I think this looks logica. Am I crazy?NASDAQ:NVDA has always recovered strong after the earnings dip. I think the sell off has come to the end and the pump to $160 is ready
Fundamental Analysis
Sellers continue to dominateSellers drove the S&P 500 lower on the daily chart. The expectation is for lower prices on Friday. However, the key will be how we finish Friday’s price action. This will provide us with clues are sellers buying the take profits or has this market gotten cheap enough to find buyers approaching the market.
4 reasons that Gold may have peaked: Gold can thrive on uncertainty, and for the past three years, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been a key driver. However, recent developments hopefully suggest a possible shift toward peace. While a complete resolution is uncertain, the beginning of peace talks, no matter how flawed they appear, could weaken gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold benefits from lower interest rates, as it competes with yield-bearing assets like bonds. Earlier in the year, markets expected the Federal Reserve to cut rates aggressively. However, recent economic data and Trump’s economic policies mean inflation could be a greater concern than initially thought. This has led to doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease policy. If rate cuts are delayed or scaled back, gold’s upside could be limited.
Gold and Bitcoin are seen as alternative stores of value. Bitcoin has recently fallen about 20% from its highs. This could suggest a broader shift in risk sentiment, potentially impacting gold if investors move back into the U.S. dollar or other assets.
Markets initially expected Trump to push aggressive tariffs, which would have fueled inflation and boosted gold. However, so far, his rhetoric has been more meandering than expected, with only a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. If markets believe that Trump’s trade policies will be less disruptive than previously thought, gold loses a key bullish narrative.
BTC/USDT Clear Market MovementThe price is in a very clear and beautifull down trend making LL's and everything...there is alot of different chances that might happen here and since its a crypto market it goes pretty clearly with our strategy but also since its crypto...there is always a chance of something different. It could be a double bottom or just a trend continuation. whatever will be....just know where you will put your SL, TG and to look for fake breakouts and right confirmations.
GOLD (XAU/USD)—$2,975 HIGH SPARKS BUZZGOLD (XAU/USD)—$2,975 HIGH SPARKS BUZZ
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Gold (XAU/USD) hit $ 2,975 in Feb ‘25, up 5-7% YTD 🌍 2024’s 26-27% gain shines—here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – PRICE RISE
• 2024 Gain: 26-27%, best since 2010 📈
• 2025 YTD: 2,955-2,975, 5-7% up 💡
• Feb 24: +0.52% to new high 🌞
Gold’s climb, safe-haven rules.
(3/9) – MARKET MOVES
• Trade Fear: Tariffs spark inflows 🌟
• FASB: Coinbase tie lifts mood 🚗
• Dip: $ 2,940 Feb 25, profit takes 📊
Gold’s humming, tension fuels it.
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Price: 2,940-2,875, $ 20T+ cap 🌍
• Vs Silver: Outpaces XAG’s wobble 💪
• Forecasts: UBS $ 3,200—value gap? 📉
Gold’s steady, peers falter.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Fed: High rates cap upside ⚠️
• USD: Tariff boost stings 🔒
• Profit Takes: -1.27% Feb 25 🐻
Gold’s firm, but headwinds nip.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Gain: 26-27% ‘24—tough haul 💪
• Demand: Banks, ETFs pile in 🏋️
• Hedge: 4.3% inflation shield 🌱
Gold’s gritty, crisis-proof.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: No yield, USD bite 🙈
• Opportunities: Tariffs, $ 3,200 zing 🌏
Can gold vault past the snags?
(8/9) – Gold’s $ 2,975 peak, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 3,200+ soon 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Holds, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, $ 2,800 dip looms 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Gold’s $ 2,975 Feb high and 26% ‘24 stack up, safe-haven star Trade fears lift, risks loom, gem or pause?
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
2/27/25 - $qqq - bottom.2/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
bottom.
everyone thinks it's the beginning of the end
i'm finally going long w/ leverage ST stuff
this was the NVDA leverage flush we were looking for post EPS (see last QQQ note)
V
ETH - Reclaim $3K Or Else I've spoken for a while about Ethereum's relative weakness. It continues to break down from long term uptrends. If price doesn't reverse this week's candle back to the upside soon, I think ETH is in danger of entering a longer term bear market, leading to sub-$1000 prices once again. More specifically, from a moving average and structure standpoint, I think ETH must reclaim the $3k level with confidence, or risk total free fall.
I don't need to spell out all the reasons I think crypto is NOT going to change the world for the better or be "disruptive" in a meaningful way, but I've exhausted all of my writing steam on the matter.
Some new environmental factors have emerged, however, which are much in line with what I've been concerned about over the last several years.
We can clearly see from a Macro standpoint that growth is stalling. Local governments and isolationism are starting to gain preference over globalization, in a large see-saw effect. In addition, Trump has further tarnished whatever neutral reputation crypto had gained on the global stage. I think institutions are even less likely to take this market seriously now.
There's pretty much air beneath here.
The crypto TOTAL market cap is now testing the highs from the previous bull market. It really should hold up here to avoid catastrophic damage:
TOTAL2 (altcoins and stables) is well below its previous all-time high, showing the potential for a truly failed bull market if things don't bounce around these levels.
ETH/BTC is already in free-fall mode. My guess is new lows for the ratio (below the 2019 levels)
Anyway, that's all from me. I won't be as long-winded as I used to be. Thanks for reading! As always, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, and not as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
BTC REACTED TO MY PRIVIOUS THEORYBTC must ladder up off the bounce to move higher it takes time. Overall still bearish check all previous post . Charts Matter if you chart correctly you grow confidence in your trades or investments.
AI and why the working week won't reduceThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
Tinder, Bumble and so on were once feted as the “new thing”. Here’s how Bumble is doing now.
That’s — not great! That’s pretty bad! The world moved on from dating apps, by and large — dating app consumption is actually down as Gen Z prefers to meet in person. Textile mills of the 21st century. So-long, and thanks for the fish.
There’s two things I’m sure of here:
People will not work less. This has been proven throughout history.
Many currently high-margin, stable businesses will not be are stable or as high-margin.
One of the great economic fallacies is that of optimism — specifically, that the working week will reduce. Here is Keynes, in 1930 —
We may be able to perform all the operations of agriculture, mining, and manufacture with a quarter of the human effort to which we have been accustomed.
Keynes was writing in the wake the Great Depression — it’s fairly remarkable foresight, as the US embarked on several golden decades — $1.00 invested in the S&P in 1929, at the peak of economic gloom, would be worth around $7,622 — you’d have an inflation adjusted return of 41,690.91%. Ne bad, as they say in Scots.
But here’s where he’s wrong — he had hoped for a quarter of human effort — predicting a 15 hour workweek. That hasn’t happened. If anything, the work culture in America and many western countries has become something of a religion — work hard and glorify it. That work has transmuted for many of us from factory jobs and field labour to office jobs and such, but it remains work — we are there to create a surplus of capital, as Marx wrote long ago.
History doesn’t rhyme but it repeats — similar suggestions of the end of work have been made with the advent of AI. Now, it is likely that AI will be able to replace many jobs — especially those that were traditionally protected (you probably don’t need a lawyer to draft up a basic contract, etc…). If we look at the various other revolutions, though, especially the industrial, what we find is that work ends up being something else.
What might it be? Will we have offices filled with people slaving away to Chat GPT, typing in prompts at their terminals? Essentially, will we become part cyborg, delivering commands to our AI counterparts?
It’s interesting to think about what this will do economically. The Industrial Revolution saw vast progress and economies expand rapidly — areas like the North of England, which were traditionally poor, saw riches prosper, while the old class of aristocrats found themselves taxed by both lack of economic progress and real taxes,³ which saw the economic picture turn — at least for a while. And yet — even those economic realities change — the once-rich textile barons of the Industrial Age, with factories in France and England, saw their businesses fall into disrepair as the world moved on. Automated looms, once cutting-edge, found themselves surpassed.
Here’s another example, Chegg Inc, which makes study tools. Of course, Chat GPT has surpassed that and tends to do a better job. Just ask your teens.
That’s also — not very good!
Let me now think about industries that we all think are safe but may be disrupted (don’t you hate that word?) — lawyers, accountants, coders. Uh oh. Whatever happened to “just learn to code, bro”. What happens to the “big four” accounting firms when AI gets good enough to perform most of the functions?
Let’s invert — what are companies and industries that (should) remain impervious:
Luxury — Hermes specialises in the handmade, and that’s part of the brand. The human desire for scarcity and to signal status has not changed in all of history.
Toll-booth businesses — think exchanges (NZX, CBOE, LSE), literal toll booths (Channel Infrastructure), payment operators (Visa, Stripe, etc).
Companies which command mindshare — CostCo, Amazon, etc.
Booze. Duh. AI doesn’t drink booze; humans do.
AUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge PatternAUD/USD Confirms Bearish Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting that USD dominance may grow further as focus shifts back to peace talks between Ukraine and Russia. Let's hope for a positive outcome this time. This renewed focus is supporting the strength of the USD.
Additionally, lingering tariff issues continue to make the USD volatile, pushing it up and down, although overall, the US economy is performing well. Given the relatively empty economic calendar, AUD/USD may correct within its current zone before potentially moving down to the 0.6300 and 0.6250 levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD - Austrailian Dollar / US Dollar 2/27/2025Fundamental Context
The Australian dollar held its recent decline to around $0.63 on Thursday, hovering at a two-week low as US President Donald Trump’s latest tariff escalation weighed on risk sentiment. On Wednesday, Trump outlined plans for 25% “reciprocal” tariffs on European autos and other goods, while confirming that tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect on April 2, rather than the previously set deadline of March 4. Given Australia’s heavy reliance on exports, the currency remains vulnerable to the risks of a global trade war. Domestic data also showed an unexpected decline in private capital expenditure for the fourth quarter, fueling expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia. However, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said on Thursday that the central bank would need to see more positive inflation data before considering additional rate cuts.
Technical Overview
Support Zones
First Major Support around 0.6200 – Price is currently hovering around this psychological level. A bounce here could trigger short-term recovery, but failure to hold suggests deeper downside.
Secondary Support around 0.5950–0.5910 – Historical support, providing a deeper line of defense for buyers.
Tertiary Support around 0.5650–0.5600 – A key zone visible from prior cycle lows.
Buy Limit Orders
The chart highlights staggered buy-limit levels within these support zones, suggesting a strategy to average into long positions if the Aussie continues to weaken.
BLO 1 @ 0.61939
BLO 2 @ 0.59172
BLO 3 @ 0.56378
Take-Profit Targets (TP)
TP1 @ 0.63741
TP2 @ 0.66979
TP3 @ 0.71315
USDCHF Bearish Rejection from Premium Zone LiquidityTarget0.8793Overview:
The USD/CHF 4-hour chart displays a well-defined Wyckoff Distribution pattern, suggesting a bearish continuation. Price has rejected from an extreme Premium Zone (0.8990 - 0.9050), indicating that sellers are regaining control. The market is now poised for a potential decline toward unmitigated liquidity levels near 0.8793, which serves as the next key support.
Key Technical Analysis:
Buying Climax: The market experienced an aggressive bullish move before forming a Buying Climax (BC), which trapped late buyers.
Sign of Weakness (SOW): A major SOW (Sign of Weakness) confirms bearish intent, with price struggling to sustain above key resistance.
Change of Character (CHoCH): A confirmed shift from bullish to bearish structure, reinforcing the downtrend.
Extreme Premium Zone: The rejection from 0.8990 - 0.9050 acts as a strong supply area where institutions have placed sell orders.
Liquidity Hunt & Retest: The price recently swept liquidity near 0.8990 and is now testing a previous support zone, which is likely to turn into resistance.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: Short near 0.8990 - 0.9000 after a retest confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: 0.8800 (Key psychological level).
🎯 Target 2: 0.8793 (Unmitigated liquidity).
🎯 Target 3: 0.8735 (Deeper bearish target).
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 0.9050 to minimize risk.
Bitcoin Futures in Freefall !!Bitcoin Futures in Freefall: Navigating the Stormy Crypto Seas
As of February 27, 2025, Bitcoin futures have been experiencing significant volatility, reflecting the broader trends in the cryptocurrency market. The current price of Bitcoin futures on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) is approximately $84,945, which represents a notable decline from recent highs.
Market Overview
The cryptocurrency market has been under pressure due to a combination of factors, including regulatory uncertainties, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment. Bitcoin, being the flagship cryptocurrency, often sets the tone for the entire market. The recent drop in Bitcoin futures prices can be attributed to several key factors:
Regulatory Concerns: Governments and regulatory bodies worldwide have been tightening their stance on cryptocurrencies. This has led to increased scrutiny and potential regulatory actions, causing uncertainty among investors.
Macroeconomic Factors: The global economic environment, including inflation concerns and interest rate hikes, has impacted risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Investors are becoming more cautious, leading to reduced demand for Bitcoin futures.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has been bearish, with many investors adopting a risk-off approach. This has resulted in increased selling pressure and lower prices for Bitcoin futures.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin futures have broken several key support levels, indicating a bearish trend. The price has entered a fair value gap (FVG) and is approaching an order block (OB), which could act as a support level. If the price finds support at the order block, there could be a potential reversal or consolidation before any further movement. However, if the price breaks below the order block, it could indicate further downside potential.
Future Outlook
The future outlook for Bitcoin futures remains uncertain, with several potential scenarios:
Regulatory Clarity: If regulatory bodies provide clear guidelines and frameworks for cryptocurrencies, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a recovery in Bitcoin futures prices.
Macroeconomic Stability: Improvements in the global economic environment, such as controlled inflation and stable interest rates, could positively impact risk assets, including Bitcoin futures.
Market Sentiment Shift: A shift in market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook could lead to increased demand for Bitcoin futures and higher prices.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the current situation with Bitcoin futures is characterized by significant volatility and uncertainty. Investors should closely monitor regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment to make informed decisions. While the short-term outlook may be bearish, there are potential catalysts that could lead to a recovery in the future.
Nvidia stumbles to test 200 MA post earningsWill the dip buyers emerge here?
US markets continue to remain on the back foot, with the tech sector in sharp focus after Nvidia’s earnings. The chip giant initially climbed over 1% in pre-market trading but swiftly reversed, dropping 4% as investors reacted to results that, while decent, failed to dazzle. With chipmakers driving market volatility and concerns mounting over US-China tech tensions, Nvidia’s performance today could set the tone for the sector.
Adding to uncertainty, Donald Trump reignited trade war fears, announcing that tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China will take effect on 4 March.
Let's see if Nvidia dip-buyers will emerge to defend the 200-day MA around $126 area, or whether we will see further weakness heading into the close. Next key levels to watch include $120.00 and $115.00. Wednesday's low of $128.50 is now the key resistance level to watch. It would be a bullish scenario if we go back above this level now.
On a macro front, attention turns to Friday’s Core PCE data following weak economic reports, including a 4.6% slump in pending home sales and rising jobless claims. Next week we have ISM PMIs and NFP jobs report, as well as a rate decision from the ECB, all to look forward to.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBPNZDWhy Stay Long?
📌 UK Strength:
GDP growth remains stable, showing resilience in economic activity.
Inflation concerns could keep the Bank of England from easing too soon, supporting GBP.
Industrial production and business sentiment remain positive.
📌 NZ Weakness:
Retail spending has been declining, signaling weaker consumer confidence.
Business PMI remains in contraction territory, showing economic slowdown.
The RBNZ's cautious stance suggests limited upside for NZD.
With these factors still in play, I’m holding the position and managing risk accordingly. Watching key resistance levels for an exit.
#Forex #GBPNZD #SwingTrading
GBPAUD - Look for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPAUD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB and level 1.99000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
AMAZON ($AMZN) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWINGAMAZON ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWING
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradginView! Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) posted Q4 ‘24 net sales of
187.8 B,up 10 637.959 B here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – REVENUE GROWTH
• Q4 Sales: $ 187.8B, 10% up from $ 170B 📈
• Full ‘24: $ 637.959B, 10.99% rise 📊
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 19% YoY boost 💻
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s steady climb continues.
(3/9) – EARNINGS LIFT
• Q4 Op. Income: $ 21.2B, up from $ 13.2B 💰
• NA Op. Income: $ 9.3B, from $ 6.5B 🌞
• AWS Margin: 38%, decade high 🌟
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s profit engine hums strong.
(4/9) – KEY MOVES
• AI Push: GenAI apps rolled out 📡
• AWS: Cash flow dynamo shines 🌍
• Stock: 207−230 range 🚗
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s tech bets fuel growth.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Spending: Retail feels price pinch ⚠️
• Regs: Antitrust looms large 🔒
• Comp: Azure, Walmart press hard 📉
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s solid, but hurdles lurk.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Retail: $ 115.6B Q4 NA sales 💪
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 38% margin 🏋️
• Scale: Ads, subs diversify 🌱
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s a titan, built to last.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Capex weighs 📚
• Opportunities: AI, emerging markets 🌏
Can NASDAQ:AMZN vault past the risks?
(8/9) – AMZN’s $ 187.8B Q4, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 300+ by ‘26 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Steady, risks balance 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Growth stalls 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s $ 187.8B Q4 and $ 637.959B ‘24 stack up, tech titan 🪙 AWS shines, risks loom, gem or pause?
The stock market is not "Crashing"!I keep hearing people saying the stock market is crashing, a mild pullback is hardly a crash, we are not crashing, at least not yet, and maybe not for an extended period.
We use the S&P 500 because it is the best gauge of our markets with the most diverse representation of any of our indices.
A short history of the trend of our stock marker since 1992, correlated to presidencies.
1992-1999 Clinton: Stock market transitioned from fairly flat to a steady ascending path, we reduced our yearly deficit 6 years and had a budget surplus 2 years.
2000-2007 George Bush Jr: Descending or neutral trend most of the 8 years, we broke our 15 year ascending trend and started an overall descending trend. Deregulation led to the recession via predatory lending giving Walmart cashiers $300k loans, banks labeling bad debt as Grade A and banks leveraging 80% of all of Americans money on risky investments. 2008 was devastating for the US Stock market. Increased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years.
2008-2015 Obama: Converted descending trend back to ascending trend and trended up in a tight ascending channel for the rest of his presidency, while implementing an array of regulations to prevent banks from doing this to America again. Decreased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years.
2016-2020 Trump.v1: Maintained tight ascending channel and broke out of 15 year resistance, introduced a lot of lot of volatility and uncertainty, ultimately ended term with the market on the same trajectory it was when he took office. Diluted all US Dollars by 50%, 25% of the dilution was in 2020, coupled with $3T of quantitative easing in a single year (2020) and more than $2T direct stimulus, this dilution and excessive stimulus during a supply chain crunch directly conveyed into rising inflation the following 2 years. Increased our yearly deficit every year in office.
2021-2024 Biden: Broke out of ascending path to a much steeper and unsustainable ascending path, likely due to all the stimulus pumped into the market in 2020 & 2021. Hard pull back in 2021/2022 as Interest rates were increased to deter spending to reduce interest rates which skyrocketed to 10% in 2021 and was brought back down to just above 2% by 2024. We saw a volatile and sharp ascending channel form. At the end of his term, the market was at top of channel and well above all time highs with some of the most growth in the stock market ever witnessed anywhere on earth, ever, as seen in the charts, nearly doubling the S&P 500 in 4 years, the American economy was booming! Decreased the yearly deficit 2 of 4 years.
2025-2038 Trump.v2: Inherited the market at all time highs on the steepest incline we have witnessed to date, and at a point the market is expected to retract based on the charts. Currently it looks like the S&P could lose 15% or so of its value and still be in our ascending channel of 6 years now. As you can see recent pullbacks don’t even register on a weekly candle. Yes these tariffs and subsequent tariff wars will almost certainly wreak havoc on markets as we already see increase in unemployment, significant drops in consumer confidence, increase in debt ceiling, increase in debt through corporate tax breaks, uptick in inflation and uncertainty in policy but --- we still have a long way to fall before we can call this a bear market or a crash. If we do breakdown from the ascending channel, we can expect the S&P to eye around 3200, or nearly half of its current value. If this administration takes over the federal reserve, they can stimulate the economy to fight the decline and prolong the consequences but those measures will involve further dilution, further debt, further smoke in mirrors, further uncertainty and will likely ignite a ticking time bomb with even greater consequences then outlined here.
So in short, stop saying the market is crashing, it is not. But, be vigilant, there is a high probability of short term pullback and a long term crash based on the charts, historical precedence and current administrations activities.
$ETH + $BTC CryptocapCRYPTOCAP:ETH + CRYPTOCAP:BTC Cryptocap pair confirms the r-test phase after the handle cup formation breakout
EUR/NZD - We reached a strong support area - time to grow?Hi guys we are looking into EUR/NZD -
A. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance: Look for resistance levels at 1.8200, 1.8400, and 1.8600 if the uptrend continues.
Support: The key support zones to monitor are 1.7800 and 1.7600 in case of pullbacks.
B. Moving Averages
If the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average (Golden Cross), it signals a bullish continuation.
A price movement consistently above the 200-day moving average suggests a long-term uptrend.
C. Trendlines and Chart Patterns
A breakout above a descending trendline could indicate bullish momentum.
A bullish flag or ascending triangle pattern could suggest further price appreciation.
D. RSI & MACD Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): If RSI remains between 50-70, it supports a steady uptrend. An overbought RSI (>70) may indicate a temporary pullback before further gains.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A bullish crossover above the signal line suggests growing upward momentum.
Our entry would be looked in as follows -
1.82200 Entry price
Target 1: 1.83000
Target 2: 1.83950
Target 3: 1.84350
SL: 1.81350
Nasdaq NQ Update . High probability Long Setup In this video I look at the NQ on the daily and pinpoint whats possibly next for longs and shorts . I highlight a key zone to look for Longs that you need to mark on your chart .
