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Fundamental Analysis

Bitcoin longs at risk - caution advised- dealing with a possible ATH SFP here - looking at the 3D time-frame, with stoch momentum exhausted, RSI reaching overbought territory and most importantly volatility being very low it is possible top longers are about to get smoked - a correction anywhere between the 0.382 and 0.5 fib is possible - nothing confirmed at the time of writing but it is likely that trading back under 105k would be confirmation enough that the bigger correction is on its way Some potentially very concerning things on time-frames starting with the weekly and higher but not relevant at this point in time.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mansasuma
1
QNT BreakoutTraders, As you can see from the BINANCE:QNTBTC pairing, that QNT looks to be ready to breakout. As well as on the CRYPTO:QNTUSD Chart on the right hand side, we are about to see a breakout of this trend pattern which looks to be a Symmetrical Triangle. We have many other indications that this market is soon to start moving on some of these top alt coins. This is a simple chart posted to show areas of interest when QNT moves forward toward price discovery. It is very possible to see the final target depicted on the chart on the right by the end of this alt coin season that we firmly believe started last month. Meaning we saw the bottom of the markets for the alt coins that are looking ready to start moving within the next 6-8 weeks. Stay profitable folks, Savvy
Long
by Crypto_Kinfolk
3278-3320 key position is mainly high sell low buyAt present, gold rebounded after falling back to 3287, and fluctuated around 3300 in the short term. Pay attention to the support area of ​​3278-3283 below. If it does not break this area, you can still try to go long in the short term. After all, from a technical point of view, the decline during the day is a correction and adjustment to the previous rise. From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term focus is on the suppression of the 3316-3320 area, and the lower focus is on the support of 3278-3283. In terms of operation ideas, continue to maintain the interval strategy of "high-altitude and low-multiple", rely on key positions to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for effective signals before entering the market. If the structure or rhythm of the market changes, the strategy will be adjusted in time and notified separately.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
2
OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages. The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum. According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level). Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold. On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received. The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
GBP/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on 1.3600British Pound (CFTC - CME) Commercial traders increased their long positions by +1,839 contracts and short positions by +3,597. Net exposure remains negative, but the significant short increase suggests active hedging and risk management. Non-Commercial traders (speculators) reduced their longs by -1,396 and increased their shorts by +1,827, signaling weakening sentiment toward the GBP. Open Interest rose modestly by +465 → showing renewed engagement, though there’s clear divergence between Commercial and Non-Commercial positioning. Implication: Net pressure remains bearish, but there's evidence of short saturation from Commercials, possibly hinting at a consolidation phase or reversal ahead. USD Index (ICE Futures) Non-Commercials increased both longs (+2,044) and shorts (+1,975), signaling indecision. Commercials slightly increased long exposure (+689), while shorts remained mostly flat (-114). Implication: The dollar shows cautious strengthening, but with no strong directional conviction. A period of ranging price action is likely. 2. Retail Sentiment 67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with only 33% long. Volume favors short positions as well: 7,727 lots vs. 3,866 long. Implication: From a contrarian perspective, the excessive short bias among retail traders supports a short-term bullish scenario, possibly driven by a short squeeze or liquidity run. 3. Historical Seasonality May shows a historically bearish tendency: 10-Year Avg: -2.22% 5-Year Avg: -1.60% 2-Year Avg: -0.65% Implication: Seasonal bias remains negative, but should be interpreted alongside COT and sentiment data to avoid misleading signals. 4. Technical Analysis Price is currently trading inside a weekly resistance zone between 1.3513 and 1.3600, following a strong bounce from a dynamic support. A previous structure break failed to follow through → bull trap was avoided. The weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels, suggesting momentum is shifting upward. Previous demand zones around 1.3176 and 1.3047 held well. Implication: A potential breakout is forming, but it occurs near a key technical level. Without strong volume or fundamentals, the area may trigger a sell reaction. 5. Market Depth There is a heavy cluster of short orders above current price, while long orders appear scattered and less aggressive. This creates a liquidity magnet effect, which may lead to bullish spikes towards 1.3550–1.3600 before any meaningful distribution. Implication: Potential upside extension in the short-term to hunt stops, followed by a bearish reaction. 🎯 Operational Outlook Main Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short-term, Bearish (Seasonal) mid-term Key levels to watch: Resistance: 1.3550–1.3600 Support zone: Ascending trendline and 1.3340–1.3176 Likely Scenarios: Price may spike toward 1.3550 to clear liquidity before facing rejection. A confirmed weekly close above 1.3610 opens the door to 1.3750. A drop below 1.3340 confirms structural reversal and bearish continuation.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
Gold Setup: Trendline Breakout + Fundamental TailwindsGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) gave us a textbook early entry on Friday after testing the 21-day moving average and surging on strong volume. The breakout of a short-term trendline confirms a bullish technical shift, supported by rising relative strength over the past two weeks. Historically, 4%+ weekly gains in a major index often mark a bottom, and this week’s 4.8% surge adds conviction to the setup. On the macro front, gold remains a prime hedge in a volatile environment: Sticky inflation pressures persist globally. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated (Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan). Central banks continue adding to gold reserves, reflecting a shift away from fiat exposure. Debt and deficit concerns in the U.S. are fueling safe-haven demand. Gold’s role as a store of value is as relevant as ever in this uncertain backdrop. Trade Setup: 📈 Entry: 3,335 – 3,368 🛑 Stop: 3,190 – 3,233 🎯 First Target: 3,500 — we’ll look to take profits on a reversal or add to the position on a break above all-time highs. Let’s see how the follow-through develops next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by StratusGrowthTrading
$OKTA Gen AI tailwinds are not materializing as of now!- I'm a seller of NASDAQ:OKTA at $124 . Company was undervalued at 70s but has run so much without tangible materializing Gen AI tailwinds. - Theoretically, Agentic AI should have been a great tailwind for SSO but it appears that industry is not yet focussed on security aspect of it when it comes to agentic AI. - Even on application level, companies are struggling with developing orchestration framework and deploying them at Scale. - Risk/Reward is not suitable for me to stay long. Short or Avoid/sell $OKTA. - I might change my mind if they prove themselves today May 27, 2025.
NASDAQ:OKTAShort
by bigbull037
GBP/USD – Trendline Liquidity Grab and Reversal SetupPrice has been respecting a major ascending trendline, forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, it looks like we’ve had a liquidity grab below the trendline, sweeping early buyers and stop losses. I'm watching this zone closely for a potential fakeout, followed by a bullish reaction. This area aligns with: Major ascending trendline support Previous structure level High-probability liquidity zone If price reclaims the trendline with strong bullish momentum, I’ll be looking for buy confirmations to ride the next leg up. A clean rejection and break of short-term bearish structure would strengthen the setup. Key Notes: Buy zone highlighted Waiting for confirmation before entry Strong RR if price respects the zone Invalid if price closes below the zone with strong bearish pressure Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently!
Long
by loredana99
$PDD Set To flip bearishSignificant downside risk based on a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and geopolitical factors. One major reason for this pessimistic outlook could be valuation concerns; the current stock price may appear overvalued relative to key metrics like earnings, revenue growth, or free cash flow. Additionally, regulatory risks play a large role, especially given PDD’s operations in China. Increased government scrutiny, the threat of tighter tech regulations, and the ongoing risk of U.S. delisting due to geopolitical tensions may all contribute to the bearish sentiment. Slowing growth is another common concern. If analysts see evidence that user growth, spending per user, or revenue momentum is tapering off—particularly as competition from giants like Alibaba or JD intensifies—that could justify a lower target. On top of that, macroeconomic headwinds in China, such as sluggish consumer spending, youth unemployment, or a weakening property market, may further dampen expectations for PDD’s performance. Some bears may also point to transparency or accounting concerns, especially with the limited visibility U.S. regulators have into Chinese financial audits. If insider selling is also occurring, that may reinforce concerns that even company leadership lacks confidence in future prospects. Altogether, these factors can easily justify a sharply lower price target like $50 per share.
NASDAQ:PDDShort
by BigeMarket
6
BTC/USD 4h Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price is moving in the upward trend channel, in which several upward waves can be marked, which may indicate the beginning of another wave of growth. Here you can see how the current rebound has brought the movement closer to a strong resistance zone from $ 110,400 to $ 113,200, only breaking out of this zone on top can give the price an increase in the area of ​​strong resistance at $ 121,000. Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have a support zone from $ 106,600 to $ 105,400, however, if this zone is broken, we can see a quick return of the price to the area of ​​strong support at $ 102,000. The RSI indicator shows how a support line was formed from which the indicator bounced many times, giving the price an increase, while the MACD indicator maintained the upward trend and created room for another upward movement when the price recovered.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD HUNTER MODE: XAUUSD H1 OUTLOOK + DAILY PLAN (May 26, 2025)Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🌟 Hope you’re ready for a fresh week with the kind of sniper focus that turns confusion into clarity. Let’s break down Monday’s key levels and structure, so you trade with confidence, not hope. Current price: ~3358 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, but caution is king as price sits at the top of a major H1 range. 🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST 🔻 3358–3368 H1 premium supply zone (last week’s local high + FVG unfilled) Price hit premium, strong reactions likely 🦅 Eyes on — watch this area for potential sharp rejections or fakeout spikes! 🔻 3380–3395 M15/M30 extension, just above the current HH, in unmitigated OB + FVG High risk for wicks and “bull trap” inducement 🦅 Aggressive sellers: this is your upper defense — don’t get faked! 🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST 🟩 3325–3335 H1 demand/FVG + retest zone, previous breakout base CHoCH confirmed, so first bounce possible here 🦅 Eyes on — look for bullish PA or quick rebounds, but wait for confirmation! 🟩 3295–3312 M15/M30 deep demand, oversold last week, zone of confluence with 50 EMA If price nukes through first demand, this is the next major long trigger 🦅 This is where real buyers step in — be patient, don’t rush! 🟠 INTRADAY MID-ZONE ⚡ 3340–3348 Intraday equilibrium, lots of chop expected Not ideal for entries; instead, use this zone to judge direction after NY open 🦅 Eyes on — let price tell the story, don’t force trades in the middle! 📊 STRUCTURE RECAP (H1 + M15/M30 Confluence) Bullish structure intact above 3325–3330, but buyers need to defend each demand zone or we retrace lower. Premium zones above 3358 are loaded with liquidity and can reverse fast. If price fakes out above 3368–3395 and rejects hard, expect a selloff to next demand. If buyers defend 3325–3335 with a strong CHoCH/BOS, we can see a new impulse leg higher. 👋 Final Note: Watch, Don’t Chase! This is a week for patient, sniper-style entries. Watch the 3358–3368 zone like a hawk — every wick, every fakeout counts! Don’t get trapped in the chop; let price come to your key POIs and wait for confirmation. If you found this plan helpful, smash that like, follow, and drop your questions or thoughts below! Your feedback fuels the next level of analysis. Let’s crush the week, team! 🚀 — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
8
New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%. The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence. New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday. US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0. We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18. NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928 There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
by OANDA