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XAUUSD – Gold Poised for Tactical Recovery as Fed Softens and Y📊 Macro & Fundamental Overview – Week Ahead As June draws to a close, gold captures fresh investor interest amid dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, easing US Treasury yields, and heightened geopolitical tensions. 🔻 Fed Cues & Rate Cut Expectations Markets currently assign a 65% chance of a rate reduction in September, according to CME FedWatch data. Jerome Powell’s forthcoming address, alongside commentary from FOMC members, will be pivotal in setting the tone. A dovish stance typically bolsters gold prices 📈, whereas a hawkish surprise could weigh on the metal in the short term 📉. 📉 Dollar & Yield Dynamics The US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated from recent peaks. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields remain near 4.23%, lacking momentum for a breakout. This environment favours a rotation of capital into non-yielding safe havens like gold — a dynamic especially pertinent for Indian traders mindful of rupee inflation pressures. 🌍 Geopolitical Strains & Institutional Flow Shifts Persistent unrest across the Middle East, Ukraine, and the Indo-Pacific region continues to underpin gold’s safe-haven appeal. Institutional investors are reallocating funds from equities to gold, evidenced by rising ETF inflows and central bank reserve accumulation, notably from China and India. 📐 Technical Perspective – Price Action ⏳ On the hourly chart, gold remains within a descending channel but recently formed a bullish reversal pattern near the BUY ZONE (3325–3327). A drop into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) has provided robust support through confluence. Early accumulation signals appear via bullish RSI divergence and price respecting the trendline support. 🔼 Resistance Areas: Minor resistance at 3355–3360 Key supply zone at 3398–3400 (SELL ZONE), coinciding with a higher timeframe trendline. 🔽 Support Zones: Near-term support at 3330, 3321, and 3301 Deeper support between 3275 and 3278, acting as a multi-session pivot. 🎯 Trading Strategy – Short to Medium Term 🟢 BUY STRATEGY 1 – Short-Term Bounce Entry range: 3325–3327 Stop loss: 3320 Profit targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 Anchored by FVG base, structural support, and RSI divergence. 🟢 BUY STRATEGY 2 – Dip Buying Entry zone: 3275–3278 Stop loss: 3270 Profit targets: 3285 → 3295 → 3305 → 3315 → Open target at 3330 Ideal for capitalising on a deeper retracement with medium-term holding potential. 🔴 SELL STRATEGY – Fade Overextended Moves Entry: 3398–3400 Stop loss: 3405 Profit targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 Best suited for trading mean reversions and news-induced spikes. Confirmation via rejection candles or RSI divergence advised. 🔴 Intraday Sell Setup Entry: 3384–3387 Stop loss: 3392 Targets: 3375 → 3365 → 3355 → 3330 → Open target at 3278 ⚖️ Outlook Given the tilt towards looser monetary policy and rotation of liquidity into safe havens, gold may reclaim upward momentum over the next few sessions. Maintaining discipline around key levels is vital, particularly for Indian traders navigating currency fluctuations and import demand. 🧭 Follow price action closely; avoid chasing volatility and let structural signals guide your decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
XRP Price Finds Some Relief — But Headwinds Remain,Says ArtavionAfter slipping below $0.50 last week, XRP has rebounded modestly, now trading above $0.52. While this short-term recovery provides relief for holders, fundamental and structural challenges still limit the token’s upside potential, according to analysts at Artavion. The recent bounce appears largely technical. Support held near $0.48, and with Bitcoin regaining strength above $66,000, sentiment across altcoins briefly improved. XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of oversold territory, suggesting some room for additional upside — but resistance between $0.56 and $0.60 remains firm. Low trading volume suggests the rally lacks conviction. A major ongoing concern remains XRP’s legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Although Ripple Labs scored partial wins, the case is unresolved. Until a final judgment or settlement is reached, institutional investors will likely remain cautious, and U.S.-based platforms will continue restricting XRP exposure. 🗨️ “The legal cloud hasn’t lifted — and that limits capital inflows,” says a regulatory analyst at Artavion. From a network perspective, XRP Ledger remains functional and Ripple’s payment infrastructure is active, particularly in select cross-border corridors. However, XRP still lacks integration with key crypto sectors like DeFi, NFTs, and gaming, which restricts organic demand and developer activity. Externally, macro conditions are neutral to negative for altcoins. The Federal Reserve’s rate outlook and rising bond yields continue to pressure speculative assets. Stablecoin inflows into XRP trading pairs have slowed — another signal of fading short-term appetite. Outlook At Artavion, we believe XRP is currently locked in a range-bound pattern. A breakout above $0.60 is unlikely without: Full legal clarity in the U.S.; Stronger altcoin sentiment market-wide; Renewed ecosystem development and integrations. 🗨️ “XRP isn’t broken — it’s waiting,” says the Artavion market desk. “But without a catalyst, it stays reactive — not directional.”
CRYPTOCAP:XRP
by HCN-News12
Tesla Rolls Out Much-Awaited Robotaxis. Buy or Sell the Stock?They’re here. After years of tweets, teasers, and timelines that aged like unrefrigerated dairy, Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA officially launched its long-awaited robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. The self-driving revolution, we were told, would arrive like a lightning bolt. Instead, it quietly rolled up to the curb with a safety monitor riding shotgun. On Sunday, ( as promised ) a small, highly curated fleet of Teslas — fully driverless, but not entirely unsupervised — began picking up paying passengers in an isolated section of Austin. CEO Elon Musk, as usual, led the cheer squad, declaring victory on X. “Super congratulations to the Tesla AI software and chip design teams on a successful robotaxi launch!! Both the AI chip and software teams were built from scratch within Tesla.” Investors, naturally, perked up. Tesla shares edged higher by more than 5% Monday morning as Wall Street tried to figure out whether this was the long-awaited catalyst for another rally… or just another “sell-the-news” moment that fizzles as quickly as the hype fades. 🔔 The Soft Launch Heard Around The Internet Let’s not get carried away. This wasn’t a citywide revolution. Tesla’s launch was extremely limited — more of a PR exercise than a true market rollout. Only a handful of Teslas were involved, operating in a tightly controlled, geofenced area. The riders? Carefully selected influencers, many of whom were more excited to film TikToks than analyze technical driving capability. In other words, this wasn’t exactly New York City rush-hour stress testing. The rides cost a flat fee of $4.20, because, of course they did. And while the cars drove themselves, safety monitors sat in the front passenger seats — a very human reminder that the project is still very much in beta mode. The bigger question for investors: Does this prove Tesla’s technology is ready for prime time? Or is it simply an appetizer served years before the main course? 📈 The Market Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the Launch? Here’s where things get tricky for traders. The stock market, as always, is forward-looking. Tesla stock didn’t just wake up bullish on Monday because of a few rides in Austin — it’s been rallying for months because of the promise of robotaxis. Since Tesla’s big October 10 robotaxi event — where Musk laid out plans to launch a self-driving cab service in 2025 — shares have climbed roughly 35%. Much of that gain is already baked into expectations for Tesla finally delivering on what Musk has been promising since at least 2016. Now that the product is technically “live,” even in tiny demo form, some traders are wondering: is this the start of an even bigger rally? The answer probably depends on how fast Tesla can scale. And that’s where reality gets stickier. 🤔 The Scaling Problem: A Long Road Ahead As exciting as Sunday’s launch may have been for influencers and Tesla superfans, it’s not exactly proof of scalability. Deploying 10 carefully monitored cars in a tiny slice of Austin is one thing; blanketing entire metro areas, or states, or countries is another beast entirely. Tesla’s AI software may be improving, and its in-house chip design gives it some vertical integration advantages. But scaling fully autonomous fleets will require navigating a minefield of regulatory, safety, and logistical challenges — not to mention stiff competition. Alphabet’s Waymo is already operating robotaxi services in Phoenix, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, with years of public road testing under its belt. Cruise (General Motors) ran its own driverless service before recently pausing operations after high-profile safety incidents. The technology arms race is fierce — and far from settled. Industry experts continue to caution that mass-market robotaxis may take years — if not decades — to fully materialize. And while Tesla loves to move fast and break things, cities, regulators, and insurance companies tend to prefer a bit more caution when thousands of driverless vehicles are involved. 📝 What’s Actually Priced Into Tesla Stock? Here’s where this gets existential for Tesla bulls. A huge chunk of Tesla’s market valuation — some would argue most of it — now rests on the idea that it isn’t just a car company. It’s an AI company. A software company. A robotics company. A future robotaxi empire. If those narratives start to weaken, so does the multiple. Tesla remains dominant in EV production and it still benefits from profit margins (about half of the profits coming from selling regulatory credits to other carmakers). But even Musk himself has made clear that Tesla’s long-term valuation depends heavily on successfully delivering robotaxis and humanoid robots. If Sunday’s soft launch is the start of something truly scalable, then maybe the valuation holds up. If it stalls — either due to regulatory hurdles, technological ceilings, or public skepticism — the market may need to reevaluate just how much of Tesla’s price reflects reality versus dreams. 👀 Bottom Line: Revolutionary or Just Another Test Ride? So, should you buy or sell Tesla after its long-awaited robotaxi debut? That depends on how you frame this moment. The bulls see a trillion-dollar industry being born, with Tesla perfectly positioned. The bears see a carefully staged PR event masking how far away true autonomy still is. For now, Tesla gets credit for being bold — even if it’s bold enough to roll out a very small, very managed test. But markets eventually ask: “What’s next?” And unless Tesla can quickly scale from 10 cars in Austin to fully functioning fleets in major cities, a victory lap here could feel a little premature. As always with Tesla: the story is thrilling, the stock is volatile, and the future is still very much under construction. And with its earnings just around the corner — you’re following the earnings calendar , right? — things might just be getting exciting. Off to you : Which side are on? The bullish traders looking to add to their long positions or the bearish sellers who’ve been calling “overvalued” for years? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
11
Crude Oil Prices Rocketing amid geopolitical risks NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! NYMEX:BZ1! Macro: Geopolitical tensions remain high and markets are now likely to price in our scenario discussing ongoing air and missile war, given one-off intervention from the US thus far. According to Reuters, the U.S. now assesses that Iranian retaliation could occur within the next two days.What happens next is anybody’s guess but as traders, it is important to navigate these uncertainties with scenario planning and/or reduce risk to account for increased volatility. We also get Services and Manufacturing PMI data today and PCE Price Index on Friday. Chair Powell is set to testify on Tuesday 9am CT. Key levels: Jan 2025 High: 76.57 2025 High: 78.40 2025 CVAH(Composite Value Area High): 75.68 Key LIS zone: 73.50-73.15 We anticipate the following scenarios in crude oil: Scenario 1: Prices remain elevated as tensions remain high, despite limited retaliation, however, the situation overall now escalated beyond return to diplomacy. Scenario 2: Any push towards de-escalation, unlikely in our analysis, but given the headline risk, crude prices may remain volatile and come off the highs. Given our key LIS (Line in Sand) zone above, we favor longs above this and shorts below this zone.
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend. From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Bitcoin Between Conviction and Caution - The Market Suspended?⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: June 23, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $101,226.28. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,740.64): ∴ Price remains above the 21EMA, confirming bullish structural integrity in medium trend; ∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, reinforcing sustained market momentum; ∴ Most recent candle printed a higher low above the 21EMA, reaffirming it as dynamic support. ✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA upholds the current cycle's bullish engine - it is the first invalidation level for any mid-term reversal. ⊢ ▦ SMA50 – ($85,002.38): ∴ SMA50 sits considerably below current price, reflecting distance from mean reversion zones; ∴ Market remains extended, but no immediate signs of pullback toward this structural level; ∴ The last interaction with SMA50 was in late 2023, when it confirmed trend resumption. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 defines the core mid-range support - no threat to it unless a breakdown accelerates below EMA21. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($49,241.87): ∴ SMA200 remains deeply below market, showing that the macro bullish structure remains unchallenged; ∴ Distance from SMA200 reflects the strength and maturity of this cycle’s trend; ∴ Long-term investors remain in profit and structurally supported. ✴️ Conclusion: No macro breakdown as long as price stays well above SMA200 - the secular bull phase is intact. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (Kumo, Tenkan, Kijun, Chikou Span): ∴ Price is trading clearly above the Kumo (cloud), showing sustained bullish dominance; ∴ Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are positively stacked, with Tenkan still leading; ∴ Chikou Span is above price and cloud, confirming long-term bullish alignment. ✴️ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components confirm bullish control - weakening only upon Tenkan/Kijun flattening or bearish cross. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (MACD: 318.17 | Signal: 4,884.24): ∴ MACD line is far below the signal line, though attempting a bottoming curve; ∴ The histogram remains red but with decreasing amplitude - bearish momentum is fading; ∴ No bullish crossover yet - momentum remains negative but weakening. ✴️ Conclusion: MACD suggests waning bearish cycle, but no official reversal signal until crossover and histogram neutralization. ⊢ ▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 57.71 | RSI EMA: 59.39): ∴ RSI remains in bullish territory above 50, although flattening below its EMA; ∴ No bearish divergence observed yet - RSI is consolidating; ∴ If RSI reclaims its EMA, strength may resume; if rejected again, loss of momentum may escalate. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI reflects structural strength, but cautious momentum - monitoring RSI/EMA relationship is critical. ⊢ ▦ Volume + SMA21 – (Vol: 2.51K): ∴ Weekly volume remains below the 21-week average, indicating weakening participation; ∴ Last few candles show declining volume despite price stability - possible distribution; ∴ Absence of buyer aggression may limit further upside near-term. ✴️ Conclusion: Volume suggests lack of conviction - momentum exists, but crowd participation is thinning. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Bitcoin's weekly chart maintains bullish structural posture above all key moving averages, yet momentum indicators reflect hesitation; ∴ The Ichimoku system confirms trend dominance, but MACD and RSI signal that internal strength is not expanding - only sustaining; ∴ Volume contraction reveals market indecision or fatigue, potentially foreshadowing consolidation or rebalancing phases; ∴ Despite no structural breakdown, directional conviction is lacking - further upside demands renewed volume and momentum alignment. ⊢ ☍ II - GAP CME – BTC1! – Chicago Mercantile Exchange: ▦ Previous CME Close – ($99,640.00) + Spot Opening Binance – ($100,980.77): ∴ A clear upside gap is present between the institutional close and the retail spot open, measuring approximately $1,340.77, thus defining a latent Magnet Zone for downward pullback; ∴ This CME gap forms a critical vacuum range between $99.640 and $100.980, which will likely act as a liquidity reabsorption zone if spot retraces; ∴ No immediate fill has occurred, suggesting current bullish momentum persists despite latent imbalance. ∴ The latest weekly CME candle closes with a smaller real body and a pronounced upper wick — a classical signal of buy-side exhaustion below macro resistance ($102K–$103K); ∴ Despite the weakening thrust, no breakdown has yet been printed — the bullish structure remains technically intact above previous weekly lows; ∴ Volume prints are non-expansive, indicating lack of conviction among institutional buyers at this level — vigilance is required. ✴️ Conclusion: The CME structure reveals a latent institutional gap magnet to the downside, with price now suspended above an untested imbalance. The technical structure remains constructive but fragile. Further confirmation from the spot market will determine whether continuation or reversion will manifest in the coming cycle. ⊢ ∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges): ∴ A recent spike in total Bitcoin inflows aligns directly with the $101K zone, signaling increased movement of coins from wallets to exchanges; ∴ Historically, such inflow spikes near local tops indicate preparation for distribution or profit-taking by large holders; ∴ Current inflow levels exceed previous consolidation phases, amplifying the risk of sell pressure activation. ✴️ Conclusion: The market is facing elevated short-term risk from exchange-bound liquidity — inflows confirm readiness to sell into strength. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD – (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-Day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD curve shows clear flattening and early reversal near resistance, indicating a shift in taker behavior; ∴ Passive sell-side absorption appears to dominate, reducing the strength of buy-side aggression; ∴ Price action continues upward while CVD retreats, forming a classic hidden distribution divergence. ✴️ Conclusion: CVD reveals taker exhaustion - without resurgence in spot demand, current price levels are vulnerable to sell-offs. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean – (7-Day Moving Average) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7DMA of inflow mean remains elevated, suggesting sustained presence of large-sized transactions heading toward exchanges; ∴ This behavior often precedes institutional or strategic sales, especially when combined with total inflow spikes; ∴ No decline in the inflow mean implies continuous preparation for short-term distribution. ✴️ Conclusion: Elevated inflow mean confirms that whales and large actors are preparing or executing strategic exits. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (All Exchanges): ∴ Rates across global derivatives platforms remain slightly positive but without speculative imbalance; ∴ The neutral-positive range suggests cautious optimism among traders - not overleveraged, but not afraid; ∴ No signs of euphoric long build-ups, which reduces liquidation risk but weakens breakout fuel. ✴️ Conclusion: A neutral funding environment supports consolidation, not explosive upside — no immediate directional conviction. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (Binance): ∴ Binance-specific funding remains tightly aligned with global averages, reflecting no localized distortion; ∴ Positive, stable readings indicate low speculative friction, but also lack of trend-defining aggression; ∴ Historical patterns show that breakout rallies typically require a surge in funding rate — not present yet. ✴️ Conclusion: Binance traders are balanced - not short-squeezed nor euphoric - bias remains neutral until imbalance arises. ⊢ ▦ Realized Price – Short-Term Holders (MVRV-STH) – (~$47.5K): ∴ Price trades far above the STH realized price, indicating most recent buyers are deep in unrealized profit; ∴ This dynamic historically increases the chance of sell pressure at resistance zones, especially when inflows are high; ∴ No downward compression or convergence - suggesting strength remains, but realization is a persistent risk. ✴️ Conclusion: STH's are exposed to high profit levels - the market is primed for potential realization, but not structural weakness. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ Exchange-based signals (Inflow Total, Mean) confirm active preparation for sell-side flow; ∴ Spot aggression is fading as per CVD divergence, weakening breakout thesis despite strong price structure; ∴ Neutral funding and passive miner/on-holder behavior reflect structural balance - not panic, not euphoria. ✴️ Conclusion: The market rests in a zone of speculative tension - directionally undecided, but operationally sensitive to imbalance triggers. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The temporal structure signals resilience, but lacks expansion - technical relief exists without structural thrust; ∴ On-chain flows unveil transactional friction at current levels, with capital cycling toward liquidity zones (exchanges); ∴ Market energy is neither compressed for breakout nor collapsed into capitulation - a state of coiled hesitation; ∴ Asymmetry remains hidden within equilibrium - vigilance, not movement, defines the moment. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ▦ Structurally Neutral: ∴ Price holds above key macro supports (EMA21, SMA50), confirming preservation of the bullish superstructure; ∴ Long-term holder behavior and miner flows remain passive - structural integrity is undisturbed; ∴ However, no active thrust or trend validation emerges - the system sustains but does not ascend. ⊢ ▦ Tactically Cautious: ∴ Exchange inflows and CVD divergence signal short-term vulnerability near key resistances; ∴ Technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume) reflect a condition of deceleration - momentum is reactionary, not foundational; ∴ Until price reclaims volume-weighted levels with confirmation, the posture remains defensive and watchful. ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
Gold Breakout from Falling Wedge — Targeting 3383🟡 Key Observations & Technical Elements 1. Price Structure The price has been range-bound within a rectangular blue box. The range appears to be roughly between 3,340 and 3,400. There was a previous downtrend indicated by the descending trendline inside the box. 2. Breakout Pattern Price has broken above the descending trendline within the box (bullish signal). The breakout seems confirmed by a higher low and higher high structure. 3. Support Zones A strong support area is highlighted in red below 3,340, showing multiple bounces (demand zone). Yellow box at the bottom shows a false breakout / liquidity grab before price reversed upward sharply. 4. Target A target level of 3,383 is clearly marked, suggesting a bullish breakout expectation. This is consistent with the width of the previous range being projected upward. 5. Indicators Orange circles highlight key reversal or retest points: one at a resistance-turned-support, and another at a breakout retest. 6. Event Icons Calendar/event icons (with U.S. flags) below the chart hint at upcoming U.S. economic data releases, likely to bring volatility. --- 📊 Technical Bias: Bullish Breakout from descending trendline inside range. Retest successful near 3,350 zone. Higher lows forming within the range. Target set at 3,383, slightly below previous highs. --- 📌 Possible Trade Strategy Entry: After confirmation of breakout and retest (currently done). Target: 3,383 (as per the setup). Stop Loss: Below the recent low around 3,345–3,350 zone. --- ⚠️ Risks The upcoming U.S. data events could invalidate this setup depending on surprises in the releases. False breakouts are possible in tight consolidation zones like this.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Olivia_Magnam44
2
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down. There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down. Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless. Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being. Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally. We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made. Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement. FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing. How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity. Thanks for reading.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by JohnDeMelon
Trade Idea: Long XAUUSD (BUY STOP)1️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Structure • 1 Hour (Macro): • Trend: Bullish. 20 SMA is riding above the 50 SMA . • Price has broken above the prior resistance at 3374.50 and is now retesting it as support. • 15 Minute (Tactical): • After a clear push down into 3340.37, price rallied back above 3374.50. • SMAs have flipped back bullish, and volume during the retest shows absorption of selling pressure. • 3 Minute (Entry Precision): • Micro-green candle wicks show a small scratch of buyers stepping in just above 3374.50. • Momentum is picking up to the upside, but we want confirmation of strength before committing. ⸻ 2️⃣ Trade Execution ▶️ Entry: Buy Stop at 3379.50 • Wait for a clean 3 m/15 m push above the short-term swing high (~3379) to confirm buyers are in control. ✂️ Stop Loss: 3374.50 • Just below the broken resistance-turned-support level. • True structural invalidation of this bullish thesis. 🎯 Take Profit: 3394.50 • Targets the next logical resistance cluster (round number area and prior swing highs) for ~15 pt gain. Risk-Reward ≈ 1:3 (SL = 5 pts, TP = 15 pts) ⸻ 3️⃣ Invalidation & Expiry ❌ Cancel the pending Buy Stop at 3379.50 if either: 1. A full 15 m candle closes below 3374.50 before entry. 2. It’s not triggered by 8:30 AM PST.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
Bitcoin Analysis 23-Jun-25Bitcoin price in the weekend retested around 98,500$, this drop was mainly supported by the fear in the markets due to the escalations in the Middle East, & the US taking part in the War. In this short analysis video, we will be discussing the Areas of interest and possible price movement we could see. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
by easyMarkets
8
#GBPJPY: Buyers and Sellers Both Has Equal Chances! Hey there! So, GBPJPY is at a pivotal moment, and we might see a mix of buying and selling activity in the market. Since the bulls aren’t exactly sure what to do next, here’s what we think: - The GBPJPY pair is having a tough time breaking through the 194 region. The Japanese yen (JPY) is holding steady, making it hard to predict what will happen next. This has made trading JPY pairs a real challenge. - Looking back at how prices have behaved in similar situations can give us some clues about what might happen in the future. But it’s important to do thorough research before we start trading. Just because something happened in the past doesn’t mean it will happen again. - The Japanese yen (JPY) also tends to go down when the US dollar (USD) goes up. Since we’re bullish on the DXY index in the coming days, we think the JPY will probably take a hit, and it could go down a lot. It’s also worth keeping an eye on the GBP, which has been one of the most popular currencies since the market opened earlier today. - In the meantime, we suggest setting two take-profit targets: one at 197 and another at 199. These levels are likely to see a lot of selling activity. Now, let’s talk about what sellers should do: - The price is currently in favour of sellers since it dropped from 195.50 to 193.50. And since the last two daily candles closed with strong bearish volume, it looks like the price is going to keep going down. - If the price breaks below 190.50, that would be a great opportunity for sellers to make some money. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
by Setupsfx_
24
#CHFJPY: Last Idea +200 pips, Another 500+ Remanning Hey there! Our CHFJPY trade is going swimmingly, with a +200 pips move already under our belt. We’re expecting the price to keep climbing and potentially reach 185 or more. Feel free to set your own take profit and stop loss based on your own trading strategy. We’re just sharing this exciting opportunity with you. Good luck and happy trading! 😊 We really appreciate your unwavering support! ❤️🚀 If you’d like to lend a hand, here are a few ways you can contribute: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Cheers, Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
14
How We're Earning A 14%+ Yield Selling Puts On CircleWe’ve long been eager to invest in Circle Internet Group (CRCL), the issuer of USDC, due to its vital role in the crypto ecosystem and straightforward revenue model. After years as a private company, CRCL recently went public, and its stock has rocketed—from an IPO range of $27–28 to over $240—yielding a ~780 % return for early investors in just weeks. 🏦 Why CRCL Matters Stablecoins at the core: CRCL issues USDC (USD-backed) and EURC (euro-backed), enabling fast, low-cost transfers, lending, and payments across crypto platforms and institutions. Infrastructure built for compliance: With a transparent, regulatory‐friendly setup, CRCL is poised to benefit from institutional adoption and improved global financial inclusion. Favorable regulation incoming: A pro-stablecoin bill passed the U.S. Senate last week, potentially streamlining fragmented rules—a huge win for CRCL’s legitimacy and future growth. 📈 Revenue & Scalability Interest income engine: CRCL earns revenue by investing reserves (from issued stablecoins) in treasuries and cash securities. Low incremental costs: Issuing more stablecoins doesn’t significantly raise costs, giving the business strong operating leverage. Cyclical dependence on interest rates: As the Fed signals rate cuts, CRCL’s margins and profits may experience pressure despite growing stablecoin usage. 💰 Valuation Concerns Stratospheric multiples: With a market cap of ~$52 billion against ~$1.8 billion in annual revenue, CRCL trades at ~29× sales and ~305× earnings—levels we find tough to justify given the interest-rate dependency. Short- to medium-term softness: With expected rate cuts, we believe near-term margins could contract, likely keeping multiples high or valuations pressured. 🔧 Our Preferred Strategy: Selling Puts Rather than buying CRCL outright at these levels, we’re selling put options—specifically the October 17th $80 strike puts, currently priced around $3.80: Attractive yield: Generates about 4.5 % over 117 days, annualized to ~14.3 %. Flexibility: If CRCL stays above $80 by October, we pocket the premium; if it falls below, we buy at an effective cost basis near $76.20—a steep discount (66 %) to today’s stock price ($240). Risk‑reward balance: We get income now, plus optionality to own CRCL at a safer valuation if assigned—potentially capturing long-term upside without front-loading risk. ⚠ Risks to Watch Assignment downside: If CRCL collapses to zero, we’ll still owe $80/share—mirroring stock-ownership risk. Interest-rate sensitivity: Profits remain tied to rate levels; moves down could crimp margins even if adoption grows. Systemic risks: Any regulatory, technical, or confidence failure around stablecoins or USDC could materially impact CRCL. 🧭 Our Conclusion We see CRCL as a high-potential yet pricey bet today. However, selling deep out-of-the-money puts allows us to capture compelling yield while preserving upside optionality to own shares at a discount. It blends income generation with strategic positioning in a high-conviction long-term theme. Rating: Hold — we prefer income and optionality over full exposure at the current valuation.
NYSE:CRCL
by PropNotes
USDT.D LONG - MID TERM PLANUSDT.D is one of the best tools to understand what's happening in the crypto market. It shows the dominance of USDT across the entire space — and has a strong inverse correlation with BTC and crypto assets. Technicals: USDT.D is approaching its long-term support trendline. I expect a deviation below that line — possibly toward the 0.75 Fibonacci level — before a strong move up. That move could last 1–3 months, which means more downside for alts during this time. Plan: Shorting altcoins — especially ETH-related tokens and memecoins. Looking to buy back around early August.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by UA_CAPITAL
9
Gold Slides as Markets Downplay the Fallout of ME EscalationGold prices are trending lower today after a slight positive open, struggling to hold near $3,365 per ounce, hovering just above the lowest level in over ten days. This weak performance comes as markets continue to downplay the consequences of the unprecedented U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Previously, experts had viewed a strike on Iran’s nuclear sites as the line between a limited bilateral conflict with Israel and a full-blown regional war with global economic costs. Fears centered around a potential Iranian—or proxy—attack on the region’s vital oil and gas infrastructure, which supplies over a fifth of global energy needs. However, those fears have yet to materialize, offering markets some reassurance that the escalation will not trigger a major shock that could reignite concerns over global economic stability. This narrative of containment has stripped gold of the geopolitical risk premium it previously enjoyed. According to the New York Times , some experts believe Iran is unlikely to disrupt energy flows in the region as long as its own export facilities remain intact. In another word, any Iranian attempt to destabilize energy markets may invite retaliatory strikes on its own vital oil infrastructure—further damaging its already fragile economy. Axios quoted Brookings Institution foreign policy director Suzanne Maloney describing Iran’s parliamentary call to shut the Strait of Hormuz as symbolic, arguing that the Islamic Republic is unlikely to risk its economy or the rapprochements with Gulf neighbors. That said, the Middle East’s unpredictable trajectory, with near-daily escalations, continues to unsettle markets and sustain elevated risk appetite, which could ultimately benefit gold. In a New York Times opinion piece , Nicholas Kristof outlined three key risks that could stem from the U.S. strike on Iranian nuclear facilities: the nature of Iran’s response, whether the strike set back or accelerated Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and whether this is a step toward a broader war. Iran’s response could range from symbolic gestures to reckless escalation, potentially dragging the U.S. deeper into direct involvement. According to the Wall Street Journal , Tehran may choose to strike at evacuated U.S. bases in the region, as it did in response to the 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani, when Iran targeted the Ain al-Asad base in Iraq in what was described as a calculated, non-escalatory response. Alternatively, Iran could intensify missile strikes on Israel—viewed by some as Washington’s largest forward base—thus keeping the conflict somewhat localized for now. Still, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei may ultimately reject a ceasefire, unlike what his predecessor Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did in the late 1980s to preserve the Islamic Republic. This keeps the door open to new and unpredictable rounds of conflict, according to The Times . On the nuclear front, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius warned in an opinion piece that Iran could pursue a crude radioactive “dirty bomb” using highly enriched near weapons-grade enriched uranium. Such a scenario would also be dangerously uncertain. In my opinion, it is unlikely that the U.S. or Israel would simply stand down after such a development, possibly setting the stage for the most extreme and dangerous escalation yet. This could align with the protracted duration of the war and reports that Israel’s defensive missile stockpiles are running low, which raising the stakes. Israel may feel compelled to force Iran into surrender, as the U.S. did with Japan, though unlike Japan, Iran could be a nuclear state. Given Prime Minister Netanyahu’s political stance, a settlement that leaves Iran’s nuclear or ballistic program intact is unlikely to be accepted. Iran, for its part, firmly rejects dismantling its programs, adding to the likelihood of prolonged conflict and worst-case scenario. Despite the market’s muted reaction to the U.S. strike, the surrounding risks remain significant and unresolved. As long as their realization remains uncertain, volatility in gold and oil prices may persist until the conflict is either resolved or definitively contained. Samer Hasn
COMEX:GC1!
by SamerHa
GOLD TAKEOFF anticipation Price has broken out of the descending trendline, showing early signs of strength after tapping into a 4H demand zone. I’m watching for a rounded retest (possible liquidity grab) near the breakout zone, with the next leg targeting a strong bullish continuation. 🔑 Confluences: Break of structure + Trendline Break Demand zone reaction ✅ FVG + Minor OB support below = stacked liquidity Bullish fundamentals: Weakening dollar + Middle East tensions → safe haven demand 📍 Target Zone: Above $3,400 📍 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,344 🚀 "Takeoff in progress... patiently waiting for market to fuel the move."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by sam_trades_smc