Next up is MicroStrategy, with a market cap of $26 billion. Known for its business analytics software, cloud services, and AI-powered analytics, MicroStrategy is more famous for its Bitcoin holdings, driven by the advocacy of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor.
Under Saylor's leadership, MicroStrategy became the first public company to adopt Bitcoin as a strategic investment in August 2020, citing its potential as a store of value. The company accumulated over 121,000 BTC by late 2021 and continued adding to its holdings, despite price volatility and leverage risks. As of 2024, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings have reached 226,500 BTC, and the company’s stock hit new all time highs, demonstrating its strong correlation with Bitcoin's performance. Mstr is 100% up since our first signal
3. Block ( NYSE:SQ )
Formerly known as Square, Block is a fintech company founded by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey, with a market cap of $38 billion. Starting with small-business payment solutions like Square POS, Block launched **Cash App** in 2013 to provide a user-friendly platform for consumers, competing with services like PayPal and Venmo.
Cash App generates revenue through transaction fees, subscription payments, and Bitcoin sales. It even supports the Lightning Network for quick Bitcoin transactions. Beyond payments, Block owns a majority stake in Tidal, a music streaming service, showing its diverse portfolio.
4. Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD )
Lastly, we have Robinhood, with a market cap of over $15 billion. Founded in 2013 by Stanford graduates Vladimir Tenev and Baiju Bhatt, Robinhood became known for its free, user-friendly trading app, which gained significant popularity during the COVID19 pandemic
Robinhood found itself in the spotlight during the 2021 GameStop and WallStreetBets saga, where it faced backlash for restricting trades on memestocks like $GME. This led to a lawsuit and a $70 million penalty from FINRA for misleading customers and service outages. Despite this, Robinhood continues to grow, boasting 23.9 million funded accounts and nearly $130 billion in assets under custody as of May 2024.
Robinhood has made some notable moves recently, including acquiring Pluto Capital, which provides AI-driven investment advice, and securing a deal to acquire crypto exchange Bitstamp.
Wrap up
If you’re wondering about Bitcoin mining stocks, don’t worry we had a separate analysis just for that. Crypto Bull market just started and be ready for more analysis
which stock or crypto coins you are bullish now and why?
BTC new ATH what's next?BTC reaches new ATH, but the level around $76,600 is a key place in the four-year cycles lasting for BTC, because from its low in each cycle, it grows less by 5.3 times than in the previous cycle. However, the situation may change with the introduction of ETFs to the market, which changed price movements. If we manage to break out of the $76,600 level, we can see a move towards $83,800, and then the important level is at $89,000. When the price starts to recover, the first important thing for us is the support zone from $73,700 to $70,000, when this zone is broken, the price can quickly return to the level of $66,000, and then the important support is at the price of $59,300. We have also identified a visible upward trend line on which we can currently base critical points in the event of a correction.
ETH BREAKOUT??Simple chart with key levels shown. After the Trump victory price has broken out from the downtrend of 7 months. So far the breakout has been capped at the major resistance level of $2850. It's a clearly important S/R level with clear TPs on the way back up to local high.
Entry is a tricky one, the macro is clearly bullish with the election news + interest rate cuts happening globally. A safer entry would be a flip of the resistance @ $2850.
A second entry would be the green box and still broken out of the downtrend. That would make the entry closer to being wrong and therefor better R:R but for me less probable as $2850 is still major resistance.
Invalidation is under the green area around $2700 and falling back under the downtrend, approx -6.5% under the possible entry once the S/R is flipped.
Mixed Stocks: Trump, Chinese Stimulus and German CrisisGlobal stock markets presented a volatile day on Thursday, with mixed trends in both Asia and Europe. Several factors have influenced this behavior, from Donald Trump's recent victory in the United States to the possible economic stimulus measures in China and the growing political instability in Germany.
Asian Markets: Caution After Trump Euphoria
In Asia today, Thursday, the initial momentum from Trump's victory, which had driven Wall Street indexes to record highs, began to lose steam. While Japanese stocks managed to rise slightly, benefiting from the depreciation of the yen that boosted exporters such as Toyota, Chinese stock markets showed less dynamism. The FTSE A50 index (Ticker AT:CHINAA50) closed up +3.69% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng (Ticker AT: HKIND) managed a 3.58% rally. However, fears of harsher U.S. tariffs towards China, promised by Trump, are keeping a cautious mood in the region.
Attention is now on China's National People's Congress, where stimulus measures to sustain the economy are expected to be announced. Beijing has already congratulated Trump on his victory and maintains an open dialogue with the US, although concerns about bilateral trade persist.
Europe: Political Uncertainty in Germany and a Drop in Air France-KLM
In Europe, indices started the session with mixed results amid growing political instability in Germany and mixed quarterly reports in the corporate sector. Germany's DAX advanced 0.7%, while the UK's FTSE 100 (Ticker AT: UK100)rose 0.2%, and France's CAC 40 (Ticker AT:FRA40) fell 0.1%.
German politics have been a focus of concern after Chancellor Olaf Scholz fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner, leading to the collapse of the coalition government and the calling of a confidence motion in January. This situation has raised expectations of early elections and could affect economic stability in Europe's largest economy.
On the other hand, Air France-KLM (Ticker AT: AF.FR) shares suffered a 10% drop after presenting a lower than expected operating performance, affected by the costs derived from the upcoming Olympic Games in Paris and higher unit costs. The situation has added pressure to the markets, while other sectors, such as home delivery with Delivery Hero (DHER.GE), showed solid revenue results, slightly boosting its shares.
Oil and Dollar on Investors' Radar
Oil prices stabilized following the recent rise in the dollar and the unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories. As investors consider the potential impact of a Trump administration on crude supplies from Iran and Venezuela, Hurricane Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico is also disrupting oil production in the region, adding volatility to the commodity market.
On the technical side, Brent crude oil (Ticker AT: BRENT) started the European session continuing the downward pressure of the Asian session. It is currently trading at $75.56 a barrel. The value of the checkpoint is currently in the $75 zone, so the RSI confirms with 44.30% that the price is under some downward pressure. It is very likely that the value of both WTI (Ticker AT: LCRUDE) and Brent will remain in a sideways range and seek to test with its current bullish continuation pattern the $76.06 resistance throughout this and next week, as well as for WTI in the $72.43 zone.
In this context, the Fed's monetary policy and Chinese stimulus will be key to define the direction of global markets in the coming weeks, while European policy remains an element of uncertainty. In a context of limited crude oil production, it is possible that the stock could regain its shine in the direction of $80.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
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Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Fwog | Crypto Meme szn just get started Bitcoin pumped hard, and the meme season is just getting started
Whales have recently started accumulating FWOG, a frog themed meme coin launched four months ago, pushing its price to a new record. Following its listing on SolCex, FWOG became the highest performing meme coin among the top 25 meme coins on Solana, with its market cap almost tripling compared to Ethereum Layer 2's Scroll
The current price of Fwog is $0.47, with a 24hour trading volume of $ 33 million
Fwog has risen by 20% over the past day and a maximum supply of 975,635,328 FWOG coins
In October, FWOG was the second best performing meme coin, gaining over 262%, second only to SPX6900. The notable price surge on Nov. 5 was driven by whale accumulation. These whales purchased over $2.35 million worth of FWOG using a dollar cost averaging strategy, swapping USDC, WIF, POPCAT, and SOL tokens. Whale accumulation of an asset often leads to price increases, drawing in retail traders hoping for short term gains
Fwog Jumps to New Heights: Watch Out, Pepe!
The frog themed meme coins Pepe and Fwog are attracting significant attention as both gain nearly equal interest within the crypto community.Both Pepe and Fwog have shown upward momentum, but Fwog has exhibited stronger growth since its July launch.
While Pepe has declined by 40% since May, Fwog has surged by over 2000 %, even though Pepe's market cap is 19 times that of Fwog.Pepe, as a more established meme coin, bottomed on September 5 and has since followed an upward trendline. Each time it touches this line, the price has moved higher, suggesting that the uptrend could continue through the rest of the year. Investors entering at Pepe’s current resistance level may see gains if the trend persists. With both coins drawing similar recognition, there's rising debate about which will outperform.
The competition between these two coins highlights their potential market impact and innovation, making them strong contenders in the “battle of the frogs”
Fwog, meanwhile, is showing even greater upward momentum, moving away from its support trendline, which suggests it might retrace slightly before continuing to climb. Fwog's MACD shows significant buying pressure, putting it in a stronger position for gains than Pepe.
In contrast, Pepe’s MACD reflects weaker buying strength, with minimal volume bars, despite its upward price trend.While Fwog may seem more promising for short-term gains, Pepe’s established track record and substantial $4 billion market cap could appeal to investors looking for stability.
Open interest and performance comparison
Pepe shows a positive OI weighted funding rate of 0.0105% with its open interest rising to $175 million, indicating more interest from traders due to its established presence.
However, Fwog has a volume2marketcap ratio of 10%, compared to Pepe’s slightly higher ratio of 12%
the only rule you should follow in trading memes is : Dont forget stoploss
AU Index Rallies from Demand Area as Bullish Sentiment GrowsThe AU Index experienced a significant development yesterday as it reached a key demand area, showing a strong rejection today that indicates potential bullish momentum. This demand zone, identified through technical analysis, has historically served as a pivotal point for price action, suggesting an opportunity for a price turnaround. With the opening candle reflecting a robust rejection of lower levels, traders are increasingly optimistic about the possibility of a bullish trend emerging in the coming months.
From a technical standpoint, this demand area presents a solid foundation for potential upward movement. The absence of follow-through selling and the strength of the rejection signal that buyers are stepping in to support the price. When coupled with historical seasonality patterns, which indicate a likelihood of gains during this period, there is a compelling case for a bullish outlook on the AU Index. Historical trends suggest that this time frame has often led to price rallies, providing further confirmation for those considering long positions.
On the fundamental side, the insights from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report paint an interesting picture. While retail traders are predominantly bearish, indicating a cautious sentiment among the broader market participants, the smart money narrative tells a different story. Institutional investors appear to be either bullish or in the early stages of building long positions, which can be a telling signal for future price action. This divergence between retail bearishness and institutional buying often creates an environment ripe for a market reversal, particularly as the smart money tends to lead rather than follow market trends.
Given these dynamics, traders are now on the lookout for a long setup on the AU Index. Emphasizing risk management and entry strategies will be essential in this endeavor. With the price showing resilience at the demand area and fundamental signals suggesting a shift towards bullishness, there is a growing confidence that the AU Index may be poised for a sustained rally.
In conclusion, the confluence of technical indicators, seasonal patterns, and the contrasting sentiments present in the COT report presents an enticing opportunity in the AU Index. As traders position themselves for potential gains, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether this demand area will indeed act as a launchpad for a bullish trend in the months ahead. Investors will be closely monitoring price movements, looking for confirmation to validate their long strategies in what could be an exciting period for this index.
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Silver Faces Heavy Resistance: Time to Consider a Short?The price of Silver recently reached a key weekly demand zone from 2012, a level that has historically been significant in the market. Currently, the price appears to be following a similar reversal pattern to Gold, suggesting potential downside in the near term. For a clearer understanding of this correlation, check out my detailed analysis of Gold on my page, where I delve into its ongoing reversal pattern.
In the chart provided below, you’ll see my weekly analysis of Silver, highlighting this critical supply area:
View the chart here.
Market Sentiment and COT Insights
Market sentiment in Silver is still leaning bullish among retail traders, contrasting with the more developed reversal in Gold. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to show strong bullish positioning among retail traders in Silver, which often signals a potential contrarian move. Meanwhile, the Forecast Indicator, which captures seasonal tendencies, is pointing towards a possible reversal in Silver during this part of the year.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Silver’s move into this weekly demand zone could mark the start of a more pronounced downtrend, aligning with the reversal patterns seen in Gold. Historically, this zone has acted as a strong resistance level, where price has struggled to break higher. As such, it’s a prime setup for a short position with a focus on capturing downside momentum.
The current setup aligns with both technical signals and the COT report’s insights, indicating that smart money may soon start to unwind long positions, adding to the potential for further declines in Silver.
Trade Setup
Given the current scenario, we’re keeping a close eye on Silver for a short setup. Key factors to watch for confirmation include:
-A sustained rejection at the current demand level.
-Divergence signals aligning with a downward move.
Further weakening in Gold, which could act as a leading indicator for Silver’s bearish movement.
Final Thoughts
The current analysis suggests that Silver could be entering a potential reversal phase, similar to what is already underway in Gold. However, it’s crucial to remain patient and wait for confirmation signals before committing to a short position.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on this analysis. Do you think Silver’s reversal is imminent, or is there more room for upside before a potential downturn? Let me know in the comments below!
Gold price analysis November 7Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) extended losses for a second straight session on Thursday. The dollar-denominated precious metal faced downward pressure from a stronger US dollar (USD) following former President Donald Trump’s victory in the US election.
Gold prices are under pressure as safe-haven flows ease amid market optimism and the “Trump trade”. The move was driven by the apparent victory of the president, while the market had previously anticipated a controversial outcome.
The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy decision will be in focus on Thursday. Markets expect a modest 25 basis point rate cut this week. This could be supportive for Gold as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The CME FedWatch tool shows a 98.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points in November.
Technical Analysis
After yesterday's sharp decline, Gold is being adjusted slightly higher at the beginning of today's Asian trading session. Pay attention to the 2677 port area for SELL strategies in the Asian and European sessions. The 2625 and 2603 support areas become key support levels and also become TP zones for SELL signals. The psychological port breakout zone of 2700 becomes an important resistance zone at the moment when Gold prices have some retests.
AUD/USD Maintains Strength Amid Positive Economic IndicatorsThe Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) continues to trade at elevated levels after experiencing notable gains in the previous session, predominantly fueled by the release of encouraging Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Tuesday. This uptick in the currency reflects an optimistic outlook on Australia’s manufacturing and service sectors, bolstered by better-than-expected economic performance.
In a significant policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to maintain the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 4.35%. This decision marks the eighth consecutive month in which the RBA has paused its rate adjustments, signaling a careful approach as the central bank navigates the complexities of the current economic landscape. Analysts speculate that the RBA is likely to hold the current rates in its upcoming policy meeting, aiming for stability amid evolving economic conditions.
From a technical analysis perspective, recent price movements have indicated a rebound from key demand zones in the market, suggesting a potential shift toward a new bullish trend. Traders are paying close attention to seasonal patterns and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail investors continue to push for lower prices. This behavior often provides valuable insights into market sentiment and could indicate that a reversal may be on the horizon.
The confluence of improved economic indicators, steady monetary policy, and technical analysis suggesting a bullish trend makes the AUD/USD an asset worth watching. As investors remain alert to shifts in economic data and global market conditions, the Australian Dollar could present opportunities for those looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum in the near term.
In summary, the outlook for the Australian Dollar remains robust as it navigates through strong economic signals and a stable policy environment. Market participants are keenly observing developments in both the macroeconomic landscape and technical formations, which could shape trading strategies in the weeks to come.
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