XAUUSD: Market Analysis and StrategiesGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2627, support below 2583
Four-hour resistance 2627, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: On Thursday, gold rose from 2583 to 2626, rebounding 43 dollars, just touching the area near the daily short-term moving average MA5 and falling to 2586. The ups and downs made it difficult for investors to see the market clearly. Yesterday, the gold price maintained a wide range of long and short shocks and closed weakly below 2600. Today's idea is to continue to be bearish and continue to sell on rebounds.
For European and American market operations, the 5-day moving average of the daily line is at 2614, and the strong resistance is at yesterday's high point 2626. The current price is 2605. Don't rush to enter the short position for the time being.
SELL2626near
SELL2614near
BUY:2600near
BUY:2583near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Fundamental Analysis
SPX //S&P500 is looking a bit shaky...lines go back to Dot.comMore charts of momentum of the old X (twitter-verse)...due to limited ideas sharing here...
But analysis on just the monthly timeframe is shown...have more on NVIDIA too on X
Not redirecting traffic, just limited here to share.
Trade or short according to your Doc's recommendations of stress controllability.
Market Correction: Key Support Levels and Strategic OpportunitieThe market has experienced a decline over the past few days, leading to the liquidation of leveraged long positions and the introduction of new liquidity.
This may represent a healthy correction within the context of the broader market trend, which remains firmly upward.
As such, the optimal strategy continues to be to buy on dips.
Key levels to monitor include the strong support area around 84,500, with additional support at the 73,000 level.
While these support levels may not be reached, it is wise to stay alert for potential buying opportunities if the market approaches them.
Take care!
Will market go down to $80k, or even $70k?
Yes, we have already broken through several support levels, and I want the market to stop because too many positions have already been liquidated. But I am not left alone by these several FVGs even lower (marked in purple). These are vast areas of imbalance that are unlikely to be left untouched by the big players. What do you think, will we go below $90k for Bitcoin?
#SPELL (SPOT-INVEST) IN(.00051- .00070)T.(.0120) SL( .0004663)BINANCE:SPELLUSDT (DEFI)
Entry (.00051- .00070)
SL 1D close below 0.0004663
T1 .0020
T2 .0028
T3 .0044
T4 .0120
Extra Target .0200
1 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high.
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This trade advices.
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1- this coin may give you more than 10X in the end of bull market if you could hold it with market volatility
2- after crossing .002 nothing will stop this coin to achieve all the targets
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Golden Advices.
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* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Useful Tags.
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#Manta #OMNI #DYM #AI #IO #XAI #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #VOXEL #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH #AST #PORTAL #CYBER #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #GALA #STEEM #ONE #LINK #NTRN #COTI #RENDER #ICX #IMX #ALICE #PYR #PORTAL #GRT #GMT #IDEX #NEAR #ICP #ETH #QTUM #VET #QNT #API3 #BURGER #MOVR #SKL #BAND #ETHFI #SAND #IOTX #T #GTC #PDA #GMX #REZ #DUSK #BNX #SPELL
Can Market Turbulence Create Future Innovation?In a dramatic turn of events that sent shockwaves through the pharmaceutical industry, Novo Nordisk's recent setback with its experimental obesity drug CagriSema presents a fascinating case study in market resilience and scientific progress. The company's stock plummeted 24% after trial results showed a 22.7% weight reduction efficacy, falling short of the anticipated 25% target. Yet, beneath this apparent disappointment lies a deeper story of pharmaceutical innovation and market adaptation.
The obesity treatment landscape stands at a pivotal crossroads, with the market experiencing exponential growth from its modest beginnings to a staggering $24 billion industry in 2023. Novo Nordisk's journey, alongside competitor Eli Lilly, exemplifies how setbacks often catalyze breakthrough innovations. The CagriSema trial, involving 3,400 participants, represents a clinical study and a testament to the industry's commitment to addressing global health challenges.
Looking ahead, this moment of market recalibration might well be remembered as a turning point in the evolution of obesity treatment. With projections suggesting a potential $200 billion market by the early 2030s, the current turbulence could drive even greater innovation and competition. The fact that only 57% of trial participants reached the highest CagriSema dose points to untapped potential and future opportunities for optimization, suggesting that today's apparent setback might pave the way for tomorrow's breakthroughs.
Most traders on social media are liarsInvesting can be one of the most powerful ways to build wealth.
But let’s face it—most investments come with a ton of headaches.
Running a business? Long hours, high risks, and endless stress.
Real estate? It’s capital-intensive, requires constant management, and tenants can be a nightmare.
That’s why, for many people, simply investing in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) or CRYPTOCAP:BTC can be a better choice.
Over the long term, the SP:SPX has delivered average annual returns of about 8–10%, with minimal effort (even more than that in 2024).
No tenants.
No employees.
No need to monitor charts or markets daily.
Just consistent, compounding growth over time.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting.
Trading —when done right—has the potential to outperform SPX investing.
While the SPX provides solid, steady returns, traders who master their craft can potentially achieve far higher percentages.
But—and this is a huge “but”—most people who try trading fail miserably.
And part of the reason is simple: the trading world is full of lies, scams, and fake promises.
In this article, I’ll break down exactly why most traders are liars and why the only person you should trust in this game is yourself.
If you’re considering trading or looking to spot the frauds, this is for you.
Social media is flooded with “gurus” flaunting perfect results and luxury lifestyles.
But here’s the hard truth: most of them are lying to you.
If you’re not careful, you’ll fall for their tricks, waste your money, and damage your confidence.
Let’s break it down so you understand exactly how these so-called traders operate.
Only Winning Trades? Think Again
Scroll through Instagram or YouTube.
All you see are screenshots of winning trades.
Huge profits like “+200% in a day” or “$5,000 profit this morning while drinking coffee.”
But ask yourself: why do you never see their losing trades?
The reality is, every trader loses—yes, even the best in the world.
There’s no such thing as a 100% win rate in trading.
What these people do is simple:
They take a ton of trades, show you only the winning ones, and bury the losses.
It’s called cherry-picking, and it’s incredibly deceptive.
This tactic lets them sell an illusion of success.
And that illusion helps them build their brand and sell you courses, signals, or mentorship.
Don’t fall for the fake perfection.
If they only show wins, they’re hiding something.
Are These Even Real Trades?
Here’s another problem: how do you know they actually took those trades?
Spoiler: you don’t.
Many of these traders don’t actually trade the markets.
Instead, they analyze the chart after the move has already happened.
Then, they post a screenshot and act like they predicted it all along.
Others use demo accounts.
These are practice accounts where you trade fake money.
They can show massive profits on a demo account without risking a single dollar.
The kicker? Most people can’t tell the difference between a real account and a demo.
And then there’s the outright faking.
They use tools like Photoshop to edit screenshots of their trades.
Or they manipulate their accounts to show inflated results.
Trust me, it’s easier to fake than you think.
If someone shows you a perfect trade, ask for proof.
Ask to see the full trading history, not just one cherry-picked example.
Paid to Lie
A lot of these so-called traders aren’t making money from trading at all.
They’re making money from you.
Here’s how:
1. Broker commissions:
Many traders work as affiliates for brokers.
For every new trader they bring in, they earn a percentage of your trading fees.
Their job isn’t to teach you or help you make money.
Their job is to get you trading as much as possible.
2. Crypto shilling:
Crypto projects pay influencers to promote their coins.
These traders post “bullish” analysis to get you to buy.
Once the hype drives the price up, the project dumps their tokens, and you lose money.
Their motivation isn’t your success.
It’s their profit.
If someone’s making money off your trades, question everything they say.
Don’t Believe Their Track Records
“But what about their track record? It looks legit!”
Listen carefully: track records can’t be trusted.
Here’s why:
1. Demo accounts:
Many traders show results from demo accounts, not real money.
There’s zero risk involved, so they can take wild trades and show massive gains.
It’s not real.
2. Photoshop and manipulation:
Even real accounts can be faked with editing tools.
Some traders manipulate their account history to hide losses and exaggerate wins.
3. Past performance means nothing:
Even if the track record is real, it doesn’t guarantee future success.
Markets change, and strategies that worked yesterday might fail tomorrow.
Don’t trust numbers on a screen.
If they can’t show you live, verifiable results, don’t take them seriously.
Trust No One—Not Even Me
Here’s the most important lesson: don’t trust anyone in trading.
Not the “gurus.”
Not their flashy results.
Not their promises of easy success.
And yes, that includes me.
Don’t even trust what I’m saying right now.
Why?
Because the only person who truly cares about your success is you.
I don’t want you to blindly trust me.
I want you to think for yourself.
Learn how to trade on your own.
Build your own strategies, develop your own edge, and question everything.
If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.
The only person you can fully trust in trading is yourself.
Because only you truly want yourself to get richer.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t a shortcut to wealth.
It’s a skill that takes time, effort, and constant learning.
The internet is full of liars, scammers, and people trying to profit off your dreams.
Protect yourself.
Don’t believe the hype.
And most importantly, trust only yourself to guide your trading journey.
Because in the end, your success depends on you—and no one else.
Thank you for reading (I needed to let off some steam ^^)
Daveatt
Top Trading Ideas of 2025: AI, Bitcoin, Stock Picks and PoliticsIf you’re extremely online and watching the blog of every investment bank, financial institution and markets-focused media outlet, you’ve probably seen a few of those already — year-ahead previews are just too enticing to pass on.
With this Idea, we’re aiming to lay out what our traders care about the most — the big trading and investment trends that will drive a huge chunk of the buying and selling. While only a forecast, this type of outlook could help you to better prepare your trades and set your gaze upon the assets and categories that will slosh around billions upon billions next year.
So let’s do it.
🤖 AI on the Horizon
A thematic priority and one of the top investment trends in 2025 will undoubtedly be Nvidia artificial intelligence. AI is touted as the game changer of the tech industry and all big tech players are racing to seize as big a market share as they can.
To get a feel for what may be coming, let’s look at what happened this year. According to technology-focused analyst firm Omdia, Microsoft MSFT was the biggest buyer of Nvidia’s NVDA flagship AI chip Hopper. (One of these babies will run you about $30,000.) Estimates point that the tech giant bought 485,000 Hopper chips (~ $15 billion ). It’s understandable because Microsoft is OpenAI’s biggest investor with about $13 billion jammed into the ChatGPT parent.
Next in line for the Hopper chip in 2024 is Meta META with 224,000 units. Other big spenders for the AI-enabling tech include Tesla TSLA , Amazon AMZN and Google GOOGL .
Next year, that upside trend is expected to pick up the pace with Hopper’s successor Blackwell — a next-generation AI chip , which has seen insane demand , according to Nvidia’s main man Jensen Huang.
With all that AI buzz, investors will be closely following Nvidia’s every step for signs of whether the chip juggernaut could carry on the miraculous growth.
₿ Bitcoin is the New Orange
What’s the new year without some orange-colored cryptocurrency? Bitcoin BTCUSD is now a $2 trillion beast ready to tear down every permabear’s gloom-and-doom forecast. So what can you expect to see in 2025?
With Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, the cryptocurrency industry is poised for deregulation (think, crypto companies finally getting bank accounts). The President-elect has set out to assemble a team of A-list venture capitalists , entrepreneurs and, frankly, billionaires.
And with the Congress largely made up of crypto bros, digital-asset companies hope regulators will wave away a whole string of suits against them — Coinbase, Kraken and Binance have been carrying a target on their backs for years.
Stripping down weighty rules will help companies expand services and establish bigger footprints, potentially powering Bitcoin’s valuation.
Other than having banks take deposits or lend to crypto companies, something else can propel Bitcoin. The US government may soon have its very own Bitcoin strategic reserve . The vehicle will aim to collect a total of 1 million Bitcoin over a five-year time horizon. The goal: keep stacking and never sell.
🎯 The Game of Whack-a-Mole
Here’s why stocks won’t be skyrocketing in 2025: the Federal Reserve just said it’s nearly done with lowering interest rates. After Fed boss Jay Powell announced another trim to borrowing costs Wednesday, he struck a cautious note saying that the US central bank is now projecting two rate cuts, down from a previous forecast of four.
In other words, stock picking is back on the menu. It’s easy to feel smart — even a genius — when your trade is in profit together with the broader market. But true craftsmanship is best seen amid churning waters when markets are volatile, tough and choppy.
No doubt there will be winners even if equities are moving sideways or looking down. But it’s hard to imagine that US stocks could pull off a third straight 20%+ annual gain (the S&P 500 SPX was up more than 24% in 2023 and is up 24% on the year so far).
Also, the broad-based index is at a record high . So is the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average DJI and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC . Among the big factors that could contribute to a negative year for stocks are rate hikes, recession or stubborn inflation.
All in all, stock pickers, this might just be your year!
🏛️ Power Plays and Market Sways
President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda is pretty clear by now and he isn’t even officially sworn in. If it could be summed up in a sentence it would probably be “America, heck yeah.”
Trump’s second four-year term is expected to usher in a new era of growth through an America-first approach, sweeping deregulation and tax cuts. All that mix of reflation policies threatens to flare up price pressures again. Add to that some hefty tariffs on US imports and you get a powerful concoction of “wait and see if this bursts in your face.”
Inflation expectations have already crept up and the recent consumer price index readout for November does sound some alarm bells. If things are heating up, Trump’s moves may bring them to a boil — tariffs are inflationary and immigration control is inflationary.
And so if the election win introduced animal spirits into the markets, the presidency starting next year will get a chance to make good on all the promises given by the President-elect (and expose some potential weaknesses).
📣 With that, we conclude the walk through what we think makes the most sense to grab headlines next year. What’s your take — do you think there are opportunities to be seized in 2025? Share your thoughts and let’s spin up a discussion!
Rate cuts and their impact on the marketsRate cuts and their impact on the markets
The Fed's decisions to cut interest rates, while seeking to stimulate the economy, have had a mixed effect on financial markets. On the one hand, these measures tend to favor equity assets by reducing funding costs and encouraging investment. On the other hand, in an environment of global uncertainty and expectations of recession, rate cuts have been interpreted by some investors as a sign of economic weakness, which has contributed to the fall in stock market indices.
In this context, investors have migrated towards assets considered safer, such as Treasury bonds, which has generated significant movements in sovereign debt yields. This behavior directly affects traders' strategies during the Quadruple Witching Hour, when position adjustment is usually more intense.
Quadruple Witching Hour amid market declines
With markets facing recent declines, the Quadruple Witching Hour could amplify volatility due to several factors:
1. Massive position adjustments: Investors looking to protect their portfolios or close open positions could generate sharp movements in stock and index prices.
2. Impact on liquidity: In an environment of uncertainty, liquidity could be reduced, making price movements even more pronounced.
3. Impact on specific sectors: Companies that are more sensitive to interest rates, such as technology and real estate, could experience greater pressure due to changing investor expectations.
Outlook and strategies
In this environment, investors should be particularly attentive to:
1. Evolving expectations about monetary policy: Any changes in Fed language or economic data could influence market participants' decisions during the Quadruple Witching Hour.
2. Risk management: Using hedging strategies, such as options or inverse ETFs, can be key to mitigating the impact of volatility.
3. Opportunities in volatility: For more experienced traders, sharp price movements may offer opportunities to generate short-term profits.
In conclusion, the Quadruple Witching Hour in the current environment of Fed rate cuts and market declines represents both a challenge and an opportunity. Careful planning and a clear understanding of the factors at play will be essential to navigate this period successfully.
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
GBPAUD sell at 2.0085 with stop 2.0285 and TP at 1.9565 Fundamentally, expecting BoE cut in feb 2025 earlier than RBA in 2025 also price action looking overstretched for GBPAUD. Although mkt expecting 2 rate cut based on recent data but i still like to follow BoE Bailey already given a clear forward guidance 4 cut next year.
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 174The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 174The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Short Term Out-Look for Stock WeaknessThe number of stocks below their 50-day moving average are nearing the 3.618 % Fib-Extension, which does not mean it cannot reach even the 4.618 % level. Most likely to my experiance, stocks will recover short term after todays "witches" have finished their "rituals".
I expect intraday to become ugly eventually at some point to draw the candle of a "hanging man". History tells us that it is safe to buy after December 24th after a failed X-Mas rally. Good luck and take responsibility for your trades!
Continued bearishness in crude oil pricesOn December 17, 2024, oil prices showed a slight stabilization following the drop in U.S. crude inventories and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cut. However, gains were limited by expectations that the Fed will slow the pace of cuts in the coming months. Brent crude oil futures rose 20 cents, closing at $73.39 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 50 cents, reaching $70.58. Despite these increases, gains moderated after market close.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a drop in crude oil and distillate inventories, while gasoline inventories increased in the week ending December 13. In addition, total product supply, a key indicator of demand, grew to 20.8 million barrels per day, reflecting an increase of 662,000 barrels from the previous week.
Despite the partial optimism around demand, crude oil prices fell briefly following the Fed's announcement to cut interest rates, although the pace of these cuts is expected to slow. The Fed projects only two additional rate cuts through the end of 2025, which could boost oil demand, but also dampen near-term expectations.
On technical analysis, crude oil continues to lose value, with the price looking for the $68 area since the start of the European session. The POC mid-zone is around $70.20, and the RSI is highly oversold at 30%. The crossover of the 200-average over the 100-average reinforces the prospect of a bearish continuation, as anticipated in previous weeks.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
This My Thesis on Altcoin Season: When Alt Season???Yesterday, we had some scary dips in the crypto market, and many people switched to panic mode, they felt the bull season was over.
Well, the bull season is barely 1 year and 3 months old, and it is difficult to call the top when some historical patterns are yet to be seen in the market.
When Bitcoin is pumping, a couple of altcoins are yet to pump as much as BINANCE:BTCUSD , and when Bitcoin dips, they dump harder. This has left a lot of newbies in confusion lately.
They are beginning to lose hope in their altcoin bags. Suppose history is an important factor in investment. In that case, it is correct to say that BTC will soon lose its dominance at 68-70%, and there will be a capital rotation into viable altcoins that have strong communities, utilities, and better technologies.
Observe the chart, I used a weekly timeframe so that you will have a better grasp of what is happening in the market.
BTC will likely squeeze out more capital from altcoins before it reaches the peak of its dominance.
Brace up, invest smartly, and most importantly take profit with wisdom and be patient with your moon bags.
Data don't lie, but if that is not the case this time, I will be glad to embrace my mistakes.
What mistake?
The mistake of depending too much on historical data and not admitting that history, sometimes, does not usually repeat itself.
For now, enjoy the flow of the market.
Cheers to 2025! It was an incredible year for us.
Do you like this analysis? Share with your friends, like the analysis, and follow me for more.
Do you have a contrary opinion? Leave a comment down below, you can present your case without insulting anyone.
#Altcoins Q4 2020 x Q4 2024#Alts market cap TOTAL2 After making a major rise after the US elections in November 2020, it made a major correction towards mid-December and started a parabolic run after being rejected from the ($177.8B) Fibonacci 0.5 support.
Altcoins, which made a major rise after the US elections in November 2024, started a major correction phase in mid-December,
It will not be surprising if the correction ($1.19T) continues up to the Fibonacci 0.5 level and starts moving upwards from the current level.
WHY ALT-COINS ARE DUMPING!!?hello to everybody and welcome back for another analysis.
today is kinda different and we are gonna talk about BTC dominance and the impact it can have on the alternate coins and it's very important.
the reason that the alt-coin market has been all red is actually because of the BTC dominance that is going towards the 60% market cap, and on the other side the BTC price itself is dropping significantly and this alone can cause a huge dump in alt-coin markets.
so be very careful these days for any long entry and manage your risks.
for all holders that want to buy any alt-coins, I suggest that they wait for the dominance to drop and maybe they can consider buying.
Remember, this is not financial advice; it is just my personal opinion that I wanted to share with you all.
THX for reading and have a great day.
ETHUSDT: Bullish Trend ETH is moving in down trend and forming LLs and LHs from previous some days, but currently its formed a bullish divergence on 1hr time frame, so its possibility that ETH can change the trend. So for the confirmation of the bullish trend we will wait for the break of the previous LHs to take a long trade with proper risk management.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 234The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
The bull market is not over yet!This is probably the area of interest from where we will try to increase to the 101k-102k area in the first phase. There was a liquidity takeover, at the end of the month some contracts expire and some are rushing to sell them faster. Don't panic, I don't think the bullish cycle is over, it just took a few out of the game. I put 2 scenarios that can happen in the next period.
P.S: I'm not looking at scenario 3, but I would rather look at 110k 120k. But the market is unpredictable, who knows.