Get started

Fundamental Analysis

No Rate Hike, No Mercy – AUD/USD Selling in Style!Riding the wave of bearish structure, AUD/USD continues to follow the macro trend with laser precision. After the RBA held rates steady, we’re seeing the typical post-news dump play out—fueled by the market’s disappointment and reduced sentiment. Technically, price respected the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showed strong displacement to the downside, confirming continuation. Key Targets: 🔻 0.62311 – Minor liquidity 🔻 0.62185 – 1H Sell-side liquidity 🔻 0.61703 – Ultimate short-term sell-side target Expecting the market to bleed lower unless major fundamentals flip the bias. Until then... the trend is your bestie. DYOR 🧠📉
Short
by INSIDER_INTEL
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish Outlook – Targeting 3157 & Beyond Gold (XAUUSD) is displaying strong bullish momentum today, with price action indicating a potential rally toward the 3157 level. The metal has established a key demand zone between 3115 - 3125, from where buyers are likely to step in. 🔹 Trading Plan & Key Levels: ✅ Entry Zone: 3115 – 3125 📍 ✅ Bullish Targets: 3157 ➝ 3170 🎯 ✅ Invalidation: Below 3110 ❌ 🔹 Technical Analysis 📊 Market Structure: Higher highs & higher lows confirm bullish continuation. 📈 Support & Demand Zones: Strong buying interest at 3115 - 3125. 📉 Indicators: EMA crossover supports bullish bias; RSI > 60 confirms buying pressure. 🔵 Liquidity & Order Blocks: Price might grab liquidity before pushing higher. 🚀 Bullish bias remains intact as long as price holds above 3115, with an upside target of 3157 – 3170. A breakout beyond 3170 could trigger further gains. Stay disciplined & follow risk management! 🏆
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_with_Ray
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown: Riding the Rising Wedge to Profit1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern that occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows within converging trendlines. This pattern is considered bearish, as it usually precedes a breakdown when price fails to sustain the higher levels. The pattern is clearly visible as price moves within two upward-sloping black trendlines. The narrowing range suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control. A confirmed breakdown occurs when price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating potential further downside. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige, Top Box) This area represents a strong supply zone where price has struggled to move higher. Each time the price reaches this level, selling pressure increases, pushing the price lower. The chart labels this as the Resistance Level, suggesting a potential reversal zone. Support Level (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Box) This is the previous demand zone, where price has rebounded multiple times. Once price reaches this level, buyers may attempt to push it higher. However, if this level fails to hold after the breakdown, further downside is expected. Stop Loss Level (~3,150) The stop loss is placed just above the recent highs. If price moves beyond this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders use stop losses to limit risk in case the market moves against the position. Target Level (~3,080) This is the projected downside target based on the height of the wedge. A measured move (calculated from the highest to the lowest point of the wedge) aligns with this target. It represents a potential 1.78% decline from the breakdown level. 3. Price Action & Trade Setup Breakout Confirmation: The price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a wedge breakdown. The bearish momentum suggests sellers are in control. Entry Zone: A good short-selling opportunity is identified after the breakdown and potential retest of the lower trendline. Risk Management: Stop loss at 3,150 (above resistance). Profit target at 3,080 (expected support). This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 4. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern Rising Wedge Psychology: The pattern forms as buyers push price higher, but each new high has weaker momentum. Eventually, selling pressure outweighs buying interest, leading to a breakdown. Resistance & Support Psychology: The resistance area acts as a supply zone where big traders sell their positions. The support zone may hold temporarily, but if it breaks, panic selling could accelerate the decline. 5. Possible Scenarios After the Breakdown Bearish Case (Most Likely Outcome) Price continues downward after breakdown. It reaches the 3,080 target with increased selling momentum. Confirmation of a bearish reversal pattern. Bullish Case (Invalidation of Setup) Price reclaims the wedge and moves back above resistance. It invalidates the bearish breakdown, stopping out sellers. A potential bullish continuation toward new highs. Final Thoughts This chart presents a high-probability short trade based on the Rising Wedge breakdown and resistance rejection. Traders can manage risk by setting a tight stop loss above resistance while aiming for a target at the next key support zone. The pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, favoring sell setups over buying opportunities. Would you like me to add further insights, such as Fibonacci levels or RSI analysis, to strengthen the trade idea? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading? Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are a fascinating concept for traders seeking to refine their understanding of price behaviour. By identifying areas where market sentiment shifts, IFVGs provide unique insights into potential reversals and key price levels. In this article, we’ll explore what IFVGs are, how they differ from Fair Value Gaps, and how traders can integrate them into their strategies for more comprehensive market analysis. What Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)? A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently. Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later. FVGs are closely tied to the concept of fair value. The gap suggests the market may have deviated from a balanced state, making it an area traders watch for signs of price rebalancing. Recognising and understanding these gaps can provide insights into where the price might gravitate in the future, helping traders assess key zones of interest for analysis. Understanding Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), or Inversion Fair Value Gap, is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept that builds on the idea of an FVG. While an FVG represents a price imbalance caused by strong directional movement, an IFVG emerges when an existing FVG is invalidated. This invalidation shifts the role of the gap, turning a bearish FVG into a bullish IFVG, or vice versa. Here’s how it works: a bearish FVG, for instance, forms when selling pressure dominates, leaving a gap that might act as resistance. However, if the market breaks through this gap—either with a wick or a candle close—it signals that the sellers in that zone have been overwhelmed. The bearish FVG is now invalidated and becomes a bullish IFVG, marking a potential area of support instead. The same applies in reverse for bullish FVGs becoming bearish IFVGs. Traders use inverted Fair Value Gaps to identify zones where market sentiment has shifted significantly. For example, when the price revisits a bullish IFVG, it may serve as a zone of interest for traders analysing potential buying opportunities. However, if the price moves past the bottom of the IFVG zone, it’s no longer valid and is typically disregarded. What makes these reverse FVGs particularly useful is their ability to highlight moments of structural change in the market. They can act as indicators of strength, revealing areas where price has transitioned from weakness to strength (or vice versa). By integrating IFVG analysis into their broader trading framework, traders can gain deeper insights into the evolving dynamics of supply and demand. Want to test your IFVG identification skills? Get started on FXOpen and TradingView. How Traders Use IFVGs in Trading By integrating IFVGs into their strategy, traders can refine their decision-making process and uncover potential setups aligned with their broader market outlook. Here’s how IFVGs are commonly used: Identifying Key Zones of Interest Traders begin by spotting FVGs on price charts—areas where rapid movements create imbalances. An inversion FVG forms when such a gap is invalidated; for instance, a bearish FVG becomes bullish if the price breaks above it. These zones are then marked as potential areas of interest, indicating where the market may experience significant activity. Contextualising Market Sentiment The formation of an IFVG signals a shift in market sentiment. When a bearish FVG is invalidated and turns into a bullish IFVG, it suggests that selling pressure has diminished and buying interest is gaining momentum. Traders interpret this as a potential reversal point, providing context for the current market dynamics. Analysing Price Reactions Once an IFVG is identified, traders monitor how the price interacts with this zone. If the price revisits a bullish IFVG and shows signs of support—such as slowing down its decline or forming bullish candlestick patterns—it may indicate a strengthening upward movement. Conversely, if the price breaches the IFVG without hesitation, the anticipated reversal might not materialise. How Can You Trade IFVGs? IFVGs provide traders with a structured way to identify and analyse price levels where sentiment has shifted. The process typically looks like this: 1. Establishing Market Bias Traders typically start by analysing the broader market direction. This often involves looking at higher timeframes, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to identify trends or reversals. Tools like Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Changes of Character (CHoCH) within the ICT framework help clarify whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish. Indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, can also provide additional context for confirming directional bias. A strong bias ensures the trader is aligning setups with the dominant market flow. 2. Identifying and Using IFVGs Once a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated—indicating a significant shift in sentiment—it transforms into an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Traders mark the IFVG zone as a key area of interest. If it aligns with their broader market bias, this zone can serve as a potential entry point. For instance, in a bearish bias, traders may focus on bearish IFVGs that act as potential resistance zones. 3. Placing Orders and Risk Management Traders often set a limit order at the IFVG boundary, anticipating a retracement and for the area to hold. A stop loss is typically placed just beyond the IFVG or a nearby swing high/low to manage risk. For exits, targets might include a predefined risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3, or a significant technical level like an order block or support/resistance area. This approach ensures trades remain structured and grounded in analysis. Advantages and Disadvantages of IFVGs IFVGs offer traders a unique lens through which to analyse price movements, but like any tool, they come with both strengths and limitations. Understanding these can help traders incorporate IFVGs into their strategies. Advantages - Highlight market sentiment shifts: IFVGs pinpoint areas where sentiment has reversed, helping traders identify key turning points. - Refined entry zones: They provide precise areas for potential analysis, reducing guesswork and offering clear levels to watch. - Flexibility across markets: IFVGs can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, or indices, making them versatile. - Complementary to other tools: They pair well with other ICT tools like BOS, CHoCH, and order blocks for enhanced analysis. Disadvantages - Subject to interpretation: Identifying and confirming IFVGs can vary between traders, leading to inconsistencies. - Limited standalone reliability: IFVGs need to be used alongside broader market analysis; relying solely on them increases risk. - Higher timeframe dependence: Their effectiveness can diminish on lower timeframes, where noise often obscures true sentiment shifts. - Potential for invalidation: While IFVGs signal potential opportunities, they aren’t guarantees; price can break through, rendering them ineffective. The Bottom Line Inverse Fair Value Gaps provide traders with a structured approach to identifying market shifts and analysing key price levels. By integrating IFVGs into a broader strategy, traders can uncover valuable insights and potentially refine their decision-making. Ready to apply IFVG trading in real markets? Open an FXOpen account today and explore potential trading opportunities across more than 700 markets, alongside four advanced trading platforms and competitive conditions. FAQ What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG)? The IFVG meaning refers to a formation that occurs when a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated. For example, a bearish FVG becomes bullish after the price breaks above it, creating a potential support zone. Similarly, a bullish FVG can transform into a bearish IFVG if the price breaks below it, creating a potential resistance zone. IFVGs highlight shifts in market sentiment, providing traders with areas of interest for analysing possible reversals or continuation zones. What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and an Inverse Fair Value Gap? A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is an imbalance caused by aggressive buying or selling, creating a price gap that may act as support or resistance. An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when the original FVG is invalidated—indicating a shift in sentiment—and its role flips. For instance, a bearish FVG invalidated by a price breakout becomes a bullish IFVG. What Is the Difference Between BPR and Inverse FVG? A Balanced Price Range (BPR) represents the overlap of two opposing Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), creating a sensitive zone for potential price reactions. In contrast, an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a concept based on a single FVG that has been invalidated, flipping its role. While both are useful, BPR reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers, whereas IFVG highlights sentiment reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
XAUUSD - Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical Tensions Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly bid today, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, fueling safe-haven demand. The metal has surged from 3098 to 3114, with upside momentum suggesting further gains towards key resistance zones. 🔹 Technical Analysis: ✅ Trend Bias: Bullish 📊 ✅ Key Levels: Support: 3098 | 3085 Resistance: 3135 | 3142 ✅ Indicators: EMA: Price holding above the short-term moving averages 🔄 RSI: Bullish above 60, signaling strong momentum ⚡ ATR: Increased volatility, favoring breakout potential 📉 Market Structure: Higher highs & higher lows confirm bullish trend 📈 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔹 Entry: Buy on dips above 3114 or breakout above 3120 🚀 🔹 Targets: 3135 → 3142 → 3150 🎯 🔹 Risk Management: Stop-loss below 3098 to protect downside exposure ⛔ Gold remains in a bullish phase, and a break above 3120 could ignite further upside momentum! Stay updated & trade wisely! 🔥🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_with_Ray
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels: Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99 DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21 Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92 📌 Zones Identified: 🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in. 🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up. 🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement. 📈 Potential Price Action: 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92. 🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
FX:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 1, 2025 GBPUSDOn Monday, the GBP/USD pair was traversing the charts in familiar territory, passing a familiar accumulation zone as investors awaited the latest iteration of US President Donald Trump's tariff threats. The Trump administration intends to enact a broad catalog of tariffs against virtually all US trading partners starting April 2. Specific details of the Trump administration's tariff plans this week remain vague and elusive, but the main tariff threats remain “retaliatory” tariffs on all countries that have their own tariffs on imports of U.S. goods, regardless of the economic context. Retaliatory tariffs on Canada and the European Union are also expected, as well as additional flat tariffs on copper and automobiles. The UK economic data release schedule remains loose this week, however, fresh US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) employment data is due out later this week. The release of NFP could be an important factor for the markets as the US economy transitions into a post-tariff economic environment, and the March labor data will serve as an “indicator” of the impact of the Trump team's tariff plans. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29250, SL 1.30000, TP 1.28650
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Behind the Curtain: Macro Indicators That Move the Yen1. Introduction Japanese Yen Futures (6J), traded on the CME, offer traders a window into one of the world’s most strategically important currencies. The yen is not just Japan’s currency—it’s also a barometer for global risk appetite, a funding vehicle for the carry trade, and a defensive asset when markets turn volatile. But what truly moves Yen Futures? While many traders fixate on central bank statements and geopolitical news, machine learning tells us that economic indicators quietly—but consistently—steer price action. In this article, we apply a Random Forest Regressor to reveal the top macroeconomic indicators driving 6J Futures across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, helping traders of all styles align their strategies with the deeper economic current. 2. Understanding Yen Futures Contracts Whether you’re trading institutional size or operating with a retail account, CME Group offers flexible exposure to the Japanese yen through two contracts: o Standard Japanese Yen Futures (6J): Contract Size: ¥12,500,000 Tick Size: 0.0000005 = $6.25 per tick Use Case: Institutional hedging, macro speculation, rate differential trading o Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY): Contract Size: ¥1,250,000 Tick Size: 0.000001 = $1.25 per tick Use Case: Retail-sized access, position scaling, strategy testing o Margin Requirements: 6J: Approx. $3,300 per contract MJY: Approx. $330 per contract Both products offer deep liquidity and near 24-hour access. Traders use them to express views on interest rate divergence, U.S.-Japan trade dynamics, and global macro shifts—all while adjusting risk through contract size. 3. Daily Timeframe: Top Macro Catalysts Short-term movements in Yen Futures are heavily influenced by U.S. economic data and its impact on yield spreads and capital flow. Machine learning analysis ranks the following three as the most influential for daily returns: 10-Year Treasury Yield: The most sensitive indicator for the yen. Rising U.S. yields widen the U.S.-Japan rate gap, strengthening the dollar and weakening the yen. Drops in yields could create sharp yen rallies. U.S. Trade Balance: A narrowing trade deficit can support the USD via improved capital flow outlook, pressuring the yen. A wider deficit may signal weakening demand for USD, providing potential support for yen futures. Durable Goods Orders: A proxy for economic confidence and future investment. Strong orders suggest economic resilience, which tends to benefit the dollar. Weak numbers may point to a slowdown, prompting defensive yen buying. 4. Weekly Timeframe: Intermediate-Term Indicators Swing traders and macro tacticians often ride trends formed by mid-cycle economic shifts. On a weekly basis, these indicators matter most: Fed Funds Rate: As the foundation of U.S. interest rates, this policy tool steers the entire FX complex. Hawkish surprises can pressure yen futures; dovish turns could strengthen the yen as yield differentials narrow. 10-Year Treasury Yield (again): While impactful daily, the weekly trend gives traders a clearer view of long-term investor positioning and bond market sentiment. Sustained moves signal deeper macro shifts. ISM Manufacturing Employment: This labor-market-linked metric reflects production demand. A drop often precedes softening economic growth, which may boost the yen as traders reduce exposure to riskier assets. 5. Monthly Timeframe: Structural Macro Forces For position traders and macro investors, longer-term flows into the Japanese yen are shaped by broader inflationary trends, liquidity shifts, and housing demand. Machine learning surfaced the following as top monthly influences on Yen Futures: PPI: Processed Foods and Feeds: A unique upstream inflation gauge. Rising producer prices—especially in essentials like food—can increase expectations for tightening, influencing global yield differentials. For the yen, which thrives when inflation is low, surging PPI may drive USD demand and weaken the yen. M2 Money Supply: Reflects monetary liquidity. A sharp increase in M2 may spark inflation fears, sending interest rates—and the dollar—higher, pressuring the yen. Conversely, slower M2 growth can support the yen as global liquidity tightens. Housing Starts: Serves as a growth thermometer. Robust housing data suggests strong domestic demand in the U.S., favoring the dollar over the yen. Weakness in this sector may support yen strength as traders rotate defensively. 6. Trade Style Alignment with Macro Data Each indicator resonates differently depending on the trading style and timeframe: Day Traders: React to real-time changes in 10-Year Yields, Durable Goods Orders, and Trade Balance. These traders seek to capitalize on intraday volatility around economic releases that impact yield spreads and risk appetite. Swing Traders: Position around Fed Funds Rate changes, weekly shifts in Treasury yields, or deteriorating labor signals such as ISM Employment. Weekly data can establish trends that last multiple sessions, making it ideal for this style. Position Traders: Monitor PPI, M2, and Housing Starts for broader macro shifts. These traders align their exposure with long-term shifts in capital flow and inflation expectations, often holding positions for weeks or more. Whatever the style, syncing your trading plan with the data release calendar and macro backdrop can improve timing and conviction. 7. Risk Management The Japanese yen is a globally respected safe-haven currency, and its volatility often spikes during geopolitical stress or liquidity events. Risk must be managed proactively, especially in leveraged futures products. 8. Conclusion Japanese Yen Futures are a favorite among global macro traders because they reflect interest rate divergence, risk sentiment, and global liquidity flows. While headlines grab attention, data tells the real story. Stay tuned for the next installment of the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we continue uncovering what really moves the futures markets. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6J1!Education
by traddictiv
Cracks Appearing in J&J's Armor?Johnson & Johnson, a long-established leader in the global healthcare sector, confronts substantial challenges that raise significant questions about its future trajectory and stock valuation. Foremost among these is the persistent and massive litigation surrounding its talc-based baby powder. With tens of thousands of lawsuits alleging links to cancer, the company's strategy to manage this liability via bankruptcy has been repeatedly struck down by courts, most recently rejecting a $10 billion settlement proposal. This forces J&J to potentially face over 60,000 individual claims in court, introducing immense financial uncertainty and the prospect of staggering legal costs and damages. Compounding these concerns is mounting scrutiny over the company's historical and recent marketing practices. A federal judge recently imposed a $1.64 billion penalty against J&J's pharmaceutical arm for misleading marketing of HIV medications, citing a "deliberate and calculated scheme." This follows earlier multi-million dollar settlements related to alleged improper financial inducements paid to surgeons for orthopaedic implants by its DePuy subsidiary, and tax disputes in India over questionable "professional sponsorship" expenses tied to similar activities. These incidents depict recurring legal and ethical entanglements with significant financial penalties and reputational harm. Taken together, the unresolved talc litigation, substantial financial penalties from marketing violations, and persistent questions regarding ethical conduct create considerable headwinds for Johnson & Johnson. The cumulative impact of ongoing legal battles, potential future liabilities, and damage to its corporate image threatens to drain resources, divert management focus from core operations, and erode investor confidence. These converging factors present tangible risks that could exert significant downward pressure on the company's stock price moving forward.
NYSE:JNJShort
by UDIS_View
GBP/USD Technical & Fundamental AnalysisThis chart presents a long (buy) trade setup on GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) 30-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis 1. Entry & Stop Loss (SL) 🛑 Entry Zone: 1.29050 - 1.29100 (Purple Support Area) Stop Loss: Below 1.28850 (Red Box) 2. Target Zones 🎯 Target 1: 1.29300 – Minor resistance, suitable for first take-profit (TP1). Target 2: 1.29500 – Stronger resistance level. Target 3: 1.29700 – Major resistance area, final take-profit (TP3). 3. Market Structure & Price Action 📈 The price reacted to the entry zone, a support level. A retest of previous demand zones before potential bullish continuation. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Favorable, as upside potential is greater than downside risk. Bullish Confirmation: If price holds above the 1.29050 zone, an upward move is likely. Recent Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD 1. UK Economic Data 🇬🇧 UK GDP Growth: Slower growth than expected, but still in positive territory. Bank of England (BoE) Policy: No immediate rate cuts, keeping GBP stable. UK Inflation: Still above target, supporting a stronger GBP. 2. US Economic Data 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve (Fed) Policy: Mixed signals from the Fed—some officials hint at rate cuts later this year. If the Fed pauses or cuts rates, GBP/USD could rise. US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data: Expected to show job market resilience. A strong NFP could push USD higher, pressuring GBP/USD. US GDP Data: Slower-than-expected growth could weaken USD, helping GBP. 3. Market Sentiment 🌍 Risk-On vs. Risk-Off: If investors shift to risk-on sentiment (buying stocks, GBP), GBP/USD could move higher. If risk-off sentiment dominates (buying USD as a safe haven), GBP/USD may struggle. Conclusion & Trading Plan ✅ Buy near 1.29050 - 1.29100 with SL below 1.28850. ✅ Take Profits: TP1 (1.29300), TP2 (1.29500), TP3 (1.29700). ✅ Monitor: US economic data, Fed rate expectations, and risk sentiment.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
#NOT #NOTUSDT #NOTCOIN #AMD #Analysis #Spot #Futures #Long #Eddy#NOT #NOTUSDT #NOTCOIN #AMD #Analysis #Spot #Futures #Long #Eddy NOTUSDT.P Lower Time Frame "AMD" Analysis Great opportunity to invest spot at a specified price. To get confirmation, you need to be patient until the AMD structure is complete on the lower timeframe, first wait for the manipulation and then get confirmation of entry for buy trades, and follow the price during the distribution phase. Important areas of the lower & higher time frame are identified and labled. This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD Analysis )) Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point are indicated on the chart along with their amount. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 300% & 1000% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump. Be successful and profitable. (( This is a lower time frame AMD structure inside another higher time frame AMD structure. )) Please Check NOTUSDT Higher Time Frame "AMD" Analysis from this link :
by Eddy_Trade_
5
#NOT #NOTUSDT #NOTCOIN #AMD #Analysis #Spot #Long #Eddy#NOT #NOTUSDT #NOTCOIN #AMD #Analysis #Spot #Long #Eddy NOTUSDT Higher Time Frame "AMD" Analysis Great opportunity to invest spot at a specified price. Important areas of the higher time frame are identified and labled. This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. (( AMD Analysis )) Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point are indicated on the chart along with their amount. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 300% & 1000% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump. Be successful and profitable.
by Eddy_Trade_
Delta Airlines - Long Term FlyerHey, all. Pretty intense idea here, but I am a buyer of NYSE:DAL at these levels. Obviously, the chart looks awful from a recent performance perspective. However, if you take a long term view, we could actually be rebalancing after an initial range expansion to the upside. Just like NASDAQ:RIVN , airlines are/have been a pretty brutal investment. I guess I have a thing for pain. Ha. I am certainly a believer that airlines are undervalued here and can reverse back to the upside. Of course, it goes against the current narrative that the economy is showing signs of weakness. But I am just willing to take the risk on this one. I believe the consumer and culture shift in the US to have more experiences in life will continue to hold. Are we going to come in for a hard landing, or take off to cruising altitude? We'll see what kind of lift the market will give us. Right now the turbulence is pretty intense.
NYSE:DALLong
by redykhouse
GOLD surges above $3,100 as April 2 approachesThe international OANDA:XAUUSD has jumped above 3,100 USD for the first time in this trading day, as concerns about US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its possible economic consequences, along with geopolitical uncertainties, have prompted a new round of safe-haven investment. As of press time, spot OANDA:XAUUSD was up 0.86% at $3,111/oz, having earlier hit an all-time high of $3,111.55, surpassing the all-time high set last Friday. Trump signed a proclamation last week imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, and markets are bracing for so-called “reciprocal tariffs” that the White House is expected to announce on Wednesday. Gold has hit a record high and is up more than 18% this year, cementing its status as a hedge against economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Earlier this month, gold prices broke through the psychological $3,000 mark for the first time, a milestone that reflects growing market concerns about economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and inflation that will continue to drive gold higher. Since taking office, Trump has pushed through a series of new tariffs to protect U.S. industry and reduce the trade deficit, including a 25% tariff on imported cars and parts and an additional 10% tariff on all imports from China. He plans to announce a new round of reciprocal tariffs on April 2. In addition to trade tensions, strong central bank demand for gold and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will continue to support the incredible rally in gold prices this year. In short, until there is a resolution to this back-and-forth tariff war, the tariff issue will continue to push prices higher in the near term. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has achieved a key bullish target at the confluence of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension with the upper edge of the price channel. Once gold breaks this level (3,113 USD), it will be eligible for further upside with the next target around 3,139 USD in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.618% Fibonacci extension. In the meantime, the steep RSI remains active in the 80-100 area but shows no signs of weakening or correction, so in terms of momentum, the bullish momentum remains very strong. As long as gold remains within the channel, it has a medium-term bullish outlook, otherwise the channel will become a short-term bullish trend channel. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following technical levels. Support: 3,086 – 3,057 – 3,113 USD Resistance: 3,139 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3140 - 3138⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3144 →Take Profit 1 3132 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3126 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3085 - 3087⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3081 →Take Profit 1 3093 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3099
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 31 - April 04]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,003 USD/oz to 3,087 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,085 USD/oz. The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump decided to impose a 25% tax on imported cars into the US. This seems to go against Mr. Trump's previous statement about "easing" tariffs, causing investors to worry that US partner countries will retaliate, making the global trade war more intense. Some countries, such as the UK and Japan, have taken some steps to appease and actively negotiate to avoid US tariffs, while many other countries have announced their readiness to retaliate against US tariffs. Therefore, many experts believe that the tariff policy announced by Mr. Trump on April 2 will be very unpredictable. If Mr. Trump still decides to impose tariffs on many countries, the gold price next week may continue to increase sharply, far exceeding 3,100 USD/oz. However, if Mr. Trump narrows the scale of tariffs as announced and does not impose additional industry-specific tariffs on lumber, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, the gold price next week is at risk of facing strong profit-taking pressure, especially when the gold price is already deep in the overbought zone. In addition to the Trump administration's tax policy, investors also need to pay close attention to the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report to be released next weekend, because this index will directly impact the Fed's interest rate policy. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: The most notable economic news in the coming week will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payrolls report due Friday morning. Experts warn that both events could increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a number of other important US economic data will be released, including the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job vacancies on Tuesday, the ADP employment report on Wednesday, along with the ISM services PMI and weekly jobless claims on Thursday. 📌Technically, short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold price next week may continue to surpass the 3100 round resistance level, approaching the Fibonacci 261.8 level around the price of 3,123 USD/oz. The current support level is established around the 3057 level, if next week gold price trades below this level, gold price is at risk of falling to around the 3,000 USD/oz round resistance level. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,057 – 3,051USD Resistance: 3,100 – 3,113USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3133 - 3131⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3137 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2999 - 3001⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Gold Price Analysis March 31Fundamental Analysis Gold price attracts safe-haven flows for the third straight day amid rising trade tensions. Fed rate cut bets weigh on the USD and also lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Overbought conditions on the daily chart now warrant some caution for bullish traders. Technical Analysis Gold continues to hit ATH levels and is very difficult to trade with a large amount of Fomo BUY. The important point to retest the BUY signal today is at 3100-3098. And 3145 is the target level for the ATH peak of Gold today. What do you think of the above analysis? Please leave your comments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 1st April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -ISM Manufacturing PMI -JOLTS Job Openings Analysis: -Strong bullish closure on daily -Looking for continuation to the upside after 4hr structure retest -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
Gold Price Breakout Prediction - 15-Minute ChartThis chart shows the 15-minute price movement of Gold (XAU/USD) with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. A potential breakout is expected, targeting 3,133 Explanation: The price has been moving within a triangle pattern. If the price breaks above the resistance level, it may rise to 3,133. The shaded purple box marks a key support zone where the price previously bounced. Traders might wait for confirmation before entering a buy trade toward the 3,133 target.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Rosy_fx_expert