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Fundamental Analysis

Gold (4H) – Still in Accumulation 🔍 Price Action – Failed to make a higher high after retracing into the 4H OTE zone around 3 265-3 285. – Closed back at 3 325, right at resistance, signaling indecision. 🎯 Key Scenarios 🚀 Bullish Trigger : Hold above 3 325 → builds energy for a breakout up through the supply zone toward 3 365-3 380. ⏳ Further Pullback : Rejection at 3 325 → deeper retrace toward the OTE low (~3 260) before resuming the uptrend. 🌐 Macro Watch – US inflation prints & Fed speakers this week. – Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, which could keep safe-haven bids under gold. ✅ Takeaway Gold is coiling-watch 3 325 as the pivot: failure there means a deeper shakeout; hold means a powerful leg higher !
TVC:GOLD
by BenMcyInsights
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction. This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior. 🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel 🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone 🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities 📍 2. Breakout Confirmation The breakout was confirmed by: A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405) Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used) This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab. 🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move: 🔄 What’s Being Retested? ✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel ✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415) ✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs ✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept) ✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries. 🔍 4. Key Technical Observations Element Description 📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias. 🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it. 🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level. 📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest. 📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again. 🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are: ✅ Primary Target – 0.8460 A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension ⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430 Previous intra-channel resistance level May serve as a short-term reaction point ❌ Invalidation Level A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout 🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend) Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point) Take-Profit 1: 0.8430 Take-Profit 2: 0.8460 This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation. 🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence). Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups. Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits. ✅ Conclusion This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading: A well-defined channel breakout Followed by a clean pullback to structure With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups. 📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Oil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical TensionsOil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical Tensions Oil prices remain near $60, driven by global uncertainty. In the Middle East, tensions persist as Israel continues its military actions in Gaza. Meanwhile, the war between Ukraine and Russia continues despite U.S. efforts to mediate. Reports indicate that Russia has used North Korean weapons to intensify missile strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure, raising concerns about Moscow’s reliance on Pyongyang. Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s tariff policies are creating instability for major economies. However, OPEC+ has pledged to increase oil production in July, which could push prices lower. For now, $60 remains a strong support level. If the price breaks below this barrier, further declines could follow, as indicated on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
3
Safe Entry ZoneFull Screen 1D Chart to get the General Direction Of Unity Stock Movement. You May lower Time to 1h to see Recent Dicretion Movement. The Stock Has Significate clear Resistances And Decent Support levels. For Support Levels: the 1h Green and 4h Green Zone are most signifacte support level sepcially in worse case scienario we visit the 4H its strongest support level. For Resistance levels: the Red 1h Zone P.High(Previous High) Line and Red 4h Red Zone acts as most significate Resistance level. At each Either Support and Resistance watch-out for Volume Selling/Buying with 15M TF. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:U
by Faisalzor
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day. Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year. The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer. US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect. The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
by OANDA
1
It seems calm, but there are actually undercurrents!Today, the monthly, weekly and daily lines closed simultaneously. At the same time, the PCE data will be released during the US trading session, and the market volatility may intensify. From a technical point of view, 3285 is also the key to long and short today. If gold does not break 3285 today, the strength of gold bulls is expected to continue, and there is still room for gold to move upward. If gold continues to fall and falls below 3285, then gold may begin to fluctuate in a large range. The upper resistance is in the 3320-3330 area, and the focus is on the 3335-3340 line of suppression. Pay attention to the 3290-3285 line of support below, and the key position below is in the 3280 area. If it breaks below the 3280 area during the day, the market is expected to fall again to the 3265-3250-3240 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
USD/JPY takes fresh dip on renewed trade uncertaintyThanks to ongoing trade uncertainty and troubles in the bond market, the USD/JPY looks like is going to end the week on a negative note, after coming down sharply in the last day and a half, which means the weekly gains have more than halved. The US dollar had actually clawed back a bit of ground in early Friday trading after taking a hit the day before. The rebound came despite fresh drama around Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which—unsurprisingly—are once again stirring the pot. A federal appeals court gave the president a temporary lifeline, pausing a ruling that could have derailed much of his economic agenda. The White House team wasted no time doubling down: Trump, they insist, isn’t backing off. Tariffs are sticking around. But the mood got murkier when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent admitted that US-China trade talks are “a bit stalled.” Then came Trump’s latest post on Truth Social, where he accused China of “totally violating” the trade deal with the US. Markets didn’t take it well. US indices dipped, USD/JPY slid, and even the euro managed to push the dollar back a touch. As well as well as trade uncertainty eyes will turn to incoming US data next week, among them the monthly jobs report on Friday. The US jobs report is always important as it could impact the Fed’s future policy decisions. Traders will want to see whether the trade war uncertainty is negatively impacting the jobs market too, after several macro data, including consumption data in GDP report and consumer sentiment surveys, have come out weaker in recent weeks. JOLTS jobs data and ISM PMIs are also due out earlier in the week. The US dollar has been under pressure in the last three months or so, with the euro performing admirably during this time despite US tariffs. With the US recently losing its final top-tier credit rating at the hands of Moody’s a couple of weeks ago, investors are worried that debt concerns and government spending will push yields even higher and thus they are shorting Treasuries and the dollar, buying foreign currencies, including the euro. This makes the EUR/USD outlook remain fairly resilient around the 1.12-1.15 range. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Nvidia Posts Another Blowout Quarter. What Can Slow It Down?Hint: Not much. 🚀 Earnings So Good You Can’t Ignore ‘Em Another quarter, another jaw-dropper from Nvidia NVDA . In what has basically become a quarterly ritual at this point (congrats to all who celebrate!), Jensen Huang’s silicon empire posted revenue of $44.1 billion , soaring past the $43.3 billion consensus. That’s a 69% year-over-year gain, in case anyone’s still doing the math. Adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share also easily crushed expectations. Shares popped 5% in after-hours trading Wednesday and then pulled back a little bit during the cash session on Thursday — not quite a moonshot, but a confirmation that even if Nvidia’s guidance was meh, this earnings report was meh’gnificent. So what exactly is fueling this unstoppable juggernaut? And is there anything that could actually throw a wrench in the gears? Grab your chips (there’s your pun), let’s break it down. 💾 Data Centers: The Company’s Cash Cow If Nvidia is famous for anything, it’s that it’s really able to see the trend before the crowds pick it up. From gaming, to crypto… and now? The star of the show now is data centers. But there's not just any growth. We’re talking $39.1 billion in data center revenue, up 73% from last year. That’s nearly 90% of Nvidia’s entire business. Not exactly fans of revenue diversification, are we? Big Tech is gorging on Nvidia’s AI chips like it’s an all-you-can-eat GPU buffet. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Google NASDAQ:GOOGL , and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT alone account for nearly half of that segment. Basically, if you’re building anything with the words “large language model,” “AI agent,” or “sovereign compute,” you’re probably writing big checks to Nvidia. 🇨🇳 About That $10.5 Billion Problem Thanks to Trump’s H20 export ban, Nvidia’s revenue from China is expected to take a $10.5 billion hit over two quarters. That’s an $8 billion crater forecasted for the current quarter, on top of a $2.5 billion gap in the previous one. Is that bad? Maybe. Does anyone care right now? Not really. Because here’s the kicker: demand outside China is so nuclear that even subtracting ten billion bucks over six months doesn’t materially derail the bullish narrative. Nvidia’s still forecasting $45 billion in revenue this quarter, which is basically flat — but considering what’s missing, that’s a win in disguise. 📦 Blackwell to the Rescue The forward guidance may have missed the Street’s expectations — Nvidia projected Q2 revenue of $44–$46 billion, versus the $45.9 billion consensus — but CEO Jensen Huang already served the antidote: Blackwell Ultra. These next-gen chips are already shipping to early customers. They promise to be leaner, meaner, and more power-efficient — basically, think McLaren but for AI accelerators. And they’re expected to ramp up aggressively in the back half of the year. That means Nvidia has a new growth lever just waiting to be pulled. Some overly bullish analysts say it could eclipse the H100’s success. 💡 The Real Moat? It’s Not Just the Chips What makes Nvidia such a rare beast isn’t just its hardware. It’s the ecosystem — CUDA, software stacks, developer tools, APIs, vertical integrations. It’s like Apple, but for the AI industrial complex. Everyone wants to build an AI empire, but good luck doing it without Nvidia’s infrastructure. It’s not just expensive — it’s essential. In the meantime, AMD NASDAQ:AMD and Intel NASDAQ:INTC are trying. There’s chatter about custom silicon from OpenAI (still a private company) and Meta $META. But for now, the moat around Nvidia looks more like a canyon. 🧨 So What Could Slow It Down? But let’s not get carried away — there are still some real risks on the radar. Here’s what might actually trip up the AI king: Geopolitical shocks: More export bans? Chinese retaliation? Taiwan tension? Any of these could make markets twitchy. Supply chain constraints: As demand grows, so does pressure on foundries like TSMC 2330 . Any hiccups in advanced packaging or wafer starts could pinch margins. Rising competition: AMD’s MI300 is no slouch. And Big Tech is building in-house chips to lessen reliance on Nvidia. AI fatigue: If the AI hype cycle fizzles out or hits a plateau (remember the metaverse?), that could cool capital spending. It only takes 3-4 tech titans to pull their capex and Nvidia’s reign is over. But until any of that materializes, the narrative for many is "Buy the dip — Jensen’s grip won’t slip." 💫 What’s Priced In? The stock’s P/E is still sky-high, and the multiple implies several more years of 50–60% annual revenue growth. That’s hard to sustain indefinitely. But then again, so was becoming the second-largest company in the world… (and the biggest one, if only for a while ) and here we are. Nvidia’s valuation is steep, but not unjustified — as long as it keeps executing. And judging by any of the previous quarters going back to 2023, execution isn’t a problem. 👩🏻‍🚀 More Than a Stock — Macro Theme At this point, Nvidia has transcended chipmaker status. It’s now a macro story. Betting on Nvidia is betting on AI. It’s betting on infrastructure. It’s betting on the next industrial revolution in software, automation, and language models. So… what can stop it? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
17
Bitcoin - Bearish double top or bullish cup and handle ?As CRYPTOCAP:BTC reached a new high, we got a clear double top setup unfolding. The question is now how this will unfold ? Honest answer : We can't know as price can unfold in many different patterns from here. For now , we have to respect the bearish double top setup and therefore remain bearish on this as long as price is below 109.600$ . BUT seen the somewhat good general market context for now and the potential for a surge in bitcoin demand, we have to be open to the possibility to turn bullish here when possible. A double top setup can easily turn into a cup and handle setup, that means we could see price consolidate some more before rising again. But for that to happen, we need price to hold some key support levels , which for now is the 20day EMA in green on my chart. IF the 20dEMA is broken, we can simply look for the 50dEMA in black as the next potential support zone. Also, from an Elliott Wave perspective, it's quite simple, if price move above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, although not always, more often than not we see price go up to the 127.2% and 138.2% levels around 120K here. So, what can we do from here ? For the bulls ? Simple, stay out and only look for setups on key support as mentioned above, for now you can use the 20dEMA for a small long entry with a very tight stop. For bears ? Respect the short side as long as possible and use the support zones for profit taking and if support breaks look for new entries or to add to your positions if you want to be more aggressive.
by ElliottWaveBelgium
1
Gbp/Jpy Intra-Day Analysis 30-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
GOLD Gold Directional Bias and Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis (May 30, 2025) Gold (XAU/USD) Directional Bias Cautious Bearish Correction: Gold faces immediate resistance at $3,305–$3,338 (20-day moving average and recent highs) . A break above $3,435 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal toward $3,500 . Failure to hold $3,056 (key medium-term support) risks a drop to $2,955–$2,833 . Bullish Potential: Stagflation risks (weak growth + high inflation) and Fed rate cut expectations support gold as a hedge . A sustained break above $3,500 could target $4,000+ . Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook Bearish Momentum: DXY is in a multi-month downtrend Drivers: Fed rate cut bets and weaker US economic data (e.g., soft jobless claims) pressure the dollar . Trade tensions (e.g., Trump’s tariff threats) inject volatility but may revive safe-haven USD demand . Gold-DXY Correlation Short-Term Inverse Link: Recent dollar strength (DXY↑) contributed to gold’s 1% drop to $3,301 . Long-Term Divergence: Since 2008, gold has risen 150% while DXY gained 45%, showing no consistent inverse relationship over decades . Current Dynamics: A weaker DXY (below 98.4) would support gold’s rebound . Stagflation fears could decouple gold from DXY, favoring gold as an inflation hedge . Conclusion Gold: Short-term bearish pressure persists, but medium-term bullish drivers (stagflation, Fed cuts) remain intact. DXY: Bearish Elliott Wave structure suggests further declines unless it breaks above 101.99. Trade Strategy: Sell gold rallies toward $3,305–$3,338 with tight stops . A DXY breakdown below 98.4 could signal gold’s bullish revival . Monitor US PCE inflation data (May 30) and Fed rhetoric for near-term catalysts .
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD NOVEMBER In November 2024, the financial outlook for XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) remains positive, driven by a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and expectations of rate cuts from central banks. Over recent months, gold prices have seen a significant rise, with gold appreciating by nearly 20%. Key factors supporting this growth include: 1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts and political instability, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine, have contributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. This continues to push prices higher, as investors seek to protect capital from market volatility. 2. Central Bank Demand: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets like China, continue to accumulate gold reserves. In 2024, central bank gold purchases are expected to remain strong, with the potential to exceed previous records. This buying trend is anticipated to keep demand high and provide price suppor 3. Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates in 2024, which historically boosts gold prices as lower rates make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive As a result, many analysts are forecasting continued upward momentum in gold prices, with potential highs of $2,400 to $2,600 per ounce by mid-2025. However, short-term fluctuations and corrections are expected, particularly as investors respond to changes in economic data and central bank actions
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VantageVestor
1
JPYUSD Technical Analysis | (MMC) in Play + Target🟦 1. Structure & Price Action Overview The chart is of JPY/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a clear picture of price movement over several weeks. We see three major market phases: Range/Resistance Phase (Left side of chart) Uptrend Phase (Middle – rising channel) Reversal Setup (Right side – potential bearish move forming) 📈 2. Uptrend Channel (Accumulation to Expansion Phase) From around May 13th, price started forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting a bullish channel (light blue shaded area). This is a classic ascending channel, often seen during a controlled uptrend where buyers are still in control but momentum is slowing. The channel took price directly into the resistance zone (marked in purple at the top). 🚫 3. Resistance Zone Rejection (Key Supply Zone) Once price hit the resistance zone (~0.00705), it failed to break higher. This level had previously caused sharp drops, so it's a well-established supply zone. Price was rejected and dropped sharply, breaking out of the ascending channel – a strong bearish signal. 🔄 4. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) – Curve Bending Pattern After the initial drop, price attempted a bounce, but couldn't even reach previous highs. The curved arrow labeled "Curve Bending" shows how the market is “bending” its momentum – not pushing upward anymore but turning into a reversal. This forms the mirror of the previous rise – indicating the market is ready to “mirror” that previous bullish leg, but to the downside. 🔄 5. SR Interchange (Support Flipped Resistance) The previous demand zone (around 0.006950–0.007000), where buyers pushed price higher during the uptrend, is now acting as resistance. This is called an SR Flip (Support becomes Resistance) – a very reliable technical sign of trend reversal. 🎯 6. Bearish Target Projection Based on MMC and symmetry of past movements, the chart is projecting a strong drop toward the 0.006800 support zone. This zone is also historically significant and acted as a demand area earlier. The black arrow and target box show this expected move, which aligns with the mirror structure. 🧩 Conclusion & Trade Plan Bias: Strong Bearish Confirmation : Channel break + rejection at resistance + curve bending Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 0.00700 and breaks below 0.006930 Target: 0.006800 Invalidation : Clean break & hold above 0.007050 🛡️ Pro Tips: Don’t just jump in — wait for bearish confirmation (like a bearish engulfing candle, or a failed retest). Always set your SL (Stop Loss) above the resistance zone (~0.007050). Let the setup come to you — don’t force trades.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Japanese Markets: Still a Buy?Are Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels? The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters, as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits. But what’s the downside? Inflation. (expand) Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%. Micro Nikkei Futures Ticker: MNI Minimum fluctuation: 5.00 index points = ¥250 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
CME:NKD1!Short
by konhow
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support... Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound... Support levels: 0.8858 Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897 Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
The Day Ahead Key Data Releases: United States: April PCE Price Index: A critical inflation gauge for the Fed’s policy outlook. Personal Income & Spending: Insight into consumer strength and economic momentum. Advance Goods Trade Balance & Wholesale Inventories: Impact on Q2 GDP expectations. May MNI Chicago PMI: Regional manufacturing sentiment ahead of national ISM. United Kingdom: May Lloyds Business Barometer: Early business sentiment snapshot ahead of June BoE meeting. Japan: May Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation indicator for national trends. April Jobless Rate & Job-to-Applicant Ratio: Labor market health amid BoJ policy speculation. Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts: Broad economic activity indicators. Germany: May CPI Flash Estimate: Crucial for ECB rate trajectory. April Retail Sales: Consumer spending dynamics. Italy: May CPI & April PPI: Inflation pipeline pressures in a key Eurozone economy. Eurozone: April M3 Money Supply: Signals liquidity and potential inflationary pressure. Canada: Q1 GDP: Growth snapshot could influence BoC expectations. Sweden: Q1 GDP: Economic performance post-Riksbank’s recent rate moves. Central Bank Speakers: Federal Reserve: Lorie Logan (Hawkish lean) – Comments will be scrutinized for clues on timing of future rate adjustments amid sticky inflation. European Central Bank: Fabio Panetta & Boris Vujcic – Potential insights into ECB's path forward, especially with diverging inflation trends in the bloc. Trading Implications: Today’s data-heavy calendar will likely drive volatility across USD, EUR, JPY, and CAD crosses. Inflation and growth readings from the U.S., Eurozone, and Canada are pivotal for near-term rate path pricing. Watch Fed and ECB commentary closely for shifts in tone. Japan's CPI and labor data may fuel BoJ tightening bets. Keep an eye on risk sentiment and yield moves for broader asset impact. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation