Get started

Fundamental Analysis

When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger: The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins. You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season. Historical Patterns and Timelines: Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally. TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC: The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season. Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections: The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally. Future Predictions: Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CrazyS
Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah." Let's be real—that's utter nonsense. Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early.. Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D. But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover. If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets. I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC. This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system. DYOR.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by CryptoNikkoid
8
CRYPTO SUPER CYCLE 2024-2026:BEAR TO BULL ALL WHAT YOU NEED HERE🔄 CRYPTO MARKET CYCLES: MAJOR TRANSITION - FROM BEAR TO BULL 2024-2026 Technical Market Cycle Analysis: - Current price: $346.31 - Clear transition from bear to bull market - Three distinct cycles identified: BTC, ETH, ATLS Market Phase Breakdown: 📉 Bear Market (2022-2024): - Declining trend complete - Bottom formation validated - Accumulation phase ending 📈 Bull Market (2025-2026): - BTC cycle initiating bull run - ETH cycle following - ATLS cycle completing the sequence Key Observations: - "Traders confusion" zones marked at critical transitions - Clear cycle progression: BTC → ETH → ATLS - Market structure showing higher lows forming - Volume profile supporting bullish transition ⚠️ Critical Points: - Major market cycle shift in progress - Multiple timeframe alignment - Clear cycle rotation pattern - Historical pattern repetition 🔔 Market Intelligence: - Bull market projected until end of 2026 - Three distinct crypto cycles identified - Clear market phase transitions - Institutional accumulation evident #CryptoMarketCycles #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #MarketPhases Want detailed cycle breakdown? 📊FOLLOW ME
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by Supachai-Taechapisit
Unlocking the Wheat Matrix: The Code to Dominating CommoditiesUnlocking the Wheat Matrix: The Code to Dominating Commodities What if I told you there is a way to see the hidden signals of the market? To move not with the herd but ahead of it, where clarity reigns and profits follow. This week, we delve into Wheat (ZW) — a market where the COT strategy reveals its secrets. The choice is yours: read on and learn, or remain blind to the patterns all around you. Decoding the Setup Understand this: this is not an invitation to blindly leap into the market. No, we wait. Patience is the cornerstone of mastery. When the technical tools confirm the market’s strength, only then do we act. Now, let’s break down the wheat matrix: Code 1: Commercial and Small Speculator Positioning The Commercial COT Index, using a 26-week lookback, reveals that commercials are at an extreme in long positioning. At the same time, the Small Speculator COT Index shows small specs aligning at a similar extreme. In the wheat market, unlike others, we follow the small specs rather than fading them. A deviation from the norm—an anomaly in the matrix. Code 2: Commercial Extremes in Net Positioning Commercial entities are nearing their most bullish stance in three years. History whispers a truth: when commercials move like this, the market often follows. Code 3: Contrarian Signal from Investment Advisors The masses of investment advisors are overwhelmingly bearish. Against this backdrop, the extreme bullish positioning of commercials sends a powerful contrarian signal. The matrix is showing its hand. Code 4: Valuation Metrics Wheat stands undervalued against U.S. Treasuries. When value aligns with positioning, the code becomes clearer. Code 5: Seasonal Patterns Seasonal truths tell us that wheat’s true bottom often forms in early January. This aligns perfectly with the cyclical and technical signals currently emerging. Additional Signs in the Matrix Spread Divergence: Bullish spread divergence between front and next month contracts. Accumulation Indicators: Insider Accumulation Index and Williams ProGo confirm accumulation. Technical Tools: %R is in the buy zone, and Weekly Ultimate Oscillator Divergence further supports the bullish narrative. Cycles: The Recurring Patterns 44-Month Cycle: A major bottom forms now. 830-Day Cycle: Signals an upward move into March. 151/154-Day Cycles: Align with a cyclical bottom occurring now, projecting strength into March. The Red Pill of Action With these signals converging, the urge to act immediately can feel irresistible. Don’t. The matrix requires patience. Let the market reveal its strength. When the time comes, you’ll ride the wave with confidence. The Path to Mastery Trading isn’t merely a series of moves; it’s a philosophy. The COT strategy is a key, but only those who seek mastery will unlock its full potential. If you’re ready to see the market for what it truly is, join Tradius Trades. Here, we don’t just navigate the matrix of commodities—we redefine it. Are you ready to free your mind?
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
Horizen ZEN Takes Off After Dec 17 Listing on gTradeCOINBASE:ZENUSD Is really taking off after listing on gTrade December 17th, just a few days ago. The market is seeing some fantastic growth right now, and has popped to the top of Coinbase Top Gainers chart today, showing crazy gains in the last 24 hours. When you research this project, you will be happy to learn Horizen is technically innovative, and in fact, there is even a Greyscale Horizen Trust derivative fund available for institutional investors. All of this looks very positive for the ZEN token. Other factors in the current price action include the recent (2nd and final) halving event celebrated on December 18th, 2024. Given this happened only days ago, and combined with the listing on gTrade, and Top Gainer status on Coinbase, this project has a bright outlook. With such a solid foundation, Horizen is moving forward the Web3 landscape, as well as generating new excitement with its recent excellent performance! ZEN is #1 in last 24hrs as of this writing on coinranking.com Currently the price is around $28, and showing an impressive 24hr gain of 65.52%, with market cap at $142.82M USD. Remeber Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength. www.horizen.io gains.trade www.grayscale.com
COINBASE:ZENUSDLong
by LawrenceOfCoinrabia
What's next for BTC? Will the correction go lower?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC, which has currently had a -15% price correction. This is a natural correction in the growth cycle, and what's more, much larger corrections at 20% or 30% levels often appeared in bull cycles. Let's start with how the price moved in the local growth trend channel, in which we can see how dynamically we went down to the lower zone of the channel, which translated into a further drop in price reaching the support level at $ 91,712. In such a situation, it should be taken into account that very often leaving the channel gives a movement close to the channel height, which could cause the BTC price to drop to the support level at $ 84,072. If the current rebound from the level of around $92,000 ends the current correction, however, here we see how the level of $95,004 poses effective resistance for the price, only when it is broken again will it go further to the area of ​​$101,000, and then again move towards the strong resistance zone from $106,000 to $108,000. On the RSI, taking into account the 12H interval, we have a visible descent with crossing the lower limit, which in previous situations gave rise to renewed price increases.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin & Macro Analysis fo 2025From previous analysis, BTC on target and Hit Fibonacci Extension 1.272 at $108.000 And rejected from this area For now, BTC need pullback before continuing rally You can see pullback area at : - Fibonacci Retracement 0.236 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.386 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.5 Be cautious with your decisions, especially for 2025 , as the Dec 2024 Summary of Economic Projections release has impacted the market. Macro economic conditions are solid, but the Fed's decision left the market disappointed. After release Summary of Economic Projections Dec 18 FOMC, market was disappointed since The Fed's forecast cut rates only 2x or maybe just 1x (3.9) instead of 4x as SEP projected in September (3.4).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
12/20/24 - $BTQQF - I own a small amt at $2, but complicated12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:BTQQF I own a small amt at $2, but complicated - canadian quantum company focused on near term use cases, including chips (partner of NYSE:TSM one of my favorites) as well as IDX:STRK (starkware - a leading zk L2 on CRYPTOCAP:ETH ). - the CEO seems like a smart guy. i don't get scammy vibes from him - stock simply popped bc quantum is the new "space lasers making salad bots and running on palantir". that being said, a lot of these quantum names (as i've written about under NASDAQ:QUBT recently/ this week as a short)... aren't all that investable - equally, this "company" BTQ isn't really something that will return you big cash anytime soon. if there are perhaps a few thousand quantum researchers globally operating at a high level, BTQ has 30+ employees. - point is, these guys seem well positioned to ride the wave and the stock's market cap is substantially cheaper than the hardware names - which in a sense is cool b/c while i expect BTQ to dilute at this stock price which keeps me from growing size too big (as well as i expect the multi billion caps to correct further lower which could take this sub $1 again)... at that pt i'll ow it again. canadian too (and you can just buy the non OTC ticker if you live in canada as NEO:BTQ ), worth noting, associated w/ waterloo perhaps one of the best quantum labs in the world and with tight ties to NYSE:QBTS (d wave). what do you guys think? V
OTC:BTQQFLong
by VROCKSTAR
2
NVDA MAKES TEXTBOOK HEAD & SHOULDERS RETRACEAs the Q's bounce a bit today, NVDA has retraced from a break in the neckline (yesterday) of its current Head & shoulders pattern. The possibility of some float upwards still exists, with a what looks to me to be a likely break back down in the near future, so here are some interesting levels of confluence to consider. Note the correlations in support levels (both diagonal and horizontal), trend lines, a long term parallel channel, a fib retrace, and upper resistance levels. While I a greet that NVDA has a bright long-term future, apparent capital rotation, a decrease in demand (should inflation remain steady or increase), unchanged interest rates, and any economic slowdown may push NVDA's near/short term path downward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by T8terTrader
3
HBAR. From $0.23 to the Moon? Hedera’s Growth Potential!BYBIT:HBARUSDT The asset looks promising during a correction, as it is being heavily accumulated at the $0.25381–$0.23456 level, which supports price growth. I believe it has strong potential for upward movement. HBAR is the native cryptocurrency of the Hedera public network. Hbars are used for powering decentralized applications, peer-to-peer and micropayments, as well as securing the network—Hedera employs a proprietary protocol with elements of Proof-of-Stake. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
ADA. Correction Opportunity: Don’t Miss This Entry! 12/20/24BYBIT:ADAUSDT The market experienced a pullback, and the price returned to the lower boundary of the range before breaking through its support and moving toward a high-volume level, where a strong buyer was present. We also saw a proper Fibonacci correction, which might indicate a potential reversal and a good entry point for a spot position. I'm entering with 0.5% of my deposit and will add another 0.5% in case of further correction. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
4
12/20/24 - $vtex - Patience paid. 50 bps @5.7412/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VTEX Patience paid. 50 bps @5.74 - buying anything sub $1 bn and nevermind "brazilian" is a big ask in my book - but i love this mgmt team and the biz is growing easily teens bc they have solid B2B customers (who use VTEX to build their site/ payments etc. for instance samsung in latam uses VTEX to run their consumer facing sites+) - i think you need to consider EV to sales here near 3x for a biz that's a. been delivering solid growth and likely continues to do so in mid teens top line b. great mgns, 75% ish GM and expanding EBITDA mgn as the biz gains scale c. cash generative/ not a burner d. net cash balance sheet e. previously mentioned, great mgmt team and solid clients f. valuation reasonable and likely being somewhat affected by the dollar spike which is affecting any tickers that do biz in latam. so this has been the "fly in the ointment" but also the reason (that we didn't know about when i wrote in june) which would give us another two quarters of info and send us into the $5s - obvious buy zone is sub $5, but i know/like this and have a healthy cash balance looking to identify good '25 plays at reasonable px's. so i realize this could easily go another 15-20% lower, and that's fine - it's a situation where all else equal i'd take it to a 1-1.5% position. - the ape zone would be mid to low EUROTLX:4S , but i don't expect that. but it's on my radar for if/when. mr. market sometimes does funny things. V
NYSE:VTEXLong
by VROCKSTAR
12/20/24 - $amd - upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMD upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view - tough call here b/c sentiment is so stretched - thought this take was a pretty sober take on the situation and paints a really interesting angle. tl;dr that amd has something special and we've not yet seen the extent of their stretching their wings x.com - i'd point out at low 20s PE and PE growth in the 30-40%+ range (make up a number) and a king of x86 and starting to do cool things in asics... that's not expensive. - looking at stock on it's NASDAQ:SMH (semis index) pair shows it's now had about a 50% drawdown. - where's the bottom V? i don't know. but i'd guess sub 20x PE is probably where it'd shake out and that's about 15-20% lower and puts the stock at $100. and on the upside, multi-year view, the stock should compound EPS at a pt where you'd probably realistically say it should trade at 30x next year and hold or even expand that multiple into '27. so that's probably $150 conservatively and compounding toward $200 stock by YE '27. discounted back that puts you in the >$150 but below $200 as we look into next year. - got busy with some Jan 17 2025 $110C's for about $12 bucks to force myself to go deeper on the name. and this is a rough tape, so i've been keeping my cash balance high and remain with high conviction cash generators in my book like NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER (and i remain liking NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:NVDA but admittedly have been trading them pretty high frequency). of course i like OTC:GDLC , OTC:BITW too but also keeping those light. so NASDAQ:AMD provides an interesting oppty to add the x86 factor to my top 3 semis names. let's call NASDAQ:AMD added to my list of 4 buyable stocks NYSE:TSM > NASDAQ:NVDA > NASDAQ:AVGO > $amd. and given the move in NASDAQ:AVGO recently it's debatable whether NASDAQ:AMD offers better MT r/r, but the narrative/ tailwind for NASDAQ:AVGO is certainly stronger and has the momentum factor working well for it. what do u think? V
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VROCKSTAR
Micron ($MU) is Poised for Action – Here’s What’s ComingMicron is sitting at a major decision point, and the next move could be big. Here’s the game plan: If we drop below $84: Things could get bumpy, with possible corrections to $74, $70, or even $63–$64. If we break above $93: The sky’s the limit, with targets at $100, $110, and maybe even $138 on the horizon. This is one to watch closely. Big moves are coming, so stay sharp and ready to ride the wave! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MU
by Mindbloome-Trading