BUY EURJPYThe trend is up, internal structure of the 1h shows the pull back towards the discounted zone.
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Let us be patient and let the price do
Fundamental Analysis
USD/CAD - Wedge Breakout (06.05.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3893
2nd Resistance – 1.3928
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"BRK.B 4H: Monitoring Price Action Between $520 and $498"Strategic Trade Outlook:
🔴 Sell Setup :
Sell if price fails to reclaim $520 and breaks below $498
Targets: $482 → $462
Stop: Above $521
🟢 Buy Setup :
Only valid if price reclaims and holds above $520 with bullish volume
Target: Retest of $539–$542 upper wedge
Alert Message (Short-Term Bearish) :
"Sell pressure confirmed under $520. If $498 breaks, expect a deeper drop to $482 and $462. Avoid longs unless $520 is reclaimed with strength."
Gold Price Analysis May 5The D candle cluster appears with the sellers still dominating. 3270 is still playing a key role in reversing the trend.
The h1 structure is creating a false break in the 70 zone and wants to continue falling in the corrective downtrend. Pay attention to the 3263 break zone in the European session, when breaking this zone, Gold will form an uptrend and the possibility of breaking the 3270 zone is very high. 3285 will be the next reaction zone when breaking 3270, then the Down wave of Gold will be broken. Gold can reach 3303 when there are retests to the support zones.
In the opposite direction, Gold does not break 3262 and continues to fall, it will be favorable for the downtrend and the possibility of forming a double top pattern and falling sharply is also quite high. The Trendline zone 3243 is considered an important support zone in the near future for the Gold price decline. Next, pay attention to the reaction zone of the daily support around 3225.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 6th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum
-Looking for price to reach 0.618 fib level
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
GOLD - Bullish - Fundamentals safe haven for inflationary times.The trend is long on the weekly, daily, and 4hr charts.
-Dly 21 held as support.
-Fundamentals - USD inflation may increase. Gold is a haven when or if risk-off occurs.
-Look to buy at Tokyo from the 1st area, then if we fail to make a HH, then price may make a deeper pullback to the 2nd area that I have indicated.
Targets are calculated using Fibonacci extensions depending on where price holds and extends from.
This is just what I am doing and not financial advice!
Brent under pressure: A rebound may be comingIn 2025, oil prices have come under significant pressure, falling more than 21% since the beginning of the year — from $75 to around $59 per barrel of #BRENT. This decline was driven by increased production from OPEC+ countries, weak global demand (particularly in Asia), heightened economic risks due to trade disputes, and rising output from non-OPEC producers such as the U.S. and Brazil. Together, these factors created an oversupply amid stagnant demand.
Currently, the oil market continues to be shaped by a range of influencing factors. While accurately predicting prices remains a challenge, several key drivers are likely to steer oil price movements in the near term. Here’s a look at the main bullish and bearish factors:
• Geopolitical tensions (Bullish driver): Ongoing or emerging conflicts in key oil-producing regions (such as the Middle East and Eastern Europe) raise concerns about potential supply disruptions. Even without actual disruptions, the perceived risk leads traders to factor in a “risk premium,” pushing prices higher. Any escalation could trigger sharp price spikes.
• OPEC+ policy (Bullish/neutral driver): The alliance’s production decisions remain a major influence on supply. If OPEC+ maintains or tightens its current output cuts to balance the market or target price levels, this will support price growth or at least stability. Conversely, quota breaches or output increases would weigh on prices.
• Global economic outlook (Bearish/bullish driver): The trajectory of global economic growth directly affects oil demand. Signs of GDP slowdowns in major economies (U.S., China, EU) tend to weaken demand and drag prices lower. On the other hand, if economic growth proves more resilient than expected, it would support oil demand and prices. Uncertainty over the growth path of many countries persists in 2025.
• Non-OPEC+ output growth (Bearish driver): Countries outside of the OPEC+ alliance — including the U.S. (shale), Brazil, Guyana, and Canada — continue expanding their production. Significant output increases from these nations could offset OPEC+ efforts and lead to market oversupply, applying downward pressure on prices.
• Energy transition and underinvestment (Medium-term bullish driver): ESG pressures, the global shift toward renewables, and uncertainty around long-term fossil fuel demand have led to underinvestment in new oil exploration and development. If existing capacity declines faster than new projects come online, a structural supply deficit could emerge, supporting higher prices even amid the energy transition.
FreshForex analysts believe that, given ongoing geopolitical risks, strict OPEC+ policies, and underinvestment in production, the oil market is nearing a potential upward reversal. A modest uptick in demand or increased tension could be enough to put oil back on a growth trajectory.
EURNZD Bearish Reversal Confirmed: Break and Retest Below Key Su🧠 Market Context & Structure:
Trend Analysis: The pair is currently in a bearish structure. This is evident from lower highs and lower lows forming after a failed bullish breakout attempt.
Key Zone: A supply zone (highlighted in red) around 1.90198 – 1.90750 has acted as a strong resistance. Price was rejected here after retesting.
Break of Structure (BoS): A clear bearish breakout below the ascending trendline and the horizontal support confirms a shift in sentiment.
📉 Indicators & Confluences:
EMA Analysis:
EMA 50 (red): 1.90757
EMA 200 (blue): 1.90728
Price is trading below both EMAs, which confirms bearish momentum. Also, a bearish EMA crossover (50 crossing below 200) may be forming or has just occurred — a death cross, which further supports downside bias.
🎯 Trade Setup Breakdown (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Around 1.89760 (current price)
Stop Loss: Above the supply zone (~1.9020 - 1.9070)
Take Profit Target: Around 1.86035 (highlighted in green), aligning with previous demand zone or measured move.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Estimated at ~3:1, making this a favorable setup.
🔽 Technical Patterns:
Bear Flag / Rising Wedge: The broken ascending pattern suggests a bearish continuation.
Retest Confirmation: Price retested the broken structure before continuing down — classic bearish retest behavior.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a textbook bearish setup supported by:
A failed breakout and structure shift
Resistance at a key supply zone
Break and retest of support
Price under both EMAs (bearish confirmation)
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Invalidation Level: Close above 1.9075
📌 Next Support Zone: 1.8600–1.8550 range
USD/CHF Reversal Setup (Read-Caption)🧠 Professional Technical Analysis – USD/CHF 💱
🗓️ Date: May 6, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
📊 Current Price: ~0.82218
🔍 Technical Indicators
🔵 EMA 20: 0.84190 (short-term trend)
🔴 EMA 50: 0.82524 (mid-term trend)
❗ Bearish crossover: EMA 20 is below EMA 50 → short-term bearish bias 🐻
📉 Support Zone Analysis 🛡️
🟥 Key Demand Zone (Support): 0.82084 – 0.81437
🔁 Price has bounced here before 🪃
🕯️ Candles with long lower wicks = buyers stepping in 🧍♂️💪
🟠 This is the “bounce zone” 📈
🧭 Trade Idea
✅ Long Entry: Around 0.82084–0.82200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.81437 ❌
🎯 Take Profit: Around 0.83600 🟢
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Excellent (>2:1) if bounce holds 🚀
🔄 Price Action Outlook
📉 Downtrend approaching major support
🕯️ Looking for bullish candlestick confirmation (engulfing, hammer, etc.)
📈 Target area aligns with mean reversion to EMA 20
📌 Conclusion
👀 Watching for bullish reversal signs 🔄
🛒 Buy zone is clearly defined ✅
⛔ Setup is invalidated if price closes below 0.81437
EURCAD - Overextended and Ready to Reverse?The EURCAD pair is showing clear signs of exhaustion in its bullish trend on the monthly chart, with an overextended price that has already liquidated a significant high. Futures market analysis confirms the accumulation of short positions, suggesting a potential bearish movement driven by institutional players. On the daily chart, the price has shifted to a clear downtrend.
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Monthly Chart:
The price has reached overextended levels, signaling a possible reversal.
A key high has been liquidated, indicating potential demand exhaustion.
🔹 Futures Market Data:
Short positions are accumulating, showing that major market participants are positioning for a bearish move.
Commercial market conditions reflect a weakening bullish sentiment.
🔹 Daily Chart:
Structural change confirms a bearish trend.
Possible selling opportunities on pullbacks to recent resistance levels.
The bias is for move to the upsideThe bias for the S&P 500 daily chart is for move to the upside but if we do get that follow-through I'm not looking for a dramatic move as the market gets ready to hear what the Fed has to say on Wednesday.
Arm - Positive outlook ahead of earnings - Value to collect?Hi guys we would be looking into our analysis for ARM Holdings before their earnings call!
ARM Holdings (ARM) – Positive Outlook Ahead of Earnings
ARM Holdings plc, a leading provider of semiconductor intellectual property, is poised to deliver a strong earnings report, driven by robust demand for its advanced chip architectures, continued growth in AI and data center markets, and deepening strategic partnerships across the tech ecosystem. As we approach the upcoming earnings announcement, several key factors support a bullish thesis on ARM's stock.
1. Strong Market Position and Licensing Growth
ARM continues to dominate the RISC-based processor architecture market, with its designs powering over 99% of smartphones and making significant inroads into the computing and server space. The company's royalty and licensing model provides a resilient revenue base, which has historically performed well even during industry slowdowns. Recent licensing agreements with leading tech companies, including NVIDIA, Apple, and Amazon, signal continued reliance on ARM's technology.
In Q1 2025, analysts expect double-digit year-over-year growth in licensing revenue, reflecting heightened demand for ARMv9 architecture, which powers next-generation AI and machine learning workloads. This growth is being further fueled by increased adoption in automotive and IoT sectors.
2. AI and Data Center Tailwinds
The surge in AI demand is transforming the semiconductor landscape. ARM's energy-efficient designs are increasingly being integrated into AI accelerators, edge devices, and cloud data centers. The company's Neoverse platform has been gaining traction, especially as hyperscalers seek alternatives to x86 architectures for power- and cost-efficiency. Amazon Web Services’ Graviton processors, based on ARM, are a prominent example of this trend.
As AI infrastructure spending accelerates globally, ARM stands to benefit significantly. Positive forward guidance around AI-related royalties and design wins would further validate this tailwind in the upcoming earnings report.
3. Financial Strength and Margin Expansion
Analysts anticipate revenue growth of 20-25% YoY in the upcoming report, accompanied by improved gross and operating margins. ARM’s high-margin royalty revenue stream contributes significantly to profitability, and recent cost controls have enhanced operational efficiency.
The IPO in 2023 provided a strong capital base, enabling increased R&D investment while maintaining financial flexibility. Shareholder sentiment has been buoyed by ARM's prudent capital allocation and expanding free cash flow profile.
4. Ecosystem Momentum and Strategic Partnerships
ARM’s ecosystem-first approach—collaborating with chipmakers, software developers, and system integrators—has become a key competitive advantage. The company's recent partnerships in the automotive and industrial sectors highlight growing non-smartphone revenue streams. Additionally, ARM is collaborating closely with AI chip startups and hyperscalers, reinforcing its central role in the evolving semiconductor landscape.
Investors should also watch for updates on ARM’s role in emerging verticals such as AR/VR, smart cities, and secure edge computing, all of which could significantly boost its long-term growth narrative.
5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators
From a technical standpoint, ARM stock has shown resilience, trading above key moving averages and gaining momentum in recent weeks. Options activity suggests bullish sentiment, with increased call buying ahead of earnings. If the company delivers a beat-and-raise quarter, it could catalyze a breakout to new highs.
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 121
✅ Target: 144 Below the strong resistance
❌ SL: 95 - Above the strong support
Monitoring MetalsJust a chart of a whole bunch of metal ETFs and stocks. I use it to check their performance in various time periods and to watch for big shifts in the market.
AI Prediction ETH/USD for 24 hour! Intraday trading!May 5, 2025 6:36 pm. ETH/USD. ETH/USD Trading Plan
Long Scenario
- Entry: $1,815 (confirmed by Supertrend long + RSI rising above 40).
- Stop-Loss (SL): $1,790 (below $1,800 support).
- Take-Profit (TP): $1,840 (below $1,850 resistance).
- Trailing Stop: 13 points (2x ATR).
Short Scenario
- Entry: $1,795 (confirmed by breakdown below $1,800 + MACD bearish crossover).
- Stop-Loss (SL): $1,820 (above $1,810–$1,820 resistance).
- Take-Profit (TP): $1,750 (above $1,780 support).
- Trailing Stop: 13 points (2x ATR).
FLRUSD | Long Bias | Real-World Oracle Utility | (May 5, 2025)FLRUSD | Long Bias | Real-World Oracle Utility + Breakout Setup | (May 5, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Flare (FLR) is showing strong fundamentals and technical momentum. It's building real-world utility through decentralized data access, and price action is hinting at a breakout from a triangle structure.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long
Entry: Current zone (price has retested support, showing strength)
Stop Loss: 0.01365
TP1: 0.028
TP2: 0.032
TP3: 0.047
Partial Exits: Consider trimming into strength if price accelerates after breaking triangle resistance
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Flare is a Layer 1 blockchain focused on decentralized oracles—solving the “real world data to smart contracts” problem
✅ Unique protocols: Time Series Oracles and State Connector
✅ Strong partners: Google Cloud, Ankr, Blockdaemon, Hugo Philion (CEO), and Sean Rowan
✅ Competing with big names like Chainlink and Band Protocol
❌ Competition and market volatility are key risks
✅ Currently listed on Kraken, Bitvavo, BTC Turk
✅ Recent price action shows heavy spot buying near support—bullish signal
✅ Watching for a move above 0.0157 liquidity area to unlock higher targets
✅ Triangle pattern forming—potential breakout zone aligning with money flow strength
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I’ll update this idea as price approaches the breakout level or if there's a structural shift. Keeping a close eye on spot buying and volume confirmation.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
AI Prediction SOL/USD Trading Plan 24 hours!💰 May 4, 2025 8:52 pm. SOL/USD Trading Plan
Long Scenario
- Entry: Breakout above 148.50 (volume >8,000).
- Stop-Loss (SL): 145.50 (below support).
- Take-Profit (TP): 149.50 (below resistance).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR ($0.77).
- Confirmation: Supertrend (long), MACD bullish crossover, RSI >50.
Short Scenario
- Entry: Breakdown below 146.50 (volume >12,000).
- SL: 147.50 (above resistance).
- TP: 145.50 (above support).
- Trailing Stop: 1x ATR ($0.51).
- Confirmation: Supertrend flips short, MACD bearish, CMF <0.
GOLD Regains Above 3'300, since US stocks "Relief Rally" is OverGold prices recently surged above $3,300 per ounce due to a confluence of geopolitical, economic, and monetary factors driving strong safe-haven demand:
Heightened geopolitical tensions, particularly the Israel-Hamas conflict and ongoing US-China trade disputes, have increased uncertainty, prompting investors to seek Gold as a secure store of value amid instability.
The US dollar's weakness, nearing a three-year low, has further boosted gold's appeal for holders of other currencies, making Gold relatively cheaper and more attractive globally.
What is most important also, U.S. stock rally has overed recently its tedious 10-Day winning strike (fortunately which finished not at all the history peaks). That's why investors may be turning back to tried-and-true assets like Gold.
Central banks, notably China’s, have been consistently buying gold to diversify reserves away from the US dollar, supporting prices significantly. China increased its Gold reserves for the 17th consecutive month, signaling sustained institutional demand.
Additionally, gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen record inflows, reflecting growing investor interest beyond traditional buyers.
Market expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts later in 2025 have also played a key role. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, enhancing its investment appeal amid inflation concerns and economic growth uncertainties.
This combination of geopolitical risk, a weaker dollar, central bank purchases, and anticipated monetary easing has propelled gold prices to historic highs, with forecasts suggesting further gains toward $3,500 per ounce.
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Best #GODL wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
RPLUSDT lucrative long opportunityRPLUSDT showing stong bullish momentum while others crypto asset didnt . this is the best point to jump on
Wheat Trade ideaWheat has been in a downtrend for the past two years, but right now it’s sitting in a strong demand zone on the weekly chart for the year. Both the technicals and fundamentals are starting to look bullish, so this could be a solid setup for a long trade even if the overall trend is still down.
On Thursday, April 24, there was a nice daily rejection between the 545’00 and 539’00 levels. That would’ve been a good entry based on my strategy.
Most traders would avoid this kind of trade because of the strong downtrend, but I see everything lining up here: demand zone, fundamentals, and rejection. It doesn’t mean the market will reverse, but the risk is worth the potential reward.
I’m not expecting a huge move just taking what the market gives me. If fundamentals keep supporting the move, I’ll hold longer. If not, I’ll take profit earlier. It’s about staying realistic and disciplined.
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814
EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950
Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area.
Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100
Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels.
Current Price: ~32.618
Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA.
🔄 Market Structure
The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA.
Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone.
The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now)
The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move.
If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100).
This move aligns with:
Breakdown below EMAs
Failed bullish continuation
Rejection from a strong resistance zone
🧭 EMA Analysis
EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness.
If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically.
✅ Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).
Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.
📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.
This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.
🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.
The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.
Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.
🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.
Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.
📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.
The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).
The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.
✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.
🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).
Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat.
The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia.
At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe.
US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter.
The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
