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$LUCE Gearing For A Comeback Amidst Bullish Symmetrical TriangleLUCE token ( LSE:LUCE ) a token created on the Solana ecosystem is set for a parabolic surge after breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The asset has undergone multiple trough and crest pattern prior the market's volatility. So many assets faced extreme selling pressure for the past 2 days amidst Donald Trump's Tax Tariff laws, a move that saw about $2.85 trillion wiped out from the US stock market yesterday. However, LSE:LUCE managed to break of a symmetrical triangle pattern despite the dip, setting its compass above the 1-month high. Should LSE:LUCE breakout of the 1-month high resistant point, a move to a $50 million market cap will be inevitable. With listings from Bybit, Gateio, MEXC, Bitget, BingX, HTX and quiet a number of exchanges, LSE:LUCE could be the catalyst to spark the next cycle of memes in the Solana blockchain. LUCE Price Live Data The live LUCE price today is $0.013456 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $7,003,198 USD. LUCE is up 0.75% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $13,455,554 USD. It has a circulating supply of 999,999,996 LUCE coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 LUCE coins.
RAYDIUM:LUCESOL_HQWSAX.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
NZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip RangeNZDUSD: Trading Within a Narrow 50-pip Range The NZDUSD currency pair has been trading within a narrow 50-pip range, stuck between 0.5710 and 0.5760 for about 10 days. It seems likely that this sideways movement will continue in the coming week, as there are no major developments expected. Next week, two key events could impact the US dollar. The first is the decision on Trump's tariffs, expected by April 2 or 3. The second is the release of Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The U.S. is forecasted to report a decline in job growth to 128,000, down from 151,000 in the previous month. Market conditions may remain choppy, and even if NZDUSD moves lower, I don't expect it to fall below 0.5680. The reversal zone between 0.5680 and 0.5710 will likely remain critical for the pair to regain upward momentum, as highlighted on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
6
EUR/USD – Bullish Flag Pattern & Trade SetupTechnical Analysis & Trade Plan for TradingView Idea This chart illustrates a Bullish Flag Pattern on the EUR/USD 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Below is a detailed breakdown of the market structure, key levels, and a professional trading strategy. 📌 Chart Pattern: Bullish Flag Formation The Bullish Flag is a continuation pattern that forms after a strong upward price movement, followed by a short period of consolidation within a downward-sloping channel. It signals a brief pause before the trend resumes. Flagpole: The sharp price increase before the consolidation. Flag: The corrective downward movement forming a small parallel channel. Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above resistance could lead to a further bullish rally. 🔍 Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔵 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The upper boundary of the flag pattern acts as resistance. A breakout above this level could trigger a strong buying opportunity. 🟢 Support Level (Demand Zone) The lower boundary of the flag provides support. Price is currently testing this zone, which is a critical decision point. 🎯 Target Price: 1.14544 (Projected Move) The price target is calculated based on the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point. This aligns with a previous significant resistance area. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Entry Criteria: A confirmed breakout above the flag's resistance level with a strong bullish candlestick. Increased trading volume supporting the breakout. 🚨 Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone of the flag to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Take Profit Target: At 1.14544, aligning with the measured move of the flag pattern. 📊 Trade Confirmation Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): A reading above 50 confirms bullish momentum. Moving Averages (50 EMA/200 EMA): A bullish crossover would strengthen the buying signal. Volume Analysis: A breakout should be accompanied by high trading volume for confirmation. ⚠️ Potential Risks & Alternative Scenarios Fake Breakout: If the price breaks out but lacks volume, it could be a false signal. Bearish Reversal: If price breaks below the support zone, the bullish flag setup becomes invalid. Market Sentiment Shift: Unexpected news events can impact price movement. 📝 Summary The EUR/USD pair has formed a Bullish Flag Pattern, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend. A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern and provide a strong buying opportunity. Risk management is essential, with a stop loss placed below the support level. Final Target: 1.14544, based on the flagpole’s measured move. 💡 Conclusion: A well-structured breakout above resistance could lead to a bullish rally toward 1.14544. However, patience and confirmation are key before entering the trade.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold/Silver Ratio Nears 100: What Does It Mean Historically?The Gold/Silver ratio is on the verge of reaching 100, an extremely rare level seen only at key historical turning points. The chart includes a 2,500-week linear regression channel, which shows that over the very long term, the ratio has been steadily rising, though at a slow pace. Occasionally, the ratio touches the 1.5 standard deviation line, and in rare, game-changing events, and sometimes it even breaks beyond that level. Here are some of the key historical turning points marked by major spikes in the Gold/Silver ratio: 1- Early 1990s: The collapse of the Soviet Union, the Gulf War, and a U.S. recession pushed the ratio to 106. It remained above 1.5 standard deviations for more than two years. 2- 2002: Following the dot-com bubble burst, the 9/11 attacks, and the Iraq War, the ratio climbed to 82.6, nearing the 1.5 deviation line. 3- 2008 Recession: The global financial crisis triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent the ratio to 88.50. This spike sparked a major rally in both gold and silver, lasting until 2011 when the ratio reached one of its deepest bottoms. 4- 2019: The U.S.–China trade war under Trump’s first term pushed the ratio to 93, again nearing the 1.5 deviation threshold. 5- 2020 (COVID-19 Shock): The pandemic caused one of the biggest disruptions in modern economic history. Although relatively short-lived, its impacts were severe. The Gold/Silver ratio surged to 126 , marking the highest level in modern records, possibly the highest in all of history. 6- 2024–2025 (Global Trade War?): With the U.S. imposing major tariffs on key global trading partners, this could be another historic inflection point. The full impact is still unfolding, but risks of a serious global slowdown, or even a deep recession are rising. A full-scale trade war remains a real possibility. Now, the Gold/Silver ratio is approaching 100 and nearing the 1.5 standard deviation line. It remains unclear whether this represents a powerful pair trade opportunity—"sell gold, buy silver"—or a structural breakout where the ratio stays elevated for an extended period. In either case market is showing that this is one of the rare turning point of global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
JPY/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trading Setup1. Market Structure & Technical Pattern: The Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) has been exhibiting a clear Rising Wedge Pattern over the past few months. This is a classic bearish reversal pattern, indicating that buying momentum is gradually weakening, and a strong decline is likely to follow. Formation of the Rising Wedge: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confined within two converging trendlines (black lines). The lower boundary (support trendline) has been consistently acting as a dynamic support level. The upper boundary (resistance trendline) has been limiting further upward movement, indicating exhaustion of buying pressure. Breakout Confirmation: The price action tested the resistance zone multiple times but failed to sustain bullish momentum. A strong rejection from the upper resistance level led to a sharp sell-off, causing a breakdown of the support trendline. Once the price broke below the wedge, selling pressure intensified, confirming the trend reversal. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones: Resistance Level (0.006895): The price previously struggled to break above this resistance zone, forming a strong supply area where sellers dominated. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the rising wedge, making it a significant turning point. The rejection from this zone initiated the bearish breakdown. Support Level (Broken – 0.006650): This level acted as a strong demand zone, preventing further downside movement during the wedge formation. However, once the price broke below this level, it confirmed the end of the uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend. This level may now act as a new resistance (role reversal principle). Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.006895): A logical stop-loss is placed just above the resistance level to protect against a potential invalidation of the bearish setup. If the price closes above this level, the bearish thesis would be invalidated. 3. Trading Execution & Risk Management: Sell Entry Strategy: Traders looking for short positions should enter after a confirmed break below the wedge’s support. A potential pullback (retest) to the broken trendline could offer an additional shorting opportunity. The retest would confirm the previous support turning into resistance before a continuation of the downtrend. Take Profit Targets (TP1 & TP2): TP1 (0.006481): This level represents a strong demand zone where short-term buyers may step in. Traders may choose to book partial profits here. TP2 (0.006251): This is a deeper support level and the final target for this trade setup. If the price sustains bearish momentum, it is likely to reach this level before stabilizing. Risk-to-Reward Ratio Consideration: This setup offers a high probability short trade with an attractive risk-to-reward ratio. The stop-loss is well-defined, minimizing potential losses while maximizing profit potential. 4. Expected Price Movement & Projection: Short-term Outlook: A possible pullback to the broken wedge (previous support now acting as resistance) before continuation lower. If the price retests and rejects the 0.006650 level, expect acceleration in the downtrend. Medium-term Outlook: If the price reaches TP1 (0.006481) and breaks below, it increases the probability of hitting TP2 (0.006251). A bearish trend continuation could form, potentially leading to further downside levels. Invalidation Scenario: If the price closes above the stop-loss level (0.006895), the bearish setup is invalidated, and a bullish breakout could follow instead. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan: The rising wedge breakdown signals a shift from bullish to bearish market sentiment. Traders should look for short entries after a confirmed breakdown or wait for a pullback before executing trades. The risk-to-reward ratio makes this a strong high-probability trade setup. Following the plan with strict stop-loss placement ensures risk is controlled while maximizing profit potential. 6. Summary & Key Takeaways: ✅ Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) ✅ Breakout Direction: Downside ✅ Resistance Level: 0.006895 ✅ Support Levels: 0.006650 (broken), 0.006481 (TP1), 0.006251 (TP2) ✅ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 0.006895 ✅ Profit Targets: TP1 – 0.006481, TP2 – 0.006251 ✅ Trade Bias: Bearish
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Detailed Analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) – Double Top BreakoutThe chart represents a technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe (1D). A Double Top pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal formations, is developing. This signals a potential downtrend, with key price levels and trendlines confirming weakness in bullish momentum. Below is a full breakdown of the pattern, price action, and trading setup. 1️⃣ Pattern Formation: Double Top – Bearish Reversal A Double Top pattern occurs when the price reaches a resistance level twice, failing to break higher. It indicates a shift from a bullish trend to a bearish one. 🔹 Characteristics of the Double Top in This Chart: First Peak (Top 1 - Resistance at ~$34.57): The price made a strong move upward, reaching a high near $34.57. Selling pressure at this level pushed the price downward, forming a support level near $30 (Neckline). Pullback & Temporary Support (~$30 Neckline): Buyers stepped in at the support zone, causing a bounce back towards resistance. This level acted as strong demand, preventing further decline temporarily. Second Peak (Top 2 - Rejection at Resistance Again): Price attempted to break above the previous peak but failed. This failure to form a higher high confirms the presence of strong sellers. The second rejection strengthens the resistance level at $34.57, signaling exhaustion in buying momentum. Break of the Trendline Support (Bearish Shift): A previously ascending trendline (black dashed line) was providing support for the uptrend. Price broke below this trendline, indicating a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Trading Setup 🔸 Resistance Zone (~$34.57 - Stop Loss Area) This is the major resistance level, tested twice and confirmed as a supply zone. A move above $34.57 would invalidate the bearish pattern, making this an ideal stop-loss level. 🔹 Support Level / Neckline (~$30 - Breakdown Confirmation) The neckline acts as a critical level. If the price breaks below $30, the Double Top formation is confirmed. If the price retests this level from below and rejects (fails to reclaim it as support), it becomes a strong short entry signal. 🔻 Target Price (Projected Move - $23.01) The target is based on the measured move rule of a Double Top: Distance from resistance ($34.57) to neckline ($30) ≈ $4.57. Projecting this same distance downward gives a target of ~$23.01. This aligns with historical demand zones, increasing the probability of price reaching this level. 3️⃣ Trading Plan: Short Setup Execution 🔽 Short Entry (Breakdown Confirmation Below $30) Ideal entry point is after the neckline breaks and confirms resistance upon a retest. A breakdown with strong volume enhances the validity of the setup. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement (Above $34.57 Resistance Level) Placing a stop above the second peak ($34.57) ensures protection against invalidation. If price moves back above this level, the pattern fails, indicating a potential return to bullish momentum. 🎯 Target Price ($23.01) – Measured Move Projection The price target aligns with the pattern structure and historical support levels. Traders can take partial profits at intermediary levels ($27–$26) before full target realization. 4️⃣ Additional Confirmation Factors – Confluence for Bearish Bias 1️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI & MACD Bearish Signals If RSI (Relative Strength Index) drops below 50, it confirms weakening bullish momentum. A MACD bearish crossover (signal line crossing below the MACD line) would further validate the downtrend. 2️⃣ Volume Analysis – Breakout Confirmation A high volume breakout below $30 confirms selling pressure. Low-volume breakdowns can lead to false breakouts, making volume a crucial factor to watch. 3️⃣ Fundamental Factors – Macro Outlook on Silver (XAG/USD) Silver prices are influenced by interest rates, inflation, and USD strength. If USD strengthens, silver could face more selling pressure, aligning with this bearish technical setup. Any hawkish monetary policy statements could accelerate the downside movement. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios ✔️ Ideal Risk-Reward Ratio Risk: Stop loss at $34.57 (~4.5% above entry) Reward: Target at $23.01 (~23% move) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (highly favorable for short trades) ⚠️ Bullish Invalidations – When to Avoid the Trade? If Silver reclaims $34.57 and holds above, the pattern fails. A false breakout scenario could occur if price breaks below $30 but quickly moves back above. Watching for bullish divergence on indicators like RSI before entering a short position is recommended. Final Conclusion: Bearish Bias with Strong Downside Potential 📉 Summary of the Bearish Case: ✔️ Double Top pattern confirms a bearish reversal if the neckline breaks. ✔️ Break of ascending trendline signals increasing seller control. ✔️ Key levels: Stop-loss above $34.57 | Entry below $30 | Target $23.01. ✔️ Additional confluence: RSI, MACD, and volume confirmation strengthen the trade setup. 🚀 If price action aligns with this analysis, this setup presents a high-probability short opportunity. Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🔥
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility. Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone. Resistance levels: 0.84600 Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396 The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownBitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart – Detailed Professional Analysis This chart presents a Rectangle Pattern, a common consolidation structure in technical analysis. The price has been oscillating between a well-defined resistance level near $88,000 - $89,000 and a support level around $80,000 - $81,000. This pattern suggests an upcoming breakout, with bearish continuation being the most probable scenario. Understanding the Rectangle Pattern A rectangle pattern forms when price moves sideways, trapped between two horizontal levels. Traders watch for a breakout in either direction to determine the next trend. In this case, Bitcoin has tested the resistance multiple times but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, support has been retested several times, which weakens its strength over time. A bearish breakdown is likely because: Buyers appear unable to push past resistance, showing exhaustion. Support has been tested multiple times, which increases the chance of a breakdown. The dotted black trendline is now being tested, and a break below it would further confirm bearish momentum. Trade Setup for a Breakdown A short trade becomes valid only if Bitcoin breaks below the $81,000 - $82,000 support zone with strong momentum. The price must close below this level to confirm the move. How to Enter the Trade? Look for a strong bearish candle close below the $81,000 - $82,000 range. If Bitcoin retests this broken support (now acting as resistance), this can be a secondary short entry point. Once confirmation is seen, open a short position. Stop Loss Placement To protect against false breakouts, a stop loss should be set above the $88,457 resistance zone. If the price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses this level, it means the bearish setup is no longer valid. Profit Target and Trade Expectation The expected take profit target is $73,541. This is calculated using the measured move projection, meaning the height of the rectangle is subtracted from the breakdown point. If Bitcoin reaches this level, the trade will have successfully captured the bearish momentum. Market Psychology Behind This Move The repeated failure to break above resistance ($88,000 - $89,000) signals weak buying interest. Buyers have been stepping in at support, but each retest of the $80,000 - $81,000 zone makes it more vulnerable. Once support finally breaks, several factors will accelerate the move: Long positions will be forced to sell, increasing selling pressure. Breakout traders will enter new short positions, pushing price further down. Liquidity below support will be triggered, causing Bitcoin to fall sharply toward the $73,541 target. Invalidation Scenario (Bullish Case) If Bitcoin breaks above $88,000 - $89,000 and holds, the bearish setup becomes invalid. In that case: The price would shift into a bullish continuation pattern. Traders should avoid shorting and instead look for buying opportunities above resistance. Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bearish setup, but patience is key—wait for confirmation before entering. Risk management is crucial : The stop loss at $88,457 ensures that losses are minimized if the market moves against the trade. If Bitcoin remains inside the rectangle, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance until a breakout occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
TrumpFall in the Market due to Reciprocal Tariffs.By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades The announcement of new reciprocal tariffs by President Donald Trump has triggered an immediate reaction in the markets, causing dizzying drops in various companies since the beginning of the week. The measure has generated an environment of high volatility, with investors seeking refuge in the face of growing instability. Most Affected Companies and Sectors - Technology and Semiconductors • Apple Inc. has seen its shares fall by more than 15% during the week, affected by its dependence on global supply chains. • Amazon and Meta: Both tech giants have seen declines of about 9%, driven by fears over international exposure and rising tariff costs. • Nvidia and other companies in the semiconductor sector: They have posted even larger declines, reflecting this sector's sensitivity to trade uncertainty. - Automotive and Aerospace • Tesla Inc.: The electric vehicle maker has plunged nearly 20%, driven by concerns about rising production costs and competition from local manufacturing. • Boeing Co: Shares have fallen around 18% on concerns about potential disruptions to its supply chain and the impact of new trade barriers. - Industrials and Conglomerates • General Electric: The conglomerate has seen its share price fall by around 16%, as its extensive global operations are threatened by the tightening of trade policies. - Transportation & Logistics • AP Moller Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd: The shipping companies have suffered sharp declines, reflecting the sector's sensitivity to global trade dynamics and tariff measures. - Energy • Chevron and TotalEnergies: Oil prices have fallen by 5% following the unexpected increase in supply by OPEC+, causing significant losses for these oil companies, which are facing an environment of uncertainty and adjustments in the energy markets. - Financial Sector • Asian Banks: Although no specific names are mentioned, several banks in Asia have experienced pronounced volatility, being affected by the environment of uncertainty and concerns about asset quality in the region. • Small cap indices: The Russell 2000, which groups smaller U.S. companies, has fallen 6.6% and accumulated a loss of over 20% since its record high in November, also reflecting the sensitivity of the financial sector in the current environment. S&P500 Analysis Looking at the one hour chart we can see that since April 2nd, a lower bell curve has already started, despite the fact that the Price Control Point (POC) is located in the area where it was trading in the early hours of yesterday's Asian trading day at around 5624 points. This fall related to the news has caused the markets to discount the price by -6.84% and around 2.34% at yesterday's American opening. As soon as the U.S. session began, the conditions were in place again to continue the fall that seemed to have slowed down during the European day, but it was only a bearish consolidation. At this moment, the US premarket seems to have stopped the fall that generated a third bell in the Asian session. Checking the RSI, it has moved from 70% on Wednesday at 18:00 to 23% in today's Asian session. So it could be that today's day will not be as black as yesterday's, but for the moment the bearish mid-range crossover started on Wednesday has only expanded. As for the average volume on both day 2 and 3 the volume has been similar to the openings of other days, so in this sense it is not something that can reveal additional information but only represents that this fall is the result of the “power of fear of tariffs in the market”. A Global Landscape of Uncertainty Trump's announcement has generated a ripple effect in international markets. In the United States, investors are skeptical about the economy's ability to withstand these shocks, which has prompted a search for refuge in assets considered safer, such as Treasury bonds and defensive sectors (consumer staples, healthcare, telecommunications and utilities). Uncertainty is spreading globally: the Nasdaq has fallen by 5.4% and the Nasdaq 100 has lost 17% of its value since its peak in February. In international markets, indices such as the Nikkei 225 and the TOPIX in Japan have registered declines of 3.3% and 4.2% respectively, demonstrating the global scope of the instability. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Short
by ActivTrades
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation. This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels. 2. Key Technical Elements A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup. The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher. The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support. The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown. 👉 Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline. A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown. B) Resistance & Support Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135 This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts. Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure. Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation. 2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056 This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower. Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58. 3️⃣ Breakout & Retest After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend. 3. Trade Setup & Execution 🔵 Entry Point: Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure. Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs. This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals. 🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in. TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support. TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse. 4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators 📉 Bearish Confirmation: Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure. Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range. ⚡ Additional Confirmation: A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels. Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues. 5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary ✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish) ✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell) ✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline ✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone) ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: $3,056.58 TP2: $3,022.39 TP3: $2,985.44 📌 Final Thoughts: This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly. 🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Aud/Usd Long Term SellAud is weak. So has also Usd been this week. But, what I'm looking for here is long term picture. Institutions are shorting Aud and buying Usd. This we can see looking at COT reports and priceaction. Looking at monthly and weekly charts bulls have difficulties to move price higher. Simply put, sellers are holding their resistance at 0.6400 level and price is ranging in side movement. Also, Aud had a strong push up from 0.6240 level after US put tarrifs on foreign countries on April 2nd. Despite this price was pushed down again on April 4th. Entry: 0.62400 SL: 0.65000 TP: 0.5800 For best performance: trade in small size and scale into trade. This gives you opportunity to DCA with small size while keeping risk down.
Short
by VarisSvard
2
28% Intraday Price Explosion—Go home Bears!We’ve just witnessed an extreme intraday surge of over 28% within roughly 40 minutes, fueled by significantly higher volume. This kind of sudden spike often signals a strong wave of bullish buying, and can be the start of a larger rally if momentum holds. However, dramatic moves like this are prone to swift pullbacks as traders lock in profits. Keep an eye on whether price consolidates above new support levels—if so, it could be a stepping stone to further upside.
BINANCE:FILUSD
by brolal
Massive storm hiting the crypto market soon!The Correlation Between SPX500 (Wall Street) & Crypto 📉📈 The relationship between SPX500 and crypto is not always stable. Sometimes they move in sync, like the Earth and Moon, and other times, they are completely decoupled. But rarely, we get an eclipse—a moment of total disconnection. And guess what? That’s about to happen. 🔎 What’s Happening? Looking at the charts, SPX500 had a massive rally last year, but while Wall Street boomed, crypto was bleeding. Most altcoins were slaughtered, and the TOTAL crypto market cap suffered. But now, SPX500 is overbought, while crypto is oversold. 👉 This time, the decoupling will work in crypto’s favor! 💰 $2 Trillion in Sidelined Cash Ready to Flow In Right now, about $2 trillion USD is sitting on the sidelines—money that institutional investors are hesitant to deploy due to market uncertainty. Many are keeping their funds in USD or foreign bonds instead of taking risks. However, if you check my April/May forecast, we can see that: ✅ Crypto will be deeply oversold (confirmed by RSI & weekly MACD crossover). ✅ The US Dollar is weakening, forcing investors to move their money into other assets. ✅ SPX500 turning bearish = capital rotating into crypto. 🚀 The Perfect Storm for Crypto 📉 SPX500 bearish 💵 USD weakening 📈 Crypto bullish This creates the perfect setup for rich investors to flood the crypto market with fresh liquidity. 💡 What does this mean for prices? - CRYPTOCAP:BTC could double (100% gain). - Altcoins could skyrocket (x10 to x100). - This would finally trigger the altseason we’ve been waiting for—the parabolic move that happens once every four years. 📆 Timeline: April – June 2025 This move will be so explosive that it will eventually trigger a correction—possibly leading to a bear market. However, since crypto now moves in 6-month cycles, this correction should end by December 2025, setting up another leg up. 🏁 Final Thoughts This kind of SPX500 & crypto decoupling is extremely rare, so positioning before the rotation starts is crucial. ⏳ Exact timing? Hard to say. But April/May looks like the moment when everything aligns. 🚨 DYOR as always—anything can happen to invalidate this idea.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by CryptoNikkoid
10
Bullish Divergence and the Impact of Trump’s TariffsOn the daily chart of the S&P 500, I’m currently spotting a clear bullish divergence. This type of divergence is a technical pattern that suggests that, despite recent price drops, the downtrend is losing momentum and a potential upward move could be on the horizon. It shows that the index has underlying strength, which the price hasn’t fully reflected yet — making a bullish reversal very likely in the short to mid-term. In this context, the recent drop in the S&P 500 has been largely driven by Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, especially targeting China and other countries. However, based on my analysis, I believe that these tariffs were more of a negotiation tactic than a long-term economic strategy. And now that things are clearly not going as expected, I’m convinced that Trump will be forced to scale back the tariffs or start accepting less favorable trade agreements just to stop the bleeding — because I highly doubt he will allow this sharp market decline to continue unchecked. Why tariffs aren’t coherent or beneficial for the global economy Tariffs are additional taxes on imports. Although they’re often marketed as a way to protect local industries, in reality, they increase prices for consumers and destabilize global supply chains. The result is damaging for both the countries imposing the tariffs and those receiving them. In the case of the U.S., despite Trump’s promises, these tariffs are actually hurting American companies that rely on imported materials and products, leading to higher internal costs and squeezing consumers. Worse yet, this ongoing trade war has created a climate of global economic uncertainty, which is driving down investment and confidence. That uncertainty has translated into market selloffs around the world, and the S&P 500’s current decline is a direct reflection of that. Importantly, it’s U.S. businesses — not foreign governments — who are absorbing the cost of these tariffs. What to expect going forward Despite the pressure from tariffs, I believe that Trump — seeing the damage already being done to the markets — will have no choice but to start dialing things back. My take is that to avoid a deeper economic hit and restore investor confidence, the U.S. will likely pursue more balanced deals, even if it means compromising a bit. If this scenario plays out, I expect the S&P 500 to begin recovering, especially as investor uncertainty fades. The bullish divergence on the chart further reinforces the idea that once these external political and economic pressures ease, the market could see a strong and sharp rebound. Conclusion Trump’s tariffs were intended as leverage — but they’re clearly backfiring and doing more harm than good. The current S&P 500 correction, in my opinion, is actually a buying opportunity for those with a long-term view. With potential tariff reductions and fairer trade deals on the horizon, the market is likely to rebound strongly, especially with the bullish divergence we’re seeing on the charts. Markets may have already priced in the worst, and now we’re seeing the first technical signals of a potential turnaround. If confirmed, the price could begin to rally significantly in the coming days or weeks.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EmmanuelCova
1