Fundamental Analysis
GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers!
Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals.
⚡️ Macro & News Context
Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility.
Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed.
Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping.
📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish
3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall."
If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate.
3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets.
A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block.
If price breaks above 3360:
The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long.
📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish
3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here.
3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim.
3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone.
Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200.
🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution
Bias: Neutral but flexible.
Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts.
Below 3285, sellers control the show.
Do not rush the first move after PCE.
Real direction comes after the volatility traps.
🏹 Battle Plan
Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume.
Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection.
Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm.
Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight.
🔥 Final Word
This is a two-way battle:
If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap!
If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop.
Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler.
— GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
Fed Minutes overshadowed by tariff uncertainty | FX ResearchUS equity futures are well bid ahead of the North American open, with S&P 500 minis up over 1.1% and the Nasdaq up 1.7%, partially driven by Nvidia's strong results and a US court ruling declaring some of President Trump's tariffs illegal. This has boosted risk sentiment by potentially supporting consumer spending and economic growth, although uncertainty remains as the ruling may face further scrutiny.
The FOMC minutes, largely overshadowed by this development, noted concerns about persistent tariff-related inflation. Economic data expected today includes jobless claims, projected to rise slightly, and a second reading of Q1 GDP, likely unchanged. April pending home sales are anticipated to drop by 1% month-over-month.
Fed speakers Barkin and Goolsbee may touch on tariff implications, though no major policy updates are expected. The $44 billion 7-year Treasury auction, the final one this month, is notable for its role in linking short- and long-end yields, with no signs so far of reduced foreign demand.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – BREAKDOWN FROM THE CHANNEL! WHAT’S NEXT?Hey traders! 🧠
Today’s BTC/USD price action is sending a strong technical signal – price has broken down from the ascending channel, potentially marking the start of a deeper correction. Currently sitting at $106,200, with a daily drop of -1.49%.
🔍 Here’s what I’m seeing:
📉 Uptrend break – bears might be taking control.
🛑 Immediate support: $104,000.
🔼 Resistance ahead: $109,351 – reclaiming this is key for any bullish recovery.
📊 Watching closely whether BTC re-enters the channel or moves toward lower support (~$100K or below).
💡 My current plan:
If $104K holds, we could see a bounce. If not, prepare for a potential deeper dip. A return above $109K would be a bullish sign and could trigger renewed momentum.
📲 Follow me for more real-time updates, trade ideas, and clean technical breakdowns!
👉 If this helped, drop a like – it helps get this analysis in front of more traders!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
Intel - This might be the bottom!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - might create a bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
For almost an entire year, Intel has been consolidating at a major horizontal support. Considering the previous significant bloodbath, Intel might soon find its bottom, which is inevitably followed by a major bullish reversal. After all, market structure is slowly shifting bullish.
Levels to watch: $20.0, $25.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold builds momentum across timeframes – breakout or fade?XAUUSD could potentially be presenting a multi-timeframe bullish bias, with the trend analyzer indicating strong uptrends from M30 through H4, and a weaker uptrend on the D1 timeframe.
The price has moved above the 20, 50, and 100-period exponential moving averages (EMAs), potentially suggesting strengthening short-term momentum. The 200 EMA near $3,254 has held as dynamic support and marked the low of the recent retracement.
If the price maintains above the 100 EMA and breaks through near-term resistance at $3,320–$3,340, there is potential for a move toward the previous high around $3,360.
Traders might like to watch for confirmation from volume around resistance before positioning for breakout trades. Caution might be warranted if the price dips below $3,254, as it may indicate a deeper correction.
#DOGEUSDT: Targeting $2 By End Of The Year| Comment Your Views|DOGEUSDT stands as one of the most significant cryptocurrency pairs, yet its price has experienced substantial consolidation within a defined range, presenting challenges for trading and investment. However, we posit that the current price juncture holds the potential for a reversal, and we anticipate that by the end of the year, DOGEUSDT will reach approximately $2. In the interim, we recommend targeting smaller price ranges rather than aiming for $2, which may require months or even years to attain.
We extend our best wishes for your trading endeavours. It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis prior to making any investment decisions, as this does not guarantee any potential price movement.
If you’re feeling inspired by our content, we’d love to hear from you! Just give it a like, comment, or share your thoughts. It means the world to us!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day.
A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs.
The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth.
FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs"
In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs".
There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders,
First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers!
Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts.
With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market.
My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late.
In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends!
I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery.
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
Uber’s Path to $95+Uber Technologies (UBER) is positioning itself for long-term growth by expanding beyond its core ride-hailing and delivery businesses into advertising, travel, service partnerships, and autonomous vehicle (AV) technology. These strategic moves aim to diversify revenue streams and enhance operational efficiency.
Key Growth Drivers:
- Strong Core Business Performance – Uber continues to benefit from robust demand in both ride-hailing and delivery, generating significant economic profit.
- Artificial Intelligence Integration – AI plays a crucial role in optimizing pricing, reducing wait times, personalizing user experiences, and preventing fraud.
- Autonomous Vehicle Expansion – Uber is increasingly leveraging AV technology to reduce driver-related costs and scale its services.
- Strategic Investments – The company is using its strong cash flow to fund innovation, product development, acquisitions, and minority investments, driving long-term value.
- Capital-Efficient Growth – Uber’s ability to expand its service platform with minimal capital investment is expected to accelerate revenue growth and shareholder value creation.
Price Target & Options Flow:
Tigress Financial has raised Uber’s price target from $103 to $110, maintaining a Buy rating. Additionally, option flow on Uber is showing strong bullish activity, suggesting institutional interest. Given this momentum, Uber could potentially surpass $95 before August, especially if AV advancements and AI-driven efficiencies continue to strengthen its financial outlook
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical & Fundamental UpdateOverview:
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD on the 4-hour chart is currently in a corrective phase after a recent bounce, but the overall structure remains bearish with clear downside risk.
________________________________________
Key Observations:
Price Action:
Gold is trading around $3,319 after a recent rebound from the $3,272–$3,243 support zone. The price is now testing a resistance area highlighted by the previous consolidation zone, suggesting that upside momentum is facing challenges.
Supply and Demand Zones:
• There is a visible supply (resistance) zone around $3,320–$3,340, where sellers previously
stepped in.
• Multiple demand (support) zones are marked below, especially near the Fibonacci
retracement levels at $3,272 (38.2%), $3,243 (50.0%), and $3,214 (61.8%).
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart uses a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high:
• 38.2% at $3,272
• 50% at $3,243
• 61.8% at $3,214
These levels are aligning with key demand zones, increasing their significance for potential bounces or reversals.
Trend Structure:
Despite the recent recovery, lower highs and lower lows dominate the chart, indicating a bearish trend. The failure to break above the $3,340 resistance keeps the downside scenario in play.
________________________________________
Fundamental Drivers
Safe-Haven Demand Weakening:
Easing tariff risks and improved global risk sentiment have reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The recent US court ruling against Trump-era tariffs and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later in 2025 are shifting market dynamics.
Macro Themes:
• A hawkish Fed or further de-escalation of geopolitical tensions could pressure gold lower.
• Persistent inflation or renewed global risks could limit the downside and trigger rebounds
Selling pressure, gold price falls below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices continued to retreat during Wednesday’s North American session, slipping below the $3,300 mark after reaching an intraday high of $3,325 earlier. The pullback, amounting to a 0.27% decline, came as traders absorbed the implications of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes.
During the May 6–7 policy meeting, the Fed opted to leave interest rates unchanged, highlighting growing uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of proposed tariffs. Officials maintained a cautious stance, citing heightened risks of both inflation and unemployment—potential consequences of trade disruptions.
The minutes also reflected concerns over stagflation, with policymakers noting that “the Committee may face challenging trade-offs if inflation proves more persistent while growth and employment expectations deteriorate.”
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The downtrend line remains intact, gold prices are trading around below 3300. The tariff backdrop remains largely unchanged.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3311- 3313 SL 3318
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3205- $3207 SL $3200
TP1: $3218
TP2: $3230
TP3: $3248
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Action Update – Smart Dip Buy Pays Off!Yesterday, gold dipped to around 3290, followed by a minor rebound.
Today, as expected, it broke down through the 3280 level decisively—just as we discussed:
🔻 A break below 3280 likely means a gap fill toward 3259.
✅ For those who followed the plan and went long below 3266, the trade worked beautifully—
Gold dropped to a low of 3245, effectively filling the gap, and has since rebounded back to the 3280 area.
📈 What’s next?
Now that the gap is filled, gold is likely to retest the $3300 zone in the short term.
With price currently around 3280, there is still room to the upside.
➡️ If you're holding long positions, you can consider holding a bit longer for potential further gains.
🚨 BUT—this was only a single bottom test.
That means there's still a chance of a second dip before the trend fully reverses. So:
🛡 Risk management remains crucial.
If you're okay with some profit pullback, it's fine to stay in.
If not, consider securing partial profits and setting trailing stops.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🔼 3300 – Main resistance zone; focus on whether it breaks or rejects;
🔽 3276–3263 – Support range on any pullback; good zones to watch for fresh entries if support holds.
📌 Trading Strategy Outlook:
For now, continue to buy on dips as long as support holds, and monitor 3300 resistance closely.
If price fails to break above, we may see a pullback—but as always, with proper planning, we stay profitable.
Safe Entry ZoneCurrently stock in down movement.
Has Two significate support level 1h Green Zone (most propaply will respected) and 4h Green Zone (Strongest Support Level) price targeting is the 1h Red Zone (Take Profit Line where you can secure profit) then for long term we got two P.High(Previous Hign) Lines which acts as Strong Resistance Levels MUST Be Respected and Watch-out for any selling Pressure to secure profit.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Gold is still washing out, beware of a fall below 3326!
📊Comment Analysis
After gold fell in the Asian session, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it is still a wide range of shocks and washes out. No matter whether it rises or falls, it is not continuous, and the fluctuation range is large, which is difficult to grasp in short-term operations.
The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opens at 3326 as a watershed. Beware of a fall below this position in the US session. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The rise in a short period of time is too large, and once it falls back, the strength will be the same.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Bitcoin (4H) Analysis
🚫 Rejection at 112K Resistance
BTC failed to break above the 112K zone and reversed sharply.
😮💨 Cooling-Off Needed
After weeks of relentless gains, a healthy pullback is due to “catch its breath.”
Key retracement area: 100K-101K (weekly FVG zone)
📅 Macro Catalysts
– Friday : US Core PCE (major inflation read)
– This week : Fed speakers on tap
– Markets are paused, awaiting a clear driver
🎯 What to Watch
100K-101K support for buy-side demand
Break or hold above 112K to gauge next leg
Reaction to Core PCE for directional bias
💡 Summary
Rejection → Retrace into FVG → Major inflation print → Potential launch toward new highs ! 🚀
Gold starts a new trend? What is the reason?Gold prices rebounded, and the phenomenon of "buying on dips" appeared after hitting the low of the week earlier. In addition, the US Trade Court ruled that President Donald Trump's tariffs on major trading partners exceeded his authority, which attracted market attention. Investors' focus has gradually shifted to the US core inflation data to be released this week.
So far, the price of gold has risen by 0.91%, and the price has fluctuated around 3315. It hit the lowest point since May 20 during the European and Asian sessions.
The cyclical market presents a three-wave pattern. The first two periods showed a trend of rising first, then falling, and then rising again. It is currently entering the third period. The current rally has basically ended and will usher in a small decline.
I believe that the current rise in gold is partly due to technical covering, while economic uncertainty continues to support gold prices amid ongoing US debt problems and global trade tensions.
In addition, there are reports that the United States has ordered a large number of companies not to export goods to China without permission, and revoked the export licenses that some suppliers have obtained.
The current market is focusing on the US GDP data to be released later and the core personal consumption expenditure price index to be released on Friday. These two data will become an important basis for judging the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve.
I will also pay attention to the release of news in a timely manner so as to update you in time on the impact of news on gold prices. Please be patient, traders.
XAUUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 29-05-2025📣Gold Under Pressure XAUUSD CMP $3316.81
✅XAUUSD movement 29-05-2025: $3289-$3245-$3321 =$120 Movement Witnessed.
🔴Gold remains under pressure after a sharp turn from morning crash, which has triggered fresh volatility across commodities in USA session.
⏳ Despite safe-haven appeal, XAUUSD faces bullish momentum after a correction, driven by renewed appetite for risk assets and shifting market flows.
📉 Technical Outlook (1H):
• Bearish below $3305
• Next downside targets: $3280 → $3265 → $3250
• A break below $3255 could accelerate the decline toward $3240-$3220
🔁 Bullish Shift Trigger:
• A confirmed 1H close above $3319 may invalidate the bearish bias and target $3340+
📊 Key Levels:
• Pivot: $3305
• Support: $3280 – $3265 – $3250
• Resistance: $3327 – $3339 – $3351
King BTC - Bitcoin Dominance Continues to Go Up OnlyIf market cycles still matter, this current one will be remembered as a disappointment by many crypto traders. With Bitcoin Dominance up-only, this has been the cycle of institutional traders who accumulate Bitcoin. For years, crypto traders hoped that institutions would 'buy our bags'. But for now, only 'King BTC' has benefitted. From its low point at less than 40%, Bitcoin market cap dominance versus the rest of the crypto markets is now sitting at 65%. The times when crypto traders would 'hunt gems' and hold Altcoins that would go up 10-100x are over. Between the 'crypto trenches' of memecoin traders hunting very low cap memes that can go up multiples and then go back to 0 even quicker and 'King BTC', not much of the rest of the market has caught a bid.
The picture is completely different on the institutional side. For many funds, Bitcoin is now part of a core treasury strategy. Pensions and endowments dip in through ETF exposure. Especially in the US, the regulatory and legal outlook are improving rapidly under a pro-crypto US administration. Asset managers like BlackRock are promoting BTC as a long-term store of value with lower correlation to equities than previously assumed.
In fact, institutional Bitcoin FOMO is accelerating rapidly. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy famously leveraged its balance sheet to borrow funds, buy Bitcoin for its treasury and then rinse and repeat. The strong performance of MicroStrategy has unsurprisingly led to copy-cats. This week, GameStop became the latest one, confirming that it had bought 4,710 BTC worth about $513 million. In a sign that the buck might not stop here, SharpLink, a performance-based marketing company serving the U.S. sports betting and global iGaming industries, launched a $425million private placement to accumulate Ethereum into its treasury.
Leaving aside the question of who would lend so much money to a sports marketing company, other burning questions remain. Will Bitcoin FOMO lead to another parabolic rally? Will Ethereum treasury-buys finally lead to new all-time-highs for the 2nd largest Crypto Coin by market cap? And will that lead to a 'more traditional' Altcoin rally? Maybe most importantly: how sustainable is the MicroStrategy Treasury accumulation?
As always in Crypto markets, reflexivity is strong on the way up, but critical on the way down. If the BTC price ever drops below the average purchase price of its Bitcoin and debt-rollover deadlines are approaching, will MicroStrategy end up having to sell Bitcoin in a fire sale? Past market history tends to agree with Murphy's Law: usually, whatever can go wrong in crypto, eventually does go wrong. Maybe the day will come when the rise of Bitcoin dominance will stop 'the hard way'.